betaider.com
Sign in

Dundee United v Heart of Midlothian — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Dundee United win
23.2%
model 21.7%
Draw
23.2%
model 24.6%
Heart of Midlothian win
53.6%
model 53.7%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 0-1 13.0%
  2. 1-1 11.7%
  3. 0-2 10.3%
  4. 1-2 9.5%
  5. 0-0 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.546.4% Under 2.553.6%
BTTS yes48.0% BTTS no52.0%
Dundee United 1+60.2% Dundee United 2+23.5%
Heart of Midlothian 1+80.0% Heart of Midlothian 2+47.8%

Expected goals 0.92 – 1.61. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
84/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
Heart of Midlothian (-0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 31%
52.2% fair odds 1.92
strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Dundee United not to score in both halves
Score both halves
84.3% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Heart of Midlothian carry the stronger rating, 1695 Elo against 1439.
  • Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Heart of Midlothian have an estimated 53.6% win probability, against 23.2% for the draw and 23.2% for Dundee United. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.92 for Dundee United and 1.61 for Heart of Midlothian.

Why Dundee United

Nothing in the data singles out Dundee United.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.2%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Heart of Midlothian can win

Heart of Midlothian carry the stronger rating, 1695 Elo against 1439. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Dundee United, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Heart of Midlothian, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Dundee United: 51% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Heart of Midlothian: 34% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Heart of Midlothian are the model's most likely outcome at 53.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 13.0%. Confidence 84/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 0.92–1.61 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 0.90–1.72 0-1 13% 48% 48%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian to win 56.8% 53.9% 31.0% 1.74× 1.86
Draw 23.5% 24.5% 23.3% 1.05× 4.09
Dundee United to win 19.7% 19.4% 45.9% 0.42× 5.15
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian & not both score 33.5% 29.6% 14.9% 1.99× 3.38
Heart of Midlothian & both teams score 23.3% 21.8% 16.3% 1.34× 4.59
Draw & both teams score 16.3% 18.0% 17.8% 1.01× 5.57
Dundee United & not both score 10.8% 13.3% 27.5% 0.48× 7.54
Dundee United & both teams score 8.9% 8.3% 18.6% 0.45× 12.00
Draw & not both score 7.2% 8.3% 5.8% 1.44× 12.00
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian & over 1.5 44.1% 40.3% 24.4% 1.65× 2.48
Heart of Midlothian & under 3.5 39.3% 34.9% 22.5% 1.55× 2.87
Heart of Midlothian & over 2.5 33.3% 30.8% 20.5% 1.50× 3.25
Heart of Midlothian & under 2.5 23.5% 21.6% 10.7% 2.01× 4.63
Draw & under 2.5 18.3% 18.0% 14.9% 1.21× 5.55
Draw & under 3.5 18.3% 18.0% 14.9% 1.21× 5.55
Heart of Midlothian & over 3.5 17.5% 18.0% 8.7% 2.07× 5.55
Dundee United & under 3.5 15.6% 18.0% 30.2% 0.60× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 16.3% 18.0% 17.8% 1.01× 5.56
Dundee United & over 1.5 13.0% 12.8% 36.6% 0.35× 7.79
Heart of Midlothian & under 1.5 12.7% 12.8% 6.8% 1.88× 7.79
Dundee United & over 2.5 10.0% 12.8% 28.1% 0.46× 7.79
Dundee United & under 2.5 9.7% 7.9% 18.0% 0.44× 12.62
Dundee United & under 1.5 6.7% 7.9% 9.5% 0.83× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 7.2% 7.9% 5.8% 1.37× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 5.2% 7.9% 8.7% 0.91× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 5.2% 7.9% 8.7% 0.91× 12.63
Dundee United & over 3.5 4.1% 4.8% 15.9% 0.30× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian (1UP) 69.0% 70.4% — — 1.42
Dundee United (1UP) 36.2% 34.1% — — 2.93
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian (2UP) 56.8% 54.7% — — 1.83
