Deportivo Garcilaso v Atlético Grau — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 18:39 UTC

Deportivo Garcilaso

18:30 UTC

Atlético Grau

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 11h before kick-off

Deportivo Garcilaso win

52.7%

model 54.6%

Draw

27.9%

model 28.1%

Atlético Grau win

19.4%

model 17.4%

532819

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 19.3%
0-0 14.0%
2-0 12.7%
1-1 11.4%
0-1 9.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	30.9%	Under 2.5	69.1%
BTTS yes	33.5%	BTTS no	66.5%
Deportivo Garcilaso 1+	73.7%	Deportivo Garcilaso 2+	38.5%
Atlético Grau 1+	45.8%	Atlético Grau 2+	12.6%

Expected goals 1.33 – 0.61. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Under 2 (void on exactly 2)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 35%

55.7% fair odds 1.80

strong signal · 592 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Deportivo Garcilaso or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP

84.1% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 419 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Deportivo Garcilaso carry the stronger rating, 1610 Elo against 1463.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.
They have had 8 days' rest to Atlético Grau's 5.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportivo Garcilaso have an estimated 52.7% win probability, against 27.9% for the draw and 19.4% for Atlético Grau. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.33 for Deportivo Garcilaso and 0.61 for Atlético Grau.

Why Deportivo Garcilaso

Deportivo Garcilaso carry the stronger rating, 1610 Elo against 1463. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five. They have had 8 days' rest to Atlético Grau's 5.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.9%. A combined 1.95 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Atlético Grau can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Deportivo Garcilaso, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Atlético Grau, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Deportivo Garcilaso: 42% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 15.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Atlético Grau: 44% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Deportivo Garcilaso are the model's most likely outcome at 52.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 19.3%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	552817	1.33–0.61	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	533116	1.18–0.50	1-0 22%	24%	27%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to win	53.3%	51.4%	50.0%	1.03×	1.94
Draw	30.9%	30.4%	25.1%	1.21×	3.30
Atlético Grau to win	15.8%	19.3%	25.1%	0.77×	5.18

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso & not both score	42.4%	40.1%	26.5%	1.51×	2.49
Draw & not both score	18.5%	17.9%	7.8%	2.29×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	12.4%	13.3%	17.5%	0.76×	7.55
Atlético Grau & not both score	12.2%	13.3%	12.2%	1.09×	7.55
Deportivo Garcilaso & both teams score	10.9%	13.2%	23.6%	0.56×	7.55
Atlético Grau & both teams score	3.5%	4.9%	13.1%	0.37×	20.58

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso & under 3.5	46.9%	45.2%	33.8%	1.34×	2.21
Deportivo Garcilaso & under 2.5	35.3%	34.9%	19.3%	1.81×	2.87
Deportivo Garcilaso & over 1.5	31.0%	30.9%	38.2%	0.81×	3.24
Draw & under 2.5	29.2%	26.0%	18.9%	1.38×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	29.2%	26.0%	18.9%	1.38×	3.84
Deportivo Garcilaso & under 1.5	22.3%	21.7%	12.0%	1.80×	4.62
Deportivo Garcilaso & over 2.5	18.0%	18.0%	30.9%	0.58×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	7.8%	2.30×	5.56
Atlético Grau & under 3.5	14.9%	12.9%	19.1%	0.67×	7.77
Draw & over 1.5	12.4%	12.9%	17.5%	0.74×	7.77
Atlético Grau & under 2.5	11.8%	12.9%	10.9%	1.18×	7.77
Atlético Grau & under 1.5	9.5%	7.9%	8.0%	0.98×	12.70
Deportivo Garcilaso & over 3.5	6.4%	7.9%	16.4%	0.48×	12.70
Atlético Grau & over 1.5	6.3%	7.9%	17.3%	0.46×	12.70
Atlético Grau & over 2.5	4.0%	4.8%	14.4%	0.33×	20.94
Draw & over 2.5	1.7%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.95
Draw & over 3.5	1.7%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.95
Atlético Grau & over 3.5	0.9%	4.8%	6.2%	0.77×	20.96

