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Deportivo Riestra v Talleres (Córdoba) — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Deportivo Riestra win
39.9%
model 39.4%
Draw
31.1%
model 31.8%
Talleres (Córdoba) win
28.9%
model 28.9%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-0 14.2%
  2. 0-0 14.0%
  3. 1-1 14.0%
  4. 0-1 11.5%
  5. 2-0 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.532.5% Under 2.567.5%
BTTS yes40.4% BTTS no59.6%
Deportivo Riestra 1+66.8% Deportivo Riestra 2+30.2%
Talleres (Córdoba) 1+59.5% Talleres (Córdoba) 2+22.9%

Expected goals 1.10 – 0.90. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
23/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
Under 11.5 corners
Corners O/U
76.6% fair odds 1.31
moderate signal · 12625 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Talleres (Córdoba) not to score in both halves
Score both halves
84.3% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 829 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Deportivo Riestra.

Risk factors

  • The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0026 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportivo Riestra have an estimated 39.9% win probability, against 31.1% for the draw and 28.9% for Talleres (Córdoba). Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.10 for Deportivo Riestra and 0.90 for Talleres (Córdoba).

Why Deportivo Riestra

Nothing in the data singles out Deportivo Riestra.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 31.1%. A combined 2.01 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.10 to 0.90. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Talleres (Córdoba) can win

Nothing in the data singles out Talleres (Córdoba).

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Deportivo Riestra, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Talleres (Córdoba), so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Deportivo Riestra: 31% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Talleres (Córdoba): 53% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 21.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Deportivo Riestra are the model's most likely outcome at 39.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 14.2%. Confidence 23/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.10–0.90 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 0.93–0.69 0-0 20% 22% 31%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra to win 38.9% 36.4% 41.8% 0.87× 2.75
Draw 35.9% 36.3% 30.7% 1.18× 2.75
Talleres (Córdoba) to win 25.2% 27.9% 27.6% 1.01× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra & not both score 29.8% 25.2% 27.7% 0.91× 3.97
Draw & not both score 20.5% 21.8% 14.8% 1.47× 4.59
Talleres (Córdoba) & not both score 19.1% 18.0% 17.1% 1.05× 5.56
Draw & both teams score 15.4% 18.0% 16.0% 1.13× 5.57
Deportivo Riestra & both teams score 9.0% 8.3% 14.3% 0.58× 12.00
Talleres (Córdoba) & both teams score 6.1% 8.3% 10.6% 0.79× 12.01
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra & under 3.5 35.0% 30.8% 34.8% 0.88× 3.25
Draw & under 2.5 33.7% 30.8% 28.2% 1.09× 3.25
Draw & under 3.5 33.7% 30.8% 28.2% 1.09× 3.25
Deportivo Riestra & under 2.5 26.4% 26.1% 23.6% 1.10× 3.84
Talleres (Córdoba) & under 3.5 23.2% 21.6% 23.5% 0.92× 4.63
