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Deportivo Cali v Boyacá Chicó FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Deportivo Cali win
65.5%
model 62.6%
Draw
23.5%
model 24.9%
Boyacá Chicó FC win
11.0%
model 12.5%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-0 15.7%
  2. 2-0 14.1%
  3. 1-1 11.2%
  4. 0-0 10.5%
  5. 2-1 8.9%

Goals

Over 2.541.3% Under 2.558.7%
BTTS yes39.0% BTTS no61.0%
Deportivo Cali 1+81.8% Deportivo Cali 2+50.8%
Boyacá Chicó FC 1+46.7% Boyacá Chicó FC 2+13.2%

Expected goals 1.70 – 0.63. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
83/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
Deportivo Cali (-0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 46%
63.7% fair odds 1.57
strong signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Boyacá Chicó FC (+2.5)
Asian handicap · usually 92%
82.9% fair odds 1.21
moderate signal · 1330 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Deportivo Cali carry the stronger rating, 1503 Elo against 1354.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportivo Cali have an estimated 65.5% win probability, against 23.5% for the draw and 11.0% for Boyacá Chicó FC. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.70 for Deportivo Cali and 0.63 for Boyacá Chicó FC.

Why Deportivo Cali

Deportivo Cali carry the stronger rating, 1503 Elo against 1354.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.5%. A combined 2.33 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Boyacá Chicó FC can win

Nothing in the data singles out Boyacá Chicó FC.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Deportivo Cali, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Boyacá Chicó FC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Deportivo Cali: 51% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Boyacá Chicó FC: 40% possession, 7.6 shots a match, 9.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Deportivo Cali are the model's most likely outcome at 65.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 15.7%. Confidence 83/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.70–0.63 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.74–0.51 1-0 18% 39% 33%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali to win 66.9% 64.7% 45.8% 1.41× 1.55
Draw 23.7% 24.5% 29.5% 0.83× 4.09
Boyacá Chicó FC to win 9.4% 8.2% 24.8% 0.33× 12.16
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali & not both score 49.0% 43.2% 27.1% 1.59× 2.31
Deportivo Cali & both teams score 17.9% 18.0% 18.8% 0.95× 5.56
Draw & both teams score 12.3% 13.3% 18.8% 0.70× 7.54
Draw & not both score 11.3% 13.3% 10.8% 1.23× 7.54
Boyacá Chicó FC & not both score 6.2% 8.3% 13.4% 0.62× 12.01
Boyacá Chicó FC & both teams score 3.2% 4.9% 11.5% 0.42× 20.52
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali & under 3.5 51.1% 48.8% 35.7% 1.37× 2.05
Deportivo Cali & over 1.5 49.3% 45.1% 33.8% 1.33× 2.22
Deportivo Cali & under 2.5 33.7% 30.8% 20.5% 1.50× 3.25
Deportivo Cali & over 2.5 33.2% 30.8% 25.5% 1.21× 3.25
Draw & under 2.5 21.4% 21.6% 23.7% 0.91× 4.63
Draw & under 3.5 21.4% 21.6% 23.7% 0.91× 4.63
Deportivo Cali & under 1.5 17.7% 18.0% 12.2% 1.48× 5.56
Deportivo Cali & over 3.5 15.8% 18.0% 10.2% 1.76× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 12.3% 12.8% 18.8% 0.68× 7.79
