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Deportes Limache v Audax Italiano — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Deportes Limache win
57.9%
model 58.1%
Draw
19.1%
model 18.6%
Audax Italiano win
23.0%
model 23.3%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-0 11.1%
  2. 2-1 9.9%
  3. 2-0 9.0%
  4. 1-1 8.6%
  5. 0-1 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.558.1% Under 2.541.9%
BTTS yes55.3% BTTS no44.7%
Deportes Limache 1+85.3% Deportes Limache 2+57.1%
Audax Italiano 1+66.8% Audax Italiano 2+30.2%

Expected goals 1.92 – 1.10. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
84/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
2-6 goals
Multi goal · usually 70%
78.8% fair odds 1.27
moderate signal · 2624 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Deportes Limache not to win both halves
Win both halves
83.1% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 590 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Deportes Limache carry the stronger rating, 1504 Elo against 1473.
  • Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportes Limache have an estimated 57.9% win probability, against 23.0% for Audax Italiano and 19.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.92 for Deportes Limache and 1.10 for Audax Italiano.

Why Deportes Limache

Deportes Limache carry the stronger rating, 1504 Elo against 1473. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.1%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Audax Italiano can win

Nothing in the data singles out Audax Italiano.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Deportes Limache, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Audax Italiano, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Deportes Limache: 49% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Audax Italiano: 47% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 10.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Deportes Limache are the model's most likely outcome at 57.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 11.1%. Confidence 84/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.92–1.10 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 2.11–1.14 2-1 10% 63% 58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache to win 61.1% 58.2% 49.0% 1.19× 1.72
Audax Italiano to win 21.5% 24.5% 30.0% 0.82× 4.09
Draw 17.4% 19.4% 21.2% 0.91× 5.16
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache & both teams score 31.5% 29.6% 22.4% 1.32× 3.38
Deportes Limache & not both score 29.6% 25.2% 26.8% 0.94× 3.97
Draw & both teams score 15.1% 18.0% 16.6% 1.08× 5.57
Audax Italiano & both teams score 11.6% 13.3% 13.4% 0.99× 7.54
Audax Italiano & not both score 9.8% 8.3% 16.8% 0.50× 11.99
Draw & not both score 2.3% 4.9% 4.9% 1.00× 20.55
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache & over 1.5 51.4% 48.8% 36.1% 1.35× 2.05
Deportes Limache & over 2.5 42.8% 40.3% 29.3% 1.38× 2.48
Deportes Limache & under 3.5 34.2% 30.8% 34.1% 0.90× 3.25
Deportes Limache & over 3.5 26.9% 26.1% 15.1% 1.72× 3.84
Deportes Limache & under 2.5 18.3% 18.0% 20.0% 0.90× 5.56
Audax Italiano & over 1.5 15.5% 18.0% 20.0% 0.90× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 15.1% 18.0% 16.6% 1.09× 5.56
Audax Italiano & under 3.5 14.8% 12.8% 23.4% 0.55× 7.79
Audax Italiano & over 2.5 13.0% 12.8% 16.6% 0.77× 7.79
Draw & under 2.5 10.0% 12.8% 13.9% 0.92× 7.79
Draw & under 3.5 10.0% 12.8% 13.9% 0.92× 7.79
Deportes Limache & under 1.5 9.7% 7.9% 13.2% 0.60× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 7.4% 7.9% 7.6% 1.05× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 7.4% 7.9% 7.6% 1.05× 12.63
Audax Italiano & under 2.5 8.5% 7.9% 13.7% 0.58× 12.63
Audax Italiano & under 1.5 6.0% 7.9% 10.2% 0.77× 12.63
