Dundalk v Shelbourne — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 18 September 2026 · IRL-Premier Division · 2627

IRL-Premier Division results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Dundalk

18:45 UTC

Shelbourne

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 223h before kick-off

Dundalk win

43.4%

model 43.1%

Draw

28.3%

model 29.0%

Shelbourne win

28.3%

model 27.9%

432828

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (6,392 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.7%
2-1 9.2%
0-0 7.8%
1-2 7.3%
2-0 7.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	55.2%	Under 2.5	44.8%
BTTS yes	60.0%	BTTS no	40.0%
Dundalk 1+	80.1%	Dundalk 2+	48.0%
Shelbourne 1+	72.1%	Shelbourne 2+	36.4%

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.28. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

19/100

Data quality

40/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Over 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 48%

57.7% fair odds 1.73

moderate signal · 12482 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Shelbourne under 1.5 in 2nd half

2nd half away goals O/U

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 709 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Dundalk have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Shelbourne have allowed 1.35.
At home Dundalk average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 40/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Dundalk have only 0 matches on record.
Shelbourne have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Dundalk have an estimated 43.4% win probability, against 28.3% for the draw and 28.3% for Shelbourne. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.61 for Dundalk and 1.27 for Shelbourne.

Why Dundalk

Dundalk have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Shelbourne have allowed 1.35. At home Dundalk average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.3%.

Why Shelbourne can win

Shelbourne have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Dundalk have allowed 1.35. Away from home Shelbourne average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Dundalk, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Shelbourne, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Dundalk: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Shelbourne: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Dundalk are the model's most likely outcome at 43.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.7%. Confidence 19/100, data quality 40/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	432928	1.62–1.28	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	422930	1.63–1.36	1-1 13%	57%	62%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk to win	43.1%	41.6%	40.8%	1.02×	2.40
Draw	29.0%	27.1%	31.3%	0.87×	3.69
Shelbourne to win	27.9%	27.1%	28.2%	0.96×	3.69

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk & both teams score	23.0%	21.7%	18.4%	1.18×	4.61
Draw & both teams score	21.2%	21.7%	22.1%	0.98×	4.61
Dundalk & not both score	20.1%	21.7%	22.7%	0.96×	4.61
Shelbourne & both teams score	15.9%	18.1%	16.3%	1.11×	5.52
Shelbourne & not both score	12.0%	12.7%	12.3%	1.03×	7.88
Draw & not both score	7.8%	7.6%	9.5%	0.80×	13.08

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk & over 1.5	36.4%	36.6%	30.4%	1.20×	2.74
Dundalk & over 2.5	29.1%	26.4%	23.0%	1.15×	3.79
Dundalk & under 3.5	27.1%	26.4%	31.0%	0.85×	3.79
Shelbourne & over 1.5	23.1%	21.8%	20.9%	1.05×	4.58
Draw & over 1.5	21.2%	21.8%	22.1%	0.99×	4.58
Draw & under 2.5	21.6%	21.8%	23.3%	0.94×	4.58
Draw & under 3.5	21.6%	21.8%	23.3%	0.94×	4.58
Shelbourne & over 2.5	18.6%	17.7%	17.5%	1.01×	5.64
Shelbourne & under 3.5	18.5%	17.7%	20.6%	0.86×	5.64
Dundalk & over 3.5	16.0%	17.7%	10.1%	1.75×	5.64
Dundalk & under 2.5	13.9%	12.4%	18.1%	0.69×	8.05
Shelbourne & under 2.5	9.3%	7.6%	11.0%	0.69×	13.20
Shelbourne & over 3.5	9.4%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.20
Dundalk & under 1.5	6.7%	7.6%	10.7%	0.71×	13.21
Draw & under 1.5	7.8%	7.6%	9.5%	0.80×	13.21
Draw & over 2.5	7.4%	7.6%	8.3%	0.91×	13.21
Draw & over 3.5	7.4%	7.6%	8.3%	0.91×	13.21
Shelbourne & under 1.5	4.8%	4.4%	7.7%	0.57×	22.79

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk (1UP)	60.5%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Shelbourne (1UP)	47.5%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk (2UP)	43.1%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Shelbourne (2UP)	27.9%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk to win 2nd half	36.5%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
2nd half drawn	35.6%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Shelbourne to win 2nd half	27.8%	28.3%	—	—	3.53

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.1%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Shelbourne over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.5%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Shelbourne under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.5%	49.9%	—	—	2.01
Shelbourne over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.94

