Deportivo Garcilaso v Comerciantes Unidos — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Deportivo Garcilaso

20:00 UTC

Comerciantes Unidos

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 273h before kick-off

Deportivo Garcilaso win

57.8%

model 57.2%

Draw

23.0%

model 22.9%

Comerciantes Unidos win

19.2%

model 20.0%

582319

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 13.0%
1-1 10.8%
2-0 10.8%
2-1 9.7%
0-1 7.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	48.6%	Under 2.5	51.4%
BTTS yes	48.2%	BTTS no	51.8%
Deportivo Garcilaso 1+	82.1%	Deportivo Garcilaso 2+	51.3%
Comerciantes Unidos 1+	59.3%	Comerciantes Unidos 2+	22.7%

Expected goals 1.72 – 0.90. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

82/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Not both teams to score

GG/NG · usually 46%

53.4% fair odds 1.87

moderate signal · 1528 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Comerciantes Unidos not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 829 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Deportivo Garcilaso carry the stronger rating, 1610 Elo against 1451.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportivo Garcilaso have an estimated 57.8% win probability, against 23.0% for the draw and 19.2% for Comerciantes Unidos. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.72 for Deportivo Garcilaso and 0.90 for Comerciantes Unidos.

Why Deportivo Garcilaso

Deportivo Garcilaso carry the stronger rating, 1610 Elo against 1451. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.0%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Comerciantes Unidos can win

Nothing in the data singles out Comerciantes Unidos.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Deportivo Garcilaso, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Comerciantes Unidos, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Deportivo Garcilaso: 42% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 15.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Comerciantes Unidos: 57% possession, 18.6 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Deportivo Garcilaso are the model's most likely outcome at 57.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 13.0%. Confidence 82/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	572320	1.72–0.90	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	622315	1.69–0.68	1-0 16%	42%	40%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to win	62.1%	58.2%	49.8%	1.17×	1.72
Draw	22.7%	24.5%	25.0%	0.98×	4.09
Comerciantes Unidos to win	15.1%	19.4%	25.4%	0.76×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso & not both score	41.6%	40.1%	26.4%	1.51×	2.50
Deportivo Garcilaso & both teams score	20.5%	21.8%	23.6%	0.92×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	13.9%	13.3%	17.4%	0.76×	7.54
Comerciantes Unidos & not both score	9.5%	8.3%	12.3%	0.68×	11.99
Draw & not both score	8.8%	8.3%	7.8%	1.07×	12.00
Comerciantes Unidos & both teams score	5.6%	8.3%	13.2%	0.63×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso & under 3.5	46.1%	45.0%	33.7%	1.34×	2.22
Deportivo Garcilaso & over 1.5	46.0%	45.0%	38.0%	1.18×	2.22
Deportivo Garcilaso & over 2.5	32.7%	30.8%	30.8%	1.00×	3.25
Deportivo Garcilaso & under 2.5	29.4%	26.1%	19.2%	1.36×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	19.2%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.55
Draw & under 3.5	19.2%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.55
Deportivo Garcilaso & under 1.5	16.1%	18.0%	12.0%	1.51×	5.56
Deportivo Garcilaso & over 3.5	16.1%	18.0%	16.3%	1.10×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	13.9%	12.8%	17.4%	0.74×	7.79
Comerciantes Unidos & under 3.5	13.1%	12.8%	19.4%	0.66×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	8.8%	7.9%	7.8%	1.02×	12.63
Comerciantes Unidos & under 2.5	8.9%	7.9%	11.1%	0.72×	12.63
Comerciantes Unidos & over 1.5	8.4%	7.9%	17.4%	0.46×	12.63
Comerciantes Unidos & under 1.5	6.8%	7.9%	8.2%	0.97×	12.63
Comerciantes Unidos & over 2.5	6.2%	7.9%	14.5%	0.55×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	3.5%	4.8%	6.3%	0.76×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.5%	4.8%	6.3%	0.76×	20.82
Comerciantes Unidos & over 3.5	2.0%	4.8%	6.2%	0.78×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (1UP)	71.6%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Comerciantes Unidos (1UP)	29.1%	27.0%	—	—	3.71

