Deportivo Pasto v Jaguares de Córdoba — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Deportivo Pasto

01:10 UTC

Jaguares de Córdoba

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 110h before kick-off

Deportivo Pasto win

49.3%

model 49.9%

Draw

27.7%

model 26.4%

Jaguares de Córdoba win

23.0%

model 23.7%

492823

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.6%
1-0 9.9%
2-1 9.6%
2-0 9.0%
0-0 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	51.2%	Under 2.5	48.8%
BTTS yes	54.1%	BTTS no	45.9%
Deportivo Pasto 1+	80.8%	Deportivo Pasto 2+	49.1%
Jaguares de Córdoba 1+	65.7%	Jaguares de Córdoba 2+	29.0%

Expected goals 1.65 – 1.07. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

83/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Over 1.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 69%

77.7% fair odds 1.29

moderate signal · 1766 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Deportivo Pasto not to win both halves

Win both halves

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 590 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Deportivo Pasto.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportivo Pasto have an estimated 49.3% win probability, against 27.7% for the draw and 23.0% for Jaguares de Córdoba. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.65 for Deportivo Pasto and 1.07 for Jaguares de Córdoba.

Why Deportivo Pasto

Nothing in the data singles out Deportivo Pasto.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.7%. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Jaguares de Córdoba can win

Nothing in the data singles out Jaguares de Córdoba.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Deportivo Pasto, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Jaguares de Córdoba, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Deportivo Pasto: 57% possession, 12.4 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Jaguares de Córdoba: 45% possession, 10.8 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Deportivo Pasto are the model's most likely outcome at 49.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%. Confidence 83/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	502624	1.65–1.07	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	542521	1.77–1.02	1-1 12%	53%	54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto to win	53.9%	51.6%	45.8%	1.12×	1.94
Draw	25.2%	27.9%	29.5%	0.95×	3.59
Jaguares de Córdoba to win	20.9%	24.5%	24.8%	0.99×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto & not both score	28.9%	25.2%	27.1%	0.93×	3.97
Deportivo Pasto & both teams score	25.0%	25.2%	18.8%	1.34×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	18.2%	18.0%	18.8%	0.95×	5.56
Jaguares de Córdoba & both teams score	10.8%	13.3%	11.5%	1.15×	7.54
Jaguares de Córdoba & not both score	10.0%	13.3%	13.4%	0.99×	7.54
Draw & not both score	7.0%	8.3%	10.8%	0.77×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto & over 1.5	44.0%	40.3%	33.8%	1.19×	2.48
Deportivo Pasto & under 3.5	35.0%	34.9%	35.7%	0.98×	2.87
Deportivo Pasto & over 2.5	34.4%	30.8%	25.5%	1.21×	3.25
Deportivo Pasto & under 2.5	19.5%	18.0%	20.5%	0.88×	5.55
Deportivo Pasto & over 3.5	18.9%	18.0%	10.2%	1.76×	5.55
Draw & under 2.5	19.0%	18.0%	23.7%	0.76×	5.55
Draw & under 3.5	19.0%	18.0%	23.7%	0.76×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	18.2%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Jaguares de Córdoba & over 1.5	15.5%	18.0%	16.5%	1.09×	5.56
Jaguares de Córdoba & under 3.5	15.4%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Jaguares de Córdoba & over 2.5	12.3%	12.8%	12.9%	1.00×	7.79
Deportivo Pasto & under 1.5	9.9%	7.9%	12.2%	0.65×	12.63
Jaguares de Córdoba & under 2.5	8.6%	7.9%	12.1%	0.66×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.0%	7.9%	10.8%	0.73×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.2%	7.9%	6.0%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.2%	7.9%	6.0%	1.33×	12.63
Jaguares de Córdoba & under 1.5	5.4%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.63
Jaguares de Córdoba & over 3.5	5.5%	7.9%	5.0%	1.59×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto (1UP)	67.9%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Jaguares de Córdoba (1UP)	39.1%	34.3%	—	—	2.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto (2UP)	53.9%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
Jaguares de Córdoba (2UP)	20.9%	23.7%	—	—	4.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto to win 2nd half	43.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
2nd half drawn	34.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Jaguares de Córdoba to win 2nd half	21.6%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.4%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
Jaguares de Córdoba under 0.5 in 2nd half	54.1%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Jaguares de Córdoba over 0.5 in 2nd half	45.9%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Jaguares de Córdoba over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.6%	12.9%	—	—	7.76

