Deportes Concepcion v Universidad de Chile — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 29 November 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Deportes Concepcion

20:00 UTC

Universidad de Chile

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 801h before kick-off

Deportes Concepcion win

38.4%

model 38.1%

Draw

23.2%

model 24.1%

Universidad de Chile win

38.4%

model 37.9%

382338

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 13.9%
0-1 13.9%
1-1 11.1%
0-0 8.0%
2-1 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	39.8%	Under 2.5	60.2%
BTTS yes	44.0%	BTTS no	56.0%
Deportes Concepcion 1+	68.1%	Deportes Concepcion 2+	31.6%
Universidad de Chile 1+	67.9%	Universidad de Chile 2+	31.4%

Expected goals 1.14 – 1.14. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

1-2 goals

Multi goal · usually 42%

52.3% fair odds 1.91

strong signal · 1994 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 4341 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportes Concepcion have an estimated 38.4% win probability, against 38.4% for Universidad de Chile and 23.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.14 for Deportes Concepcion and 1.14 for Universidad de Chile.

Why Deportes Concepcion

Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.2%. A combined 2.28 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.14 to 1.14. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Universidad de Chile can win

Universidad de Chile carry the stronger rating, 1608 Elo against 1557. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Deportes Concepcion, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Universidad de Chile, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Deportes Concepcion: 44% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Universidad de Chile: 65% possession, 23.0 shots a match, 8.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Deportes Concepcion are the model's most likely outcome at 38.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 13.9%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	382438	1.14–1.14	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	382735	1.00–0.95	1-0 17%	31%	37%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to win	38.1%	36.4%	49.0%	0.74×	2.75
Universidad de Chile to win	35.2%	36.3%	30.0%	1.21×	2.75
Draw	26.8%	27.9%	21.2%	1.31×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion & not both score	26.8%	25.2%	26.8%	0.94×	3.97
Universidad de Chile & not both score	24.7%	21.8%	16.8%	1.30×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	14.8%	13.3%	16.6%	0.80×	7.54
Draw & not both score	11.9%	13.3%	4.9%	2.72×	7.54
Deportes Concepcion & both teams score	11.3%	13.3%	22.4%	0.59×	7.54
Universidad de Chile & both teams score	10.4%	13.3%	13.4%	0.99×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion & under 3.5	32.8%	30.8%	34.1%	0.90×	3.25
Universidad de Chile & under 3.5	30.6%	30.7%	23.4%	1.31×	3.25
Deportes Concepcion & under 2.5	23.7%	21.6%	20.0%	1.08×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	23.2%	21.6%	13.9%	1.55×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	23.2%	21.6%	13.9%	1.55×	4.63
Universidad de Chile & under 2.5	22.1%	21.6%	13.7%	1.58×	4.63
Deportes Concepcion & over 1.5	21.5%	21.6%	36.1%	0.60×	4.63
Universidad de Chile & over 1.5	19.4%	18.0%	20.0%	0.90×	5.55
Deportes Concepcion & under 1.5	16.5%	18.0%	13.2%	1.37×	5.56
Universidad de Chile & under 1.5	15.7%	18.0%	10.2%	1.76×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	14.8%	12.8%	16.6%	0.77×	7.79
Deportes Concepcion & over 2.5	14.4%	12.8%	29.3%	0.44×	7.79
Universidad de Chile & over 2.5	13.0%	12.8%	16.6%	0.77×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	11.9%	12.8%	4.9%	2.63×	7.79
Deportes Concepcion & over 3.5	5.2%	7.9%	15.1%	0.52×	12.63
Universidad de Chile & over 3.5	4.6%	4.8%	6.8%	0.70×	20.81
Draw & over 2.5	3.6%	4.8%	7.6%	0.64×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.6%	4.8%	7.6%	0.64×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (1UP)	49.5%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Universidad de Chile (1UP)	46.9%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (2UP)	38.1%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Universidad de Chile (2UP)	35.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	41.7%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Deportes Concepcion to win 2nd half	29.3%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Universidad de Chile to win 2nd half	29.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.8%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Universidad de Chile under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.6%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Universidad de Chile over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.4%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Universidad de Chile over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.2%	12.8%	—	—	7.81

