Deportes Tolima v Millonarios — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 3 November 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Deportes Tolima

01:30 UTC

Millonarios

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 159h before kick-off

Deportes Tolima win

44.2%

model 44.1%

Draw

27.9%

model 28.6%

Millonarios win

27.9%

model 27.2%

442828

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.6%
1-0 10.8%
0-0 9.4%
2-1 9.0%
2-0 8.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	45.3%	Under 2.5	54.7%
BTTS yes	50.7%	BTTS no	49.3%
Deportes Tolima 1+	75.9%	Deportes Tolima 2+	41.5%
Millonarios 1+	65.5%	Millonarios 2+	28.8%

Expected goals 1.42 – 1.07. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

85/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

2-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 68%

73.3% fair odds 1.36

moderate signal · 3256 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Deportes Tolima under 2.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 85%

82.7% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1431 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Deportes Tolima carry the stronger rating, 1598 Elo against 1567.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportes Tolima have an estimated 44.2% win probability, against 27.9% for the draw and 27.9% for Millonarios. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.42 for Deportes Tolima and 1.06 for Millonarios.

Why Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima carry the stronger rating, 1598 Elo against 1567.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.9%. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Millonarios can win

Nothing in the data singles out Millonarios.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Deportes Tolima, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Millonarios, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Deportes Tolima: 55% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Millonarios: 51% possession, 15.8 shots a match, 8.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Deportes Tolima are the model's most likely outcome at 44.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.6%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	442927	1.42–1.07	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	453025	1.32–0.92	1-1 14%	39%	45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima to win	44.9%	43.0%	45.8%	0.94×	2.33
Draw	30.2%	30.4%	29.5%	1.03×	3.29
Millonarios to win	24.9%	24.5%	24.8%	0.99×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima & not both score	28.2%	25.2%	27.1%	0.93×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	18.5%	18.0%	18.8%	0.95×	5.56
Deportes Tolima & both teams score	16.6%	18.0%	18.8%	0.95×	5.57
Millonarios & not both score	15.0%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.57
Draw & not both score	11.8%	13.3%	10.8%	1.23×	7.54
Millonarios & both teams score	9.9%	8.3%	11.5%	0.73×	11.99

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima & under 3.5	35.0%	30.8%	35.7%	0.86×	3.25
Deportes Tolima & over 1.5	31.8%	30.7%	33.8%	0.91×	3.25
Draw & under 2.5	25.7%	26.1%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	25.7%	26.1%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Deportes Tolima & over 2.5	22.5%	21.6%	25.5%	0.85×	4.63
Deportes Tolima & under 2.5	22.4%	21.6%	20.5%	1.05×	4.63
Millonarios & under 3.5	20.5%	21.6%	19.9%	1.08×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Millonarios & over 1.5	16.2%	18.0%	16.5%	1.09×	5.56
Deportes Tolima & under 1.5	13.1%	12.8%	12.2%	1.05×	7.79
Millonarios & under 2.5	13.3%	12.8%	12.1%	1.07×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	11.8%	12.8%	10.8%	1.19×	7.79
Millonarios & over 2.5	11.7%	12.8%	12.9%	1.00×	7.79
Deportes Tolima & over 3.5	9.9%	7.9%	10.2%	0.77×	12.63
Millonarios & under 1.5	8.8%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.5%	4.8%	6.0%	0.81×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.5%	4.8%	6.0%	0.81×	20.81
Millonarios & over 3.5	4.4%	4.8%	5.0%	0.96×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (1UP)	58.2%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Millonarios (1UP)	40.3%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (2UP)	44.9%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Millonarios (2UP)	24.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	40.4%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Deportes Tolima to win 2nd half	36.0%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Millonarios to win 2nd half	23.6%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millonarios under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.4%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Millonarios under 0.5 in 2nd half	57.7%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Millonarios over 0.5 in 2nd half	42.3%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Millonarios over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.6%	12.8%	—	—	7.83

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.6%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Deportes Tolima over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.8%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Deportes Tolima under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.2%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Deportes Tolima over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.4%	17.6%	—	—	5.68

