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Dinamo Batumi v Torpedo Kutaisi — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · GEO-Erovnuli Liga · 2627

GEO-Erovnuli Liga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Dinamo Batumi win
41.5%
model 43.5%
Draw
27.1%
model 26.0%
Torpedo Kutaisi win
31.4%
model 30.5%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (6,392 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 12.1%
  2. 2-1 9.1%
  3. 1-2 7.5%
  4. 1-0 7.4%
  5. 2-0 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.557.3% Under 2.542.7%
BTTS yes60.5% BTTS no39.5%
Dinamo Batumi 1+80.6% Dinamo Batumi 2+48.7%
Torpedo Kutaisi 1+73.9% Torpedo Kutaisi 2+38.8%

Expected goals 1.64 – 1.34. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
25/100
Data quality
30/100
Model agreement
92%
★ Best pick
Both teams score
Teams to score · usually 54%
61.2% fair odds 1.63
moderate signal · 2599 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Torpedo Kutaisi under 1.5 in 2nd half
2nd half away goals O/U
83.1% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 709 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • At home Dinamo Batumi average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • Dinamo Batumi have only 0 matches on record.
  • Torpedo Kutaisi have only 1 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Dinamo Batumi have an estimated 41.5% win probability, against 31.4% for Torpedo Kutaisi and 27.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.64 for Dinamo Batumi and 1.34 for Torpedo Kutaisi.

Why Dinamo Batumi

At home Dinamo Batumi average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.1%.

Why Torpedo Kutaisi can win

Away from home Torpedo Kutaisi average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Dinamo Batumi, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Torpedo Kutaisi, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Dinamo Batumi: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Torpedo Kutaisi: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Dinamo Batumi are the model's most likely outcome at 41.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.1%. Confidence 25/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.64–1.34 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.54–1.58 1-1 12% 60% 63%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi to win 38.2% 36.2% 34.3% 1.05× 2.76
Dinamo Batumi to win 36.2% 36.2% 40.3% 0.90× 2.76
Draw 25.6% 27.7% 25.7% 1.08× 3.61
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi & both teams score 22.0% 21.8% 17.7% 1.23× 4.60
Dinamo Batumi & both teams score 21.0% 21.7% 19.3% 1.12× 4.60
Draw & both teams score 20.3% 21.7% 18.0% 1.21× 4.60
Torpedo Kutaisi & not both score 16.2% 18.0% 17.0% 1.06× 5.55
Dinamo Batumi & not both score 15.2% 18.0% 21.3% 0.84× 5.55
Draw & not both score 5.3% 8.4% 8.0% 1.05× 11.95
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi & over 1.5 32.1% 31.0% 25.0% 1.24× 3.22
Dinamo Batumi & over 1.5 30.3% 31.0% 31.3% 0.99× 3.22
Torpedo Kutaisi & over 2.5 26.6% 25.9% 20.7% 1.25× 3.86
Dinamo Batumi & over 2.5 25.1% 25.9% 25.0% 1.04× 3.86
Torpedo Kutaisi & under 3.5 23.0% 21.6% 24.3% 0.89× 4.63
