Dinamo Tbilisi v Meshakhte Tkibuli — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Thursday 10 September 2026 · GEO-Erovnuli Liga · 2627
GEO-Erovnuli Liga
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 2-0 11.7%
- 1-0 10.3%
- 1-1 10.0%
- 2-1 9.8%
- 3-0 8.3%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 56.6% | Under 2.5 | 43.4% |
| BTTS yes | 50.5% | BTTS no | 49.5% |
| Dinamo Tbilisi 1+ | 88.0% | Dinamo Tbilisi 2+ | 62.5% |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli 1+ | 56.5% | Meshakhte Tkibuli 2+ | 20.3% |
Expected goals 2.12 – 0.83. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- At home Dinamo Tbilisi average 1.35 xG a match.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Dinamo Tbilisi have only 1 matches on record.
- Meshakhte Tkibuli have only 1 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Dinamo Tbilisi have an estimated 66.2% win probability, against 21.0% for the draw and 12.8% for Meshakhte Tkibuli. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.12 for Dinamo Tbilisi and 0.83 for Meshakhte Tkibuli.
Why Dinamo Tbilisi
At home Dinamo Tbilisi average 1.35 xG a match.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 21.0%.
Why Meshakhte Tkibuli can win
Away from home Meshakhte Tkibuli average 1.35 xG a match.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Dinamo Tbilisi, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Meshakhte Tkibuli, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Dinamo Tbilisi: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Meshakhte Tkibuli: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·
Dinamo Tbilisi are the model's most likely outcome at 66.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 11.7%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 2.12–0.83 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 2.04–0.77 | 2-0 13% | 53% | 48% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi to win | 66.1% | 65.9% | 40.3% | 1.63× | 1.52 |
| Draw | 21.5% | 24.6% | 25.7% | 0.96× | 4.07 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli to win | 12.3% | 13.6% | 34.3% | 0.40× | 7.35 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi & not both score | 39.4% | 32.9% | 21.3% | 1.54× | 3.04 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi & both teams score | 26.7% | 25.5% | 19.3% | 1.32× | 3.93 |
| Draw & both teams score | 14.7% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 0.74× | 7.55 |
| Draw & not both score | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 1.05× | 11.95 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli & both teams score | 6.1% | 8.4% | 17.7% | 0.47× | 11.95 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli & not both score | 6.2% | 8.4% | 17.0% | 0.49× | 11.95 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi & over 1.5 | 54.7% | 48.8% | 31.3% | 1.56× | 2.05 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi & over 2.5 | 42.2% | 40.0% | 25.0% | 1.60× | 2.50 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi & under 3.5 | 42.1% | 40.0% | 30.3% | 1.32× | 2.50 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi & under 2.5 | 24.0% | 21.6% | 15.7% | 1.38× | 4.63 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi & over 3.5 | 24.0% | 21.6% | 10.3% | 2.09× | 4.63 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 17.1% | 18.0% | 19.3% | 0.93× | 5.57 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 17.1% | 18.0% | 19.3% | 0.93× | 5.57 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 14.7% | 12.9% | 18.0% | 0.71× | 7.77 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi & under 1.5 | 11.5% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 1.38× | 7.78 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli & under 3.5 | 9.7% | 8.0% | 24.3% | 0.33× | 12.56 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli & over 1.5 | 8.5% | 8.0% | 25.0% | 0.32× | 12.56 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.99× | 12.56 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli & over 2.5 | 6.7% | 8.0% | 20.7% | 0.39× | 12.56 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli & under 2.5 | 5.6% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 0.57× | 12.57 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 0.73× | 20.52 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 0.73× | 20.52 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli & under 1.5 | 3.8% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 0.50× | 20.53 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli & over 3.5 | 2.6% | 4.9% | 10.3% | 0.47× | 20.53 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi (1UP) | 76.5% | 78.7% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli (1UP) | 28.7% | 27.1% | — | — | 3.69 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi (2UP) | 66.1% | 68.5% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli (2UP) | 12.3% | 13.3% | — | — | 7.50 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi to win 2nd half | 53.2% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| 2nd half drawn | 32.3% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli to win 2nd half | 14.5% | 12.6% | — | — | 7.96 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi (+0.5) | 87.7% | 88.3% | 65.7% | 1.35× | 1.13 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli (+2.5) | 78.4% | 78.3% | 91.0% | 0.86× | 1.28 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi (-0.5) | 66.1% | 68.7% | 40.3% | 1.70× | 1.46 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli (+1.5) | 57.9% | 56.9% | 81.7% | 0.70× | 1.76 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi (-1.5) | 42.1% | 43.1% | 18.3% | 2.35× | 2.32 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli (+0.5) | 33.9% | 31.3% | 59.7% | 0.52× | 3.20 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi (-2.5) | 21.6% | 21.7% | 9.0% | 2.41× | 4.61 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli (-0.5) | 12.3% | 11.7% | 34.3% | 0.34× | 8.58 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meshakhte Tkibuli to concede | 87.0% | 86.2% | 75.3% | 1.14× | 1.16 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli clean sheet | 13.0% | 13.8% | 24.7% | 0.56× | 7.24 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meshakhte Tkibuli to concede in 1st half | 58.4% | 58.5% | — | — | 1.71 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli clean sheet in 1st half | 41.6% | 41.5% | — | — | 2.41 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meshakhte Tkibuli under 3.5 goals | 99.2% | 97.4% | 94.7% | 1.03× | 1.03 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli under 2.5 goals | 95.7% | 97.4% | 86.3% | 1.13× | 1.03 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli under 1.5 goals | 81.9% | 81.2% | 66.0% | 1.23× | 1.23 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli over 0.5 goals | 53.8% | 53.7% | 71.0% | 0.76× | 1.86 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli under 0.5 goals | 46.2% | 46.3% | 29.0% | 1.60× | 2.16 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli over 1.5 goals | 18.1% | 18.8% | 34.0% | 0.55× | 5.33 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli over 2.5 goals | 4.3% | 2.6% | 13.7% | 0.19× | 38.73 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli over 3.5 goals | 0.8% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 0.48× | 38.89 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meshakhte Tkibuli under 1.5 in 1st half | 96.1% | 95.7% | — | — | 1.05 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli under 0.5 in 1st half | 73.4% | 68.7% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli over 0.5 in 1st half | 26.6% | 31.3% | — | — | 3.19 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli over 1.5 in 1st half | 3.9% | 4.3% | — | — | 23.36 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi (away no bet) | 75.4% | 73.9% | 61.1% | 1.21× | 1.35 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 24.6% | 26.1% | 38.9% | 0.67× | 3.84 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meshakhte Tkibuli even goals | 60.7% | 58.4% | 54.3% | 1.08× | 1.71 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli odd goals | 39.3% | 41.6% | 45.7% | 0.91× | 2.41 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 83.9% | 83.0% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 16.1% | 17.0% | — | — | 5.90 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 65.9% | 68.4% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 34.1% | 31.6% | — | — | 3.17 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 61.5% | 59.9% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi to score 2+ in a row | 54.2% | 51.4% | — | — | 1.95 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 27.9% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.99 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi to score 3+ in a row | 26.1% | 25.0% | — | — | 4.00 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli to score 2+ in a row | 11.7% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.25 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli to score 3+ in a row | 2.0% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.43 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | 12.5% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 1.70× | 8.80 |
| 1-0 | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 1.22× | 8.80 |
| 1-1 | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 0.97× | 8.81 |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 0.65× | 13.53 |
| 3-0 | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.85× | 13.53 |
| 0-0 | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 0.92× | 13.54 |
| 3-1 | 6.6% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 2.46× | 13.54 |
| Any other score | 5.7% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 2.22× | 13.54 |
| 0-1 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 9.7% | 0.18× | 57.56 |
| 0-2 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 0.37× | 57.57 |
| 0-3 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.87× | 57.58 |
| 0-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.30× | 57.58 |
| 1-2 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 9.0% | 0.19× | 57.56 |
| 1-3 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 0.58× | 57.58 |
| 1-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.74× | 57.58 |
| 2-2 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 6.0% | 0.29× | 57.56 |