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk under 1.5 in 2nd half	76.5%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Dundalk over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.2%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Dundalk under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.8%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Dundalk over 1.5 in 2nd half	23.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne (+2.5)	90.3%	92.3%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Shelbourne (+1.5)	76.6%	78.0%	82.2%	0.95×	1.28
Dundalk (+0.5)	72.1%	73.3%	71.8%	1.02×	1.36
Shelbourne (+0.5)	56.9%	58.3%	59.2%	0.99×	1.71
Dundalk (-0.5)	43.1%	41.7%	40.8%	1.02×	2.40
Shelbourne (-0.5)	27.9%	26.7%	28.2%	0.95×	3.74
Dundalk (-1.5)	23.4%	22.0%	17.8%	1.24×	4.55
Dundalk (-2.5)	9.7%	7.7%	7.4%	1.05×	12.96

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne to concede	80.1%	82.8%	78.5%	1.05×	1.21
Shelbourne clean sheet	19.9%	17.2%	21.5%	0.80×	5.82

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne to concede in 1st half	50.1%	53.7%	—	—	1.86
Shelbourne clean sheet in 1st half	49.9%	46.3%	—	—	2.16

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne to concede in 2nd half	60.2%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Shelbourne clean sheet in 2nd half	39.8%	38.8%	—	—	2.58

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne under 3.5 goals	95.9%	97.3%	96.9%	1.00×	1.03
Shelbourne under 2.5 goals	86.3%	87.1%	89.6%	0.97×	1.15
Shelbourne over 0.5 goals	72.0%	71.6%	68.1%	1.05×	1.40
Shelbourne under 1.5 goals	63.6%	63.6%	67.2%	0.95×	1.57
Shelbourne over 1.5 goals	36.4%	36.4%	32.8%	1.11×	2.75
Shelbourne under 0.5 goals	28.0%	28.4%	31.9%	0.89×	3.52
Shelbourne over 2.5 goals	13.7%	12.9%	10.4%	1.24×	7.76
Shelbourne over 3.5 goals	4.1%	2.7%	3.1%	0.88×	37.09

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne under 1.5 in 1st half	90.7%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Shelbourne under 0.5 in 1st half	60.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Shelbourne over 0.5 in 1st half	39.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Shelbourne over 1.5 in 1st half	9.3%	6.2%	—	—	16.05

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne scores equally in both	40.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Shelbourne scores more in 2nd half	37.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Shelbourne scores more in 1st half	22.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk (away no bet)	59.8%	58.7%	56.6%	1.04×	1.71
Draw (away no bet)	40.2%	41.3%	43.4%	0.95×	2.42

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne even goals	53.9%	53.6%	57.1%	0.94×	1.87
Shelbourne odd goals	46.1%	46.4%	42.9%	1.08×	2.16

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.0%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.0%	17.6%	—	—	5.67

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	68.3%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
Both halves under 1.5 goals	31.7%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	58.7%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
Dundalk to score 2+ in a row	39.0%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
Shelbourne to score 2+ in a row	27.1%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.5%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Dundalk to score 3+ in a row	14.3%	12.9%	—	—	7.75
Shelbourne to score 3+ in a row	7.6%	7.7%	—	—	12.94

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.7%	11.2%	14.1%	0.80×	8.91
0-0	7.8%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.45
1-0	6.7%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.45
1-2	7.3%	7.4%	9.2%	0.81×	13.45
2-0	7.3%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.45
2-1	9.2%	7.4%	10.1%	0.73×	13.45
2-2	5.9%	7.4%	7.4%	1.01×	13.45
0-1	4.8%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.34
0-2	4.5%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.34
0-3	1.9%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.34
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.35
1-3	3.1%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.34
1-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.35
2-3	2.5%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.34
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.35
3-0	3.9%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.34
3-1	5.0%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.34
3-2	3.2%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.34
3-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.34
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.35
4-0	1.6%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.34
4-1	2.0%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.34
4-2	1.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.34
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.35
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.59×	58.35
Any other score	3.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.34

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk (2nd half DNB)	56.8%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Shelbourne (2nd half DNB)	43.2%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk leading at HT (DNB)	60.1%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Shelbourne leading at HT (DNB)	39.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.62

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk or draw (1X)	72.1%	72.9%	71.8%	1.02×	1.37
Dundalk or Shelbourne (12)	71.0%	72.9%	68.7%	1.06×	1.37
Shelbourne or draw (X2)	56.9%	58.4%	59.2%	0.99×	1.71

