Drenica v Prishtina — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 8 September 2026 · KOS-Superleague · 2627

KOS-Superleague results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

Drenica

1–4

14:00 UTC

Prishtina

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Final pre-match price, taken 8 Sep, 07:54 · 6h before kick-off

Drenica win

38.4%

Draw

24.5%

Prishtina win

37.1%

382437

Raw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.5%
1-0 9.0%
0-1 8.8%
2-1 8.4%
1-2 8.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	53.1%	Under 2.5	46.9%
BTTS yes	56.4%	BTTS no	43.6%
Drenica 1+	75.7%	Drenica 2+	41.3%
Prishtina 1+	75.0%	Prishtina 2+	40.3%

Expected goals 1.42 – 1.39. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

20/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

At home Drenica average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Drenica have only 1 matches on record.
Prishtina have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Drenica have an estimated 38.4% win probability, against 37.1% for Prishtina and 24.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.42 for Drenica and 1.39 for Prishtina.

Why Drenica

At home Drenica average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 24.5%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.42 to 1.39.

Why Prishtina can win

Away from home Prishtina average 1.35 xG a match. They have had 14 days' rest to Drenica's 3.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Drenica, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Prishtina, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Drenica: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Prishtina: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Drenica are the model's most likely outcome at 38.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.5%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	382437	1.42–1.39	0%	0%	0%	Home ✗
ai-blend-oos	412632	1.33–1.14	0%	0%	0%	Home ✗
dc-xg	382438	1.45–1.46	1-1 11%	56%	58%	Away ✓
deep	94843	0.23–0.72	0-0 40%	7%	12%	Draw ✗

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	47.9%	47.7%	25.0%	1.91×	2.10
Prishtina to win	42.6%	42.9%	30.6%	1.40×	2.33
Drenica to win	9.5%	8.8%	44.4%	0.20×	11.43

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & not both score	39.9%	32.9%	7.3%	4.50×	3.04
Prishtina & not both score	39.6%	32.9%	16.0%	2.06×	3.04
Drenica & not both score	8.7%	8.4%	24.4%	0.34×	11.93
Draw & both teams score	7.9%	8.4%	17.7%	0.47×	11.93
Prishtina & both teams score	3.1%	4.9%	14.6%	0.34×	20.34
Drenica & both teams score	0.8%	4.9%	20.1%	0.24×	20.40

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & under 2.5	47.6%	44.8%	18.8%	2.39×	2.23
Draw & under 3.5	47.6%	44.8%	18.8%	2.39×	2.23
Prishtina & under 3.5	41.4%	40.0%	21.6%	1.85×	2.50
Draw & under 1.5	39.9%	34.6%	7.3%	4.74×	2.89
Prishtina & under 2.5	36.7%	34.6%	12.2%	2.83×	2.89
Prishtina & under 1.5	26.6%	25.9%	7.5%	3.44×	3.86
Prishtina & over 1.5	16.0%	18.0%	23.1%	0.78×	5.57
Drenica & under 3.5	9.4%	8.0%	30.3%	0.26×	12.56
Drenica & under 1.5	7.6%	8.0%	10.4%	0.77×	12.56
Drenica & under 2.5	8.6%	8.0%	17.5%	0.45×	12.56
Draw & over 1.5	7.9%	8.0%	17.7%	0.45×	12.56
Prishtina & over 2.5	6.0%	8.0%	18.4%	0.43×	12.56
Drenica & over 1.5	1.9%	4.9%	34.1%	0.14×	20.54
Prishtina & over 3.5	1.3%	4.9%	9.0%	0.54×	20.54
Drenica & over 2.5	0.9%	4.9%	26.9%	0.18×	20.54
Drenica & over 3.5	0.1%	4.9%	14.2%	0.34×	20.55
Draw & over 2.5	0.3%	4.9%	6.2%	0.78×	20.55
Draw & over 3.5	0.3%	4.9%	6.2%	0.78×	20.55

