Deportes Limache v Cobresal — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 7 September 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 18:39 UTC

Deportes Limache

3–0

23:00 UTC

Cobresal

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Final pre-match price, taken 7 Sep, 07:51 · 15h before kick-off

Deportes Limache win

55.6%

model 55.7%

Draw

18.3%

model 18.0%

Cobresal win

26.2%

model 26.4%

561826

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (282 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.4%
1-0 8.0%
1-1 7.4%
2-0 6.8%
3-1 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	67.5%	Under 2.5	32.5%
BTTS yes	64.1%	BTTS no	35.9%
Deportes Limache 1+	87.8%	Deportes Limache 2+	62.1%
Cobresal 1+	74.7%	Cobresal 2+	40.0%

Expected goals 2.10 – 1.38. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

84/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 51%

62.7% fair odds 1.60

strong signal · 3105 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.6% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 388 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Deportes Limache carry the stronger rating, 1500 Elo against 1443.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportes Limache have an estimated 55.6% win probability, against 26.2% for Cobresal and 18.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.10 for Deportes Limache and 1.38 for Cobresal.

Why Deportes Limache

Deportes Limache carry the stronger rating, 1500 Elo against 1443. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 18.3%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Cobresal can win

They have had 10 days' rest to Deportes Limache's 5.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Deportes Limache, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Cobresal, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Deportes Limache: 42% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 17.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cobresal: 46% possession, 17.4 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Deportes Limache are the model's most likely outcome at 55.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.4%. Confidence 84/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	561826	2.10–1.38	0%	0%	0%	Home ✓
ai-blend-oos	551827	2.05–1.37	0%	0%	0%	Home ✓
dc-xg	591724	2.32–1.42	2-1 9%	72%	67%	Home ✓
dc-xg-oos	611722	2.48–1.45	2-1 9%	75%	69%	Home ✓
deep	651619	2.48–1.28	2-1 9%	72%	65%	Home ✓

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to win	64.9%	58.3%	49.0%	1.19×	1.72
Cobresal to win	19.5%	19.4%	30.0%	0.65×	5.15
Draw	15.7%	19.4%	21.2%	0.91×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache & both teams score	38.1%	33.3%	22.4%	1.49×	3.00
Deportes Limache & not both score	26.8%	25.2%	26.8%	0.94×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	14.6%	13.3%	16.6%	0.80×	7.53
Cobresal & both teams score	12.1%	13.3%	13.4%	0.99×	7.53
Cobresal & not both score	7.3%	8.3%	16.8%	0.49×	12.01
Draw & not both score	1.1%	4.8%	4.9%	0.99×	20.64

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache & over 1.5	57.8%	54.9%	36.1%	1.52×	1.82
Deportes Limache & over 2.5	50.6%	48.8%	29.3%	1.67×	2.05
Deportes Limache & over 3.5	35.5%	34.9%	15.1%	2.31×	2.87
Deportes Limache & under 3.5	29.4%	26.1%	34.1%	0.76×	3.84
Cobresal & over 1.5	15.2%	18.0%	20.0%	0.90×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	14.6%	12.8%	16.6%	0.77×	7.79
Deportes Limache & under 2.5	14.3%	12.8%	20.0%	0.64×	7.79
Cobresal & over 2.5	13.3%	12.8%	16.6%	0.77×	7.79
Cobresal & under 3.5	11.7%	12.8%	23.4%	0.55×	7.79
Cobresal & over 3.5	7.8%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.62
Draw & over 2.5	8.4%	7.9%	7.6%	1.05×	12.62
Draw & under 2.5	7.3%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.62
Draw & over 3.5	8.4%	7.9%	7.6%	1.05×	12.62
Draw & under 3.5	7.3%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.62
Cobresal & under 2.5	6.2%	7.9%	13.7%	0.58×	12.62
Deportes Limache & under 1.5	7.1%	7.9%	13.2%	0.60×	12.62
Cobresal & under 1.5	4.2%	4.8%	10.2%	0.47×	20.80
Draw & under 1.5	1.1%	4.8%	4.9%	0.98×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache (1UP)	78.3%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Cobresal (1UP)	40.7%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache (2UP)	64.9%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Cobresal (2UP)	19.5%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to win 2nd half	52.7%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
2nd half drawn	26.5%	25.9%	—	—	3.87
Cobresal to win 2nd half	20.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.1%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Cobresal over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Cobresal under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Cobresal over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.34