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millonarios (+2.5)	92.3%	92.1%	91.8%	1.00×	1.09
Millonarios (+1.5)	78.6%	78.5%	79.6%	0.99×	1.27
Deportes Tolima (+0.5)	75.1%	78.5%	75.2%	1.04×	1.27
Millonarios (+0.5)	55.1%	57.0%	54.2%	1.05×	1.75
Deportes Tolima (-0.5)	44.9%	43.0%	45.8%	0.94×	2.33
Millonarios (-0.5)	24.9%	21.5%	24.8%	0.87×	4.65
Deportes Tolima (-1.5)	21.4%	21.5%	20.4%	1.06×	4.65
Deportes Tolima (-2.5)	7.7%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millonarios to concede	73.2%	76.7%	75.9%	1.01×	1.30
Millonarios clean sheet	26.8%	23.3%	24.1%	0.97×	4.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millonarios clean sheet in 1st half	56.7%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Millonarios to concede in 1st half	43.3%	43.6%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millonarios to concede in 2nd half	52.8%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Millonarios clean sheet in 2nd half	47.2%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millonarios under 6.5 corners	82.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Millonarios under 5.5 corners	73.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Millonarios over 2.5 corners	72.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Millonarios under 4.5 corners	60.0%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Millonarios over 3.5 corners	55.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Millonarios under 3.5 corners	44.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Millonarios over 4.5 corners	40.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Millonarios under 2.5 corners	27.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Millonarios over 5.5 corners	27.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Millonarios over 6.5 corners	17.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millonarios under 3.5 goals	98.6%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Millonarios under 2.5 goals	93.4%	92.4%	92.9%	0.99×	1.08
Millonarios under 1.5 goals	76.7%	76.2%	74.2%	1.03×	1.31
Millonarios over 0.5 goals	60.0%	59.5%	62.2%	0.96×	1.68
Millonarios under 0.5 goals	40.0%	40.5%	37.8%	1.07×	2.47
Millonarios over 1.5 goals	23.3%	23.8%	25.8%	0.92×	4.21
Millonarios over 2.5 goals	6.6%	7.6%	7.1%	1.08×	13.08
Millonarios over 3.5 goals	1.4%	2.5%	1.9%	1.29×	39.90

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millonarios under 1.5 in 1st half	94.7%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Millonarios under 0.5 in 1st half	69.3%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Millonarios over 0.5 in 1st half	30.7%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
Millonarios over 1.5 in 1st half	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.69

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millonarios scores equally in both	48.5%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Millonarios scores more in 2nd half	32.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Millonarios scores more in 1st half	19.4%	18.2%	—	—	5.50

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (away no bet)	59.8%	57.4%	60.8%	0.94×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	40.2%	42.6%	39.2%	1.09×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millonarios even goals	58.0%	56.9%	57.6%	0.99×	1.76
Millonarios odd goals	42.0%	43.1%	42.4%	1.02×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.0%	91.3%	—	—	1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.0%	8.7%	—	—	11.55

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	52.9%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Both halves under 1.5 goals	47.1%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	46.0%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Deportes Tolima to score 2+ in a row	31.9%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Millonarios to score 2+ in a row	17.6%	16.2%	—	—	6.19
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.2%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
Deportes Tolima to score 3+ in a row	10.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Millonarios to score 3+ in a row	3.9%	2.6%	—	—	38.60

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima corners (+3.5)	86.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Millonarios corners (+3.5)	80.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Deportes Tolima corners (+2.5)	79.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Millonarios corners (+2.5)	72.3%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Deportes Tolima corners (+1.5)	70.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Millonarios corners (+1.5)	62.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Deportes Tolima corners (-1.5)	37.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Millonarios corners (-1.5)	29.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Deportes Tolima corners (-2.5)	27.7%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Millonarios corners (-2.5)	20.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Deportes Tolima corners (-3.5)	19.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Millonarios corners (-3.5)	13.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	50.3%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	22.3%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	84.0%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	77.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	70.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	60.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	60.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 8.5 corners	50.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	49.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	39.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	39.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	30.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	22.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	16.0%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.0%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.71
1-0	13.1%	11.5%	12.2%	0.94×	8.71
0-0	11.8%	11.5%	10.8%	1.06×	8.71
0-1	8.8%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.51
2-0	9.3%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.51
2-1	8.5%	7.4%	10.9%	0.68×	13.51
1-2	5.9%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
0-2	4.5%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.29
0-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.55×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.32
1-3	1.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.32
2-2	3.9%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.30
2-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32
3-0	4.1%	1.7%	4.6%	0.38×	58.30
3-1	3.7%	1.7%	3.5%	0.50×	58.30
3-2	1.7%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.19×	58.32
4-0	1.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.31
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.31
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32
Any other score	1.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (2nd half DNB)	60.4%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Millonarios (2nd half DNB)	39.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima leading at HT (DNB)	63.3%	66.5%	—	—	1.50
Millonarios leading at HT (DNB)	36.7%	33.5%	—	—	2.99

