Deportes Limache v Deportes Concepcion — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 December 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Deportes Limache

20:00 UTC

Deportes Concepcion

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 969h before kick-off

Deportes Limache win

48.1%

model 45.0%

Draw

22.6%

model 21.8%

Deportes Concepcion win

29.3%

model 33.2%

482329

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 12.4%
0-1 10.6%
1-1 10.2%
2-1 8.9%
2-0 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	49.2%	Under 2.5	50.8%
BTTS yes	51.2%	BTTS no	48.8%
Deportes Limache 1+	76.5%	Deportes Limache 2+	42.5%
Deportes Concepcion 1+	69.7%	Deportes Concepcion 2+	33.5%

Expected goals 1.45 – 1.19. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

1-3 goals

Multi goal · usually 66%

68.0% fair odds 1.47

moderate signal · 2774 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Deportes Concepcion not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 83%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportes Limache have an estimated 48.1% win probability, against 29.3% for Deportes Concepcion and 22.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.45 for Deportes Limache and 1.19 for Deportes Concepcion.

Why Deportes Limache

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.6%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Deportes Concepcion can win

Deportes Concepcion carry the stronger rating, 1557 Elo against 1504. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Deportes Limache, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Deportes Concepcion, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Deportes Limache: 49% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Deportes Concepcion: 44% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Deportes Limache's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Deportes Limache are the model's most likely outcome at 48.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 12.4%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	452233	1.45–1.19	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	462232	1.46–1.17	1-0 13%	49%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to win	45.9%	47.3%	49.0%	0.97×	2.11
Deportes Concepcion to win	32.4%	30.4%	30.0%	1.01×	3.29
Draw	21.7%	24.5%	21.2%	1.15×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache & not both score	25.9%	25.2%	26.8%	0.94×	3.97
Deportes Limache & both teams score	20.0%	21.8%	22.4%	0.97×	4.59
Deportes Concepcion & not both score	18.0%	18.0%	16.8%	1.07×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	16.6%	18.0%	16.6%	1.08×	5.57
Deportes Concepcion & both teams score	14.4%	13.3%	13.4%	0.99×	7.54
Draw & not both score	5.1%	8.3%	4.9%	1.71×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache & over 1.5	33.3%	30.8%	36.1%	0.85×	3.25
Deportes Limache & under 3.5	33.0%	30.8%	34.1%	0.90×	3.25
Deportes Limache & over 2.5	25.7%	26.1%	29.3%	0.89×	3.84
Deportes Concepcion & under 3.5	24.5%	21.6%	23.4%	0.92×	4.63
Deportes Concepcion & over 1.5	21.9%	21.6%	20.0%	1.08×	4.63
Deportes Limache & under 2.5	20.2%	21.6%	20.0%	1.08×	4.63
Deportes Concepcion & over 2.5	17.0%	18.0%	16.6%	1.09×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.6%	18.0%	16.6%	1.09×	5.56
Deportes Concepcion & under 2.5	15.4%	18.0%	13.7%	1.32×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.3%	18.0%	13.9%	1.29×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.3%	18.0%	13.9%	1.29×	5.56
Deportes Limache & under 1.5	12.5%	12.8%	13.2%	0.97×	7.79
Deportes Limache & over 3.5	12.9%	12.8%	15.1%	0.85×	7.79
Deportes Concepcion & under 1.5	10.5%	12.8%	10.2%	1.25×	7.79
Deportes Concepcion & over 3.5	7.9%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.4%	7.9%	7.6%	1.05×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.4%	7.9%	7.6%	1.05×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.1%	7.9%	4.9%	1.62×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache (1UP)	60.3%	62.7%	—	—	1.59
Deportes Concepcion (1UP)	48.5%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache (2UP)	45.9%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Deportes Concepcion (2UP)	32.4%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to win 2nd half	36.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
2nd half drawn	34.7%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Deportes Concepcion to win 2nd half	28.9%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion under 1.5 in 2nd half	84.3%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Deportes Concepcion over 0.5 in 2nd half	50.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Deportes Concepcion under 0.5 in 2nd half	49.5%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Deportes Concepcion over 1.5 in 2nd half	15.7%	15.8%	—	—	6.34

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.6%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Deportes Limache over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Deportes Limache under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Deportes Limache over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.4%	24.6%	—	—	4.06

