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Dinamo Batumi v Iberia 1999 — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 9 September 2026 · GEO-Erovnuli Liga · 2627

GEO-Erovnuli Liga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Dinamo Batumi win
41.5%
model 41.8%
Draw
27.1%
model 27.4%
Iberia 1999 win
31.4%
model 30.9%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (6,392 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 13.0%
  2. 2-1 9.0%
  3. 1-0 8.5%
  4. 1-2 7.5%
  5. 0-0 7.4%

Goals

Over 2.551.8% Under 2.548.2%
BTTS yes56.5% BTTS no43.5%
Dinamo Batumi 1+77.6% Dinamo Batumi 2+44.0%
Iberia 1999 1+71.5% Iberia 1999 2+35.7%

Expected goals 1.49 – 1.26. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
26/100
Data quality
30/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
Over 1.5 goals
Over/Under · usually 74%
77.0% fair odds 1.30
moderate signal · 17382 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Not both teams to score 2+
GG/NG 2+ · usually 87%
83.0% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 6846 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • At home Dinamo Batumi average 1.35 xG a match.
  • They have had 14 days' rest to Iberia 1999's 4.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • Dinamo Batumi have only 0 matches on record.
  • Iberia 1999 have only 1 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Dinamo Batumi have an estimated 41.5% win probability, against 31.4% for Iberia 1999 and 27.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.49 for Dinamo Batumi and 1.25 for Iberia 1999.

Why Dinamo Batumi

At home Dinamo Batumi average 1.35 xG a match. They have had 14 days' rest to Iberia 1999's 4.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.1%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.49 to 1.25.

Why Iberia 1999 can win

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five. Away from home Iberia 1999 average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Dinamo Batumi, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Iberia 1999, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Dinamo Batumi: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Iberia 1999: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Dinamo Batumi are the model's most likely outcome at 41.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.0%. Confidence 26/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.49–1.26 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.42–1.37 1-1 13% 53% 58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi to win 37.3% 36.2% 40.3% 0.90× 2.76
Iberia 1999 to win 35.3% 36.2% 34.3% 1.05× 2.76
Draw 27.4% 27.7% 25.7% 1.08× 3.61
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw & both teams score 20.2% 21.7% 18.0% 1.21× 4.60
Dinamo Batumi & both teams score 19.1% 18.0% 19.3% 0.93× 5.55
Dinamo Batumi & not both score 18.2% 18.0% 21.3% 0.85× 5.55
Iberia 1999 & both teams score 18.2% 18.0% 17.7% 1.02× 5.55
Iberia 1999 & not both score 17.1% 18.0% 17.0% 1.06× 5.55
Draw & not both score 7.2% 8.4% 8.0% 1.05× 11.95
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi & over 1.5 29.6% 25.9% 31.3% 0.83× 3.86
Iberia 1999 & over 1.5 27.9% 25.9% 25.0% 1.04× 3.86
Dinamo Batumi & under 3.5 25.2% 25.9% 30.3% 0.85× 3.86
Iberia 1999 & under 3.5 24.1% 21.6% 24.3% 0.89× 4.63
Dinamo Batumi & over 2.5 23.4% 21.6% 25.0% 0.86× 4.63
Iberia 1999 & over 2.5 22.1% 21.6% 20.7% 1.05× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 20.2% 21.6% 18.0% 1.20× 4.63