Audax Italiano & over 3.5 6.7% 7.9% 6.8% 1.16× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 2.3% 4.8% 4.9% 0.98× 20.83
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache (1UP) 74.2% 75.4% — — 1.33
Audax Italiano (1UP) 40.6% 38.5% — — 2.60
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache (2UP) 61.1% 68.1% — — 1.47
Audax Italiano (2UP) 21.5% 23.7% — — 4.22
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache to win 2nd half 49.0% 45.3% — — 2.21
2nd half drawn 29.4% 26.1% — — 3.83
Audax Italiano to win 2nd half 21.6% 24.3% — — 4.12
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano under 1.5 in 2nd half 84.9% 84.3% — — 1.19
Audax Italiano under 0.5 in 2nd half 50.4% 52.3% — — 1.91
Audax Italiano over 0.5 in 2nd half 49.6% 47.7% — — 2.10
Audax Italiano over 1.5 in 2nd half 15.1% 15.7% — — 6.35
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache over 0.5 in 2nd half 70.0% 70.9% — — 1.41
Deportes Limache under 1.5 in 2nd half 66.2% 70.7% — — 1.42
Deportes Limache over 1.5 in 2nd half 33.8% 29.3% — — 3.41
Deportes Limache under 0.5 in 2nd half 30.0% 29.1% — — 3.44
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano (+2.5) 81.3% 82.6% 89.5% 0.92× 1.21
Deportes Limache (+0.5) 78.5% 78.5% 70.0% 1.12× 1.27
Audax Italiano (+1.5) 63.3% 63.0% 76.8% 0.82× 1.59
Deportes Limache (-0.5) 61.1% 62.9% 49.0% 1.28× 1.59
Audax Italiano (+0.5) 38.9% 37.1% 51.0% 0.73× 2.70
Deportes Limache (-1.5) 36.7% 37.0% 23.2% 1.60× 2.70
Audax Italiano (-0.5) 21.5% 21.5% 30.0% 0.72× 4.65
Deportes Limache (-2.5) 18.7% 17.4% 10.5% 1.66× 5.74
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano to concede 87.9% 86.3% 78.5% 1.10× 1.16
Audax Italiano clean sheet 12.1% 13.7% 21.5% 0.64× 7.29
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano to concede in 1st half 59.7% 56.6% — — 1.77
Audax Italiano clean sheet in 1st half 40.3% 43.4% — — 2.30
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano to concede in 2nd half 70.0% 66.0% — — 1.52
Audax Italiano clean sheet in 2nd half 30.0% 34.0% — — 2.94
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano under 6.5 corners 84.2% 81.4% — — 1.23
Audax Italiano under 5.5 corners 74.5% 71.6% — — 1.40
Audax Italiano over 2.5 corners 72.5% 71.6% — — 1.40
Audax Italiano under 4.5 corners 61.1% 61.7% — — 1.62
Audax Italiano over 3.5 corners 55.2% 57.2% — — 1.75
Audax Italiano under 3.5 corners 44.8% 42.8% — — 2.34
Audax Italiano over 4.5 corners 38.9% 38.3% — — 2.61
Audax Italiano under 2.5 corners 27.5% 28.4% — — 3.52
Audax Italiano over 5.5 corners 25.5% 28.4% — — 3.53
Audax Italiano over 6.5 corners 15.8% 18.6% — — 5.38
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano under 3.5 goals 97.1% 97.5% 97.1% 1.00× 1.03
Audax Italiano under 2.5 goals 89.2% 87.8% 88.3% 0.99× 1.14
Audax Italiano under 1.5 goals 68.3% 68.0% 68.5% 0.99× 1.47
Audax Italiano over 0.5 goals 68.1% 68.0% 68.5% 0.99× 1.47
Audax Italiano under 0.5 goals 31.9% 32.0% 31.5% 1.02× 3.13
Audax Italiano over 1.5 goals 31.7% 32.0% 31.5% 1.02× 3.13
Audax Italiano over 2.5 goals 10.8% 12.2% 11.7% 1.04× 8.21
Audax Italiano over 3.5 goals 2.9% 2.5% 2.9% 0.86× 39.82
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano under 1.5 in 1st half 92.2% 93.9% — — 1.07
Audax Italiano under 0.5 in 1st half 63.3% 63.3% — — 1.58
Audax Italiano over 0.5 in 1st half 36.7% 36.7% — — 2.72
Audax Italiano over 1.5 in 1st half 7.8% 6.1% — — 16.46
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano scores equally in both 42.7% 43.7% — — 2.29
Audax Italiano scores more in 2nd half 36.0% 37.3% — — 2.68
Audax Italiano scores more in 1st half 21.3% 21.8% — — 4.60
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache (away no bet) 77.8% 73.5% 69.8% 1.05× 1.36