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (1UP)	61.0%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Atlético Grau (1UP)	25.7%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (2UP)	53.3%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Atlético Grau (2UP)	15.8%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	45.7%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Deportivo Garcilaso to win 2nd half	39.8%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Atlético Grau to win 2nd half	14.5%	12.6%	—	—	7.96

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (+2.5)	91.9%	92.1%	88.5%	1.04×	1.09
Deportivo Garcilaso (+0.5)	84.2%	82.4%	74.9%	1.10×	1.21
Atlético Grau (+1.5)	76.1%	78.4%	75.3%	1.04×	1.28
Deportivo Garcilaso (-0.5)	53.3%	52.3%	50.0%	1.05×	1.91
Atlético Grau (+0.5)	46.7%	47.7%	50.0%	0.95×	2.10
Deportivo Garcilaso (-1.5)	23.9%	21.6%	24.7%	0.87×	4.64
Atlético Grau (-0.5)	15.8%	17.6%	25.1%	0.70×	5.69
Deportivo Garcilaso (-2.5)	8.1%	7.9%	11.5%	0.69×	12.63

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau to concede	69.3%	72.6%	80.2%	0.90×	1.38
Atlético Grau clean sheet	30.7%	27.4%	19.8%	1.39×	3.64

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau clean sheet in 1st half	60.2%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Atlético Grau to concede in 1st half	39.8%	35.3%	—	—	2.83

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau under 6.5 corners	84.8%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Atlético Grau under 5.5 corners	75.7%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Atlético Grau over 2.5 corners	69.7%	68.3%	—	—	1.47
Atlético Grau under 4.5 corners	63.1%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Atlético Grau over 3.5 corners	52.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Atlético Grau under 3.5 corners	47.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Atlético Grau over 4.5 corners	36.9%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Atlético Grau under 2.5 corners	30.3%	31.7%	—	—	3.15
Atlético Grau over 5.5 corners	24.3%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Atlético Grau over 6.5 corners	15.2%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau under 3.5 goals	99.8%	97.6%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Atlético Grau under 2.5 goals	98.6%	97.5%	92.0%	1.06×	1.03
Atlético Grau under 1.5 goals	91.1%	92.3%	71.6%	1.29×	1.08
Atlético Grau under 0.5 goals	60.9%	63.0%	34.2%	1.84×	1.59
Atlético Grau over 0.5 goals	39.1%	37.0%	65.8%	0.56×	2.70
Atlético Grau over 1.5 goals	8.9%	7.7%	28.4%	0.27×	13.03
Atlético Grau over 2.5 goals	1.4%	2.5%	8.0%	0.31×	40.81
Atlético Grau over 3.5 goals	0.2%	2.4%	2.5%	0.96×	40.88

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau under 1.5 in 1st half	98.3%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Atlético Grau under 0.5 in 1st half	82.0%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Atlético Grau over 0.5 in 1st half	18.0%	17.1%	—	—	5.85
Atlético Grau over 1.5 in 1st half	1.7%	4.0%	—	—	25.26

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (away no bet)	63.3%	62.1%	66.6%	0.93×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	36.7%	37.9%	33.4%	1.13×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau even goals	68.5%	64.9%	56.9%	1.14×	1.54
Atlético Grau odd goals	31.5%	35.1%	43.1%	0.82×	2.85

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	96.0%	96.1%	—	—	1.04
Both halves over 1.5 goals	4.0%	3.9%	—	—	25.60

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	63.0%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Not both halves under 1.5	37.0%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	35.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Deportivo Garcilaso to score 2+ in a row	29.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row	10.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
Deportivo Garcilaso to score 3+ in a row	9.6%	5.7%	—	—	17.56
Atlético Grau to score 2+ in a row	6.6%	5.6%	—	—	17.80
Atlético Grau to score 3+ in a row	0.8%	2.5%	—	—	40.15