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (2UP)	62.1%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Comerciantes Unidos (2UP)	15.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to win 2nd half	48.5%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
2nd half drawn	36.0%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Comerciantes Unidos to win 2nd half	15.5%	17.7%	—	—	5.65

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos under 1.5 in 2nd half	93.6%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Comerciantes Unidos under 0.5 in 2nd half	66.3%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Comerciantes Unidos over 0.5 in 2nd half	33.7%	30.5%	—	—	3.28
Comerciantes Unidos over 1.5 in 2nd half	6.4%	8.1%	—	—	12.34

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.8%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Deportivo Garcilaso over 0.5 in 2nd half	61.9%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Deportivo Garcilaso under 0.5 in 2nd half	38.1%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Deportivo Garcilaso over 1.5 in 2nd half	25.2%	25.5%	—	—	3.92

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (+0.5)	84.9%	82.6%	74.6%	1.11×	1.21
Comerciantes Unidos (+2.5)	84.3%	82.6%	88.6%	0.93×	1.21
Comerciantes Unidos (+1.5)	65.0%	68.7%	75.4%	0.91×	1.46
Deportivo Garcilaso (-0.5)	62.1%	62.9%	49.8%	1.26×	1.59
Comerciantes Unidos (+0.5)	37.9%	37.1%	50.2%	0.74×	2.70
Deportivo Garcilaso (-1.5)	35.0%	31.3%	24.6%	1.27×	3.19
Deportivo Garcilaso (-2.5)	15.7%	17.4%	11.4%	1.53×	5.74
Comerciantes Unidos (-0.5)	15.1%	17.4%	25.4%	0.69×	5.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos to concede	81.6%	81.5%	80.1%	1.02×	1.23
Comerciantes Unidos clean sheet	18.4%	18.5%	19.9%	0.93×	5.39

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos to concede in 1st half	51.7%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Comerciantes Unidos clean sheet in 1st half	48.3%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos to concede in 2nd half	61.9%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Comerciantes Unidos clean sheet in 2nd half	38.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos under 6.5 corners	89.2%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Comerciantes Unidos under 5.5 corners	81.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Comerciantes Unidos under 4.5 corners	69.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Comerciantes Unidos over 2.5 corners	65.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Comerciantes Unidos under 3.5 corners	52.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Comerciantes Unidos over 3.5 corners	47.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Comerciantes Unidos under 2.5 corners	34.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Comerciantes Unidos over 4.5 corners	30.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Comerciantes Unidos over 5.5 corners	18.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Comerciantes Unidos over 6.5 corners	10.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos under 3.5 goals	99.5%	97.5%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Comerciantes Unidos under 2.5 goals	96.8%	97.5%	92.0%	1.06×	1.03
Comerciantes Unidos under 1.5 goals	85.0%	81.5%	71.6%	1.14×	1.23
Comerciantes Unidos under 0.5 goals	50.5%	53.5%	34.1%	1.57×	1.87
Comerciantes Unidos over 0.5 goals	49.5%	46.5%	65.9%	0.71×	2.15
Comerciantes Unidos over 1.5 goals	15.0%	18.5%	28.4%	0.65×	5.41
Comerciantes Unidos over 2.5 goals	3.2%	2.5%	8.0%	0.32×	39.80
Comerciantes Unidos over 3.5 goals	0.5%	2.5%	2.5%	0.99×	39.94

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos under 1.5 in 1st half	96.9%	96.2%	—	—	1.04
Comerciantes Unidos under 0.5 in 1st half	76.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Comerciantes Unidos over 0.5 in 1st half	23.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.98
Comerciantes Unidos over 1.5 in 1st half	3.1%	3.8%	—	—	26.13

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos scores equally in both	56.3%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Comerciantes Unidos scores more in 2nd half	27.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
Comerciantes Unidos scores more in 1st half	16.7%	18.0%	—	—	5.57

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (away no bet)	73.2%	68.4%	66.6%	1.03×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	26.8%	31.6%	33.4%	0.95×	3.17