Deportivo Riestra & over 1.5 21.0% 21.6% 27.8% 0.78× 4.63
Draw & under 1.5 20.5% 21.6% 14.8% 1.46× 4.63
Deportivo Riestra & under 1.5 17.9% 18.0% 14.1% 1.27× 5.56
Talleres (Córdoba) & under 2.5 17.8% 18.0% 14.6% 1.23× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 15.4% 18.0% 16.0% 1.13× 5.56
Deportivo Riestra & over 2.5 12.4% 12.8% 18.4% 0.70× 7.79
Talleres (Córdoba) & under 1.5 13.1% 12.8% 10.3% 1.25× 7.79
Talleres (Córdoba) & over 1.5 12.1% 12.8% 17.4% 0.74× 7.79
Talleres (Córdoba) & over 2.5 7.4% 7.9% 13.1% 0.60× 12.63
Deportivo Riestra & over 3.5 3.9% 4.8% 7.2% 0.67× 20.82
Draw & over 2.5 2.2% 4.8% 2.6% 1.83× 20.83
Draw & over 3.5 2.2% 4.8% 2.6% 1.83× 20.83
Talleres (Córdoba) & over 3.5 2.0% 4.8% 4.2% 1.14× 20.83
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra (1UP) 49.0% 43.9% — — 2.28
Talleres (Córdoba) (1UP) 36.2% 34.0% — — 2.94
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra (2UP) 38.9% 37.4% — — 2.67
Talleres (Córdoba) (2UP) 25.2% 25.1% — — 3.99
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 48.4% 45.3% — — 2.21
Deportivo Riestra to win 2nd half 29.8% 26.1% — — 3.82
Talleres (Córdoba) to win 2nd half 21.8% 24.3% — — 4.12
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) under 1.5 in 2nd half 93.5% 91.9% — — 1.09
Talleres (Córdoba) under 0.5 in 2nd half 66.2% 69.5% — — 1.44
Talleres (Córdoba) over 0.5 in 2nd half 33.8% 30.5% — — 3.28
Talleres (Córdoba) over 1.5 in 2nd half 6.5% 8.1% — — 12.33
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra under 1.5 in 2nd half 90.1% 93.5% — — 1.07
Deportivo Riestra under 0.5 in 2nd half 59.0% 58.1% — — 1.72
Deportivo Riestra over 0.5 in 2nd half 41.0% 41.9% — — 2.39
Deportivo Riestra over 1.5 in 2nd half 9.9% 6.5% — — 15.33
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) (+2.5) 96.1% 96.3% 95.0% 1.01× 1.04
Talleres (Córdoba) (+1.5) 85.5% 88.5% 82.3% 1.07× 1.13
Deportivo Riestra (+0.5) 74.8% 73.7% 72.4% 1.02× 1.36
Talleres (Córdoba) (+0.5) 61.1% 62.9% 58.2% 1.08× 1.59
Deportivo Riestra (-0.5) 38.9% 37.1% 41.8% 0.89× 2.70
Talleres (Córdoba) (-0.5) 25.2% 26.3% 27.6% 0.95× 3.80
Deportivo Riestra (-1.5) 14.5% 11.5% 17.7% 0.65× 8.66
Deportivo Riestra (-2.5) 3.9% 3.7% 5.0% 0.74× 27.09
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) to concede 60.4% 67.5% 68.2% 0.99× 1.48
Talleres (Córdoba) clean sheet 39.6% 32.5% 31.8% 1.02× 3.08
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) clean sheet in 1st half 67.1% 71.3% — — 1.40
Talleres (Córdoba) to concede in 1st half 32.9% 28.7% — — 3.48
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) clean sheet in 2nd half 59.0% 57.4% — — 1.74
Talleres (Córdoba) to concede in 2nd half 41.0% 42.6% — — 2.35
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) under 6.5 corners 80.0% 76.1% — — 1.32
Talleres (Córdoba) over 2.5 corners 77.8% 76.1% — — 1.32
Talleres (Córdoba) under 5.5 corners 68.9% 67.6% — — 1.48
Talleres (Córdoba) over 3.5 corners 61.7% 61.7% — — 1.62
Talleres (Córdoba) under 4.5 corners 54.6% 53.1% — — 1.88
Talleres (Córdoba) over 4.5 corners 45.4% 46.9% — — 2.13
Talleres (Córdoba) under 3.5 corners 38.3% 38.3% — — 2.61
Talleres (Córdoba) over 5.5 corners 31.1% 32.4% — — 3.09
Talleres (Córdoba) under 2.5 corners 22.2% 24.0% — — 4.18
Talleres (Córdoba) over 6.5 corners 20.0% 23.9% — — 4.18