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima or draw (1X)	75.1%	75.5%	75.2%	1.00×	1.32
Deportes Tolima or Millonarios (12)	69.8%	69.6%	70.5%	0.99×	1.44
Millonarios or draw (X2)	55.1%	57.0%	54.2%	1.05×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima or draw at HT	81.0%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Millonarios or draw at HT	67.3%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Deportes Tolima or Millonarios at HT	51.7%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima or draw (1UP)	75.1%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Millonarios or draw (1UP)	55.1%	62.8%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima or draw in 2nd half	76.4%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Millonarios or draw in 2nd half	64.0%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Deportes Tolima or Millonarios in 2nd half	59.6%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.1%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	31.9%	31.7%	—	—	3.15

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (DNB)	64.3%	62.7%	64.9%	0.97×	1.59
Millonarios (DNB)	35.7%	37.3%	35.1%	1.06×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima to score first	52.1%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Millonarios to score first	36.2%	32.6%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	11.8%	9.7%	—	—	10.34

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	55.0%	55.0%	51.1%	1.08×	1.82
Both teams to score	45.0%	45.0%	48.9%	0.92×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	47.4%	44.3%	43.1%	1.03×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	31.0%	34.6%	36.0%	0.96×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	14.0%	12.4%	13.0%	0.95×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.6%	8.3%	8.2%	1.01×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.1%	89.0%	88.6%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.9%	11.0%	11.4%	0.97×	9.09

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.3%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.7%	24.9%	—	—	4.02

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	66.8%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Both score 2nd half only	19.7%	15.1%	—	—	6.63
Both score 1st half only	10.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.35
Both score in both halves	3.0%	4.9%	—	—	20.56

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.5%	84.8%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	13.5%	15.2%	—	—	6.58

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	55.3%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
A goal in each half	44.7%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.7%	47.2%	48.1%	0.98×	2.12
0-1 goals	33.6%	30.7%	31.2%	0.99×	3.25
4-6 goals	17.9%	20.2%	19.5%	1.04×	4.94
7+ goals	0.8%	1.8%	1.5%	1.20×	54.48

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millonarios to score exactly 0	40.0%	37.3%	37.8%	0.99×	2.68
Millonarios to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
Millonarios to score exactly 2	16.8%	19.5%	18.8%	1.04×	5.12
Millonarios to score 3+	6.6%	8.5%	7.1%	1.21×	11.72

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima to score exactly 1	35.3%	35.5%	34.5%	1.03×	2.81
Deportes Tolima to score exactly 0	26.8%	26.6%	24.1%	1.10×	3.77
Deportes Tolima to score exactly 2	23.2%	23.3%	26.2%	0.89×	4.29
Deportes Tolima to score 3+	14.7%	14.3%	15.5%	0.92×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.3%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Deportes Tolima leading at HT	32.7%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Millonarios leading at HT	19.0%	16.0%	—	—	6.24

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima -1: 2	55.1%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Deportes Tolima -1: X	23.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Deportes Tolima -1: 1	21.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millonarios (0:1)	55.1%	55.8%	54.2%	1.03×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	23.5%	24.2%	25.6%	0.95×	4.13
Deportes Tolima (0:1)	21.4%	24.2%	20.4%	1.19×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millonarios (0:2)	78.6%	79.4%	79.6%	1.00×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.7%	11.0%	12.3%	0.89×	9.09
Deportes Tolima (0:2)	7.7%	7.7%	8.2%	0.94×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millonarios (0:3)	92.3%	92.7%	91.8%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.5%	5.8%	5.4%	1.07×	17.27
Deportes Tolima (0:3)	2.3%	2.4%	2.9%	0.82×	42.04

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millonarios (0:4)	97.8%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.7%	1.2%	1.9%	0.63×	81.78
Deportes Tolima (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	81.91

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (1:0)	75.1%	78.5%	75.2%	1.04×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	16.0%	17.1%	17.3%	0.99×	5.85
Millonarios (1:0)	8.9%	6.9%	7.6%	0.91×	14.47

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (2:0)	91.1%	94.0%	92.4%	1.02×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	6.6%	6.4%	5.0%	1.28×	15.67
Millonarios (2:0)	2.3%	2.3%	2.8%	0.82×	43.78

