Deportivo Moquegua v Los Chankas — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Deportivo Moquegua

18:00 UTC

Los Chankas

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 127h before kick-off

Deportivo Moquegua win

43.2%

model 42.8%

Draw

27.3%

model 25.7%

Los Chankas win

29.4%

model 31.4%

432729

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.2%
1-0 11.7%
0-1 9.8%
2-1 8.7%
2-0 7.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	45.7%	Under 2.5	54.3%
BTTS yes	50.0%	BTTS no	50.0%
Deportivo Moquegua 1+	74.6%	Deportivo Moquegua 2+	39.8%
Los Chankas 1+	67.7%	Los Chankas 2+	31.2%

Expected goals 1.37 – 1.13. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

83/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

1-3 goals

Multi goal · usually 64%

68.0% fair odds 1.47

moderate signal · 2774 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Los Chankas (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 75%

83.5% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Deportivo Moquegua.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportivo Moquegua have an estimated 43.2% win probability, against 29.4% for Los Chankas and 27.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.37 for Deportivo Moquegua and 1.13 for Los Chankas.

Why Deportivo Moquegua

Nothing in the data singles out Deportivo Moquegua.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.37 to 1.13. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Los Chankas can win

Los Chankas carry the stronger rating, 1499 Elo against 1446.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Deportivo Moquegua, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Los Chankas, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Deportivo Moquegua: 41% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 19.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Los Chankas: 44% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 17.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Deportivo Moquegua are the model's most likely outcome at 43.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.2%. Confidence 83/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	432631	1.37–1.13	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	472528	1.45–1.04	1-0 12%	45%	49%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua to win	46.9%	47.4%	49.8%	0.95×	2.11
Los Chankas to win	27.7%	27.9%	25.4%	1.10×	3.58
Draw	25.4%	27.9%	25.0%	1.12×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua & not both score	27.5%	25.2%	26.4%	0.95×	3.97
Deportivo Moquegua & both teams score	19.5%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	17.6%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
Los Chankas & not both score	15.7%	18.0%	12.3%	1.46×	5.57
Los Chankas & both teams score	12.0%	13.3%	13.2%	1.00×	7.54
Draw & not both score	7.8%	8.3%	7.8%	1.07×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua & over 1.5	34.4%	30.8%	38.0%	0.81×	3.25
Deportivo Moquegua & under 3.5	34.4%	30.8%	33.7%	0.91×	3.25
Deportivo Moquegua & over 2.5	25.8%	26.0%	30.8%	0.85×	3.84
Los Chankas & under 3.5	21.7%	21.6%	19.4%	1.11×	4.63
Deportivo Moquegua & under 2.5	21.2%	21.6%	19.2%	1.13×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	19.8%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.55
Draw & under 3.5	19.8%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.55
Los Chankas & over 1.5	18.6%	18.0%	17.4%	1.04×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	17.6%	18.0%	17.4%	1.04×	5.55
Los Chankas & over 2.5	14.1%	12.8%	14.5%	0.89×	7.79
Los Chankas & under 2.5	13.6%	12.8%	11.1%	1.16×	7.79
Deportivo Moquegua & under 1.5	12.5%	12.8%	12.0%	1.07×	7.79
Deportivo Moquegua & over 3.5	12.5%	12.8%	16.3%	0.79×	7.79
Los Chankas & under 1.5	9.1%	7.9%	8.2%	0.97×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.8%	7.9%	7.8%	1.02×	12.63
Los Chankas & over 3.5	6.0%	7.9%	6.2%	1.29×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.6%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.6%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (1UP)	60.8%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Los Chankas (1UP)	43.8%	38.7%	—	—	2.58

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (2UP)	46.9%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Los Chankas (2UP)	27.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua to win 2nd half	37.5%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
2nd half drawn	36.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Los Chankas to win 2nd half	25.7%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.0%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
Los Chankas under 0.5 in 2nd half	53.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Los Chankas over 0.5 in 2nd half	46.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Los Chankas over 1.5 in 2nd half	13.0%	12.9%	—	—	7.75

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.9%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Deportivo Moquegua over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.2%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Deportivo Moquegua under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.8%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Deportivo Moquegua over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.1%	24.7%	—	—	4.06

