Deportes Limache v La Serena — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 22 November 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Deportes Limache

20:00 UTC

La Serena

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 633h before kick-off

Deportes Limache win

60.4%

model 60.5%

Draw

17.9%

model 17.2%

La Serena win

21.7%

model 22.3%

601822

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.7%
1-0 8.7%
2-0 7.9%
1-1 7.4%
3-1 7.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	66.2%	Under 2.5	33.8%
BTTS yes	61.2%	BTTS no	38.8%
Deportes Limache 1+	88.7%	Deportes Limache 2+	64.0%
La Serena 1+	70.7%	La Serena 2+	34.7%

Expected goals 2.18 – 1.23. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

100%

★ Best pick

Over 3 (void on exactly 3)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 38%

55.8% fair odds 1.79

strong signal · 764 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

La Serena (0:3)

Handicap 0:3 · usually 90%

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 296 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Deportes Limache carry the stronger rating, 1504 Elo against 1463.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportes Limache have an estimated 60.4% win probability, against 21.7% for La Serena and 17.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.18 for Deportes Limache and 1.23 for La Serena.

Why Deportes Limache

Deportes Limache carry the stronger rating, 1504 Elo against 1463. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.9%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why La Serena can win

Nothing in the data singles out La Serena.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Deportes Limache, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for La Serena, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Deportes Limache: 49% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. La Serena: 41% possession, 12.4 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Deportes Limache's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Deportes Limache are the model's most likely outcome at 60.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.7%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	611722	2.18–1.23	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	611722	2.30–1.32	2-1 9%	70%	65%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to win	60.8%	58.2%	49.0%	1.19×	1.72
La Serena to win	22.4%	24.5%	30.0%	0.82×	4.09
Draw	16.8%	19.4%	21.2%	0.91×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache & both teams score	35.4%	33.3%	22.4%	1.48×	3.01
Deportes Limache & not both score	25.4%	25.2%	26.8%	0.94×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	15.5%	18.0%	16.6%	1.08×	5.57
La Serena & both teams score	13.7%	13.3%	13.4%	0.99×	7.54
La Serena & not both score	8.7%	8.3%	16.8%	0.50×	12.00
Draw & not both score	1.3%	4.9%	4.9%	1.00×	20.58

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache & over 1.5	53.3%	48.8%	36.1%	1.35×	2.05
Deportes Limache & over 2.5	46.2%	45.0%	29.3%	1.54×	2.22
Deportes Limache & over 3.5	31.4%	30.7%	15.1%	2.03×	3.25
Deportes Limache & under 3.5	29.4%	26.1%	34.1%	0.76×	3.84
La Serena & over 1.5	17.5%	18.0%	20.0%	0.90×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	15.5%	18.0%	16.6%	1.09×	5.56
La Serena & over 2.5	15.2%	18.0%	16.6%	1.09×	5.56
Deportes Limache & under 2.5	14.6%	12.8%	20.0%	0.64×	7.79
La Serena & under 3.5	13.6%	12.8%	23.4%	0.55×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	8.7%	7.9%	7.6%	1.05×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.7%	7.9%	7.6%	1.05×	12.63
La Serena & over 3.5	8.8%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Deportes Limache & under 1.5	7.5%	7.9%	13.2%	0.60×	12.63
Draw & under 2.5	8.1%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.63
Draw & under 3.5	8.1%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.63
La Serena & under 2.5	7.2%	7.9%	13.7%	0.58×	12.63
La Serena & under 1.5	4.9%	4.8%	10.2%	0.47×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	1.3%	4.8%	4.9%	0.98×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache (1UP)	75.2%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
La Serena (1UP)	43.4%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache (2UP)	60.8%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
La Serena (2UP)	22.4%	23.8%	—	—	4.21

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to win 2nd half	49.3%	45.4%	—	—	2.21
2nd half drawn	27.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
La Serena to win 2nd half	23.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.2%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
La Serena over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.7%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
La Serena under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.3%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
La Serena over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.8%	16.0%	—	—	6.27

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.1%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Deportes Limache under 1.5 in 2nd half	62.3%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Deportes Limache over 1.5 in 2nd half	37.7%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Deportes Limache under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena (+2.5)	79.8%	78.5%	89.5%	0.88×	1.27
Deportes Limache (+0.5)	77.6%	78.5%	70.0%	1.12×	1.27
La Serena (+1.5)	62.2%	62.9%	76.8%	0.82×	1.59
Deportes Limache (-0.5)	60.8%	62.9%	49.0%	1.28×	1.59
La Serena (+0.5)	39.2%	37.1%	51.0%	0.73×	2.70
Deportes Limache (-1.5)	37.8%	37.1%	23.2%	1.60×	2.70
La Serena (-0.5)	22.4%	21.5%	30.0%	0.72×	4.65
Deportes Limache (-2.5)	20.2%	21.5%	10.5%	2.05×	4.65

