Derby County v West Bromwich Albion — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 9 September 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Derby County

14:45

West Bromwich Albion

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 83h before kick-off

Derby County win

44.5%

model 42.3%

Draw

27.8%

model 29.1%

West Bromwich Albion win

27.8%

model 28.7%

442828

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.9%
1-0 9.4%
0-0 9.0%
2-1 8.9%
2-0 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	47.9%	Under 2.5	52.1%
BTTS yes	53.6%	BTTS no	46.4%
Derby County 1+	76.3%	Derby County 2+	42.2%
West Bromwich Albion 1+	68.3%	West Bromwich Albion 2+	31.9%

Expected goals 1.44 – 1.15. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

43/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

1-4 goals

Multi goal · usually 83%

78.9% fair odds 1.27

moderate signal · 2094 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.0% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1236 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Derby County.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Derby County have an estimated 44.5% win probability, against 27.8% for the draw and 27.8% for West Bromwich Albion. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.44 for Derby County and 1.15 for West Bromwich Albion.

Why Derby County

Nothing in the data singles out Derby County.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.8%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why West Bromwich Albion can win

Nothing in the data singles out West Bromwich Albion.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Derby County, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for West Bromwich Albion, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Derby County: 45% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 17.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. West Bromwich Albion: 57% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Derby County are the model's most likely outcome at 44.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.9%. Confidence 43/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	422929	1.44–1.15	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	462925	1.46–1.02	1-1 14%	45%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County to win	45.8%	47.5%	43.5%	1.09×	2.11
Draw	29.3%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.59
West Bromwich Albion to win	24.9%	24.4%	29.0%	0.84×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County & not both score	26.3%	25.2%	23.4%	1.08×	3.97
Derby County & both teams score	19.6%	17.9%	20.2%	0.89×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	19.4%	17.9%	20.4%	0.88×	5.58
West Bromwich Albion & not both score	13.4%	13.2%	15.3%	0.87×	7.55
West Bromwich Albion & both teams score	11.5%	13.2%	13.8%	0.96×	7.55
Draw & not both score	9.9%	8.4%	7.3%	1.15×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County & over 1.5	35.0%	34.9%	32.5%	1.07×	2.87
Derby County & under 3.5	33.2%	30.9%	32.5%	0.95×	3.24
Derby County & over 2.5	26.1%	26.0%	26.4%	0.99×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	23.8%	21.6%	21.6%	1.00×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	23.8%	21.6%	21.6%	1.00×	4.62
Derby County & under 2.5	19.7%	18.0%	17.2%	1.05×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	19.4%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
West Bromwich Albion & under 3.5	19.3%	18.0%	22.3%	0.81×	5.56
West Bromwich Albion & over 1.5	17.8%	18.0%	21.4%	0.84×	5.56
West Bromwich Albion & over 2.5	13.5%	12.9%	16.2%	0.80×	7.77
Derby County & over 3.5	12.6%	12.9%	11.1%	1.16×	7.78
West Bromwich Albion & under 2.5	11.4%	12.9%	13.0%	0.99×	7.78
Derby County & under 1.5	10.8%	12.9%	11.1%	1.16×	7.78
Draw & under 1.5	9.9%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.69
West Bromwich Albion & under 1.5	7.1%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	5.5%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	5.5%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.69
West Bromwich Albion & over 3.5	5.6%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.69

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County (1UP)	60.4%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
West Bromwich Albion (1UP)	41.9%	38.8%	—	—	2.58

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County (2UP)	45.8%	49.8%	—	—	2.01
West Bromwich Albion (2UP)	24.9%	23.7%	—	—	4.21

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	38.3%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Derby County to win 2nd half	37.4%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
West Bromwich Albion to win 2nd half	24.3%	23.1%	—	—	4.34

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion (+2.5)	90.9%	92.1%	91.9%	1.00×	1.09
West Bromwich Albion (+1.5)	76.6%	78.5%	80.7%	0.97×	1.28
Derby County (+0.5)	75.1%	78.5%	71.0%	1.11×	1.28
West Bromwich Albion (+0.5)	54.2%	52.4%	56.5%	0.93×	1.91
Derby County (-0.5)	45.8%	47.6%	43.5%	1.10×	2.10
West Bromwich Albion (-0.5)	24.9%	21.6%	29.0%	0.74×	4.64
Derby County (-1.5)	23.4%	21.5%	19.3%	1.11×	4.64
Derby County (-2.5)	9.1%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.65

