Dundalk v St. Patrick's Athletic — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 14 September 2026 · IRL-Premier Division · 2627

IRL-Premier Division results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

Dundalk

18:45 UTC

St. Patrick's Athletic

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 155h before kick-off

Dundalk win

31.3%

Draw

31.5%

St. Patrick's Athletic win

37.2%

313137

Raw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 15.1%
0-0 10.1%
1-2 8.5%
2-1 7.7%
0-1 7.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	47.7%	Under 2.5	52.3%
BTTS yes	55.0%	BTTS no	45.0%
Dundalk 1+	70.7%	Dundalk 2+	34.8%
St. Patrick's Athletic 1+	74.2%	St. Patrick's Athletic 2+	39.2%

Expected goals 1.23 – 1.35. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

16/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

St. Patrick's Athletic (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 41%

51.5% fair odds 1.94

strong signal · 3796 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Dundalk (2:0)

Handicap 2:0 · usually 92%

83.6% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 4395 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

St. Patrick's Athletic have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Dundalk have allowed 1.35.
Away from home St. Patrick's Athletic average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Dundalk have only 0 matches on record.
St. Patrick's Athletic have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

St. Patrick's Athletic have an estimated 37.2% win probability, against 31.5% for the draw and 31.3% for Dundalk. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.23 for Dundalk and 1.35 for St. Patrick's Athletic.

Why Dundalk

Dundalk have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while St. Patrick's Athletic have allowed 1.35. At home Dundalk average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 31.5%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.23 to 1.35.

Why St. Patrick's Athletic can win

St. Patrick's Athletic have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Dundalk have allowed 1.35. Away from home St. Patrick's Athletic average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Dundalk, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for St. Patrick's Athletic, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Dundalk: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. St. Patrick's Athletic: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

St. Patrick's Athletic are the model's most likely outcome at 37.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 15.1%. Confidence 16/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	313137	1.23–1.35	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	293140	1.16–1.39	1-1 15%	47%	54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic to win	37.2%	37.5%	28.2%	1.33×	2.67
Dundalk to win	31.3%	31.4%	40.8%	0.77×	3.18
Draw	31.5%	31.4%	31.3%	1.00×	3.18

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & both teams score	21.4%	21.5%	22.1%	0.97×	4.65
St. Patrick's Athletic & not both score	19.2%	18.2%	12.3%	1.48×	5.49
St. Patrick's Athletic & both teams score	18.0%	18.2%	16.3%	1.12×	5.49
Dundalk & both teams score	15.6%	18.2%	18.4%	0.99×	5.49
Dundalk & not both score	15.8%	18.2%	22.7%	0.80×	5.49
Draw & not both score	10.1%	12.6%	9.5%	1.33×	7.91

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic & over 1.5	29.5%	26.5%	20.9%	1.27×	3.78
St. Patrick's Athletic & under 3.5	26.3%	26.5%	20.6%	1.29×	3.78
Draw & under 2.5	25.2%	26.5%	23.3%	1.14×	3.78
Draw & under 3.5	25.2%	26.5%	23.3%	1.14×	3.78
Dundalk & over 1.5	24.6%	21.8%	30.4%	0.72×	4.59
Dundalk & under 3.5	22.6%	21.8%	31.0%	0.70×	4.59
Draw & over 1.5	21.4%	21.8%	22.1%	0.99×	4.59
St. Patrick's Athletic & over 2.5	22.5%	21.8%	17.5%	1.25×	4.59
Dundalk & over 2.5	18.9%	17.7%	23.0%	0.77×	5.66
St. Patrick's Athletic & under 2.5	14.6%	12.5%	11.0%	1.13×	8.03
Dundalk & under 2.5	12.5%	12.5%	18.1%	0.69×	8.03
Draw & under 1.5	10.1%	12.5%	9.5%	1.31×	8.03
St. Patrick's Athletic & over 3.5	10.9%	12.5%	8.0%	1.56×	8.03
Dundalk & under 1.5	6.8%	7.6%	10.7%	0.71×	13.17
Dundalk & over 3.5	8.8%	7.6%	10.1%	0.75×	13.17
Draw & over 2.5	6.3%	7.6%	8.3%	0.92×	13.17
Draw & over 3.5	6.3%	7.6%	8.3%	0.92×	13.17
St. Patrick's Athletic & under 1.5	7.7%	7.6%	7.7%	0.99×	13.17

