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Dinamo Zagreb v Lokomotiva Zagreb — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · CRO-HNL · 2627

CRO-HNL results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Dinamo Zagreb win
75.6%
model 77.8%
Draw
16.9%
model 15.8%
Lokomotiva Zagreb win
7.5%
model 6.3%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (609 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 2-0 11.5%
  2. 3-0 10.5%
  3. 2-1 8.6%
  4. 3-1 7.8%
  5. 1-1 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.567.7% Under 2.532.3%
BTTS yes50.5% BTTS no49.5%
Dinamo Zagreb 1+93.6% Dinamo Zagreb 2+75.9%
Lokomotiva Zagreb 1+52.6% Lokomotiva Zagreb 2+17.2%

Expected goals 2.74 – 0.75. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
27/100
Data quality
30/100
Model agreement
98%
★ Best pick
Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5)
Asian handicap · usually 28%
58.4% fair odds 1.71
strong signal · 11329 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Dinamo Zagreb to win either half
Win either half
84.0% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 85 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Dinamo Zagreb carry the stronger rating, 1533 Elo against 1486.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • Dinamo Zagreb have only 9 matches on record.
  • Lokomotiva Zagreb have only 1 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Dinamo Zagreb have an estimated 75.6% win probability, against 16.9% for the draw and 7.5% for Lokomotiva Zagreb. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.74 for Dinamo Zagreb and 0.75 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.

Why Dinamo Zagreb

Dinamo Zagreb carry the stronger rating, 1533 Elo against 1486.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 16.9%.

Why Lokomotiva Zagreb can win

Nothing in the data singles out Lokomotiva Zagreb.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Dinamo Zagreb, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Lokomotiva Zagreb, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Dinamo Zagreb: 36% possession, 9.2 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Lokomotiva Zagreb: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-11 15:19 · team_stats 2026-09-11 06:03 · availability 2026-09-11 15:38 · prediction 2026-09-10 19:28 ·

Dinamo Zagreb are the model's most likely outcome at 75.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 11.5%. Confidence 27/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 2.74–0.75 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 2.72–0.65 2-0 13% 65% 46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb to win 79.6% 78.2% 47.4% 1.65× 1.28
Draw 15.2% 19.3% 26.1% 0.74× 5.17
Lokomotiva Zagreb to win 5.2% 8.5% 27.0% 0.31× 11.81
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb & not both score 47.7% 43.1% 26.1% 1.65× 2.32
Dinamo Zagreb & both teams score 31.9% 29.2% 21.8% 1.34× 3.42
Draw & both teams score 10.5% 13.2% 18.5% 0.72× 7.55
Draw & not both score 4.7% 4.9% 8.1% 0.61× 20.34
Lokomotiva Zagreb & both teams score 3.3% 4.9% 13.3% 0.37× 20.37
Lokomotiva Zagreb & not both score 1.9% 4.9% 14.2% 0.34× 20.41
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb & over 1.5 71.5% 65.7% 39.3% 1.67× 1.52