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto under 1.5 in 2nd half	73.3%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Deportivo Pasto over 0.5 in 2nd half	63.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Deportivo Pasto under 0.5 in 2nd half	36.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Deportivo Pasto over 1.5 in 2nd half	26.7%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba (+2.5)	86.1%	88.5%	91.8%	0.96×	1.13
Deportivo Pasto (+0.5)	79.1%	78.5%	75.2%	1.04×	1.27
Jaguares de Córdoba (+1.5)	69.3%	68.7%	79.6%	0.86×	1.46
Deportivo Pasto (-0.5)	53.9%	52.4%	45.8%	1.14×	1.91
Jaguares de Córdoba (+0.5)	46.1%	47.6%	54.2%	0.88×	2.10
Deportivo Pasto (-1.5)	30.7%	31.3%	20.4%	1.54×	3.19
Jaguares de Córdoba (-0.5)	20.9%	21.5%	24.8%	0.87×	4.65
Deportivo Pasto (-2.5)	13.9%	11.5%	8.2%	1.41×	8.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba to concede	82.9%	81.5%	75.9%	1.07×	1.23
Jaguares de Córdoba clean sheet	17.1%	18.5%	24.1%	0.77×	5.40

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba to concede in 1st half	53.2%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Jaguares de Córdoba clean sheet in 1st half	46.8%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba to concede in 2nd half	63.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Jaguares de Córdoba clean sheet in 2nd half	36.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba under 6.5 corners	89.9%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Jaguares de Córdoba under 5.5 corners	82.4%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Jaguares de Córdoba under 4.5 corners	71.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Jaguares de Córdoba over 2.5 corners	62.6%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Jaguares de Córdoba under 3.5 corners	55.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Jaguares de Córdoba over 3.5 corners	44.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Jaguares de Córdoba under 2.5 corners	37.4%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Jaguares de Córdoba over 4.5 corners	28.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Jaguares de Córdoba over 5.5 corners	17.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Jaguares de Córdoba over 6.5 corners	10.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba under 3.5 goals	98.0%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Jaguares de Córdoba under 2.5 goals	91.5%	92.3%	92.9%	0.99×	1.08
Jaguares de Córdoba under 1.5 goals	72.7%	71.8%	74.2%	0.97×	1.39
Jaguares de Córdoba over 0.5 goals	64.0%	63.2%	62.2%	1.02×	1.58
Jaguares de Córdoba under 0.5 goals	36.0%	36.8%	37.8%	0.97×	2.72
Jaguares de Córdoba over 1.5 goals	27.3%	28.2%	25.8%	1.09×	3.55
Jaguares de Córdoba over 2.5 goals	8.5%	7.7%	7.1%	1.08×	13.06
Jaguares de Córdoba over 3.5 goals	2.0%	2.5%	1.9%	1.29×	39.87

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba under 1.5 in 1st half	93.6%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Jaguares de Córdoba under 0.5 in 1st half	66.4%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
Jaguares de Córdoba over 0.5 in 1st half	33.6%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Jaguares de Córdoba over 1.5 in 1st half	6.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.59

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba scores equally in both	45.6%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Jaguares de Córdoba scores more in 2nd half	34.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Jaguares de Córdoba scores more in 1st half	20.4%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto (away no bet)	68.2%	66.4%	60.8%	1.09×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	31.8%	33.6%	39.2%	0.86×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba even goals	56.5%	56.9%	57.6%	0.99×	1.76
Jaguares de Córdoba odd goals	43.5%	43.1%	42.4%	1.02×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.3%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.97

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	65.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	34.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	58.2%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Deportivo Pasto to score 2+ in a row	45.0%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Jaguares de Córdoba to score 2+ in a row	19.2%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Deportivo Pasto to score 3+ in a row	18.5%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Jaguares de Córdoba to score 3+ in a row	4.3%	2.6%	—	—	38.34