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Prishtina (1UP)	46.9%	43.2%	50.4%	0.86×	2.31
Drenica (1UP)	14.5%	14.1%	59.8%	0.24×	7.08

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Prishtina (2UP)	42.6%	47.6%	34.2%	1.39×	2.10
Drenica (2UP)	9.5%	9.1%	45.2%	0.20×	10.94

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	61.1%	58.8%	32.7%	1.80×	1.70
Prishtina to win 2nd half	31.2%	34.5%	29.7%	1.16×	2.90
Drenica to win 2nd half	7.7%	7.6%	37.7%	0.20×	13.22

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Prishtina (+2.5)	99.9%	96.3%	90.1%	1.07×	1.04
Prishtina (+1.5)	98.8%	96.3%	77.7%	1.24×	1.04
Prishtina (+0.5)	90.5%	92.1%	55.6%	1.66×	1.09
Drenica (+0.5)	57.4%	57.0%	69.4%	0.82×	1.76
Prishtina (-0.5)	42.6%	43.0%	30.6%	1.41×	2.32
Drenica (-0.5)	9.5%	7.9%	44.4%	0.18×	12.65
Drenica (-1.5)	1.2%	3.7%	22.3%	0.17×	26.87
Drenica (-2.5)	0.1%	3.7%	9.9%	0.37×	26.94

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Prishtina clean sheet	79.5%	78.8%	23.3%	3.39×	1.27
Prishtina to concede	20.5%	21.2%	76.7%	0.28×	4.72

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Prishtina clean sheet in 1st half	90.6%	90.6%	51.8%	1.75×	1.10
Prishtina to concede in 1st half	9.4%	9.4%	48.2%	0.19×	10.66

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Prishtina under 3.5 goals	99.4%	97.4%	95.7%	1.02×	1.03
Prishtina under 2.5 goals	96.3%	97.4%	87.0%	1.12×	1.03
Prishtina under 1.5 goals	83.7%	81.3%	66.3%	1.23×	1.23
Prishtina over 0.5 goals	51.4%	53.6%	68.3%	0.79×	1.86
Prishtina under 0.5 goals	48.6%	46.4%	31.7%	1.46×	2.16
Prishtina over 1.5 goals	16.3%	18.7%	33.7%	0.56×	5.34
Prishtina over 2.5 goals	3.7%	2.6%	13.0%	0.20×	38.73
Prishtina over 3.5 goals	0.6%	2.6%	4.3%	0.59×	38.86

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Prishtina under 1.5 in 1st half	96.6%	95.8%	89.4%	1.07×	1.04
Prishtina under 0.5 in 1st half	74.9%	68.9%	59.0%	1.17×	1.45
Prishtina over 0.5 in 1st half	25.1%	31.1%	41.0%	0.76×	3.22
Prishtina over 1.5 in 1st half	3.4%	4.2%	10.6%	0.40×	23.73

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	83.5%	82.6%	36.0%	2.30×	1.21
Drenica (away no bet)	16.5%	17.4%	64.0%	0.27×	5.76

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Prishtina even goals	61.8%	58.4%	55.7%	1.05×	1.71
Prishtina odd goals	38.2%	41.6%	44.3%	0.94×	2.41

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	99.4%	99.4%	82.7%	1.20×	1.01
Both halves over 1.5 goals	0.6%	0.6%	17.3%	0.04×	160.41

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	83.2%	77.9%	33.8%	2.30×	1.28
Not both halves under 1.5	16.8%	22.1%	66.2%	0.33×	4.52

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	17.1%	16.3%	58.6%	0.28×	6.14
Prishtina to score 2+ in a row	15.4%	16.3%	28.6%	0.57×	6.15
Either team to score 3+ in a row	3.4%	2.6%	22.9%	0.11×	38.50
Prishtina to score 3+ in a row	3.3%	2.6%	9.1%	0.28×	38.58
Drenica to score 2+ in a row	1.8%	2.5%	36.9%	0.07×	39.51
Drenica to score 3+ in a row	0.1%	2.5%	14.2%	0.17×	40.63

