Deportivo Pereira v Deportes Tolima — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 29 October 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Deportivo Pereira

23:15 UTC

Deportes Tolima

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 108h before kick-off

Deportivo Pereira win

22.2%

model 20.6%

Draw

26.8%

model 28.8%

Deportes Tolima win

51.1%

model 50.7%

222751

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 13.8%
1-1 13.3%
0-0 11.2%
0-2 10.7%
1-2 8.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	40.0%	Under 2.5	60.0%
BTTS yes	44.3%	BTTS no	55.7%
Deportivo Pereira 1+	56.6%	Deportivo Pereira 2+	20.3%
Deportes Tolima 1+	76.6%	Deportes Tolima 2+	42.6%

Expected goals 0.83 – 1.45. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

85/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Deportes Tolima (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 25%

52.1% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Deportivo Pereira not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Deportes Tolima carry the stronger rating, 1598 Elo against 1339.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportes Tolima have an estimated 51.1% win probability, against 26.8% for the draw and 22.2% for Deportivo Pereira. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.83 for Deportivo Pereira and 1.45 for Deportes Tolima.

Why Deportivo Pereira

Nothing in the data singles out Deportivo Pereira.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.8%. A combined 2.29 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Deportes Tolima can win

Deportes Tolima carry the stronger rating, 1598 Elo against 1339.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Deportivo Pereira, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Deportes Tolima, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Deportivo Pereira: 46% possession, 8.4 shots a match, 22.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Deportes Tolima: 55% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Deportes Tolima are the model's most likely outcome at 51.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 13.8%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	212951	0.83–1.45	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	203149	0.75–1.32	0-1 16%	34%	40%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima to win	49.1%	47.4%	24.8%	1.91×	2.11
Draw	30.6%	30.4%	29.5%	1.03×	3.29
Deportivo Pereira to win	20.3%	24.4%	45.8%	0.53×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima & not both score	33.5%	29.6%	13.4%	2.21×	3.38
Draw & both teams score	17.0%	18.0%	18.8%	0.95×	5.57
Deportes Tolima & both teams score	15.6%	18.0%	11.5%	1.56×	5.57
Draw & not both score	13.6%	13.3%	10.8%	1.23×	7.54
Deportivo Pereira & not both score	13.1%	13.3%	27.1%	0.49×	7.54
Deportivo Pereira & both teams score	7.2%	8.3%	18.8%	0.44×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima & under 3.5	39.6%	34.9%	19.9%	1.75×	2.87
Deportes Tolima & over 1.5	33.5%	30.8%	16.5%	1.87×	3.25
Draw & under 2.5	27.1%	26.1%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	27.1%	26.1%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Deportes Tolima & under 2.5	26.5%	26.1%	12.1%	2.16×	3.84
Deportes Tolima & over 2.5	22.5%	21.6%	12.9%	1.68×	4.63
Deportivo Pereira & under 3.5	17.6%	18.0%	35.7%	0.50×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.0%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Deportes Tolima & under 1.5	15.6%	18.0%	8.4%	2.13×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	13.6%	12.8%	10.8%	1.19×	7.79
Deportivo Pereira & over 1.5	11.8%	12.8%	33.8%	0.38×	7.79
Deportivo Pereira & under 2.5	12.0%	12.8%	20.5%	0.63×	7.79
Deportes Tolima & over 3.5	9.5%	7.9%	5.0%	1.59×	12.63
Deportivo Pereira & under 1.5	8.5%	7.9%	12.2%	0.65×	12.63
Deportivo Pereira & over 2.5	8.3%	7.9%	25.5%	0.31×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	3.5%	4.8%	6.0%	0.81×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.5%	4.8%	6.0%	0.81×	20.82
Deportivo Pereira & over 3.5	2.7%	4.8%	10.2%	0.47×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (1UP)	60.6%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Deportivo Pereira (1UP)	34.4%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (2UP)	49.1%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Deportivo Pereira (2UP)	20.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	41.1%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
Deportes Tolima to win 2nd half	40.8%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Deportivo Pereira to win 2nd half	18.1%	18.0%	—	—	5.57