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas (+2.5)	91.2%	92.1%	88.6%	1.04×	1.09
Los Chankas (+1.5)	77.2%	78.5%	75.4%	1.04×	1.27
Deportivo Moquegua (+0.5)	72.3%	73.7%	74.6%	0.99×	1.36
Los Chankas (+0.5)	53.1%	52.4%	50.2%	1.04×	1.91
Deportivo Moquegua (-0.5)	46.9%	47.6%	49.8%	0.95×	2.10
Los Chankas (-0.5)	27.7%	26.3%	25.4%	1.04×	3.80
Deportivo Moquegua (-1.5)	22.8%	21.5%	24.6%	0.87×	4.65
Deportivo Moquegua (-2.5)	8.8%	7.9%	11.4%	0.69×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas to concede	76.5%	78.7%	80.1%	0.98×	1.27
Los Chankas clean sheet	23.5%	21.3%	19.9%	1.07×	4.70

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas clean sheet in 1st half	53.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Los Chankas to concede in 1st half	46.4%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas to concede in 2nd half	56.2%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Los Chankas clean sheet in 2nd half	43.8%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas under 6.5 corners	84.7%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Los Chankas under 5.5 corners	75.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Los Chankas over 2.5 corners	71.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Los Chankas under 4.5 corners	61.9%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Los Chankas over 3.5 corners	54.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Los Chankas under 3.5 corners	45.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Los Chankas over 4.5 corners	38.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Los Chankas under 2.5 corners	28.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Los Chankas over 5.5 corners	24.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Los Chankas over 6.5 corners	15.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas under 3.5 goals	97.8%	97.5%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Los Chankas under 2.5 goals	91.2%	92.3%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Los Chankas under 1.5 goals	72.0%	71.8%	71.6%	1.00×	1.39
Los Chankas over 0.5 goals	64.8%	63.2%	65.9%	0.96×	1.58
Los Chankas under 0.5 goals	35.2%	36.8%	34.1%	1.08×	2.72
Los Chankas over 1.5 goals	28.0%	28.2%	28.4%	0.99×	3.55
Los Chankas over 2.5 goals	8.8%	7.7%	8.0%	0.96×	13.06
Los Chankas over 3.5 goals	2.2%	2.5%	2.5%	0.99×	39.86

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas under 1.5 in 1st half	93.4%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Los Chankas under 0.5 in 1st half	65.9%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
Los Chankas over 0.5 in 1st half	34.1%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
Los Chankas over 1.5 in 1st half	6.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.55

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas scores equally in both	45.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.08
Los Chankas scores more in 2nd half	34.4%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
Los Chankas scores more in 1st half	20.6%	21.8%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (away no bet)	64.9%	62.0%	66.6%	0.93×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	35.1%	38.0%	33.4%	1.14×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas even goals	56.2%	56.9%	56.9%	1.00×	1.76
Los Chankas odd goals	43.8%	43.1%	43.1%	1.00×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.29

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	58.4%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Both halves under 1.5 goals	41.6%	39.5%	—	—	2.53

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	51.3%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Deportivo Moquegua to score 2+ in a row	35.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Los Chankas to score 2+ in a row	20.9%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.1%	16.1%	—	—	6.20
Deportivo Moquegua to score 3+ in a row	12.3%	12.1%	—	—	8.23
Los Chankas to score 3+ in a row	5.1%	5.4%	—	—	18.36

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua corners (+3.5)	87.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Los Chankas corners (+3.5)	81.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Deportivo Moquegua corners (+2.5)	80.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Los Chankas corners (+2.5)	73.2%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Deportivo Moquegua corners (+1.5)	71.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Los Chankas corners (+1.5)	62.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Deportivo Moquegua corners (-1.5)	37.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Los Chankas corners (-1.5)	28.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Deportivo Moquegua corners (-2.5)	26.8%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Los Chankas corners (-2.5)	19.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Deportivo Moquegua corners (-3.5)	18.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Los Chankas corners (-3.5)	12.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	52.7%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	19.5%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.5%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	80.5%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	72.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	63.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	58.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	52.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	47.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	41.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	36.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	27.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	19.5%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	13.5%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	12.5%	11.5%	12.0%	0.96×	8.71
1-1	12.0%	11.5%	11.2%	1.02×	8.71
0-1	9.1%	7.4%	8.2%	0.91×	13.51
2-0	8.7%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.51
2-1	9.1%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.51
0-0	7.8%	7.4%	7.8%	0.95×	13.51
1-2	6.5%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
0-2	4.5%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.29
0-3	1.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.16×	58.32
1-3	2.3%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.29
2-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-0	4.2%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.30
3-1	4.4%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.29
3-2	2.3%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.31
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.37×	58.32
4-0	1.5%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.31
4-1	1.6%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.31
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.73×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	9.47×	58.32
Any other score	2.1%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (2nd half DNB)	59.4%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Los Chankas (2nd half DNB)	40.6%	40.4%	—	—	2.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua leading at HT (DNB)	62.4%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Los Chankas leading at HT (DNB)	37.6%	33.6%	—	—	2.98