Dinamo Zagreb & over 2.5 58.7% 54.5% 28.4% 1.92× 1.83
Dinamo Zagreb & under 3.5 40.8% 40.0% 33.2% 1.21× 2.50
Dinamo Zagreb & over 3.5 38.8% 34.7% 14.7% 2.36× 2.88
Dinamo Zagreb & under 2.5 20.9% 21.6% 19.4% 1.11× 4.63
Draw & under 2.5 11.9% 12.9% 19.4% 0.66× 7.78
Draw & under 3.5 11.9% 12.9% 19.4% 0.66× 7.78
Draw & over 1.5 10.5% 12.9% 18.5% 0.70× 7.78
Dinamo Zagreb & under 1.5 8.2% 8.0% 8.5% 0.93× 12.57
Draw & under 1.5 4.7% 4.9% 8.1% 0.60× 20.57
Lokomotiva Zagreb & over 1.5 4.2% 4.9% 24.2% 0.20× 20.58
Lokomotiva Zagreb & under 3.5 3.9% 4.9% 17.1% 0.28× 20.58
Draw & over 2.5 3.3% 4.9% 7.1% 0.68× 20.58
Draw & over 3.5 3.3% 4.9% 7.1% 0.68× 20.58
Lokomotiva Zagreb & over 2.5 3.4% 4.9% 16.6% 0.29× 20.58
Lokomotiva Zagreb & under 2.5 1.7% 4.9% 10.9% 0.45× 20.59
Lokomotiva Zagreb & under 1.5 1.0% 4.9% 3.3% 1.46× 20.59
Lokomotiva Zagreb & over 3.5 1.3% 4.9% 10.4% 0.47× 20.59
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb (1UP) 86.7% 89.2% 1.12
Lokomotiva Zagreb (1UP) 20.2% 21.8% 4.58
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb (2UP) 79.6% 77.2% 1.30
Lokomotiva Zagreb (2UP) 5.2% 7.9% 12.65
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb to win 2nd half 66.2% 62.0% 1.61
2nd half drawn 25.3% 26.3% 3.80
Lokomotiva Zagreb to win 2nd half 8.5% 7.9% 12.72
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb under 1.5 in 2nd half 94.2% 92.3% 1.08
Lokomotiva Zagreb under 0.5 in 2nd half 67.8% 70.9% 1.41
Lokomotiva Zagreb over 0.5 in 2nd half 32.2% 29.1% 3.43
Lokomotiva Zagreb over 1.5 in 2nd half 5.8% 7.7% 13.03
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb over 0.5 in 2nd half 78.8% 75.8% 1.32
Dinamo Zagreb under 1.5 in 2nd half 54.1% 53.4% 1.87
Dinamo Zagreb over 1.5 in 2nd half 45.9% 46.6% 2.15
Dinamo Zagreb under 0.5 in 2nd half 21.2% 24.2% 4.13
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb (+0.5) 94.8% 92.1% 73.0% 1.26× 1.09
Dinamo Zagreb (-0.5) 79.6% 78.4% 47.4% 1.65× 1.28
Lokomotiva Zagreb (+2.5) 61.8% 63.0% 90.0% 0.70× 1.59
Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5) 60.4% 63.0% 27.5% 2.29× 1.59
Lokomotiva Zagreb (+1.5) 39.6% 37.0% 72.5% 0.51× 2.71
Dinamo Zagreb (-2.5) 38.2% 37.0% 10.0% 3.71× 2.71
Lokomotiva Zagreb (+0.5) 20.4% 21.6% 52.6% 0.41× 4.62
Lokomotiva Zagreb (-0.5) 5.2% 7.9% 27.0% 0.29× 12.72
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb to concede 93.4% 91.1% 78.2% 1.17× 1.10
Lokomotiva Zagreb clean sheet 6.6% 8.9% 21.8% 0.41× 11.29
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb to concede in 1st half 69.0% 69.6% 1.44
Lokomotiva Zagreb clean sheet in 1st half 31.0% 30.4% 3.29
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb to concede in 2nd half 78.8% 75.4% 1.33
Lokomotiva Zagreb clean sheet in 2nd half 21.2% 24.6% 4.07
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb under 3.5 goals 99.6% 97.4% 94.8% 1.03× 1.03
Lokomotiva Zagreb under 2.5 goals 97.2% 97.4% 87.7% 1.11× 1.03
Lokomotiva Zagreb under 1.5 goals 86.2% 87.9% 65.4% 1.34× 1.14
Lokomotiva Zagreb under 0.5 goals 52.4% 53.6% 33.6% 1.59× 1.87
Lokomotiva Zagreb over 0.5 goals 47.6% 46.4% 66.4% 0.70× 2.15
Lokomotiva Zagreb over 1.5 goals 13.8% 12.1% 34.6% 0.35× 8.25
Lokomotiva Zagreb over 2.5 goals 2.8% 2.6% 12.3% 0.21× 38.86
Lokomotiva Zagreb over 3.5 goals 0.4% 2.6% 5.2% 0.49× 38.96
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb under 1.5 in 1st half 97.2% 95.9% 1.04
