Deportivo Cali v Deportes Tolima — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Deportivo Cali

20:30 UTC

Deportes Tolima

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 298h before kick-off

Deportivo Cali win

39.0%

model 37.3%

Draw

30.5%

model 30.9%

Deportes Tolima win

30.5%

model 31.8%

393031

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.4%
0-0 11.7%
1-0 11.4%
0-1 10.2%
2-1 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	38.9%	Under 2.5	61.1%
BTTS yes	46.5%	BTTS no	53.5%
Deportivo Cali 1+	69.2%	Deportivo Cali 2+	32.9%
Deportes Tolima 1+	65.6%	Deportes Tolima 2+	28.9%

Expected goals 1.18 – 1.07. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

84/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Deportes Tolima (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 54%

63.7% fair odds 1.57

moderate signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Deportes Tolima (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 80%

83.7% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Deportivo Cali.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportivo Cali have an estimated 39.0% win probability, against 30.5% for Deportes Tolima and 30.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.18 for Deportivo Cali and 1.07 for Deportes Tolima.

Why Deportivo Cali

Nothing in the data singles out Deportivo Cali.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 30.5%. A combined 2.25 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.18 to 1.07. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Deportes Tolima can win

Deportes Tolima carry the stronger rating, 1598 Elo against 1503.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Deportivo Cali, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Deportes Tolima, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Deportivo Cali: 51% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Deportes Tolima: 55% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Deportivo Cali are the model's most likely outcome at 39.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.4%. Confidence 84/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	373132	1.18–1.07	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	363430	1.01–0.89	0-0 16%	30%	39%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali to win	36.4%	36.3%	45.8%	0.79×	2.75
Draw	33.9%	30.4%	29.5%	1.03×	3.29
Deportes Tolima to win	29.7%	27.9%	24.8%	1.13×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali & not both score	25.1%	25.2%	27.1%	0.93×	3.97
Deportes Tolima & not both score	20.3%	21.8%	13.4%	1.62×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	17.9%	18.0%	18.8%	0.95×	5.56
Draw & not both score	16.0%	18.0%	10.8%	1.66×	5.57
Deportivo Cali & both teams score	11.3%	13.3%	18.8%	0.70×	7.54
Deportes Tolima & both teams score	9.5%	8.3%	11.5%	0.73×	11.99

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali & under 3.5	31.1%	30.7%	35.7%	0.86×	3.25
Draw & under 2.5	30.5%	30.7%	23.7%	1.30×	3.25
Draw & under 3.5	30.5%	30.7%	23.7%	1.30×	3.25
Deportes Tolima & under 3.5	25.8%	26.1%	19.9%	1.31×	3.84
Deportivo Cali & over 1.5	22.4%	21.6%	33.8%	0.64×	4.63
Deportivo Cali & under 2.5	21.7%	21.6%	20.5%	1.05×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	17.9%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Deportes Tolima & over 1.5	17.6%	18.0%	16.5%	1.09×	5.56
Deportes Tolima & under 2.5	18.1%	18.0%	12.1%	1.49×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	16.0%	18.0%	10.8%	1.67×	5.56
Deportivo Cali & over 2.5	14.7%	12.8%	25.5%	0.50×	7.79
Deportivo Cali & under 1.5	14.0%	12.8%	12.2%	1.05×	7.79
Deportes Tolima & under 1.5	12.2%	12.8%	8.4%	1.52×	7.79
Deportes Tolima & over 2.5	11.7%	12.8%	12.9%	1.00×	7.79
Deportivo Cali & over 3.5	5.3%	7.9%	10.2%	0.77×	12.63
Deportes Tolima & over 3.5	4.0%	4.8%	5.0%	0.96×	20.82
Draw & over 2.5	3.4%	4.8%	6.0%	0.81×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.4%	4.8%	6.0%	0.81×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali (1UP)	49.0%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Deportes Tolima (1UP)	43.0%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali (2UP)	36.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Deportes Tolima (2UP)	29.7%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	44.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Deportivo Cali to win 2nd half	29.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Deportes Tolima to win 2nd half	26.3%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.9%	87.3%	—	—	1.15
Deportes Tolima under 0.5 in 2nd half	58.6%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Deportes Tolima over 0.5 in 2nd half	41.4%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Deportes Tolima over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.85