Draw & under 1.5 11.3% 12.8% 10.8% 1.19× 7.79
Boyacá Chicó FC & under 3.5 8.5% 7.9% 19.9% 0.40× 12.63
Boyacá Chicó FC & under 2.5 5.9% 7.9% 12.1% 0.66× 12.63
Boyacá Chicó FC & over 1.5 4.8% 4.8% 16.5% 0.29× 20.81
Boyacá Chicó FC & under 1.5 4.6% 4.8% 8.4% 0.57× 20.81
Boyacá Chicó FC & over 2.5 3.5% 4.8% 12.9% 0.37× 20.82
Draw & over 2.5 2.3% 4.8% 6.0% 0.81× 20.83
Draw & over 3.5 2.3% 4.8% 6.0% 0.81× 20.83
Boyacá Chicó FC & over 3.5 0.9% 4.8% 5.0% 0.96× 20.84
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (1UP) 74.6% 75.4% — — 1.33
Boyacá Chicó FC (1UP) 21.4% 21.7% — — 4.61
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (2UP) 66.9% 68.0% — — 1.47
Boyacá Chicó FC (2UP) 9.4% 8.8% — — 11.36
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali to win 2nd half 52.3% 52.0% — — 1.92
2nd half drawn 36.8% 36.4% — — 2.75
Boyacá Chicó FC to win 2nd half 10.9% 10.9% — — 9.20
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC under 1.5 in 2nd half 96.2% 93.4% — — 1.07
Boyacá Chicó FC under 0.5 in 2nd half 73.9% 75.7% — — 1.32
Boyacá Chicó FC over 0.5 in 2nd half 26.1% 24.3% — — 4.11
Boyacá Chicó FC over 1.5 in 2nd half 3.8% 6.6% — — 15.12
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali under 1.5 in 2nd half 73.9% 74.5% — — 1.34
Deportivo Cali over 0.5 in 2nd half 62.9% 63.2% — — 1.58
Deportivo Cali under 0.5 in 2nd half 37.1% 36.8% — — 2.71
Deportivo Cali over 1.5 in 2nd half 26.1% 25.5% — — 3.92
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (+0.5) 90.6% 92.1% 75.2% 1.22× 1.09
Boyacá Chicó FC (+2.5) 81.4% 82.6% 91.8% 0.90× 1.21
Deportivo Cali (-0.5) 66.9% 68.7% 45.8% 1.50× 1.46
Boyacá Chicó FC (+1.5) 60.1% 62.9% 79.6% 0.79× 1.59
Deportivo Cali (-1.5) 39.9% 37.1% 20.4% 1.82× 2.70
Boyacá Chicó FC (+0.5) 33.1% 31.3% 54.2% 0.58× 3.19
Deportivo Cali (-2.5) 18.6% 17.4% 8.2% 2.13× 5.74
Boyacá Chicó FC (-0.5) 9.4% 7.9% 24.8% 0.32× 12.68
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC to concede 82.5% 81.5% 75.9% 1.07× 1.23
Boyacá Chicó FC clean sheet 17.5% 18.5% 24.1% 0.77× 5.40
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC to concede in 1st half 52.7% 50.9% — — 1.97
Boyacá Chicó FC clean sheet in 1st half 47.3% 49.1% — — 2.04
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC to concede in 2nd half 62.9% 61.8% — — 1.62
Boyacá Chicó FC clean sheet in 2nd half 37.1% 38.2% — — 2.62
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC under 6.5 corners 91.5% 89.9% — — 1.11
Boyacá Chicó FC under 5.5 corners 84.7% 81.4% — — 1.23
Boyacá Chicó FC under 4.5 corners 74.1% 71.6% — — 1.40
Boyacá Chicó FC over 2.5 corners 59.6% 57.2% — — 1.75
Boyacá Chicó FC under 3.5 corners 59.1% 57.2% — — 1.75
Boyacá Chicó FC over 3.5 corners 40.9% 42.8% — — 2.34
Boyacá Chicó FC under 2.5 corners 40.4% 42.8% — — 2.34
Boyacá Chicó FC over 4.5 corners 25.9% 28.4% — — 3.53
Boyacá Chicó FC over 5.5 corners 15.3% 18.6% — — 5.38
Boyacá Chicó FC over 6.5 corners 8.5% 10.1% — — 9.89
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC under 3.5 goals 99.8% 97.5% 98.1% 0.99× 1.03
Boyacá Chicó FC under 2.5 goals 98.5% 97.5% 92.9% 1.05× 1.03
Boyacá Chicó FC under 1.5 goals 90.8% 92.3% 74.2% 1.24× 1.08
Boyacá Chicó FC under 0.5 goals 60.4% 63.2% 37.8% 1.67× 1.58