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-0	39.9%	33.3%	7.3%	4.56×	3.00
0-1	26.6%	19.4%	7.5%	2.58×	5.14
0-2	10.1%	11.4%	4.7%	2.41×	8.81
1-0	7.6%	7.4%	10.4%	0.71×	13.53
1-1	7.7%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.53
0-3	2.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	57.60
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.96×	57.61
1-2	2.3%	1.7%	7.0%	0.25×	57.60
1-3	0.6%	1.7%	2.8%	0.63×	57.61
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	57.61
2-0	1.0%	1.7%	7.2%	0.24×	57.61
2-1	0.7%	1.7%	8.8%	0.20×	57.61
2-2	0.3%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	57.61
2-3	0.1%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	57.61
2-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.6%	2.93×	57.61
3-0	0.1%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	57.61
3-1	0.1%	1.7%	4.2%	0.42×	57.61
3-2	0.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.67×	57.61
3-3	0.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.74×	57.61
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.70×	57.61
4-0	0.0%	1.7%	1.8%	0.99×	57.61
4-1	0.0%	1.7%	1.7%	1.04×	57.61
4-2	0.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.90×	57.61
4-3	0.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.68×	57.61
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	16.37×	57.61
Any other score	0.1%	1.7%	4.1%	0.43×	57.61

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Prishtina leading at HT (DNB)	76.7%	77.6%	43.3%	1.79×	1.29
Drenica leading at HT (DNB)	23.3%	22.4%	56.7%	0.40×	4.47

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Prishtina or draw (X2)	90.5%	91.2%	55.6%	1.64×	1.10
Drenica or draw (1X)	57.4%	57.1%	69.4%	0.82×	1.75
Drenica or Prishtina (12)	52.1%	52.3%	75.0%	0.70×	1.91

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Prishtina or draw at HT	93.1%	90.5%	66.2%	1.37×	1.11
Drenica or draw at HT	77.2%	80.0%	74.1%	1.08×	1.25
Drenica or Prishtina at HT	29.7%	31.6%	59.7%	0.53×	3.17

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Prishtina or draw (1UP)	90.5%	93.0%	63.9%	1.45×	1.08
Drenica or draw (1UP)	57.4%	62.7%	74.2%	0.85×	1.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Prishtina or draw in 2nd half	92.3%	92.4%	62.3%	1.48×	1.08
Drenica or draw in 2nd half	68.8%	65.5%	70.3%	0.93×	1.53
Drenica or Prishtina in 2nd half	38.9%	41.2%	67.3%	0.61×	2.43

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	87.4%	87.4%	58.9%	1.48×	1.14
Neither half drawn	12.6%	12.6%	41.1%	0.31×	7.92

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Prishtina (DNB)	81.8%	80.3%	40.8%	1.97×	1.25
Drenica (DNB)	18.2%	19.7%	59.2%	0.33×	5.08

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Prishtina to score first	45.6%	45.5%	42.9%	1.06×	2.20
No goal scored	39.9%	33.0%	5.9%	5.58×	3.03
Drenica to score first	14.5%	10.6%	51.2%	0.21×	9.44

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	88.2%	87.0%	47.7%	1.83×	1.15
Both teams to score	11.8%	13.0%	52.3%	0.25×	7.69

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	85.2%	85.6%	37.1%	2.31×	1.17
Both score & under 2.5	7.7%	8.4%	11.5%	0.73×	11.93
Both score & over 2.5	4.1%	4.8%	40.9%	0.12×	20.97
Not both score & over 2.5	3.0%	4.7%	10.6%	0.44×	21.32

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	99.6%	91.6%	86.0%	1.07×	1.09
Both teams to score 2+	0.4%	8.4%	14.0%	0.60×	11.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	95.3%	95.3%	70.2%	1.36×	1.05
Both teams to score in 2nd half	4.7%	4.7%	29.8%	0.16×	21.11