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.6%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Deportes Limache under 1.5 in 2nd half	58.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Deportes Limache over 1.5 in 2nd half	41.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Deportes Limache under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.4%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache (+0.5)	80.5%	82.5%	70.0%	1.18×	1.21
Cobresal (+2.5)	76.2%	78.5%	89.5%	0.88×	1.27
Deportes Limache (-0.5)	64.9%	63.0%	49.0%	1.28×	1.59
Cobresal (+1.5)	57.7%	57.0%	76.8%	0.74×	1.75
Deportes Limache (-1.5)	42.3%	43.0%	23.2%	1.85×	2.33
Cobresal (+0.5)	35.1%	37.0%	51.0%	0.73×	2.70
Deportes Limache (-2.5)	23.8%	21.5%	10.5%	2.05×	4.65
Cobresal (-0.5)	19.5%	17.5%	30.0%	0.58×	5.72

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal to concede	91.6%	91.8%	78.5%	1.17×	1.09
Cobresal clean sheet	8.4%	8.2%	21.5%	0.38×	12.21

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal to concede in 1st half	65.5%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Cobresal clean sheet in 1st half	34.5%	29.5%	—	—	3.39

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal to concede in 2nd half	75.6%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Cobresal clean sheet in 2nd half	24.4%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal under 3.5 goals	95.9%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Cobresal under 2.5 goals	86.3%	87.8%	88.3%	0.99×	1.14
Cobresal over 0.5 goals	72.1%	71.9%	68.5%	1.05×	1.39
Cobresal under 1.5 goals	63.6%	63.2%	68.5%	0.92×	1.58
Cobresal over 1.5 goals	36.4%	36.8%	31.5%	1.17×	2.72
Cobresal under 0.5 goals	27.9%	28.1%	31.5%	0.89×	3.55
Cobresal over 2.5 goals	13.7%	12.2%	11.7%	1.04×	8.20
Cobresal over 3.5 goals	4.1%	2.5%	2.9%	0.86×	39.94

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal under 1.5 in 1st half	90.7%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Cobresal under 0.5 in 1st half	60.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Cobresal over 0.5 in 1st half	40.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.71
Cobresal over 1.5 in 1st half	9.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.60

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal scores equally in both	39.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Cobresal scores more in 2nd half	37.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Cobresal scores more in 1st half	22.1%	21.9%	—	—	4.56

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache (away no bet)	80.6%	82.5%	69.8%	1.18×	1.21
Draw (away no bet)	19.4%	17.5%	30.2%	0.58×	5.71

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal even goals	53.9%	52.6%	53.7%	0.98×	1.90
Cobresal odd goals	46.1%	47.4%	46.3%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	70.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Both halves over 1.5 goals	29.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	80.1%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Both halves under 1.5 goals	19.9%	21.9%	—	—	4.57

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	73.8%	72.2%	—	—	1.39
Deportes Limache to score 2+ in a row	61.3%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Either team to score 3+ in a row	36.7%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Deportes Limache to score 3+ in a row	31.6%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Cobresal to score 2+ in a row	23.8%	19.7%	—	—	5.07
Cobresal to score 3+ in a row	5.8%	5.6%	—	—	17.97

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	11.4%	11.5%	3.4%	3.36×	8.72
2-1	9.2%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.50
1-0	7.1%	7.4%	13.2%	0.56×	13.51
2-0	7.2%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
3-1	7.6%	7.4%	4.6%	1.60×	13.51
1-1	6.2%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.51
2-2	5.9%	7.4%	6.1%	1.21×	13.51
3-0	5.9%	7.4%	3.9%	1.90×	13.51
1-2	4.7%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.29
3-2	4.8%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.29
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-0	3.7%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.30
4-1	4.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.29
4-2	3.0%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.30
4-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.31
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	7.03×	58.32
0-0	1.1%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.31
0-1	4.2%	1.7%	10.2%	0.17×	58.30
0-2	1.9%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.31
0-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
1-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
2-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.31
3-3	2.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache (2nd half DNB)	71.8%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Cobresal (2nd half DNB)	28.2%	29.5%	—	—	3.39

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache leading at HT (DNB)	73.5%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Cobresal leading at HT (DNB)	26.5%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache or Cobresal (12)	84.3%	80.6%	78.8%	1.02×	1.24
Deportes Limache or draw (1X)	80.5%	80.6%	70.0%	1.15×	1.24
Cobresal or draw (X2)	35.1%	41.7%	51.0%	0.82×	2.40