Boyacá Chicó FC over 0.5 goals 39.6% 36.8% 62.2% 0.59× 2.72
Boyacá Chicó FC over 1.5 goals 9.2% 7.7% 25.8% 0.30× 13.05
Boyacá Chicó FC over 2.5 goals 1.5% 2.5% 7.1% 0.35× 39.89
Boyacá Chicó FC over 3.5 goals 0.2% 2.5% 1.9% 1.29× 39.96
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC under 1.5 in 1st half 98.2% 96.4% — — 1.04
Boyacá Chicó FC under 0.5 in 1st half 81.7% 82.5% — — 1.21
Boyacá Chicó FC over 0.5 in 1st half 18.3% 17.5% — — 5.72
Boyacá Chicó FC over 1.5 in 1st half 1.8% 3.6% — — 27.44
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC scores equally in both 64.1% 64.4% — — 1.55
Boyacá Chicó FC scores more in 2nd half 22.0% 21.8% — — 4.59
Boyacá Chicó FC scores more in 1st half 13.9% 12.1% — — 8.27
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (away no bet) 73.9% 68.4% 60.8% 1.12× 1.46
Draw (away no bet) 26.1% 31.6% 39.2% 0.81× 3.17
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC even goals 68.2% 65.0% 57.6% 1.13× 1.54
Boyacá Chicó FC odd goals 31.8% 35.0% 42.4% 0.83× 2.86
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 90.9% 91.3% — — 1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals 9.1% 8.7% — — 11.50
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 53.0% 51.0% — — 1.96
Both halves under 1.5 goals 47.0% 49.0% — — 2.04
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 52.0% 50.9% — — 1.97
Deportivo Cali to score 2+ in a row 47.8% 46.2% — — 2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row 22.0% 19.5% — — 5.13
Deportivo Cali to score 3+ in a row 21.3% 19.5% — — 5.13
Boyacá Chicó FC to score 2+ in a row 6.0% 5.5% — — 18.30
Boyacá Chicó FC to score 3+ in a row 0.7% 2.5% — — 40.54
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali corners (+3.5) 94.7% 89.6% — — 1.12
Deportivo Cali corners (+2.5) 90.9% 89.6% — — 1.12
Deportivo Cali corners (+1.5) 85.2% 84.5% — — 1.18
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (+3.5) 64.4% 61.9% — — 1.62
Deportivo Cali corners (-1.5) 57.1% 57.2% — — 1.75
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (+2.5) 54.0% 52.4% — — 1.91
Deportivo Cali corners (-2.5) 46.0% 47.6% — — 2.10
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (+1.5) 42.9% 42.8% — — 2.33
Deportivo Cali corners (-3.5) 35.6% 38.1% — — 2.62
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (-1.5) 14.8% 15.5% — — 6.45
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (-2.5) 9.1% 10.4% — — 9.59
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (-3.5) 5.3% 10.4% — — 9.60
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 49.3% 41.8% — — 2.40
9-11 corners 27.3% 31.2% — — 3.21
12+ corners 23.4% 25.7% — — 3.90
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 83.0% 80.7% — — 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 76.6% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 68.8% 67.8% — — 1.48
Over 7.5 corners 61.5% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 9.5 corners 59.6% 57.9% — — 1.73
Over 8.5 corners 50.7% 53.2% — — 1.88
Under 8.5 corners 49.3% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 9.5 corners 40.4% 42.1% — — 2.37
Under 7.5 corners 38.5% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 10.5 corners 31.2% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 11.5 corners 23.4% 23.4% — — 4.27