Dundee United (2UP) 19.7% 17.2% — — 5.81
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian to win 2nd half 47.7% 45.2% — — 2.21
2nd half drawn 34.2% 34.0% — — 2.94
Dundee United to win 2nd half 18.1% 17.9% — — 5.58
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian under 1.5 in 2nd half 72.5% 75.5% — — 1.32
Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 in 2nd half 64.3% 60.4% — — 1.66
Heart of Midlothian under 0.5 in 2nd half 35.7% 39.6% — — 2.53
Heart of Midlothian over 1.5 in 2nd half 27.5% 24.5% — — 4.09
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee United under 1.5 in 2nd half 90.6% 93.7% — — 1.07
Dundee United under 0.5 in 2nd half 59.9% 58.3% — — 1.72
Dundee United over 0.5 in 2nd half 40.1% 41.7% — — 2.40
Dundee United over 1.5 in 2nd half 9.4% 6.3% — — 15.85
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian (+2.5) 98.4% 96.3% 87.8% 1.10× 1.04
Heart of Midlothian (+1.5) 93.6% 92.1% 73.6% 1.25× 1.09
Heart of Midlothian (+0.5) 80.3% 82.6% 54.1% 1.53× 1.21
Heart of Midlothian (-0.5) 56.8% 57.1% 31.0% 1.84× 1.75
Dundee United (+0.5) 43.2% 42.9% 69.0% 0.62× 2.33
Dundee United (-0.5) 19.7% 17.4% 45.9% 0.38× 5.73
Dundee United (-1.5) 6.4% 7.9% 26.4% 0.30× 12.71
Dundee United (-2.5) 1.6% 3.7% 12.2% 0.30× 27.24
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian to concede 59.3% 62.5% 79.5% 0.79× 1.60
Heart of Midlothian clean sheet 40.7% 37.5% 20.5% 1.83× 2.67
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian clean sheet in 1st half 67.9% 71.4% — — 1.40
Heart of Midlothian to concede in 1st half 32.1% 28.6% — — 3.50
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian clean sheet in 2nd half 59.9% 57.5% — — 1.74
Heart of Midlothian to concede in 2nd half 40.1% 42.5% — — 2.35
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian over 2.5 corners 85.9% 85.2% — — 1.17
Heart of Midlothian over 3.5 corners 73.2% 71.6% — — 1.40
Heart of Midlothian under 6.5 corners 69.3% 67.6% — — 1.48
Heart of Midlothian over 4.5 corners 58.4% 57.2% — — 1.75
Heart of Midlothian under 5.5 corners 56.3% 57.2% — — 1.75
Heart of Midlothian over 5.5 corners 43.7% 42.8% — — 2.34
Heart of Midlothian under 4.5 corners 41.6% 42.8% — — 2.34
Heart of Midlothian over 6.5 corners 30.7% 32.4% — — 3.09
Heart of Midlothian under 3.5 corners 26.8% 28.4% — — 3.53
Heart of Midlothian under 2.5 corners 14.1% 14.8% — — 6.77
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian under 3.5 goals 90.5% 92.3% 96.3% 0.96× 1.08
Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 goals 82.0% 81.5% 66.9% 1.22× 1.23
Heart of Midlothian under 2.5 goals 75.3% 76.2% 85.5% 0.89× 1.31
Heart of Midlothian over 1.5 goals 51.1% 53.5% 36.8% 1.46× 1.87
Heart of Midlothian under 1.5 goals 48.9% 46.5% 63.2% 0.74× 2.15
Heart of Midlothian over 2.5 goals 24.7% 23.8% 14.5% 1.64× 4.21
Heart of Midlothian under 0.5 goals 18.0% 18.5% 33.1% 0.56× 5.41
Heart of Midlothian over 3.5 goals 9.5% 7.7% 3.7% 2.06× 13.05
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian under 1.5 in 1st half 84.9% 82.8% — — 1.21
Heart of Midlothian under 0.5 in 1st half 50.4% 55.7% — — 1.80
Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 in 1st half 49.6% 44.3% — — 2.26
Heart of Midlothian over 1.5 in 1st half 15.1% 17.2% — — 5.83
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian scores more in 2nd half 42.9% 43.7% — — 2.29
Heart of Midlothian scores equally in both 33.1% 33.3% — — 3.00
Heart of Midlothian scores more in 1st half 23.9% 21.8% — — 4.58
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 54.4% 51.7% 33.7% 1.53× 1.93
Dundee United (away no bet) 45.6% 48.3% 66.3% 0.73× 2.07
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian even goals 51.6% 52.6% 57.6% 0.91× 1.90
Heart of Midlothian odd goals 48.4% 47.4% 42.4% 1.12× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 86.7% 87.8% — — 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 13.3% 12.2% — — 8.23
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 61.3% 57.4% — — 1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals 38.7% 42.6% — — 2.35