Draw (away no bet) 22.2% 26.5% 30.2% 0.88× 3.77
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano even goals 55.1% 56.9% 53.7% 1.06× 1.76
Audax Italiano odd goals 44.9% 43.1% 46.3% 0.93× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 77.7% 80.9% — — 1.24
Both halves over 1.5 goals 22.3% 19.1% — — 5.23
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 72.8% 67.7% — — 1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals 27.2% 32.3% — — 3.10
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 66.5% 62.4% — — 1.60
Deportes Limache to score 2+ in a row 53.5% 51.0% — — 1.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row 29.5% 25.0% — — 4.00
Deportes Limache to score 3+ in a row 24.9% 19.6% — — 5.11
Audax Italiano to score 2+ in a row 21.4% 19.5% — — 5.13
Audax Italiano to score 3+ in a row 5.0% 5.4% — — 18.38
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache corners (+3.5) 89.3% 84.5% — — 1.18
Deportes Limache corners (+2.5) 83.3% 79.8% — — 1.25
Audax Italiano corners (+3.5) 76.8% 74.8% — — 1.34
Deportes Limache corners (+1.5) 75.2% 74.8% — — 1.34
Audax Italiano corners (+2.5) 67.7% 65.9% — — 1.52
Audax Italiano corners (+1.5) 57.1% 57.2% — — 1.75
Deportes Limache corners (-1.5) 42.9% 42.8% — — 2.33
Deportes Limache corners (-2.5) 32.3% 34.1% — — 2.93
Audax Italiano corners (-1.5) 24.8% 25.2% — — 3.97
Deportes Limache corners (-3.5) 23.2% 25.2% — — 3.97
Audax Italiano corners (-2.5) 16.7% 20.2% — — 4.95
Audax Italiano corners (-3.5) 10.7% 15.5% — — 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 46.2% 41.7% — — 2.40
9-11 corners 29.1% 31.2% — — 3.20
12+ corners 24.6% 25.7% — — 3.89
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 82.2% 80.7% — — 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 75.4% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 66.9% 67.8% — — 1.48
Over 7.5 corners 64.9% 63.3% — — 1.58
Under 9.5 corners 57.0% 57.9% — — 1.73
Over 8.5 corners 53.8% 53.2% — — 1.88
Under 8.5 corners 46.2% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 9.5 corners 43.0% 42.1% — — 2.37
Under 7.5 corners 35.1% 36.7% — — 2.72
Over 10.5 corners 33.1% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 11.5 corners 24.6% 23.4% — — 4.27
Over 12.5 corners 17.8% 19.3% — — 5.17
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 9.7% 7.4% 13.2% 0.56× 13.51
2-0 8.6% 7.4% 7.1% 1.05× 13.51
2-1 9.8% 7.4% 10.7% 0.69× 13.51
1-1 7.8% 7.4% 9.3% 0.80× 13.51
3-1 6.9% 7.4% 4.6% 1.60× 13.51
Any other score 6.9% 7.4% 3.4% 2.17× 13.51
0-1 6.0% 7.4% 10.2% 0.72× 13.51
1-2 5.3% 7.4% 7.3% 1.01× 13.51
2-2 5.6% 7.4% 6.1% 1.21× 13.51
3-0 6.1% 7.4% 3.9% 1.90× 13.51
0-0 2.3% 1.7% 4.9% 0.35× 58.31
0-2 2.5% 1.7% 3.7% 0.47× 58.30
0-3 1.0% 1.7% 2.9% 0.59× 58.31
0-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.32
1-3 2.0% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.31
1-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.32
2-3 2.1% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.31
2-4 0.6% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.32
3-2 4.0% 1.7% 2.0% 0.88× 58.30
3-3 1.5% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.31
3-4 0.4% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.32
4-0 3.2% 1.7% 2.4% 0.70× 58.30
4-1 3.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.30
4-2 2.1% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.31
4-3 0.8% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.31
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.2% 7.03× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache (2nd half DNB) 69.4% 67.2% — — 1.49
Audax Italiano (2nd half DNB) 30.6% 32.8% — — 3.05
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache leading at HT (DNB) 71.4% 74.3% — — 1.35
Audax Italiano leading at HT (DNB) 28.6% 25.7% — — 3.89