Over 12.5 corners 17.0% 19.3% — — 5.17
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 17.7% 13.8% 12.2% 1.14× 7.23
2-0 16.0% 13.8% 8.4% 1.64× 7.24
0-0 11.3% 11.5% 10.8% 1.06× 8.72
1-1 10.1% 11.5% 13.0% 0.88× 8.72
3-0 9.3% 7.4% 4.6% 1.62× 13.51
2-1 8.1% 7.4% 10.9% 0.68× 13.51
0-1 4.6% 1.7% 8.4% 0.20× 58.29
0-2 1.3% 1.7% 3.7% 0.46× 58.31
0-3 0.2% 1.7% 1.1% 1.55× 58.32
0-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.32
1-2 2.3% 1.7% 7.1% 0.24× 58.31
1-3 0.4% 1.7% 1.4% 1.24× 58.32
1-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.7% 2.48× 58.32
2-2 2.0% 1.7% 5.3% 0.33× 58.31
2-3 0.3% 1.7% 1.9% 0.88× 58.32
2-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.1% 12.38× 58.32
3-1 4.7% 1.7% 3.5% 0.50× 58.29
3-2 1.2% 1.7% 2.4% 0.73× 58.31
3-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.8% 2.06× 58.32
3-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.3% 6.19× 58.32
4-0 4.1% 1.7% 1.7% 1.03× 58.30
4-1 2.0% 1.7% 0.7% 2.48× 58.31
4-2 0.5% 1.7% 0.7% 2.48× 58.32
4-3 0.1% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.32
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.1% 12.38× 58.32
Any other score 3.2% 1.7% 2.4% 0.73× 58.30
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (2nd half DNB) 82.8% 82.4% — — 1.21
Boyacá Chicó FC (2nd half DNB) 17.2% 17.7% — — 5.67
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali leading at HT (DNB) 83.3% 85.3% — — 1.17
Boyacá Chicó FC leading at HT (DNB) 16.7% 14.7% — — 6.81
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali or draw (1X) 90.6% 91.8% 75.2% 1.22× 1.09
Deportivo Cali or Boyacá Chicó FC (12) 76.3% 75.5% 70.5% 1.07× 1.32
Boyacá Chicó FC or draw (X2) 33.1% 35.3% 54.2% 0.65× 2.84
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali or draw at HT 90.8% 91.0% — — 1.10
Deportivo Cali or Boyacá Chicó FC at HT 55.0% 57.4% — — 1.74
Boyacá Chicó FC or draw at HT 54.2% 48.6% — — 2.06
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali or draw (1UP) 90.6% 93.3% — — 1.07
Boyacá Chicó FC or draw (1UP) 33.1% 39.3% — — 2.54
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali or draw in 2nd half 89.1% 89.1% — — 1.12
Deportivo Cali or Boyacá Chicó FC in 2nd half 63.2% 63.6% — — 1.57
Boyacá Chicó FC or draw in 2nd half 47.7% 48.0% — — 2.08
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 64.4% 61.4% — — 1.63
Neither half drawn 35.6% 38.6% — — 2.59
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (DNB) 87.7% 87.1% 64.9% 1.34× 1.15
Boyacá Chicó FC (DNB) 12.3% 12.9% 35.1% 0.37× 7.77
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali to score first 68.7% 69.3% — — 1.44
Boyacá Chicó FC to score first 19.9% 19.0% — — 5.28
No goal scored 11.3% 9.6% — — 10.46
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 66.5% 58.4% 51.1% 1.14× 1.71
Both teams to score 33.5% 41.6% 48.9% 0.85× 2.40
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 51.0% 47.2% 43.1% 1.10× 2.12
Both score & over 2.5 23.4% 27.9% 36.0% 0.77× 3.59
Not both score & over 2.5 15.6% 21.5% 8.2% 2.63× 4.66
Both score & under 2.5 10.1% 12.4% 13.0% 0.95× 8.09
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 95.2% 91.6% 88.6% 1.03× 1.09
Both teams to score 2+ 4.8% 8.4% 11.4% 0.74× 11.88