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (+2.5)	91.7%	92.1%	89.5%	1.03×	1.09
Deportes Concepcion (+1.5)	78.6%	78.5%	76.8%	1.02×	1.27
Deportes Limache (+0.5)	67.6%	68.7%	70.0%	0.98×	1.46
Deportes Concepcion (+0.5)	54.1%	52.4%	51.0%	1.03×	1.91
Deportes Limache (-0.5)	45.9%	47.6%	49.0%	0.97×	2.10
Deportes Concepcion (-0.5)	32.4%	31.3%	30.0%	1.04×	3.19
Deportes Limache (-1.5)	21.4%	21.5%	23.2%	0.93×	4.65
Deportes Limache (-2.5)	8.3%	7.9%	10.5%	0.75×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to concede	76.9%	78.7%	78.5%	1.00×	1.27
Deportes Concepcion clean sheet	23.1%	21.3%	21.5%	0.99×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion clean sheet in 1st half	53.3%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Deportes Concepcion to concede in 1st half	46.7%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to concede in 2nd half	56.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Deportes Concepcion clean sheet in 2nd half	43.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion under 6.5 corners	83.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Deportes Concepcion over 2.5 corners	73.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Deportes Concepcion under 5.5 corners	73.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Deportes Concepcion under 4.5 corners	59.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Deportes Concepcion over 3.5 corners	56.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Deportes Concepcion under 3.5 corners	43.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Deportes Concepcion over 4.5 corners	40.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Deportes Concepcion over 5.5 corners	26.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Deportes Concepcion under 2.5 corners	26.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Deportes Concepcion over 6.5 corners	16.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion under 3.5 goals	96.9%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Deportes Concepcion under 2.5 goals	88.5%	87.8%	88.3%	0.99×	1.14
Deportes Concepcion over 0.5 goals	69.1%	68.0%	68.5%	0.99×	1.47
Deportes Concepcion under 1.5 goals	67.2%	68.0%	68.5%	0.99×	1.47
Deportes Concepcion over 1.5 goals	32.8%	32.0%	31.5%	1.02×	3.13
Deportes Concepcion under 0.5 goals	30.9%	32.0%	31.5%	1.02×	3.13
Deportes Concepcion over 2.5 goals	11.5%	12.2%	11.7%	1.04×	8.21
Deportes Concepcion over 3.5 goals	3.1%	2.5%	2.9%	0.86×	39.81

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion under 1.5 in 1st half	91.9%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Deportes Concepcion under 0.5 in 1st half	62.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Deportes Concepcion over 0.5 in 1st half	37.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Deportes Concepcion over 1.5 in 1st half	8.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.42

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion scores equally in both	42.0%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Deportes Concepcion scores more in 2nd half	36.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Deportes Concepcion scores more in 1st half	21.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache (away no bet)	67.9%	66.4%	69.8%	0.95×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	32.1%	33.6%	30.2%	1.11×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion even goals	54.8%	52.7%	53.7%	0.98×	1.90
Deportes Concepcion odd goals	45.2%	47.3%	46.3%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.3%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.21

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	60.8%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	39.2%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	53.9%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Deportes Limache to score 2+ in a row	35.0%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Deportes Concepcion to score 2+ in a row	24.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.4%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Deportes Limache to score 3+ in a row	12.0%	12.1%	—	—	8.24
Deportes Concepcion to score 3+ in a row	6.6%	5.5%	—	—	18.25

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache corners (+3.5)	87.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Deportes Concepcion corners (+3.5)	81.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Deportes Limache corners (+2.5)	80.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Deportes Concepcion corners (+2.5)	72.9%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Deportes Limache corners (+1.5)	71.1%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Deportes Concepcion corners (+1.5)	62.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Deportes Limache corners (-1.5)	37.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Deportes Concepcion corners (-1.5)	28.9%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Deportes Limache corners (-2.5)	27.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Deportes Concepcion corners (-2.5)	19.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Deportes Limache corners (-3.5)	18.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Deportes Concepcion corners (-3.5)	13.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	49.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
9-11 corners	28.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	21.6%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	84.8%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	78.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	70.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	61.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	60.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	50.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	49.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	39.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	38.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	29.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	21.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	15.2%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	12.5%	11.5%	13.2%	0.87×	8.71
0-1	10.5%	11.5%	10.2%	1.12×	8.72
1-1	10.2%	11.5%	9.3%	1.24×	8.72
2-1	9.0%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.51
1-2	7.2%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
2-0	7.7%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
2-2	5.3%	7.4%	6.1%	1.21×	13.51
0-0	5.1%	7.4%	4.9%	1.52×	13.51
0-2	4.9%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.29
2-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
3-0	3.7%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.30
3-1	4.4%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.29
3-2	2.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.30
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-0	1.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.31
4-1	1.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.03×	58.32
Any other score	2.4%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.31
0-3	1.9%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
1-3	2.8%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.30
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache (2nd half DNB)	55.8%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Deportes Concepcion (2nd half DNB)	44.2%	40.7%	—	—	2.46