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache or Audax Italiano (12) 82.6% 80.6% 78.8% 1.02× 1.24
Deportes Limache or draw (1X) 78.5% 75.5% 70.0% 1.08× 1.32
Audax Italiano or draw (X2) 38.9% 41.8% 51.0% 0.82× 2.39
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache or draw at HT 81.9% 84.0% — — 1.19
Deportes Limache or Audax Italiano at HT 63.2% 60.9% — — 1.64
Audax Italiano or draw at HT 54.9% 48.7% — — 2.05
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache or draw (1UP) 78.5% 83.7% — — 1.20
Audax Italiano or draw (1UP) 40.6% 52.6% — — 1.90
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache or draw in 2nd half 78.4% 75.7% — — 1.32
Deportes Limache or Audax Italiano in 2nd half 70.6% 73.9% — — 1.35
Audax Italiano or draw in 2nd half 51.0% 54.7% — — 1.83
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 57.1% 58.8% — — 1.70
Neither half drawn 42.9% 41.2% — — 2.43
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache (DNB) 74.0% 71.5% 62.0% 1.15× 1.40
Audax Italiano (DNB) 26.0% 28.5% 38.0% 0.75× 3.50
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache to score first 63.4% 64.0% — — 1.56
Audax Italiano to score first 34.3% 27.9% — — 3.58
No goal scored 2.3% 4.3% — — 23.08
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 58.3% 55.0% 52.0% 1.06× 1.82
Not both teams to score 41.7% 45.0% 48.0% 0.94× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 50.5% 47.2% 42.9% 1.10× 2.12
Not both score & under 2.5 29.1% 33.3% 38.0% 0.88× 3.00
Not both score & over 2.5 12.6% 12.4% 10.2% 1.21× 8.09
Both score & under 2.5 7.8% 8.3% 9.3% 0.89× 12.07
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 80.3% 82.6% 84.6% 0.98× 1.21
Both teams to score 2+ 19.7% 17.4% 15.4% 1.13× 5.75
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 65.8% 67.2% — — 1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half 34.2% 32.8% — — 3.05
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 51.8% 54.7% — — 1.83
Both score 2nd half only 26.6% 26.7% — — 3.74
Both score 1st half only 14.0% 10.8% — — 9.29
Both score in both halves 7.6% 6.8% — — 14.73
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 78.4% 81.0% — — 1.24
Both teams to score by HT 21.6% 19.0% — — 5.26
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 62.4% 59.4% — — 1.68
A half without a goal 37.6% 40.6% — — 2.46
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 41.1% 42.2% 43.4% 0.97× 2.37
4-6 goals 36.2% 35.0% 26.8% 1.31× 2.86
0-1 goals 18.0% 20.2% 27.8% 0.73× 4.94
7+ goals 4.8% 1.8% 2.4% 0.76× 54.08
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano to score exactly 1 36.4% 35.9% 37.3% 0.96× 2.78
Audax Italiano to score exactly 0 31.9% 33.8% 31.5% 1.07× 2.96
Audax Italiano to score exactly 2 20.8% 22.3% 20.0% 1.11× 4.49
Audax Italiano to score 3+ 10.8% 12.9% 11.7% 1.10× 7.77
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache to score 3+ 35.3% 35.5% 21.0% 1.69× 2.81
Deportes Limache to score exactly 2 27.0% 26.6% 26.3% 1.01× 3.77
Deportes Limache to score exactly 1 25.6% 26.6% 31.7% 0.84× 3.77
Deportes Limache to score exactly 0 12.1% 14.3% 21.5% 0.67× 7.00
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache leading at HT 45.1% 51.3% — — 1.95
Draw at HT 36.8% 39.1% — — 2.56
Audax Italiano leading at HT 18.1% 16.0% — — 6.26
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache -1: 2 38.9% 37.4% — — 2.67
Deportes Limache -1: 1 36.7% 37.4% — — 2.68
Deportes Limache -1: X 24.4% 23.5% — — 4.25
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano (0:1) 38.9% 37.4% 51.0% 0.73× 2.68
Deportes Limache (0:1) 36.7% 37.3% 23.2% 1.61× 2.68
Draw (0:1) 24.4% 24.2% 26.1% 0.93× 4.13
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano (0:2) 63.3% 67.1% 76.8% 0.87× 1.49
Deportes Limache (0:2) 18.7% 15.3% 10.5% 1.46× 6.55