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 83.3% 74.0% — — 1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half 16.7% 26.0% — — 3.85
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 75.1% 73.3% — — 1.37
Both score 2nd half only 15.1% 14.9% — — 6.73
Both score 1st half only 8.2% 6.8% — — 14.70
Both score in both halves 1.6% 4.8% — — 20.86
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 90.2% 90.5% — — 1.11
Both teams to score by HT 9.8% 9.5% — — 10.49
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 55.1% 56.9% — — 1.76
A goal in each half 44.9% 43.1% — — 2.32
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.4% 47.2% 48.1% 0.98× 2.12
0-1 goals 33.6% 30.7% 31.2% 0.99× 3.25
4-6 goals 18.1% 20.2% 19.5% 1.04× 4.94
7+ goals 0.8% 1.8% 1.5% 1.20× 54.48
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC to score exactly 0 60.4% 50.3% 37.8% 1.33× 1.99
Boyacá Chicó FC to score exactly 1 30.5% 33.8% 36.6% 0.92× 2.96
Boyacá Chicó FC to score exactly 2 7.7% 8.5% 18.8% 0.45× 11.70
Boyacá Chicó FC to score 3+ 1.5% 4.6% 7.1% 0.64× 21.98
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali to score exactly 1 30.5% 32.6% 34.5% 0.94× 3.07
Deportivo Cali to score exactly 2 26.6% 26.6% 26.2% 1.01× 3.77
Deportivo Cali to score 3+ 25.4% 26.6% 15.5% 1.71× 3.77
Deportivo Cali to score exactly 0 17.5% 18.8% 24.1% 0.78× 5.32
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali leading at HT 45.9% 51.4% — — 1.95
Draw at HT 45.0% 42.6% — — 2.35
Boyacá Chicó FC leading at HT 9.2% 9.0% — — 11.17
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali -1: 1 39.9% 37.4% — — 2.67
Deportivo Cali -1: 2 33.1% 30.1% — — 3.32
Deportivo Cali -1: X 27.0% 26.5% — — 3.77
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (0:1) 39.9% 37.4% 20.4% 1.84× 2.68
Boyacá Chicó FC (0:1) 33.1% 30.1% 54.2% 0.56× 3.32
Draw (0:1) 27.0% 27.0% 25.6% 1.05× 3.70
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC (0:2) 60.1% 67.0% 79.6% 0.84× 1.49
Draw (0:2) 21.3% 20.3% 12.3% 1.64× 4.94
Deportivo Cali (0:2) 18.6% 15.3% 8.2% 1.87× 6.55
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC (0:3) 81.4% 85.3% 91.8% 0.93× 1.17
Draw (0:3) 11.5% 9.9% 5.4% 1.83× 10.13
Deportivo Cali (0:3) 7.0% 5.8% 2.9% 1.99× 17.25
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC (0:4) 93.0% 94.5% 97.1% 0.97× 1.06
Draw (0:4) 4.8% 1.2% 1.9% 0.63× 81.44
Deportivo Cali (0:4) 2.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.10× 81.72
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (1:0) 90.6% 92.5% 75.2% 1.23× 1.08
Draw (1:0) 7.3% 6.9% 17.3% 0.40× 14.50
Boyacá Chicó FC (1:0) 2.1% 3.2% 7.6% 0.43× 30.80
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (2:0) 97.9% 96.8% 92.4% 1.05× 1.03
Draw (2:0) 1.8% 2.3% 5.0% 0.46× 43.81
Boyacá Chicó FC (2:0) 0.3% 2.3% 2.8% 0.82× 43.91
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 43.8% 45.5% — — 2.20
Halves equal 29.3% 26.3% — — 3.81
1st half highest scoring 26.8% 26.2% — — 3.81
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali clean sheet 60.4% 63.6% 37.8% 1.68× 1.57
Deportivo Cali to concede 39.6% 36.4% 62.2% 0.59× 2.75
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali clean sheet in 1st half 81.7% 83.4% — — 1.20
Deportivo Cali to concede in 1st half 18.3% 16.6% — — 6.01
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali clean sheet in 2nd half 73.9% 73.2% — — 1.37