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena to concede	90.0%	86.3%	78.5%	1.10×	1.16
La Serena clean sheet	10.0%	13.7%	21.5%	0.64×	7.32

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena to concede in 1st half	62.9%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
La Serena clean sheet in 1st half	37.2%	35.4%	—	—	2.82

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena to concede in 2nd half	73.1%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
La Serena clean sheet in 2nd half	26.9%	28.5%	—	—	3.50

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena under 6.5 corners	84.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
La Serena under 5.5 corners	74.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
La Serena over 2.5 corners	72.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
La Serena under 4.5 corners	61.3%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
La Serena over 3.5 corners	55.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
La Serena under 3.5 corners	45.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
La Serena over 4.5 corners	38.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
La Serena under 2.5 corners	27.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
La Serena over 5.5 corners	25.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
La Serena over 6.5 corners	15.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena under 3.5 goals	95.5%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
La Serena under 2.5 goals	85.3%	87.8%	88.3%	0.99×	1.14
La Serena over 0.5 goals	73.3%	71.8%	68.5%	1.05×	1.39
La Serena under 1.5 goals	62.0%	63.2%	68.5%	0.92×	1.58
La Serena over 1.5 goals	38.0%	36.8%	31.5%	1.17×	2.72
La Serena under 0.5 goals	26.7%	28.2%	31.5%	0.90×	3.55
La Serena over 2.5 goals	14.8%	12.2%	11.7%	1.04×	8.19
La Serena over 3.5 goals	4.5%	2.5%	2.9%	0.86×	39.74

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena under 1.5 in 1st half	90.1%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
La Serena under 0.5 in 1st half	59.0%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
La Serena over 0.5 in 1st half	41.0%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
La Serena over 1.5 in 1st half	9.9%	6.2%	—	—	16.26

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena scores equally in both	39.1%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
La Serena scores more in 2nd half	38.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
La Serena scores more in 1st half	22.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache (away no bet)	78.4%	73.5%	69.8%	1.05×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	21.6%	26.5%	30.2%	0.88×	3.78

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena even goals	53.6%	52.6%	53.7%	0.98×	1.90
La Serena odd goals	46.4%	47.4%	46.3%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	72.1%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	27.9%	22.8%	—	—	4.38

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	78.4%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	21.6%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	71.5%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
Deportes Limache to score 2+ in a row	57.1%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Either team to score 3+ in a row	33.6%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Deportes Limache to score 3+ in a row	27.6%	25.0%	—	—	4.01
La Serena to score 2+ in a row	25.6%	24.9%	—	—	4.02
La Serena to score 3+ in a row	6.7%	5.5%	—	—	18.24

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache corners (+3.5)	92.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Deportes Limache corners (+2.5)	88.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Deportes Limache corners (+1.5)	82.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
La Serena corners (+3.5)	65.9%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
La Serena corners (+2.5)	56.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Deportes Limache corners (-1.5)	54.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
La Serena corners (+1.5)	45.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Deportes Limache corners (-2.5)	43.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Deportes Limache corners (-3.5)	34.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
La Serena corners (-1.5)	18.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
La Serena corners (-2.5)	11.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
La Serena corners (-3.5)	7.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	35.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	34.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	74.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	73.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	65.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	64.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	55.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	54.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	45.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	44.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	35.6%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	34.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	26.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	25.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-1	9.4%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.51
Any other score	9.4%	7.4%	3.4%	2.17×	13.51
1-0	7.5%	7.4%	13.2%	0.56×	13.51
1-1	6.8%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.51
2-0	7.1%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
3-1	7.2%	7.4%	4.6%	1.60×	13.51
1-2	5.4%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
2-2	6.2%	7.4%	6.1%	1.21×	13.51
3-0	5.4%	7.4%	3.9%	1.90×	13.51
0-1	4.9%	1.7%	10.2%	0.17×	58.29
3-2	4.7%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.29
0-0	1.3%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.31
0-2	2.3%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.31
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
1-3	2.4%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
2-3	2.7%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.30
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.31
3-3	2.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-0	3.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.30
4-1	4.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.30
4-2	2.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.30
4-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.31
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	7.03×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache (2nd half DNB)	68.2%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
La Serena (2nd half DNB)	31.8%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache leading at HT (DNB)	70.4%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
La Serena leading at HT (DNB)	29.6%	25.9%	—	—	3.87