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.5%	88.9%	—	—	1.13
Deportivo Cali under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Deportivo Cali over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Deportivo Cali over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.5%	11.1%	—	—	9.02

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (+2.5)	95.8%	96.3%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Deportes Tolima (+1.5)	85.6%	88.5%	79.6%	1.11×	1.13
Deportivo Cali (+0.5)	70.3%	73.6%	75.2%	0.98×	1.36
Deportes Tolima (+0.5)	63.6%	63.0%	54.2%	1.16×	1.59
Deportivo Cali (-0.5)	36.4%	37.0%	45.8%	0.81×	2.70
Deportes Tolima (-0.5)	29.7%	26.4%	24.8%	1.06×	3.79
Deportivo Cali (-1.5)	14.4%	11.5%	20.4%	0.57×	8.66
Deportivo Cali (-2.5)	4.2%	3.7%	8.2%	0.45×	27.07

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima to concede	63.7%	67.6%	75.9%	0.89×	1.48
Deportes Tolima clean sheet	36.3%	32.4%	24.1%	1.34×	3.09

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima clean sheet in 1st half	64.7%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Deportes Tolima to concede in 1st half	35.3%	35.3%	—	—	2.83

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima clean sheet in 2nd half	56.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Deportes Tolima to concede in 2nd half	43.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima under 6.5 corners	86.2%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Deportes Tolima under 5.5 corners	77.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Deportes Tolima over 2.5 corners	68.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Deportes Tolima under 4.5 corners	65.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Deportes Tolima over 3.5 corners	50.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Deportes Tolima under 3.5 corners	49.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Deportes Tolima over 4.5 corners	34.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Deportes Tolima under 2.5 corners	31.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Deportes Tolima over 5.5 corners	22.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Deportes Tolima over 6.5 corners	13.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima under 3.5 goals	98.7%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Deportes Tolima under 2.5 goals	93.9%	92.4%	92.9%	0.99×	1.08
Deportes Tolima under 1.5 goals	77.6%	76.2%	74.2%	1.03×	1.31
Deportes Tolima over 0.5 goals	58.9%	59.4%	62.2%	0.96×	1.68
Deportes Tolima under 0.5 goals	41.1%	40.6%	37.8%	1.07×	2.47
Deportes Tolima over 1.5 goals	22.4%	23.8%	25.8%	0.92×	4.21
Deportes Tolima over 2.5 goals	6.1%	7.6%	7.1%	1.08×	13.08
Deportes Tolima over 3.5 goals	1.3%	2.5%	1.9%	1.29×	39.90

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima under 1.5 in 1st half	95.0%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Deportes Tolima under 0.5 in 1st half	70.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Deportes Tolima over 0.5 in 1st half	30.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Deportes Tolima over 1.5 in 1st half	5.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.72

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima scores equally in both	49.3%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Deportes Tolima scores more in 2nd half	31.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Deportes Tolima scores more in 1st half	19.2%	18.2%	—	—	5.50

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali (away no bet)	51.8%	51.7%	60.8%	0.85×	1.94
Draw (away no bet)	48.2%	48.3%	39.2%	1.23×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima even goals	58.4%	56.9%	57.6%	0.99×	1.76
Deportes Tolima odd goals	41.6%	43.1%	42.4%	1.02×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	94.2%	92.1%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	5.8%	7.9%	—	—	12.59

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	55.8%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Not both halves under 1.5	44.2%	39.9%	—	—	2.51

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	37.8%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Deportivo Cali to score 2+ in a row	22.3%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Deportes Tolima to score 2+ in a row	17.9%	16.2%	—	—	6.19
Either team to score 3+ in a row	9.8%	5.6%	—	—	17.99
Deportivo Cali to score 3+ in a row	5.8%	5.5%	—	—	18.31
Deportes Tolima to score 3+ in a row	4.1%	2.6%	—	—	38.50