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache or draw at HT	82.3%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Deportes Limache or Cobresal at HT	66.9%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
Cobresal or draw at HT	50.9%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache or draw (1UP)	80.5%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Cobresal or draw (1UP)	40.7%	52.5%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache or draw in 2nd half	79.2%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Deportes Limache or Cobresal in 2nd half	73.5%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Cobresal or draw in 2nd half	47.3%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	52.3%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Neither half drawn	47.7%	49.9%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache (DNB)	76.9%	74.7%	62.0%	1.20×	1.34
Cobresal (DNB)	23.1%	25.3%	38.0%	0.67×	3.95

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to score first	65.3%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Cobresal to score first	33.6%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
No goal scored	1.1%	4.2%	—	—	23.69

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	64.8%	56.7%	52.0%	1.09×	1.76
Not both teams to score	35.2%	43.3%	48.0%	0.90×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	58.6%	47.6%	42.9%	1.11×	2.10
Not both score & under 2.5	21.5%	27.8%	38.0%	0.73×	3.60
Not both score & over 2.5	13.7%	12.4%	10.2%	1.21×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	6.2%	8.3%	9.3%	0.89×	12.08

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	74.2%	80.6%	84.6%	0.95×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	25.8%	19.4%	15.4%	1.26×	5.16

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	60.0%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half	40.0%	34.7%	—	—	2.89

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	44.6%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Both score 2nd half only	29.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Both score 1st half only	15.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Both score in both halves	10.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.32

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	74.0%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	26.0%	20.5%	—	—	4.88

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	69.7%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
A half without a goal	30.3%	33.4%	—	—	2.99

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	43.0%	42.1%	26.8%	1.57×	2.37
2-3 goals	36.0%	35.1%	43.4%	0.81×	2.85
0-1 goals	12.4%	16.9%	27.8%	0.61×	5.92
7+ goals	8.6%	7.6%	2.4%	3.13×	13.09

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal to score exactly 1	35.6%	35.9%	37.3%	0.96×	2.78
Cobresal to score exactly 0	27.9%	27.4%	31.5%	0.87×	3.65
Cobresal to score exactly 2	22.7%	22.3%	20.0%	1.12×	4.48
Cobresal to score 3+	13.7%	12.9%	11.7%	1.10×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to score 3+	45.0%	35.3%	21.0%	1.68×	2.84
Deportes Limache to score exactly 2	25.8%	26.6%	26.3%	1.01×	3.77
Deportes Limache to score exactly 1	20.8%	23.3%	31.7%	0.73×	4.29
Deportes Limache to score exactly 0	8.4%	10.3%	21.5%	0.48×	9.69

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache leading at HT	49.1%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Draw at HT	33.1%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
Cobresal leading at HT	17.7%	16.0%	—	—	6.25

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache -1: 1	42.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Deportes Limache -1: 2	35.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Deportes Limache -1: X	22.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache (0:1)	42.3%	42.6%	23.2%	1.84×	2.35
Cobresal (0:1)	35.1%	37.3%	51.0%	0.73×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	22.6%	24.2%	26.1%	0.93×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal (0:2)	57.7%	63.0%	76.8%	0.82×	1.59
Deportes Limache (0:2)	23.8%	20.4%	10.5%	1.94×	4.91
Draw (0:2)	18.5%	15.3%	12.9%	1.18×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal (0:3)	76.2%	80.4%	89.5%	0.90×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	12.4%	10.0%	5.4%	1.86×	10.05
Deportes Limache (0:3)	11.4%	9.9%	5.4%	1.85×	10.06

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal (0:4)	88.6%	92.0%	94.6%	0.97×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	6.7%	4.6%	4.1%	1.11×	21.66
Deportes Limache (0:4)	4.7%	1.2%	1.5%	0.84×	81.78

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache (1:0)	80.5%	81.3%	70.0%	1.16×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	12.2%	12.7%	20.0%	0.64×	7.87
Cobresal (1:0)	7.2%	6.9%	10.2%	0.67×	14.49

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache (2:0)	92.8%	94.0%	89.8%	1.05×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.9%	2.3%	6.3%	0.36×	43.51
Cobresal (2:0)	2.3%	2.3%	4.1%	0.55×	43.67