Dinamo Batumi & under 3.5 22.0% 21.6% 30.3% 0.71× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 20.3% 21.6% 18.0% 1.20× 4.63
Draw & under 2.5 17.0% 18.0% 19.3% 0.93× 5.57
Draw & under 3.5 17.0% 18.0% 19.3% 0.93× 5.57
Torpedo Kutaisi & over 3.5 15.2% 18.0% 10.3% 1.74× 5.57
Dinamo Batumi & over 3.5 14.2% 12.9% 10.3% 1.24× 7.77
Torpedo Kutaisi & under 2.5 11.6% 12.9% 14.0% 0.92× 7.78
Dinamo Batumi & under 2.5 11.1% 12.9% 15.7% 0.82× 7.78
Draw & over 2.5 8.6% 8.0% 6.7% 1.19× 12.56
Draw & over 3.5 8.6% 8.0% 6.7% 1.19× 12.56
Dinamo Batumi & under 1.5 5.9% 8.0% 9.3% 0.85× 12.57
Torpedo Kutaisi & under 1.5 6.1% 8.0% 9.7% 0.82× 12.57
Draw & under 1.5 5.3% 8.0% 8.0% 0.99× 12.57
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi (1UP) 57.2% 58.1% 1.72
Dinamo Batumi (1UP) 55.5% 58.0% 1.73
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi (2UP) 38.2% 37.2% 2.69
Dinamo Batumi (2UP) 36.2% 37.1% 2.70
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi to win 2nd half 35.4% 35.9% 2.79
2nd half drawn 33.2% 34.5% 2.90
Dinamo Batumi to win 2nd half 31.4% 34.5% 2.90
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi under 1.5 in 2nd half 75.4% 79.4% 1.26
Torpedo Kutaisi over 0.5 in 2nd half 61.3% 58.9% 1.70
Torpedo Kutaisi under 0.5 in 2nd half 38.7% 41.1% 2.44
Torpedo Kutaisi over 1.5 in 2nd half 24.6% 20.6% 4.85
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi under 1.5 in 2nd half 78.1% 75.8% 1.32
Dinamo Batumi over 0.5 in 2nd half 58.4% 58.9% 1.70
Dinamo Batumi under 0.5 in 2nd half 41.6% 41.1% 2.44
Dinamo Batumi over 1.5 in 2nd half 21.9% 24.2% 4.13
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi (+2.5) 93.0% 92.1% 91.0% 1.01× 1.09
Torpedo Kutaisi (+1.5) 82.0% 82.6% 81.7% 1.01× 1.21
Torpedo Kutaisi (+0.5) 63.8% 63.0% 59.7% 1.06× 1.59
Dinamo Batumi (+0.5) 61.8% 63.0% 65.7% 0.96× 1.59
Torpedo Kutaisi (-0.5) 38.2% 37.0% 34.3% 1.08× 2.70
Dinamo Batumi (-0.5) 36.2% 37.0% 40.3% 0.92× 2.71
Dinamo Batumi (-1.5) 18.0% 17.4% 18.3% 0.95× 5.74
Dinamo Batumi (-2.5) 7.0% 7.9% 9.0% 0.88× 12.68
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi to concede 78.5% 78.8% 75.3% 1.05× 1.27
Torpedo Kutaisi clean sheet 21.5% 21.2% 24.7% 0.86× 4.71
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi to concede in 1st half 48.4% 50.7% 1.97
Torpedo Kutaisi clean sheet in 1st half 51.6% 49.3% 2.03
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi to concede in 2nd half 58.4% 58.5% 1.71
Torpedo Kutaisi clean sheet in 2nd half 41.6% 41.5% 2.41
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi under 3.5 goals 92.3% 92.2% 94.7% 0.97× 1.09
Torpedo Kutaisi over 0.5 goals 79.5% 76.1% 71.0% 1.07× 1.31
Torpedo Kutaisi under 2.5 goals 78.8% 76.1% 86.3% 0.88× 1.31
Torpedo Kutaisi under 1.5 goals 53.0% 53.7% 66.0% 0.81× 1.86
Torpedo Kutaisi over 1.5 goals 47.0% 46.4% 34.0% 1.36× 2.16
Torpedo Kutaisi over 2.5 goals 21.2% 23.9% 13.7% 1.75× 4.19
Torpedo Kutaisi under 0.5 goals 20.5% 23.9% 29.0% 0.82× 4.19
Torpedo Kutaisi over 3.5 goals 7.7% 7.8% 5.3% 1.47× 12.79
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi under 1.5 in 1st half 86.7% 88.9% 1.12
Torpedo Kutaisi under 0.5 in 1st half 53.1% 55.7% 1.79
Torpedo Kutaisi over 0.5 in 1st half 46.9% 44.3% 2.26