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic (1UP)	54.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Dundalk (1UP)	49.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic (2UP)	37.2%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Dundalk (2UP)	31.3%	36.1%	—	—	2.77

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	38.2%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
St. Patrick's Athletic to win 2nd half	34.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Dundalk to win 2nd half	27.6%	29.7%	—	—	3.37

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic (+2.5)	95.2%	96.6%	92.6%	1.04×	1.04
St. Patrick's Athletic (+1.5)	85.6%	87.4%	82.2%	1.06×	1.14
St. Patrick's Athletic (+0.5)	68.7%	68.0%	59.2%	1.15×	1.47
Dundalk (+0.5)	62.8%	62.8%	71.8%	0.87×	1.59
St. Patrick's Athletic (-0.5)	37.2%	37.2%	28.2%	1.32×	2.69
Dundalk (-0.5)	31.3%	32.0%	40.8%	0.78×	3.13
Dundalk (-1.5)	14.4%	12.6%	17.8%	0.71×	7.93
Dundalk (-2.5)	4.8%	3.4%	7.4%	0.46×	29.49

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic to concede	70.7%	75.5%	78.5%	0.96×	1.32
St. Patrick's Athletic clean sheet	29.3%	24.5%	21.5%	1.14×	4.09

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic clean sheet in 1st half	59.0%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
St. Patrick's Athletic to concede in 1st half	41.0%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic under 3.5 goals	95.1%	97.3%	96.9%	1.00×	1.03
St. Patrick's Athletic under 2.5 goals	84.5%	82.4%	89.6%	0.92×	1.21
St. Patrick's Athletic over 0.5 goals	74.2%	71.3%	68.1%	1.05×	1.40
St. Patrick's Athletic under 1.5 goals	60.8%	63.7%	67.2%	0.95×	1.57
St. Patrick's Athletic over 1.5 goals	39.2%	36.3%	32.8%	1.11×	2.76
St. Patrick's Athletic under 0.5 goals	25.8%	28.7%	31.9%	0.90×	3.48
St. Patrick's Athletic over 2.5 goals	15.5%	17.6%	10.4%	1.68×	5.70
St. Patrick's Athletic over 3.5 goals	4.9%	2.7%	3.1%	0.87×	37.42

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic under 1.5 in 1st half	89.7%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
St. Patrick's Athletic under 0.5 in 1st half	58.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
St. Patrick's Athletic over 0.5 in 1st half	41.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
St. Patrick's Athletic over 1.5 in 1st half	10.3%	12.9%	—	—	7.74

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	50.1%	52.1%	43.4%	1.20×	1.92
Dundalk (away no bet)	49.9%	47.9%	56.6%	0.85×	2.09

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic even goals	53.3%	53.5%	57.1%	0.94×	1.87
St. Patrick's Athletic odd goals	46.7%	46.5%	42.9%	1.08×	2.15

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.1%	86.9%	—	—	1.15
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.9%	13.1%	—	—	7.61

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	62.0%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Both halves under 1.5 goals	38.0%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	52.6%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
St. Patrick's Athletic to score 2+ in a row	31.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Dundalk to score 2+ in a row	26.9%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.4%	17.4%	—	—	5.76
St. Patrick's Athletic to score 3+ in a row	9.9%	7.9%	—	—	12.71
Dundalk to score 3+ in a row	7.7%	7.8%	—	—	12.78