Draw & under 2.5 20.2% 21.6% 19.3% 1.12× 4.63
Draw & under 3.5 20.2% 21.6% 19.3% 1.12× 4.63
Dinamo Batumi & under 2.5 13.9% 12.9% 15.7% 0.82× 7.77
Iberia 1999 & under 2.5 13.2% 12.9% 14.0% 0.92× 7.77
Dinamo Batumi & over 3.5 12.0% 12.9% 10.3% 1.24× 7.78
Iberia 1999 & over 3.5 11.2% 12.9% 10.3% 1.24× 7.78
Dinamo Batumi & under 1.5 7.7% 8.0% 9.3% 0.85× 12.56
Iberia 1999 & under 1.5 7.4% 8.0% 9.7% 0.82× 12.56
Draw & under 1.5 7.2% 8.0% 8.0% 0.99× 12.56
Draw & over 2.5 7.2% 8.0% 6.7% 1.19× 12.56
Draw & over 3.5 7.2% 8.0% 6.7% 1.19× 12.56
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi (1UP) 54.9% 52.9% 1.89
Iberia 1999 (1UP) 53.2% 52.8% 1.89
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi (2UP) 37.3% 37.1% 2.69
Iberia 1999 (2UP) 35.3% 37.0% 2.70
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 35.6% 35.9% 2.79
Iberia 1999 to win 2nd half 32.7% 34.5% 2.90
Dinamo Batumi to win 2nd half 31.7% 34.5% 2.90
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Iberia 1999 (+2.5) 93.4% 92.1% 91.0% 1.01× 1.09
Iberia 1999 (+1.5) 82.1% 82.6% 81.7% 1.01× 1.21
Dinamo Batumi (+0.5) 64.7% 63.0% 65.7% 0.96× 1.59
Iberia 1999 (+0.5) 62.7% 63.0% 59.7% 1.06× 1.59
Dinamo Batumi (-0.5) 37.3% 37.0% 40.3% 0.92× 2.71
Iberia 1999 (-0.5) 35.3% 37.0% 34.3% 1.08× 2.71
Dinamo Batumi (-1.5) 17.9% 17.4% 18.3% 0.95× 5.74
Dinamo Batumi (-2.5) 6.6% 7.9% 9.0% 0.88× 12.68
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Iberia 1999 to concede 75.7% 78.7% 75.3% 1.05× 1.27
Iberia 1999 clean sheet 24.3% 21.3% 24.7% 0.86× 4.70
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Iberia 1999 to concede in 1st half 45.6% 50.6% 1.98
Iberia 1999 clean sheet in 1st half 54.4% 49.4% 2.03
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Iberia 1999 under 3.5 goals 94.9% 92.2% 94.7% 0.97× 1.09
Iberia 1999 under 2.5 goals 84.0% 81.3% 86.3% 0.94× 1.23
Iberia 1999 over 0.5 goals 74.6% 71.9% 71.0% 1.01× 1.39
Iberia 1999 under 1.5 goals 60.2% 63.4% 66.0% 0.96× 1.58
Iberia 1999 over 1.5 goals 39.8% 36.6% 34.0% 1.08× 2.74
Iberia 1999 under 0.5 goals 25.4% 28.1% 29.0% 0.97× 3.55
Iberia 1999 over 2.5 goals 16.0% 18.7% 13.7% 1.37× 5.34
Iberia 1999 over 3.5 goals 5.1% 7.8% 5.3% 1.46× 12.81
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Iberia 1999 under 1.5 in 1st half 89.5% 89.1% 1.12
Iberia 1999 under 0.5 in 1st half 57.8% 62.6% 1.60
Iberia 1999 over 0.5 in 1st half 42.2% 37.4% 2.67
Iberia 1999 over 1.5 in 1st half 10.5% 10.9% 9.16
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi (away no bet) 57.7% 57.4% 61.1% 0.94× 1.74
Draw (away no bet) 42.3% 42.6% 38.9% 1.09× 2.35
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Iberia 1999 even goals 53.2% 52.8% 54.3% 0.97× 1.89
Iberia 1999 odd goals 46.8% 47.2% 45.7% 1.03× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 84.4% 83.1% 1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals 15.6% 16.9% 5.91
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 65.6% 68.4% 1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals 34.4% 31.6% 3.16
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 56.5% 55.1% 1.82
Dinamo Batumi to score 2+ in a row 32.4% 29.1% 3.44
Iberia 1999 to score 2+ in a row 30.9% 29.0% 3.45
Either team to score 3+ in a row 19.7% 16.4% 6.11
Dinamo Batumi to score 3+ in a row 10.4% 12.1% 8.27
Iberia 1999 to score 3+ in a row 9.6% 5.7% 17.56
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 13.0% 11.4% 11.7% 0.97× 8.80
2-1 8.5% 7.4% 11.3% 0.65× 13.53
0-0 7.2% 7.4% 8.0% 0.92× 13.54