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion to concede	76.8%	79.0%	77.5%	1.02×	1.27
West Bromwich Albion clean sheet	23.2%	21.0%	22.5%	0.93×	4.76

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion to concede in 1st half	46.6%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
West Bromwich Albion clean sheet in 1st half	53.4%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion over 2.5 corners	80.0%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
West Bromwich Albion under 6.5 corners	77.4%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
West Bromwich Albion under 5.5 corners	65.8%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
West Bromwich Albion over 3.5 corners	64.8%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
West Bromwich Albion under 4.5 corners	51.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
West Bromwich Albion over 4.5 corners	48.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
West Bromwich Albion under 3.5 corners	35.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
West Bromwich Albion over 5.5 corners	34.2%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
West Bromwich Albion over 6.5 corners	22.6%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
West Bromwich Albion under 2.5 corners	20.0%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion under 3.5 goals	98.0%	97.6%	97.8%	1.00×	1.03
West Bromwich Albion under 2.5 goals	91.6%	92.3%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
West Bromwich Albion under 1.5 goals	72.9%	71.9%	69.9%	1.03×	1.39
West Bromwich Albion over 0.5 goals	63.9%	63.0%	69.4%	0.91×	1.59
West Bromwich Albion under 0.5 goals	36.1%	37.0%	30.6%	1.21×	2.70
West Bromwich Albion over 1.5 goals	27.1%	28.1%	30.1%	0.93×	3.56
West Bromwich Albion over 2.5 goals	8.4%	7.7%	9.5%	0.81×	13.06
West Bromwich Albion over 3.5 goals	2.0%	2.4%	2.2%	1.09×	41.09

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion under 1.5 in 1st half	93.7%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
West Bromwich Albion under 0.5 in 1st half	66.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
West Bromwich Albion over 0.5 in 1st half	33.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
West Bromwich Albion over 1.5 in 1st half	6.3%	5.8%	—	—	17.20

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County (away no bet)	61.0%	62.1%	61.2%	1.01×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	39.0%	37.9%	38.8%	0.98×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion even goals	56.5%	56.9%	52.6%	1.08×	1.76
West Bromwich Albion odd goals	43.5%	43.1%	47.4%	0.91×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.3%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.32

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	59.0%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals	41.0%	40.1%	—	—	2.50

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	51.1%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
Derby County to score 2+ in a row	35.7%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
West Bromwich Albion to score 2+ in a row	20.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.19
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.1%	16.4%	—	—	6.10
Derby County to score 3+ in a row	12.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
West Bromwich Albion to score 3+ in a row	4.8%	2.7%	—	—	37.22

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion corners (+3.5)	85.1%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Derby County corners (+3.5)	83.0%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
West Bromwich Albion corners (+2.5)	77.7%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Derby County corners (+2.5)	75.0%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
West Bromwich Albion corners (+1.5)	68.3%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Derby County corners (+1.5)	65.2%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
West Bromwich Albion corners (-1.5)	34.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Derby County corners (-1.5)	31.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
West Bromwich Albion corners (-2.5)	25.0%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Derby County corners (-2.5)	22.3%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
West Bromwich Albion corners (-3.5)	17.0%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Derby County corners (-3.5)	14.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.31

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.5%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
9-11 corners	30.1%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
12+ corners	25.4%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	81.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 11.5 corners	74.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	66.7%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 10.5 corners	65.8%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	55.5%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	55.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	44.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	44.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	34.2%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Under 7.5 corners	33.3%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 11.5 corners	25.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	18.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.96

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.9%	11.5%	14.4%	0.79×	8.73
1-0	10.8%	11.5%	11.1%	1.03×	8.73
0-0	9.9%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.46
2-0	8.9%	7.4%	6.2%	1.20×	13.46
2-1	9.1%	7.4%	11.4%	0.65×	13.46
0-1	7.1%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.46
1-2	6.4%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.46
0-2	4.4%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.57
0-3	1.5%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.58
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.4%	3.97×	58.59
1-3	2.2%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.58
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.59
2-2	4.6%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.57
2-3	1.6%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.58
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	6.62×	58.59
3-0	4.3%	1.7%	4.0%	0.42×	58.57
3-1	4.4%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.57
3-2	2.3%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.58
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.59
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.62×	58.59
4-0	1.6%	1.7%	1.7%	0.99×	58.58
4-1	1.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.58
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.21×	58.59
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	9.93×	58.59
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	19.87×	58.59
Any other score	2.1%	1.7%	2.9%	0.58×	58.58