Lokomotiva Zagreb under 0.5 in 1st half 77.2% 76.2% 1.31
Lokomotiva Zagreb over 0.5 in 1st half 22.8% 23.8% 4.20
Lokomotiva Zagreb over 1.5 in 1st half 2.8% 4.1% 24.26
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores equally in both 57.8% 54.7% 1.83
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores more in 2nd half 26.0% 26.1% 3.83
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores more in 1st half 16.2% 17.8% 5.63
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb (away no bet) 84.0% 82.7% 64.5% 1.28× 1.21
Draw (away no bet) 16.0% 17.3% 35.5% 0.49× 5.78
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb even goals 63.7% 58.5% 59.2% 0.99× 1.71
Lokomotiva Zagreb odd goals 36.3% 41.5% 40.8% 1.02× 2.41
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 75.9% 81.9% 1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals 24.1% 18.1% 5.53
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 76.0% 72.5% 1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals 24.0% 27.5% 3.64
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 74.2% 72.2% 1.39
Dinamo Zagreb to score 2+ in a row 70.6% 71.8% 1.39
Either team to score 3+ in a row 43.8% 38.3% 2.61
Dinamo Zagreb to score 3+ in a row 43.0% 38.3% 2.61
Lokomotiva Zagreb to score 2+ in a row 7.7% 5.6% 17.71
Lokomotiva Zagreb to score 3+ in a row 1.0% 2.5% 40.06
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Any other score 14.0% 11.4% 4.3% 2.66× 8.80
2-0 12.8% 11.4% 11.4% 1.00× 8.80
3-0 11.6% 11.4% 3.8% 3.00× 8.80
1-0 8.2% 7.4% 8.5% 0.87× 13.53
1-1 7.3% 7.4% 11.8% 0.62× 13.53
2-1 8.3% 7.4% 10.9% 0.68× 13.53
3-1 7.5% 7.4% 5.2% 1.42× 13.53
4-0 7.9% 7.4% 2.8% 2.60× 13.53
4-1 5.1% 7.4% 2.8% 2.60× 13.53
0-0 4.7% 1.7% 8.1% 0.22× 57.66
0-1 1.0% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 57.67
0-2 0.7% 1.7% 8.1% 0.22× 57.68
0-3 0.2% 1.7% 1.9% 0.91× 57.68
0-4 0.0% 1.7% 1.4% 1.22× 57.68
1-2 2.0% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 57.67
1-3 0.4% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 57.68
1-4 0.1% 1.7% 1.9% 0.91× 57.68
2-2 2.7% 1.7% 7.1% 0.24× 57.67
2-3 0.6% 1.7% 0.9% 1.83× 57.68
2-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.5% 3.66× 57.68
3-2 2.4% 1.7% 1.9% 0.91× 57.67
3-3 0.5% 1.7% 0.5% 3.66× 57.68
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.5% 3.66× 57.68
4-2 1.7% 1.7% 2.4% 0.73× 57.67
4-3 0.4% 1.7% 0.5% 3.66× 57.68
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.5% 3.66× 57.68
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb (2nd half DNB) 88.6% 87.4% 1.14
Lokomotiva Zagreb (2nd half DNB) 11.4% 12.6% 7.96
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb leading at HT (DNB) 88.3% 87.1% 1.15
Lokomotiva Zagreb leading at HT (DNB) 11.7% 12.9% 7.74
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb or draw (1X) 94.8% 91.5% 73.0% 1.25× 1.09
Dinamo Zagreb or Lokomotiva Zagreb (12) 84.8% 80.7% 73.9% 1.09× 1.24
Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw (X2) 20.4% 21.8% 52.6% 0.41× 4.58
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb or draw at HT 92.1% 90.1% 1.11
Dinamo Zagreb or Lokomotiva Zagreb at HT 67.8% 66.3% 1.51
Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw at HT 40.1% 41.8% 2.39
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb or draw (1UP) 94.8% 94.2% 1.06
Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw (1UP) 20.4% 23.2% 4.30
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb or draw in 2nd half 91.5% 92.1% 1.09
Dinamo Zagreb or Lokomotiva Zagreb in 2nd half 74.7% 73.7% 1.36
Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw in 2nd half 33.8% 38.0% 2.63
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 47.9% 50.1% 1.99
Neither half drawn 52.1% 49.9% 2.01
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb (DNB) 93.9% 93.0% 63.7% 1.46× 1.08
Lokomotiva Zagreb (DNB) 6.1% 7.0% 36.3% 0.19× 14.27
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb to score first 77.0% 80.2% 1.25
Lokomotiva Zagreb to score first 18.3% 18.4% 5.45
No goal scored 4.7% 4.3% 23.18
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 54.3% 51.6% 47.4% 1.09× 1.94
Both teams to score 45.7% 48.4% 52.6% 0.92× 2.07
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 38.4% 38.6% 41.2% 0.94× 2.59
Not both score & under 2.5 27.3% 33.3% 37.4% 0.89× 3.00
Not both score & over 2.5 26.9% 33.3% 10.4% 3.20× 3.00
Both score & under 2.5 7.3% 8.4% 11.8% 0.71× 11.94
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 89.6% 85.5% 88.2% 0.97× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 10.4% 14.5% 11.8% 1.23× 6.89
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 74.2% 74.1% 1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half 25.8% 25.9% 3.87
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 62.3% 66.4% 1.51
Both score 2nd half only 21.8% 20.8% 4.80
Both score 1st half only 11.9% 10.7% 9.33
Both score in both halves 4.0% 5.0% 19.92
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 84.1% 82.5% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 15.9% 17.5% 5.72
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 65.7% 66.7% 1.50
A half without a goal 34.3% 33.3% 3.00
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 42.7% 41.9% 50.2% 0.83× 2.39
4-6 goals 38.0% 35.0% 29.4% 1.19× 2.86
0-1 goals 13.8% 17.2% 19.0% 0.90× 5.83
7+ goals 5.4% 7.6% 2.4% 3.21× 13.16
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb to score exactly 0 52.4% 46.7% 33.6% 1.39× 2.14
Lokomotiva Zagreb to score exactly 1 33.9% 33.7% 32.2% 1.04× 2.97
Lokomotiva Zagreb to score exactly 2 11.0% 13.0% 22.7% 0.57× 7.70
Lokomotiva Zagreb to score 3+ 2.8% 4.6% 12.3% 0.37× 21.77
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb to score 3+ 51.1% 42.9% 18.0% 2.38× 2.33
Dinamo Zagreb to score exactly 2 24.4% 23.4% 29.4% 0.79× 4.28
Dinamo Zagreb to score exactly 1 17.9% 19.2% 31.8% 0.60× 5.22
Dinamo Zagreb to score exactly 0 6.6% 10.4% 21.8% 0.48× 9.57
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb leading at HT 59.9% 58.2% 1.72
Draw at HT 32.2% 33.7% 2.97
Lokomotiva Zagreb leading at HT 7.9% 9.9% 10.12
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb -1: 1 60.4% 62.8% 1.59
Dinamo Zagreb -1: 2 20.4% 23.6% 4.23
Dinamo Zagreb -1: X 19.2% 17.3% 5.79
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb (0:1) 60.4% 61.5% 27.5% 2.24× 1.63
Lokomotiva Zagreb (0:1) 20.4% 24.4% 52.6% 0.46× 4.10
Draw (0:1) 19.2% 17.8% 20.4% 0.87× 5.63
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb (0:2) 39.6% 39.7% 72.5% 0.55× 2.52
Dinamo Zagreb (0:2) 38.2% 39.5% 10.0% 3.97× 2.53
Draw (0:2) 22.1% 20.0% 18.0% 1.11× 5.00
