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Dila Gori v Dinamo Batumi — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · GEO-Erovnuli Liga · 2627

GEO-Erovnuli Liga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Dila Gori win
40.9%
Draw
27.3%
Dinamo Batumi win
31.8%

Raw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 12.9%
  2. 2-1 8.9%
  3. 1-0 8.2%
  4. 1-2 7.7%
  5. 0-0 7.2%

Goals

Over 2.552.6% Under 2.547.4%
BTTS yes57.2% BTTS no42.8%
Dila Gori 1+77.5% Dila Gori 2+43.9%
Dinamo Batumi 1+72.5% Dinamo Batumi 2+37.0%

Expected goals 1.49 – 1.29. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
21/100
Data quality
20/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)
Over/Under (whole line) · usually 66%
71.7% fair odds 1.40
moderate signal · 9295 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Not both teams to score 2+
GG/NG 2+ · usually 87%
83.1% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 6854 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • Dila Gori have only 1 matches on record.
  • Dinamo Batumi have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Dila Gori have an estimated 40.9% win probability, against 31.8% for Dinamo Batumi and 27.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.49 for Dila Gori and 1.29 for Dinamo Batumi.

Why Dila Gori

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.49 to 1.29.

Why Dinamo Batumi can win

Away from home Dinamo Batumi average 1.35 xG a match. They have had 14 days' rest to Dila Gori's 8.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Dila Gori, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Dinamo Batumi, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Dila Gori: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Dinamo Batumi: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Dila Gori are the model's most likely outcome at 40.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.9%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.49–1.29 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.55–1.16 1-1 13% 51% 55%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori to win 40.9% 41.7% 40.3% 1.03× 2.40
Dinamo Batumi to win 31.8% 31.4% 34.3% 0.91× 3.18
Draw 27.3% 27.3% 25.7% 1.06× 3.66
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori & both teams score 20.6% 21.5% 19.3% 1.11× 4.65
Dila Gori & not both score 20.3% 21.5% 21.3% 1.01× 4.65
Draw & both teams score 20.1% 21.5% 18.0% 1.19× 4.65
Dinamo Batumi & both teams score 16.5% 18.2% 17.7% 1.03× 5.49
Dinamo Batumi & not both score 15.3% 18.2% 17.0% 1.07× 5.49
Draw & not both score 7.2% 7.7% 8.0% 0.96× 13.04
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori & over 1.5 32.7% 31.8% 31.3% 1.01× 3.15
Dila Gori & under 3.5 27.4% 26.5% 30.3% 0.87× 3.78
Dila Gori & over 2.5 25.8% 26.5% 25.0% 1.06× 3.78
Dinamo Batumi & over 1.5 24.9% 21.8% 25.0% 0.87× 4.59
Dinamo Batumi & under 3.5 22.1% 21.8% 24.3% 0.90× 4.59
Draw & over 1.5 20.1% 21.8% 18.0% 1.21× 4.59
Draw & under 2.5 20.1% 21.8% 19.3% 1.13× 4.59
Draw & under 3.5 20.1% 21.8% 19.3% 1.13× 4.59
Dinamo Batumi & over 2.5 19.7% 17.7% 20.7% 0.86× 5.66
Dila Gori & under 2.5 15.1% 17.7% 15.7% 1.13× 5.66
Dila Gori & over 3.5 13.5% 12.5% 10.3% 1.21× 8.03
Dinamo Batumi & under 2.5 12.2% 12.5% 14.0% 0.89× 8.03
Dinamo Batumi & over 3.5 9.8% 7.6% 10.3% 0.73× 13.17
Dila Gori & under 1.5 8.2% 7.6% 9.3% 0.81× 13.17