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.7%	88.9%	—	—	1.12
Deportes Concepcion under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Deportes Concepcion over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Deportes Concepcion over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.3%	11.1%	—	—	9.03

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (+2.5)	96.1%	96.3%	89.5%	1.08×	1.04
Universidad de Chile (+1.5)	86.4%	88.5%	76.8%	1.15×	1.13
Deportes Concepcion (+0.5)	64.8%	63.0%	70.0%	0.90×	1.59
Universidad de Chile (+0.5)	61.9%	62.9%	51.0%	1.23×	1.59
Deportes Concepcion (-0.5)	38.1%	37.1%	49.0%	0.76×	2.70
Universidad de Chile (-0.5)	35.2%	37.0%	30.0%	1.23×	2.70
Deportes Concepcion (-1.5)	13.6%	11.5%	23.2%	0.50×	8.66
Deportes Concepcion (-2.5)	3.9%	3.7%	10.5%	0.35×	27.09

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile to concede	63.3%	67.6%	78.5%	0.86×	1.48
Universidad de Chile clean sheet	36.7%	32.4%	21.5%	1.51×	3.09

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile clean sheet in 1st half	65.0%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Universidad de Chile to concede in 1st half	35.0%	35.3%	—	—	2.84

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile clean sheet in 2nd half	56.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Universidad de Chile to concede in 2nd half	43.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile over 2.5 corners	79.7%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Universidad de Chile under 6.5 corners	76.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Universidad de Chile under 5.5 corners	65.0%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Universidad de Chile over 3.5 corners	64.7%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Universidad de Chile under 4.5 corners	50.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Universidad de Chile over 4.5 corners	49.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Universidad de Chile under 3.5 corners	35.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Universidad de Chile over 5.5 corners	35.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Universidad de Chile over 6.5 corners	23.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Universidad de Chile under 2.5 corners	20.3%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile under 3.5 goals	98.4%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Universidad de Chile under 2.5 goals	92.9%	92.4%	88.3%	1.05×	1.08
Universidad de Chile under 1.5 goals	75.5%	76.2%	68.5%	1.11×	1.31
Universidad de Chile over 0.5 goals	61.2%	63.2%	68.5%	0.92×	1.58
Universidad de Chile under 0.5 goals	38.8%	36.8%	31.5%	1.17×	2.72
Universidad de Chile over 1.5 goals	24.5%	23.8%	31.5%	0.76×	4.21
Universidad de Chile over 2.5 goals	7.1%	7.6%	11.7%	0.65×	13.07
Universidad de Chile over 3.5 goals	1.6%	2.5%	2.9%	0.86×	39.89

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile under 1.5 in 1st half	94.4%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Universidad de Chile under 0.5 in 1st half	68.4%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Universidad de Chile over 0.5 in 1st half	31.6%	29.6%	—	—	3.37
Universidad de Chile over 1.5 in 1st half	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.66

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile scores equally in both	47.6%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Universidad de Chile scores more in 2nd half	32.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Universidad de Chile scores more in 1st half	19.7%	18.2%	—	—	5.49

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (away no bet)	58.7%	57.4%	69.8%	0.82×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	41.3%	42.6%	30.2%	1.41×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile even goals	57.5%	56.9%	53.7%	1.06×	1.76
Universidad de Chile odd goals	42.5%	43.1%	46.3%	0.93×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	93.8%	92.0%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	6.2%	8.0%	—	—	12.45

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	56.3%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Not both halves under 1.5	43.7%	39.8%	—	—	2.51

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	38.8%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Deportes Concepcion to score 2+ in a row	21.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Universidad de Chile to score 2+ in a row	19.7%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	10.2%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
Deportes Concepcion to score 3+ in a row	5.5%	5.5%	—	—	18.33
Universidad de Chile to score 3+ in a row	4.7%	2.6%	—	—	38.11