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	52.5%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	28.7%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Halves equal	18.7%	19.8%	—	—	5.06

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to concede	72.1%	73.1%	68.5%	1.07×	1.37
Deportes Limache clean sheet	27.9%	26.9%	31.5%	0.85×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache clean sheet in 1st half	60.0%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Deportes Limache to concede in 1st half	40.0%	36.9%	—	—	2.71

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to concede in 2nd half	53.5%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Deportes Limache clean sheet in 2nd half	46.5%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache over 0.5 goals	91.6%	92.2%	78.5%	1.17×	1.08
Deportes Limache under 3.5 goals	76.3%	77.7%	91.0%	0.85×	1.29
Deportes Limache over 1.5 goals	70.8%	74.2%	47.1%	1.58×	1.35
Deportes Limache under 2.5 goals	55.0%	58.6%	79.0%	0.74×	1.71
Deportes Limache over 2.5 goals	45.0%	41.4%	21.0%	1.97×	2.42
Deportes Limache under 1.5 goals	29.3%	25.8%	52.9%	0.49×	3.88
Deportes Limache over 3.5 goals	23.7%	22.3%	9.0%	2.47×	4.49
Deportes Limache under 0.5 goals	8.4%	7.8%	21.5%	0.36×	12.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache under 1.5 in 1st half	71.2%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Deportes Limache over 0.5 in 1st half	65.5%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Deportes Limache under 0.5 in 1st half	34.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
Deportes Limache over 1.5 in 1st half	28.8%	21.1%	—	—	4.74

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache scores more in 2nd half	44.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Deportes Limache scores more in 1st half	28.4%	27.9%	—	—	3.58
Deportes Limache scores equally in both	26.7%	27.9%	—	—	3.58

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal (home no bet)	55.4%	56.4%	58.6%	0.96×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	44.6%	43.6%	41.4%	1.05×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache even goals	50.4%	50.7%	54.4%	0.93×	1.97
Deportes Limache odd goals	49.6%	49.3%	45.6%	1.08×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	22.3%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-0	20.5%	24.3%	—	—	4.12
HT 2-0	11.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.07
HT 1-1	11.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 0-1	10.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
Any other HT score	10.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 2-1	6.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 1-2	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.07
HT 0-2	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 2-2	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.16

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache at HT / Deportes Limache at FT	42.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Draw at HT / Deportes Limache at FT	18.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Cobresal at HT / Cobresal at FT	10.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
Draw at HT / Cobresal at FT	7.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.58
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	7.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.59
Deportes Limache at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.59
Cobresal at HT / Deportes Limache at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.61
Cobresal at HT / Draw at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.61
Deportes Limache at HT / Cobresal at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.68

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to score last	65.1%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Cobresal to score last	33.8%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	1.1%	4.2%	—	—	23.69

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.9%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Deportes Limache to lead by 1 at any time	78.3%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	63.9%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Deportes Limache to lead by 2 at any time	51.0%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Cobresal to lead by 1 at any time	40.7%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	32.1%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Deportes Limache to lead by 3 at any time	28.3%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Cobresal to lead by 2 at any time	13.6%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
Cobresal to lead by 3 at any time	3.9%	1.6%	—	—	60.77

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	81.2%	83.4%	87.3%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.0%	78.7%	70.0%	1.12×	1.27
2-5 goals	69.9%	68.8%	64.4%	1.07×	1.45
1-4 goals	66.7%	68.8%	81.2%	0.85×	1.45
3-6 goals	63.7%	63.3%	50.7%	1.25×	1.58
2-4 goals	55.4%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.6%	53.2%	45.1%	1.18×	1.88
1-3 goals	47.3%	48.5%	66.3%	0.73×	2.06
4-6 goals	43.0%	43.6%	26.8%	1.62×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.1%	43.6%	39.0%	1.12×	2.29
2-3 goals	36.0%	39.2%	43.4%	0.90×	2.55
4-5 goals	33.9%	35.2%	21.2%	1.66×	2.84
1-2 goals	26.6%	30.2%	42.4%	0.71×	3.31
5-6 goals	23.7%	24.5%	12.0%	2.05×	4.08
7+ goals	8.6%	8.9%	2.4%	3.64×	11.25