Draw & under 1.5 7.2% 7.6% 8.0% 0.95× 13.17
Draw & over 2.5 7.1% 7.6% 6.7% 1.14× 13.17
Draw & over 3.5 7.1% 7.6% 6.7% 1.14× 13.17
Dinamo Batumi & under 1.5 7.0% 7.6% 9.7% 0.79× 13.17
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori (1UP) 57.9% 57.8% 1.73
Dinamo Batumi (1UP) 50.1% 53.1% 1.88
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori (2UP) 40.9% 44.0% 2.27
Dinamo Batumi (2UP) 31.8% 36.2% 2.76
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 35.7% 36.8% 2.72
Dila Gori to win 2nd half 34.3% 32.4% 3.08
Dinamo Batumi to win 2nd half 30.0% 32.4% 3.09
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi (+2.5) 92.1% 92.3% 91.0% 1.01× 1.08
Dinamo Batumi (+1.5) 79.6% 78.3% 81.7% 0.96× 1.28
Dila Gori (+0.5) 68.2% 68.0% 65.7% 1.04× 1.47
Dinamo Batumi (+0.5) 59.1% 58.3% 59.7% 0.98× 1.71
Dila Gori (-0.5) 40.9% 41.7% 40.3% 1.03× 2.40
Dinamo Batumi (-0.5) 31.8% 32.0% 34.3% 0.93× 3.13
Dila Gori (-1.5) 20.4% 21.7% 18.3% 1.19× 4.60
Dila Gori (-2.5) 7.9% 7.7% 9.0% 0.86× 12.96
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi to concede 77.5% 78.6% 75.3% 1.04× 1.27
Dinamo Batumi clean sheet 22.5% 21.4% 24.7% 0.87× 4.67
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi clean sheet in 1st half 52.7% 53.2% 1.88
Dinamo Batumi to concede in 1st half 47.3% 46.8% 2.14
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi under 3.5 goals 95.8% 97.3% 94.7% 1.03× 1.03
Dinamo Batumi under 2.5 goals 85.9% 87.2% 86.3% 1.01× 1.15
Dinamo Batumi over 0.5 goals 72.5% 71.3% 71.0% 1.00× 1.40
Dinamo Batumi under 1.5 goals 63.0% 63.7% 66.0% 0.97× 1.57
Dinamo Batumi over 1.5 goals 37.0% 36.3% 34.0% 1.07× 2.76
Dinamo Batumi under 0.5 goals 27.5% 28.7% 29.0% 0.99× 3.48
Dinamo Batumi over 2.5 goals 14.1% 12.8% 13.7% 0.94× 7.80
Dinamo Batumi over 3.5 goals 4.2% 2.7% 5.3% 0.50× 37.44
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi under 1.5 in 1st half 90.5% 93.6% 1.07
Dinamo Batumi under 0.5 in 1st half 59.7% 57.3% 1.75
Dinamo Batumi over 0.5 in 1st half 40.3% 42.7% 2.34
Dinamo Batumi over 1.5 in 1st half 9.5% 6.4% 15.55
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori (away no bet) 60.0% 62.3% 61.1% 1.02× 1.61
Draw (away no bet) 40.0% 37.7% 38.9% 0.97× 2.65
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi even goals 53.8% 53.5% 54.3% 0.99× 1.87
Dinamo Batumi odd goals 46.2% 46.5% 45.7% 1.02× 2.15
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 84.5% 82.7% 1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals 15.5% 17.3% 5.77
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 65.4% 66.4% 1.51
Both halves under 1.5 goals 34.6% 33.6% 2.98
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 56.5% 58.1% 1.72
Dila Gori to score 2+ in a row 35.1% 36.0% 2.78
Dinamo Batumi to score 2+ in a row 28.1% 27.1% 3.69
Either team to score 3+ in a row 19.9% 17.4% 5.75
Dila Gori to score 3+ in a row 12.0% 12.8% 7.84
Dinamo Batumi to score 3+ in a row 8.2% 7.8% 12.77
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 12.9% 11.2% 11.7% 0.96× 8.90
0-0 7.2% 7.4% 8.0% 0.93× 13.48
0-1 7.0% 7.4% 9.7% 0.77× 13.49
0-2 5.2% 7.4% 4.7% 1.59× 13.49
1-0 8.2% 7.4% 9.3% 0.79× 13.48
1-2 7.7% 7.4% 9.0% 0.82× 13.48
2-0 6.9% 7.4% 6.7% 1.11× 13.49
2-1 8.9% 7.4% 11.3% 0.65× 13.48
2-2 5.7% 7.4% 6.0% 1.24× 13.49
0-3 2.2% 1.7% 2.0% 0.86× 58.11
0-4 0.7% 1.7% 1.3% 1.29× 58.11
1-3 3.3% 1.7% 3.0% 0.57× 58.10
1-4 1.1% 1.7% 2.3% 0.74× 58.11