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile corners (+3.5)	89.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Universidad de Chile corners (+2.5)	82.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Deportes Concepcion corners (+3.5)	78.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Universidad de Chile corners (+1.5)	74.3%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Deportes Concepcion corners (+2.5)	69.9%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Deportes Concepcion corners (+1.5)	59.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Universidad de Chile corners (-1.5)	40.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Universidad de Chile corners (-2.5)	30.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Deportes Concepcion corners (-1.5)	25.7%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Universidad de Chile corners (-3.5)	21.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Deportes Concepcion corners (-2.5)	17.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Deportes Concepcion corners (-3.5)	11.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	50.3%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	28.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	21.3%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	85.0%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	78.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	70.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	61.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	61.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 8.5 corners	50.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	49.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	38.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	38.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	29.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	21.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	15.0%	16.9%	—	—	5.90

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	16.5%	13.8%	13.2%	1.05×	7.23
0-1	15.7%	13.8%	10.2%	1.35×	7.24
0-0	11.9%	11.5%	4.9%	2.35×	8.71
1-1	11.2%	11.5%	9.3%	1.24×	8.72
2-0	7.1%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
2-1	6.8%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.51
0-2	6.4%	7.4%	3.7%	2.02×	13.51
1-2	6.4%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
0-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
1-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
2-2	3.2%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.30
2-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
3-0	2.4%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.31
3-1	2.3%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.31
3-2	1.1%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.31
3-3	0.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-0	0.6%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.32
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.03×	58.32
Any other score	0.7%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (2nd half DNB)	50.2%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Universidad de Chile (2nd half DNB)	49.8%	45.8%	—	—	2.19

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion leading at HT (DNB)	53.8%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Universidad de Chile leading at HT (DNB)	46.2%	43.7%	—	—	2.29

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion or Universidad de Chile (12)	73.2%	72.1%	78.8%	0.92×	1.39
Deportes Concepcion or draw (1X)	64.8%	63.7%	70.0%	0.91×	1.57
Universidad de Chile or draw (X2)	61.9%	63.6%	51.0%	1.25×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion or draw at HT	77.5%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Universidad de Chile or draw at HT	73.8%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Deportes Concepcion or Universidad de Chile at HT	48.7%	51.6%	—	—	1.94

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion or draw (1UP)	64.8%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Universidad de Chile or draw (1UP)	61.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion or draw in 2nd half	70.9%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Universidad de Chile or draw in 2nd half	70.7%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Deportes Concepcion or Universidad de Chile in 2nd half	58.3%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	73.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Neither half drawn	26.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (DNB)	52.0%	50.9%	62.0%	0.82×	1.97
Universidad de Chile (DNB)	48.0%	49.1%	38.0%	1.29×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to score first	45.3%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Universidad de Chile to score first	42.8%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	11.9%	9.7%	—	—	10.29

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	63.5%	56.6%	48.0%	1.18×	1.77
Both teams to score	36.5%	43.4%	52.0%	0.83×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	57.8%	47.5%	38.0%	1.25×	2.11
Both score & over 2.5	25.3%	33.3%	42.9%	0.78×	3.01
Both score & under 2.5	11.2%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	5.7%	8.3%	10.2%	0.81×	12.08

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	93.5%	89.0%	84.6%	1.05×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	6.5%	11.0%	15.4%	0.71×	9.11

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	81.9%	73.2%	—	—	1.37
Both teams to score in 2nd half	18.1%	26.8%	—	—	3.73

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	73.3%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Both score 2nd half only	16.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Both score 1st half only	8.6%	6.8%	—	—	14.68
Both score in both halves	2.1%	4.8%	—	—	20.75

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	89.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	10.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	63.3%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
A goal in each half	36.7%	40.6%	—	—	2.47

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1 goals	44.2%	42.2%	27.8%	1.52×	2.37
2-3 goals	42.4%	42.2%	43.4%	0.97×	2.37
4-6 goals	13.0%	16.9%	26.8%	0.63×	5.90
7+ goals	0.4%	1.8%	2.4%	0.75×	54.53