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache leading at HT (DNB)	59.2%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Deportes Concepcion leading at HT (DNB)	40.8%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache or Deportes Concepcion (12)	78.3%	75.5%	78.8%	0.96×	1.32
Deportes Limache or draw (1X)	67.6%	69.6%	70.0%	0.99×	1.44
Deportes Concepcion or draw (X2)	54.1%	52.7%	51.0%	1.03×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache or draw at HT	76.8%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Deportes Concepcion or draw at HT	66.4%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Deportes Limache or Deportes Concepcion at HT	56.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache or draw (1UP)	67.6%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Deportes Concepcion or draw (1UP)	54.1%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache or draw in 2nd half	71.1%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Deportes Limache or Deportes Concepcion in 2nd half	65.3%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Deportes Concepcion or draw in 2nd half	63.5%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.2%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	34.8%	32.0%	—	—	3.12

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache (DNB)	58.6%	58.1%	62.0%	0.94×	1.72
Deportes Concepcion (DNB)	41.4%	41.9%	38.0%	1.10×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to score first	52.7%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Deportes Concepcion to score first	42.2%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	5.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.34

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.0%	51.3%	52.0%	0.99×	1.95
Not both teams to score	49.0%	48.7%	48.0%	1.01×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	40.8%	41.6%	42.9%	0.97×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	40.7%	41.6%	38.0%	1.09×	2.41
Both score & under 2.5	10.2%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.3%	8.3%	10.2%	0.81×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.9%	85.6%	84.6%	1.01×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.1%	14.4%	15.4%	0.94×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.1%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.9%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.0%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Both score 2nd half only	22.9%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Both score 1st half only	12.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	5.0%	6.7%	—	—	14.86

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.9%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.1%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.3%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	48.7%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.7%	42.2%	43.4%	0.97×	2.37
0-1 goals	28.1%	26.6%	27.8%	0.96×	3.76
4-6 goals	25.4%	26.6%	26.8%	0.99×	3.76
7+ goals	1.8%	1.8%	2.4%	0.75×	54.38

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to score exactly 1	36.3%	35.9%	37.3%	0.96×	2.78
Deportes Concepcion to score exactly 0	30.9%	33.8%	31.5%	1.07×	2.96
Deportes Concepcion to score exactly 2	21.3%	22.3%	20.0%	1.11×	4.49
Deportes Concepcion to score 3+	11.5%	12.9%	11.7%	1.10×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to score exactly 1	33.9%	32.6%	31.7%	1.03×	3.07
Deportes Limache to score exactly 2	24.8%	23.3%	26.3%	0.88×	4.29
Deportes Limache to score exactly 0	23.1%	23.3%	21.5%	1.09×	4.29
Deportes Limache to score 3+	18.2%	18.8%	21.0%	0.90×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Deportes Limache leading at HT	33.6%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Deportes Concepcion leading at HT	23.2%	20.4%	—	—	4.90

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache -1: 2	54.1%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Deportes Limache -1: X	24.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Deportes Limache -1: 1	21.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (0:1)	54.1%	51.3%	51.0%	1.01×	1.95
Draw (0:1)	24.5%	24.2%	26.1%	0.93×	4.13
Deportes Limache (0:1)	21.4%	24.2%	23.2%	1.05×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (0:2)	78.6%	79.4%	76.8%	1.03×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.1%	11.0%	12.9%	0.85×	9.10
Deportes Limache (0:2)	8.3%	7.7%	10.5%	0.73×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (0:3)	91.7%	92.7%	89.5%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.7%	5.8%	5.4%	1.08×	17.27
Deportes Limache (0:3)	2.6%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.03

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (0:4)	97.4%	98.1%	94.6%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.9%	1.2%	4.1%	0.30×	81.76
Deportes Limache (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	1.5%	0.83×	81.89