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali corners (+3.5)	89.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Deportivo Cali corners (+2.5)	84.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Deportivo Cali corners (+1.5)	76.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Deportes Tolima corners (+3.5)	75.5%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Deportes Tolima corners (+2.5)	66.3%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Deportes Tolima corners (+1.5)	55.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Deportivo Cali corners (-1.5)	44.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Deportivo Cali corners (-2.5)	33.7%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Deportivo Cali corners (-3.5)	24.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Deportes Tolima corners (-1.5)	23.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Deportes Tolima corners (-2.5)	16.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Deportes Tolima corners (-3.5)	10.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	50.3%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	22.3%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.9%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	77.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	69.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	60.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	60.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 8.5 corners	50.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	49.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	39.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	39.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	30.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	22.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	16.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-0	16.0%	13.8%	10.8%	1.28×	7.24
1-1	14.5%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.71
1-0	14.0%	11.5%	12.2%	0.94×	8.71
0-1	12.2%	11.5%	8.4%	1.36×	8.71
2-0	7.7%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.51
2-1	6.8%	7.4%	10.9%	0.68×	13.51
0-2	5.9%	7.4%	3.7%	1.98×	13.51
1-2	6.0%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
1-3	1.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.32
2-2	3.0%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.30
2-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32
3-0	2.6%	1.7%	4.6%	0.38×	58.30
3-1	2.3%	1.7%	3.5%	0.50×	58.31
3-2	1.0%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31
3-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.19×	58.32
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.32
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.32
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32
Any other score	0.6%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.32
0-3	1.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.55×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali (2nd half DNB)	52.6%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Deportes Tolima (2nd half DNB)	47.4%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali leading at HT (DNB)	56.1%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Deportes Tolima leading at HT (DNB)	43.9%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali or draw (1X)	70.3%	72.1%	75.2%	0.96×	1.39
Deportivo Cali or Deportes Tolima (12)	66.1%	69.6%	70.5%	0.99×	1.44
Deportes Tolima or draw (X2)	63.6%	63.7%	54.2%	1.18×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali or draw at HT	79.4%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Deportes Tolima or draw at HT	73.6%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Deportivo Cali or Deportes Tolima at HT	47.0%	51.3%	—	—	1.95

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali or draw (1UP)	70.3%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Deportes Tolima or draw (1UP)	63.6%	71.7%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali or draw in 2nd half	73.7%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Deportes Tolima or draw in 2nd half	70.9%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Deportivo Cali or Deportes Tolima in 2nd half	55.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	72.9%	71.0%	—	—	1.41
Neither half drawn	27.1%	29.0%	—	—	3.45

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali (DNB)	55.0%	58.0%	64.9%	0.89×	1.72
Deportes Tolima (DNB)	45.0%	42.0%	35.1%	1.20×	2.38

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali to score first	44.7%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Deportes Tolima to score first	39.3%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	16.0%	17.0%	—	—	5.90

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	61.4%	56.6%	51.1%	1.11×	1.77
Both teams to score	38.7%	43.4%	48.9%	0.89×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	55.7%	47.4%	43.1%	1.10×	2.11
Both score & over 2.5	24.1%	27.9%	36.0%	0.77×	3.58
Both score & under 2.5	14.5%	12.4%	13.0%	0.95×	8.08
Not both score & over 2.5	5.6%	8.3%	8.2%	1.01×	12.08

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	94.0%	89.0%	88.6%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	6.0%	11.0%	11.4%	0.97×	9.11

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	81.5%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Both teams to score in 2nd half	18.5%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	72.6%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Both score 2nd half only	16.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Both score 1st half only	8.9%	6.8%	—	—	14.66
Both score in both halves	1.9%	4.8%	—	—	20.79

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	89.2%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	10.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	62.8%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
A goal in each half	37.2%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.2%	47.2%	48.1%	0.98×	2.12
0-1 goals	42.2%	42.2%	31.2%	1.35×	2.37
4-6 goals	12.3%	16.9%	19.5%	0.87×	5.91
7+ goals	0.3%	1.8%	1.5%	1.20×	54.53