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.2%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Deportes Tolima over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.7%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Deportes Tolima under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.3%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Deportes Tolima over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.8%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pereira under 1.5 in 2nd half	93.0%	94.4%	—	—	1.06
Deportivo Pereira under 0.5 in 2nd half	65.1%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Deportivo Pereira over 0.5 in 2nd half	34.9%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
Deportivo Pereira over 1.5 in 2nd half	7.0%	5.6%	—	—	17.84

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (+2.5)	98.6%	96.3%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Deportes Tolima (+1.5)	93.7%	92.1%	79.6%	1.16×	1.09
Deportes Tolima (+0.5)	79.7%	78.5%	54.2%	1.45×	1.27
Deportivo Pereira (+0.5)	50.9%	52.4%	75.2%	0.70×	1.91
Deportes Tolima (-0.5)	49.1%	47.6%	24.8%	1.92×	2.10
Deportivo Pereira (-0.5)	20.3%	21.5%	45.8%	0.47×	4.65
Deportivo Pereira (-1.5)	6.3%	7.9%	20.4%	0.39×	12.70
Deportivo Pereira (-2.5)	1.4%	3.7%	8.2%	0.45×	27.23

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima to concede	52.9%	55.9%	75.9%	0.74×	1.79
Deportes Tolima clean sheet	47.1%	44.1%	24.1%	1.83×	2.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima clean sheet in 1st half	72.3%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Deportes Tolima to concede in 1st half	27.7%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima clean sheet in 2nd half	65.1%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
Deportes Tolima to concede in 2nd half	34.9%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima over 2.5 corners	77.7%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Deportes Tolima under 6.5 corners	76.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Deportes Tolima under 5.5 corners	65.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Deportes Tolima over 3.5 corners	62.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Deportes Tolima under 4.5 corners	52.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Deportes Tolima over 4.5 corners	47.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Deportes Tolima under 3.5 corners	37.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Deportes Tolima over 5.5 corners	34.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Deportes Tolima over 6.5 corners	23.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Deportes Tolima under 2.5 corners	22.3%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima under 3.5 goals	95.5%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Deportes Tolima under 2.5 goals	85.3%	87.8%	92.9%	0.94×	1.14
Deportes Tolima over 0.5 goals	73.3%	71.8%	62.2%	1.16×	1.39
Deportes Tolima under 1.5 goals	62.0%	63.2%	74.2%	0.85×	1.58
Deportes Tolima over 1.5 goals	38.0%	36.8%	25.8%	1.43×	2.72
Deportes Tolima under 0.5 goals	26.7%	28.2%	37.8%	0.74×	3.55
Deportes Tolima over 2.5 goals	14.7%	12.2%	7.1%	1.73×	8.19
Deportes Tolima over 3.5 goals	4.5%	2.5%	1.9%	1.29×	39.83

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima under 1.5 in 1st half	90.1%	93.7%	—	—	1.07
Deportes Tolima under 0.5 in 1st half	59.0%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Deportes Tolima over 0.5 in 1st half	41.0%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Deportes Tolima over 1.5 in 1st half	9.9%	6.3%	—	—	15.91

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima scores equally in both	39.1%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Deportes Tolima scores more in 2nd half	38.5%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Deportes Tolima scores more in 1st half	22.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	60.1%	61.9%	39.2%	1.58×	1.62
Deportivo Pereira (away no bet)	39.9%	38.1%	60.8%	0.63×	2.62

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima even goals	53.6%	52.6%	57.6%	0.91×	1.90
Deportes Tolima odd goals	46.4%	47.4%	42.4%	1.12×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	92.8%	92.3%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	7.2%	7.7%	—	—	12.96

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	51.3%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Not both halves under 1.5	48.7%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	43.2%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
Deportes Tolima to score 2+ in a row	32.9%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Either team to score 3+ in a row	13.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.30
Deportivo Pereira to score 2+ in a row	12.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Deportes Tolima to score 3+ in a row	11.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Deportivo Pereira to score 3+ in a row	2.4%	2.5%	—	—	39.35