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk or draw at HT	77.0%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Shelbourne or draw at HT	65.3%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Dundalk or Shelbourne at HT	57.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk or draw (1UP)	72.1%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Shelbourne or draw (1UP)	56.9%	64.7%	—	—	1.55

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk or draw in 2nd half	72.2%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
Dundalk or Shelbourne in 2nd half	64.4%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Shelbourne or draw in 2nd half	63.5%	63.5%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.4%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Neither half drawn	39.6%	39.6%	—	—	2.53

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk (DNB)	60.7%	62.1%	59.1%	1.05×	1.61
Shelbourne (DNB)	39.3%	37.9%	40.9%	0.93×	2.64

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk to score first	51.5%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Shelbourne to score first	40.6%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
No goal scored	7.8%	6.4%	—	—	15.64

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.0%	58.9%	56.1%	1.05×	1.70
Not both teams to score	40.0%	41.1%	43.9%	0.94×	2.44

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	46.3%	45.1%	42.3%	1.07×	2.22
Not both score & under 2.5	31.1%	34.0%	38.0%	0.89×	2.94
Both score & under 2.5	13.7%	11.9%	14.1%	0.84×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	8.9%	8.4%	6.1%	1.38×	11.85

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.5%	83.0%	83.1%	1.00×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	17.5%	17.0%	16.9%	1.01×	5.89

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.1%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.9%	30.7%	—	—	3.26

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	53.1%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Both score 2nd half only	26.5%	25.9%	—	—	3.87
Both score 1st half only	14.0%	11.9%	—	—	8.40
Both score in both halves	6.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.51

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	20.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	58.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	41.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.9%	46.5%	47.2%	0.98×	2.15
4-6 goals	30.0%	27.0%	23.9%	1.13×	3.70
0-1 goals	19.3%	19.1%	27.3%	0.70×	5.24
7+ goals	2.8%	2.0%	2.1%	0.94×	49.72

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne to score exactly 1	35.6%	36.0%	35.6%	1.01×	2.78
Shelbourne to score exactly 0	28.0%	27.4%	31.9%	0.86×	3.65
Shelbourne to score exactly 2	22.7%	23.3%	22.7%	1.02×	4.30
Shelbourne to score 3+	13.7%	13.0%	10.4%	1.25×	7.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk to score exactly 1	32.1%	32.2%	35.9%	0.90×	3.10
Dundalk to score exactly 2	25.9%	26.4%	28.5%	0.93×	3.78
Dundalk to score 3+	22.1%	22.9%	14.7%	1.55×	4.38
Dundalk to score exactly 0	19.9%	18.2%	21.5%	0.85×	5.51

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Dundalk leading at HT	34.7%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Shelbourne leading at HT	23.0%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk -1: 2	56.9%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Dundalk -1: 1	23.4%	23.3%	—	—	4.29
Dundalk -1: X	19.7%	17.8%	—	—	5.61

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne (0:1)	56.9%	57.8%	59.2%	0.98×	1.73
Dundalk (0:1)	23.4%	23.6%	17.8%	1.32×	4.24
Draw (0:1)	19.7%	18.2%	23.3%	0.78×	5.49

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne (0:2)	76.6%	79.1%	82.2%	0.96×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.7%	11.4%	10.7%	1.06×	8.80
Dundalk (0:2)	9.7%	7.7%	7.4%	1.05×	12.96

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne (0:3)	90.3%	92.5%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.4%	6.5%	5.5%	1.18×	15.40
Dundalk (0:3)	3.3%	2.6%	2.1%	1.19×	39.16

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne (0:4)	96.7%	97.7%	97.9%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.3%	1.4%	1.5%	0.92×	70.69
Dundalk (0:4)	0.9%	1.4%	0.9%	1.54×	70.74

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk (1:0)	72.1%	72.4%	71.8%	1.01×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	15.1%	17.3%	20.2%	0.86×	5.77
Shelbourne (1:0)	12.8%	12.6%	8.3%	1.52×	7.97

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk (2:0)	87.2%	88.1%	91.7%	0.96×	1.14
Draw (2:0)	8.5%	6.6%	6.4%	1.03×	15.11
Shelbourne (2:0)	4.3%	2.8%	2.1%	1.30×	35.88

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
Halves equal	27.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
1st half highest scoring	25.8%	26.1%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk to concede	72.0%	72.0%	68.1%	1.06×	1.39
Dundalk clean sheet	28.0%	28.0%	31.9%	0.88×	3.57