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache or La Serena (12)	83.2%	80.6%	78.8%	1.02×	1.24
Deportes Limache or draw (1X)	77.6%	75.5%	70.0%	1.08×	1.32
La Serena or draw (X2)	39.2%	41.9%	51.0%	0.82×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache or draw at HT	80.6%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Deportes Limache or La Serena at HT	65.5%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
La Serena or draw at HT	53.9%	48.6%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache or draw (1UP)	77.6%	83.6%	—	—	1.20
La Serena or draw (1UP)	43.4%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache or draw in 2nd half	77.0%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Deportes Limache or La Serena in 2nd half	72.4%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
La Serena or draw in 2nd half	50.7%	54.7%	—	—	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	54.2%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Neither half drawn	45.8%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache (DNB)	73.1%	71.4%	62.0%	1.15×	1.40
La Serena (DNB)	26.9%	28.6%	38.0%	0.75×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to score first	62.7%	63.9%	—	—	1.56
La Serena to score first	36.0%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
No goal scored	1.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.24

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	64.6%	56.7%	52.0%	1.09×	1.77
Not both teams to score	35.4%	43.3%	48.0%	0.90×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	57.8%	47.5%	42.9%	1.11×	2.11
Not both score & under 2.5	23.1%	27.9%	38.0%	0.73×	3.59
Not both score & over 2.5	12.3%	12.4%	10.2%	1.21×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	6.8%	8.3%	9.3%	0.89×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	74.5%	80.6%	84.6%	0.95×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	25.5%	19.4%	15.4%	1.26×	5.15

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	60.5%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	39.5%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	45.2%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	29.2%	26.8%	—	—	3.73
Both score 1st half only	15.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Both score in both halves	10.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.35

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	74.5%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	25.5%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	67.9%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
A half without a goal	32.1%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	41.5%	42.2%	26.8%	1.57×	2.37
2-3 goals	37.3%	35.0%	43.4%	0.81×	2.85
0-1 goals	13.7%	17.0%	27.8%	0.61×	5.90
7+ goals	7.5%	7.6%	2.4%	3.13×	13.12

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena to score exactly 1	35.3%	35.9%	37.3%	0.96×	2.79
La Serena to score exactly 0	26.7%	27.4%	31.5%	0.87×	3.64
La Serena to score exactly 2	23.3%	22.3%	20.0%	1.11×	4.49
La Serena to score 3+	14.8%	12.9%	11.7%	1.10×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to score 3+	40.4%	35.1%	21.0%	1.67×	2.85
Deportes Limache to score exactly 2	26.5%	26.6%	26.3%	1.01×	3.77
Deportes Limache to score exactly 1	23.0%	23.3%	31.7%	0.73×	4.29
Deportes Limache to score exactly 0	10.0%	14.3%	21.5%	0.67×	7.00

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache leading at HT	46.1%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Draw at HT	34.5%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
La Serena leading at HT	19.4%	16.0%	—	—	6.23

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache -1: 2	39.2%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Deportes Limache -1: 1	37.8%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Deportes Limache -1: X	23.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena (0:1)	39.2%	37.4%	51.0%	0.73×	2.68
Deportes Limache (0:1)	37.8%	37.3%	23.2%	1.61×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	23.0%	24.2%	26.1%	0.93×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena (0:2)	62.2%	67.1%	76.8%	0.87×	1.49
Deportes Limache (0:2)	20.2%	20.2%	10.5%	1.93×	4.94
Draw (0:2)	17.6%	15.3%	12.9%	1.18×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena (0:3)	79.8%	80.8%	89.5%	0.90×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	11.1%	9.9%	5.4%	1.84×	10.14
Deportes Limache (0:3)	9.1%	5.8%	5.4%	1.08×	17.21

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena (0:4)	90.9%	94.5%	94.6%	1.00×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.6%	4.6%	4.1%	1.11×	21.69
Deportes Limache (0:4)	3.5%	1.2%	1.5%	0.84×	81.58

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache (1:0)	77.6%	78.6%	70.0%	1.12×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	13.8%	12.7%	20.0%	0.64×	7.87
La Serena (1:0)	8.7%	6.9%	10.2%	0.67×	14.48

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache (2:0)	91.3%	94.0%	89.8%	1.05×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.8%	6.4%	6.3%	1.01×	15.68
La Serena (2:0)	2.9%	2.3%	4.1%	0.55×	43.75