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos even goals	62.7%	59.1%	56.9%	1.04×	1.69
Comerciantes Unidos odd goals	37.3%	40.9%	43.1%	0.95×	2.45

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.4%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.6%	12.0%	—	—	8.34

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	55.7%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	44.3%	39.9%	—	—	2.51

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	52.3%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Deportivo Garcilaso to score 2+ in a row	45.1%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.5%	19.5%	—	—	5.14
Deportivo Garcilaso to score 3+ in a row	19.0%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Comerciantes Unidos to score 2+ in a row	10.2%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
Comerciantes Unidos to score 3+ in a row	1.6%	2.5%	—	—	39.97

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (+3.5)	89.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (+2.5)	83.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Comerciantes Unidos corners (+3.5)	82.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (+1.5)	73.9%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Comerciantes Unidos corners (+2.5)	73.3%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Comerciantes Unidos corners (+1.5)	62.3%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (-1.5)	37.7%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (-2.5)	26.7%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Comerciantes Unidos corners (-1.5)	26.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (-3.5)	17.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Comerciantes Unidos corners (-2.5)	17.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Comerciantes Unidos corners (-3.5)	10.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	61.4%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
9-11 corners	25.0%	25.7%	—	—	3.89
12+ corners	13.6%	21.2%	—	—	4.73

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	91.1%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	86.4%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 10.5 corners	80.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	71.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 8.5 corners	61.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	50.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 7.5 corners	49.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 8.5 corners	38.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	28.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 10.5 corners	20.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 11.5 corners	13.6%	16.9%	—	—	5.91
Over 12.5 corners	8.9%	16.6%	—	—	6.02

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	16.1%	13.8%	12.0%	1.16×	7.24
2-0	13.3%	11.5%	7.4%	1.55×	8.71
1-1	10.3%	11.5%	11.2%	1.02×	8.72
0-0	8.8%	7.4%	7.8%	0.95×	13.51
2-1	9.1%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.51
0-1	6.8%	7.4%	8.2%	0.91×	13.51
3-0	7.5%	7.4%	5.1%	1.46×	13.51
3-1	5.1%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.51
0-2	2.2%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
0-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.16×	58.32
1-2	3.7%	1.7%	7.6%	0.23×	58.30
1-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
2-2	3.1%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
2-3	0.7%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.32
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-2	1.8%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.31
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.37×	58.32
4-0	3.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.30
4-1	2.2%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.31
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.73×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	9.47×	58.32
Any other score	3.0%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (2nd half DNB)	75.8%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Comerciantes Unidos (2nd half DNB)	24.2%	20.6%	—	—	4.85

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso leading at HT (DNB)	77.1%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Comerciantes Unidos leading at HT (DNB)	22.9%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw (1X)	84.9%	80.6%	74.6%	1.08×	1.24
Deportivo Garcilaso or Comerciantes Unidos (12)	77.3%	75.5%	75.0%	1.01×	1.32
Comerciantes Unidos or draw (X2)	37.9%	41.8%	50.2%	0.83×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw at HT	87.2%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Comerciantes Unidos or draw at HT	57.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Deportivo Garcilaso or Comerciantes Unidos at HT	55.7%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw (1UP)	84.9%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Comerciantes Unidos or draw (1UP)	37.9%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw in 2nd half	84.5%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Deportivo Garcilaso or Comerciantes Unidos in 2nd half	64.0%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Comerciantes Unidos or draw in 2nd half	51.5%	54.7%	—	—	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.8%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	35.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (DNB)	80.4%	80.3%	66.3%	1.21×	1.25
Comerciantes Unidos (DNB)	19.6%	19.7%	33.7%	0.58×	5.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to score first	64.9%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Comerciantes Unidos to score first	26.2%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
No goal scored	8.8%	7.6%	—	—	13.13

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	60.0%	55.0%	46.2%	1.19×	1.82
Both teams to score	40.0%	45.0%	53.8%	0.84×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	47.2%	44.3%	37.7%	1.18×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	29.7%	33.3%	42.8%	0.78×	3.00
Not both score & over 2.5	12.8%	12.4%	8.7%	1.42×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	10.3%	12.4%	11.2%	1.10×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.4%	89.0%	85.7%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	7.6%	11.0%	14.3%	0.77×	9.10