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) under 3.5 goals 99.5% 97.5% 98.9% 0.99× 1.03
Talleres (Córdoba) under 2.5 goals 96.7% 97.5% 93.4% 1.04× 1.03
Talleres (Córdoba) under 1.5 goals 84.9% 81.5% 78.2% 1.04× 1.23
Talleres (Córdoba) under 0.5 goals 50.3% 53.5% 42.4% 1.26× 1.87
Talleres (Córdoba) over 0.5 goals 49.7% 46.5% 57.6% 0.81× 2.15
Talleres (Córdoba) over 1.5 goals 15.1% 18.5% 21.8% 0.85× 5.41
Talleres (Córdoba) over 2.5 goals 3.3% 2.5% 6.6% 0.38× 39.80
Talleres (Córdoba) over 3.5 goals 0.5% 2.5% 1.1% 2.20× 39.94
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) under 1.5 in 1st half 96.9% 96.2% — — 1.04
Talleres (Córdoba) under 0.5 in 1st half 76.0% 74.8% — — 1.34
Talleres (Córdoba) over 0.5 in 1st half 24.0% 25.2% — — 3.97
Talleres (Córdoba) over 1.5 in 1st half 3.2% 3.8% — — 26.11
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) scores equally in both 56.2% 52.8% — — 1.89
Talleres (Córdoba) scores more in 2nd half 27.0% 26.5% — — 3.78
Talleres (Córdoba) scores more in 1st half 16.8% 18.0% — — 5.57
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra (away no bet) 52.0% 51.7% 57.7% 0.90× 1.94
Draw (away no bet) 48.0% 48.3% 42.3% 1.14× 2.07
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) even goals 62.7% 59.1% 58.4% 1.01× 1.69
Talleres (Córdoba) odd goals 37.3% 40.9% 41.6% 0.98× 2.45
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 96.4% 96.5% — — 1.04
Both halves over 1.5 goals 3.6% 3.5% — — 28.84
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals 64.4% 57.7% — — 1.73
Not both halves under 1.5 35.6% 42.3% — — 2.36
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 31.1% 28.8% — — 3.47
Deportivo Riestra to score 2+ in a row 20.3% 19.5% — — 5.14
Talleres (Córdoba) to score 2+ in a row 12.1% 12.1% — — 8.23
Either team to score 3+ in a row 7.3% 5.5% — — 18.20
Deportivo Riestra to score 3+ in a row 5.1% 5.4% — — 18.37
Talleres (Córdoba) to score 3+ in a row 2.2% 2.5% — — 39.61
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra corners (+3.5) 84.8% 79.8% — — 1.25
Talleres (Córdoba) corners (+3.5) 83.9% 79.8% — — 1.25
Deportivo Riestra corners (+2.5) 77.2% 74.8% — — 1.34
Talleres (Córdoba) corners (+2.5) 76.1% 74.8% — — 1.34
Deportivo Riestra corners (+1.5) 67.6% 65.9% — — 1.52
Talleres (Córdoba) corners (+1.5) 66.3% 65.9% — — 1.52
Deportivo Riestra corners (-1.5) 33.7% 34.1% — — 2.93
Talleres (Córdoba) corners (-1.5) 32.4% 34.1% — — 2.93
Deportivo Riestra corners (-2.5) 23.9% 25.2% — — 3.97
Talleres (Córdoba) corners (-2.5) 22.8% 25.2% — — 3.97
Deportivo Riestra corners (-3.5) 16.1% 20.2% — — 4.95
Talleres (Córdoba) corners (-3.5) 15.2% 20.2% — — 4.95
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 46.7% 41.7% — — 2.40
9-11 corners 29.7% 31.2% — — 3.20
12+ corners 23.6% 25.7% — — 3.90
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 83.3% 80.7% — — 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 76.4% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 67.9% 67.8% — — 1.48
Over 7.5 corners 64.7% 63.3% — — 1.58
Under 9.5 corners 57.8% 57.9% — — 1.73
Over 8.5 corners 53.3% 53.2% — — 1.88
Under 8.5 corners 46.7% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 9.5 corners 42.2% 42.1% — — 2.37
Under 7.5 corners 35.3% 36.7% — — 2.72
Over 10.5 corners 32.1% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 11.5 corners 23.6% 23.4% — — 4.27