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima to score exactly 0	41.1%	37.3%	37.8%	0.99×	2.68
Deportes Tolima to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
Deportes Tolima to score exactly 2	16.3%	19.5%	18.8%	1.04×	5.12
Deportes Tolima to score 3+	6.1%	8.5%	7.1%	1.21×	11.72

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.5%	34.5%	1.03×	2.81
Deportivo Cali to score exactly 0	36.3%	35.5%	24.1%	1.47×	2.81
Deportivo Cali to score exactly 2	18.7%	18.8%	26.2%	0.72×	5.32
Deportivo Cali to score 3+	8.3%	10.4%	15.5%	0.67×	9.66

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	53.0%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Deportivo Cali leading at HT	26.4%	25.5%	—	—	3.93
Deportes Tolima leading at HT	20.6%	20.3%	—	—	4.92

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali -1: 2	63.6%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Deportivo Cali -1: X	21.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Deportivo Cali -1: 1	14.4%	14.0%	—	—	7.14

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (0:1)	63.6%	61.5%	54.2%	1.14×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	21.9%	24.2%	25.6%	0.95×	4.13
Deportivo Cali (0:1)	14.4%	13.7%	20.4%	0.67×	7.29

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (0:2)	85.6%	87.1%	79.6%	1.09×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	10.2%	11.0%	12.3%	0.89×	9.11
Deportivo Cali (0:2)	4.2%	3.8%	8.2%	0.46×	26.65

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (0:3)	95.8%	96.6%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.2%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.00
Deportivo Cali (0:3)	1.0%	2.4%	2.9%	0.82×	42.10

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (0:4)	99.0%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	1.9%	0.63×	81.88
Deportivo Cali (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	81.95

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali (1:0)	70.3%	72.4%	75.2%	0.96×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	19.1%	17.1%	17.3%	0.99×	5.84
Deportes Tolima (1:0)	10.6%	12.7%	7.6%	1.67×	7.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali (2:0)	89.4%	88.5%	92.4%	0.96×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.9%	6.4%	5.0%	1.28×	15.65
Deportes Tolima (2:0)	2.7%	2.3%	2.8%	0.83×	43.75

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	42.0%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Halves equal	32.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
1st half highest scoring	25.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali to concede	58.9%	60.7%	62.2%	0.98×	1.65
Deportivo Cali clean sheet	41.1%	39.3%	37.8%	1.04×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali clean sheet in 1st half	70.0%	66.5%	—	—	1.50
Deportivo Cali to concede in 1st half	30.0%	33.5%	—	—	2.99

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali clean sheet in 2nd half	58.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Deportivo Cali to concede in 2nd half	41.4%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali over 2.5 corners	79.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Deportivo Cali under 6.5 corners	73.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Deportivo Cali over 3.5 corners	65.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Deportivo Cali under 5.5 corners	62.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Deportivo Cali over 4.5 corners	51.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Deportivo Cali under 4.5 corners	49.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Deportivo Cali over 5.5 corners	37.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Deportivo Cali under 3.5 corners	34.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Deportivo Cali over 6.5 corners	26.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Deportivo Cali under 2.5 corners	20.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali under 3.5 goals	98.0%	96.4%	95.3%	1.01×	1.04
Deportivo Cali under 2.5 goals	91.7%	92.2%	84.5%	1.09×	1.09
Deportivo Cali under 1.5 goals	73.1%	74.2%	58.4%	1.27×	1.35
Deportivo Cali over 0.5 goals	63.7%	63.6%	75.9%	0.84×	1.57
Deportivo Cali under 0.5 goals	36.3%	36.4%	24.1%	1.51×	2.75
Deportivo Cali over 1.5 goals	26.9%	25.8%	41.6%	0.62×	3.88
Deportivo Cali over 2.5 goals	8.3%	7.8%	15.5%	0.50×	12.83
Deportivo Cali over 3.5 goals	2.0%	3.6%	4.7%	0.77×	27.60