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	79.3%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	20.7%	24.6%	—	—	4.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	69.6%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Both score 2nd half only	18.1%	15.0%	—	—	6.66
Both score 1st half only	9.7%	6.8%	—	—	14.62
Both score in both halves	2.6%	4.8%	—	—	20.64

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.7%	85.0%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	12.3%	15.0%	—	—	6.66

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	52.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	47.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.6%	47.2%	44.2%	1.07×	2.12
0-1 goals	31.8%	30.7%	27.5%	1.12×	3.25
4-6 goals	20.6%	22.9%	26.8%	0.85×	4.36
7+ goals	1.1%	1.8%	1.8%	1.01×	54.45

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos to score exactly 0	50.5%	47.0%	34.1%	1.38×	2.13
Comerciantes Unidos to score exactly 1	34.5%	33.8%	37.7%	0.90×	2.96
Comerciantes Unidos to score exactly 2	11.8%	12.9%	20.7%	0.62×	7.76
Comerciantes Unidos to score 3+	3.2%	4.6%	8.0%	0.57×	21.86

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to score exactly 1	31.1%	32.6%	33.0%	0.99×	3.07
Deportivo Garcilaso to score exactly 2	26.4%	26.6%	25.0%	1.06×	3.77
Deportivo Garcilaso to score 3+	24.1%	23.3%	22.5%	1.04×	4.29
Deportivo Garcilaso to score exactly 0	18.4%	18.8%	19.9%	0.94×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.3%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Deportivo Garcilaso leading at HT	43.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Comerciantes Unidos leading at HT	12.8%	11.7%	—	—	8.51

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso -1: 2	37.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Deportivo Garcilaso -1: 1	35.0%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Deportivo Garcilaso -1: X	27.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos (0:1)	37.9%	37.3%	50.2%	0.74×	2.68
Deportivo Garcilaso (0:1)	35.0%	30.2%	24.6%	1.23×	3.31
Draw (0:1)	27.2%	27.0%	25.4%	1.07×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos (0:2)	65.0%	72.1%	75.4%	0.96×	1.39
Draw (0:2)	19.3%	15.3%	13.4%	1.14×	6.55
Deportivo Garcilaso (0:2)	15.7%	15.2%	11.4%	1.34×	6.56

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos (0:3)	84.3%	85.4%	88.6%	0.96×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	10.0%	5.8%	7.6%	0.76×	17.20
Deportivo Garcilaso (0:3)	5.8%	5.8%	4.0%	1.45×	17.27

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos (0:4)	94.2%	94.6%	96.0%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.0%	1.2%	2.5%	0.48×	81.53
Deportivo Garcilaso (0:4)	1.8%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	81.77

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (1:0)	84.9%	81.5%	74.6%	1.09×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	11.2%	12.7%	17.9%	0.71×	7.88
Comerciantes Unidos (1:0)	3.9%	3.3%	7.6%	0.43×	30.52

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (2:0)	96.1%	96.8%	92.4%	1.05×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.1%	2.3%	5.6%	0.41×	43.73
Comerciantes Unidos (2:0)	0.8%	2.3%	2.2%	1.05×	43.88

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.8%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	26.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso clean sheet	50.5%	53.1%	34.1%	1.56×	1.88
Deportivo Garcilaso to concede	49.5%	46.9%	65.9%	0.71×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso clean sheet in 1st half	76.1%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
Deportivo Garcilaso to concede in 1st half	23.9%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso clean sheet in 2nd half	66.3%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Deportivo Garcilaso to concede in 2nd half	33.7%	33.4%	—	—	3.00