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	92.8%	92.8%	57.8%	1.61×	1.08
Both score 2nd half only	4.6%	5.1%	23.8%	0.21×	19.79
Both score 1st half only	2.5%	4.9%	12.5%	0.40×	20.25
Both score in both halves	0.1%	4.8%	6.0%	0.80×	20.78

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	97.4%	97.4%	81.5%	1.19×	1.03
Both teams to score by HT	2.6%	2.6%	18.5%	0.14×	38.90

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	85.6%	86.2%	41.1%	2.10×	1.16
A goal in each half	14.4%	13.8%	58.9%	0.23×	7.27

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1 goals	74.1%	71.6%	25.2%	2.84×	1.40
2-3 goals	24.3%	23.1%	45.4%	0.51×	4.33
4-6 goals	1.6%	1.9%	26.9%	0.07×	53.90
7+ goals	0.0%	1.9%	2.4%	0.76×	54.05

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Prishtina to score exactly 0	48.6%	42.2%	31.7%	1.33×	2.37
Prishtina to score exactly 1	35.1%	35.8%	34.6%	1.03×	2.80
Prishtina to score exactly 2	12.6%	13.0%	20.8%	0.63×	7.69
Prishtina to score 3+	3.7%	4.6%	13.0%	0.36×	21.68

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drenica to score exactly 0	79.5%	76.7%	23.3%	3.30×	1.30
Drenica to score exactly 1	18.2%	19.2%	33.1%	0.58×	5.21
Drenica to score exactly 2	2.1%	6.5%	23.9%	0.27×	15.49
Drenica to score 3+	0.2%	6.4%	19.7%	0.32×	15.67

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	70.3%	68.4%	40.3%	1.70×	1.46
Prishtina leading at HT	22.8%	20.0%	25.9%	0.77×	4.99
Drenica leading at HT	6.9%	9.5%	33.8%	0.28×	10.55

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Prishtina -1: 1	57.4%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Prishtina -1: X	29.0%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Prishtina -1: 2	13.7%	13.9%	—	—	7.19

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Prishtina (0:1)	90.5%	86.0%	55.6%	1.55×	1.16
Draw (0:1)	8.3%	9.1%	22.2%	0.41×	10.93
Drenica (0:1)	1.2%	5.9%	22.3%	0.26×	16.97

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Prishtina (0:2)	98.8%	93.9%	77.7%	1.21×	1.07
Draw (0:2)	1.1%	3.8%	12.4%	0.31×	26.52
Drenica (0:2)	0.1%	3.8%	9.9%	0.38×	26.58

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Prishtina (0:3)	99.9%	96.6%	90.1%	1.07×	1.04
Drenica (0:3)	0.0%	2.4%	4.1%	0.58×	42.35
Draw (0:3)	0.1%	2.4%	5.9%	0.40×	42.34

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Prishtina (0:4)	100.0%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Drenica (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	1.5%	0.81×	81.89
Draw (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	2.5%	0.48×	81.89

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drenica (1:0)	57.4%	58.5%	69.4%	0.84×	1.71
Draw (1:0)	29.0%	25.2%	17.0%	1.48×	3.97
Prishtina (1:0)	13.7%	12.8%	13.6%	0.94×	7.83

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drenica (2:0)	86.3%	88.2%	86.4%	1.02×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	10.6%	10.4%	8.1%	1.28×	9.60
Prishtina (2:0)	3.0%	2.4%	5.4%	0.45×	41.27

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Halves equal	49.5%	48.2%	25.2%	1.92×	2.07
2nd half highest scoring	31.2%	29.2%	48.6%	0.60×	3.42
1st half highest scoring	19.4%	19.3%	26.3%	0.74×	5.17

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drenica to concede	51.4%	53.5%	68.3%	0.78×	1.87
Drenica clean sheet	48.6%	46.5%	31.7%	1.47×	2.15