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	52.3%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	28.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	19.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to concede	73.3%	73.0%	68.5%	1.07×	1.37
Deportes Limache clean sheet	26.7%	27.0%	31.5%	0.86×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache clean sheet in 1st half	59.0%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Deportes Limache to concede in 1st half	41.0%	37.6%	—	—	2.66

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to concede in 2nd half	54.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Deportes Limache clean sheet in 2nd half	45.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache over 2.5 corners	89.2%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Deportes Limache over 3.5 corners	79.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Deportes Limache over 4.5 corners	66.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Deportes Limache under 6.5 corners	59.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Deportes Limache over 5.5 corners	53.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Deportes Limache under 5.5 corners	46.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Deportes Limache over 6.5 corners	41.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Deportes Limache under 4.5 corners	33.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Deportes Limache under 3.5 corners	20.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Deportes Limache under 2.5 corners	10.8%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache over 0.5 goals	90.0%	87.3%	78.5%	1.11×	1.15
Deportes Limache under 3.5 goals	79.9%	77.8%	91.0%	0.85×	1.29
Deportes Limache over 1.5 goals	67.0%	67.9%	47.1%	1.44×	1.47
Deportes Limache under 2.5 goals	59.6%	58.7%	79.0%	0.74×	1.70
Deportes Limache over 2.5 goals	40.4%	41.3%	21.0%	1.97×	2.42
Deportes Limache under 1.5 goals	33.0%	32.1%	52.9%	0.61×	3.12
Deportes Limache over 3.5 goals	20.1%	22.2%	9.0%	2.46×	4.50
Deportes Limache under 0.5 goals	10.0%	12.7%	21.5%	0.59×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache under 1.5 in 1st half	73.9%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Deportes Limache over 0.5 in 1st half	62.9%	64.3%	—	—	1.55
Deportes Limache under 0.5 in 1st half	37.2%	35.7%	—	—	2.81
Deportes Limache over 1.5 in 1st half	26.1%	20.5%	—	—	4.87

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache scores more in 2nd half	44.0%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
Deportes Limache scores more in 1st half	28.1%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
Deportes Limache scores equally in both	27.9%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena (home no bet)	57.2%	56.4%	58.6%	0.96×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	42.8%	43.6%	41.4%	1.05×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache even goals	50.5%	50.7%	54.4%	0.93×	1.97
Deportes Limache odd goals	49.5%	49.3%	45.6%	1.08×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	21.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-0	21.7%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	11.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 1-1	11.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	10.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
Any other HT score	9.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-1	5.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 0-2	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 1-2	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 2-2	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.32

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache at HT / Deportes Limache at FT	39.2%	41.5%	—	—	2.41
Draw at HT / Deportes Limache at FT	17.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
La Serena at HT / La Serena at FT	11.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / La Serena at FT	8.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.45
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	7.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.47
Deportes Limache at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
La Serena at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
La Serena at HT / Deportes Limache at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Deportes Limache at HT / La Serena at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to score last	62.5%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
La Serena to score last	36.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	1.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.24

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.7%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Deportes Limache to lead by 1 at any time	75.2%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	61.2%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Deportes Limache to lead by 2 at any time	46.5%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
La Serena to lead by 1 at any time	43.4%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	28.9%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Deportes Limache to lead by 3 at any time	24.3%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
La Serena to lead by 2 at any time	15.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
La Serena to lead by 3 at any time	4.6%	1.6%	—	—	60.86

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache most corners	64.7%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
La Serena most corners	25.9%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	9.4%	8.3%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	82.8%	83.4%	87.3%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	78.8%	78.7%	70.0%	1.12×	1.27
2-5 goals	70.4%	72.3%	64.4%	1.12×	1.38
1-4 goals	68.9%	68.8%	81.2%	0.85×	1.45
3-6 goals	62.6%	63.3%	50.7%	1.25×	1.58
2-4 goals	56.5%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.3%	53.2%	45.1%	1.18×	1.88
1-3 goals	49.8%	48.5%	66.3%	0.73×	2.06
4-6 goals	41.5%	43.6%	26.8%	1.62×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	39.0%	1.12×	2.29
2-3 goals	37.3%	39.2%	43.4%	0.90×	2.55
4-5 goals	33.1%	35.2%	21.2%	1.66×	2.84
1-2 goals	28.6%	30.2%	42.4%	0.71×	3.31
5-6 goals	22.3%	24.4%	12.0%	2.05×	4.09
7+ goals	7.5%	8.9%	2.4%	3.64×	11.26