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto corners (+3.5)	93.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Deportivo Pasto corners (+2.5)	89.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Deportivo Pasto corners (+1.5)	83.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (+3.5)	66.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (+2.5)	56.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Deportivo Pasto corners (-1.5)	54.9%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (+1.5)	45.1%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Deportivo Pasto corners (-2.5)	44.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Deportivo Pasto corners (-3.5)	33.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (-1.5)	16.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (-2.5)	10.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (-3.5)	6.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	47.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	27.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	24.7%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	81.8%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	75.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	63.1%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	57.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	52.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	47.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	42.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	36.9%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	32.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	24.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	18.2%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.0%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.71
1-0	9.9%	7.4%	12.2%	0.61×	13.51
2-0	9.6%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.51
2-1	9.8%	7.4%	10.9%	0.68×	13.51
0-0	7.0%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.51
0-1	5.4%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.51
1-2	5.7%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
2-2	5.0%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.51
3-0	5.7%	7.4%	4.6%	1.62×	13.51
3-1	5.8%	7.4%	3.5%	2.14×	13.51
0-2	3.2%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.30
0-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.55×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.32
1-3	1.9%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.31
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.32
2-3	1.7%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32
3-2	3.0%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.30
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	6.19×	58.32
4-0	2.5%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.31
4-1	2.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.30
4-2	1.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32
Any other score	3.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto (2nd half DNB)	67.0%	66.9%	—	—	1.49
Jaguares de Córdoba (2nd half DNB)	33.0%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto leading at HT (DNB)	69.2%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Jaguares de Córdoba leading at HT (DNB)	30.8%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto or draw (1X)	79.1%	75.5%	75.2%	1.00×	1.32
Deportivo Pasto or Jaguares de Córdoba (12)	74.8%	72.1%	70.5%	1.02×	1.39
Jaguares de Córdoba or draw (X2)	46.1%	48.4%	54.2%	0.89×	2.07

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto or draw at HT	82.1%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Jaguares de Córdoba or draw at HT	59.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Deportivo Pasto or Jaguares de Córdoba at HT	58.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto or draw (1UP)	79.1%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Jaguares de Córdoba or draw (1UP)	46.1%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto or draw in 2nd half	78.4%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Deportivo Pasto or Jaguares de Córdoba in 2nd half	65.4%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Jaguares de Córdoba or draw in 2nd half	56.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.0%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.0%	38.7%	—	—	2.58

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto (DNB)	72.1%	71.4%	64.9%	1.10×	1.40
Jaguares de Córdoba (DNB)	27.9%	28.6%	35.1%	0.81×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto to score first	58.9%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Jaguares de Córdoba to score first	34.1%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
No goal scored	7.0%	7.6%	—	—	13.23

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	54.0%	51.3%	48.9%	1.05×	1.95
Not both teams to score	46.0%	48.7%	51.1%	0.95×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	42.0%	41.6%	36.0%	1.15×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	35.2%	38.4%	43.1%	0.89×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.0%	12.4%	13.0%	0.95×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	10.8%	12.4%	8.2%	1.51×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.6%	85.6%	88.6%	0.97×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.4%	14.4%	11.4%	1.27×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.6%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.4%	26.4%	—	—	3.78

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	57.7%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Both score 2nd half only	24.2%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Both score 1st half only	12.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	5.2%	6.7%	—	—	14.85

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.0%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	18.0%	16.6%	—	—	6.04

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.8%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
A half without a goal	44.2%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.0%	47.2%	48.1%	0.98×	2.12
4-6 goals	28.2%	26.6%	19.5%	1.36×	3.76
0-1 goals	22.4%	22.9%	31.2%	0.74×	4.36
7+ goals	2.4%	1.8%	1.5%	1.21×	54.32

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
Jaguares de Córdoba to score exactly 0	36.0%	35.9%	37.8%	0.95×	2.79
Jaguares de Córdoba to score exactly 2	18.8%	19.5%	18.8%	1.04×	5.12
Jaguares de Córdoba to score 3+	8.5%	8.6%	7.1%	1.21×	11.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto to score exactly 1	30.2%	32.6%	34.5%	0.94×	3.07
Deportivo Pasto to score exactly 2	26.7%	26.6%	26.2%	1.01×	3.77
Deportivo Pasto to score 3+	26.1%	26.6%	15.5%	1.71×	3.77
Deportivo Pasto to score exactly 0	17.1%	18.8%	24.1%	0.78×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Deportivo Pasto leading at HT	40.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.36
Jaguares de Córdoba leading at HT	17.9%	16.0%	—	—	6.26

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto -1: 2	46.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Deportivo Pasto -1: 1	30.7%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Deportivo Pasto -1: X	23.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba (0:1)	46.1%	46.1%	54.2%	0.85×	2.17
Deportivo Pasto (0:1)	30.7%	30.1%	20.4%	1.48×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	23.2%	24.2%	25.6%	0.95×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba (0:2)	69.3%	72.3%	79.6%	0.91×	1.38
Draw (0:2)	16.9%	15.3%	12.3%	1.24×	6.56
Deportivo Pasto (0:2)	13.9%	11.0%	8.2%	1.35×	9.09

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba (0:3)	86.1%	90.6%	91.8%	0.99×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	8.7%	5.8%	5.4%	1.08×	17.22
Deportivo Pasto (0:3)	5.2%	5.8%	2.9%	1.99×	17.28