0-1 7.4% 7.4% 9.7% 0.76× 13.54
1-0 7.7% 7.4% 9.3% 0.79× 13.54
1-2 8.2% 7.4% 9.0% 0.82× 13.54
2-0 6.2% 7.4% 6.7% 1.11× 13.54
2-2 5.8% 7.4% 6.0% 1.23× 13.54
0-2 5.8% 7.4% 4.7% 1.58× 13.54
1-4 1.3% 1.7% 2.3% 0.74× 57.57
2-3 2.7% 1.7% 2.7% 0.65× 57.57
2-4 0.9% 1.7% 1.3% 1.30× 57.58
3-0 2.9% 1.7% 4.0% 0.43× 57.57
3-1 4.0% 1.7% 3.0% 0.58× 57.56
3-2 2.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.04× 57.57
3-3 1.3% 1.7% 1.0% 1.74× 57.57
3-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.7% 2.61× 57.58
4-0 1.0% 1.7% 1.7% 1.04× 57.57
4-1 1.4% 1.7% 2.0% 0.87× 57.57
4-2 1.0% 1.7% 0.3% 5.21× 57.57
4-3 0.4% 1.7% 1.0% 1.74× 57.58
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.3% 5.21× 57.58
Any other score 2.8% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 57.57
0-3 2.7% 1.7% 2.0% 0.87× 57.57
0-4 0.9% 1.7% 1.3% 1.30× 57.58
1-3 3.8% 1.7% 3.0% 0.58× 57.56
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi leading at HT (DNB) 53.4% 56.1% 1.78
Iberia 1999 leading at HT (DNB) 46.6% 43.9% 2.28
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi or Iberia 1999 (12) 72.6% 72.3% 74.3% 0.97× 1.38
Dinamo Batumi or draw (1X) 64.7% 63.8% 65.7% 0.97× 1.57
Iberia 1999 or draw (X2) 62.7% 63.8% 59.7% 1.07× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi or draw at HT 73.5% 74.3% 1.35
Iberia 1999 or draw at HT 69.7% 66.4% 1.51
Dinamo Batumi or Iberia 1999 at HT 56.8% 56.9% 1.76
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi or draw (1UP) 64.7% 71.9% 1.39
Iberia 1999 or draw (1UP) 62.7% 71.7% 1.39
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Iberia 1999 or draw in 2nd half 68.3% 65.5% 1.53
Dinamo Batumi or draw in 2nd half 67.3% 65.5% 1.53
Dinamo Batumi or Iberia 1999 in 2nd half 64.4% 64.1% 1.56
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 62.3% 61.7% 1.62
Neither half drawn 37.7% 38.3% 2.61
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi (DNB) 51.3% 50.0% 54.0% 0.93× 2.00
Iberia 1999 (DNB) 48.7% 50.0% 46.0% 1.09× 2.00
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi to score first 47.1% 45.5% 2.20
Iberia 1999 to score first 45.7% 45.5% 2.20
No goal scored 7.2% 7.5% 13.34
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 57.5% 54.8% 54.3% 1.01× 1.83
Not both teams to score 42.5% 45.2% 45.7% 0.99× 2.21
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 44.5% 41.7% 43.0% 0.97× 2.40
Not both score & under 2.5 34.3% 34.4% 37.0% 0.93× 2.91
Both score & under 2.5 13.0% 12.3% 11.7% 1.05× 8.15
Not both score & over 2.5 8.2% 8.4% 9.0% 0.93× 11.94
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 83.5% 82.5% 87.0% 0.95× 1.21
Both teams to score 2+ 16.5% 17.5% 13.0% 1.35× 5.71
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 68.6% 67.6% 1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half 31.4% 32.4% 3.09
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 55.2% 59.2% 1.69
Both score 2nd half only 25.4% 26.5% 3.77
Both score 1st half only 13.4% 10.7% 9.31
Both score in both halves 6.0% 6.7% 14.84
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 80.6% 82.4% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 19.4% 17.6% 5.67
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 55.6% 57.2% 1.75
A half without a goal 44.4% 42.8% 2.34
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.2% 46.9% 47.3% 0.99× 2.13
4-6 goals 28.1% 27.0% 23.7% 1.14× 3.71
0-1 goals 22.3% 23.0% 26.3% 0.88× 4.34
7+ goals 2.4% 1.9% 3.3% 0.56× 53.89
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Iberia 1999 to score exactly 1 34.8% 33.7% 37.3% 0.90× 2.97