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile to score exactly 0	38.8%	35.9%	31.5%	1.14×	2.78
Universidad de Chile to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	37.3%	0.96×	2.78
Universidad de Chile to score exactly 2	17.4%	19.5%	20.0%	0.98×	5.12
Universidad de Chile to score 3+	7.1%	8.5%	11.7%	0.73×	11.71

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.5%	31.7%	1.12×	2.81
Deportes Concepcion to score exactly 0	36.7%	35.5%	21.5%	1.66×	2.81
Deportes Concepcion to score exactly 2	18.4%	18.8%	26.3%	0.71×	5.32
Deportes Concepcion to score 3+	8.1%	10.4%	21.0%	0.49×	9.66

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	51.3%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
Deportes Concepcion leading at HT	26.2%	25.5%	—	—	3.93
Universidad de Chile leading at HT	22.5%	20.4%	—	—	4.90

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion -1: 2	61.9%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Deportes Concepcion -1: X	24.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Deportes Concepcion -1: 1	13.6%	14.0%	—	—	7.16

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (0:1)	61.9%	61.4%	51.0%	1.21×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	24.5%	24.2%	26.1%	0.93×	4.13
Deportes Concepcion (0:1)	13.6%	13.7%	23.2%	0.59×	7.29

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (0:2)	86.4%	87.1%	76.8%	1.13×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.7%	7.7%	12.9%	0.59×	13.03
Deportes Concepcion (0:2)	3.9%	3.7%	10.5%	0.36×	26.67

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (0:3)	96.1%	96.6%	89.5%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.0%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.01
Deportes Concepcion (0:3)	0.9%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.10

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (0:4)	99.1%	98.1%	94.6%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	4.1%	0.29×	81.89
Deportes Concepcion (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.5%	0.83×	81.95

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (1:0)	64.8%	65.3%	70.0%	0.93×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	23.3%	21.7%	20.0%	1.08×	4.61
Universidad de Chile (1:0)	11.9%	12.7%	10.2%	1.24×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (2:0)	88.1%	88.5%	89.8%	0.99×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.7%	6.4%	6.3%	1.01×	15.64
Universidad de Chile (2:0)	3.2%	2.3%	4.1%	0.55×	43.72

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.2%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	27.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to concede	61.2%	63.6%	68.5%	0.93×	1.57
Deportes Concepcion clean sheet	38.8%	36.4%	31.5%	1.16×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion clean sheet in 1st half	68.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Deportes Concepcion to concede in 1st half	31.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion clean sheet in 2nd half	56.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Deportes Concepcion to concede in 2nd half	43.4%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion under 6.5 corners	85.3%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Deportes Concepcion under 5.5 corners	75.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Deportes Concepcion over 2.5 corners	71.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Deportes Concepcion under 4.5 corners	62.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Deportes Concepcion over 3.5 corners	53.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Deportes Concepcion under 3.5 corners	46.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Deportes Concepcion over 4.5 corners	37.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Deportes Concepcion under 2.5 corners	28.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Deportes Concepcion over 5.5 corners	24.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Deportes Concepcion over 6.5 corners	14.7%	13.8%	—	—	7.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion under 3.5 goals	98.1%	96.4%	91.0%	1.06×	1.04
Deportes Concepcion under 2.5 goals	91.9%	92.2%	79.0%	1.17×	1.09
Deportes Concepcion under 1.5 goals	73.5%	74.2%	52.9%	1.40×	1.35
Deportes Concepcion over 0.5 goals	63.3%	63.6%	78.5%	0.81×	1.57
Deportes Concepcion under 0.5 goals	36.7%	36.4%	21.5%	1.70×	2.75
Deportes Concepcion over 1.5 goals	26.5%	25.8%	47.1%	0.55×	3.88
Deportes Concepcion over 2.5 goals	8.1%	7.8%	21.0%	0.37×	12.83
Deportes Concepcion over 3.5 goals	1.9%	3.6%	9.0%	0.40×	27.60