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso under 6.5 corners	83.4%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Deportivo Garcilaso under 5.5 corners	73.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Deportivo Garcilaso over 2.5 corners	73.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Deportivo Garcilaso under 4.5 corners	60.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Deportivo Garcilaso over 3.5 corners	56.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Deportivo Garcilaso under 3.5 corners	43.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Deportivo Garcilaso over 4.5 corners	40.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Deportivo Garcilaso over 5.5 corners	26.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Deportivo Garcilaso under 2.5 corners	26.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Deportivo Garcilaso over 6.5 corners	16.6%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso under 3.5 goals	90.8%	92.2%	92.4%	1.00×	1.09
Deportivo Garcilaso over 0.5 goals	81.6%	82.2%	80.1%	1.03×	1.22
Deportivo Garcilaso under 2.5 goals	75.9%	77.8%	77.5%	1.00×	1.29
Deportivo Garcilaso over 1.5 goals	50.5%	53.2%	47.3%	1.12×	1.88
Deportivo Garcilaso under 1.5 goals	49.5%	46.8%	52.7%	0.89×	2.14
Deportivo Garcilaso over 2.5 goals	24.1%	22.2%	22.5%	0.99×	4.50
Deportivo Garcilaso under 0.5 goals	18.4%	17.8%	19.9%	0.89×	5.62
Deportivo Garcilaso over 3.5 goals	9.2%	7.8%	7.6%	1.03×	12.82

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso under 1.5 in 1st half	83.4%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Deportivo Garcilaso over 0.5 in 1st half	51.7%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Deportivo Garcilaso under 0.5 in 1st half	48.3%	49.4%	—	—	2.03
Deportivo Garcilaso over 1.5 in 1st half	16.6%	15.8%	—	—	6.34

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso scores more in 2nd half	39.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Deportivo Garcilaso scores equally in both	33.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Deportivo Garcilaso scores more in 1st half	26.5%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	60.0%	56.4%	49.6%	1.14×	1.77
Comerciantes Unidos (home no bet)	40.0%	43.6%	50.4%	0.87×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso even goals	51.7%	50.8%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Deportivo Garcilaso odd goals	48.3%	49.2%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	36.6%	38.5%	—	—	2.59
HT 1-0	26.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 0-1	10.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	9.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 1-1	7.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
Any other HT score	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
HT 2-1	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.25
HT 0-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.33
HT 1-2	1.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.36
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.40

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso at HT / Deportivo Garcilaso at FT	38.3%	41.4%	—	—	2.42
Draw at HT / Deportivo Garcilaso at FT	21.7%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Comerciantes Unidos at HT / Comerciantes Unidos at FT	7.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.49
Draw at HT / Comerciantes Unidos at FT	7.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.49
Deportivo Garcilaso at HT / Draw at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Comerciantes Unidos at HT / Draw at FT	3.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.91
Comerciantes Unidos at HT / Deportivo Garcilaso at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.96
Deportivo Garcilaso at HT / Comerciantes Unidos at FT	0.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.01

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to score last	64.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Comerciantes Unidos to score last	26.3%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
No goal scored	8.8%	7.6%	—	—	13.13

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.2%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Deportivo Garcilaso to lead by 1 at any time	71.6%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.1%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Deportivo Garcilaso to lead by 2 at any time	39.7%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Comerciantes Unidos to lead by 1 at any time	29.1%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Deportivo Garcilaso to lead by 3 at any time	17.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Comerciantes Unidos to lead by 2 at any time	6.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.08
Comerciantes Unidos to lead by 3 at any time	1.2%	1.6%	—	—	64.15

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso most corners	50.2%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Comerciantes Unidos most corners	37.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	12.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.7%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.8%	83.4%	78.1%	1.07×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.5%	68.8%	63.9%	1.08×	1.45
2-6 goals	67.1%	68.8%	70.8%	0.97×	1.45
2-5 goals	64.8%	63.3%	67.4%	0.94×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.9%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
1-2 goals	48.7%	48.4%	41.1%	1.18×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.6%	48.4%	44.2%	1.10×	2.06
3-6 goals	41.3%	43.6%	49.6%	0.88×	2.29
3-5 goals	39.0%	39.2%	46.2%	0.85×	2.55
3-4 goals	33.1%	35.2%	37.1%	0.95×	2.84
4-6 goals	20.6%	24.4%	26.8%	0.91×	4.09
4-5 goals	18.2%	18.8%	23.4%	0.81×	5.31
5-6 goals	8.2%	8.9%	12.7%	0.70×	11.26
7+ goals	1.1%	2.6%	1.8%	1.41×	39.22