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba (0:4)	94.8%	94.6%	97.1%	0.97×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	3.6%	1.2%	1.9%	0.63×	81.58
Deportivo Pasto (0:4)	1.6%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	81.79

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto (1:0)	79.1%	78.6%	75.2%	1.05×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	13.0%	12.7%	17.3%	0.73×	7.87
Jaguares de Córdoba (1:0)	7.8%	6.9%	7.6%	0.91×	14.49

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto (2:0)	92.2%	94.0%	92.4%	1.02×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.6%	6.4%	5.0%	1.28×	15.68
Jaguares de Córdoba (2:0)	2.2%	2.3%	2.8%	0.82×	43.79

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.1%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto to concede	64.0%	63.7%	62.2%	1.02×	1.57
Deportivo Pasto clean sheet	36.0%	36.3%	37.8%	0.96×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto clean sheet in 1st half	66.4%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Deportivo Pasto to concede in 1st half	33.6%	29.5%	—	—	3.40

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto clean sheet in 2nd half	54.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Deportivo Pasto to concede in 2nd half	45.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto over 2.5 corners	84.8%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Deportivo Pasto over 3.5 corners	72.8%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Deportivo Pasto under 6.5 corners	65.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Deportivo Pasto over 4.5 corners	59.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Deportivo Pasto under 5.5 corners	54.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Deportivo Pasto over 5.5 corners	46.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Deportivo Pasto under 4.5 corners	40.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Deportivo Pasto over 6.5 corners	34.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Deportivo Pasto under 3.5 corners	27.2%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Deportivo Pasto under 2.5 corners	15.2%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto under 3.5 goals	89.6%	87.3%	95.3%	0.92×	1.15
Deportivo Pasto over 0.5 goals	82.9%	82.2%	75.9%	1.08×	1.22
Deportivo Pasto under 2.5 goals	73.9%	74.2%	84.5%	0.88×	1.35
Deportivo Pasto over 1.5 goals	52.8%	53.2%	41.6%	1.28×	1.88
Deportivo Pasto under 1.5 goals	47.2%	46.8%	58.4%	0.80×	2.14
Deportivo Pasto over 2.5 goals	26.1%	25.8%	15.5%	1.66×	3.88
Deportivo Pasto under 0.5 goals	17.1%	17.8%	24.1%	0.74×	5.62
Deportivo Pasto over 3.5 goals	10.4%	12.7%	4.7%	2.70×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto under 1.5 in 1st half	82.3%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Deportivo Pasto over 0.5 in 1st half	53.2%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Deportivo Pasto under 0.5 in 1st half	46.8%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Deportivo Pasto over 1.5 in 1st half	17.7%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto scores more in 2nd half	40.4%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
Deportivo Pasto scores equally in both	32.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Deportivo Pasto scores more in 1st half	26.8%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	54.7%	51.5%	54.3%	0.95×	1.94
Jaguares de Córdoba (home no bet)	45.3%	48.5%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto even goals	51.5%	50.8%	53.3%	0.95×	1.97
Deportivo Pasto odd goals	48.5%	49.3%	46.7%	1.06×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.2%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
HT 1-0	23.5%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	12.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	9.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-0	9.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
Any other HT score	5.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 2-1	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 0-2	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.25
HT 1-2	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto at HT / Deportivo Pasto at FT	33.4%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Draw at HT / Deportivo Pasto at FT	17.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Jaguares de Córdoba at HT / Jaguares de Córdoba at FT	10.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Jaguares de Córdoba at FT	8.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.45
Deportivo Pasto at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Jaguares de Córdoba at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Jaguares de Córdoba at HT / Deportivo Pasto at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.94
Deportivo Pasto at HT / Jaguares de Córdoba at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto to score last	59.0%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Jaguares de Córdoba to score last	34.0%	32.5%	—	—	3.07
No goal scored	7.0%	7.6%	—	—	13.23

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.0%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Deportivo Pasto to lead by 1 at any time	67.9%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	49.5%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Jaguares de Córdoba to lead by 1 at any time	39.1%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Deportivo Pasto to lead by 2 at any time	37.2%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Deportivo Pasto to lead by 3 at any time	16.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Jaguares de Córdoba to lead by 2 at any time	12.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.44
Jaguares de Córdoba to lead by 3 at any time	3.2%	1.6%	—	—	62.17