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb (0:3) 61.8% 65.6% 90.0% 0.73× 1.53
Dinamo Zagreb (0:3) 20.6% 18.3% 3.8% 4.82× 5.48
Draw (0:3) 17.7% 16.1% 6.6% 2.43× 6.20
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb (0:4) 79.4% 82.2% 96.2% 0.85× 1.22
Draw (0:4) 11.1% 9.8% 2.8% 3.46× 10.16
Dinamo Zagreb (0:4) 9.5% 4.9% 1.4% 3.42× 20.56
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb (1:0) 94.8% 92.4% 73.0% 1.27× 1.08
Draw (1:0) 3.6% 3.5% 8.5% 0.41× 28.84
Lokomotiva Zagreb (1:0) 1.5% 3.4% 19.0% 0.18× 29.11
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb (2:0) 98.5% 96.6% 81.0% 1.19× 1.04
Draw (2:0) 1.3% 2.4% 12.8% 0.19× 41.49
Lokomotiva Zagreb (2:0) 0.3% 2.4% 6.6% 0.36× 41.54
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 48.5% 48.2% 2.07
1st half highest scoring 27.6% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 23.9% 24.1% 4.15
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet 52.4% 53.4% 33.6% 1.59× 1.87
Dinamo Zagreb to concede 47.6% 46.6% 66.4% 0.70× 2.15
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet in 1st half 77.2% 78.9% 1.27
Dinamo Zagreb to concede in 1st half 22.8% 21.1% 4.73
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet in 2nd half 67.8% 68.3% 1.46
Dinamo Zagreb to concede in 2nd half 32.2% 31.7% 3.16
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb over 0.5 goals 93.4% 92.1% 78.2% 1.18× 1.09
Dinamo Zagreb over 1.5 goals 75.5% 77.4% 46.9% 1.65× 1.29
Dinamo Zagreb under 3.5 goals 71.0% 74.3% 91.5% 0.81× 1.35
Dinamo Zagreb over 2.5 goals 51.1% 52.7% 18.0% 2.93× 1.90
Dinamo Zagreb under 2.5 goals 48.9% 47.3% 82.0% 0.58× 2.12
Dinamo Zagreb over 3.5 goals 29.0% 25.7% 8.5% 3.01× 3.89
Dinamo Zagreb under 1.5 goals 24.5% 22.6% 53.1% 0.43× 4.43
Dinamo Zagreb under 0.5 goals 6.6% 7.9% 21.8% 0.36× 12.71
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb over 0.5 in 1st half 69.0% 68.2% 1.47
Dinamo Zagreb under 1.5 in 1st half 67.3% 68.0% 1.47
Dinamo Zagreb over 1.5 in 1st half 32.7% 32.0% 3.13
Dinamo Zagreb under 0.5 in 1st half 31.0% 31.8% 3.15
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb scores more in 2nd half 46.1% 46.9% 2.13
Dinamo Zagreb scores more in 1st half 28.7% 28.0% 3.57
Dinamo Zagreb scores equally in both 25.2% 28.0% 3.58
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 74.6% 66.4% 49.1% 1.35× 1.51
Lokomotiva Zagreb (home no bet) 25.4% 33.6% 50.9% 0.66× 2.98
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb even goals 50.2% 50.4% 57.8% 0.87× 1.98
Dinamo Zagreb odd goals 49.8% 49.6% 42.2% 1.18× 2.02
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 1-0 27.8% 28.9% 3.46
HT 0-0 24.2% 24.2% 4.13
HT 2-0 16.4% 18.6% 5.37
Any other HT score 11.6% 10.9% 9.16
HT 1-1 7.5% 7.1% 14.02
HT 0-1 6.0% 7.1% 14.04
HT 2-1 4.2% 2.3% 43.39
HT 1-2 0.9% 2.3% 43.64
HT 0-2 0.8% 2.3% 43.65
HT 2-2 0.5% 2.3% 43.66
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb at HT / Dinamo Zagreb at FT 56.4% 58.2% 1.72
Draw at HT / Dinamo Zagreb at FT 20.5% 21.7% 4.61
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 9.6% 6.0% 16.60
Dinamo Zagreb at HT / Draw at FT 3.0% 3.5% 28.80
Lokomotiva Zagreb at HT / Dinamo Zagreb at FT 2.8% 3.5% 28.81
Lokomotiva Zagreb at HT / Draw at FT 2.6% 3.5% 28.82
Lokomotiva Zagreb at HT / Lokomotiva Zagreb at FT 2.5% 3.5% 28.82