Draw (0:2) 18.0% 15.3% 12.9% 1.18× 6.55
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano (0:3) 81.3% 85.3% 89.5% 0.95× 1.17
Draw (0:3) 10.7% 9.9% 5.4% 1.84× 10.15
Deportes Limache (0:3) 8.0% 5.8% 5.4% 1.08× 17.23
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano (0:4) 92.0% 94.5% 94.6% 1.00× 1.06
Draw (0:4) 5.1% 4.6% 4.1% 1.11× 21.73
Deportes Limache (0:4) 2.9% 1.2% 1.5% 0.84× 81.65
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache (1:0) 78.5% 78.6% 70.0% 1.12× 1.27
Draw (1:0) 13.9% 12.7% 20.0% 0.64× 7.86
Audax Italiano (1:0) 7.5% 6.9% 10.2% 0.67× 14.50
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache (2:0) 92.5% 94.0% 89.8% 1.05× 1.06
Draw (2:0) 5.3% 6.4% 6.3% 1.01× 15.68
Audax Italiano (2:0) 2.3% 2.3% 4.1% 0.55× 43.79
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 51.1% 50.2% — — 1.99
1st half highest scoring 28.8% 26.3% — — 3.81
Halves equal 20.1% 24.4% — — 4.09
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache to concede 68.1% 66.7% 68.5% 0.97× 1.50
Deportes Limache clean sheet 31.9% 33.3% 31.5% 1.06× 3.00
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache clean sheet in 1st half 63.3% 63.2% — — 1.58
Deportes Limache to concede in 1st half 36.7% 36.8% — — 2.72
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache clean sheet in 2nd half 50.4% 52.4% — — 1.91
Deportes Limache to concede in 2nd half 49.6% 47.6% — — 2.10
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache over 2.5 corners 82.1% 81.0% — — 1.24
Deportes Limache under 6.5 corners 73.0% 71.9% — — 1.39
Deportes Limache over 3.5 corners 68.2% 66.7% — — 1.50
Deportes Limache under 5.5 corners 61.1% 62.3% — — 1.61
Deportes Limache over 4.5 corners 53.1% 52.6% — — 1.90
Deportes Limache under 4.5 corners 46.9% 47.4% — — 2.11
Deportes Limache over 5.5 corners 38.9% 37.7% — — 2.65
Deportes Limache under 3.5 corners 31.8% 33.3% — — 3.01
Deportes Limache over 6.5 corners 27.0% 28.1% — — 3.56
Deportes Limache under 2.5 corners 17.9% 19.0% — — 5.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache over 0.5 goals 87.9% 87.3% 78.5% 1.11× 1.15
Deportes Limache under 3.5 goals 83.7% 82.2% 91.0% 0.90× 1.22
Deportes Limache under 2.5 goals 64.7% 63.6% 79.0% 0.81× 1.57
Deportes Limache over 1.5 goals 62.3% 63.6% 47.1% 1.35× 1.57
Deportes Limache under 1.5 goals 37.7% 36.4% 52.9% 0.69× 2.75
Deportes Limache over 2.5 goals 35.3% 36.4% 21.0% 1.73× 2.75
Deportes Limache over 3.5 goals 16.3% 17.8% 9.0% 1.97× 5.62
Deportes Limache under 0.5 goals 12.1% 12.7% 21.5% 0.59× 7.86
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache under 1.5 in 1st half 77.0% 76.4% — — 1.31
Deportes Limache over 0.5 in 1st half 59.7% 56.4% — — 1.77
Deportes Limache under 0.5 in 1st half 40.3% 43.6% — — 2.29
Deportes Limache over 1.5 in 1st half 23.0% 23.6% — — 4.25
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache scores more in 2nd half 42.8% 41.7% — — 2.40
Deportes Limache scores equally in both 29.4% 27.9% — — 3.58
Deportes Limache scores more in 1st half 27.8% 27.9% — — 3.59
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano (home no bet) 55.2% 56.3% 58.6% 0.96× 1.78
Draw (home no bet) 44.8% 43.7% 41.4% 1.05× 2.29
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache even goals 50.7% 50.7% 54.4% 0.93× 1.97
Deportes Limache odd goals 49.3% 49.3% 45.6% 1.08× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 25.3% 28.4% — — 3.53
HT 1-0 23.5% 24.4% — — 4.10
HT 0-1 11.9% 11.0% — — 9.11
HT 2-0 10.5% 11.0% — — 9.12
HT 1-1 10.3% 11.0% — — 9.12
Any other HT score 7.5% 6.9% — — 14.54
HT 2-1 4.8% 2.4% — — 42.11
HT 0-2 2.7% 2.4% — — 42.25
HT 1-2 2.4% 2.4% — — 42.26
HT 2-2 1.1% 2.4% — — 42.35
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache at HT / Deportes Limache at FT 38.8% 41.5% — — 2.41