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima corners (+3.5)	90.4%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Deportes Tolima corners (+2.5)	84.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Deportes Tolima corners (+1.5)	76.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Deportivo Pereira corners (+3.5)	76.5%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Deportivo Pereira corners (+2.5)	67.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Deportivo Pereira corners (+1.5)	56.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Deportes Tolima corners (-1.5)	43.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Deportes Tolima corners (-2.5)	32.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Deportes Tolima corners (-3.5)	23.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Deportivo Pereira corners (-1.5)	23.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Deportivo Pereira corners (-2.5)	15.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Deportivo Pereira corners (-3.5)	9.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	55.2%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
9-11 corners	26.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	18.6%	22.6%	—	—	4.42

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	87.0%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	81.4%	80.6%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	74.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	65.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 7.5 corners	55.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	55.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	44.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	44.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 9.5 corners	34.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	25.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	18.6%	19.4%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	13.0%	16.9%	—	—	5.90

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	15.6%	13.8%	8.4%	1.64×	7.24
0-0	13.6%	11.5%	10.8%	1.06×	8.71
1-1	13.5%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.71
0-2	11.0%	11.5%	3.7%	3.07×	8.72
1-0	8.5%	7.4%	12.2%	0.61×	13.51
1-2	8.2%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
0-3	4.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.55×	58.29
0-4	1.6%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.31
1-3	3.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.30
1-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.31
2-0	3.6%	1.7%	8.4%	0.20×	58.30
2-1	4.7%	1.7%	10.9%	0.16×	58.29
2-2	3.1%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.30
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32
3-0	0.9%	1.7%	4.6%	0.38×	58.31
3-1	1.2%	1.7%	3.5%	0.50×	58.31
3-2	0.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31
3-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.19×	58.32
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.32
4-1	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.32
4-2	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32
Any other score	1.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (2nd half DNB)	69.3%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Deportivo Pereira (2nd half DNB)	30.7%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima leading at HT (DNB)	64.5%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Deportivo Pereira leading at HT (DNB)	35.5%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima or draw (X2)	79.7%	75.6%	54.2%	1.40×	1.32
Deportivo Pereira or Deportes Tolima (12)	69.4%	69.6%	70.5%	0.99×	1.44
Deportivo Pereira or draw (1X)	50.9%	52.6%	75.2%	0.70×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima or draw at HT	82.5%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Deportivo Pereira or draw at HT	68.1%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Deportivo Pereira or Deportes Tolima at HT	49.4%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima or draw (1UP)	79.7%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Deportivo Pereira or draw (1UP)	50.9%	58.6%	—	—	1.71

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima or draw in 2nd half	81.9%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
Deportivo Pereira or draw in 2nd half	59.2%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
Deportivo Pereira or Deportes Tolima in 2nd half	58.9%	58.2%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	69.9%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	30.1%	31.6%	—	—	3.17

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (DNB)	70.7%	71.3%	35.1%	2.03×	1.40
Deportivo Pereira (DNB)	29.3%	28.7%	64.9%	0.44×	3.49

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima to score first	55.0%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Deportivo Pereira to score first	31.4%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
No goal scored	13.6%	10.2%	—	—	9.78

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	60.2%	56.6%	51.1%	1.11×	1.77
Both teams to score	39.8%	43.4%	48.9%	0.89×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	52.2%	47.2%	43.1%	1.10×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	26.3%	33.3%	36.0%	0.92×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	13.5%	12.4%	13.0%	0.95×	8.08
Not both score & over 2.5	8.0%	8.3%	8.2%	1.01×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	93.4%	89.0%	88.6%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	6.6%	11.0%	11.4%	0.97×	9.11

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	80.6%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
Both teams to score in 2nd half	19.4%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	71.2%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both score 2nd half only	17.3%	15.0%	—	—	6.65
Both score 1st half only	9.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
Both score in both halves	2.2%	4.8%	—	—	20.68

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	88.5%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	11.5%	14.3%	—	—	6.97