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drenica clean sheet in 1st half	74.9%	68.5%	59.0%	1.16×	1.46
Drenica to concede in 1st half	25.1%	31.5%	41.0%	0.77×	3.17

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drenica under 3.5 goals	100.0%	96.3%	92.4%	1.04×	1.04
Drenica under 2.5 goals	99.8%	96.3%	80.3%	1.20×	1.04
Drenica under 1.5 goals	97.7%	96.3%	56.3%	1.71×	1.04
Drenica under 0.5 goals	79.5%	77.4%	23.3%	3.33×	1.29
Drenica over 0.5 goals	20.5%	22.6%	76.7%	0.29×	4.43
Drenica over 1.5 goals	2.3%	3.7%	43.7%	0.08×	26.97
Drenica over 2.5 goals	0.2%	3.7%	19.7%	0.19×	27.05
Drenica over 3.5 goals	0.0%	3.7%	7.6%	0.49×	27.06

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drenica under 1.5 in 1st half	99.5%	98.7%	85.9%	1.15×	1.01
Drenica under 0.5 in 1st half	90.6%	95.3%	51.8%	1.84×	1.05
Drenica over 0.5 in 1st half	9.4%	4.7%	48.2%	0.10×	21.09
Drenica over 1.5 in 1st half	0.5%	1.3%	14.1%	0.09×	76.15

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	52.9%	51.6%	44.9%	1.15×	1.94
Prishtina (home no bet)	47.1%	48.4%	55.1%	0.88×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drenica even goals	81.6%	81.6%	52.8%	1.55×	1.23
Drenica odd goals	18.4%	18.4%	47.2%	0.39×	5.44

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	68.1%	68.1%	29.3%	2.33×	1.47
HT 0-1	19.4%	18.7%	16.3%	1.14×	5.35
HT 1-0	6.5%	7.1%	20.7%	0.34×	14.04
HT 0-2	2.8%	2.3%	4.9%	0.47×	43.50
HT 1-1	2.2%	2.3%	10.2%	0.23×	43.55
HT 1-2	0.3%	2.3%	2.8%	0.82×	43.69
HT 2-0	0.3%	2.3%	7.1%	0.32×	43.68
Any other HT score	0.3%	2.3%	4.7%	0.49×	43.68
HT 2-1	0.1%	2.3%	3.3%	0.70×	43.70
HT 2-2	0.0%	2.3%	0.9%	2.56×	43.70

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	44.0%	43.5%	14.1%	3.07×	2.30
Draw at HT / Prishtina at FT	21.3%	21.7%	11.6%	1.88×	4.61
Prishtina at HT / Prishtina at FT	20.9%	21.7%	17.4%	1.25×	4.61
Draw at HT / Drenica at FT	5.0%	3.5%	14.7%	0.24×	28.73
Drenica at HT / Drenica at FT	4.4%	3.5%	25.8%	0.14×	28.75
Drenica at HT / Draw at FT	2.1%	3.5%	5.1%	0.67×	28.84
Prishtina at HT / Draw at FT	1.8%	3.5%	5.6%	0.62×	28.85
Drenica at HT / Prishtina at FT	0.4%	3.5%	3.0%	1.16×	28.90
Prishtina at HT / Drenica at FT	0.1%	3.5%	2.9%	1.19×	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Prishtina to score last	45.9%	46.7%	42.7%	1.09×	2.14
No goal scored	39.9%	38.6%	5.9%	6.54×	2.59
Drenica to score last	14.2%	9.9%	51.4%	0.19×	10.10

