Dukagjini v Malisheva — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 10 September 2026 · KOS-Superleague · 2627

KOS-Superleague results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Dukagjini

17:00 UTC

Malisheva

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 29h before kick-off

Dukagjini win

36.8%

model 37.7%

Draw

26.5%

model 27.0%

Malisheva win

36.8%

model 35.3%

372637

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (7,697 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.7%
1-0 11.7%
0-1 11.3%
0-0 8.9%
2-1 7.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	42.3%	Under 2.5	57.7%
BTTS yes	47.8%	BTTS no	52.2%
Dukagjini 1+	70.2%	Dukagjini 2+	34.2%
Malisheva 1+	68.7%	Malisheva 2+	32.4%

Expected goals 1.21 – 1.16. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

27/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Dukagjini under 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 56%

68.3% fair odds 1.46

strong signal · 11563 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Malisheva under 1.5 in 2nd half

2nd half away goals O/U

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 709 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.
At home Dukagjini average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Dukagjini have only 1 matches on record.
Malisheva have only 1 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Dukagjini have an estimated 36.8% win probability, against 36.8% for Malisheva and 26.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.21 for Dukagjini and 1.16 for Malisheva.

Why Dukagjini

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five. At home Dukagjini average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. A combined 2.37 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.21 to 1.16.

Why Malisheva can win

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five. Away from home Malisheva average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Dukagjini, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Malisheva, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Dukagjini: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Malisheva: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Dukagjini are the model's most likely outcome at 36.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.7%. Confidence 27/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	382735	1.21–1.16	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	352837	1.09–1.12	1-1 13%	38%	44%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini to win	37.7%	37.7%	44.1%	0.85×	2.66
Malisheva to win	35.3%	37.7%	34.2%	1.10×	2.66
Draw	27.0%	27.1%	22.3%	1.22×	3.69

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini & not both score	22.4%	21.7%	24.3%	0.89×	4.61
Malisheva & not both score	20.9%	21.7%	18.3%	1.18×	4.61
Draw & both teams score	18.1%	18.1%	17.3%	1.05×	5.52
Dukagjini & both teams score	15.3%	18.1%	20.3%	0.89×	5.52
Malisheva & both teams score	14.4%	12.7%	16.3%	0.78×	7.88
Draw & not both score	8.9%	7.6%	5.4%	1.40×	13.07

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini & under 3.5	29.3%	26.4%	30.2%	0.87×	3.79
Malisheva & under 3.5	27.6%	26.4%	24.8%	1.07×	3.79
Dukagjini & over 1.5	26.0%	26.4%	35.1%	0.75×	3.79
Malisheva & over 1.5	24.0%	21.8%	23.8%	0.92×	4.58
Draw & under 2.5	21.5%	21.8%	18.8%	1.16×	4.58
Draw & under 3.5	21.5%	21.8%	18.8%	1.16×	4.58
Dukagjini & over 2.5	19.2%	17.7%	27.2%	0.65×	5.64
Dukagjini & under 2.5	18.6%	17.7%	17.3%	1.02×	5.64
Draw & over 1.5	18.1%	17.7%	17.3%	1.02×	5.64
Malisheva & over 2.5	17.8%	17.7%	18.8%	0.94×	5.64
Malisheva & under 2.5	17.5%	17.7%	15.8%	1.12×	5.64
Dukagjini & under 1.5	11.7%	12.4%	9.4%	1.32×	8.06
Malisheva & under 1.5	11.3%	12.4%	10.9%	1.14×	8.06
Dukagjini & over 3.5	8.5%	7.6%	14.4%	0.53×	13.20
Draw & under 1.5	8.9%	7.6%	5.4%	1.39×	13.20
Malisheva & over 3.5	7.7%	7.6%	9.9%	0.76×	13.21
Draw & over 2.5	5.4%	7.6%	4.0%	1.91×	13.21
Draw & over 3.5	5.4%	7.6%	4.0%	1.91×	13.21