2-3 2.5% 1.7% 2.7% 0.65× 58.10
2-4 0.8% 1.7% 1.3% 1.29× 58.11
3-0 3.4% 1.7% 4.0% 0.43× 58.10
3-1 4.4% 1.7% 3.0% 0.57× 58.10
3-2 2.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.03× 58.10
3-3 1.2% 1.7% 1.0% 1.72× 58.11
3-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.7% 2.58× 58.11
4-0 1.3% 1.7% 1.7% 1.03× 58.11
4-1 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 0.86× 58.11
4-2 1.1% 1.7% 0.3% 5.16× 58.11
4-3 0.5% 1.7% 1.0% 1.72× 58.11
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.3% 5.16× 58.11
Any other score 2.8% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.10
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori leading at HT (DNB) 57.0% 55.0% 1.82
Dinamo Batumi leading at HT (DNB) 43.0% 45.0% 2.22
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori or Dinamo Batumi (12) 72.7% 72.7% 74.3% 0.98× 1.38
Dila Gori or draw (1X) 68.2% 68.6% 65.7% 1.04× 1.46
Dinamo Batumi or draw (X2) 59.1% 58.3% 59.7% 0.98× 1.72
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori or draw at HT 75.5% 76.4% 1.31
Dinamo Batumi or draw at HT 67.5% 67.7% 1.48
Dila Gori or Dinamo Batumi at HT 56.9% 57.2% 1.75
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori or draw (1UP) 68.2% 70.8% 1.41
Dinamo Batumi or draw (1UP) 59.1% 64.9% 1.54
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori or draw in 2nd half 70.0% 67.6% 1.48
Dinamo Batumi or draw in 2nd half 65.7% 67.6% 1.48
Dila Gori or Dinamo Batumi in 2nd half 64.3% 63.2% 1.58
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 62.3% 60.1% 1.66
Neither half drawn 37.7% 39.9% 2.51
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori (DNB) 56.2% 56.9% 54.0% 1.05× 1.76
Dinamo Batumi (DNB) 43.8% 43.1% 46.0% 0.94× 2.32
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori to score first 49.7% 46.2% 2.17
Dinamo Batumi to score first 43.1% 44.2% 2.26
No goal scored 7.2% 6.3% 15.89
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 57.2% 55.7% 54.3% 1.02× 1.80
Not both teams to score 42.8% 44.3% 45.7% 0.97× 2.26
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 44.2% 41.6% 43.0% 0.97× 2.40
Not both score & under 2.5 34.5% 34.0% 37.0% 0.92× 2.94
Both score & under 2.5 12.9% 11.9% 11.7% 1.02× 8.41
Not both score & over 2.5 8.4% 8.5% 9.0% 0.94× 11.81
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 83.8% 83.1% 87.0% 0.95× 1.20
Both teams to score 2+ 16.2% 16.9% 13.0% 1.30× 5.91
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 68.8% 68.1% 1.47
Both teams to score in 2nd half 31.2% 31.9% 3.14
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 55.4% 56.8% 1.76
Both score 2nd half only 25.3% 25.8% 3.87
Both score 1st half only 13.4% 11.9% 8.39
Both score in both halves 5.9% 7.1% 14.11
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 80.7% 82.6% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 19.3% 17.4% 5.76
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 55.5% 57.5% 1.74
A half without a goal 44.5% 42.5% 2.35
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.2% 46.6% 47.3% 0.98× 2.15
4-6 goals 28.0% 27.3% 23.7% 1.15× 3.66
0-1 goals 22.4% 23.3% 26.3% 0.88× 4.29
7+ goals 2.4% 2.0% 3.3% 0.60× 50.24
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi to score exactly 1 35.5% 36.0% 37.3% 0.96× 2.78
Dinamo Batumi to score exactly 0 27.5% 27.4% 29.0% 0.94× 3.66
Dinamo Batumi to score exactly 2 22.9% 23.1% 20.7% 1.12× 4.32