Draw at HT / Deportes Limache at FT 19.0% 16.8% — — 5.96
Audax Italiano at HT / Audax Italiano at FT 10.9% 12.7% — — 7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 9.0% 6.1% — — 16.44
Draw at HT / Audax Italiano at FT 8.8% 6.1% — — 16.44
Deportes Limache at HT / Draw at FT 4.5% 3.5% — — 28.87
Audax Italiano at HT / Draw at FT 3.9% 3.5% — — 28.89
Audax Italiano at HT / Deportes Limache at FT 3.3% 3.5% — — 28.92
Deportes Limache at HT / Audax Italiano at FT 1.8% 3.5% — — 28.97
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache to score last 63.1% 62.1% — — 1.61
Audax Italiano to score last 34.6% 32.6% — — 3.07
No goal scored 2.3% 4.3% — — 23.08
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 97.7% 95.6% — — 1.05
Deportes Limache to lead by 1 at any time 74.2% 74.2% — — 1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 57.0% 54.9% — — 1.82
Deportes Limache to lead by 2 at any time 44.4% 39.3% — — 2.55
Audax Italiano to lead by 1 at any time 40.6% 39.1% — — 2.56
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 25.7% 25.2% — — 3.97
Deportes Limache to lead by 3 at any time 22.2% 19.5% — — 5.12
Audax Italiano to lead by 2 at any time 13.0% 10.6% — — 9.43
Audax Italiano to lead by 3 at any time 3.5% 1.6% — — 61.85
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache most corners 54.3% 51.7% — — 1.94
Audax Italiano most corners 34.7% 34.4% — — 2.90
Corners level 11.1% 10.4% — — 9.59
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.6% 87.4% 87.3% 1.00× 1.14
2-6 goals 77.2% 78.7% 70.0% 1.12× 1.27
1-4 goals 74.8% 72.3% 81.2% 0.89× 1.38
2-5 goals 70.9% 72.3% 64.4% 1.12× 1.38
2-4 goals 59.1% 59.1% 58.3% 1.01× 1.69
3-6 goals 58.3% 59.1% 50.7% 1.16× 1.69
1-3 goals 56.8% 59.1% 66.3% 0.89× 1.69
3-5 goals 52.0% 53.2% 45.1% 1.18× 1.88
2-3 goals 41.1% 43.6% 43.4% 1.00× 2.29
3-4 goals 40.2% 43.6% 39.0% 1.12× 2.29
4-6 goals 36.2% 39.2% 26.8% 1.46× 2.55
1-2 goals 34.6% 35.2% 42.4% 0.83× 2.84
4-5 goals 29.8% 30.2% 21.2% 1.42× 3.31
5-6 goals 18.1% 18.8% 12.0% 1.58× 5.31
7+ goals 4.8% 2.6% 2.4% 1.05× 39.05
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache never behind 57.1% 62.4% — — 1.60
Audax Italiano never behind 23.5% 25.2% — — 3.97
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 46.9% 50.9% 44.9% 1.13× 1.97
Odd number of goals 53.1% 49.1% 55.1% 0.89× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 52.7% 51.8% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 47.3% 48.2% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 50.1% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 49.9% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 97.7% 95.4% 95.1% 1.00× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 88.9% 87.6% 92.0% 0.95× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 82.0% 82.3% 72.2% 1.14× 1.22
Under 4.5 goals 77.1% 77.3% 85.9% 0.90× 1.29
Over 2.5 goals 63.1% 61.7% 52.9% 1.17× 1.62
Under 3.5 goals 59.1% 58.6% 71.0% 0.83× 1.71
Over 3.5 goals 40.9% 41.4% 29.0% 1.42× 2.42
Under 2.5 goals 36.9% 38.3% 47.1% 0.81× 2.61
Over 4.5 goals 22.9% 22.7% 14.1% 1.61× 4.40
Under 1.5 goals 18.0% 17.7% 27.8% 0.64× 5.65
Over 5.5 goals 11.1% 12.4% 8.0% 1.54× 8.07
Under 0.5 goals 2.3% 4.6% 4.9% 0.94× 21.84
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 94.9% 92.4% 97.4% 0.95× 1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 87.4% 86.7% 91.4% 0.95× 1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 77.8% 75.9% 65.6% 1.16× 1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 72.1% 72.4% 83.4% 0.87× 1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 52.6% 51.9% 38.1% 1.36× 1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 47.4% 48.1% 61.9% 0.78× 2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 27.9% 27.6% 16.6% 1.66× 3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 22.2% 24.1% 34.4% 0.70× 4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 12.6% 13.3% 8.6% 1.55× 7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 5.1% 7.6% 2.6% 2.93× 13.21