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau corners (+3.5)	86.9%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (+3.5)	84.0%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Atlético Grau corners (+2.5)	79.7%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (+2.5)	75.9%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Atlético Grau corners (+1.5)	70.1%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (+1.5)	65.6%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Atlético Grau corners (-1.5)	34.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (-1.5)	29.9%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Atlético Grau corners (-2.5)	24.1%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (-2.5)	20.3%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Atlético Grau corners (-3.5)	16.0%	20.0%	—	—	5.01
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (-3.5)	13.1%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	61.9%	49.8%	—	—	2.01
9-11 corners	24.1%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
12+ corners	14.1%	20.4%	—	—	4.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	90.6%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Under 11.5 corners	85.9%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 10.5 corners	79.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	71.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 8.5 corners	61.9%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 7.5 corners	50.7%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Over 7.5 corners	49.3%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Over 8.5 corners	38.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 9.5 corners	28.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 10.5 corners	20.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.28
Over 11.5 corners	14.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.80
Over 12.5 corners	9.4%	14.1%	—	—	7.10

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	22.3%	20.2%	12.0%	1.68×	4.96
0-0	18.5%	13.8%	7.8%	1.76×	7.26
2-0	13.0%	11.5%	7.5%	1.54×	8.73
1-1	10.7%	11.5%	11.3%	1.02×	8.73
0-1	9.5%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.48
2-1	6.5%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.48
3-0	5.1%	7.4%	5.1%	1.46×	13.48
0-2	2.3%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.48
0-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.49
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.5%	3.13×	58.49
1-2	2.7%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	58.47
1-3	0.4%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.49
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.49
2-2	1.6%	1.7%	5.6%	0.30×	58.48
2-3	0.3%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.49
2-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.49
3-1	2.5%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.48
3-2	0.6%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.49
3-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.49
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.35×	58.49
4-0	1.5%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.48
4-1	0.8%	1.7%	2.5%	0.67×	58.49
4-2	0.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.49
4-3	0.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.70×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	9.40×	58.49
Any other score	0.7%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso leading at HT (DNB)	75.0%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
Atlético Grau leading at HT (DNB)	25.0%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw (1X)	84.2%	80.7%	74.9%	1.08×	1.24
Deportivo Garcilaso or Atlético Grau (12)	69.1%	69.6%	74.9%	0.93×	1.44
Atlético Grau or draw (X2)	46.7%	48.6%	50.0%	0.97×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw at HT	88.6%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Atlético Grau or draw at HT	65.8%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Deportivo Garcilaso or Atlético Grau at HT	45.6%	51.8%	—	—	1.93

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw (1UP)	84.2%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Atlético Grau or draw (1UP)	46.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw in 2nd half	85.5%	87.4%	—	—	1.14
Atlético Grau or draw in 2nd half	60.2%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Deportivo Garcilaso or Atlético Grau in 2nd half	54.3%	54.7%	—	—	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	75.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Neither half drawn	24.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.18

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (DNB)	77.2%	74.6%	66.6%	1.12×	1.34
Atlético Grau (DNB)	22.8%	25.4%	33.4%	0.76×	3.94

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to score first	57.4%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Atlético Grau to score first	24.1%	23.2%	—	—	4.31
No goal scored	18.5%	18.4%	—	—	5.42

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	73.1%	62.4%	46.2%	1.35×	1.60
Both teams to score	26.9%	37.6%	53.8%	0.70×	2.66

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	65.6%	57.2%	37.6%	1.52×	1.75
Both score & over 2.5	16.2%	21.7%	42.7%	0.51×	4.61
Both score & under 2.5	10.7%	12.3%	11.3%	1.09×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	7.5%	8.4%	8.7%	0.96×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	97.1%	91.8%	85.6%	1.07×	1.09
Both teams to score 2+	2.9%	8.2%	14.4%	0.57×	12.13

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	87.5%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both teams to score in 2nd half	12.5%	12.2%	—	—	8.18

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	81.2%	81.7%	—	—	1.22
Both score 2nd half only	11.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score 1st half only	6.2%	6.7%	—	—	14.83
Both score in both halves	0.9%	4.9%	—	—	20.60

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	92.9%	93.0%	—	—	1.08
Both teams to score by HT	7.1%	7.0%	—	—	14.38

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	68.6%	66.9%	—	—	1.49
A goal in each half	31.4%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	40.7%	42.1%	44.2%	0.95×	2.38
0-1 goals	50.3%	41.0%	27.5%	1.49×	2.44
4-6 goals	8.8%	7.6%	26.9%	0.28×	13.14
7+ goals	0.2%	1.8%	1.8%	1.00×	54.79