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache (1:0)	67.6%	70.2%	70.0%	1.00×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	20.1%	21.7%	20.0%	1.08×	4.62
Deportes Concepcion (1:0)	12.3%	12.7%	10.2%	1.24×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache (2:0)	87.7%	88.5%	89.8%	0.99×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.4%	6.4%	6.3%	1.01×	15.65
Deportes Concepcion (2:0)	3.9%	2.3%	4.1%	0.55×	43.68

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.1%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	28.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	22.4%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to concede	69.1%	66.7%	68.5%	0.97×	1.50
Deportes Limache clean sheet	30.9%	33.3%	31.5%	1.06×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache clean sheet in 1st half	62.6%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Deportes Limache to concede in 1st half	37.5%	36.9%	—	—	2.71

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to concede in 2nd half	50.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Deportes Limache clean sheet in 2nd half	49.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache over 2.5 corners	78.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Deportes Limache under 6.5 corners	78.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Deportes Limache under 5.5 corners	67.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Deportes Limache over 3.5 corners	62.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Deportes Limache under 4.5 corners	53.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Deportes Limache over 4.5 corners	46.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Deportes Limache under 3.5 corners	37.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Deportes Limache over 5.5 corners	32.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Deportes Limache under 2.5 corners	21.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Deportes Limache over 6.5 corners	21.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache under 3.5 goals	93.9%	92.2%	91.0%	1.01×	1.08
Deportes Limache under 2.5 goals	81.8%	82.2%	79.0%	1.04×	1.22
Deportes Limache over 0.5 goals	76.9%	77.8%	78.5%	0.99×	1.29
Deportes Limache under 1.5 goals	57.0%	58.6%	52.9%	1.11×	1.71
Deportes Limache over 1.5 goals	43.0%	41.4%	47.1%	0.88×	2.42
Deportes Limache under 0.5 goals	23.1%	22.2%	21.5%	1.04×	4.50
Deportes Limache over 2.5 goals	18.2%	17.8%	21.0%	0.85×	5.62
Deportes Limache over 3.5 goals	6.1%	7.8%	9.0%	0.86×	12.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache under 1.5 in 1st half	86.8%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Deportes Limache under 0.5 in 1st half	53.3%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Deportes Limache over 0.5 in 1st half	46.7%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Deportes Limache over 1.5 in 1st half	13.2%	10.0%	—	—	10.05

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache scores more in 2nd half	37.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Deportes Limache scores equally in both	37.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Deportes Limache scores more in 1st half	25.5%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (home no bet)	59.9%	56.4%	58.6%	0.96×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	40.1%	43.6%	41.4%	1.05×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache even goals	52.7%	50.8%	54.4%	0.93×	1.97
Deportes Limache odd goals	47.3%	49.2%	45.6%	1.08×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.0%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
HT 1-0	21.3%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	16.0%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-1	9.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-0	6.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 0-2	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
Any other HT score	3.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.17
HT 2-1	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.27
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache at HT / Deportes Limache at FT	26.7%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Draw at HT / Deportes Limache at FT	16.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Deportes Concepcion at HT / Deportes Concepcion at FT	16.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Deportes Concepcion at FT	13.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Deportes Limache at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Deportes Concepcion at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Deportes Concepcion at HT / Deportes Limache at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Deportes Limache at HT / Deportes Concepcion at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to score last	52.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Deportes Concepcion to score last	42.3%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	5.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.34

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.9%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Deportes Limache to lead by 1 at any time	60.3%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
Deportes Concepcion to lead by 1 at any time	48.5%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.9%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Deportes Limache to lead by 2 at any time	27.5%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Deportes Concepcion to lead by 2 at any time	17.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Deportes Limache to lead by 3 at any time	10.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.48
Deportes Concepcion to lead by 3 at any time	5.2%	6.6%	—	—	15.14

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache most corners	48.8%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Deportes Concepcion most corners	39.6%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	89.7%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	82.1%	83.4%	81.2%	1.03×	1.20
2-6 goals	70.1%	72.3%	70.0%	1.03×	1.38
1-3 goals	67.7%	68.8%	66.3%	1.04×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.7%	68.8%	64.4%	1.07×	1.45
2-4 goals	59.1%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
3-6 goals	47.2%	48.4%	50.7%	0.95×	2.06
1-2 goals	45.8%	48.4%	42.4%	1.14×	2.06
2-3 goals	44.7%	43.6%	43.4%	1.00×	2.29
3-5 goals	43.9%	43.6%	45.1%	0.97×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.3%	39.2%	39.0%	1.00×	2.55
4-6 goals	25.4%	30.2%	26.8%	1.13×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.0%	24.4%	21.2%	1.15×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.9%	14.8%	12.0%	1.24×	6.76
7+ goals	1.8%	2.6%	2.4%	1.05×	39.19