Over 12.5 corners 16.7% 19.3% — — 5.17
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-0 20.5% 20.0% 14.8% 1.35× 4.99
1-0 17.9% 13.8% 14.1% 0.98× 7.23
0-1 13.1% 11.5% 10.3% 1.12× 8.71
1-1 13.3% 11.5% 13.5% 0.85× 8.71
2-0 8.6% 7.4% 9.6% 0.77× 13.51
2-1 5.9% 7.4% 8.7% 0.85× 13.51
0-2 4.7% 1.7% 4.4% 0.39× 58.29
0-3 1.1% 1.7% 2.1% 0.84× 58.31
0-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.6% 3.01× 58.32
1-2 4.4% 1.7% 7.1% 0.24× 58.29
1-3 1.0% 1.7% 1.9% 0.88× 58.31
1-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.3% 5.01× 58.32
2-2 2.0% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.31
2-3 0.5% 1.7% 1.5% 1.16× 58.32
2-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.1% 15.04× 58.32
3-0 2.6% 1.7% 2.7% 0.63× 58.30
3-1 1.8% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.31
3-2 0.6% 1.7% 1.6% 1.07× 58.32
3-3 0.1% 1.7% 0.3% 5.01× 58.32
3-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.1% 15.04× 58.32
4-0 0.6% 1.7% 1.1% 1.50× 58.32
4-1 0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 2.15× 58.32
4-2 0.1% 1.7% 0.3% 5.01× 58.32
4-3 0.0% 1.7% 0.2% 7.52× 58.32
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.2% 7.52× 58.32
Any other score 0.3% 1.7% 0.9% 1.88× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra (2nd half DNB) 57.7% 59.5% — — 1.68
Talleres (Córdoba) (2nd half DNB) 42.3% 40.5% — — 2.47
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra leading at HT (DNB) 60.8% 66.2% — — 1.51
Talleres (Córdoba) leading at HT (DNB) 39.2% 33.8% — — 2.96
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra or draw (1X) 74.8% 72.1% 72.4% 1.00× 1.39
Deportivo Riestra or Talleres (Córdoba) (12) 64.1% 63.7% 69.3% 0.92× 1.57
Talleres (Córdoba) or draw (X2) 61.1% 63.6% 58.2% 1.09× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra or draw at HT 83.1% 84.1% — — 1.19
Talleres (Córdoba) or draw at HT 73.8% 74.5% — — 1.34
Deportivo Riestra or Talleres (Córdoba) at HT 43.1% 43.2% — — 2.32
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra or draw (1UP) 74.8% 79.8% — — 1.25
Talleres (Córdoba) or draw (1UP) 61.1% 71.5% — — 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra or draw in 2nd half 78.2% 75.7% — — 1.32
Talleres (Córdoba) or draw in 2nd half 70.2% 73.9% — — 1.35
Deportivo Riestra or Talleres (Córdoba) in 2nd half 51.6% 54.7% — — 1.83
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 77.2% 77.8% — — 1.29
Neither half drawn 22.8% 22.2% — — 4.50
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra (DNB) 60.6% 62.6% 60.3% 1.04× 1.60
Talleres (Córdoba) (DNB) 39.4% 37.4% 39.7% 0.94× 2.68
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra to score first 45.7% 45.8% — — 2.19
Talleres (Córdoba) to score first 33.8% 27.9% — — 3.59
No goal scored 20.5% 22.3% — — 4.49
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 69.4% 58.5% 59.4% 0.98× 1.71
Both teams to score 30.6% 41.5% 40.6% 1.02× 2.41
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 64.7% 50.6% 52.8% 0.96× 1.98
Both score & over 2.5 17.3% 21.5% 27.3% 0.79× 4.65
Both score & under 2.5 13.3% 12.4% 13.5% 0.92× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 4.7% 4.7% 6.7% 0.71× 21.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 96.4% 91.6% 94.1% 0.97× 1.09