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk clean sheet in 1st half	60.1%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Dundalk to concede in 1st half	39.9%	38.0%	—	—	2.63

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk clean sheet in 2nd half	46.5%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Dundalk to concede in 2nd half	53.5%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk under 3.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Dundalk over 0.5 goals	80.1%	82.3%	78.5%	1.05×	1.22
Dundalk under 2.5 goals	77.9%	78.2%	85.3%	0.92×	1.28
Dundalk under 1.5 goals	52.0%	52.8%	57.1%	0.93×	1.89
Dundalk over 1.5 goals	48.0%	47.2%	42.9%	1.10×	2.12
Dundalk over 2.5 goals	22.1%	21.8%	14.7%	1.48×	4.58
Dundalk under 0.5 goals	19.9%	17.7%	21.5%	0.82×	5.65
Dundalk over 3.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	5.8%	1.31×	13.07

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk under 1.5 in 1st half	84.6%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Dundalk over 0.5 in 1st half	50.1%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Dundalk under 0.5 in 1st half	49.9%	46.2%	—	—	2.16
Dundalk over 1.5 in 1st half	15.4%	18.9%	—	—	5.29

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk scores more in 2nd half	39.0%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Dundalk scores equally in both	34.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Dundalk scores more in 1st half	26.2%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	51.0%	52.0%	52.6%	0.99×	1.92
Shelbourne (home no bet)	49.0%	48.0%	47.4%	1.01×	2.08

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk even goals	52.0%	50.9%	54.3%	0.94×	1.96
Dundalk odd goals	48.0%	49.1%	45.7%	1.07×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.4%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
HT 1-0	20.4%	22.5%	—	—	4.45
HT 0-1	14.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 1-1	11.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 2-0	7.2%	8.0%	—	—	12.55
Any other HT score	4.8%	2.5%	—	—	40.36
HT 0-2	3.9%	2.5%	—	—	40.40
HT 2-1	3.7%	2.5%	—	—	40.41
HT 1-2	2.7%	2.5%	—	—	40.46
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.5%	—	—	40.54

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk at HT / Dundalk at FT	26.2%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.6%	17.3%	—	—	5.78
Shelbourne at HT / Shelbourne at FT	15.1%	17.3%	—	—	5.78
Draw at HT / Dundalk at FT	14.2%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Draw at HT / Shelbourne at FT	10.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Dundalk at HT / Draw at FT	6.1%	6.5%	—	—	15.50
Shelbourne at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.4%	—	—	15.51
Shelbourne at HT / Dundalk at FT	2.6%	3.6%	—	—	27.56
Dundalk at HT / Shelbourne at FT	2.3%	3.6%	—	—	27.57

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk to score last	51.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Shelbourne to score last	40.5%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
No goal scored	7.8%	6.4%	—	—	15.64

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.2%	93.6%	—	—	1.07
Dundalk to lead by 1 at any time	60.5%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.9%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Shelbourne to lead by 1 at any time	47.5%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Dundalk to lead by 2 at any time	30.3%	31.6%	—	—	3.16
Shelbourne to lead by 2 at any time	18.9%	17.6%	—	—	5.67
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.0%	17.6%	—	—	5.68
Dundalk to lead by 3 at any time	12.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.07
Shelbourne to lead by 3 at any time	5.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.52

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.8%	82.1%	86.2%	0.95×	1.22
2-6 goals	77.8%	77.9%	70.9%	1.10×	1.28
1-4 goals	75.5%	77.9%	77.9%	1.00×	1.28
2-5 goals	73.4%	72.2%	68.4%	1.06×	1.39
2-4 goals	64.0%	62.7%	60.1%	1.04×	1.60
1-3 goals	59.3%	58.9%	65.0%	0.91×	1.70
3-6 goals	52.3%	52.9%	46.3%	1.14×	1.89
2-3 goals	47.9%	47.4%	47.2%	1.00×	2.11
3-5 goals	47.8%	47.4%	43.9%	1.08×	2.11
3-4 goals	38.5%	39.0%	35.6%	1.10×	2.56
1-2 goals	37.0%	39.0%	42.6%	0.91×	2.56
4-6 goals	30.0%	28.5%	23.9%	1.19×	3.51
4-5 goals	25.5%	28.5%	21.5%	1.33×	3.51
5-6 goals	13.8%	13.5%	11.0%	1.22×	7.42
7+ goals	2.8%	2.3%	2.1%	1.05×	44.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk never behind	44.6%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Shelbourne never behind	31.7%	36.6%	—	—	2.73