Deportivo Cali to concede in 2nd half 26.1% 26.8% — — 3.73
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali over 2.5 corners 84.9% 81.0% — — 1.24
Deportivo Cali over 3.5 corners 73.0% 71.9% — — 1.39
Deportivo Cali under 6.5 corners 65.5% 66.7% — — 1.50
Deportivo Cali over 4.5 corners 59.6% 57.5% — — 1.74
Deportivo Cali under 5.5 corners 53.7% 52.6% — — 1.90
Deportivo Cali over 5.5 corners 46.3% 47.4% — — 2.11
Deportivo Cali under 4.5 corners 40.4% 42.5% — — 2.35
Deportivo Cali over 6.5 corners 34.5% 33.3% — — 3.00
Deportivo Cali under 3.5 corners 27.0% 28.1% — — 3.56
Deportivo Cali under 2.5 corners 15.1% 19.0% — — 5.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali under 3.5 goals 90.1% 92.2% 95.3% 0.97× 1.09
Deportivo Cali over 0.5 goals 82.5% 82.2% 75.9% 1.08× 1.22
Deportivo Cali under 2.5 goals 74.6% 74.2% 84.5% 0.88× 1.35
Deportivo Cali over 1.5 goals 51.9% 53.2% 41.6% 1.28× 1.88
Deportivo Cali under 1.5 goals 48.1% 46.8% 58.4% 0.80× 2.14
Deportivo Cali over 2.5 goals 25.4% 25.8% 15.5% 1.66× 3.88
Deportivo Cali under 0.5 goals 17.5% 17.8% 24.1% 0.74× 5.62
Deportivo Cali over 3.5 goals 9.9% 7.8% 4.7% 1.66× 12.81
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali under 1.5 in 1st half 82.7% 84.2% — — 1.19
Deportivo Cali over 0.5 in 1st half 52.7% 50.6% — — 1.97
Deportivo Cali under 0.5 in 1st half 47.3% 49.4% — — 2.03
Deportivo Cali over 1.5 in 1st half 17.3% 15.8% — — 6.33
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali scores more in 2nd half 40.1% 41.6% — — 2.40
Deportivo Cali scores equally in both 33.2% 33.2% — — 3.01
Deportivo Cali scores more in 1st half 26.7% 27.8% — — 3.59
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 71.5% 66.8% 54.3% 1.23× 1.50
Boyacá Chicó FC (home no bet) 28.5% 33.2% 45.7% 0.73× 3.01
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali even goals 51.5% 50.8% 53.3% 0.95× 1.97
Deportivo Cali odd goals 48.5% 49.3% 46.7% 1.06× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 38.8% 38.8% — — 2.58
HT 1-0 28.8% 28.5% — — 3.51
HT 2-0 10.8% 11.0% — — 9.12
HT 0-1 7.7% 6.9% — — 14.54
HT 1-1 6.0% 6.9% — — 14.57
Any other HT score 4.1% 2.4% — — 42.15
HT 2-1 2.2% 2.4% — — 42.28
HT 0-2 0.8% 2.4% — — 42.37
HT 1-2 0.6% 2.4% — — 42.38
HT 2-2 0.2% 2.4% — — 42.41
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali at HT / Deportivo Cali at FT 42.0% 40.8% — — 2.45
Draw at HT / Deportivo Cali at FT 23.1% 21.6% — — 4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 17.4% 16.8% — — 5.96
Draw at HT / Boyacá Chicó FC at FT 4.5% 3.5% — — 28.87
Boyacá Chicó FC at HT / Boyacá Chicó FC at FT 4.4% 3.5% — — 28.88
Deportivo Cali at HT / Draw at FT 3.4% 3.5% — — 28.91
Boyacá Chicó FC at HT / Draw at FT 2.9% 3.5% — — 28.93
Boyacá Chicó FC at HT / Deportivo Cali at FT 1.8% 3.5% — — 28.97
Deportivo Cali at HT / Boyacá Chicó FC at FT 0.5% 3.4% — — 29.02
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali to score last 68.9% 70.5% — — 1.42
Boyacá Chicó FC to score last 19.7% 14.9% — — 6.73
No goal scored 11.3% 9.0% — — 11.16
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 88.7% 91.5% — — 1.09
Deportivo Cali to lead by 1 at any time 74.6% 74.2% — — 1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 47.3% 44.3% — — 2.26