Dinamo Batumi to score 3+ 14.1% 12.9% 13.7% 0.95× 7.74
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori to score exactly 1 33.6% 32.1% 34.3% 0.94× 3.11
Dila Gori to score exactly 2 25.0% 26.4% 26.7% 0.99× 3.79
Dila Gori to score exactly 0 22.5% 22.9% 24.7% 0.93× 4.37
Dila Gori to score 3+ 18.9% 18.3% 15.0% 1.22× 5.45
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 43.1% 42.8% 2.34
Dila Gori leading at HT 32.5% 32.3% 3.10
Dinamo Batumi leading at HT 24.5% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori -1: 2 59.1% 58.0% 1.72
Dila Gori -1: 1 20.4% 23.2% 4.30
Dila Gori -1: X 20.5% 23.2% 4.30
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi (0:1) 59.1% 57.3% 59.7% 0.96× 1.74
Dila Gori (0:1) 20.4% 23.5% 18.3% 1.28× 4.25
Draw (0:1) 20.5% 23.5% 22.3% 1.05× 4.25
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi (0:2) 79.6% 79.4% 81.7% 0.97× 1.26
Draw (0:2) 12.5% 11.4% 9.7% 1.18× 8.79
Dila Gori (0:2) 7.9% 7.7% 9.0% 0.86× 12.95
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi (0:3) 92.1% 92.6% 91.0% 1.02× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 5.4% 6.4% 5.7% 1.13× 15.58
Dila Gori (0:3) 2.5% 2.6% 3.7% 0.70× 38.97
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi (0:4) 97.5% 97.7% 96.3% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.8% 1.4% 2.3% 0.61× 70.56
Dila Gori (0:4) 0.7% 1.4% 1.7% 0.85× 70.60
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori (1:0) 68.2% 69.3% 65.7% 1.06× 1.44
Draw (1:0) 17.6% 17.5% 21.0% 0.84× 5.70
Dinamo Batumi (1:0) 14.3% 12.5% 13.7% 0.91× 8.02
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori (2:0) 85.7% 88.0% 86.3% 1.02× 1.14
Draw (2:0) 9.4% 6.7% 8.3% 0.80× 14.97
Dinamo Batumi (2:0) 4.9% 2.8% 5.7% 0.49× 36.31
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 47.4% 48.6% 2.06
1st half highest scoring 26.5% 26.2% 3.82
Halves equal 26.1% 26.2% 3.82
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori to concede 72.5% 72.0% 71.0% 1.01× 1.39
Dila Gori clean sheet 27.5% 28.0% 29.0% 0.97× 3.57
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori clean sheet in 1st half 59.7% 57.2% 1.75
Dila Gori to concede in 1st half 40.3% 42.8% 2.34
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori under 3.5 goals 93.6% 92.3% 93.7% 0.99× 1.08
Dila Gori under 2.5 goals 81.1% 82.2% 85.0% 0.97× 1.22
Dila Gori over 0.5 goals 77.5% 77.9% 75.3% 1.03× 1.28
Dila Gori under 1.5 goals 56.1% 57.6% 58.7% 0.98× 1.74
Dila Gori over 1.5 goals 43.9% 42.4% 41.3% 1.02× 2.36
Dila Gori under 0.5 goals 22.5% 22.1% 24.7% 0.90× 4.53
Dila Gori over 2.5 goals 18.9% 17.8% 15.0% 1.19× 5.61
Dila Gori over 3.5 goals 6.4% 7.7% 6.3% 1.21× 13.04
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori under 1.5 in 1st half 86.4% 87.2% 1.15
Dila Gori under 0.5 in 1st half 52.7% 53.3% 1.88
Dila Gori over 0.5 in 1st half 47.3% 46.7% 2.14
Dila Gori over 1.5 in 1st half 13.6% 12.8% 7.84
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi (home no bet) 53.9% 52.1% 57.2% 0.91× 1.92
Draw (home no bet) 46.1% 47.9% 42.8% 1.12× 2.09
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori even goals 52.5% 50.9% 55.7% 0.91× 1.96
Dila Gori odd goals 47.5% 49.1% 44.3% 1.11× 2.04
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 31.6% 32.2% 3.11
HT 1-0 20.0% 20.1% 4.98
HT 0-1 16.1% 20.0% 5.00
HT 1-1 10.6% 10.9% 9.16
HT 2-0 6.5% 8.0% 12.47
HT 0-2 4.2% 2.5% 40.36
Any other HT score 4.3% 2.5% 40.36