| 2-3 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 0.65× | 57.58 |
| 2-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.30× | 57.58 |
| 3-2 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.04× | 57.57 |
| 3-3 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.74× | 57.58 |
| 3-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.61× | 57.58 |
| 4-0 | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.04× | 57.56 |
| 4-1 | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.87× | 57.56 |
| 4-2 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.21× | 57.57 |
| 4-3 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.74× | 57.58 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.21× | 57.58 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi leading at HT (DNB) | 79.5% | 78.2% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli leading at HT (DNB) | 20.5% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.59 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi or draw (1X) | 87.7% | 86.4% | 65.7% | 1.32× | 1.16 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi or Meshakhte Tkibuli (12) | 78.5% | 75.4% | 74.3% | 1.01× | 1.33 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli or draw (X2) | 33.9% | 34.1% | 59.7% | 0.57× | 2.93 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi or draw at HT | 87.6% | 88.2% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi or Meshakhte Tkibuli at HT | 60.3% | 62.0% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli or draw at HT | 52.1% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi or draw (1UP) | 87.7% | 91.8% | — | — | 1.09 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli or draw (1UP) | 33.9% | 39.1% | — | — | 2.56 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi or draw in 2nd half | 85.5% | 87.4% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi or Meshakhte Tkibuli in 2nd half | 67.7% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli or draw in 2nd half | 46.8% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 58.3% | 58.0% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Neither half drawn | 41.7% | 42.0% | — | — | 2.38 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi (DNB) | 84.3% | 80.4% | 54.0% | 1.49× | 1.24 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli (DNB) | 15.7% | 19.6% | 46.0% | 0.43× | 5.11 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi to score first | 67.6% | 69.3% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli to score first | 25.6% | 28.0% | — | — | 3.57 |
| No goal scored | 6.8% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.36 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 52.4% | 51.6% | 45.7% | 1.13× | 1.94 |
| Both teams to score | 47.6% | 48.4% | 54.3% | 0.89× | 2.07 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 37.3% | 38.6% | 43.0% | 0.90× | 2.59 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 36.4% | 38.6% | 37.0% | 1.04× | 2.59 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 16.0% | 21.3% | 9.0% | 2.37× | 4.69 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 1.05× | 8.15 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 89.0% | 85.4% | 87.0% | 0.98× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 11.0% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 1.12× | 6.86 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 74.2% | 74.1% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 25.8% | 25.9% | — | — | 3.87 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 62.5% | 66.4% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 21.8% | 20.8% | — | — | 4.80 |
| Both score 1st half only | 11.7% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.34 |
| Both score in both halves | 4.0% | 5.0% | — | — | 19.93 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 84.3% | 82.5% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 15.7% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.72 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 56.2% | 57.2% | — | — | 1.75 |
| A half without a goal | 43.8% | 42.8% | — | — | 2.34 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 46.8% | 46.9% | 47.3% | 0.99× | 2.13 |
| 4-6 goals | 28.6% | 27.0% | 23.7% | 1.14× | 3.71 |
| 0-1 goals | 22.1% | 23.0% | 26.3% | 0.88× | 4.34 |
| 7+ goals | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 0.56× | 53.88 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meshakhte Tkibuli to score exactly 0 | 46.2% | 42.1% | 29.0% | 1.45× | 2.38 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli to score exactly 1 | 35.7% | 35.8% | 37.3% | 0.96× | 2.80 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli to score exactly 2 | 13.8% | 13.0% | 20.7% | 0.63× | 7.69 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli to score 3+ | 4.3% | 4.6% | 13.7% | 0.34× | 21.65 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi to score 3+ | 33.4% | 32.6% | 15.0% | 2.18× | 3.06 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi to score exactly 2 | 27.1% | 26.1% | 26.7% | 0.98× | 3.83 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi to score exactly 1 | 26.5% | 26.1% | 34.3% | 0.76× | 3.83 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi to score exactly 0 | 13.0% | 14.3% | 24.7% | 0.58× | 6.98 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi leading at HT | 47.9% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Draw at HT | 39.7% | 38.0% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli leading at HT | 12.4% | 11.8% | — | — | 8.46 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi -1: 1 | 42.1% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi -1: 2 | 33.9% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi -1: X | 24.0% | 23.7% | — | — | 4.23 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi (0:1) | 42.1% | 42.5% | 18.3% | 2.32× | 2.35 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli (0:1) | 33.9% | 29.4% | 59.7% | 0.49× | 3.40 |