Draw at HT / Lokomotiva Zagreb at FT 2.1% 3.5% 28.84
Dinamo Zagreb at HT / Lokomotiva Zagreb at FT 0.5% 3.5% 28.90
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb to score last 77.4% 77.0% 1.30
Lokomotiva Zagreb to score last 18.0% 12.9% 7.76
No goal scored 4.7% 4.3% 23.18
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 95.3% 95.6% 1.05
Dinamo Zagreb to lead by 1 at any time 86.7% 90.5% 1.11
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 68.7% 69.6% 1.44
Dinamo Zagreb to lead by 2 at any time 65.3% 69.4% 1.44
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 41.8% 39.2% 2.55
Dinamo Zagreb to lead by 3 at any time 41.2% 39.2% 2.55
Lokomotiva Zagreb to lead by 1 at any time 20.2% 19.5% 5.12
Lokomotiva Zagreb to lead by 2 at any time 3.7% 1.6% 60.74
Lokomotiva Zagreb to lead by 3 at any time 0.6% 1.6% 63.89
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 82.9% 83.3% 87.2% 0.96× 1.20
2-6 goals 80.7% 83.3% 79.1% 1.05× 1.20
2-5 goals 73.7% 72.3% 76.3% 0.95× 1.38
1-4 goals 70.4% 72.3% 80.6% 0.90× 1.38
2-4 goals 61.2% 63.2% 69.7% 0.91× 1.58
3-6 goals 59.9% 59.3% 49.3% 1.20× 1.69
3-5 goals 52.9% 53.4% 46.4% 1.15× 1.87
1-3 goals 51.9% 53.4% 61.1% 0.87× 1.87
2-3 goals 42.7% 43.6% 50.2% 0.87× 2.29
3-4 goals 40.5% 43.6% 39.8% 1.09× 2.30
4-6 goals 38.0% 39.3% 29.4% 1.34× 2.55
4-5 goals 31.0% 35.3% 26.5% 1.33× 2.83
1-2 goals 30.0% 30.6% 41.2% 0.74× 3.27
5-6 goals 19.5% 18.9% 10.0% 1.89× 5.30
7+ goals 5.4% 9.0% 2.4% 3.78× 11.16
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb never behind 75.2% 75.5% 1.33
Lokomotiva Zagreb never behind 8.7% 4.9% 20.56
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.5% 51.0% 39.8% 1.28× 1.96
Even number of goals 52.5% 49.0% 60.2% 0.81× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 53.3% 51.7% 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 46.7% 48.3% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.9% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.1% 48.0% 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 95.3% 95.4% 91.9% 1.04× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 87.6% 87.4% 94.8% 0.92× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 86.2% 87.4% 81.0% 1.08× 1.14
Under 4.5 goals 75.1% 77.2% 88.2% 0.88× 1.30
Over 2.5 goals 65.4% 66.0% 51.2% 1.29× 1.52
Under 3.5 goals 56.6% 58.5% 68.7% 0.85× 1.71
Over 3.5 goals 43.4% 41.5% 31.3% 1.33× 2.41
Under 2.5 goals 34.6% 34.0% 48.8% 0.70× 2.94
Over 4.5 goals 24.9% 22.8% 11.8% 1.92× 4.39
Under 1.5 goals 13.8% 12.6% 19.0% 0.66× 7.97
Over 5.5 goals 12.4% 12.6% 5.2% 2.41× 7.97
Under 0.5 goals 4.7% 4.6% 8.1% 0.57× 21.74
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 94.2% 92.4% 97.6% 0.95× 1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 85.8% 86.6% 94.4% 0.92× 1.16
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 82.5% 80.5% 73.0% 1.10× 1.24
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 69.4% 67.7% 85.3% 0.79× 1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 55.6% 55.2% 39.1% 1.41× 1.81
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 44.4% 44.8% 60.9% 0.74× 2.23
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 30.6% 32.3% 14.7% 2.20× 3.09
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 17.5% 19.5% 27.0% 0.72× 5.13
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 14.2% 13.4% 5.6% 2.40× 7.47