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua or Los Chankas (12)	74.6%	72.1%	75.0%	0.96×	1.39
Deportivo Moquegua or draw (1X)	72.3%	72.1%	74.6%	0.97×	1.39
Los Chankas or draw (X2)	53.1%	52.6%	50.2%	1.05×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua or draw at HT	79.3%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Los Chankas or draw at HT	65.7%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Deportivo Moquegua or Los Chankas at HT	55.0%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua or draw (1UP)	72.3%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Los Chankas or draw (1UP)	53.1%	58.7%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua or draw in 2nd half	74.3%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Deportivo Moquegua or Los Chankas in 2nd half	63.2%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Los Chankas or draw in 2nd half	62.5%	63.5%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.8%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	34.2%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (DNB)	62.9%	62.7%	66.3%	0.95×	1.60
Los Chankas (DNB)	37.1%	37.3%	33.7%	1.11×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua to score first	53.6%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Los Chankas to score first	38.6%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	7.8%	7.6%	—	—	13.19

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	50.9%	51.3%	46.2%	1.11×	1.95
Both teams to score	49.1%	48.7%	53.8%	0.91×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	42.6%	41.6%	37.7%	1.10×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	37.0%	38.4%	42.8%	0.90×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.0%	12.4%	11.2%	1.10×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.4%	8.3%	8.7%	0.95×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.1%	85.6%	85.7%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.9%	14.4%	14.3%	1.00×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	74.0%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.0%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	62.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	21.8%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Both score 1st half only	11.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	4.1%	4.9%	—	—	20.31

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.3%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	15.7%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	50.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	49.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.5%	47.2%	44.2%	1.07×	2.12
0-1 goals	29.4%	26.6%	27.5%	0.97×	3.76
4-6 goals	22.7%	22.9%	26.8%	0.86×	4.36
7+ goals	1.4%	1.8%	1.8%	1.01×	54.42

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	37.7%	0.95×	2.78
Los Chankas to score exactly 0	35.2%	35.9%	34.1%	1.05×	2.79
Los Chankas to score exactly 2	19.2%	19.5%	20.7%	0.95×	5.12
Los Chankas to score 3+	8.8%	8.6%	8.0%	1.07×	11.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua to score exactly 1	34.0%	32.6%	33.0%	0.99×	3.07
Deportivo Moquegua to score exactly 2	24.7%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.29
Deportivo Moquegua to score exactly 0	23.5%	23.3%	19.9%	1.17×	4.29
Deportivo Moquegua to score 3+	17.8%	18.8%	22.5%	0.84×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.0%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Deportivo Moquegua leading at HT	34.3%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Los Chankas leading at HT	20.7%	20.3%	—	—	4.92

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua -1: 2	53.1%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Deportivo Moquegua -1: X	24.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Deportivo Moquegua -1: 1	22.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas (0:1)	53.1%	51.3%	50.2%	1.02×	1.95
Draw (0:1)	24.1%	24.2%	25.4%	0.96×	4.13
Deportivo Moquegua (0:1)	22.8%	24.2%	24.6%	0.98×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas (0:2)	77.2%	79.4%	75.4%	1.05×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	14.0%	11.0%	13.4%	0.82×	9.09
Deportivo Moquegua (0:2)	8.8%	7.7%	11.4%	0.67×	13.04

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas (0:3)	91.2%	92.7%	88.6%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.0%	5.8%	7.6%	0.76×	17.26
Deportivo Moquegua (0:3)	2.8%	2.4%	4.0%	0.60×	42.02

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas (0:4)	97.2%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	2.5%	0.48×	81.68
Deportivo Moquegua (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	81.82