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini (1UP)	52.6%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Malisheva (1UP)	50.4%	54.2%	—	—	1.85

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini (2UP)	37.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Malisheva (2UP)	35.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.63

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	38.2%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Malisheva to win 2nd half	31.1%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Dukagjini to win 2nd half	30.7%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malisheva under 1.5 in 2nd half	84.5%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Malisheva over 0.5 in 2nd half	50.2%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Malisheva under 0.5 in 2nd half	49.8%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Malisheva over 1.5 in 2nd half	15.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini under 1.5 in 2nd half	84.7%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Dukagjini under 0.5 in 2nd half	50.1%	54.1%	—	—	1.85
Dukagjini over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.9%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Dukagjini over 1.5 in 2nd half	15.3%	20.8%	—	—	4.81

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malisheva (+2.5)	94.7%	92.3%	90.1%	1.02×	1.08
Malisheva (+1.5)	84.0%	83.2%	75.7%	1.10×	1.20
Dukagjini (+0.5)	64.7%	62.7%	65.8%	0.95×	1.60
Malisheva (+0.5)	62.3%	62.7%	55.9%	1.12×	1.60
Dukagjini (-0.5)	37.7%	37.3%	44.1%	0.85×	2.68
Malisheva (-0.5)	35.3%	37.3%	34.2%	1.09×	2.68
Dukagjini (-1.5)	16.0%	16.8%	24.3%	0.69×	5.96
Dukagjini (-2.5)	5.3%	7.7%	9.9%	0.78×	12.98

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malisheva to concede	70.2%	75.6%	76.7%	0.99×	1.32
Malisheva clean sheet	29.8%	24.4%	23.3%	1.05×	4.10

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malisheva clean sheet in 1st half	59.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Malisheva to concede in 1st half	40.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malisheva clean sheet in 2nd half	50.1%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Malisheva to concede in 2nd half	49.9%	45.6%	—	—	2.20

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malisheva under 3.5 goals	96.9%	97.3%	95.5%	1.02×	1.03
Malisheva under 2.5 goals	88.8%	87.1%	87.6%	0.99×	1.15
Malisheva over 0.5 goals	68.7%	67.5%	70.8%	0.95×	1.48
Malisheva under 1.5 goals	67.6%	67.5%	66.8%	1.01×	1.48
Malisheva over 1.5 goals	32.4%	32.5%	33.2%	0.98×	3.08
Malisheva under 0.5 goals	31.3%	32.5%	29.2%	1.11×	3.08
Malisheva over 2.5 goals	11.2%	12.9%	12.4%	1.04×	7.77
Malisheva over 3.5 goals	3.1%	2.7%	4.5%	0.60×	37.11

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malisheva under 1.5 in 1st half	92.0%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Malisheva under 0.5 in 1st half	62.8%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Malisheva over 0.5 in 1st half	37.2%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Malisheva over 1.5 in 1st half	8.0%	6.2%	—	—	16.15

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malisheva scores equally in both	42.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Malisheva scores more in 2nd half	36.3%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Malisheva scores more in 1st half	21.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini (away no bet)	58.3%	58.6%	66.4%	0.88×	1.71
Draw (away no bet)	41.7%	41.4%	33.6%	1.23×	2.42

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malisheva even goals	54.9%	53.6%	53.0%	1.01×	1.87
Malisheva odd goals	45.1%	46.4%	47.0%	0.99×	2.16

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.5%	86.9%	—	—	1.15
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.5%	13.1%	—	—	7.64

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	55.6%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Both halves under 1.5 goals	44.4%	40.4%	—	—	2.47

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	48.3%	49.9%	—	—	2.01
Dukagjini to score 2+ in a row	27.3%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Malisheva to score 2+ in a row	25.5%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.9%	12.9%	—	—	7.74
Dukagjini to score 3+ in a row	8.0%	7.7%	—	—	12.93
Malisheva to score 3+ in a row	7.1%	7.7%	—	—	12.96