HT 2-1 3.3% 2.5% 40.40
HT 1-2 2.7% 2.5% 40.43
HT 2-2 0.9% 2.5% 40.51
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori at HT / Dila Gori at FT 24.3% 20.6% 4.87
Dinamo Batumi at HT / Dinamo Batumi at FT 17.1% 17.2% 5.82
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 16.5% 17.2% 5.82
Draw at HT / Dila Gori at FT 14.2% 12.2% 8.20
Draw at HT / Dinamo Batumi at FT 12.4% 12.2% 8.21
Dila Gori at HT / Draw at FT 5.8% 6.4% 15.58
Dinamo Batumi at HT / Draw at FT 5.0% 6.4% 15.60
Dila Gori at HT / Dinamo Batumi at FT 2.4% 3.7% 27.33
Dinamo Batumi at HT / Dila Gori at FT 2.4% 3.7% 27.33
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori to score last 49.8% 46.4% 2.16
Dinamo Batumi to score last 43.0% 42.6% 2.35
No goal scored 7.2% 6.3% 15.89
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 92.8% 93.6% 1.07
Dila Gori to lead by 1 at any time 57.9% 57.3% 1.75
Dinamo Batumi to lead by 1 at any time 50.1% 50.8% 1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 46.9% 46.8% 2.14
Dila Gori to lead by 2 at any time 26.9% 25.8% 3.88
Dinamo Batumi to lead by 2 at any time 20.2% 21.3% 4.70
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 16.5% 17.3% 5.79
Dila Gori to lead by 3 at any time 10.0% 11.0% 9.13
Dinamo Batumi to lead by 3 at any time 6.5% 7.6% 13.20
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.4% 87.1% 86.7% 1.01× 1.15
1-4 goals 77.9% 77.9% 79.0% 0.99× 1.28
2-6 goals 75.2% 77.9% 70.7% 1.10× 1.28
2-5 goals 71.2% 72.1% 68.3% 1.06× 1.39
1-3 goals 62.4% 62.7% 65.7% 0.95× 1.60
2-4 goals 62.6% 62.7% 60.7% 1.03× 1.60
3-6 goals 50.2% 52.9% 48.7% 1.09× 1.89
2-3 goals 47.2% 47.4% 47.3% 1.00× 2.11
3-5 goals 46.3% 47.4% 46.3% 1.02× 2.11
1-2 goals 40.2% 43.7% 40.7% 1.07× 2.29
3-4 goals 37.7% 39.0% 38.7% 1.01× 2.56
4-6 goals 28.0% 28.5% 23.7% 1.21× 3.50
4-5 goals 24.0% 23.8% 21.3% 1.12× 4.20
5-6 goals 12.6% 13.5% 10.3% 1.31× 7.40
7+ goals 2.4% 2.2% 3.3% 0.67× 44.58
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori never behind 42.7% 46.3% 2.16
Dinamo Batumi never behind 34.9% 38.2% 2.62
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 52.2% 50.0% 46.3% 1.08× 2.00
Odd number of goals 47.8% 50.0% 53.7% 0.93× 2.00
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 55.3% 55.1% 1.82
Odd goals in 1st half 44.7% 44.9% 2.23
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.6% 51.5% 1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.4% 48.5% 2.06
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 92.8% 92.3% 92.0% 1.00× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 93.7% 92.3% 94.3% 0.98× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 85.1% 87.7% 86.7% 1.01× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 77.6% 77.0% 73.7% 1.05× 1.30
Under 3.5 goals 69.6% 67.5% 73.3% 0.92× 1.48
Over 2.5 goals 52.6% 52.1% 51.7% 1.01× 1.92
Under 2.5 goals 47.4% 47.9% 48.3% 0.99× 2.09
Over 3.5 goals 30.4% 32.5% 26.7% 1.22× 3.08
Under 1.5 goals 22.4% 23.0% 26.3% 0.87× 4.35
Over 4.5 goals 14.9% 12.3% 13.3% 0.92× 8.14
Under 0.5 goals 7.2% 7.7% 8.0% 0.97× 12.95
Over 5.5 goals 6.3% 7.7% 5.7% 1.36× 12.95
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.5% 97.3% 96.6% 1.01× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 93.1% 92.0% 93.9% 0.98× 1.09
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 82.3% 81.3% 84.6% 0.96× 1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 70.1% 71.7% 66.2% 1.08× 1.40