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau to score exactly 0	60.9%	50.2%	34.2%	1.47×	1.99
Atlético Grau to score exactly 1	30.2%	33.8%	37.6%	0.90×	2.96
Atlético Grau to score exactly 2	7.5%	8.5%	20.5%	0.41×	11.83
Atlético Grau to score 3+	1.4%	4.5%	8.0%	0.56×	22.21

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to score exactly 1	36.3%	35.6%	32.9%	1.08×	2.81
Deportivo Garcilaso to score exactly 0	30.7%	32.6%	19.8%	1.65×	3.06
Deportivo Garcilaso to score exactly 2	21.4%	23.2%	25.1%	0.93×	4.30
Deportivo Garcilaso to score 3+	11.6%	14.3%	22.5%	0.64×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	54.4%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Deportivo Garcilaso leading at HT	34.2%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
Atlético Grau leading at HT	11.4%	11.7%	—	—	8.54

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso -1: 2	46.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Deportivo Garcilaso -1: X	29.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Deportivo Garcilaso -1: 1	23.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (0:1)	46.7%	45.9%	50.0%	0.92×	2.18
Draw (0:1)	29.4%	27.0%	25.5%	1.06×	3.70
Deportivo Garcilaso (0:1)	23.9%	24.3%	24.7%	0.98×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (0:2)	76.1%	79.4%	75.3%	1.06×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	15.8%	15.3%	13.5%	1.13×	6.55
Deportivo Garcilaso (0:2)	8.1%	7.7%	11.5%	0.67×	12.95

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (0:3)	91.9%	92.6%	88.5%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.9%	5.8%	7.6%	0.76×	17.19
Deportivo Garcilaso (0:3)	2.2%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (0:4)	97.8%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.7%	1.2%	2.5%	0.47×	83.55
Deportivo Garcilaso (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	1.6%	0.73×	83.70

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (1:0)	84.2%	81.5%	74.9%	1.09×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	12.5%	12.8%	17.6%	0.73×	7.81
Atlético Grau (1:0)	3.3%	3.2%	7.6%	0.41×	31.58

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (2:0)	96.7%	96.9%	92.4%	1.05×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.8%	2.3%	5.6%	0.40×	44.21
Atlético Grau (2:0)	0.5%	2.3%	2.2%	1.03×	44.36

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	40.7%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Halves equal	33.5%	30.2%	—	—	3.31
1st half highest scoring	25.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso clean sheet	60.9%	63.4%	34.2%	1.85×	1.58
Deportivo Garcilaso to concede	39.1%	36.6%	65.8%	0.56×	2.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso clean sheet in 1st half	82.0%	83.6%	—	—	1.20
Deportivo Garcilaso to concede in 1st half	18.0%	16.4%	—	—	6.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso under 6.5 corners	87.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Deportivo Garcilaso under 5.5 corners	78.7%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Deportivo Garcilaso over 2.5 corners	66.8%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Deportivo Garcilaso under 4.5 corners	66.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Deportivo Garcilaso under 3.5 corners	51.0%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Deportivo Garcilaso over 3.5 corners	49.0%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Deportivo Garcilaso over 4.5 corners	33.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Deportivo Garcilaso under 2.5 corners	33.2%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Deportivo Garcilaso over 5.5 corners	21.3%	23.9%	—	—	4.19
Deportivo Garcilaso over 6.5 corners	12.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso under 3.5 goals	96.8%	96.4%	92.4%	1.04×	1.04
Deportivo Garcilaso under 2.5 goals	88.4%	87.3%	77.5%	1.13×	1.15
Deportivo Garcilaso over 0.5 goals	69.3%	67.9%	80.2%	0.85×	1.47
Deportivo Garcilaso under 1.5 goals	67.0%	67.9%	52.5%	1.29×	1.47
Deportivo Garcilaso over 1.5 goals	33.0%	32.1%	47.5%	0.68×	3.11
Deportivo Garcilaso under 0.5 goals	30.7%	32.1%	19.8%	1.62×	3.11
Deportivo Garcilaso over 2.5 goals	11.6%	12.7%	22.5%	0.56×	7.85
Deportivo Garcilaso over 3.5 goals	3.2%	3.6%	7.6%	0.48×	27.48