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto most corners	65.7%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Jaguares de Córdoba most corners	24.5%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Corners level	9.8%	8.4%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.5%	87.4%	85.7%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.9%	78.7%	80.1%	0.98×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.2%	78.7%	67.5%	1.17×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.2%	72.3%	65.4%	1.11×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.6%	63.3%	59.7%	1.06×	1.58
1-3 goals	62.4%	63.3%	68.4%	0.93×	1.58
3-6 goals	50.4%	53.1%	42.7%	1.25×	1.88
2-3 goals	47.0%	48.4%	48.1%	1.01×	2.06
3-5 goals	46.4%	48.4%	40.6%	1.19×	2.06
1-2 goals	40.1%	43.6%	45.3%	0.96×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.8%	39.2%	34.9%	1.12×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.2%	30.2%	19.5%	1.55×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.2%	24.5%	17.5%	1.40×	4.09
5-6 goals	12.7%	14.8%	7.9%	1.88×	6.76
7+ goals	2.4%	2.6%	1.5%	1.68×	39.16

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto never behind	53.9%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Jaguares de Córdoba never behind	25.1%	29.7%	—	—	3.37

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.0%	50.9%	50.4%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.0%	49.1%	49.6%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.1%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.9%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.6%	92.3%	96.4%	0.96×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.0%	92.3%	89.2%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.9%	82.3%	90.7%	0.91×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	77.6%	77.3%	68.8%	1.12×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	69.4%	66.3%	79.1%	0.84×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	52.8%	52.5%	44.0%	1.19×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	47.2%	47.5%	56.0%	0.85×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	30.6%	33.7%	20.9%	1.61×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	22.4%	22.7%	31.2%	0.73×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	15.1%	17.7%	9.3%	1.91×	5.66
Under 0.5 goals	7.0%	7.7%	10.8%	0.72×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	6.4%	7.7%	3.6%	2.15×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.5%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.0%	92.4%	96.2%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.1%	81.1%	89.5%	0.91×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	70.3%	72.3%	58.6%	1.24×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.7%	61.9%	72.8%	0.85×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	39.3%	38.1%	27.2%	1.40×	2.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	29.7%	27.7%	41.4%	0.67×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.9%	18.9%	10.5%	1.80×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.0%	7.6%	3.8%	1.99×	13.19
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.5%	2.8%	1.6%	1.80×	35.62

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.6%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.8%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.2%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.8%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.2%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.16

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.9%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.8%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	48.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.2%	20.4%	—	—	4.90
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.1%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba not to score in both halves	84.6%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Deportivo Pasto not to score in both halves	66.2%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Deportivo Pasto to score in both halves	33.8%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Jaguares de Córdoba to score in both halves	15.4%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	54.0%	53.8%	48.9%	1.10×	1.86
Only Deportivo Pasto scores	28.9%	26.1%	27.1%	0.96×	3.83
Only Jaguares de Córdoba scores	10.0%	11.0%	13.4%	0.82×	9.08
Neither team scores	7.0%	7.1%	10.8%	0.66×	14.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.8%	22.6%	24.9%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	15.3%	17.5%	20.5%	0.85×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.5%	17.5%	11.8%	1.48×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	8.7%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	7.0%	7.6%	10.8%	0.70×	13.14
6 or more goals	6.4%	7.6%	3.6%	2.11×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.0%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	31.2%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	21.4%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	11.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.24

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	48.5%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	31.4%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	20.1%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba not to win both halves	96.0%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Deportivo Pasto not to win both halves	82.2%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Deportivo Pasto to win both halves	17.8%	16.6%	—	—	6.04
Jaguares de Córdoba to win both halves	4.0%	2.8%	—	—	35.61

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto to win either half	66.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Jaguares de Córdoba to win neither half	64.5%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Jaguares de Córdoba to win either half	35.5%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Deportivo Pasto to win neither half	33.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba not to win to nil	90.0%	88.1%	86.6%	1.02×	1.14
Deportivo Pasto not to win to nil	71.1%	75.3%	72.9%	1.03×	1.33
Deportivo Pasto to win to nil	28.9%	24.7%	27.1%	0.91×	4.04
Jaguares de Córdoba to win to nil	10.0%	11.9%	13.4%	0.88×	8.43

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.2%	27.9%	29.5%	0.94×	3.59
Deportivo Pasto by 1	23.2%	24.1%	25.6%	0.94×	4.15
Deportivo Pasto by 2	16.9%	17.0%	12.3%	1.38×	5.87
Deportivo Pasto by 3+	13.9%	11.8%	8.2%	1.44×	8.50
Jaguares de Córdoba by 1	13.0%	11.8%	17.3%	0.68×	8.50
Jaguares de Córdoba by 2	5.6%	7.2%	5.0%	1.44×	13.92
Jaguares de Córdoba by 3+	2.2%	2.7%	2.8%	0.98×	36.90