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 60.9% 62.0% 64.4% 0.96× 1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 39.1% 38.0% 35.6% 1.07× 2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 29.9% 28.3% 33.8% 0.84× 3.53
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 17.7% 18.7% 15.4% 1.22× 5.35
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 6.9% 8.0% 6.1% 1.30× 12.56
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 2.5% 2.7% 3.4% 0.80× 36.69
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 88.9% 88.4% 1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half 68.4% 67.6% 1.48
Under 1.5 in 1st half 67.6% 67.6% 1.48
Over 1.5 in 1st half 32.4% 32.4% 3.09
Under 0.5 in 1st half 31.6% 32.4% 3.09
Over 2.5 in 1st half 11.1% 11.6% 8.60
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 79.9% 79.9% 1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 77.7% 79.8% 1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 48.6% 50.2% 1.99
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 51.4% 49.8% 2.01
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 22.3% 20.2% 4.96
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 20.1% 20.1% 4.97
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi not to score in both halves 78.3% 76.3% 1.31
Dila Gori not to score in both halves 72.9% 72.8% 1.37
Dila Gori to score in both halves 27.1% 27.2% 3.68
Dinamo Batumi to score in both halves 21.7% 23.7% 4.23
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 57.2% 57.9% 54.3% 1.07× 1.73
Only Dila Gori scores 20.3% 21.3% 21.3% 1.00× 4.71
Only Dinamo Batumi scores 15.3% 17.1% 17.0% 1.01× 5.84
Neither team scores 7.2% 7.2% 8.0% 0.90× 13.96
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 25.0% 22.3% 22.3% 1.00× 4.48
Exactly 3 goals 22.2% 22.3% 25.3% 0.88× 4.48
Exactly 4 goals 15.4% 17.6% 13.7% 1.29× 5.69
Exactly 1 goals 15.2% 17.6% 18.7% 0.94× 5.69
Exactly 5 goals 8.6% 7.8% 8.0% 0.97× 12.88
Exactly 0 goals 7.2% 7.8% 8.0% 0.97× 12.89
6 or more goals 6.3% 7.8% 5.7% 1.37× 12.89
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 48.6% 50.1% 2.00
1 goal in 2nd half 31.3% 34.3% 2.91
No goals in 2nd half 20.1% 20.1% 4.98
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi not to win both halves 92.5% 92.3% 1.08
Dila Gori not to win both halves 88.7% 88.0% 1.14
Dila Gori to win both halves 11.3% 12.0% 8.32
Dinamo Batumi to win both halves 7.5% 7.7% 12.91
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dila Gori to win either half 55.4% 57.1% 1.75
Dinamo Batumi to win neither half 53.0% 51.1% 1.96
Dinamo Batumi to win either half 47.0% 48.9% 2.05
Dila Gori to win neither half 44.6% 42.9% 2.33
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi not to win to nil 84.7% 82.7% 83.0% 1.00× 1.21
Dila Gori not to win to nil 79.7% 78.7% 78.7% 1.00× 1.27
Dila Gori to win to nil 20.3% 21.3% 21.3% 1.00× 4.70
Dinamo Batumi to win to nil 15.3% 17.3% 17.0% 1.02× 5.77
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 27.3% 27.4% 25.7% 1.07× 3.65
Dila Gori by 1 20.5% 23.3% 22.3% 1.04× 4.29
Dinamo Batumi by 1 17.6% 17.3% 21.0% 0.82× 5.78
Dila Gori by 2 12.5% 11.8% 9.7% 1.22× 8.46
Dinamo Batumi by 2 9.4% 7.3% 8.3% 0.88× 13.65
Dila Gori by 3+ 7.9% 7.3% 9.0% 0.81× 13.66
Dinamo Batumi by 3+ 4.9% 3.0% 5.7% 0.52× 33.80
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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