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso under 1.5 in 1st half	90.7%	95.3%	—	—	1.05
Deportivo Garcilaso under 0.5 in 1st half	60.2%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Deportivo Garcilaso over 0.5 in 1st half	39.8%	35.5%	—	—	2.81
Deportivo Garcilaso over 1.5 in 1st half	9.3%	4.7%	—	—	21.14

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	66.2%	63.9%	50.0%	1.28×	1.57
Atlético Grau (home no bet)	33.8%	36.1%	50.0%	0.72×	2.77

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso even goals	54.7%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Deportivo Garcilaso odd goals	45.3%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	49.3%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
HT 1-0	25.1%	28.8%	—	—	3.48
HT 0-1	9.8%	7.2%	—	—	13.99
HT 2-0	6.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
HT 1-1	4.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.34
Any other HT score	1.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.59
HT 2-1	1.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.61
HT 0-2	1.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.63
HT 1-2	0.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.67
HT 2-2	0.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.70

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso at HT / Deportivo Garcilaso at FT	30.4%	32.6%	—	—	3.06
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	24.6%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Draw at HT / Deportivo Garcilaso at FT	21.8%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Atlético Grau at FT	8.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.65
Atlético Grau at HT / Atlético Grau at FT	7.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
Deportivo Garcilaso at HT / Draw at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Atlético Grau at HT / Draw at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Atlético Grau at HT / Deportivo Garcilaso at FT	1.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Deportivo Garcilaso at HT / Atlético Grau at FT	0.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to score last	57.4%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Atlético Grau to score last	24.2%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
No goal scored	18.5%	13.1%	—	—	7.61

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	81.5%	87.0%	—	—	1.15
Deportivo Garcilaso to lead by 1 at any time	61.0%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	31.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Deportivo Garcilaso to lead by 2 at any time	26.7%	25.5%	—	—	3.93
Atlético Grau to lead by 1 at any time	25.7%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	9.6%	6.7%	—	—	15.00
Deportivo Garcilaso to lead by 3 at any time	8.9%	6.7%	—	—	15.03
Atlético Grau to lead by 2 at any time	4.7%	1.7%	—	—	59.79
Atlético Grau to lead by 3 at any time	0.7%	1.6%	—	—	63.78

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau most corners	46.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Deportivo Garcilaso most corners	41.4%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Corners level	12.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.39

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	80.8%	83.5%	87.1%	0.96×	1.20
1-4 goals	78.7%	78.6%	78.0%	1.01×	1.27
1-3 goals	72.6%	72.4%	63.8%	1.13×	1.38
1-2 goals	57.9%	59.2%	41.1%	1.44×	1.69
2-6 goals	49.6%	48.7%	70.9%	0.69×	2.06
2-5 goals	49.0%	48.7%	67.5%	0.72×	2.06
2-4 goals	46.9%	48.7%	58.4%	0.83×	2.06
2-3 goals	40.7%	43.6%	44.2%	0.99×	2.30
3-6 goals	23.5%	24.5%	49.6%	0.49×	4.09
3-5 goals	22.9%	24.5%	46.2%	0.53×	4.09
3-4 goals	20.9%	24.5%	37.1%	0.66×	4.09
4-6 goals	8.8%	8.7%	26.9%	0.32×	11.44
4-5 goals	8.2%	8.7%	23.5%	0.37×	11.44
5-6 goals	2.6%	2.5%	12.7%	0.20×	39.23
7+ goals	0.2%	2.5%	1.8%	1.40×	39.34

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso never behind	55.8%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Atlético Grau never behind	20.5%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.7%	50.8%	53.1%	0.96×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.3%	49.2%	46.9%	1.05×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	62.1%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
Odd goals in 1st half	37.9%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	57.0%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Odd goals in 2nd half	43.0%	40.4%	—	—	2.47