Deportivo Cali to lead by 2 at any time 43.7% 39.2% — — 2.55
Boyacá Chicó FC to lead by 1 at any time 21.4% 19.5% — — 5.13
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 20.6% 19.5% — — 5.13
Deportivo Cali to lead by 3 at any time 20.1% 19.5% — — 5.14
Boyacá Chicó FC to lead by 2 at any time 3.7% 1.6% — — 61.71
Boyacá Chicó FC to lead by 3 at any time 0.5% 1.5% — — 64.83
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali most corners 67.9% 64.5% — — 1.55
Boyacá Chicó FC most corners 22.5% 25.9% — — 3.86
Corners level 9.6% 8.3% — — 11.98
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.0% 87.4% 85.7% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 80.9% 83.4% 80.1% 1.04× 1.20
1-3 goals 69.7% 68.8% 68.4% 1.01× 1.45
2-6 goals 65.6% 68.8% 67.5% 1.02× 1.45
2-5 goals 63.7% 63.3% 65.4% 0.97× 1.58
2-4 goals 58.7% 59.1% 59.7% 0.99× 1.69
1-2 goals 49.7% 48.5% 45.3% 1.07× 2.06
2-3 goals 47.4% 48.4% 48.1% 1.01× 2.06
3-6 goals 38.1% 39.2% 42.7% 0.92× 2.55
3-5 goals 36.2% 39.2% 40.6% 0.97× 2.55
3-4 goals 31.2% 35.2% 34.9% 1.01× 2.84
4-6 goals 18.1% 18.8% 19.5% 0.96× 5.31
4-5 goals 16.3% 18.8% 17.5% 1.08× 5.31
5-6 goals 6.9% 8.9% 7.9% 1.12× 11.27
7+ goals 0.8% 2.5% 1.5% 1.67× 39.23
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali never behind 67.3% 69.3% — — 1.44
Boyacá Chicó FC never behind 14.1% 12.4% — — 8.04
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.9% 50.9% 50.4% 1.01× 1.97
Even number of goals 52.1% 49.1% 49.6% 0.99× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 57.7% 57.8% — — 1.73
Odd goals in 1st half 42.3% 42.2% — — 2.37
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 54.3% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 45.7% 48.0% — — 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 97.3% 95.4% 96.4% 0.99× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 92.3% 92.3% 90.7% 1.02× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 88.7% 87.6% 89.2% 0.98× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 81.0% 82.3% 79.1% 1.04× 1.22
Over 1.5 goals 66.4% 66.3% 68.8% 0.96× 1.51
Under 2.5 goals 61.0% 61.7% 56.0% 1.10× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 39.0% 38.3% 44.0% 0.87× 2.61
Under 1.5 goals 33.6% 33.7% 31.2% 1.08× 2.97
Over 3.5 goals 19.0% 17.7% 20.9% 0.85× 5.65
Under 0.5 goals 11.3% 12.4% 10.8% 1.15× 8.07
Over 4.5 goals 7.7% 7.7% 9.3% 0.83× 12.93
Over 5.5 goals 2.7% 4.6% 3.6% 1.27× 21.83
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.2% 97.2% 98.4% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 97.1% 97.2% 96.2% 1.01× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 91.3% 92.4% 89.5% 1.03× 1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 76.3% 75.9% 72.8% 1.04× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 53.7% 51.9% 58.6% 0.89× 1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 46.3% 48.1% 41.4% 1.16× 2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 23.7% 24.1% 27.2% 0.89× 4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 8.7% 7.6% 10.5% 0.72× 13.18
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 2.9% 2.8% 3.8% 0.74× 35.61
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.8% 2.8% 1.6% 1.80× 35.67