Iberia 1999 to score exactly 0 25.4% 27.6% 29.0% 0.95× 3.63
Iberia 1999 to score exactly 2 23.9% 22.5% 20.7% 1.09× 4.44
Iberia 1999 to score 3+ 16.0% 19.5% 13.7% 1.43× 5.12
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi to score exactly 1 34.4% 32.6% 34.3% 0.95× 3.06
Dinamo Batumi to score exactly 2 24.3% 23.4% 26.7% 0.88× 4.28
Dinamo Batumi to score exactly 0 24.3% 23.4% 24.7% 0.95× 4.28
Dinamo Batumi to score 3+ 17.0% 19.2% 15.0% 1.28× 5.22
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 43.2% 43.1% 2.32
Dinamo Batumi leading at HT 30.3% 33.6% 2.97
Iberia 1999 leading at HT 26.5% 25.7% 3.90
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi -1: 2 62.7% 62.8% 1.59
Dinamo Batumi -1: X 19.4% 17.3% 5.79
Dinamo Batumi -1: 1 17.9% 17.3% 5.79
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Iberia 1999 (0:1) 62.7% 61.5% 59.7% 1.03× 1.63
Draw (0:1) 19.4% 17.8% 22.3% 0.79× 5.63
Dinamo Batumi (0:1) 17.9% 17.7% 18.3% 0.97× 5.64
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Iberia 1999 (0:2) 82.1% 83.1% 81.7% 1.02× 1.20
Draw (0:2) 11.3% 10.8% 9.7% 1.12× 9.22
Dinamo Batumi (0:2) 6.6% 7.7% 9.0% 0.86× 12.99
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Iberia 1999 (0:3) 93.4% 92.7% 91.0% 1.02× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 4.6% 2.4% 5.7% 0.42× 42.21
Dinamo Batumi (0:3) 2.0% 2.4% 3.7% 0.64× 42.32
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Iberia 1999 (0:4) 98.0% 98.1% 96.3% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.5% 1.2% 2.3% 0.52× 81.80
Dinamo Batumi (0:4) 0.5% 1.2% 1.7% 0.73× 81.91
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi (1:0) 64.7% 65.3% 65.7% 0.99× 1.53
Draw (1:0) 18.8% 17.1% 21.0% 0.81× 5.86
Iberia 1999 (1:0) 16.6% 17.1% 13.7% 1.25× 5.86
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi (2:0) 83.4% 84.5% 86.3% 0.98× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 10.6% 10.4% 8.3% 1.25× 9.62
Iberia 1999 (2:0) 6.0% 6.6% 5.7% 1.16× 15.25
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 47.5% 48.2% 2.08
1st half highest scoring 26.4% 26.5% 3.78
Halves equal 26.1% 26.5% 3.78
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi to concede 74.6% 73.2% 71.0% 1.03× 1.37
Dinamo Batumi clean sheet 25.4% 26.8% 29.0% 0.92× 3.73
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi clean sheet in 1st half 57.8% 62.6% 1.60
Dinamo Batumi to concede in 1st half 42.2% 37.4% 2.67
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi under 3.5 goals 94.5% 92.1% 93.7% 0.98× 1.09
Dinamo Batumi under 2.5 goals 83.0% 81.9% 85.0% 0.96× 1.22
Dinamo Batumi over 0.5 goals 75.7% 77.4% 75.3% 1.03× 1.29
Dinamo Batumi under 1.5 goals 58.7% 58.6% 58.7% 1.00× 1.71
Dinamo Batumi over 1.5 goals 41.3% 41.4% 41.3% 1.00× 2.41
Dinamo Batumi under 0.5 goals 24.3% 22.6% 24.7% 0.92× 4.42
Dinamo Batumi over 2.5 goals 17.0% 18.1% 15.0% 1.21× 5.53
Dinamo Batumi over 3.5 goals 5.5% 7.9% 6.3% 1.24× 12.70
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi under 1.5 in 1st half 87.5% 89.8% 1.11
Dinamo Batumi over 0.5 in 1st half 45.6% 50.8% 1.97
Dinamo Batumi under 0.5 in 1st half 54.4% 49.2% 2.03
Dinamo Batumi over 1.5 in 1st half 12.5% 10.2% 9.79
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Iberia 1999 (home no bet) 56.4% 56.1% 57.2% 0.98× 1.78
Draw (home no bet) 43.7% 43.9% 42.8% 1.03× 2.28
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi even goals 53.0% 50.4% 55.7% 0.91× 1.98
Dinamo Batumi odd goals 47.0% 49.6% 44.3% 1.12× 2.02