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache never behind	55.3%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
La Serena never behind	23.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	47.3%	50.9%	44.9%	1.13×	1.97
Odd number of goals	52.7%	49.1%	55.1%	0.89×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.9%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	48.1%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd goals in 2nd half	50.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Even goals in 2nd half	49.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.7%	95.4%	95.1%	1.00×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	86.3%	87.6%	72.2%	1.21×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	84.1%	82.3%	92.0%	0.90×	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	70.1%	72.5%	52.9%	1.37×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	70.2%	72.5%	85.9%	0.84×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	51.1%	52.5%	71.0%	0.74×	1.91
Over 3.5 goals	48.9%	47.5%	29.0%	1.64×	2.11
Under 2.5 goals	29.9%	27.5%	47.1%	0.59×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	29.8%	27.5%	14.1%	1.95×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	15.9%	17.7%	8.0%	2.20×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	13.7%	12.4%	27.8%	0.45×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	1.3%	4.6%	4.9%	0.94×	21.86

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	91.8%	92.4%	97.4%	0.95×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	83.6%	81.1%	65.6%	1.24×	1.23
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	81.6%	81.1%	91.4%	0.89×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	63.2%	61.9%	83.4%	0.74×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	62.1%	61.9%	38.1%	1.62×	1.62
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	37.9%	38.1%	61.9%	0.62×	2.63
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	36.8%	38.1%	16.6%	2.29×	2.63
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	18.4%	18.9%	8.6%	2.21×	5.29
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	16.4%	18.9%	34.4%	0.55×	5.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	8.2%	7.6%	2.6%	2.94×	13.18

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	80.4%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	78.3%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	55.4%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Over 1.5 in 1st half	44.6%	35.5%	—	—	2.82
Under 0.5 in 1st half	21.7%	21.9%	—	—	4.57
Over 2.5 in 1st half	19.6%	14.4%	—	—	6.95

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	88.3%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	64.9%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	61.7%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	38.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	35.1%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	11.7%	14.6%	—	—	6.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena not to score in both halves	77.6%	78.5%	—	—	1.28
Deportes Limache not to score in both halves	54.1%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
Deportes Limache to score in both halves	45.9%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
La Serena to score in both halves	22.4%	21.5%	—	—	4.64

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	64.6%	60.3%	52.0%	1.16×	1.66
Only Deportes Limache scores	25.4%	26.1%	26.8%	0.97×	3.84
Only La Serena scores	8.7%	7.1%	16.8%	0.42×	13.99
Neither team scores	1.3%	4.6%	4.9%	0.95×	21.67

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.2%	22.6%	24.1%	0.94×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	19.2%	17.5%	15.1%	1.15×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	16.2%	17.5%	19.5%	0.89×	5.73
6 or more goals	15.9%	17.5%	8.0%	2.17×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	13.9%	12.1%	6.3%	1.91×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	12.4%	12.1%	23.2%	0.52×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	1.3%	4.5%	4.9%	0.92×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	33.7%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	25.0%	28.5%	—	—	3.50
No goals in 1st half	21.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	19.6%	15.7%	—	—	6.36

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	61.7%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
1 goal in 2nd half	26.6%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
No goals in 2nd half	11.7%	14.4%	—	—	6.94

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena not to win both halves	95.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Deportes Limache not to win both halves	77.6%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Deportes Limache to win both halves	22.4%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
La Serena to win both halves	4.3%	2.8%	—	—	35.46

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache to win either half	73.0%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
La Serena to win neither half	61.9%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
La Serena to win either half	38.1%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
Deportes Limache to win neither half	27.0%	26.9%	—	—	3.72

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena not to win to nil	91.3%	92.1%	83.2%	1.11×	1.09
Deportes Limache not to win to nil	74.6%	75.3%	73.2%	1.03×	1.33
Deportes Limache to win to nil	25.4%	24.7%	26.8%	0.92×	4.05
La Serena to win to nil	8.7%	7.9%	16.8%	0.47×	12.63

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Limache by 1	23.0%	24.1%	26.1%	0.92×	4.15
Deportes Limache by 3+	20.2%	24.1%	10.5%	2.30×	4.15
Deportes Limache by 2	17.6%	17.0%	12.9%	1.32×	5.87
Draw	16.8%	17.0%	21.2%	0.80×	5.87
La Serena by 1	13.8%	11.8%	20.0%	0.59×	8.50
La Serena by 2	5.8%	7.2%	6.3%	1.13×	13.92
La Serena by 3+	2.9%	2.7%	4.1%	0.65×	36.88