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	99.2%	95.5%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	97.2%	95.5%	85.6%	1.12×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	91.0%	92.3%	71.5%	1.29×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	81.5%	82.4%	92.2%	0.89×	1.21
Under 2.5 goals	76.3%	77.3%	48.7%	1.59×	1.29
Under 1.5 goals	50.3%	52.5%	27.5%	1.91×	1.91
Over 1.5 goals	49.7%	47.5%	72.5%	0.66×	2.10
Over 2.5 goals	23.7%	22.7%	51.3%	0.44×	4.41
Under 0.5 goals	18.5%	17.6%	7.8%	2.25×	5.68
Over 3.5 goals	9.0%	7.7%	28.5%	0.27×	12.92
Over 4.5 goals	2.8%	4.5%	14.4%	0.31×	22.22
Over 5.5 goals	0.8%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.26

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.8%	97.2%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	99.2%	97.2%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	97.0%	97.2%	83.3%	1.17×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	89.5%	86.8%	63.1%	1.38×	1.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	68.0%	67.4%	34.9%	1.93×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	32.0%	32.6%	65.1%	0.50×	3.07
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	10.5%	13.2%	36.9%	0.36×	7.55
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	3.0%	2.8%	16.7%	0.17×	36.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	0.8%	2.8%	5.8%	0.48×	36.21
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.2%	2.8%	1.9%	1.47×	36.23

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	96.5%	97.1%	—	—	1.03
Under 1.5 in 1st half	84.2%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	50.7%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Under 0.5 in 1st half	49.3%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Over 1.5 in 1st half	15.8%	13.7%	—	—	7.32
Over 2.5 in 1st half	3.5%	2.9%	—	—	34.38

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	92.5%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.7%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.2%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.8%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	25.3%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	7.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.39

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau not to score in both halves	95.4%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Deportivo Garcilaso not to score in both halves	80.5%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Deportivo Garcilaso to score in both halves	19.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
Atlético Grau to score in both halves	4.6%	4.4%	—	—	22.67

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Deportivo Garcilaso scores	42.4%	46.6%	26.5%	1.75×	2.15
Both teams score	26.9%	26.1%	53.8%	0.49×	3.83
Neither team scores	18.5%	16.1%	7.8%	2.06×	6.22
Only Atlético Grau scores	12.2%	10.9%	12.2%	0.90×	9.15

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	31.8%	25.3%	19.8%	1.27×	3.96
Exactly 2 goals	26.1%	25.0%	21.5%	1.16×	4.01
Exactly 0 goals	18.5%	17.4%	7.8%	2.23×	5.74
Exactly 3 goals	14.7%	12.1%	22.9%	0.53×	8.27
Exactly 4 goals	6.2%	7.6%	14.4%	0.53×	13.09
Exactly 5 goals	2.1%	4.4%	9.3%	0.48×	22.69
6 or more goals	0.8%	4.4%	5.3%	0.84×	22.71

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 2nd half	37.8%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
1 goal in 2nd half	36.9%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
2+ goals in 2nd half	25.3%	29.7%	—	—	3.37

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau not to win both halves	98.4%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Deportivo Garcilaso not to win both halves	86.4%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Deportivo Garcilaso to win both halves	13.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Atlético Grau to win both halves	1.6%	2.7%	—	—	36.59

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau to win neither half	75.7%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Deportivo Garcilaso to win either half	60.4%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Deportivo Garcilaso to win neither half	39.6%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
Atlético Grau to win either half	24.3%	20.5%	—	—	4.88

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau not to win to nil	87.8%	88.2%	87.8%	1.00×	1.13
Deportivo Garcilaso not to win to nil	57.6%	58.9%	73.5%	0.80×	1.70
Deportivo Garcilaso to win to nil	42.4%	41.1%	26.5%	1.55×	2.43
Atlético Grau to win to nil	12.2%	11.8%	12.2%	0.97×	8.49

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso by 1	29.4%	27.9%	25.5%	1.09×	3.59
Draw	30.9%	27.6%	25.1%	1.10×	3.62
Deportivo Garcilaso by 2	15.8%	16.9%	13.5%	1.26×	5.91
Atlético Grau by 1	12.5%	11.8%	17.6%	0.67×	8.48
Deportivo Garcilaso by 3+	8.1%	7.3%	11.5%	0.63×	13.78
Atlético Grau by 2	2.8%	2.7%	5.6%	0.48×	37.01
Atlético Grau by 3+	0.5%	2.7%	2.2%	1.24×	37.08