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 55.4% 54.8% — — 1.82
Heart of Midlothian to score 2+ in a row 44.2% 38.8% — — 2.57
Either team to score 3+ in a row 21.2% 19.5% — — 5.13
Heart of Midlothian to score 3+ in a row 18.1% 16.2% — — 6.19
Dundee United to score 2+ in a row 15.8% 16.1% — — 6.21
Dundee United to score 3+ in a row 3.2% 2.6% — — 39.00
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian corners (+3.5) 90.3% 89.6% — — 1.12
Heart of Midlothian corners (+2.5) 84.6% 79.8% — — 1.25
Heart of Midlothian corners (+1.5) 76.8% 74.8% — — 1.34
Dundee United corners (+3.5) 75.5% 74.8% — — 1.34
Dundee United corners (+2.5) 66.0% 65.9% — — 1.52
Dundee United corners (+1.5) 55.2% 57.2% — — 1.75
Heart of Midlothian corners (-1.5) 44.8% 42.8% — — 2.33
Heart of Midlothian corners (-2.5) 34.0% 34.1% — — 2.93
Heart of Midlothian corners (-3.5) 24.5% 25.2% — — 3.97
Dundee United corners (-1.5) 23.2% 25.2% — — 3.97
Dundee United corners (-2.5) 15.4% 20.2% — — 4.95
Dundee United corners (-3.5) 9.7% 10.4% — — 9.59
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 40.6% 38.3% — — 2.61
9-11 corners 31.0% 33.2% — — 3.01
12+ corners 28.4% 31.2% — — 3.21
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 79.4% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 11.5 corners 71.6% 72.5% — — 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 70.3% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 10.5 corners 62.3% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 8.5 corners 59.4% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 9.5 corners 51.8% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 9.5 corners 48.2% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 8.5 corners 40.6% 42.1% — — 2.37
Over 10.5 corners 37.7% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 7.5 corners 29.7% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 11.5 corners 28.4% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 12.5 corners 20.6% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-1 12.7% 11.5% 6.8% 1.68× 8.71
0-2 10.8% 11.5% 4.1% 2.78× 8.72
1-1 11.2% 11.5% 9.3% 1.23× 8.72
1-2 9.7% 7.4% 8.9% 0.83× 13.51
0-0 7.2% 7.4% 5.8% 1.28× 13.51
1-0 6.7% 7.4% 9.5% 0.78× 13.51
0-3 6.2% 7.4% 3.3% 2.24× 13.51
1-3 5.5% 7.4% 3.1% 2.39× 13.51
2-1 5.1% 7.4% 7.0% 1.05× 13.51
0-4 2.6% 1.7% 0.4% 4.15× 58.30
1-4 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 2.08× 58.31
2-0 3.0% 1.7% 8.7% 0.20× 58.30
2-2 4.4% 1.7% 6.6% 0.26× 58.29
2-3 2.5% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.31
2-4 1.1% 1.7% 0.8% 2.08× 58.31
3-0 0.9% 1.7% 5.6% 0.31× 58.31
3-1 1.5% 1.7% 5.6% 0.31× 58.31
3-2 1.3% 1.7% 2.9% 0.59× 58.31
3-3 0.7% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.31
3-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.4% 4.15× 58.32
4-0 0.2% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.32
4-1 0.3% 1.7% 1.4% 1.19× 58.32
4-2 0.3% 1.7% 0.6% 2.77× 58.32
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.8% 2.07× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 8.30× 58.32
Any other score 3.3% 1.7% 4.1% 0.42× 58.30
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian (2nd half DNB) 72.4% 71.4% — — 1.40
Dundee United (2nd half DNB) 27.6% 28.6% — — 3.50
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian leading at HT (DNB) 67.5% 73.7% — — 1.36
Dundee United leading at HT (DNB) 32.5% 26.3% — — 3.80
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian or draw (X2) 80.3% 80.6% 54.1% 1.49× 1.24
Dundee United or Heart of Midlothian (12) 76.5% 75.5% 76.7% 0.99× 1.32
Dundee United or draw (1X) 43.2% 46.1% 69.0% 0.67× 2.17
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian or draw at HT 81.7% 84.0% — — 1.19
Dundee United or draw at HT 62.1% 61.0% — — 1.64
Dundee United or Heart of Midlothian at HT 56.1% 57.4% — — 1.74
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian or draw (1UP) 80.3% 88.5% — — 1.13
Dundee United or draw (1UP) 43.2% 52.9% — — 1.89
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian or draw in 2nd half 81.9% 82.1% — — 1.22