| Draw (0:1) | 24.0% | 24.4% | 22.3% | 1.09× | 4.10 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meshakhte Tkibuli (0:2) | 57.9% | 63.4% | 81.7% | 0.78× | 1.58 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi (0:2) | 21.6% | 20.0% | 9.0% | 2.22× | 5.00 |
| Draw (0:2) | 20.5% | 20.0% | 9.7% | 2.07× | 5.01 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meshakhte Tkibuli (0:3) | 78.4% | 80.4% | 91.0% | 0.88× | 1.24 |
| Draw (0:3) | 12.4% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 1.77× | 9.95 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi (0:3) | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.61× | 16.90 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meshakhte Tkibuli (0:4) | 90.8% | 94.4% | 96.3% | 0.98× | 1.06 |
| Draw (0:4) | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.07× | 20.75 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi (0:4) | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.74× | 81.62 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi (1:0) | 87.7% | 86.2% | 65.7% | 1.31× | 1.16 |
| Draw (1:0) | 8.6% | 7.0% | 21.0% | 0.33× | 14.28 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli (1:0) | 3.8% | 3.5% | 13.7% | 0.25× | 28.73 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi (2:0) | 96.2% | 96.5% | 86.3% | 1.12× | 1.04 |
| Draw (2:0) | 2.9% | 2.4% | 8.3% | 0.29× | 41.33 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli (2:0) | 0.8% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 0.43× | 41.44 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 46.9% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.08 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.3% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 25.7% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.78 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi to concede | 53.8% | 53.5% | 71.0% | 0.75× | 1.87 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi clean sheet | 46.2% | 46.5% | 29.0% | 1.60× | 2.15 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi clean sheet in 1st half | 73.4% | 68.2% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi to concede in 1st half | 26.6% | 31.8% | — | — | 3.15 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi over 0.5 goals | 87.0% | 87.2% | 75.3% | 1.16× | 1.15 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi under 3.5 goals | 85.0% | 87.2% | 93.7% | 0.93× | 1.15 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi under 2.5 goals | 66.6% | 67.9% | 85.0% | 0.80× | 1.47 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi over 1.5 goals | 60.5% | 63.3% | 41.3% | 1.53× | 1.58 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi under 1.5 goals | 39.5% | 36.7% | 58.7% | 0.63× | 2.72 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi over 2.5 goals | 33.4% | 32.1% | 15.0% | 2.14× | 3.11 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi over 3.5 goals | 15.0% | 12.8% | 6.3% | 2.03× | 7.79 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi under 0.5 goals | 13.0% | 12.8% | 24.7% | 0.52× | 7.80 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi under 1.5 in 1st half | 78.1% | 77.2% | — | — | 1.30 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi over 0.5 in 1st half | 58.4% | 58.2% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi under 0.5 in 1st half | 41.6% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.39 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi over 1.5 in 1st half | 21.9% | 22.8% | — | — | 4.39 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (home no bet) | 63.6% | 60.0% | 42.8% | 1.40× | 1.67 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli (home no bet) | 36.4% | 40.0% | 57.2% | 0.70× | 2.50 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi even goals | 50.8% | 50.4% | 55.7% | 0.91× | 1.98 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi odd goals | 49.2% | 49.6% | 44.3% | 1.12× | 2.02 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 30.7% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.11 |
| HT 1-0 | 26.7% | 28.8% | — | — | 3.47 |
| HT 2-0 | 11.8% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.16 |
| HT 0-1 | 9.3% | 7.1% | — | — | 13.99 |
| HT 1-1 | 8.4% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.01 |
| Any other HT score | 6.3% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.04 |
| HT 2-1 | 3.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.44 |