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso never behind	62.1%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Comerciantes Unidos never behind	19.5%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.6%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.4%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.6%	95.4%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.2%	92.3%	92.2%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	90.7%	92.3%	85.7%	1.08×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	78.3%	77.3%	71.6%	1.08×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	68.2%	66.3%	72.5%	0.92×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	57.6%	58.6%	48.7%	1.20×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	42.4%	41.4%	51.3%	0.81×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	31.8%	33.7%	27.5%	1.22×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	21.7%	22.7%	28.4%	0.80×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	9.3%	7.7%	14.3%	0.54×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	8.8%	7.7%	7.8%	0.99×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	3.4%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.82

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.9%	97.2%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.4%	97.2%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	89.4%	86.8%	83.3%	1.04×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	72.7%	72.4%	63.1%	1.15×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	57.2%	55.8%	65.1%	0.86×	1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	42.8%	44.2%	34.9%	1.27×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	27.3%	27.6%	36.9%	0.75×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	10.6%	13.3%	16.7%	0.80×	7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.6%	2.8%	5.8%	0.49×	35.59
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.1%	2.8%	1.9%	1.49×	35.66

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.9%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	73.6%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	63.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	36.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	26.4%	28.6%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.1%	7.2%	—	—	13.83

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	83.9%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	74.9%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.2%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.8%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	25.1%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	16.1%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos not to score in both halves	91.9%	90.5%	—	—	1.11
Deportivo Garcilaso not to score in both halves	68.0%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Deportivo Garcilaso to score in both halves	32.0%	29.9%	—	—	3.34
Comerciantes Unidos to score in both halves	8.1%	9.5%	—	—	10.48

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Deportivo Garcilaso scores	41.6%	46.6%	26.4%	1.76×	2.15
Both teams score	40.0%	46.5%	53.8%	0.87×	2.15
Only Comerciantes Unidos scores	9.5%	7.2%	12.3%	0.58×	13.98
Neither team scores	8.8%	7.1%	7.8%	0.92×	13.99

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.8%	24.9%	21.4%	1.16×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	22.9%	22.6%	19.9%	1.13×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	20.8%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	12.4%	12.1%	14.3%	0.85×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	8.8%	7.6%	7.8%	0.98×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	5.9%	7.6%	9.2%	0.82×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.4%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.35

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	36.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	18.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
3+ goals in 1st half	8.1%	7.2%	—	—	13.83

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	39.8%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
1 goal in 2nd half	35.1%	39.6%	—	—	2.53
No goals in 2nd half	25.1%	29.0%	—	—	3.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos not to win both halves	98.1%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Deportivo Garcilaso not to win both halves	79.3%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Deportivo Garcilaso to win both halves	20.7%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Comerciantes Unidos to win both halves	1.9%	2.7%	—	—	36.43

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos to win neither half	73.7%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
Deportivo Garcilaso to win either half	70.7%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Deportivo Garcilaso to win neither half	29.3%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Comerciantes Unidos to win either half	26.3%	26.9%	—	—	3.72

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos not to win to nil	90.5%	92.1%	87.7%	1.05×	1.09
Deportivo Garcilaso not to win to nil	58.4%	59.1%	73.6%	0.80×	1.69
Deportivo Garcilaso to win to nil	41.6%	40.9%	26.4%	1.54×	2.45
Comerciantes Unidos to win to nil	9.5%	7.9%	12.3%	0.64×	12.61

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso by 1	27.2%	27.9%	25.4%	1.10×	3.59
Draw	22.7%	24.1%	25.0%	0.96×	4.15
Deportivo Garcilaso by 2	19.3%	17.1%	13.4%	1.27×	5.86
Deportivo Garcilaso by 3+	15.7%	17.0%	11.4%	1.49×	5.87
Comerciantes Unidos by 1	11.2%	11.8%	17.9%	0.66×	8.51
Comerciantes Unidos by 2	3.1%	2.7%	5.6%	0.48×	36.87
Comerciantes Unidos by 3+	0.8%	2.7%	2.2%	1.25×	36.95