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache never behind	58.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Cobresal never behind	20.6%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	47.5%	50.9%	44.9%	1.13×	1.96
Odd number of goals	52.5%	49.1%	55.1%	0.89×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.7%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	48.3%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd goals in 2nd half	50.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Even goals in 2nd half	49.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.9%	95.4%	95.1%	1.00×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	87.6%	87.6%	72.2%	1.21×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	82.3%	82.3%	92.0%	0.89×	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	72.3%	72.5%	52.9%	1.37×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	67.8%	66.3%	85.9%	0.77×	1.51
Over 3.5 goals	51.6%	52.5%	29.0%	1.81×	1.91
Under 3.5 goals	48.4%	47.5%	71.0%	0.67×	2.11
Over 4.5 goals	32.2%	33.7%	14.1%	2.38×	2.97
Under 2.5 goals	27.7%	27.5%	47.1%	0.58×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	17.7%	17.7%	8.0%	2.20×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	12.4%	12.4%	27.8%	0.45×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	1.1%	4.6%	4.9%	0.93×	21.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	90.6%	92.4%	97.4%	0.95×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	85.3%	86.7%	65.6%	1.32×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	79.3%	75.9%	91.4%	0.83×	1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	65.1%	67.4%	38.1%	1.77×	1.48
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	60.0%	61.9%	83.4%	0.74×	1.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	40.0%	38.1%	16.6%	2.29×	2.63
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	34.9%	32.6%	61.9%	0.53×	3.07
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	20.7%	24.1%	8.6%	2.81×	4.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	14.7%	13.3%	34.4%	0.39×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	9.4%	7.6%	2.6%	2.95×	13.13

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	79.5%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Under 2.5 in 1st half	79.0%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	53.5%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 1st half	46.5%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 1st half	21.0%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
Under 0.5 in 1st half	20.5%	21.6%	—	—	4.63

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	89.1%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	63.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	62.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	37.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	36.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	10.9%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal not to score in both halves	78.6%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Deportes Limache not to score in both halves	50.5%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Deportes Limache to score in both halves	49.5%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Cobresal to score in both halves	21.4%	21.3%	—	—	4.69

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	64.8%	60.4%	52.0%	1.16×	1.66
Only Deportes Limache scores	26.8%	26.0%	26.8%	0.97×	3.84
Only Cobresal scores	7.3%	7.1%	16.8%	0.42×	14.03
Neither team scores	1.1%	4.6%	4.9%	0.94×	21.78

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	20.7%	22.6%	24.1%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	19.4%	17.5%	15.1%	1.15×	5.73
6 or more goals	17.7%	17.5%	8.0%	2.17×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	15.3%	17.5%	19.5%	0.89×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	14.6%	12.1%	6.3%	1.91×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	11.3%	12.1%	23.2%	0.52×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	1.1%	4.5%	4.9%	0.91×	22.45

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	33.0%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	25.5%	28.3%	—	—	3.53
3+ goals in 1st half	21.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
No goals in 1st half	20.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	63.5%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
1 goal in 2nd half	25.6%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
No goals in 2nd half	10.9%	14.2%	—	—	7.03

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal not to win both halves	96.4%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Deportes Limache not to win both halves	74.4%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
Deportes Limache to win both halves	25.6%	27.0%	—	—	3.71
Cobresal to win both halves	3.6%	2.8%	—	—	35.22

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to win either half	76.3%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Cobresal to win neither half	65.1%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Cobresal to win either half	34.9%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Deportes Limache to win neither half	23.7%	20.3%	—	—	4.92

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal not to win to nil	92.7%	92.1%	83.2%	1.11×	1.09
Deportes Limache not to win to nil	73.2%	75.4%	73.2%	1.03×	1.33
Deportes Limache to win to nil	26.8%	24.6%	26.8%	0.92×	4.06
Cobresal to win to nil	7.3%	7.9%	16.8%	0.47×	12.66

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache by 3+	23.8%	24.1%	10.5%	2.30×	4.15
Deportes Limache by 1	22.6%	24.1%	26.1%	0.92×	4.15
Deportes Limache by 2	18.5%	17.1%	12.9%	1.32×	5.86
Draw	15.7%	17.0%	21.2%	0.80×	5.87
Cobresal by 1	12.2%	11.7%	20.0%	0.59×	8.51
Cobresal by 2	4.9%	2.7%	6.3%	0.43×	36.72
Cobresal by 3+	2.3%	2.7%	4.1%	0.66×	36.81

Shot-level data has not been ingested for this match yet. Run python -m pipeline.ingest_understat to fill it in.