| HT 0-2 | 1.5% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.60 |
| HT 1-2 | 1.3% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.61 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.66 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi at HT / Dinamo Tbilisi at FT | 42.8% | 43.3% | — | — | 2.31 |
| Draw at HT / Dinamo Tbilisi at FT | 20.6% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.61 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 13.7% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli at HT / Meshakhte Tkibuli at FT | 6.1% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.71 |
| Draw at HT / Meshakhte Tkibuli at FT | 5.3% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.73 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi at HT / Draw at FT | 4.2% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.76 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli at HT / Draw at FT | 3.6% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.78 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli at HT / Dinamo Tbilisi at FT | 2.7% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.82 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi at HT / Meshakhte Tkibuli at FT | 1.0% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.88 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi to score last | 67.8% | 70.2% | — | — | 1.42 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli to score last | 25.4% | 26.7% | — | — | 3.74 |
| No goal scored | 6.8% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.36 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 93.2% | 92.6% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi to lead by 1 at any time | 76.5% | 78.1% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 54.5% | 50.8% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi to lead by 2 at any time | 47.8% | 44.0% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli to lead by 1 at any time | 28.7% | 25.5% | — | — | 3.92 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 25.5% | 25.4% | — | — | 3.93 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi to lead by 3 at any time | 24.2% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.09 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli to lead by 2 at any time | 6.9% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.13 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli to lead by 3 at any time | 1.3% | 1.6% | — | — | 63.10 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 86.6% | 87.4% | 86.7% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 77.8% | 78.5% | 79.0% | 0.99× | 1.27 |
| 2-6 goals | 75.4% | 78.5% | 70.7% | 1.11× | 1.27 |
| 2-5 goals | 71.3% | 72.2% | 68.3% | 1.06× | 1.38 |
| 2-4 goals | 62.5% | 63.1% | 60.7% | 1.04× | 1.58 |
| 1-3 goals | 62.1% | 63.1% | 65.7% | 0.96× | 1.58 |
| 3-6 goals | 50.9% | 53.4% | 48.7% | 1.10× | 1.87 |
| 2-3 goals | 46.8% | 48.5% | 47.3% | 1.02× | 2.06 |
| 3-5 goals | 46.7% | 48.4% | 46.3% | 1.05× | 2.06 |
| 1-2 goals | 39.9% | 39.3% | 40.7% | 0.97× | 2.55 |
| 3-4 goals | 37.9% | 39.3% | 38.7% | 1.02× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 28.6% | 30.6% | 23.7% | 1.29× | 3.26 |
| 4-5 goals | 24.5% | 24.8% | 21.3% | 1.16× | 4.03 |
| 5-6 goals | 12.9% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 1.46× | 6.64 |
| 7+ goals | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 0.77× | 38.90 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi never behind | 64.5% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli never behind | 16.7% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.39 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 48.2% | 50.9% | 53.7% | 0.95× | 1.96 |
| Even number of goals | 51.8% | 49.1% | 46.3% | 1.06× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 54.9% | 51.7% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 45.1% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 52.5% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 47.5% | 48.0% | — | — | 2.08 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 93.4% | 92.2% | 94.3% | 0.98× | 1.09 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 93.2% | 92.2% | 92.0% | 1.00× | 1.09 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84.6% | 82.1% | 86.7% | 0.95× | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.9% | 77.2% | 73.7% | 1.05× | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68.9% | 66.0% | 73.3% | 0.90× | 1.52 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.3% | 53.0% | 51.7% | 1.03× | 1.89 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46.7% | 47.0% | 48.3% | 0.97× | 2.13 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.1% | 34.0% | 26.7% | 1.28× | 2.94 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22.1% | 22.8% | 26.3% | 0.87× | 4.39 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15.4% | 17.9% | 13.3% | 1.34× | 5.60 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 1.38× | 12.82 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 0.98× | 12.82 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 97.4% | 97.2% | 96.6% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 92.8% | 92.4% | 93.9% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 