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion under 1.5 in 1st half	93.0%	94.8%	—	—	1.06
Deportes Concepcion under 0.5 in 1st half	65.0%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Deportes Concepcion over 0.5 in 1st half	35.0%	35.5%	—	—	2.82
Deportes Concepcion over 1.5 in 1st half	7.0%	5.2%	—	—	19.21

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion scores equally in both	46.3%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Deportes Concepcion scores more in 2nd half	31.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.02
Deportes Concepcion scores more in 1st half	22.1%	21.0%	—	—	4.77

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (home no bet)	56.8%	56.4%	58.6%	0.96×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	43.2%	43.6%	41.4%	1.05×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion even goals	56.7%	55.3%	54.4%	1.02×	1.81
Deportes Concepcion odd goals	43.3%	44.7%	45.6%	0.98×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	44.1%	40.3%	—	—	2.48
HT 1-0	19.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-1	17.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	6.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
HT 2-0	4.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 0-2	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.21
HT 2-1	1.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.32
Any other HT score	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.31
HT 1-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.33
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.40

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion at HT / Deportes Concepcion at FT	20.6%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Universidad de Chile at HT / Universidad de Chile at FT	17.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Deportes Concepcion at FT	16.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Universidad de Chile at FT	16.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Deportes Concepcion at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Universidad de Chile at HT / Draw at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.91
Deportes Concepcion at HT / Universidad de Chile at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.98
Universidad de Chile at HT / Deportes Concepcion at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.99

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to score last	45.2%	46.2%	—	—	2.16
Universidad de Chile to score last	42.8%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	11.9%	9.1%	—	—	10.96

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.1%	91.4%	—	—	1.09
Deportes Concepcion to lead by 1 at any time	49.5%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Universidad de Chile to lead by 1 at any time	46.9%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	32.6%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Deportes Concepcion to lead by 2 at any time	17.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Universidad de Chile to lead by 2 at any time	15.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	8.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.98
Deportes Concepcion to lead by 3 at any time	4.7%	1.6%	—	—	60.73
Universidad de Chile to lead by 3 at any time	4.0%	1.6%	—	—	61.41

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile most corners	52.4%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Deportes Concepcion most corners	36.1%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.6%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	83.2%	83.4%	81.2%	1.03×	1.20
1-3 goals	74.6%	72.3%	66.3%	1.09×	1.38
1-2 goals	57.1%	59.1%	42.4%	1.39×	1.69
2-6 goals	55.4%	59.1%	70.0%	0.84×	1.69
2-5 goals	54.3%	53.2%	64.4%	0.83×	1.88
2-4 goals	50.9%	53.1%	58.3%	0.91×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.4%	43.6%	43.4%	1.00×	2.29
3-6 goals	30.6%	35.2%	50.7%	0.69×	2.84
3-5 goals	29.5%	30.2%	45.1%	0.67×	3.31
3-4 goals	26.2%	30.2%	39.0%	0.77×	3.31
4-6 goals	13.0%	14.8%	26.8%	0.55×	6.75
4-5 goals	11.9%	14.8%	21.2%	0.70×	6.76
5-6 goals	4.4%	2.6%	12.0%	0.21×	39.07
7+ goals	0.4%	2.5%	2.4%	1.04×	39.25