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.7%	11.2%	13.9%	0.81×	8.91
0-1	11.3%	11.2%	10.9%	1.03×	8.91
1-0	11.7%	11.2%	9.4%	1.19×	8.91
0-0	8.9%	7.4%	5.4%	1.37×	13.45
0-2	6.3%	7.4%	5.4%	1.37×	13.45
1-2	7.6%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.45
2-0	6.8%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.45
2-1	7.9%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.45
0-3	2.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.34
0-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.73×	58.35
1-3	3.0%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.34
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.0%	1.73×	58.35
2-2	4.6%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.34
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.34
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.73×	58.35
3-0	2.8%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.34
3-1	3.2%	1.7%	5.0%	0.35×	58.34
3-2	1.9%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.34
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.73×	58.35
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.35
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.35
4-1	1.0%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.35
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.87×	58.35
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.73×	58.35
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.46×	58.35
Any other score	1.5%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.34

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malisheva (2nd half DNB)	50.3%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
Dukagjini (2nd half DNB)	49.7%	48.9%	—	—	2.05

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini leading at HT (DNB)	53.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Malisheva leading at HT (DNB)	46.4%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini or Malisheva (12)	73.0%	72.9%	77.7%	0.94×	1.37
Dukagjini or draw (1X)	64.7%	62.3%	65.8%	0.95×	1.60
Malisheva or draw (X2)	62.3%	62.3%	55.9%	1.11×	1.60

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini or draw at HT	75.3%	76.7%	—	—	1.30
Malisheva or draw at HT	71.5%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Dukagjini or Malisheva at HT	53.2%	53.9%	—	—	1.85

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini or draw (1UP)	64.7%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Malisheva or draw (1UP)	62.3%	70.2%	—	—	1.43

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malisheva or draw in 2nd half	69.3%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Dukagjini or draw in 2nd half	68.9%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Dukagjini or Malisheva in 2nd half	61.8%	63.5%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.6%	65.2%	—	—	1.53
Neither half drawn	32.4%	34.8%	—	—	2.87

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini (DNB)	51.7%	51.6%	56.3%	0.92×	1.94
Malisheva (DNB)	48.3%	48.4%	43.7%	1.11×	2.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini to score first	46.5%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Malisheva to score first	44.6%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
No goal scored	8.9%	6.4%	—	—	15.58

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	52.2%	51.6%	47.0%	1.10×	1.94
Both teams to score	47.8%	48.4%	53.0%	0.91×	2.07

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	45.0%	41.6%	37.6%	1.11×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	35.2%	38.0%	39.6%	0.96×	2.63
Both score & under 2.5	12.7%	11.9%	13.9%	0.86×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	7.2%	8.4%	9.9%	0.85×	11.85

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.9%	85.7%	85.1%	1.01×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.1%	14.3%	14.9%	0.96×	7.01

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.1%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.9%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	63.9%	60.7%	—	—	1.65
Both score 2nd half only	21.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.28
Both score 1st half only	11.2%	11.9%	—	—	8.43
Both score in both halves	3.8%	4.9%	—	—	20.59

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.0%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	15.0%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	53.2%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
A goal in each half	46.8%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.6%	46.5%	48.5%	0.96×	2.15
0-1 goals	31.9%	31.2%	24.8%	1.26×	3.21
4-6 goals	20.5%	23.5%	24.3%	0.97×	4.26
7+ goals	1.1%	2.0%	3.5%	0.58×	49.78

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malisheva to score exactly 1	36.4%	36.0%	38.1%	0.94×	2.78
Malisheva to score exactly 0	31.3%	32.3%	29.2%	1.11×	3.09
Malisheva to score exactly 2	21.1%	23.2%	21.3%	1.09×	4.30
Malisheva to score 3+	11.2%	13.0%	12.4%	1.05×	7.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini to score exactly 1	36.1%	36.6%	33.7%	1.09×	2.73
Dukagjini to score exactly 0	29.8%	26.4%	23.3%	1.14×	3.78
Dukagjini to score exactly 2	21.9%	22.9%	22.3%	1.03×	4.38
Dukagjini to score 3+	12.3%	13.3%	21.8%	0.61×	7.53