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.2%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Halves equal	29.8%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima to concede	60.0%	60.7%	62.2%	0.98×	1.65
Deportes Tolima clean sheet	40.0%	39.3%	37.8%	1.04×	2.55

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima clean sheet in 1st half	69.3%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Deportes Tolima to concede in 1st half	30.7%	29.2%	—	—	3.42

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima clean sheet in 2nd half	57.7%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Deportes Tolima to concede in 2nd half	42.3%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima under 6.5 corners	77.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Deportes Tolima over 2.5 corners	76.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Deportes Tolima under 5.5 corners	67.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Deportes Tolima over 3.5 corners	61.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Deportes Tolima under 4.5 corners	53.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Deportes Tolima over 4.5 corners	46.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Deportes Tolima under 3.5 corners	38.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Deportes Tolima over 5.5 corners	32.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Deportes Tolima under 2.5 corners	23.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Deportes Tolima over 6.5 corners	22.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima under 3.5 goals	95.5%	96.4%	95.3%	1.01×	1.04
Deportes Tolima under 2.5 goals	85.3%	87.3%	84.5%	1.03×	1.15
Deportes Tolima over 0.5 goals	73.2%	74.2%	75.9%	0.98×	1.35
Deportes Tolima under 1.5 goals	62.0%	63.6%	58.4%	1.09×	1.57
Deportes Tolima over 1.5 goals	38.0%	36.4%	41.6%	0.88×	2.75
Deportes Tolima under 0.5 goals	26.8%	25.8%	24.1%	1.07×	3.88
Deportes Tolima over 2.5 goals	14.7%	12.7%	15.5%	0.82×	7.85
Deportes Tolima over 3.5 goals	4.5%	3.6%	4.7%	0.77×	27.49

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima under 1.5 in 1st half	88.9%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Deportes Tolima under 0.5 in 1st half	56.7%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Deportes Tolima over 0.5 in 1st half	43.3%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Deportes Tolima over 1.5 in 1st half	11.1%	9.9%	—	—	10.15

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima scores equally in both	39.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Deportes Tolima scores more in 2nd half	35.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Deportes Tolima scores more in 1st half	24.6%	21.1%	—	—	4.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	54.8%	51.5%	54.3%	0.95×	1.94
Millonarios (home no bet)	45.2%	48.5%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima even goals	53.6%	50.8%	53.3%	0.95×	1.97
Deportes Tolima odd goals	46.4%	49.2%	46.7%	1.06×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	39.5%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
HT 1-0	22.1%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	14.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	8.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
HT 2-0	6.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 0-2	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.25
Any other HT score	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.25
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.27
HT 1-2	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.32
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.39

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima at HT / Deportes Tolima at FT	26.1%	27.3%	—	—	3.67
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.6%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / Deportes Tolima at FT	16.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Millonarios at HT / Millonarios at FT	12.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Millonarios at FT	10.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Deportes Tolima at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Millonarios at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Millonarios at HT / Deportes Tolima at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.97
Deportes Tolima at HT / Millonarios at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima to score last	52.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Millonarios to score last	36.1%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	11.8%	9.1%	—	—	11.02

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.2%	91.4%	—	—	1.09
Deportes Tolima to lead by 1 at any time	58.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Millonarios to lead by 1 at any time	40.3%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	38.8%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Deportes Tolima to lead by 2 at any time	26.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Millonarios to lead by 2 at any time	12.7%	10.6%	—	—	9.43
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.44
Deportes Tolima to lead by 3 at any time	9.2%	6.7%	—	—	14.96
Millonarios to lead by 3 at any time	3.1%	1.6%	—	—	62.27

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima most corners	48.8%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Millonarios most corners	40.0%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.6%	87.4%	85.7%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.6%	83.4%	80.1%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.5%	68.8%	68.4%	1.01×	1.45
2-6 goals	65.6%	68.8%	67.5%	1.02×	1.45
2-5 goals	63.8%	63.3%	65.4%	0.97×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.8%	59.1%	59.7%	0.99×	1.69
1-2 goals	49.6%	48.5%	45.3%	1.07×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.7%	48.4%	48.1%	1.01×	2.06
3-6 goals	37.8%	39.2%	42.7%	0.92×	2.55
3-5 goals	36.0%	39.2%	40.6%	0.97×	2.55
3-4 goals	31.0%	35.2%	34.9%	1.01×	2.84
4-6 goals	17.9%	18.8%	19.5%	0.96×	5.31
4-5 goals	16.1%	18.8%	17.5%	1.08×	5.31
5-6 goals	6.8%	8.9%	7.9%	1.12×	11.27
7+ goals	0.8%	2.5%	1.5%	1.67×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima never behind	47.9%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Millonarios never behind	30.0%	36.2%	—	—	2.77