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 84.2% 85.8% — — 1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half 74.7% 71.4% — — 1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half 60.7% 63.1% — — 1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half 39.3% 36.9% — — 2.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half 25.3% 28.6% — — 3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half 15.8% 14.2% — — 7.03
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 85.4% 85.3% — — 1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 70.7% 77.6% — — 1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 55.8% 55.2% — — 1.81
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 44.2% 44.8% — — 2.23
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 29.3% 22.4% — — 4.47
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 14.6% 14.7% — — 6.80
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano not to score in both halves 81.8% 84.3% — — 1.19
Deportes Limache not to score in both halves 58.3% 58.1% — — 1.72
Deportes Limache to score in both halves 41.7% 41.9% — — 2.39
Audax Italiano to score in both halves 18.2% 15.7% — — 6.36
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 58.3% 58.6% 52.0% 1.13× 1.71
Only Deportes Limache scores 29.6% 26.1% 26.8% 0.97× 3.83
Only Audax Italiano scores 9.8% 7.2% 16.8% 0.43× 13.98
Neither team scores 2.3% 4.6% 4.9% 0.95× 21.63
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.2% 22.6% 24.1% 0.94× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 18.9% 17.5% 19.5% 0.89× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 18.0% 17.5% 15.1% 1.15× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 15.7% 17.5% 23.2% 0.75× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 11.7% 12.1% 6.3% 1.91× 8.26
6 or more goals 11.1% 12.1% 8.0% 1.50× 8.26
Exactly 0 goals 2.3% 4.5% 4.9% 0.92× 22.36
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 35.4% 37.2% — — 2.69
No goals in 1st half 25.3% 28.5% — — 3.50
2 goals in 1st half 23.5% 21.5% — — 4.65
3+ goals in 1st half 15.8% 15.6% — — 6.40
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 55.8% 54.1% — — 1.85
1 goal in 2nd half 29.6% 29.2% — — 3.43
No goals in 2nd half 14.6% 14.6% — — 6.87
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano not to win both halves 96.2% 97.2% — — 1.03
Deportes Limache not to win both halves 78.3% 75.7% — — 1.32
Deportes Limache to win both halves 21.7% 24.3% — — 4.11
Audax Italiano to win both halves 3.8% 2.8% — — 35.68
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache to win either half 72.4% 73.0% — — 1.37
Audax Italiano to win neither half 64.0% 65.0% — — 1.54
Audax Italiano to win either half 36.0% 35.0% — — 2.86
Deportes Limache to win neither half 27.6% 27.0% — — 3.71
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano not to win to nil 90.2% 92.1% 83.2% 1.11× 1.09
Deportes Limache not to win to nil 70.4% 75.3% 73.2% 1.03× 1.33
Deportes Limache to win to nil 29.6% 24.7% 26.8% 0.92× 4.04
Audax Italiano to win to nil 9.8% 7.9% 16.8% 0.47× 12.60
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache by 1 24.4% 24.1% 26.1% 0.92× 4.15
Deportes Limache by 3+ 18.7% 17.1% 10.5% 1.63× 5.86
Deportes Limache by 2 18.0% 17.1% 12.9% 1.32× 5.87
Draw 17.4% 17.0% 21.2% 0.80× 5.87
Audax Italiano by 1 13.9% 11.8% 20.0% 0.59× 8.50
Audax Italiano by 2 5.3% 7.2% 6.3% 1.13× 13.92
Audax Italiano by 3+ 2.3% 2.7% 4.1% 0.65× 36.90
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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