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.8%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Dukagjini leading at HT	28.5%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Malisheva leading at HT	24.7%	23.3%	—	—	4.30

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini -1: 2	62.3%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Dukagjini -1: X	21.8%	23.3%	—	—	4.29
Dukagjini -1: 1	16.0%	17.8%	—	—	5.61

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malisheva (0:1)	62.3%	60.1%	55.9%	1.07×	1.67
Draw (0:1)	21.8%	23.6%	20.3%	1.16×	4.24
Dukagjini (0:1)	16.0%	18.2%	24.3%	0.75×	5.49

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malisheva (0:2)	84.0%	82.9%	75.7%	1.09×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.7%	11.4%	14.9%	0.76×	8.81
Dukagjini (0:2)	5.3%	7.7%	9.9%	0.78×	12.98

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malisheva (0:3)	94.7%	92.6%	90.1%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.9%	2.6%	8.4%	0.30×	39.15
Dukagjini (0:3)	1.4%	2.6%	2.0%	1.29×	39.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malisheva (0:4)	98.6%	97.7%	98.0%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.1%	1.4%	1.5%	0.95×	70.73
Dukagjini (0:4)	0.3%	1.4%	1.0%	1.43×	70.76

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini (1:0)	64.7%	64.5%	65.8%	0.98×	1.55
Draw (1:0)	20.9%	22.1%	23.3%	0.95×	4.53
Malisheva (1:0)	14.4%	12.6%	11.4%	1.10×	7.97

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini (2:0)	85.6%	88.0%	88.6%	0.99×	1.14
Draw (2:0)	9.8%	6.6%	7.9%	0.84×	15.10
Malisheva (2:0)	4.6%	2.8%	4.0%	0.70×	35.87

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.5%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	26.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini to concede	68.7%	68.6%	70.8%	0.97×	1.46
Dukagjini clean sheet	31.3%	31.4%	29.2%	1.07×	3.19

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini clean sheet in 1st half	62.8%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Dukagjini to concede in 1st half	37.2%	37.8%	—	—	2.64

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini clean sheet in 2nd half	49.8%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Dukagjini to concede in 2nd half	50.2%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini under 3.5 goals	96.5%	96.6%	93.6%	1.03×	1.04
Dukagjini under 2.5 goals	87.7%	87.3%	78.2%	1.12×	1.15
Dukagjini over 0.5 goals	70.2%	73.1%	76.7%	0.95×	1.37
Dukagjini under 1.5 goals	65.8%	68.3%	56.4%	1.21×	1.46
Dukagjini over 1.5 goals	34.2%	31.7%	43.6%	0.73×	3.15
Dukagjini under 0.5 goals	29.8%	26.9%	23.3%	1.16×	3.71
Dukagjini over 2.5 goals	12.3%	12.7%	21.8%	0.58×	7.87
Dukagjini over 3.5 goals	3.5%	3.4%	6.4%	0.53×	29.40

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini under 1.5 in 1st half	90.3%	93.3%	—	—	1.07
Dukagjini under 0.5 in 1st half	59.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Dukagjini over 0.5 in 1st half	40.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.36
Dukagjini over 1.5 in 1st half	9.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.89

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini scores equally in both	41.5%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Dukagjini scores more in 2nd half	34.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Dukagjini scores more in 1st half	23.9%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malisheva (home no bet)	56.7%	56.0%	60.5%	0.93×	1.79
Draw (home no bet)	43.3%	44.0%	39.5%	1.11×	2.27