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (1:0)	72.3%	72.4%	74.6%	0.97×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	17.5%	17.1%	17.9%	0.95×	5.85
Los Chankas (1:0)	10.2%	12.7%	7.6%	1.67×	7.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (2:0)	89.8%	88.5%	92.4%	0.96×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.2%	6.4%	5.6%	1.14×	15.66
Los Chankas (2:0)	2.9%	2.3%	2.2%	1.05×	43.74

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.0%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua to concede	64.8%	63.7%	65.9%	0.97×	1.57
Deportivo Moquegua clean sheet	35.2%	36.3%	34.1%	1.07×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua clean sheet in 1st half	65.9%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Deportivo Moquegua to concede in 1st half	34.1%	29.5%	—	—	3.39

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua clean sheet in 2nd half	53.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Deportivo Moquegua to concede in 2nd half	46.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua under 6.5 corners	79.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Deportivo Moquegua over 2.5 corners	76.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Deportivo Moquegua under 5.5 corners	68.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Deportivo Moquegua over 3.5 corners	61.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Deportivo Moquegua under 4.5 corners	55.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Deportivo Moquegua over 4.5 corners	45.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Deportivo Moquegua under 3.5 corners	39.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Deportivo Moquegua over 5.5 corners	31.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Deportivo Moquegua under 2.5 corners	23.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Deportivo Moquegua over 6.5 corners	20.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua under 3.5 goals	94.1%	92.2%	92.4%	1.00×	1.08
Deportivo Moquegua under 2.5 goals	82.2%	82.2%	77.5%	1.06×	1.22
Deportivo Moquegua over 0.5 goals	76.5%	77.8%	80.1%	0.97×	1.29
Deportivo Moquegua under 1.5 goals	57.5%	58.6%	52.7%	1.11×	1.71
Deportivo Moquegua over 1.5 goals	42.5%	41.4%	47.3%	0.87×	2.42
Deportivo Moquegua under 0.5 goals	23.5%	22.2%	19.9%	1.12×	4.50
Deportivo Moquegua over 2.5 goals	17.8%	17.8%	22.5%	0.79×	5.62
Deportivo Moquegua over 3.5 goals	5.9%	7.8%	7.6%	1.02×	12.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua under 1.5 in 1st half	87.0%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Deportivo Moquegua under 0.5 in 1st half	53.6%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Deportivo Moquegua over 0.5 in 1st half	46.4%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Deportivo Moquegua over 1.5 in 1st half	13.0%	9.8%	—	—	10.16

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua scores more in 2nd half	37.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Deportivo Moquegua scores equally in both	37.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Deportivo Moquegua scores more in 1st half	25.4%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas (home no bet)	52.2%	51.4%	50.4%	1.02×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	47.8%	48.6%	49.6%	0.98×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua even goals	52.8%	50.8%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Deportivo Moquegua odd goals	47.2%	49.3%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
HT 1-0	22.1%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	14.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.07
HT 1-1	9.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 2-0	6.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
Any other HT score	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 0-2	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 2-1	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 1-2	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.36

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua at HT / Deportivo Moquegua at FT	27.6%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Draw at HT / Deportivo Moquegua at FT	17.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.0%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Los Chankas at HT / Los Chankas at FT	14.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Los Chankas at FT	11.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Deportivo Moquegua at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Los Chankas at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Los Chankas at HT / Deportivo Moquegua at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.94
Deportivo Moquegua at HT / Los Chankas at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua to score last	53.6%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Los Chankas to score last	38.6%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	7.8%	7.6%	—	—	13.19

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.2%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Deportivo Moquegua to lead by 1 at any time	60.8%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
Los Chankas to lead by 1 at any time	43.8%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	43.0%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Deportivo Moquegua to lead by 2 at any time	28.4%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Los Chankas to lead by 2 at any time	14.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.39
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.6%	10.6%	—	—	9.39
Deportivo Moquegua to lead by 3 at any time	10.6%	10.6%	—	—	9.46
Los Chankas to lead by 3 at any time	4.0%	1.6%	—	—	61.40