Both teams to score 2+ 3.6% 8.4% 5.9% 1.41× 11.93
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 85.9% 86.3% — — 1.16
Both teams to score in 2nd half 14.1% 13.7% — — 7.29
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 79.0% 77.1% — — 1.30
Both score 2nd half only 13.0% 10.7% — — 9.31
Both score 1st half only 6.9% 6.8% — — 14.76
Both score in both halves 1.1% 4.8% — — 20.97
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 92.0% 92.2% — — 1.09
Both teams to score by HT 8.0% 7.8% — — 12.82
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 69.9% 65.7% — — 1.52
A goal in each half 30.2% 34.3% — — 2.91
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 40.5% 42.2% 47.3% 0.89× 2.37
0-1 goals 51.5% 41.3% 39.0% 1.06× 2.42
4-6 goals 7.9% 7.6% 13.5% 0.57× 13.11
7+ goals 0.1% 1.8% 0.5% 4.02× 54.55
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) to score exactly 0 50.3% 47.0% 42.4% 1.11× 2.13
Talleres (Córdoba) to score exactly 1 34.6% 33.8% 35.9% 0.94× 2.96
Talleres (Córdoba) to score exactly 2 11.9% 12.9% 15.3% 0.84× 7.76
Talleres (Córdoba) to score 3+ 3.3% 4.6% 6.6% 0.69× 21.85
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra to score exactly 0 39.6% 35.6% 31.8% 1.12× 2.81
Deportivo Riestra to score exactly 1 36.7% 35.5% 36.5% 0.97× 2.81
Deportivo Riestra to score exactly 2 17.0% 18.8% 21.8% 0.86× 5.32
Deportivo Riestra to score 3+ 6.7% 10.3% 10.1% 1.02× 9.68
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 56.9% 56.8% — — 1.76
Deportivo Riestra leading at HT 26.2% 25.5% — — 3.93
Talleres (Córdoba) leading at HT 16.9% 15.9% — — 6.29
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra -1: 2 61.1% 62.5% — — 1.60
Deportivo Riestra -1: X 24.4% 23.5% — — 4.25
Deportivo Riestra -1: 1 14.5% 14.0% — — 7.14
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) (0:1) 61.1% 61.4% 58.2% 1.06× 1.63
Draw (0:1) 24.4% 24.2% 24.3% 1.00× 4.13
Deportivo Riestra (0:1) 14.5% 13.7% 17.7% 0.78× 7.29
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) (0:2) 85.5% 87.1% 82.3% 1.06× 1.15
Draw (0:2) 10.5% 11.0% 12.8% 0.86× 9.11
Deportivo Riestra (0:2) 3.9% 3.8% 5.0% 0.75× 26.67
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) (0:3) 96.1% 96.6% 95.0% 1.02× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 3.1% 2.4% 3.4% 0.70× 42.00
Deportivo Riestra (0:3) 0.8% 2.4% 1.7% 1.39× 42.10
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) (0:4) 99.2% 98.1% 98.3% 1.00× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 0.97× 81.89
Deportivo Riestra (0:4) 0.1% 1.2% 0.6% 2.14× 81.95
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra (1:0) 74.8% 72.5% 72.4% 1.00× 1.38
Draw (1:0) 18.0% 17.1% 18.6% 0.92× 5.85
Talleres (Córdoba) (1:0) 7.3% 6.9% 9.1% 0.76× 14.50
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra (2:0) 92.7% 94.0% 90.9% 1.03× 1.06
Draw (2:0) 5.8% 6.4% 6.3% 1.02× 15.68
Talleres (Córdoba) (2:0) 1.5% 2.3% 3.0% 0.77× 43.83
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 39.8% 39.8% — — 2.51
Halves equal 35.5% 35.5% — — 2.82
1st half highest scoring 24.7% 24.5% — — 4.08
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra clean sheet 50.3% 53.1% 42.4% 1.25× 1.88
Deportivo Riestra to concede 49.7% 46.9% 57.6% 0.81× 2.13
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra clean sheet in 1st half 76.0% 77.2% — — 1.30