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini even goals	54.4%	50.9%	50.5%	1.01×	1.96
Dukagjini odd goals	45.6%	49.1%	49.5%	0.99×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	37.2%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
HT 1-0	19.5%	19.9%	—	—	5.02
HT 0-1	17.4%	19.9%	—	—	5.03
HT 1-1	9.0%	8.0%	—	—	12.53
HT 2-0	5.1%	8.0%	—	—	12.57
HT 0-2	4.0%	2.5%	—	—	40.40
Any other HT score	2.8%	2.5%	—	—	40.46
HT 2-1	2.4%	2.5%	—	—	40.48
HT 1-2	2.1%	2.5%	—	—	40.49
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.5%	—	—	40.56

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini at HT / Dukagjini at FT	21.4%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Malisheva at HT / Malisheva at FT	18.5%	17.3%	—	—	5.77
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.4%	17.3%	—	—	5.78
Draw at HT / Malisheva at FT	14.8%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Draw at HT / Dukagjini at FT	14.6%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Dukagjini at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.4%	—	—	15.51
Malisheva at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.6%	—	—	27.51
Dukagjini at HT / Malisheva at FT	2.1%	3.6%	—	—	27.58
Malisheva at HT / Dukagjini at FT	1.8%	3.6%	—	—	27.58

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dukagjini to score last	46.5%	46.2%	—	—	2.17
Malisheva to score last	44.6%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
No goal scored	8.9%	6.4%	—	—	15.58

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.1%	93.6%	—	—	1.07
Dukagjini to lead by 1 at any time	52.6%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Malisheva to lead by 1 at any time	50.4%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	40.2%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Dukagjini to lead by 2 at any time	21.0%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Malisheva to lead by 2 at any time	19.3%	17.6%	—	—	5.67
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.07
Dukagjini to lead by 3 at any time	6.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.50
Malisheva to lead by 3 at any time	5.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.52

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.7%	87.1%	89.1%	0.98×	1.15
1-4 goals	81.9%	82.1%	78.7%	1.04×	1.22
1-3 goals	69.5%	68.2%	67.8%	1.01×	1.47
2-6 goals	67.1%	68.2%	72.3%	0.94×	1.47
2-5 goals	64.7%	62.7%	69.8%	0.90×	1.60
2-4 goals	58.9%	58.9%	59.4%	0.99×	1.70
1-2 goals	48.8%	47.4%	46.0%	1.03×	2.11
2-3 goals	46.6%	47.4%	48.5%	0.98×	2.11
3-6 goals	41.3%	43.6%	46.0%	0.95×	2.30
3-5 goals	38.9%	39.0%	43.6%	0.90×	2.56
3-4 goals	33.1%	34.7%	33.2%	1.05×	2.88
4-6 goals	20.5%	23.7%	24.3%	0.98×	4.22
4-5 goals	18.2%	18.9%	21.8%	0.87×	5.30
5-6 goals	8.2%	8.9%	13.4%	0.67×	11.21
7+ goals	1.1%	2.3%	3.5%	0.65×	44.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malisheva never behind	38.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Dukagjini never behind	40.7%	47.0%	—	—	2.13

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	50.4%	50.1%	54.5%	0.92×	2.00
Even number of goals	49.6%	49.9%	45.5%	1.10×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.8%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Odd goals in 1st half	43.2%	44.9%	—	—	2.23

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.8%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.2%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.6%	96.0%	94.1%	1.02×	1.04
Over 0.5 goals	91.1%	92.3%	94.6%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	90.7%	92.3%	83.7%	1.10×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	78.4%	77.0%	72.8%	1.06×	1.30
Over 1.5 goals	68.1%	67.7%	75.2%	0.90×	1.48
Under 2.5 goals	57.7%	57.8%	51.0%	1.13×	1.73
Over 2.5 goals	42.3%	42.2%	49.0%	0.86×	2.37
Under 1.5 goals	31.9%	32.3%	24.8%	1.31×	3.09
Over 3.5 goals	21.6%	23.0%	27.2%	0.85×	4.34
Over 4.5 goals	9.3%	7.7%	16.3%	0.47×	12.91
Under 0.5 goals	8.9%	7.7%	5.4%	1.42×	12.91
Over 5.5 goals	3.4%	4.0%	5.9%	0.67×	25.20