Dundee United or Heart of Midlothian in 2nd half 65.8% 66.0% — — 1.52
Dundee United or draw in 2nd half 52.3% 54.8% — — 1.83
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 63.2% 61.4% — — 1.63
Neither half drawn 36.8% 38.6% — — 2.59
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian (DNB) 74.2% 71.5% 40.3% 1.77× 1.40
Dundee United (DNB) 25.8% 28.5% 59.7% 0.48× 3.51
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian to score first 60.9% 63.8% — — 1.57
Dundee United to score first 31.9% 27.8% — — 3.60
No goal scored 7.2% 7.6% — — 13.22
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 51.5% 51.3% 47.7% 1.07× 1.95
Both teams to score 48.5% 48.7% 52.3% 0.93× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 40.3% 41.6% 34.1% 1.22× 2.41
Both score & over 2.5 37.3% 38.5% 43.2% 0.89× 2.60
Both score & under 2.5 11.2% 12.4% 9.3% 1.33× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 11.2% 12.4% 13.8% 0.89× 8.09
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 88.4% 85.6% 83.9% 1.02× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 11.6% 14.4% 16.1% 0.89× 6.96
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 74.3% 73.7% — — 1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half 25.7% 26.3% — — 3.81
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 62.5% 65.9% — — 1.52
Both score 2nd half only 21.6% 21.2% — — 4.72
Both score 1st half only 11.8% 10.7% — — 9.31
Both score in both halves 4.1% 4.9% — — 20.32
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 84.1% 83.5% — — 1.20
Both teams to score by HT 15.9% 16.5% — — 6.05
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 51.6% 52.6% — — 1.90
A half without a goal 48.4% 47.4% — — 2.11
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 46.7% 47.2% 45.7% 1.03× 2.12
0-1 goals 26.6% 26.6% 21.7% 1.23× 3.76
4-6 goals 24.9% 22.9% 31.2% 0.74× 4.36
7+ goals 1.8% 1.8% 1.9% 0.99× 54.39
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 1 30.9% 33.8% 30.4% 1.11× 2.96
Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 2 26.5% 27.4% 22.5% 1.22× 3.65
Heart of Midlothian to score 3+ 24.7% 22.3% 14.5% 1.54× 4.49
Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 0 18.0% 19.5% 33.1% 0.59× 5.12
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee United to score exactly 1 36.6% 35.5% 31.2% 1.14× 2.81
Dundee United to score exactly 0 40.7% 35.1% 20.5% 1.72× 2.85
Dundee United to score exactly 2 16.4% 18.8% 25.0% 0.75× 5.32
Dundee United to score 3+ 6.3% 10.3% 23.8% 0.43× 9.68
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 43.9% 42.6% — — 2.35
Heart of Midlothian leading at HT 37.9% 39.0% — — 2.56
Dundee United leading at HT 18.3% 16.0% — — 6.25
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian -1: 1 43.2% 42.8% — — 2.34
Heart of Midlothian -1: 2 31.6% 30.1% — — 3.33
Heart of Midlothian -1: X 25.2% 26.5% — — 3.77
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian (0:1) 80.3% 77.8% 54.1% 1.44× 1.29
Draw (0:1) 13.3% 13.7% 19.6% 0.70× 7.29
Dundee United (0:1) 6.4% 9.2% 26.4% 0.35× 10.87
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian (0:2) 93.6% 90.8% 73.6% 1.23× 1.10
Draw (0:2) 4.8% 3.8% 14.5% 0.26× 26.62
Dundee United (0:2) 1.6% 3.7% 12.2% 0.31× 26.81
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian (0:3) 98.4% 96.6% 87.8% 1.10× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 1.3% 2.4% 6.8% 0.35× 42.08
Dundee United (0:3) 0.3% 2.4% 5.6% 0.43× 42.13
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian (0:4) 99.7% 98.1% 94.4% 1.04× 1.02
Dundee United (0:4) 0.1% 1.2% 1.0% 1.18× 81.90
Draw (0:4) 0.3% 1.2% 4.8% 0.26× 81.87
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee United (1:0) 43.2% 43.5% 69.0% 0.63× 2.30
Heart of Midlothian (1:0) 31.6% 30.0% 13.4% 2.23× 3.34
Draw (1:0) 25.2% 25.0% 17.8% 1.41× 4.00
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee United (2:0) 68.4% 71.0% 86.6% 0.82× 1.41
Draw (2:0) 17.5% 15.9% 7.6% 2.08× 6.30
Heart of Midlothian (2:0) 14.1% 10.3% 6.0% 1.72× 9.70
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 48.2% 48.7% — — 2.06