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	59.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
A goal in each half	40.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.7%	47.2%	48.1%	0.98×	2.12
0-1 goals	37.7%	35.1%	31.2%	1.13×	2.85
4-6 goals	15.1%	20.2%	19.5%	1.03×	4.96
7+ goals	0.5%	1.8%	1.5%	1.20×	54.48

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima to score exactly 1	35.3%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
Deportes Tolima to score exactly 0	26.7%	27.4%	37.8%	0.72×	3.65
Deportes Tolima to score exactly 2	23.3%	22.3%	18.8%	1.18×	4.49
Deportes Tolima to score 3+	14.7%	12.9%	7.1%	1.83×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pereira to score exactly 0	47.1%	37.4%	24.1%	1.55×	2.67
Deportivo Pereira to score exactly 1	35.5%	35.5%	34.5%	1.03×	2.81
Deportivo Pereira to score exactly 2	13.4%	14.3%	26.2%	0.55×	6.98
Deportivo Pereira to score 3+	4.1%	6.2%	15.5%	0.40×	16.15

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	50.6%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
Deportes Tolima leading at HT	31.9%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Deportivo Pereira leading at HT	17.5%	16.0%	—	—	6.23

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima -1: 1	50.9%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Deportes Tolima -1: X	25.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Deportes Tolima -1: 2	23.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (0:1)	79.7%	73.9%	54.2%	1.36×	1.35
Draw (0:1)	14.0%	13.7%	25.6%	0.54×	7.29
Deportivo Pereira (0:1)	6.3%	9.2%	20.4%	0.45×	10.86

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (0:2)	93.7%	90.8%	79.6%	1.14×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	4.9%	3.8%	12.3%	0.31×	26.59
Deportivo Pereira (0:2)	1.4%	3.7%	8.2%	0.46×	26.80

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (0:3)	98.6%	96.6%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.1%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.18
Deportivo Pereira (0:3)	0.2%	2.4%	2.9%	0.81×	42.22

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (0:4)	99.8%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Deportivo Pereira (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	82.17
Draw (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.9%	0.63×	82.15

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pereira (1:0)	50.9%	54.0%	75.2%	0.72×	1.85
Draw (1:0)	25.3%	25.0%	17.3%	1.44×	4.01
Deportes Tolima (1:0)	23.8%	21.7%	7.6%	2.85×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pereira (2:0)	76.2%	80.4%	92.4%	0.87×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	15.1%	15.8%	5.0%	3.16×	6.35
Deportes Tolima (2:0)	8.7%	6.4%	2.8%	2.31×	15.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.9%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Halves equal	31.0%	27.8%	—	—	3.60
1st half highest scoring	25.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pereira to concede	73.3%	73.1%	62.2%	1.18×	1.37
Deportivo Pereira clean sheet	26.7%	26.9%	37.8%	0.71×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pereira clean sheet in 1st half	59.0%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Deportivo Pereira to concede in 1st half	41.0%	37.9%	—	—	2.64

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pereira to concede in 2nd half	54.7%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Deportivo Pereira clean sheet in 2nd half	45.3%	47.1%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pereira under 6.5 corners	88.3%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Deportivo Pereira under 5.5 corners	80.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Deportivo Pereira under 4.5 corners	68.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Deportivo Pereira over 2.5 corners	65.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Deportivo Pereira under 3.5 corners	52.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Deportivo Pereira over 3.5 corners	47.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Deportivo Pereira under 2.5 corners	34.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Deportivo Pereira over 4.5 corners	31.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Deportivo Pereira over 5.5 corners	19.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
Deportivo Pereira over 6.5 corners	11.7%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pereira under 3.5 goals	99.3%	96.4%	95.3%	1.01×	1.04
Deportivo Pereira under 2.5 goals	95.9%	96.4%	84.5%	1.14×	1.04
Deportivo Pereira under 1.5 goals	82.6%	82.2%	58.4%	1.41×	1.22
Deportivo Pereira over 0.5 goals	52.9%	53.2%	75.9%	0.70×	1.88
Deportivo Pereira under 0.5 goals	47.1%	46.8%	24.1%	1.94×	2.14
Deportivo Pereira over 1.5 goals	17.4%	17.8%	41.6%	0.43×	5.63
Deportivo Pereira over 2.5 goals	4.1%	3.6%	15.5%	0.23×	27.49
Deportivo Pereira over 3.5 goals	0.7%	3.6%	4.7%	0.77×	27.64