Torpedo Kutaisi over 1.5 in 1st half 13.3% 11.1% 9.04
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi scores more in 2nd half 41.6% 43.8% 2.28
Torpedo Kutaisi scores equally in both 34.9% 34.2% 2.92
Torpedo Kutaisi scores more in 1st half 23.5% 22.4% 4.46
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi (away no bet) 58.6% 57.5% 61.1% 0.94× 1.74
Draw (away no bet) 41.4% 42.5% 38.9% 1.09× 2.35
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi even goals 52.1% 52.8% 54.3% 0.97× 1.89
Torpedo Kutaisi odd goals 47.9% 47.2% 45.7% 1.03× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 79.8% 82.2% 1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals 20.2% 17.8% 5.61
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 71.9% 67.3% 1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals 28.1% 32.7% 3.06
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 62.4% 59.9% 1.67
Torpedo Kutaisi to score 2+ in a row 36.6% 36.5% 2.74
Dinamo Batumi to score 2+ in a row 35.0% 29.2% 3.43
Either team to score 3+ in a row 23.7% 19.5% 5.13
Torpedo Kutaisi to score 3+ in a row 12.6% 12.2% 8.23
Dinamo Batumi to score 3+ in a row 11.7% 12.1% 8.25
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 11.7% 11.4% 11.7% 0.97× 8.80
1-2 8.5% 7.4% 9.0% 0.82× 13.53
2-1 8.3% 7.4% 11.3% 0.65× 13.54
2-2 6.5% 7.4% 6.0% 1.23× 13.54
0-0 5.3% 7.4% 8.0% 0.92× 13.54
0-1 6.1% 7.4% 9.7% 0.76× 13.54
0-2 5.5% 7.4% 4.7% 1.58× 13.54
1-0 5.9% 7.4% 9.3% 0.79× 13.54
2-0 5.2% 7.4% 6.7% 1.11× 13.54
0-3 2.9% 1.7% 2.0% 0.87× 57.56
0-4 1.2% 1.7% 1.3% 1.30× 57.57
1-3 4.5% 1.7% 3.0% 0.58× 57.56
1-4 1.8% 1.7% 2.3% 0.74× 57.57
2-3 3.5% 1.7% 2.7% 0.65× 57.56
2-4 1.4% 1.7% 1.3% 1.30× 57.57
3-0 2.7% 1.7% 4.0% 0.43× 57.57
3-1 4.2% 1.7% 3.0% 0.58× 57.56
3-2 3.3% 1.7% 1.7% 1.04× 57.56
3-3 1.8% 1.7% 1.0% 1.74× 57.57
3-4 0.7% 1.7% 0.7% 2.61× 57.58
4-0 1.0% 1.7% 1.7% 1.04× 57.57
4-1 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 0.87× 57.57
4-2 1.3% 1.7% 0.3% 5.21× 57.57
4-3 0.7% 1.7% 1.0% 1.74× 57.58
4-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.3% 5.21× 57.58
Any other score 4.3% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 57.56
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi (2nd half DNB) 53.0% 53.2% 1.88
Dinamo Batumi (2nd half DNB) 47.0% 46.8% 2.14
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi leading at HT (DNB) 51.4% 55.9% 1.79
Torpedo Kutaisi leading at HT (DNB) 48.6% 44.1% 2.27
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi or Torpedo Kutaisi (12) 74.4% 72.3% 74.3% 0.97× 1.38
Torpedo Kutaisi or draw (X2) 63.8% 63.8% 59.7% 1.07× 1.57
Dinamo Batumi or draw (1X) 61.8% 63.8% 65.7% 0.97× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi or draw at HT 71.1% 74.2% 1.35
Torpedo Kutaisi or draw at HT 69.4% 66.4% 1.51
Dinamo Batumi or Torpedo Kutaisi at HT 59.5% 57.0% 1.75
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi or draw (1UP) 63.8% 71.8% 1.39
Dinamo Batumi or draw (1UP) 61.8% 71.7% 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi or draw in 2nd half 68.6% 65.5% 1.53
Dinamo Batumi or Torpedo Kutaisi in 2nd half 66.8% 65.5% 1.53
Dinamo Batumi or draw in 2nd half 64.6% 64.1% 1.56
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 59.2% 58.1% 1.72