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 5.8% 7.6% 2.4% 3.11× 13.17
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 82.7% 86.3% 1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half 75.8% 78.8% 1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half 58.0% 62.7% 1.59
Over 1.5 in 1st half 42.0% 37.3% 2.68
Under 0.5 in 1st half 24.2% 21.2% 4.71
Over 2.5 in 1st half 17.3% 13.7% 7.28
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 85.2% 85.3% 1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 69.4% 67.6% 1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 58.1% 54.8% 1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 41.9% 45.2% 2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 30.6% 32.4% 3.09
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 14.8% 14.7% 6.79
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb not to score in both halves 92.7% 90.3% 1.11
Dinamo Zagreb to score in both halves 54.3% 55.9% 1.79
Dinamo Zagreb not to score in both halves 45.7% 44.1% 2.27
Lokomotiva Zagreb to score in both halves 7.3% 9.7% 10.36
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Only Dinamo Zagreb scores 47.7% 50.4% 26.1% 1.93× 1.99
Both teams score 45.7% 50.4% 52.6% 0.96× 1.99
Neither team scores 4.7% 4.6% 8.1% 0.58× 21.58
Only Lokomotiva Zagreb scores 1.9% 4.6% 14.2% 0.32× 21.69
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.0% 22.4% 20.4% 1.10× 4.46
Exactly 2 goals 20.8% 22.4% 30.3% 0.74× 4.46
Exactly 4 goals 18.5% 17.6% 19.9% 0.88× 5.70
Exactly 5 goals 12.5% 12.1% 7.1% 1.70× 8.30
6 or more goals 12.4% 12.1% 5.2% 2.31× 8.30
Exactly 1 goals 9.2% 7.8% 11.4% 0.68× 12.85
Exactly 0 goals 4.7% 4.5% 8.1% 0.56× 22.22
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 33.8% 35.9% 2.78
2 goals in 1st half 24.7% 21.7% 4.60
No goals in 1st half 24.2% 21.7% 4.60
3+ goals in 1st half 17.3% 15.2% 6.56
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 58.1% 53.4% 1.87
1 goal in 2nd half 27.1% 29.8% 3.36
No goals in 2nd half 14.8% 14.6% 6.86
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb not to win both halves 99.3% 97.3% 1.03
Dinamo Zagreb not to win both halves 60.0% 58.5% 1.71
Dinamo Zagreb to win both halves 40.0% 41.5% 2.41
Lokomotiva Zagreb to win both halves 0.7% 2.7% 37.00
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb to win either half 86.0% 91.6% 1.09
Lokomotiva Zagreb to win neither half 84.3% 83.3% 1.20
Lokomotiva Zagreb to win either half 15.7% 16.7% 5.98
Dinamo Zagreb to win neither half 14.0% 8.4% 11.90
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lokomotiva Zagreb not to win to nil 98.1% 96.2% 85.8% 1.12× 1.04
Dinamo Zagreb not to win to nil 52.3% 54.4% 73.9% 0.74× 1.84
Dinamo Zagreb to win to nil 47.7% 45.6% 26.1% 1.75× 2.19
Lokomotiva Zagreb to win to nil 1.9% 3.8% 14.2% 0.27× 26.52
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Zagreb by 3+ 38.2% 34.6% 10.0% 3.48× 2.89
Dinamo Zagreb by 2 22.1% 24.2% 18.0% 1.34× 4.14
Dinamo Zagreb by 1 19.2% 16.9% 20.4% 0.83× 5.92
Draw 15.2% 16.9% 26.1% 0.65× 5.92
Lokomotiva Zagreb by 1 3.6% 2.8% 8.5% 0.33× 35.58
Lokomotiva Zagreb by 2 1.3% 2.8% 12.8% 0.22× 35.64
Lokomotiva Zagreb by 3+ 0.3% 2.8% 6.6% 0.42× 35.67
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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