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali under 1.5 in 1st half	92.9%	94.8%	—	—	1.06
Deportivo Cali under 0.5 in 1st half	64.7%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Deportivo Cali over 0.5 in 1st half	35.3%	35.5%	—	—	2.82
Deportivo Cali over 1.5 in 1st half	7.1%	5.2%	—	—	19.17

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali scores equally in both	46.0%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Deportivo Cali scores more in 2nd half	31.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.02
Deportivo Cali scores more in 1st half	22.2%	21.0%	—	—	4.77

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	53.3%	51.5%	54.3%	0.95×	1.94
Deportes Tolima (home no bet)	46.7%	48.5%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali even goals	56.6%	55.3%	53.3%	1.04×	1.81
Deportivo Cali odd goals	43.4%	44.7%	46.7%	0.96×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	45.5%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
HT 1-0	19.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-1	15.9%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-1	7.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
HT 2-0	4.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.14
HT 0-2	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 2-1	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.32
Any other HT score	1.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.32
HT 1-2	1.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.34
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.40

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	24.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Deportivo Cali at HT / Deportivo Cali at FT	20.1%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
Deportes Tolima at HT / Deportes Tolima at FT	15.0%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Deportivo Cali at FT	14.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Deportes Tolima at FT	13.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Deportivo Cali at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Deportes Tolima at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Deportivo Cali at HT / Deportes Tolima at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.99
Deportes Tolima at HT / Deportivo Cali at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.99

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali to score last	44.8%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
Deportes Tolima to score last	39.2%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	16.0%	13.0%	—	—	7.70

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	84.0%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Deportivo Cali to lead by 1 at any time	49.0%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Deportes Tolima to lead by 1 at any time	43.0%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	31.8%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Deportivo Cali to lead by 2 at any time	18.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Deportes Tolima to lead by 2 at any time	13.9%	10.6%	—	—	9.41
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	8.4%	6.7%	—	—	15.00
Deportivo Cali to lead by 3 at any time	5.0%	6.6%	—	—	15.15
Deportes Tolima to lead by 3 at any time	3.4%	1.6%	—	—	61.97

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali most corners	55.6%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Deportes Tolima most corners	33.4%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	11.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	82.7%	83.4%	85.7%	0.97×	1.20
1-4 goals	79.6%	78.7%	80.1%	0.98×	1.27
1-3 goals	71.4%	72.3%	68.4%	1.06×	1.38
2-6 goals	57.5%	59.1%	67.5%	0.88×	1.69
2-5 goals	56.5%	59.1%	65.4%	0.90×	1.69
1-2 goals	54.3%	53.2%	45.3%	1.17×	1.88
2-4 goals	53.4%	53.2%	59.7%	0.89×	1.88
2-3 goals	45.2%	48.4%	48.1%	1.01×	2.06
3-6 goals	29.4%	30.2%	42.7%	0.71×	3.31
3-5 goals	28.4%	30.2%	40.6%	0.74×	3.31
3-4 goals	25.3%	30.2%	34.9%	0.87×	3.31
4-6 goals	12.3%	14.8%	19.5%	0.76×	6.76
4-5 goals	11.3%	14.8%	17.5%	0.85×	6.76
5-6 goals	4.1%	2.6%	7.9%	0.32×	39.08
7+ goals	0.3%	2.5%	1.5%	1.67×	39.26

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cali never behind	41.0%	48.7%	—	—	2.06
Deportes Tolima never behind	35.0%	36.5%	—	—	2.74

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.7%	50.9%	50.4%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.3%	49.1%	49.6%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	60.6%	58.3%	—	—	1.71
Odd goals in 1st half	39.4%	41.7%	—	—	2.40

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	56.2%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Odd goals in 2nd half	43.8%	40.7%	—	—	2.46