Neither half drawn 40.8% 41.9% 2.38
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi (DNB) 51.4% 50.0% 46.0% 1.09× 2.00
Dinamo Batumi (DNB) 48.6% 50.0% 54.0% 0.93× 2.00
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi to score first 48.1% 45.6% 2.19
Dinamo Batumi to score first 46.6% 45.5% 2.20
No goal scored 5.3% 7.4% 13.46
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 63.3% 56.5% 54.3% 1.04× 1.77
Not both teams to score 36.7% 43.5% 45.7% 0.95× 2.30
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 51.7% 47.2% 43.0% 1.10× 2.12
Not both score & under 2.5 28.0% 33.4% 37.0% 0.90× 3.00
Both score & under 2.5 11.7% 12.3% 11.7% 1.05× 8.15
Not both score & over 2.5 8.7% 8.4% 9.0% 0.93× 11.94
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 78.6% 80.1% 87.0% 0.92× 1.25
Both teams to score 2+ 21.4% 19.9% 13.0% 1.53× 5.02
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 63.9% 66.0% 1.51
Both teams to score in 2nd half 36.1% 34.0% 2.95
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 49.2% 53.4% 1.87
Both score 2nd half only 28.0% 26.6% 3.76
Both score 1st half only 14.7% 10.8% 9.29
Both score in both halves 8.1% 6.8% 14.73
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 77.1% 81.4% 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 22.9% 18.6% 5.38
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 61.4% 58.7% 1.70
A half without a goal 38.6% 41.3% 2.42
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 44.8% 41.9% 47.3% 0.89× 2.39
4-6 goals 34.0% 30.9% 23.7% 1.31× 3.24
0-1 goals 17.3% 20.2% 26.3% 0.77× 4.94
7+ goals 4.0% 1.9% 3.3% 0.56× 53.74
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi to score exactly 1 32.5% 33.6% 37.3% 0.90× 2.97
Torpedo Kutaisi to score exactly 2 25.7% 27.6% 20.7% 1.33× 3.63
Torpedo Kutaisi to score 3+ 21.2% 22.5% 13.7% 1.65× 4.45
Torpedo Kutaisi to score exactly 0 20.5% 22.5% 29.0% 0.78× 4.45
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi to score exactly 1 33.1% 32.6% 34.3% 0.95× 3.06
Dinamo Batumi to score exactly 2 25.4% 26.1% 26.7% 0.98× 3.83
Dinamo Batumi to score exactly 0 21.5% 23.3% 24.7% 0.95× 4.28
Dinamo Batumi to score 3+ 20.0% 23.3% 15.0% 1.56× 4.28
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 40.5% 43.0% 2.33
Dinamo Batumi leading at HT 30.6% 33.6% 2.97
Torpedo Kutaisi leading at HT 28.9% 25.8% 3.88
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi -1: 1 61.8% 62.8% 1.59
Torpedo Kutaisi -1: 2 19.4% 17.3% 5.79
Torpedo Kutaisi -1: X 18.8% 17.3% 5.79
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi (0:1) 63.8% 61.6% 59.7% 1.03× 1.62
Draw (0:1) 18.2% 17.7% 22.3% 0.79× 5.64
Dinamo Batumi (0:1) 18.0% 17.7% 18.3% 0.97× 5.64
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi (0:2) 82.0% 83.1% 81.7% 1.02× 1.20
Draw (0:2) 11.0% 10.8% 9.7% 1.12× 9.22
Dinamo Batumi (0:2) 7.0% 7.7% 9.0% 0.86× 12.99
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi (0:3) 93.0% 92.7% 91.0% 1.02× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 4.7% 2.4% 5.7% 0.42× 42.20
Dinamo Batumi (0:3) 2.2% 2.4% 3.7% 0.64× 42.31
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi (0:4) 97.8% 98.1% 96.3% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.6% 1.2% 2.3% 0.52× 81.79