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pereira under 1.5 in 1st half	95.8%	96.8%	—	—	1.03
Deportivo Pereira under 0.5 in 1st half	72.3%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Deportivo Pereira over 0.5 in 1st half	27.7%	20.7%	—	—	4.84
Deportivo Pereira over 1.5 in 1st half	4.2%	3.2%	—	—	30.80

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pereira scores equally in both	53.9%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Deportivo Pereira scores more in 2nd half	26.9%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
Deportivo Pereira scores more in 1st half	19.2%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (home no bet)	61.6%	60.0%	45.7%	1.31×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	38.4%	40.0%	54.3%	0.74×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pereira even goals	61.1%	55.9%	53.3%	1.05×	1.79
Deportivo Pereira odd goals	38.9%	44.1%	46.7%	0.94×	2.27

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	42.9%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
HT 0-1	22.3%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	13.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	7.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
HT 0-2	5.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 2-0	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.06
Any other HT score	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.07
HT 1-2	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 2-1	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.19

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima at HT / Deportes Tolima at FT	26.9%	27.2%	—	—	3.67
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	21.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Draw at HT / Deportes Tolima at FT	20.1%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Deportivo Pereira at HT / Deportivo Pereira at FT	10.7%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Draw at HT / Deportivo Pereira at FT	8.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.40
Deportivo Pereira at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Deportes Tolima at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Deportivo Pereira at HT / Deportes Tolima at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Deportes Tolima at HT / Deportivo Pereira at FT	0.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.94

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima to score last	55.1%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Deportivo Pereira to score last	31.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
No goal scored	13.6%	9.6%	—	—	10.38

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	86.4%	91.0%	—	—	1.10
Deportes Tolima to lead by 1 at any time	60.6%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	37.1%	34.7%	—	—	2.89
Deportivo Pereira to lead by 1 at any time	34.4%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
Deportes Tolima to lead by 2 at any time	28.0%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	11.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Deportes Tolima to lead by 3 at any time	10.0%	6.7%	—	—	14.85
Deportivo Pereira to lead by 2 at any time	9.1%	6.7%	—	—	14.88
Deportivo Pereira to lead by 3 at any time	1.9%	1.6%	—	—	63.14

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima most corners	55.4%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Deportivo Pereira most corners	33.2%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	11.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.5%	83.4%	85.7%	0.97×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.5%	83.4%	80.1%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.8%	72.3%	68.4%	1.06×	1.38
2-6 goals	61.8%	63.3%	67.5%	0.94×	1.58
2-5 goals	60.4%	63.3%	65.4%	0.97×	1.58
2-4 goals	56.4%	59.1%	59.7%	0.99×	1.69
1-2 goals	52.1%	53.2%	45.3%	1.17×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.7%	48.5%	48.1%	1.01×	2.06
3-6 goals	33.7%	35.2%	42.7%	0.83×	2.84
3-5 goals	32.4%	35.2%	40.6%	0.87×	2.84
3-4 goals	28.3%	30.2%	34.9%	0.87×	3.31
4-6 goals	15.1%	18.8%	19.5%	0.96×	5.31
4-5 goals	13.7%	14.8%	17.5%	0.85×	6.75
5-6 goals	5.4%	8.9%	7.9%	1.12×	11.28
7+ goals	0.5%	2.5%	1.5%	1.67×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima never behind	52.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Deportivo Pereira never behind	25.8%	29.9%	—	—	3.35