Deportivo Riestra to concede in 1st half 24.0% 22.8% — — 4.39
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra clean sheet in 2nd half 66.2% 66.6% — — 1.50
Deportivo Riestra to concede in 2nd half 33.8% 33.4% — — 3.00
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra under 6.5 corners 79.2% 76.5% — — 1.31
Deportivo Riestra over 2.5 corners 78.4% 76.5% — — 1.31
Deportivo Riestra under 5.5 corners 68.0% 66.7% — — 1.50
Deportivo Riestra over 3.5 corners 62.6% 62.3% — — 1.61
Deportivo Riestra under 4.5 corners 53.6% 52.6% — — 1.90
Deportivo Riestra over 4.5 corners 46.4% 47.4% — — 2.11
Deportivo Riestra under 3.5 corners 37.4% 37.7% — — 2.65
Deportivo Riestra over 5.5 corners 32.0% 33.3% — — 3.01
Deportivo Riestra under 2.5 corners 21.6% 23.5% — — 4.26
Deportivo Riestra over 6.5 corners 20.8% 23.5% — — 4.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra under 3.5 goals 98.5% 96.4% 97.1% 0.99× 1.04
Deportivo Riestra under 2.5 goals 93.3% 92.2% 89.9% 1.03× 1.08
Deportivo Riestra under 1.5 goals 76.3% 77.8% 68.2% 1.14× 1.29
Deportivo Riestra over 0.5 goals 60.4% 63.6% 68.2% 0.93× 1.57
Deportivo Riestra under 0.5 goals 39.6% 36.4% 31.8% 1.14× 2.75
Deportivo Riestra over 1.5 goals 23.7% 22.2% 31.8% 0.70× 4.50
Deportivo Riestra over 2.5 goals 6.7% 7.8% 10.1% 0.77× 12.84
Deportivo Riestra over 3.5 goals 1.5% 3.6% 2.9% 1.27× 27.62
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra under 1.5 in 1st half 93.9% 94.9% — — 1.05
Deportivo Riestra under 0.5 in 1st half 67.1% 69.4% — — 1.44
Deportivo Riestra over 0.5 in 1st half 32.9% 30.6% — — 3.27
Deportivo Riestra over 1.5 in 1st half 6.1% 5.1% — — 19.47
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra scores equally in both 48.4% 47.4% — — 2.11
Deportivo Riestra scores more in 2nd half 30.3% 33.1% — — 3.02
Deportivo Riestra scores more in 1st half 21.4% 20.9% — — 4.78
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 58.7% 56.4% 52.6% 1.07× 1.77
Talleres (Córdoba) (home no bet) 41.3% 43.6% 47.4% 0.92× 2.29
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra even goals 57.8% 55.3% 55.6% 0.99× 1.81
Deportivo Riestra odd goals 42.2% 44.7% 44.4% 1.01× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 51.1% 49.8% — — 2.01
HT 1-0 20.2% 24.3% — — 4.11
HT 0-1 13.9% 11.0% — — 9.09
HT 1-1 5.7% 6.9% — — 14.57
HT 2-0 4.1% 2.4% — — 42.16
HT 0-2 1.9% 2.4% — — 42.29
HT 2-1 1.1% 2.4% — — 42.35
Any other HT score 1.1% 2.4% — — 42.35
HT 1-2 0.8% 2.4% — — 42.37
HT 2-2 0.2% 2.4% — — 42.41
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 28.1% 27.4% — — 3.65
Deportivo Riestra at HT / Deportivo Riestra at FT 21.1% 21.6% — — 4.64
Draw at HT / Deportivo Riestra at FT 16.7% 16.8% — — 5.97
Draw at HT / Talleres (Córdoba) at FT 12.1% 12.7% — — 7.90
Talleres (Córdoba) at HT / Talleres (Córdoba) at FT 12.2% 12.7% — — 7.90
Deportivo Riestra at HT / Draw at FT 4.1% 3.5% — — 28.89
Talleres (Córdoba) at HT / Draw at FT 3.6% 3.5% — — 28.90
Deportivo Riestra at HT / Talleres (Córdoba) at FT 0.9% 3.4% — — 29.00
Talleres (Córdoba) at HT / Deportivo Riestra at FT 1.1% 3.4% — — 29.00
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra to score last 45.7% 46.3% — — 2.16
Talleres (Córdoba) to score last 33.8% 32.5% — — 3.07
No goal scored 20.5% 25.1% — — 3.98
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 79.5% 78.3% — — 1.28