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	60.1%	61.2%	94.1%	0.65×	1.63
Prishtina to lead by 1 at any time	46.9%	43.9%	50.4%	0.87×	2.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	16.0%	14.8%	48.2%	0.31×	6.74
Prishtina to lead by 2 at any time	14.5%	10.5%	20.3%	0.52×	9.52
Drenica to lead by 1 at any time	14.5%	10.5%	59.8%	0.18×	9.52
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	3.3%	1.6%	19.5%	0.08×	61.13
Prishtina to lead by 3 at any time	3.2%	1.6%	7.4%	0.22×	61.22
Drenica to lead by 2 at any time	1.5%	1.6%	28.2%	0.06×	62.94
Drenica to lead by 3 at any time	0.1%	1.6%	12.1%	0.13×	64.37

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	60.0%	63.1%	86.4%	0.73×	1.58
1-4 goals	59.8%	59.3%	78.0%	0.76×	1.69
1-3 goals	58.5%	59.3%	63.3%	0.94×	1.69
1-2 goals	52.9%	53.4%	41.2%	1.29×	1.87
2-5 goals	25.8%	30.6%	68.5%	0.45×	3.27
2-6 goals	25.9%	30.6%	72.4%	0.42×	3.27
2-4 goals	25.6%	30.6%	60.1%	0.51×	3.27
2-3 goals	24.3%	24.8%	45.4%	0.55×	4.03
3-5 goals	7.1%	9.0%	45.1%	0.20×	11.13
3-6 goals	7.1%	9.0%	49.0%	0.18×	11.13
3-4 goals	6.8%	9.0%	36.8%	0.24×	11.13
4-5 goals	1.6%	2.6%	23.0%	0.11×	38.91
4-6 goals	1.6%	2.6%	26.9%	0.10×	38.91
5-6 goals	0.3%	2.6%	12.3%	0.21×	38.96
7+ goals	0.0%	2.6%	2.4%	1.06×	38.97

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Prishtina never behind	45.6%	56.5%	40.2%	1.41×	1.77
Drenica never behind	13.1%	13.0%	49.6%	0.26×	7.71

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	60.0%	60.0%	49.8%	1.20×	1.67
Odd number of goals	40.0%	40.0%	50.2%	0.80×	2.50

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	73.5%	73.5%	53.7%	1.37×	1.36
Odd goals in 1st half	26.5%	26.5%	46.3%	0.57×	3.77

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	67.1%	67.1%	51.1%	1.31×	1.49
Odd goals in 2nd half	32.9%	32.9%	48.9%	0.67×	3.04

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	100.0%	95.4%	93.7%	1.02×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	99.7%	95.4%	85.3%	1.12×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	98.4%	95.4%	70.6%	1.35×	1.05
Under 2.5 goals	92.9%	92.2%	48.5%	1.90×	1.09
Under 1.5 goals	74.1%	72.4%	25.2%	2.87×	1.38
Over 0.5 goals	60.1%	61.9%	92.7%	0.67×	1.62
Under 0.5 goals	39.9%	38.1%	7.3%	5.21×	2.63
Over 1.5 goals	25.9%	27.6%	74.8%	0.37×	3.62
Over 2.5 goals	7.1%	7.8%	51.5%	0.15×	12.80
Over 3.5 goals	1.6%	4.6%	29.4%	0.16×	21.77
Over 4.5 goals	0.3%	4.6%	14.7%	0.31×	21.79
Over 5.5 goals	0.0%	4.6%	6.3%	0.72×	21.80

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	100.0%	97.2%	93.1%	1.04×	1.03
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	100.0%	97.2%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	99.7%	97.2%	82.8%	1.17×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	98.3%	97.1%	62.3%	1.56×	1.03
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	91.2%	92.4%	32.9%	2.81×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	8.8%	7.6%	67.1%	0.11×	13.11
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	1.7%	2.9%	37.7%	0.08×	35.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	0.3%	2.8%	17.2%	0.17×	35.12
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	0.0%	2.8%	6.9%	0.41×	35.12
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.0%	2.8%	2.5%	1.13×	35.13