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.2%	50.9%	50.4%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.8%	49.1%	49.6%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	59.5%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	40.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.1%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.0%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.1%	95.4%	96.4%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	94.1%	92.3%	90.7%	1.02×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	86.4%	87.6%	89.2%	0.98×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	84.4%	82.3%	79.1%	1.04×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	65.7%	66.3%	56.0%	1.18×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	62.3%	61.7%	68.8%	0.90×	1.62
Under 1.5 goals	37.7%	38.3%	31.2%	1.23×	2.61
Over 2.5 goals	34.3%	33.7%	44.0%	0.77×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	15.6%	17.7%	20.9%	0.84×	5.66
Under 0.5 goals	13.6%	12.4%	10.8%	1.15×	8.05
Over 4.5 goals	5.9%	7.7%	9.3%	0.83×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	1.9%	4.6%	3.6%	1.27×	21.87

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.4%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.0%	97.2%	96.2%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	93.4%	92.4%	89.5%	1.03×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	80.8%	81.1%	72.8%	1.11×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	52.4%	51.9%	41.4%	1.25×	1.93
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	47.6%	48.1%	58.6%	0.82×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	19.2%	18.9%	27.2%	0.70×	5.28
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	6.6%	7.6%	10.5%	0.72×	13.18
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.0%	2.8%	3.8%	0.74×	35.61
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.6%	2.8%	1.6%	1.80×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.5%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	78.8%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	57.1%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	42.9%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	21.2%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.5%	7.2%	—	—	13.88

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	87.5%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	70.1%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	65.2%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	34.8%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	29.9%	22.5%	—	—	4.44
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	12.5%	14.5%	—	—	6.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pereira not to score in both halves	90.3%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Deportes Tolima not to score in both halves	77.6%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Deportes Tolima to score in both halves	22.4%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
Deportivo Pereira to score in both halves	9.7%	10.0%	—	—	9.96

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	39.8%	39.9%	48.9%	0.82×	2.51
Only Deportes Tolima scores	33.5%	33.3%	13.4%	2.48×	3.00
Neither team scores	13.6%	11.0%	10.8%	1.02×	9.06
Only Deportivo Pereira scores	13.1%	11.0%	27.1%	0.41×	9.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.1%	24.9%	24.9%	1.00×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	24.1%	22.6%	20.5%	1.10×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	18.7%	17.5%	23.3%	0.75×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	13.6%	12.1%	10.8%	1.12×	8.25
Exactly 4 goals	9.7%	7.6%	11.8%	0.65×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	4.0%	4.5%	5.8%	0.77×	22.36
6 or more goals	1.9%	4.5%	3.6%	1.24×	22.39

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	42.9%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
1 goal in 1st half	36.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	15.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.44
3+ goals in 1st half	5.5%	7.2%	—	—	13.88

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	35.3%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
2+ goals in 2nd half	34.8%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	29.9%	29.5%	—	—	3.39

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pereira not to win both halves	96.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Deportes Tolima not to win both halves	86.8%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Deportes Tolima to win both halves	13.2%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
Deportivo Pereira to win both halves	3.3%	2.8%	—	—	35.66

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pereira to win neither half	67.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Deportes Tolima to win either half	59.5%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Deportes Tolima to win neither half	40.5%	40.8%	—	—	2.45
Deportivo Pereira to win either half	32.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pereira not to win to nil	86.9%	88.1%	72.9%	1.21×	1.14
Deportes Tolima not to win to nil	66.5%	69.6%	86.6%	0.80×	1.44
Deportes Tolima to win to nil	33.5%	30.4%	13.4%	2.26×	3.29
Deportivo Pereira to win to nil	13.1%	11.9%	27.1%	0.44×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima by 1	25.3%	27.9%	17.3%	1.61×	3.59
Draw	30.6%	27.7%	29.5%	0.94×	3.61
Deportes Tolima by 2	15.1%	17.0%	5.0%	3.42×	5.87
Deportivo Pereira by 1	14.0%	11.8%	25.6%	0.46×	8.51
Deportes Tolima by 3+	8.7%	7.2%	2.8%	2.60×	13.90
Deportivo Pereira by 2	4.9%	2.7%	12.3%	0.22×	36.78
Deportivo Pereira by 3+	1.4%	2.7%	8.2%	0.33×	36.89