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion never behind	41.2%	48.7%	—	—	2.06
Universidad de Chile never behind	38.5%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	46.5%	50.9%	44.9%	1.13×	1.97
Odd number of goals	53.5%	49.1%	55.1%	0.89×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	59.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	40.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.5%	95.4%	92.0%	1.04×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	95.2%	95.4%	85.9%	1.11×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	88.1%	87.6%	95.1%	0.92×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	86.6%	87.6%	71.0%	1.23×	1.14
Under 2.5 goals	69.0%	66.3%	47.1%	1.41×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	55.8%	58.6%	72.2%	0.81×	1.71
Under 1.5 goals	44.2%	41.4%	27.8%	1.49×	2.42
Over 2.5 goals	31.0%	33.7%	52.9%	0.64×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	13.4%	12.4%	29.0%	0.43×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	11.9%	12.4%	4.9%	2.54×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	4.8%	4.6%	14.1%	0.32×	21.80
Over 5.5 goals	1.5%	4.6%	8.0%	0.57×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.6%	97.2%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.5%	97.2%	91.4%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	94.7%	92.4%	83.4%	1.11×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	83.7%	81.1%	61.9%	1.31×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	58.8%	55.8%	34.4%	1.62×	1.79
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	41.2%	44.2%	65.6%	0.67×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	16.3%	18.9%	38.1%	0.50×	5.29
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	5.3%	7.6%	16.6%	0.46×	13.21
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.5%	2.8%	8.6%	0.33×	35.65
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.4%	2.8%	2.6%	1.08×	35.68

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	95.1%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Under 1.5 in 1st half	80.9%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	55.9%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Under 0.5 in 1st half	44.1%	35.4%	—	—	2.82
Over 1.5 in 1st half	19.1%	14.4%	—	—	6.96
Over 2.5 in 1st half	4.9%	4.0%	—	—	25.03

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	89.2%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	69.2%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	68.8%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	31.2%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	30.8%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	10.8%	14.5%	—	—	6.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile not to score in both halves	86.3%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Deportes Concepcion not to score in both halves	84.7%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Deportes Concepcion to score in both halves	15.3%	15.6%	—	—	6.41
Universidad de Chile to score in both halves	13.7%	14.5%	—	—	6.91

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	36.5%	39.9%	52.0%	0.77×	2.51
Only Deportes Concepcion scores	26.8%	26.1%	26.8%	0.97×	3.84
Only Universidad de Chile scores	24.7%	22.3%	16.8%	1.32×	4.49
Neither team scores	11.9%	11.0%	4.9%	2.26×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	32.3%	25.4%	23.2%	1.10×	3.93
Exactly 2 goals	24.8%	22.6%	19.5%	1.16×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	17.6%	17.5%	24.1%	0.72×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	11.9%	12.1%	4.9%	2.48×	8.26
Exactly 4 goals	8.6%	7.6%	15.1%	0.50×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	3.3%	4.5%	6.3%	0.71×	22.35
6 or more goals	1.5%	4.5%	8.0%	0.56×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	44.1%	40.3%	—	—	2.48
1 goal in 1st half	36.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	14.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
3+ goals in 1st half	4.9%	4.0%	—	—	25.03

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	38.0%	39.9%	—	—	2.50
No goals in 2nd half	31.2%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
2+ goals in 2nd half	30.8%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile not to win both halves	93.7%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Deportes Concepcion not to win both halves	92.6%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Deportes Concepcion to win both halves	7.4%	5.8%	—	—	17.13
Universidad de Chile to win both halves	6.3%	5.8%	—	—	17.21

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile to win neither half	54.7%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Deportes Concepcion to win neither half	51.9%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Deportes Concepcion to win either half	48.1%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Universidad de Chile to win either half	45.3%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile not to win to nil	75.3%	78.1%	83.2%	0.94×	1.28
Deportes Concepcion not to win to nil	73.2%	75.3%	73.2%	1.03×	1.33
Deportes Concepcion to win to nil	26.8%	24.7%	26.8%	0.92×	4.05
Universidad de Chile to win to nil	24.7%	21.9%	16.8%	1.30×	4.57

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.8%	27.9%	21.2%	1.31×	3.59
Deportes Concepcion by 1	24.5%	24.1%	26.1%	0.92×	4.15
Universidad de Chile by 1	23.3%	24.1%	20.0%	1.21×	4.15
Deportes Concepcion by 2	9.7%	7.2%	12.9%	0.56×	13.90
Universidad de Chile by 2	8.7%	7.2%	6.3%	1.13×	13.90
Deportes Concepcion by 3+	3.9%	2.7%	10.5%	0.26×	36.85
Universidad de Chile by 3+	3.2%	2.7%	4.1%	0.65×	36.87