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache never behind	46.4%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Deportes Concepcion never behind	34.7%	36.4%	—	—	2.74

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	46.1%	50.9%	44.9%	1.13×	1.97
Odd number of goals	53.9%	49.1%	55.1%	0.89×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.8%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.08

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.8%	92.3%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	94.9%	92.3%	95.1%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.2%	87.6%	85.9%	1.02×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	72.8%	72.5%	71.0%	1.02×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	71.9%	72.5%	72.2%	1.00×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	50.9%	52.5%	47.1%	1.12×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	49.1%	47.5%	52.9%	0.90×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	28.1%	27.5%	27.8%	0.99×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	27.2%	27.5%	29.0%	0.95×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	12.8%	12.4%	14.1%	0.88×	8.07
Over 5.5 goals	5.2%	7.7%	8.0%	0.96×	12.95
Under 0.5 goals	5.1%	7.7%	4.9%	1.58×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.1%	97.2%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.4%	92.4%	91.4%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.1%	86.7%	83.4%	1.04×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	65.2%	67.5%	61.9%	1.09×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	63.6%	61.9%	65.6%	0.94×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	36.4%	38.1%	34.4%	1.11×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	34.8%	32.5%	38.1%	0.85×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	14.9%	13.3%	16.6%	0.80×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.6%	7.6%	8.6%	0.88×	13.20
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.9%	2.8%	2.6%	1.09×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.1%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.3%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.0%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.0%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.7%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.58

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.9%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.2%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.2%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	44.8%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.8%	20.4%	—	—	4.91
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.1%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion not to score in both halves	81.1%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Deportes Limache not to score in both halves	73.6%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Deportes Limache to score in both halves	26.4%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Deportes Concepcion to score in both halves	18.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.35

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.0%	53.8%	52.0%	1.04×	1.86
Only Deportes Limache scores	25.9%	26.1%	26.8%	0.97×	3.84
Only Deportes Concepcion scores	18.0%	16.0%	16.8%	0.95×	6.23
Neither team scores	5.1%	7.1%	4.9%	1.46×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	23.0%	22.6%	23.2%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	22.8%	22.6%	19.5%	1.16×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	21.9%	22.6%	24.1%	0.94×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	14.4%	12.1%	15.1%	0.80×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	7.6%	7.6%	6.3%	1.20×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	5.1%	7.6%	4.9%	1.56×	13.15
6 or more goals	5.2%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.15

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	37.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	33.0%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	19.8%	15.7%	—	—	6.35
3+ goals in 1st half	9.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.58

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	44.8%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	34.5%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	20.8%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion not to win both halves	93.6%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Deportes Limache not to win both halves	88.1%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Deportes Limache to win both halves	11.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Deportes Concepcion to win both halves	6.4%	5.8%	—	—	17.19

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to win either half	58.2%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Deportes Concepcion to win neither half	54.4%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Deportes Concepcion to win either half	45.6%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Deportes Limache to win neither half	41.8%	40.9%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion not to win to nil	82.0%	83.1%	83.2%	1.00×	1.20
Deportes Limache not to win to nil	74.1%	75.3%	73.2%	1.03×	1.33
Deportes Limache to win to nil	25.9%	24.7%	26.8%	0.92×	4.05
Deportes Concepcion to win to nil	18.0%	16.9%	16.8%	1.01×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache by 1	24.5%	24.1%	26.1%	0.92×	4.15
Draw	21.7%	24.1%	21.2%	1.14×	4.15
Deportes Concepcion by 1	20.1%	24.1%	20.0%	1.21×	4.15
Deportes Limache by 2	13.1%	11.8%	12.9%	0.91×	8.50
Deportes Concepcion by 2	8.4%	7.2%	6.3%	1.13×	13.91
Deportes Limache by 3+	8.3%	7.2%	10.5%	0.69×	13.91
Deportes Concepcion by 3+	3.9%	2.7%	4.1%	0.65×	36.85