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	15.1%	15.4%	14.1%	1.09×	6.48
0-0	10.1%	11.2%	9.5%	1.18×	8.90
0-1	7.7%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.48
0-2	6.9%	7.4%	3.7%	2.01×	13.49
1-0	6.8%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.49
1-2	8.5%	7.4%	9.2%	0.81×	13.48
2-0	5.7%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.49
2-1	7.7%	7.4%	10.1%	0.73×	13.48
2-2	5.2%	7.4%	7.4%	1.01×	13.49
0-3	3.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.87×	58.10
0-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.87×	58.11
1-3	3.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.10
1-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.87×	58.11
2-3	2.4%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.10
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.11
3-0	2.3%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.10
3-1	3.2%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.10
3-2	2.1%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.11
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.11
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.87×	58.11
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.11
4-1	1.0%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.11
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.87×	58.11
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.87×	58.11
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.61×	58.11
Any other score	2.1%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.11

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic leading at HT (DNB)	50.8%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Dundalk leading at HT (DNB)	49.2%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic or draw (X2)	68.7%	68.6%	59.2%	1.16×	1.46
Dundalk or St. Patrick's Athletic (12)	68.5%	68.6%	68.7%	1.00×	1.46
Dundalk or draw (1X)	62.8%	62.5%	71.8%	0.87×	1.60

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic or draw at HT	73.3%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Dundalk or draw at HT	72.4%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Dundalk or St. Patrick's Athletic at HT	54.3%	54.1%	—	—	1.85

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic or draw (1UP)	68.7%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Dundalk or draw (1UP)	62.8%	69.8%	—	—	1.43

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic or draw in 2nd half	72.4%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Dundalk or draw in 2nd half	65.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Dundalk or St. Patrick's Athletic in 2nd half	61.8%	63.1%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.7%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Neither half drawn	36.3%	39.8%	—	—	2.51

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic (DNB)	54.3%	51.5%	40.9%	1.26×	1.94
Dundalk (DNB)	45.7%	48.5%	59.1%	0.82×	2.06

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic to score first	47.1%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Dundalk to score first	42.8%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
No goal scored	10.1%	7.3%	—	—	13.78

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.0%	51.8%	56.1%	0.92×	1.93
Not both teams to score	45.0%	48.2%	43.9%	1.10×	2.08

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	39.9%	38.0%	42.3%	0.90×	2.63
Not both score & under 2.5	37.2%	38.0%	38.0%	1.00×	2.63
Both score & under 2.5	15.1%	17.2%	14.1%	1.22×	5.80
Not both score & over 2.5	7.8%	8.5%	6.1%	1.38×	11.82

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.4%	85.9%	83.1%	1.03×	1.16
Both teams to score 2+	13.6%	14.1%	16.9%	0.83×	7.10

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.1%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.9%	28.6%	—	—	3.49

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.4%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Both score 2nd half only	24.1%	23.3%	—	—	4.28
Both score 1st half only	12.8%	11.9%	—	—	8.39
Both score in both halves	4.8%	4.6%	—	—	21.59

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.4%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	17.6%	17.3%	—	—	5.77

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	52.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	47.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	49.4%	46.6%	47.2%	0.99×	2.15
0-1 goals	24.6%	23.3%	27.3%	0.85×	4.29
4-6 goals	24.3%	23.3%	23.9%	0.97×	4.29
7+ goals	1.7%	2.0%	2.1%	0.93×	50.26

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic to score exactly 1	35.0%	32.5%	35.6%	0.91×	3.08
St. Patrick's Athletic to score exactly 0	25.8%	27.4%	31.9%	0.86×	3.66
St. Patrick's Athletic to score exactly 2	23.7%	23.1%	22.7%	1.02×	4.32
St. Patrick's Athletic to score 3+	15.5%	18.4%	10.4%	1.76×	5.44