Deportivo Riestra to lead by 1 at any time 49.0% 44.4% — — 2.25
Talleres (Córdoba) to lead by 1 at any time 36.2% 34.8% — — 2.88
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 26.6% 25.2% — — 3.96
Deportivo Riestra to lead by 2 at any time 17.2% 14.8% — — 6.75
Talleres (Córdoba) to lead by 2 at any time 9.4% 6.7% — — 14.95
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 6.4% 6.6% — — 15.09
Deportivo Riestra to lead by 3 at any time 4.5% 1.6% — — 60.92
Talleres (Córdoba) to lead by 3 at any time 1.8% 1.6% — — 63.46
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra most corners 44.9% 43.6% — — 2.30
Talleres (Córdoba) most corners 43.5% 43.6% — — 2.30
Corners level 11.7% 10.4% — — 9.59
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 78.9% 78.7% 84.3% 0.93× 1.27
1-4 goals 77.1% 78.7% 79.9% 0.98× 1.27
1-3 goals 71.4% 72.3% 71.5% 1.01× 1.38
1-2 goals 57.5% 59.1% 51.4% 1.15× 1.69
2-6 goals 48.4% 48.4% 60.7% 0.80× 2.06
2-5 goals 47.9% 48.4% 60.1% 0.81× 2.06
2-4 goals 46.1% 48.4% 55.8% 0.87× 2.06
2-3 goals 40.5% 43.6% 47.3% 0.92× 2.29
3-6 goals 21.9% 24.4% 33.5% 0.73× 4.09
3-5 goals 21.4% 24.4% 33.0% 0.74× 4.09
3-4 goals 19.6% 18.8% 28.6% 0.66× 5.31
4-6 goals 7.9% 8.9% 13.5% 0.66× 11.26
4-5 goals 7.4% 8.9% 12.9% 0.69× 11.26
5-6 goals 2.3% 2.6% 5.0% 0.51× 39.17
7+ goals 0.1% 2.5% 0.5% 5.58× 39.27
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Riestra never behind 43.3% 48.8% — — 2.05
Talleres (Córdoba) never behind 30.5% 36.2% — — 2.76
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 46.9% 50.9% 48.9% 1.04× 1.97
Even number of goals 53.1% 49.1% 51.1% 0.96× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 63.2% 60.6% — — 1.65
Odd goals in 1st half 36.8% 39.4% — — 2.54
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 58.0% 60.8% — — 1.64
Odd goals in 2nd half 42.0% 39.2% — — 2.55
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 99.4% 95.4% 99.0% 0.96× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 97.6% 95.4% 94.6% 1.01× 1.05
Under 3.5 goals 91.9% 92.3% 86.2% 1.07× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 79.5% 77.3% 85.2% 0.91× 1.29
Under 2.5 goals 78.0% 77.3% 66.1% 1.17× 1.29
Under 1.5 goals 51.5% 52.5% 39.0% 1.35× 1.91
Over 1.5 goals 48.5% 47.5% 61.0% 0.78× 2.11
Over 2.5 goals 22.0% 22.7% 33.9% 0.67× 4.40
Under 0.5 goals 20.5% 22.7% 14.8% 1.53× 4.41
Over 3.5 goals 8.1% 7.7% 13.8% 0.56× 12.93
Over 4.5 goals 2.4% 4.6% 5.4% 0.85× 21.84
Over 5.5 goals 0.6% 4.6% 1.0% 4.46× 21.87
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.9% 97.2% 99.5% 0.98× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 99.4% 97.2% 98.9% 0.98× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 97.4% 97.2% 94.1% 1.03× 1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 90.6% 92.4% 82.7% 1.12× 1.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 70.0% 72.3% 53.5% 1.35× 1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 30.0% 27.7% 46.5% 0.60× 3.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 9.4% 7.6% 17.3% 0.44× 13.17
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 2.6% 2.8% 5.9% 0.48× 35.62
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 0.6% 2.8% 1.1% 2.61× 35.68
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.1% 2.8% 0.5% 6.11× 35.69
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 96.9% 97.5% — — 1.03