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.7%	95.4%	96.4%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	95.6%	95.4%	90.7%	1.05×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	87.4%	87.6%	79.1%	1.11×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	84.0%	82.3%	89.2%	0.92×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	70.3%	72.5%	56.0%	1.30×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	57.8%	58.6%	68.8%	0.85×	1.71
Under 1.5 goals	42.2%	41.4%	31.2%	1.33×	2.42
Over 2.5 goals	29.7%	27.5%	44.0%	0.63×	3.63
Under 0.5 goals	16.0%	17.7%	10.8%	1.64×	5.65
Over 3.5 goals	12.6%	12.4%	20.9%	0.59×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	4.4%	4.6%	9.3%	0.49×	21.80
Over 5.5 goals	1.3%	4.6%	3.6%	1.27×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.6%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.6%	97.2%	96.2%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	95.2%	97.2%	89.5%	1.09×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	84.8%	81.1%	72.8%	1.11×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	58.6%	55.8%	41.4%	1.35×	1.79
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	41.4%	44.2%	58.6%	0.75×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	15.2%	18.9%	27.2%	0.69×	5.30
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	4.8%	2.8%	10.5%	0.27×	35.56
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.4%	2.8%	3.8%	0.73×	35.65
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.4%	2.8%	1.6%	1.80×	35.68

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	95.4%	96.2%	—	—	1.04
Under 1.5 in 1st half	81.0%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	54.5%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Under 0.5 in 1st half	45.5%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
Over 1.5 in 1st half	19.0%	14.4%	—	—	6.96
Over 2.5 in 1st half	4.6%	3.8%	—	—	26.47

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	89.8%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	69.1%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	66.7%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	33.3%	31.6%	—	—	3.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	30.9%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	10.2%	14.5%	—	—	6.90

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima not to score in both halves	87.6%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Deportivo Cali not to score in both halves	84.5%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Deportivo Cali to score in both halves	15.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.41
Deportes Tolima to score in both halves	12.4%	14.4%	—	—	6.95

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	38.7%	39.9%	48.9%	0.82×	2.51
Only Deportivo Cali scores	25.1%	26.1%	27.1%	0.96×	3.84
Only Deportes Tolima scores	20.3%	22.2%	13.4%	1.65×	4.50
Neither team scores	16.0%	16.0%	10.8%	1.48×	6.24

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.1%	24.9%	24.9%	1.00×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	26.2%	24.9%	20.5%	1.21×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	17.1%	17.5%	23.3%	0.75×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	16.0%	17.5%	10.8%	1.62×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	8.2%	7.6%	11.8%	0.65×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	3.1%	4.5%	5.8%	0.77×	22.35
6 or more goals	1.3%	4.5%	3.6%	1.24×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	45.5%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
1 goal in 1st half	35.5%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	14.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
3+ goals in 1st half	4.6%	3.8%	—	—	26.47

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	35.8%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
No goals in 2nd half	33.3%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
2+ goals in 2nd half	30.9%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima not to win both halves	94.5%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Deportivo Cali not to win both halves	92.2%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Deportivo Cali to win both halves	7.8%	5.9%	—	—	17.09
Deportes Tolima to win both halves	5.5%	5.8%	—	—	17.26

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima to win neither half	58.7%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Deportivo Cali to win neither half	52.3%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Deportivo Cali to win either half	47.7%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Deportes Tolima to win either half	41.4%	40.9%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima not to win to nil	79.7%	78.2%	86.6%	0.90×	1.28
Deportivo Cali not to win to nil	74.9%	75.3%	72.9%	1.03×	1.33
Deportivo Cali to win to nil	25.1%	24.7%	27.1%	0.91×	4.05
Deportes Tolima to win to nil	20.3%	21.8%	13.4%	1.63×	4.58

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	33.9%	27.7%	29.5%	0.94×	3.61
Deportivo Cali by 1	21.9%	24.1%	25.6%	0.94×	4.15
Deportes Tolima by 1	19.1%	17.1%	17.3%	0.99×	5.86
Deportivo Cali by 2	10.2%	11.8%	12.3%	0.95×	8.51
Deportes Tolima by 2	7.9%	7.2%	5.0%	1.44×	13.91
Deportivo Cali by 3+	4.2%	2.7%	8.2%	0.33×	36.84
Deportes Tolima by 3+	2.7%	2.7%	2.8%	0.98×	36.89