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County leading at HT (DNB)	63.5%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
West Bromwich Albion leading at HT (DNB)	36.5%	33.6%	—	—	2.98

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County or draw (1X)	75.1%	75.6%	71.0%	1.06×	1.32
Derby County or West Bromwich Albion (12)	70.7%	72.1%	72.4%	1.00×	1.39
West Bromwich Albion or draw (X2)	54.2%	52.6%	56.5%	0.93×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County or draw at HT	80.2%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
West Bromwich Albion or draw at HT	65.5%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Derby County or West Bromwich Albion at HT	54.3%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County or draw (1UP)	75.1%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
West Bromwich Albion or draw (1UP)	54.2%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County or draw in 2nd half	75.7%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
West Bromwich Albion or draw in 2nd half	62.6%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Derby County or West Bromwich Albion in 2nd half	61.7%	63.9%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.9%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	35.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County (DNB)	64.8%	62.9%	60.0%	1.05×	1.59
West Bromwich Albion (DNB)	35.2%	37.1%	40.0%	0.93×	2.70

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County to score first	53.1%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
West Bromwich Albion to score first	37.0%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
No goal scored	9.9%	7.5%	—	—	13.37

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.5%	51.4%	54.2%	0.95×	1.94
Not both teams to score	49.5%	48.6%	45.8%	1.06×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	41.0%	41.5%	37.3%	1.11×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	36.5%	38.5%	39.9%	0.97×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.9%	12.3%	14.4%	0.85×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.5%	8.4%	8.6%	0.97×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.4%	85.7%	89.0%	0.96×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.6%	14.3%	11.0%	1.30×	6.99

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.7%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.3%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.9%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	22.3%	21.1%	—	—	4.74
Both score 1st half only	11.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Both score in both halves	4.0%	5.0%	—	—	20.10

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.2%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	15.8%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	50.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
A goal in each half	49.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.5%	47.4%	50.4%	0.94×	2.11
0-1 goals	27.7%	26.4%	25.9%	1.02×	3.78
4-6 goals	22.4%	22.8%	22.4%	1.02×	4.38
7+ goals	1.4%	1.8%	1.4%	1.32×	55.30

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion to score exactly 1	36.8%	36.0%	39.4%	0.91×	2.78
West Bromwich Albion to score exactly 0	36.1%	36.0%	30.6%	1.18×	2.78
West Bromwich Albion to score exactly 2	18.7%	19.6%	20.7%	0.94×	5.12
West Bromwich Albion to score 3+	8.4%	8.5%	9.5%	0.90×	11.78

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County to score exactly 1	33.9%	32.7%	36.9%	0.88×	3.06
Derby County to score exactly 2	24.7%	23.3%	24.6%	0.95×	4.30
Derby County to score exactly 0	23.2%	23.3%	22.5%	1.03×	4.30
Derby County to score 3+	18.1%	18.9%	16.2%	1.17×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.7%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Derby County leading at HT	34.5%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
West Bromwich Albion leading at HT	19.8%	16.0%	—	—	6.25

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County -1: 2	54.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Derby County -1: 1	23.4%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Derby County -1: X	22.4%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion (0:1)	54.2%	51.2%	56.5%	0.91×	1.95
Derby County (0:1)	23.4%	24.3%	19.3%	1.26×	4.12
Draw (0:1)	22.4%	24.3%	24.2%	1.00×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion (0:2)	76.6%	79.4%	80.7%	0.98×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	14.3%	11.0%	11.3%	0.97×	9.08
Derby County (0:2)	9.1%	7.7%	8.1%	0.96×	12.96

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion (0:3)	90.9%	92.6%	91.9%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.2%	5.8%	4.8%	1.20×	17.25
Derby County (0:3)	2.9%	2.4%	3.4%	0.71×	42.01

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion (0:4)	97.1%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.1%	1.2%	2.4%	0.50×	83.22
Derby County (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	1.0%	1.16×	83.39