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk to score exactly 1	36.0%	36.5%	35.9%	1.02×	2.74
Dundalk to score exactly 0	29.3%	26.4%	21.5%	1.23×	3.79
Dundalk to score exactly 2	22.1%	22.9%	28.5%	0.80×	4.37
Dundalk to score 3+	12.7%	13.2%	14.7%	0.90×	7.58

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.7%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
St. Patrick's Athletic leading at HT	27.6%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Dundalk leading at HT	26.7%	28.8%	—	—	3.48

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic -1: 1	62.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
St. Patrick's Athletic -1: X	18.9%	17.8%	—	—	5.60
St. Patrick's Athletic -1: 2	18.2%	17.8%	—	—	5.60

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic (0:1)	68.7%	64.7%	59.2%	1.09×	1.55
Draw (0:1)	17.0%	18.2%	23.3%	0.78×	5.51
Dundalk (0:1)	14.4%	13.2%	17.8%	0.74×	7.59

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic (0:2)	85.6%	86.7%	82.2%	1.05×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.6%	7.7%	10.7%	0.72×	12.94
Dundalk (0:2)	4.8%	3.5%	7.4%	0.47×	28.76

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic (0:3)	95.2%	96.7%	92.6%	1.04×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.5%	2.6%	5.5%	0.46×	38.96
Dundalk (0:3)	1.3%	2.6%	2.1%	1.19×	38.99

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic (0:4)	98.7%	97.7%	97.9%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.0%	1.4%	1.5%	0.92×	70.59
Dundalk (0:4)	0.3%	1.4%	0.9%	1.54×	70.61

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk (1:0)	62.8%	64.5%	71.8%	0.90×	1.55
Draw (1:0)	18.9%	17.5%	20.2%	0.87×	5.70
St. Patrick's Athletic (1:0)	18.2%	17.5%	8.3%	2.12×	5.70

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk (2:0)	81.8%	83.6%	91.7%	0.91×	1.20
Draw (2:0)	11.7%	11.5%	6.4%	1.79×	8.67
St. Patrick's Athletic (2:0)	6.6%	6.7%	2.1%	3.11×	14.99

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.4%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	29.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	25.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk to concede	74.2%	72.0%	68.1%	1.06×	1.39
Dundalk clean sheet	25.8%	28.0%	31.9%	0.88×	3.57

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk clean sheet in 1st half	58.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Dundalk to concede in 1st half	41.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk under 3.5 goals	96.4%	96.6%	94.2%	1.03×	1.04
Dundalk under 2.5 goals	87.3%	87.5%	85.3%	1.03×	1.14
Dundalk over 0.5 goals	70.7%	73.2%	78.5%	0.93×	1.37
Dundalk under 1.5 goals	65.2%	68.4%	57.1%	1.20×	1.46
Dundalk over 1.5 goals	34.8%	31.6%	42.9%	0.74×	3.17
Dundalk under 0.5 goals	29.3%	26.8%	21.5%	1.25×	3.73
Dundalk over 2.5 goals	12.7%	12.5%	14.7%	0.85×	7.98
Dundalk over 3.5 goals	3.6%	3.4%	5.8%	0.59×	29.06

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk under 1.5 in 1st half	90.1%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Dundalk under 0.5 in 1st half	59.0%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Dundalk over 0.5 in 1st half	41.0%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Dundalk over 1.5 in 1st half	9.9%	6.2%	—	—	16.01

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic (home no bet)	54.2%	52.1%	47.4%	1.10×	1.92
Draw (home no bet)	45.8%	47.9%	52.6%	0.91×	2.09