Under 1.5 in 1st half 85.2% 89.0% — — 1.12
Under 0.5 in 1st half 51.1% 53.0% — — 1.89
Over 0.5 in 1st half 48.9% 47.0% — — 2.13
Over 1.5 in 1st half 14.8% 11.0% — — 9.07
Over 2.5 in 1st half 3.1% 2.5% — — 39.53
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 93.0% 90.7% — — 1.10
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 75.6% 79.5% — — 1.26
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 60.8% 61.4% — — 1.63
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 39.2% 38.7% — — 2.59
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 24.4% 20.5% — — 4.88
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 7.0% 9.3% — — 10.71
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) not to score in both halves 91.9% 90.4% — — 1.11
Deportivo Riestra not to score in both halves 86.5% 85.5% — — 1.17
Deportivo Riestra to score in both halves 13.5% 14.5% — — 6.92
Talleres (Córdoba) to score in both halves 8.1% 9.6% — — 10.46
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 30.6% 33.3% 40.6% 0.82× 3.01
Only Deportivo Riestra scores 29.8% 26.1% 27.7% 0.94× 3.83
Neither team scores 20.5% 22.2% 14.8% 1.50× 4.50
Only Talleres (Córdoba) scores 19.1% 16.1% 17.1% 0.94× 6.23
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 1 goals 31.0% 25.4% 24.3% 1.04× 3.94
Exactly 2 goals 26.5% 24.9% 27.3% 0.91× 4.02
Exactly 0 goals 20.5% 22.6% 14.8% 1.52× 4.43
Exactly 3 goals 14.0% 12.1% 20.2% 0.60× 8.25
Exactly 4 goals 5.6% 7.6% 8.6% 0.89× 13.14
Exactly 5 goals 1.8% 4.5% 4.4% 1.01× 22.37
6 or more goals 0.6% 4.5% 1.0% 4.35× 22.39
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 1st half 51.1% 49.8% — — 2.01
1 goal in 1st half 34.1% 35.7% — — 2.80
2 goals in 1st half 11.7% 10.8% — — 9.23
3+ goals in 1st half 3.1% 2.5% — — 39.53
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 2nd half 39.2% 40.1% — — 2.49
1 goal in 2nd half 36.3% 39.7% — — 2.52
2+ goals in 2nd half 24.4% 23.0% — — 4.35
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) not to win both halves 96.3% 97.2% — — 1.03
Deportivo Riestra not to win both halves 92.1% 94.1% — — 1.06
Deportivo Riestra to win both halves 7.9% 5.9% — — 17.09
Talleres (Córdoba) to win both halves 3.7% 2.8% — — 35.70
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) to win neither half 65.0% 67.8% — — 1.48
Deportivo Riestra to win neither half 51.9% 54.3% — — 1.84
Deportivo Riestra to win either half 48.1% 45.7% — — 2.19
Talleres (Córdoba) to win either half 35.0% 32.2% — — 3.10
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Talleres (Córdoba) not to win to nil 80.9% 83.1% 82.9% 1.00× 1.20
Deportivo Riestra not to win to nil 70.2% 75.3% 72.3% 1.04× 1.33
Deportivo Riestra to win to nil 29.8% 24.7% 27.7% 0.89× 4.04
Talleres (Córdoba) to win to nil 19.1% 16.9% 17.1% 0.99× 5.91
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 35.9% 34.6% 30.7% 1.13× 2.89
Deportivo Riestra by 1 24.4% 24.1% 24.3% 0.99× 4.15
Talleres (Córdoba) by 1 18.0% 17.1% 18.6% 0.92× 5.87
Deportivo Riestra by 2 10.5% 11.8% 12.8% 0.92× 8.51
Talleres (Córdoba) by 2 5.8% 7.2% 6.3% 1.15× 13.92
Deportivo Riestra by 3+ 3.9% 2.7% 5.0% 0.54× 36.85
Talleres (Córdoba) by 3+ 1.5% 2.7% 3.0% 0.91× 36.93
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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