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	54.7%	50.1%	49.7%	1.01×	2.00
Odd number of goals	45.3%	49.9%	50.3%	0.99×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.3%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Odd goals in 1st half	44.7%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.3%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.7%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	92.2%	92.3%	90.5%	1.02×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	95.4%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.4%	81.6%	87.1%	0.94×	1.23
Over 1.5 goals	80.7%	81.6%	72.7%	1.12×	1.23
Under 3.5 goals	67.2%	67.7%	74.2%	0.91×	1.48
Over 2.5 goals	55.2%	57.7%	48.2%	1.20×	1.73
Under 2.5 goals	44.8%	42.3%	51.8%	0.82×	2.37
Over 3.5 goals	32.8%	32.3%	25.8%	1.25×	3.09
Under 1.5 goals	19.3%	18.4%	27.3%	0.67×	5.44
Over 4.5 goals	16.6%	18.4%	12.9%	1.43×	5.44
Under 0.5 goals	7.8%	7.7%	9.5%	0.81×	12.91
Over 5.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	4.6%	1.68×	12.91

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.1%	97.3%	97.8%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.9%	92.0%	95.0%	0.97×	1.09
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.1%	81.5%	85.2%	0.96×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.0%	72.1%	63.8%	1.13×	1.39
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.8%	58.2%	66.8%	0.87×	1.72
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	42.2%	41.8%	33.2%	1.26×	2.39
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	26.0%	27.9%	36.2%	0.77×	3.59
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.9%	18.5%	14.8%	1.25×	5.40
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.1%	8.0%	5.0%	1.59×	12.51
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.0%	2.7%	2.2%	1.24×	36.69

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.9%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.6%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Under 1.5 in 1st half	65.7%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.3%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.4%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.1%	11.6%	—	—	8.62

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.7%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.1%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.0%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	51.0%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.9%	20.0%	—	—	4.99
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.3%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne not to score in both halves	78.7%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Dundalk not to score in both halves	69.9%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Dundalk to score in both halves	30.1%	31.6%	—	—	3.17
Shelbourne to score in both halves	21.4%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.0%	61.2%	56.1%	1.09×	1.63
Only Dundalk scores	20.1%	21.5%	22.7%	0.95×	4.64
Only Shelbourne scores	12.0%	11.2%	12.3%	0.91×	8.94
Neither team scores	7.8%	7.1%	9.5%	0.75×	14.09

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.5%	25.0%	24.8%	1.01×	4.00
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.3%	22.7%	0.98×	4.49
Exactly 4 goals	16.2%	17.6%	13.2%	1.34×	5.68
Exactly 1 goals	11.5%	12.3%	18.1%	0.68×	8.15
Exactly 5 goals	9.3%	7.8%	8.6%	0.90×	12.88
Exactly 0 goals	7.8%	7.8%	9.5%	0.82×	12.88
6 or more goals	7.3%	7.8%	4.6%	1.69×	12.88

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.3%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
No goals in 1st half	30.4%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
2 goals in 1st half	22.1%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
3+ goals in 1st half	12.1%	11.4%	—	—	8.78

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	51.0%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
1 goal in 2nd half	29.7%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
No goals in 2nd half	19.3%	16.5%	—	—	6.06

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne not to win both halves	93.3%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Dundalk not to win both halves	86.9%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Dundalk to win both halves	13.1%	12.2%	—	—	8.18
Shelbourne to win both halves	6.7%	7.4%	—	—	13.56

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk to win either half	58.1%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Shelbourne to win neither half	55.9%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Shelbourne to win either half	44.1%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Dundalk to win neither half	41.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.39

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shelbourne not to win to nil	88.0%	87.9%	87.7%	1.00×	1.14
Dundalk not to win to nil	79.9%	78.4%	77.3%	1.01×	1.28
Dundalk to win to nil	20.1%	21.6%	22.7%	0.95×	4.63
Shelbourne to win to nil	12.0%	12.1%	12.3%	0.99×	8.24

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	29.0%	27.3%	31.3%	0.87×	3.66
Dundalk by 1	19.7%	17.2%	23.3%	0.74×	5.80
Shelbourne by 1	15.1%	17.2%	20.2%	0.85×	5.80
Dundalk by 2	13.7%	11.8%	10.7%	1.10×	8.44
Dundalk by 3+	9.7%	7.3%	7.4%	0.99×	13.76
Shelbourne by 2	8.5%	7.3%	6.4%	1.13×	13.77
Shelbourne by 3+	4.3%	3.0%	2.1%	1.39×	33.44