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County (1:0)	75.1%	78.4%	71.0%	1.11×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	15.2%	17.0%	17.3%	0.99×	5.88
West Bromwich Albion (1:0)	9.7%	6.9%	11.9%	0.58×	14.45

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County (2:0)	90.3%	93.9%	88.1%	1.07×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	7.0%	6.5%	8.7%	0.74×	15.49
West Bromwich Albion (2:0)	2.7%	2.3%	3.3%	0.69×	44.24

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	28.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County to concede	63.9%	63.4%	69.4%	0.91×	1.58
Derby County clean sheet	36.1%	36.6%	30.6%	1.20×	2.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County clean sheet in 1st half	66.6%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Derby County to concede in 1st half	33.4%	31.8%	—	—	3.14

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County under 6.5 corners	79.4%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Derby County over 2.5 corners	78.4%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Derby County under 5.5 corners	68.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Derby County over 3.5 corners	62.6%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Derby County under 4.5 corners	53.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Derby County over 4.5 corners	46.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Derby County under 3.5 corners	37.4%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Derby County over 5.5 corners	31.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Derby County under 2.5 corners	21.6%	23.9%	—	—	4.19
Derby County over 6.5 corners	20.6%	23.9%	—	—	4.19

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County under 3.5 goals	93.9%	92.2%	94.8%	0.97×	1.08
Derby County under 2.5 goals	81.9%	82.1%	83.8%	0.98×	1.22
Derby County over 0.5 goals	76.8%	77.7%	77.5%	1.00×	1.29
Derby County under 1.5 goals	57.2%	58.8%	59.4%	0.99×	1.70
Derby County over 1.5 goals	42.8%	41.2%	40.6%	1.01×	2.43
Derby County under 0.5 goals	23.2%	22.3%	22.5%	0.99×	4.48
Derby County over 2.5 goals	18.1%	17.9%	16.2%	1.11×	5.60
Derby County over 3.5 goals	6.1%	7.8%	5.2%	1.50×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County under 1.5 in 1st half	86.9%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Derby County over 0.5 in 1st half	46.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Derby County under 0.5 in 1st half	53.4%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Derby County over 1.5 in 1st half	13.1%	10.1%	—	—	9.92

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	54.1%	51.6%	48.7%	1.06×	1.94
West Bromwich Albion (home no bet)	46.0%	48.4%	51.3%	0.94×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County even goals	52.7%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Derby County odd goals	47.3%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
HT 1-0	22.0%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	14.2%	11.1%	—	—	9.03
HT 1-1	9.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
HT 2-0	7.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.11
Any other HT score	3.4%	2.2%	—	—	44.67
HT 0-2	2.9%	2.2%	—	—	44.71
HT 2-1	2.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.71
HT 1-2	1.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.79
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.2%	—	—	44.90

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County at HT / Derby County at FT	27.3%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / Derby County at FT	16.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
West Bromwich Albion at HT / West Bromwich Albion at FT	12.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / West Bromwich Albion at FT	10.3%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Derby County at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
West Bromwich Albion at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.09
West Bromwich Albion at HT / Derby County at FT	2.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.20
Derby County at HT / West Bromwich Albion at FT	1.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.22

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County to score last	53.2%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
West Bromwich Albion to score last	36.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.61
No goal scored	9.9%	7.5%	—	—	13.37

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.1%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Derby County to lead by 1 at any time	60.4%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	43.0%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
West Bromwich Albion to lead by 1 at any time	41.9%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Derby County to lead by 2 at any time	29.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.6%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
West Bromwich Albion to lead by 2 at any time	14.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Derby County to lead by 3 at any time	10.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
West Bromwich Albion to lead by 3 at any time	3.7%	1.6%	—	—	62.12

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion most corners	45.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Derby County most corners	42.5%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Corners level	11.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.39

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.1%	87.4%	88.8%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.6%	78.6%	83.4%	0.94×	1.27
2-6 goals	70.9%	72.4%	72.8%	1.00×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.2%	69.0%	70.2%	0.98×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.4%	69.0%	69.1%	1.00×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.7%	63.5%	64.8%	0.98×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.5%	48.7%	50.4%	0.96×	2.06
1-2 goals	45.1%	48.7%	44.4%	1.10×	2.06
3-6 goals	43.7%	43.6%	47.1%	0.93×	2.29
3-5 goals	41.0%	43.6%	44.5%	0.98×	2.29
3-4 goals	34.5%	35.4%	39.1%	0.90×	2.83
4-6 goals	22.4%	24.4%	22.4%	1.09×	4.09
4-5 goals	19.7%	18.6%	19.8%	0.94×	5.37
5-6 goals	9.2%	8.8%	8.1%	1.08×	11.43
7+ goals	1.4%	2.5%	1.4%	1.84×	39.52