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua most corners	48.9%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Los Chankas most corners	39.3%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	88.1%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.5%	83.4%	78.1%	1.07×	1.20
2-6 goals	69.2%	68.8%	70.8%	0.97×	1.45
1-3 goals	68.2%	68.8%	63.9%	1.08×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.5%	68.8%	67.4%	1.02×	1.45
2-4 goals	59.8%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
1-2 goals	46.8%	48.4%	41.1%	1.18×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.5%	48.4%	44.2%	1.10×	2.06
3-6 goals	44.0%	43.6%	49.6%	0.88×	2.29
3-5 goals	41.3%	43.6%	46.2%	0.94×	2.29
3-4 goals	34.6%	35.2%	37.1%	0.95×	2.84
4-6 goals	22.7%	24.5%	26.8%	0.91×	4.09
4-5 goals	19.9%	18.8%	23.4%	0.81×	5.31
5-6 goals	9.4%	8.9%	12.7%	0.70×	11.25
7+ goals	1.4%	2.6%	1.8%	1.41×	39.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua never behind	48.4%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Los Chankas never behind	31.4%	36.2%	—	—	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.3%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.7%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.9%	95.4%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	92.2%	92.3%	92.2%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.2%	87.6%	85.7%	1.02×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	75.9%	77.3%	71.6%	1.08×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	70.6%	72.5%	72.5%	1.00×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	54.6%	52.5%	48.7%	1.08×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	45.4%	47.5%	51.3%	0.93×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	29.4%	27.5%	27.5%	1.00×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	24.1%	22.7%	28.4%	0.80×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	10.8%	12.4%	14.3%	0.87×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	7.8%	7.7%	7.8%	0.99×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	4.1%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.81

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.6%	97.2%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.6%	97.2%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.6%	86.7%	83.3%	1.04×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	69.4%	67.5%	63.1%	1.07×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	60.7%	61.9%	65.1%	0.95×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	39.3%	38.1%	34.9%	1.09×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	30.6%	32.5%	36.9%	0.88×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.4%	13.3%	16.7%	0.80×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.4%	2.8%	5.8%	0.49×	35.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.4%	2.8%	1.9%	1.50×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.2%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.2%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.8%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.3%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.8%	28.6%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.8%	7.3%	—	—	13.73

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.1%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.8%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.6%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.4%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.2%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.9%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas not to score in both halves	84.1%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Deportivo Moquegua not to score in both halves	73.9%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Deportivo Moquegua to score in both halves	26.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.84
Los Chankas to score in both halves	15.9%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	49.1%	50.7%	53.8%	0.94×	1.97
Only Deportivo Moquegua scores	27.5%	26.1%	26.4%	0.99×	3.84
Only Los Chankas scores	15.7%	16.0%	12.3%	1.30×	6.24
Neither team scores	7.8%	7.1%	7.8%	0.92×	14.00

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.2%	24.9%	21.4%	1.16×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	21.6%	22.6%	19.9%	1.13×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	21.3%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	13.3%	12.1%	14.3%	0.85×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	7.8%	7.6%	7.8%	0.98×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	6.6%	7.6%	9.2%	0.82×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.1%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.34

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.9%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	35.3%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	19.0%	15.8%	—	—	6.34
3+ goals in 1st half	8.8%	7.3%	—	—	13.73

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	42.4%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	34.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
No goals in 2nd half	23.2%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas not to win both halves	94.8%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Deportivo Moquegua not to win both halves	87.2%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Deportivo Moquegua to win both halves	12.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
Los Chankas to win both halves	5.3%	5.8%	—	—	17.28

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua to win either half	59.1%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Los Chankas to win neither half	58.9%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Los Chankas to win either half	41.1%	40.9%	—	—	2.44
Deportivo Moquegua to win neither half	40.9%	40.9%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas not to win to nil	84.3%	83.1%	87.7%	0.95×	1.20
Deportivo Moquegua not to win to nil	72.5%	75.3%	73.6%	1.02×	1.33
Deportivo Moquegua to win to nil	27.5%	24.7%	26.4%	0.93×	4.05
Los Chankas to win to nil	15.7%	16.9%	12.3%	1.37×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.4%	27.9%	25.0%	1.11×	3.59
Deportivo Moquegua by 1	24.1%	24.1%	25.4%	0.95×	4.15
Los Chankas by 1	17.5%	17.0%	17.9%	0.95×	5.87
Deportivo Moquegua by 2	14.0%	11.8%	13.4%	0.88×	8.50
Deportivo Moquegua by 3+	8.8%	7.2%	11.4%	0.63×	13.90
Los Chankas by 2	7.2%	7.2%	5.6%	1.28×	13.91
Los Chankas by 3+	2.9%	2.7%	2.2%	1.25×	36.88