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	99.3%	99.4%	88.4%	1.12×	1.01
Under 1.5 in 1st half	94.0%	92.8%	66.3%	1.40×	1.08
Under 0.5 in 1st half	68.1%	69.1%	29.3%	2.36×	1.45
Over 0.5 in 1st half	31.9%	30.9%	70.7%	0.44×	3.23
Over 1.5 in 1st half	6.0%	7.2%	33.7%	0.21×	13.93
Over 2.5 in 1st half	0.7%	0.6%	11.6%	0.05×	165.57

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	98.0%	98.1%	77.5%	1.27×	1.02
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.6%	85.5%	50.2%	1.70×	1.17
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	57.4%	54.7%	17.7%	3.09×	1.83
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	42.6%	45.3%	82.3%	0.55×	2.21
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.4%	14.5%	49.8%	0.29×	6.87
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	2.0%	1.9%	22.5%	0.09×	52.17

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drenica not to score in both halves	98.9%	98.9%	70.5%	1.40×	1.01
Prishtina not to score in both halves	91.2%	90.0%	77.6%	1.16×	1.11
Prishtina to score in both halves	8.8%	10.0%	22.4%	0.45×	9.99
Drenica to score in both halves	1.1%	1.1%	29.5%	0.04×	91.40

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither team scores	39.9%	39.7%	7.3%	5.44×	2.52
Only Prishtina scores	39.6%	39.7%	16.0%	2.49×	2.52
Both teams score	11.8%	11.1%	52.3%	0.21×	9.02
Only Drenica scores	8.7%	7.1%	24.4%	0.29×	13.99

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 0 goals	39.9%	28.2%	7.3%	3.86×	3.55
Exactly 1 goals	34.2%	25.2%	17.9%	1.41×	3.96
Exactly 2 goals	18.7%	17.6%	23.3%	0.75×	5.70
Exactly 3 goals	5.5%	7.8%	22.1%	0.35×	12.84
Exactly 4 goals	1.3%	4.5%	14.7%	0.31×	22.25
Exactly 5 goals	0.3%	4.5%	8.4%	0.54×	22.27
6 or more goals	0.0%	4.5%	6.3%	0.71×	22.27

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 2nd half	57.4%	53.4%	17.7%	3.01×	1.87
1 goal in 2nd half	31.2%	33.3%	32.5%	1.02×	3.00
2+ goals in 2nd half	11.4%	14.4%	49.8%	0.29×	6.96

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drenica not to win both halves	99.4%	97.3%	86.8%	1.12×	1.03
Prishtina not to win both halves	92.7%	94.0%	91.8%	1.02×	1.06
Prishtina to win both halves	7.3%	6.0%	8.2%	0.74×	16.60
Drenica to win both halves	0.6%	2.7%	13.2%	0.20×	37.07

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drenica to win neither half	85.9%	91.6%	41.7%	2.19×	1.09
Prishtina to win neither half	53.3%	54.9%	52.6%	1.04×	1.82
Prishtina to win either half	46.7%	45.1%	47.4%	0.95×	2.22
Drenica to win either half	14.1%	8.4%	58.3%	0.14×	11.85

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Drenica not to win to nil	91.3%	92.0%	75.6%	1.22×	1.09
Prishtina not to win to nil	60.4%	66.9%	84.0%	0.80×	1.49
Prishtina to win to nil	39.6%	33.1%	16.0%	2.07×	3.02
Drenica to win to nil	8.7%	8.0%	24.4%	0.33×	12.58

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	47.9%	48.2%	25.0%	1.93×	2.08
Prishtina by 1	29.0%	27.7%	17.0%	1.63×	3.61
Prishtina by 2	10.6%	11.7%	8.1%	1.44×	8.52
Drenica by 1	8.3%	7.3%	22.2%	0.33×	13.72
Prishtina by 3+	3.0%	2.8%	5.4%	0.52×	35.49
Drenica by 2	1.1%	2.8%	12.4%	0.23×	35.55
Drenica by 3+	0.1%	2.8%	9.9%	0.28×	35.57

Shot-level data has not been ingested for this match yet. Run python -m pipeline.ingest_understat to fill it in.