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.9%	97.3%	96.4%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.4%	97.3%	93.4%	1.04×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	89.4%	86.6%	81.7%	1.06×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	72.8%	72.1%	65.2%	1.11×	1.39
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	57.1%	58.2%	66.4%	0.88×	1.72
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	42.9%	41.8%	33.6%	1.25×	2.39
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	27.2%	27.9%	34.8%	0.80×	3.59
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	10.6%	13.4%	18.3%	0.73×	7.49
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.6%	2.7%	6.6%	0.41×	36.69
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.1%	2.7%	3.6%	0.77×	36.72

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.2%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.2%	73.8%	—	—	1.35
Over 0.5 in 1st half	62.8%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Under 0.5 in 1st half	37.2%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.8%	8.1%	—	—	12.29

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	83.6%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.2%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	59.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	40.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.8%	20.0%	—	—	4.99
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	16.4%	17.5%	—	—	5.73

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malisheva not to score in both halves	81.3%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Dukagjini not to score in both halves	79.7%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Dukagjini to score in both halves	20.3%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
Malisheva to score in both halves	18.7%	18.8%	—	—	5.32

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	47.8%	50.7%	53.0%	0.96×	1.97
Only Dukagjini scores	22.4%	21.5%	24.3%	0.89×	4.64
Only Malisheva scores	20.9%	21.5%	18.3%	1.18×	4.64
Neither team scores	8.9%	7.1%	5.4%	1.30×	14.08

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.8%	25.0%	26.7%	0.94×	4.00
Exactly 1 goals	23.0%	22.3%	19.8%	1.12×	4.49
Exactly 3 goals	20.8%	22.3%	22.3%	1.00×	4.49
Exactly 4 goals	12.3%	12.3%	11.4%	1.08×	8.14
Exactly 0 goals	8.9%	7.8%	5.4%	1.43×	12.88
Exactly 5 goals	5.9%	7.8%	10.9%	0.71×	12.89
6 or more goals	3.4%	4.0%	5.9%	0.68×	24.73

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	37.2%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
1 goal in 1st half	36.9%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
2 goals in 1st half	18.1%	18.8%	—	—	5.31
3+ goals in 1st half	7.8%	8.1%	—	—	12.29

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	40.3%	43.0%	—	—	2.33
1 goal in 2nd half	34.9%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
No goals in 2nd half	24.8%	20.6%	—	—	4.85

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malisheva not to win both halves	92.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Dukagjini not to win both halves	91.3%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Dukagjini to win both halves	8.7%	7.4%	—	—	13.48
Malisheva to win both halves	7.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.52

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malisheva to win neither half	51.8%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Dukagjini to win either half	50.5%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Dukagjini to win neither half	49.5%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
Malisheva to win either half	48.2%	47.0%	—	—	2.13

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Malisheva not to win to nil	79.1%	78.4%	81.7%	0.96×	1.28
Dukagjini not to win to nil	77.6%	78.4%	75.7%	1.04×	1.28
Dukagjini to win to nil	22.4%	21.6%	24.3%	0.89×	4.63
Malisheva to win to nil	20.9%	21.6%	18.3%	1.18×	4.63

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.0%	27.3%	22.3%	1.23×	3.66
Dukagjini by 1	21.8%	23.4%	20.3%	1.15×	4.27
Malisheva by 1	20.9%	23.4%	23.3%	1.01×	4.27
Dukagjini by 2	10.7%	11.8%	14.9%	0.80×	8.45
Malisheva by 2	9.8%	7.3%	7.9%	0.92×	13.76
Dukagjini by 3+	5.3%	7.3%	9.9%	0.73×	13.77
Malisheva by 3+	4.6%	3.0%	4.0%	0.76×	33.44