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.3%	50.9%	50.4%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.7%	49.1%	49.6%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	41.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.3%	95.4%	96.4%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.4%	92.3%	90.7%	1.02×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.2%	87.6%	89.2%	0.98×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	81.3%	82.3%	79.1%	1.04×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	66.4%	66.3%	68.8%	0.96×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	61.4%	61.7%	56.0%	1.10×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	38.6%	38.3%	44.0%	0.87×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	33.6%	33.7%	31.2%	1.08×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	18.7%	17.7%	20.9%	0.85×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	11.8%	12.4%	10.8%	1.15×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	7.6%	7.7%	9.3%	0.83×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	2.7%	4.6%	3.6%	1.27×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.2%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.2%	97.2%	96.2%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.4%	92.4%	89.5%	1.03×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	76.6%	75.9%	72.8%	1.04×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	53.5%	51.9%	58.6%	0.89×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	46.5%	48.1%	41.4%	1.16×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	23.4%	24.1%	27.2%	0.89×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.6%	7.6%	10.5%	0.72×	13.18
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.8%	2.8%	3.8%	0.74×	35.61
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.8%	2.8%	1.6%	1.80×	35.67

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.2%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	75.9%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.5%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Under 0.5 in 1st half	39.5%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Over 1.5 in 1st half	24.1%	22.0%	—	—	4.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.8%	7.1%	—	—	13.99

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.7%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	72.4%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	62.3%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	37.7%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	27.6%	22.3%	—	—	4.49
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	14.3%	14.7%	—	—	6.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millonarios not to score in both halves	87.0%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Deportes Tolima not to score in both halves	77.1%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Deportes Tolima to score in both halves	22.9%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Millonarios to score in both halves	13.0%	14.4%	—	—	6.93

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	45.0%	46.6%	48.9%	0.95×	2.15
Only Deportes Tolima scores	28.2%	26.1%	27.1%	0.96×	3.83
Only Millonarios scores	15.0%	16.0%	13.4%	1.19×	6.24
Neither team scores	11.8%	11.0%	10.8%	1.02×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.8%	24.9%	24.9%	1.00×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	21.8%	22.6%	20.5%	1.10×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	19.9%	17.5%	23.3%	0.75×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	11.8%	12.1%	10.8%	1.12×	8.26
Exactly 4 goals	11.1%	12.1%	11.8%	1.03×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	5.0%	4.5%	5.8%	0.77×	22.32
6 or more goals	2.7%	4.5%	3.6%	1.24×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	39.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.3%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	17.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
3+ goals in 1st half	6.8%	7.1%	—	—	13.99

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	37.7%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
1 goal in 2nd half	34.7%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	27.6%	29.1%	—	—	3.43

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millonarios not to win both halves	95.4%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Deportes Tolima not to win both halves	88.0%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Deportes Tolima to win both halves	12.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Millonarios to win both halves	4.6%	2.8%	—	—	35.36

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millonarios to win neither half	62.0%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Deportes Tolima to win either half	56.8%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Deportes Tolima to win neither half	43.2%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Millonarios to win either half	38.0%	35.0%	—	—	2.85

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Millonarios not to win to nil	85.0%	83.1%	86.6%	0.96×	1.20
Deportes Tolima not to win to nil	71.8%	75.3%	72.9%	1.03×	1.33
Deportes Tolima to win to nil	28.2%	24.7%	27.1%	0.91×	4.04
Millonarios to win to nil	15.0%	16.9%	13.4%	1.26×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	30.2%	27.7%	29.5%	0.94×	3.61
Deportes Tolima by 1	23.5%	24.1%	25.6%	0.94×	4.15
Millonarios by 1	16.0%	17.0%	17.3%	0.98×	5.87
Deportes Tolima by 2	13.7%	11.8%	12.3%	0.95×	8.50
Deportes Tolima by 3+	7.7%	7.2%	8.2%	0.88×	13.91
Millonarios by 2	6.6%	7.2%	5.0%	1.44×	13.91
Millonarios by 3+	2.3%	2.7%	2.8%	0.98×	36.90