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk even goals	54.3%	50.9%	54.3%	0.94×	1.96
Dundalk odd goals	45.7%	49.1%	45.7%	1.07×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
HT 0-1	18.1%	20.0%	—	—	4.99
HT 1-0	17.7%	20.0%	—	—	4.99
HT 1-1	10.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 0-2	5.0%	8.0%	—	—	12.49
HT 2-0	4.8%	2.5%	—	—	40.33
Any other HT score	3.4%	2.5%	—	—	40.39
HT 1-2	2.7%	2.5%	—	—	40.43
HT 2-1	2.6%	2.5%	—	—	40.43
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.5%	—	—	40.52

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic at HT / St. Patrick's Athletic at FT	20.4%	20.5%	—	—	4.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.2%	20.5%	—	—	4.89
Dundalk at HT / Dundalk at FT	18.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.82
Draw at HT / St. Patrick's Athletic at FT	14.2%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
Draw at HT / Dundalk at FT	11.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.21
Dundalk at HT / Draw at FT	6.0%	6.4%	—	—	15.58
St. Patrick's Athletic at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.4%	—	—	15.59
Dundalk at HT / St. Patrick's Athletic at FT	2.6%	3.7%	—	—	27.32
St. Patrick's Athletic at HT / Dundalk at FT	1.9%	3.7%	—	—	27.34

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Patrick's Athletic to score last	47.2%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Dundalk to score last	42.7%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
No goal scored	10.1%	7.2%	—	—	13.81

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.9%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
St. Patrick's Athletic to lead by 1 at any time	54.3%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Dundalk to lead by 1 at any time	49.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	43.7%	41.3%	—	—	2.42
St. Patrick's Athletic to lead by 2 at any time	24.0%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
Dundalk to lead by 2 at any time	19.8%	17.3%	—	—	5.77
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
St. Patrick's Athletic to lead by 3 at any time	8.3%	7.6%	—	—	13.15
Dundalk to lead by 3 at any time	6.2%	7.6%	—	—	13.20

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.2%	87.1%	86.2%	1.01×	1.15
1-4 goals	77.9%	77.9%	77.9%	1.00×	1.28
2-6 goals	73.8%	72.1%	70.9%	1.02×	1.39
2-5 goals	70.7%	72.1%	68.4%	1.05×	1.39
1-3 goals	63.9%	62.7%	65.0%	0.96×	1.60
2-4 goals	63.4%	62.7%	60.1%	1.04×	1.60
2-3 goals	49.4%	47.4%	47.2%	1.00×	2.11
3-6 goals	46.0%	47.4%	46.3%	1.02×	2.11
3-5 goals	42.9%	43.7%	43.9%	1.00×	2.29
1-2 goals	42.2%	43.7%	42.6%	1.02×	2.29
3-4 goals	35.7%	39.0%	35.6%	1.10×	2.56
4-6 goals	24.3%	23.8%	23.9%	0.99×	4.20
4-5 goals	21.2%	23.8%	21.5%	1.11×	4.20
5-6 goals	10.3%	13.5%	11.0%	1.22×	7.41
7+ goals	1.7%	2.2%	2.1%	1.04×	44.60

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk never behind	35.6%	47.3%	—	—	2.12
St. Patrick's Athletic never behind	40.8%	46.2%	—	—	2.16

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	55.3%	51.2%	49.7%	1.03×	1.95
Odd number of goals	44.7%	48.8%	50.3%	0.97×	2.05

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.8%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Odd goals in 1st half	43.2%	44.9%	—	—	2.23

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.2%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.9%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.2%	96.0%	95.4%	1.01×	1.04
Over 0.5 goals	89.9%	87.7%	90.5%	0.97×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	88.0%	87.7%	87.1%	1.01×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	75.4%	77.0%	72.7%	1.06×	1.30
Under 3.5 goals	74.0%	72.2%	74.2%	0.97×	1.39
Under 2.5 goals	52.3%	52.1%	51.8%	1.01×	1.92
Over 2.5 goals	47.7%	47.9%	48.2%	0.99×	2.09
Over 3.5 goals	26.0%	27.8%	25.8%	1.08×	3.60
Under 1.5 goals	24.6%	23.0%	27.3%	0.84×	4.35
Over 4.5 goals	12.0%	12.3%	12.9%	0.95×	8.14
Under 0.5 goals	10.1%	12.3%	9.5%	1.29×	8.14
Over 5.5 goals	4.8%	4.0%	4.6%	0.86×	25.24

