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Deportivo La Coruna v Elche — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 17 August 2026 · ESP-La Liga · 2627

La Liga xG

1–1
0.34 – 1.59 xG
Shots
8 – 11
On target
3 – 6
Shots in box
6 – 7
xG per shot
0.04 – 0.15
Set-piece xG
0.06 – 0.92
Goals − xG
+0.66 – -0.62
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.50.91.41.80'15'30'45'60'75'90'Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 20' — goalMarc Aguado 75' — goal
Deportivo La Coruna 0.34 xGElche 1.62 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Ali Houary 5' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Ali Houary 9' — Saved Shot (0.62 xG, From Corner)David Affengruber 9' — Missed Shot (0.12 xG, From Corner)Bil Nsongo 15' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Bright Ede 16' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 20' — Goal (0.07 xG, Open Play)Ali Houary 41' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Federico Redondo 46' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Set Piece)Jonathan Asp Jensen 48' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Gonzalo Villar 51' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)David Affengruber 56' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Fernando Niño 57' — Saved Shot (0.41 xG, Open Play)Gonzalo Villar 57' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Mario Soriano 65' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 65' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Marc Aguado 75' — Goal (0.09 xG, From Corner)Lucas Cepeda 77' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Zakaria Eddahchouri 80' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Luismi Cruz 94' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)
Deportivo La Coruna attacking right Elche attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
5' Elche Ali Houary 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Martim Neto
9' Elche Ali Houary 0.62 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot Federico Redondo
9' Elche David Affengruber 0.12 From Corner Missed Shot Victor Chust
15' Deportivo La Coruna Bil Nsongo 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
16' Deportivo La Coruna Bright Ede 0.03 From Corner Missed Shot
20' Deportivo La Coruna Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Goal Lorenzo Amatucci
41' Elche Ali Houary 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Martim Neto
46' Elche Federico Redondo 0.09 Set Piece Blocked Shot German Valera
48' Deportivo La Coruna Jonathan Asp Jensen 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Adrià Alti
51' Elche Gonzalo Villar 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Ali Houary
56' Elche David Affengruber 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Ali Houary
57' Elche Fernando Niño 0.41 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Ali Houary
57' Elche Gonzalo Villar 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
65' Deportivo La Coruna Mario Soriano 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
65' Deportivo La Coruna Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot Mario Soriano
75' Elche Marc Aguado 0.09 From Corner Goal Gonzalo Villar
77' Elche Lucas Cepeda 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Marc Aguado
80' Deportivo La Coruna Zakaria Eddahchouri 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Luismi Cruz
94' Deportivo La Coruna Luismi Cruz 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Giacomo Quagliata

Players

Elche

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
David Affengruber DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.13 0.00 0.06
Gonzalo Villar MR 90 0 1 2 1 0.09 0.09 0.16
Marc Aguado MC 90 1 0 1 1 0.09 0.05 0.51
Victor Chust DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.12 0.07
Buba Sangaré DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.48
Matías Dituro GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Ali Houary ML 82 0 0 3 3 0.75 0.44 0.57
German Valera DL 82 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.09 0.17
Fernando Niño FW 70 0 0 1 0 0.41 0.00 0.53
Federico Redondo DC 61 0 0 1 1 0.09 0.62 0.49
Martim Neto MC 61 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.13 0.17
Lucas Cepeda Sub 29 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.05
Tete Morente Sub 29 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Umaru Sub 20 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Javier Morcillo Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Álvaro Padilla Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Deportivo La Coruna

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Bright Ede DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.10
Giacomo Quagliata DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.14
Leo Román GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Lorenzo Amatucci DMC 90 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.14
Lucas Noubi DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ximo Navarro DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.21
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang FW 86 1 0 2 1 0.11 0.09 0.22
Mario Soriano DMC 72 0 0 1 1 0.09 0.04 0.17
Adrià Alti AMR 72 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.11
Jonathan Asp Jensen AML 61 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.03
Bil Nsongo AMC 61 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.04
Zakaria Eddahchouri Sub 29 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Diego Villares Sub 29 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Luismi Cruz Sub 18 0 0 1 1 0.04 0.02 0.06
David Mella Sub 18 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Kevin Sánchez Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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