Dinamo Batumi (0:4) 0.6% 1.2% 1.7% 0.73× 81.90
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi (1:0) 61.8% 65.2% 65.7% 0.99× 1.53
Torpedo Kutaisi (1:0) 19.4% 17.1% 13.7% 1.25× 5.86
Draw (1:0) 18.8% 17.1% 21.0% 0.81× 5.86
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi (2:0) 80.6% 84.5% 86.3% 0.98× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 11.6% 10.4% 8.3% 1.25× 9.61
Torpedo Kutaisi (2:0) 7.8% 6.6% 5.7% 1.16× 15.23
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 49.2% 48.2% 2.07
1st half highest scoring 26.6% 26.5% 3.78
Halves equal 24.2% 24.1% 4.15
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi to concede 79.5% 76.3% 71.0% 1.07× 1.31
Dinamo Batumi clean sheet 20.5% 23.7% 29.0% 0.82× 4.21
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi clean sheet in 1st half 53.1% 55.7% 1.79
Dinamo Batumi to concede in 1st half 46.9% 44.3% 2.26
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi to concede in 2nd half 61.3% 58.8% 1.70
Dinamo Batumi clean sheet in 2nd half 38.7% 41.2% 2.43
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi under 3.5 goals 93.0% 92.1% 93.7% 0.98× 1.09
Dinamo Batumi under 2.5 goals 80.0% 77.4% 85.0% 0.91× 1.29
Dinamo Batumi over 0.5 goals 78.5% 77.4% 75.3% 1.03× 1.29
Dinamo Batumi under 1.5 goals 54.6% 52.8% 58.7% 0.90× 1.89
Dinamo Batumi over 1.5 goals 45.4% 47.2% 41.3% 1.14× 2.12
Dinamo Batumi under 0.5 goals 21.5% 22.6% 24.7% 0.92× 4.43
Dinamo Batumi over 2.5 goals 20.0% 22.6% 15.0% 1.51× 4.43
Dinamo Batumi over 3.5 goals 7.0% 7.9% 6.3% 1.25× 12.68
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi under 1.5 in 1st half 85.8% 89.7% 1.12
Dinamo Batumi over 0.5 in 1st half 48.4% 50.9% 1.97
Dinamo Batumi under 0.5 in 1st half 51.6% 49.1% 2.04
Dinamo Batumi over 1.5 in 1st half 14.2% 10.3% 9.71
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi scores more in 2nd half 38.3% 37.7% 2.65
Dinamo Batumi scores equally in both 35.9% 37.6% 2.66
Dinamo Batumi scores more in 1st half 25.8% 28.0% 3.57
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi (home no bet) 59.9% 56.2% 57.2% 0.98× 1.78
Draw (home no bet) 40.1% 43.8% 42.8% 1.02× 2.28
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi even goals 52.3% 50.4% 55.7% 0.91× 1.98
Dinamo Batumi odd goals 47.7% 49.6% 44.3% 1.12× 2.02
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 27.6% 28.9% 3.47
HT 1-0 18.0% 18.7% 5.36
HT 0-1 17.2% 18.6% 5.36
HT 1-1 11.6% 10.9% 9.16
HT 2-0 6.0% 7.1% 14.04
Any other HT score 5.5% 7.1% 14.05
HT 0-2 5.5% 7.1% 14.05
HT 2-1 3.8% 2.3% 43.43
HT 1-2 3.6% 2.3% 43.44
HT 2-2 1.2% 2.3% 43.62
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi at HT / Dinamo Batumi at FT 21.5% 21.7% 4.61
Torpedo Kutaisi at HT / Torpedo Kutaisi at FT 21.3% 21.7% 4.61
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 14.5% 12.7% 7.88
Draw at HT / Torpedo Kutaisi at FT 13.8% 12.7% 7.89
Draw at HT / Dinamo Batumi at FT 12.2% 12.7% 7.90
Dinamo Batumi at HT / Draw at FT 5.9% 6.0% 16.71
Torpedo Kutaisi at HT / Draw at FT 5.2% 6.0% 16.73
Dinamo Batumi at HT / Torpedo Kutaisi at FT 3.2% 3.5% 28.80
Torpedo Kutaisi at HT / Dinamo Batumi at FT 2.5% 3.5% 28.82
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi to score last 48.1% 46.8% 2.14