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.3%	97.3%	97.8%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.9%	92.0%	95.0%	0.97×	1.09
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	86.0%	86.6%	85.2%	1.02×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	66.8%	67.4%	66.8%	1.01×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	66.0%	67.4%	63.8%	1.06×	1.48
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	34.0%	32.6%	36.2%	0.90×	3.07
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.2%	32.6%	33.2%	0.98×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	14.0%	13.4%	14.8%	0.90×	7.49
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.1%	8.0%	5.0%	1.59×	12.56
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.7%	2.7%	2.2%	1.24×	36.70

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.6%	91.6%	—	—	1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.6%	73.4%	—	—	1.36
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.3%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.7%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.4%	26.6%	—	—	3.75
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.4%	8.4%	—	—	11.92

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.6%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.5%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.5%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.96
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.4%	17.4%	—	—	5.75

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk not to score in both halves	79.3%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
St. Patrick's Athletic not to score in both halves	76.8%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
St. Patrick's Athletic to score in both halves	23.2%	23.7%	—	—	4.22
Dundalk to score in both halves	20.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.0%	54.5%	56.1%	0.97×	1.84
Only St. Patrick's Athletic scores	19.2%	17.1%	12.3%	1.40×	5.83
Only Dundalk scores	15.8%	17.1%	22.7%	0.76×	5.84
Neither team scores	10.1%	11.1%	9.5%	1.16×	9.05

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.7%	25.0%	24.8%	1.00×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	21.7%	22.3%	22.7%	0.98×	4.48
Exactly 1 goals	14.5%	12.3%	18.1%	0.68×	8.13
Exactly 4 goals	14.0%	12.3%	13.2%	0.93×	8.13
Exactly 0 goals	10.1%	12.3%	9.5%	1.29×	8.13
Exactly 5 goals	7.2%	7.8%	8.6%	0.90×	12.89
6 or more goals	4.8%	4.1%	4.6%	0.88×	24.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.5%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
1 goal in 2nd half	31.6%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
No goals in 2nd half	22.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.96

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk not to win both halves	92.3%	92.2%	—	—	1.08
St. Patrick's Athletic not to win both halves	90.2%	92.2%	—	—	1.09
St. Patrick's Athletic to win both halves	9.8%	7.8%	—	—	12.83
Dundalk to win both halves	7.7%	7.8%	—	—	12.90

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk to win neither half	53.4%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
St. Patrick's Athletic to win either half	51.9%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
St. Patrick's Athletic to win neither half	48.1%	48.9%	—	—	2.04
Dundalk to win either half	46.6%	48.9%	—	—	2.05

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundalk not to win to nil	84.2%	82.7%	77.3%	1.07×	1.21
St. Patrick's Athletic not to win to nil	80.8%	82.6%	87.7%	0.94×	1.21
St. Patrick's Athletic to win to nil	19.2%	17.4%	12.3%	1.41×	5.76
Dundalk to win to nil	15.8%	17.3%	22.7%	0.76×	5.77

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	31.5%	29.1%	31.3%	0.93×	3.44
St. Patrick's Athletic by 1	18.9%	17.3%	20.2%	0.86×	5.78
Dundalk by 1	17.0%	17.3%	23.3%	0.74×	5.78
St. Patrick's Athletic by 2	11.7%	11.8%	6.4%	1.83×	8.46
Dundalk by 2	9.6%	7.3%	10.7%	0.68×	13.65
St. Patrick's Athletic by 3+	6.6%	7.3%	2.1%	3.41×	13.66
Dundalk by 3+	4.8%	3.0%	7.4%	0.40×	33.80