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Derby County never behind	48.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
West Bromwich Albion never behind	29.7%	30.1%	—	—	3.32

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.7%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.3%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.0%	95.5%	96.0%	0.99×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	90.1%	92.3%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.4%	87.7%	90.6%	0.97×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	76.3%	77.4%	76.3%	1.01×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	72.3%	72.5%	74.1%	0.98×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	55.0%	52.5%	51.6%	1.02×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	45.0%	47.6%	48.4%	0.98×	2.10
Under 1.5 goals	27.7%	27.5%	25.9%	1.06×	3.64
Over 3.5 goals	23.7%	22.6%	23.7%	0.95×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	10.6%	12.3%	9.4%	1.32×	8.12
Under 0.5 goals	9.9%	7.7%	7.3%	1.06×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.0%	4.5%	4.0%	1.14×	22.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.6%	97.3%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.7%	97.2%	95.8%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.8%	86.7%	89.1%	0.97×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	69.8%	67.4%	68.5%	0.98×	1.49
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	61.9%	62.1%	65.1%	0.95×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	38.1%	37.9%	34.9%	1.08×	2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	30.2%	32.6%	31.5%	1.04×	3.06
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.2%	13.3%	10.9%	1.21×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.3%	2.8%	4.2%	0.66×	36.32
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.4%	2.7%	1.4%	1.95×	36.41

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.3%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.1%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.2%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.8%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.9%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.7%	7.2%	—	—	13.83

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.3%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.9%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.8%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.1%	20.1%	—	—	4.97
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.7%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion not to score in both halves	84.7%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Derby County not to score in both halves	73.7%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Derby County to score in both halves	26.3%	25.7%	—	—	3.90
West Bromwich Albion to score in both halves	15.3%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.5%	53.9%	54.2%	0.99×	1.85
Only Derby County scores	26.3%	26.1%	23.4%	1.12×	3.83
Only West Bromwich Albion scores	13.4%	10.9%	15.3%	0.72×	9.13
Neither team scores	9.9%	7.2%	7.3%	0.98×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.2%	25.0%	25.8%	0.97×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	21.3%	22.6%	24.7%	0.92×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	17.9%	17.5%	18.7%	0.93×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	13.2%	12.1%	14.4%	0.84×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	9.9%	7.6%	7.3%	1.04×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	6.5%	7.6%	5.5%	1.38×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.0%	4.4%	4.0%	1.12×	22.61

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	42.8%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
1 goal in 2nd half	33.1%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	24.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.25

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion not to win both halves	95.0%	97.1%	—	—	1.03
Derby County not to win both halves	86.8%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Derby County to win both halves	13.2%	12.0%	—	—	8.36
West Bromwich Albion to win both halves	5.0%	2.9%	—	—	34.65

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion to win neither half	60.8%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Derby County to win either half	58.7%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Derby County to win neither half	41.3%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
West Bromwich Albion to win either half	39.2%	34.7%	—	—	2.88

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion not to win to nil	86.6%	88.2%	84.7%	1.04×	1.13
Derby County not to win to nil	73.7%	75.3%	76.6%	0.98×	1.33
Derby County to win to nil	26.3%	24.7%	23.4%	1.06×	4.04
West Bromwich Albion to win to nil	13.4%	11.8%	15.3%	0.77×	8.47

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	29.3%	27.8%	27.6%	1.01×	3.59
Derby County by 1	22.4%	24.1%	24.2%	1.00×	4.14
West Bromwich Albion by 1	15.2%	16.9%	17.3%	0.98×	5.90
Derby County by 2	14.3%	11.8%	11.3%	1.04×	8.46
Derby County by 3+	9.1%	7.2%	8.1%	0.90×	13.80
West Bromwich Albion by 2	7.0%	7.2%	8.7%	0.83×	13.81
West Bromwich Albion by 3+	2.7%	2.7%	3.3%	0.83×	36.98