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 92.9% 92.8% — — 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 75.3% 78.0% — — 1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half 61.2% 63.1% — — 1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half 38.8% 36.9% — — 2.71
Over 1.5 in 1st half 24.7% 22.0% — — 4.54
Over 2.5 in 1st half 7.1% 7.2% — — 13.95
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 85.8% 85.3% — — 1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 72.4% 77.7% — — 1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 62.6% 61.5% — — 1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 37.4% 38.5% — — 2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 27.6% 22.3% — — 4.48
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 14.2% 14.7% — — 6.81
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC not to score in both halves 95.2% 95.4% — — 1.05
Deportivo Cali not to score in both halves 66.8% 70.0% — — 1.43
Deportivo Cali to score in both halves 33.2% 30.0% — — 3.33
Boyacá Chicó FC to score in both halves 4.8% 4.6% — — 21.96
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Only Deportivo Cali scores 49.0% 50.7% 27.1% 1.87× 1.97
Both teams score 33.5% 33.3% 48.9% 0.68× 3.00
Neither team scores 11.3% 11.0% 10.8% 1.02× 9.07
Only Boyacá Chicó FC scores 6.2% 7.1% 13.4% 0.53× 14.01
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 27.5% 24.9% 24.9% 1.00× 4.02
Exactly 1 goals 22.3% 22.6% 20.5% 1.10× 4.43
Exactly 3 goals 20.0% 17.5% 23.3% 0.75× 5.73
Exactly 0 goals 11.3% 12.1% 10.8% 1.12× 8.26
Exactly 4 goals 11.2% 12.1% 11.8% 1.03× 8.26
Exactly 5 goals 5.0% 7.6% 5.8% 1.31× 13.15
6 or more goals 2.7% 4.5% 3.6% 1.24× 22.36
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 1st half 38.8% 37.3% — — 2.68
1 goal in 1st half 36.5% 37.3% — — 2.69
2 goals in 1st half 17.6% 15.7% — — 6.38
3+ goals in 1st half 7.1% 7.2% — — 13.95
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 37.4% 39.9% — — 2.51
1 goal in 2nd half 35.0% 34.0% — — 2.95
No goals in 2nd half 27.6% 29.1% — — 3.43
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC not to win both halves 99.0% 97.3% — — 1.03
Deportivo Cali not to win both halves 75.8% 75.4% — — 1.33
Deportivo Cali to win both halves 24.2% 24.6% — — 4.07
Boyacá Chicó FC to win both halves 1.0% 2.7% — — 36.82
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC to win neither half 81.0% 83.4% — — 1.20
Deportivo Cali to win either half 74.0% 73.2% — — 1.37
Deportivo Cali to win neither half 26.0% 26.8% — — 3.73
Boyacá Chicó FC to win either half 19.0% 16.6% — — 6.01
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC not to win to nil 93.8% 92.1% 86.6% 1.06× 1.09
Deportivo Cali not to win to nil 51.0% 53.7% 72.9% 0.74× 1.86
Deportivo Cali to win to nil 49.0% 46.3% 27.1% 1.70× 2.16
Boyacá Chicó FC to win to nil 6.2% 7.9% 13.4% 0.59× 12.68
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali by 1 27.0% 27.9% 25.6% 1.09× 3.59
Draw 23.7% 24.1% 29.5% 0.82× 4.15
Deportivo Cali by 2 21.3% 24.1% 12.3% 1.96× 4.15
Deportivo Cali by 3+ 18.6% 17.1% 8.2% 2.09× 5.86
Boyacá Chicó FC by 1 7.3% 7.2% 17.3% 0.42× 13.91
Boyacá Chicó FC by 2 1.8% 2.7% 5.0% 0.54× 36.92
Boyacá Chicó FC by 3+ 0.3% 2.7% 2.8% 0.98× 36.96
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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