Dinamo Batumi to score last 46.6% 46.7% 2.14
No goal scored 5.3% 7.4% 13.46
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 94.7% 92.7% 1.08
Torpedo Kutaisi to lead by 1 at any time 57.2% 55.1% 1.82
Dinamo Batumi to lead by 1 at any time 55.5% 55.0% 1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 51.7% 50.8% 1.97
Torpedo Kutaisi to lead by 2 at any time 26.8% 25.5% 3.93
Dinamo Batumi to lead by 2 at any time 25.3% 25.4% 3.94
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 19.6% 14.9% 6.71
Torpedo Kutaisi to lead by 3 at any time 10.2% 10.4% 9.60
Dinamo Batumi to lead by 3 at any time 9.3% 6.7% 15.01
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 85.0% 87.4% 86.7% 1.01× 1.14
2-6 goals 78.7% 78.5% 70.7% 1.11× 1.27
1-4 goals 74.1% 72.3% 79.0% 0.91× 1.38
2-5 goals 73.1% 72.3% 68.3% 1.06× 1.38
2-4 goals 62.2% 63.1% 60.7% 1.04× 1.58
1-3 goals 56.7% 59.2% 65.7% 0.90× 1.69
3-6 goals 56.3% 59.2% 48.7% 1.22× 1.69
3-5 goals 50.7% 53.4% 46.3% 1.15× 1.87
2-3 goals 44.8% 43.6% 47.3% 0.92× 2.29
3-4 goals 39.8% 39.3% 38.7% 1.02× 2.55
1-2 goals 34.3% 35.3% 40.7% 0.87× 2.83
4-6 goals 34.0% 35.3% 23.7% 1.49× 2.83
4-5 goals 28.3% 30.6% 21.3% 1.44× 3.26
5-6 goals 16.6% 18.9% 10.3% 1.82× 5.30
7+ goals 4.0% 2.6% 3.3% 0.77× 38.84
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi never behind 39.2% 44.8% 2.23
Dinamo Batumi never behind 37.5% 44.7% 2.24
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.1% 50.9% 53.7% 0.95× 1.96
Even number of goals 51.9% 49.1% 46.3% 1.06× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.1% 51.7% 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 45.9% 48.3% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.9% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.1% 48.0% 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 94.7% 92.2% 92.0% 1.00× 1.09
Under 5.5 goals 90.3% 92.2% 94.3% 0.98× 1.09
Over 1.5 goals 82.7% 82.1% 73.7% 1.12× 1.22
Under 4.5 goals 79.5% 77.2% 86.7% 0.89× 1.30
Under 3.5 goals 62.0% 61.9% 73.3% 0.84× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 60.3% 61.9% 51.7% 1.20× 1.62
Under 2.5 goals 39.7% 38.1% 48.3% 0.79× 2.63
Over 3.5 goals 38.0% 38.1% 26.7% 1.43× 2.63
Over 4.5 goals 20.5% 22.8% 13.3% 1.71× 4.39
Under 1.5 goals 17.3% 17.9% 26.3% 0.68× 5.60
Over 5.5 goals 9.7% 7.8% 5.7% 1.38× 12.81
Under 0.5 goals 5.3% 7.8% 8.0% 0.97× 12.83
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 95.8% 97.1% 96.6% 1.01× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 89.2% 86.6% 93.9% 0.92× 1.16
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 77.7% 75.8% 66.2% 1.15× 1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 75.1% 75.8% 84.6% 0.90× 1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 51.1% 52.4% 64.4% 0.81× 1.91
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 48.9% 47.6% 35.6% 1.34× 2.10
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 24.9% 24.2% 15.4% 1.57× 4.14
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 22.3% 24.2% 33.8% 0.72× 4.14
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 10.8% 13.4% 6.1% 2.19× 7.46
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 4.2% 2.9% 3.4% 0.84× 35.04