81.7% | 80.5% | 84.6% | 0.95× | 1.24 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 70.7% | 72.2% | 66.2% | 1.09× | 1.38 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 60.0% | 61.6% | 64.4% | 0.96× | 1.62 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 40.0% | 38.4% | 35.6% | 1.08× | 2.61 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 29.3% | 27.8% | 33.8% | 0.82× | 3.60 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 18.3% | 19.5% | 15.4% | 1.27× | 5.12 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 1.24× | 13.13 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 0.84× | 35.08 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 88.3% | 89.0% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 69.3% | 69.1% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 66.6% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 33.4% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.23 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 30.7% | 30.9% | — | — | 3.24 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 11.7% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.11 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 80.1% | 82.7% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 77.7% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 51.4% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 48.6% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 22.3% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.94 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 20.0% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.78 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meshakhte Tkibuli not to score in both halves | 90.2% | 89.7% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi not to score in both halves | 59.9% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi to score in both halves | 40.1% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli to score in both halves | 9.8% | 10.3% | — | — | 9.74 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 47.6% | 50.4% | 54.3% | 0.93× | 1.98 |
| Only Dinamo Tbilisi scores | 39.4% | 39.7% | 21.3% | 1.86× | 2.52 |
| Neither team scores | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 0.89× | 14.02 |
| Only Meshakhte Tkibuli scores | 6.2% | 7.1% | 17.0% | 0.42× | 14.03 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 24.6% | 22.4% | 22.3% | 1.00× | 4.46 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.3% | 22.4% | 25.3% | 0.89× | 4.46 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 15.7% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 1.28× | 5.70 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 15.3% | 17.5% | 18.7% | 0.94× | 5.70 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 0.97× | 12.83 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 0.97× | 12.83 |
| 6 or more goals | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 1.38× | 12.83 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 48.6% | 44.9% | — | — | 2.23 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 31.4% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.00 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 20.0% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.77 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meshakhte Tkibuli not to win both halves | 98.2% | 97.3% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi not to win both halves | 74.3% | 73.0% | — | — | 1.37 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi to win both halves | 25.7% | 27.0% | — | — | 3.71 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli to win both halves | 1.8% | 2.7% | — | — | 36.50 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi to win either half | 75.4% | 79.5% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli to win neither half | 75.0% | 73.1% | — | — | 1.37 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli to win either half | 25.0% | 26.9% | — | — | 3.71 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi to win neither half | 24.6% | 20.5% | — | — | 4.88 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meshakhte Tkibuli not to win to nil | 93.8% | 92.1% | 83.0% | 1.11× | 1.09 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi not to win to nil | 60.6% | 66.9% | 78.7% | 0.85× | 1.49 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi to win to nil | 39.4% | 33.1% | 21.3% | 1.55× | 3.03 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli to win to nil | 6.2% | 7.9% | 17.0% | 0.47× | 12.64 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi by 1 | 24.0% | 24.2% | 22.3% | 1.08× | 4.14 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi by 3+ | 21.6% | 24.2% | 9.0% | 2.68× | 4.14 |
| Draw | 21.5% | 24.2% | 25.7% | 0.94× | 4.14 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi by 2 | 20.5% | 24.2% | 9.7% | 2.50× | 4.14 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli by 1 | 8.6% | 7.3% | 21.0% | 0.35× | 13.73 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli by 2 | 2.9% | 2.8% | 8.3% | 0.34× | 35.53 |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli by 3+ | 0.8% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 0.50× | 35.59 |