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 31.6% 32.2% 3.10
HT 1-0 19.0% 18.7% 5.35
HT 0-1 17.1% 18.6% 5.36
HT 1-1 10.7% 10.9% 9.17
HT 2-0 5.8% 7.1% 14.05
HT 0-2 4.7% 2.3% 43.36
Any other HT score 4.2% 2.3% 43.40
HT 2-1 3.2% 2.3% 43.47
HT 1-2 2.9% 2.3% 43.49
HT 2-2 0.9% 2.3% 43.64
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi at HT / Dinamo Batumi at FT 21.9% 21.7% 4.60
Iberia 1999 at HT / Iberia 1999 at FT 19.2% 16.8% 5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 16.5% 16.7% 5.97
Draw at HT / Iberia 1999 at FT 13.5% 12.7% 7.89
Draw at HT / Dinamo Batumi at FT 13.2% 12.7% 7.89
Dinamo Batumi at HT / Draw at FT 5.8% 6.0% 16.71
Iberia 1999 at HT / Draw at FT 5.1% 6.0% 16.74
Dinamo Batumi at HT / Iberia 1999 at FT 2.6% 3.5% 28.82
Iberia 1999 at HT / Dinamo Batumi at FT 2.2% 3.5% 28.83
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi to score last 47.1% 46.7% 2.14
Iberia 1999 to score last 45.7% 46.6% 2.14
No goal scored 7.2% 7.5% 13.34
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 92.8% 92.6% 1.08
Dinamo Batumi to lead by 1 at any time 54.9% 50.9% 1.97
Iberia 1999 to lead by 1 at any time 53.2% 50.8% 1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 46.8% 43.9% 2.28
Dinamo Batumi to lead by 2 at any time 24.3% 19.6% 5.09
Iberia 1999 to lead by 2 at any time 22.8% 19.6% 5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 16.4% 14.9% 6.73
Dinamo Batumi to lead by 3 at any time 8.6% 6.6% 15.05
Iberia 1999 to lead by 3 at any time 7.8% 6.6% 15.08
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.4% 87.4% 86.7% 1.01× 1.14
1-4 goals 77.8% 78.5% 79.0% 0.99× 1.27
2-6 goals 75.3% 78.5% 70.7% 1.11× 1.27
2-5 goals 71.3% 72.2% 68.3% 1.06× 1.38
2-4 goals 62.7% 63.1% 60.7% 1.04× 1.58
1-3 goals 62.3% 63.1% 65.7% 0.96× 1.58
3-6 goals 50.4% 53.4% 48.7% 1.10× 1.87
2-3 goals 47.2% 48.5% 47.3% 1.02× 2.06
3-5 goals 46.3% 48.4% 46.3% 1.05× 2.06
1-2 goals 40.1% 43.6% 40.7% 1.07× 2.29
3-4 goals 37.7% 39.3% 38.7% 1.02× 2.55
4-6 goals 28.1% 30.6% 23.7% 1.29× 3.26
4-5 goals 24.1% 24.8% 21.3% 1.16× 4.03
5-6 goals 12.6% 15.1% 10.3% 1.46× 6.64
7+ goals 2.4% 2.6% 3.3% 0.77× 38.90
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi never behind 39.6% 44.8% 2.23
Iberia 1999 never behind 37.9% 44.7% 2.24
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.8% 50.9% 53.7% 0.95× 1.96
Even number of goals 52.2% 49.1% 46.3% 1.06× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 55.3% 57.4% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 44.7% 42.6% 2.35
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.6% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.4% 48.0% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 93.6% 92.2% 94.3% 0.98× 1.09
Over 0.5 goals 92.8% 92.2% 92.0% 1.00× 1.09
Under 4.5 goals 85.0% 82.2% 86.7% 0.95× 1.22
Over 1.5 goals 77.7% 77.2% 73.7% 1.05× 1.30
Under 3.5 goals 69.5% 66.0% 73.3% 0.90× 1.52
Over 2.5 goals 52.7% 53.0% 51.7% 1.03× 1.89
Under 2.5 goals 47.3% 47.0% 48.3% 0.97× 2.13
Over 3.5 goals 30.5% 34.0% 26.7% 1.28× 2.94
Under 1.5 goals 22.3% 22.8% 26.3% 0.87× 4.39
Over 4.5 goals 15.0% 17.9% 13.3% 1.34× 5.60
Under 0.5 goals 7.2% 7.8% 8.0% 0.98× 12.82
Over 5.5 goals 6.4% 7.8% 5.7% 1.38× 12.82
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.5% 97.2% 96.6% 1.01× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 93.0% 92.4% 93.9% 0.98× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 82.2% 80.5% 84.6% 0.95× 1.24