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 85.8% 88.9% 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 72.4% 71.2% 1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half 62.7% 63.5% 1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half 37.3% 36.5% 2.74
Under 0.5 in 1st half 27.6% 28.8% 3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half 14.2% 11.1% 9.04
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 83.6% 82.8% 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 72.4% 77.7% 1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 54.8% 53.4% 1.87
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 45.2% 46.6% 2.15
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 27.6% 22.3% 4.48
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 16.4% 17.2% 5.81
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi not to score in both halves 71.8% 73.7% 1.36
Torpedo Kutaisi not to score in both halves 71.2% 73.7% 1.36
Torpedo Kutaisi to score in both halves 28.8% 26.3% 3.80
Dinamo Batumi to score in both halves 28.2% 26.3% 3.80
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 63.3% 60.2% 54.3% 1.11× 1.66
Only Torpedo Kutaisi scores 16.2% 16.0% 17.0% 0.94× 6.25
Only Dinamo Batumi scores 15.2% 16.0% 21.3% 0.75× 6.25
Neither team scores 5.3% 7.1% 8.0% 0.89× 14.04
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 22.4% 22.4% 22.3% 1.00× 4.46
Exactly 3 goals 22.4% 22.4% 25.3% 0.89× 4.46
Exactly 4 goals 17.4% 17.6% 13.7% 1.28× 5.70
Exactly 1 goals 11.9% 12.0% 18.7% 0.65× 8.30
Exactly 5 goals 10.9% 12.0% 8.0% 1.51× 8.31
6 or more goals 9.7% 7.8% 5.7% 1.38× 12.83
Exactly 0 goals 5.3% 7.8% 8.0% 0.97× 12.84
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 35.2% 37.0% 2.70
No goals in 1st half 27.6% 28.5% 3.51
2 goals in 1st half 23.1% 21.7% 4.60
3+ goals in 1st half 14.2% 11.0% 9.13
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 54.8% 51.6% 1.94
1 goal in 2nd half 28.8% 29.8% 3.35
No goals in 2nd half 16.4% 17.2% 5.82
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi not to win both halves 90.2% 93.9% 1.07
Torpedo Kutaisi not to win both halves 89.6% 88.0% 1.14
Torpedo Kutaisi to win both halves 10.4% 12.0% 8.33
Dinamo Batumi to win both halves 9.8% 6.1% 16.43
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Torpedo Kutaisi to win either half 54.0% 54.9% 1.82
Dinamo Batumi to win either half 52.3% 54.9% 1.82
Dinamo Batumi to win neither half 47.7% 45.1% 2.22
Torpedo Kutaisi to win neither half 46.0% 45.1% 2.22
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Batumi not to win to nil 84.8% 83.2% 78.7% 1.06× 1.20
Torpedo Kutaisi not to win to nil 83.8% 83.2% 83.0% 1.00× 1.20
Torpedo Kutaisi to win to nil 16.2% 16.8% 17.0% 0.99× 5.94
Dinamo Batumi to win to nil 15.2% 16.8% 21.3% 0.79× 5.94
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 25.6% 27.7% 25.7% 1.08× 3.61
Torpedo Kutaisi by 1 18.8% 16.9% 21.0% 0.80× 5.92
Dinamo Batumi by 1 18.2% 16.9% 22.3% 0.76× 5.92
Torpedo Kutaisi by 2 11.6% 11.7% 8.3% 1.41× 8.52
Dinamo Batumi by 2 11.0% 11.7% 9.7% 1.21× 8.52
Torpedo Kutaisi by 3+ 7.8% 7.3% 5.7% 1.28× 13.74
Dinamo Batumi by 3+ 7.0% 7.3% 9.0% 0.81× 13.74
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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