Dijon FCO v Sochaux — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Friday 4 December 2026 · FRA-Ligue 2 · 2627
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-0 15.8%
- 0-0 14.2%
- 1-1 13.3%
- 0-1 11.6%
- 2-0 9.0%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 31.3% | Under 2.5 | 68.7% |
| BTTS yes | 38.3% | BTTS no | 61.7% |
| Dijon FCO 1+ | 67.6% | Dijon FCO 2+ | 31.1% |
| Sochaux 1+ | 56.5% | Sochaux 2+ | 20.3% |
Expected goals 1.13 – 0.83. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Nothing in the data singles out Dijon FCO.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 45/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Dijon FCO have only 5 matches on record.
- Sochaux have only 5 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Dijon FCO have an estimated 42.3% win probability, against 30.9% for the draw and 26.8% for Sochaux. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.13 for Dijon FCO and 0.83 for Sochaux.
Why Dijon FCO
Nothing in the data singles out Dijon FCO.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 30.9%. A combined 1.96 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 28% in this competition.
Why Sochaux can win
Nothing in the data singles out Sochaux.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Dijon FCO, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Sochaux, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Dijon FCO: 52% possession, 13.6 shots a match, 15.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sochaux: 41% possession, 8.4 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·
Dijon FCO are the model's most likely outcome at 42.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 15.8%. Confidence 64/100, data quality 45/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.13–0.83 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 0.86–0.68 | 0-0 21% | 20% | 29% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.