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 70.3% 72.2% 66.2% 1.09× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 60.8% 61.6% 64.4% 0.96× 1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 39.2% 38.4% 35.6% 1.08× 2.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 29.7% 27.8% 33.8% 0.82× 3.60
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 17.8% 19.5% 15.4% 1.27× 5.12
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 7.0% 7.6% 6.1% 1.24× 13.13
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 2.5% 2.9% 3.4% 0.84× 35.09
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 88.9% 89.0% 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 68.4% 69.1% 1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half 67.6% 69.1% 1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half 32.4% 30.9% 3.23
Under 0.5 in 1st half 31.6% 30.9% 3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half 11.1% 11.0% 9.13
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 80.1% 82.7% 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 77.6% 79.7% 1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 51.2% 53.3% 1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 48.8% 46.7% 2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 22.4% 20.3% 4.94
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 19.9% 17.3% 5.78
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Iberia 1999 not to score in both halves 76.3% 78.2% 1.28
Dinamo Batumi not to score in both halves 74.8% 73.8% 1.35
Dinamo Batumi to score in both halves 25.2% 26.2% 3.82
Iberia 1999 to score in both halves 23.7% 21.8% 4.59
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 57.5% 58.6% 54.3% 1.08× 1.71
Only Dinamo Batumi scores 18.2% 16.0% 21.3% 0.75× 6.25
Only Iberia 1999 scores 17.1% 16.0% 17.0% 0.94× 6.25
Neither team scores 7.2% 7.1% 8.0% 0.89× 14.02
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 24.9% 22.4% 22.3% 1.00× 4.46
Exactly 3 goals 22.2% 22.4% 25.3% 0.89× 4.46
Exactly 4 goals 15.5% 17.5% 13.7% 1.28× 5.70
Exactly 1 goals 15.1% 17.5% 18.7% 0.94× 5.70
Exactly 5 goals 8.6% 7.8% 8.0% 0.97× 12.83
Exactly 0 goals 7.2% 7.8% 8.0% 0.97× 12.83
6 or more goals 6.4% 7.8% 5.7% 1.37× 12.84
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 48.8% 44.9% 2.23
1 goal in 2nd half 31.2% 33.3% 3.00
No goals in 2nd half 19.9% 17.3% 5.77
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Iberia 1999 not to win both halves 91.2% 93.9% 1.07
Dinamo Batumi not to win both halves 90.2% 93.9% 1.07
Dinamo Batumi to win both halves 9.8% 6.1% 16.43
Iberia 1999 to win both halves 8.8% 6.1% 16.49
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi to win either half 52.3% 54.9% 1.82
Iberia 1999 to win either half 50.3% 54.8% 1.83
Iberia 1999 to win neither half 49.7% 45.2% 2.21
Dinamo Batumi to win neither half 47.7% 45.1% 2.22
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Iberia 1999 not to win to nil 82.9% 83.1% 83.0% 1.00× 1.20
Dinamo Batumi not to win to nil 81.8% 83.1% 78.7% 1.06× 1.20
Dinamo Batumi to win to nil 18.2% 16.9% 21.3% 0.79× 5.93
Iberia 1999 to win to nil 17.1% 16.9% 17.0% 0.99× 5.93
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 27.4% 27.7% 25.7% 1.08× 3.61
Dinamo Batumi by 1 19.4% 16.9% 22.3% 0.76× 5.92
Iberia 1999 by 1 18.8% 16.9% 21.0% 0.80× 5.92
Dinamo Batumi by 2 11.3% 11.7% 9.7% 1.21× 8.52
Iberia 1999 by 2 10.6% 11.7% 8.3% 1.41× 8.52
Dinamo Batumi by 3+ 6.6% 7.3% 9.0% 0.81× 13.74
Iberia 1999 by 3+ 6.0% 7.3% 5.7% 1.28× 13.74
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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