1st half highest scoring 26.5% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 25.3% 26.2% — — 3.81
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee United to concede 82.0% 81.0% 66.9% 1.21× 1.24
Dundee United clean sheet 18.0% 19.0% 33.1% 0.58× 5.25
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee United clean sheet in 1st half 50.4% 55.7% — — 1.80
Dundee United to concede in 1st half 49.6% 44.3% — — 2.26
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee United to concede in 2nd half 64.3% 59.9% — — 1.67
Dundee United clean sheet in 2nd half 35.7% 40.1% — — 2.50
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee United under 6.5 corners 83.3% 81.0% — — 1.24
Dundee United over 2.5 corners 75.6% 76.5% — — 1.31
Dundee United under 5.5 corners 72.7% 71.9% — — 1.39
Dundee United over 3.5 corners 58.5% 57.5% — — 1.74
Dundee United under 4.5 corners 58.5% 57.5% — — 1.74
Dundee United under 3.5 corners 41.5% 42.5% — — 2.35
Dundee United over 4.5 corners 41.5% 42.5% — — 2.35
Dundee United over 5.5 corners 27.3% 28.1% — — 3.56
Dundee United under 2.5 corners 24.4% 23.5% — — 4.26
Dundee United over 6.5 corners 16.7% 19.0% — — 5.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee United under 3.5 goals 98.7% 96.4% 92.1% 1.05× 1.04
Dundee United under 2.5 goals 93.7% 92.2% 76.2% 1.21× 1.08
Dundee United under 1.5 goals 77.3% 77.8% 51.4% 1.51× 1.29
Dundee United over 0.5 goals 59.3% 58.7% 79.5% 0.74× 1.71
Dundee United under 0.5 goals 40.7% 41.3% 20.5% 2.02× 2.42
Dundee United over 1.5 goals 22.7% 22.2% 48.6% 0.46× 4.50
Dundee United over 2.5 goals 6.3% 7.8% 23.8% 0.33× 12.85
Dundee United over 3.5 goals 1.3% 3.6% 7.9% 0.46× 27.63
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee United under 1.5 in 1st half 94.2% 94.9% — — 1.05
Dundee United under 0.5 in 1st half 67.9% 69.5% — — 1.44
Dundee United over 0.5 in 1st half 32.1% 30.5% — — 3.28
Dundee United over 1.5 in 1st half 5.8% 5.1% — — 19.57
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee United scores equally in both 49.2% 47.3% — — 2.11
Dundee United scores more in 2nd half 29.8% 27.9% — — 3.59
Dundee United scores more in 1st half 21.0% 21.0% — — 4.76
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian (home no bet) 70.7% 66.7% 57.0% 1.17× 1.50
Draw (home no bet) 29.3% 33.3% 43.0% 0.77× 3.01
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee United even goals 58.3% 55.3% 51.7% 1.07× 1.81
Dundee United odd goals 41.7% 44.7% 48.3% 0.92× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 34.2% 33.6% — — 2.97
HT 0-1 23.5% 24.4% — — 4.11
HT 1-0 13.3% 11.0% — — 9.09
HT 1-1 9.0% 6.9% — — 14.52
HT 0-2 8.1% 6.9% — — 14.53
Any other HT score 3.9% 2.4% — — 42.15
HT 1-2 3.1% 2.4% — — 42.20
HT 2-0 2.6% 2.4% — — 42.24
HT 2-1 1.8% 2.4% — — 42.29
HT 2-2 0.6% 2.4% — — 42.36
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT 32.7% 32.9% — — 3.04
Draw at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT 21.0% 21.5% — — 4.64
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 14.8% 12.7% — — 7.88
Dundee United at HT / Dundee United at FT 10.6% 12.7% — — 7.91
Draw at HT / Dundee United at FT 8.0% 6.1% — — 16.46
Dundee United at HT / Draw at FT 4.6% 3.5% — — 28.85
Heart of Midlothian at HT / Draw at FT 4.0% 3.5% — — 28.87
Dundee United at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT 3.1% 3.5% — — 28.91
Heart of Midlothian at HT / Dundee United at FT 1.1% 3.5% — — 28.98
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian to score last 60.9% 61.9% — — 1.62
Dundee United to score last 31.9% 32.4% — — 3.08
No goal scored 7.2% 7.6% — — 13.22
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 92.8% 92.5% — — 1.08
Heart of Midlothian to lead by 1 at any time 69.0% 69.4% — — 1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 47.5% 44.3% — — 2.26
Heart of Midlothian to lead by 2 at any time 37.4% 34.8% — — 2.87
Dundee United to lead by 1 at any time 36.2% 34.8% — — 2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 18.7% 14.9% — — 6.73
Heart of Midlothian to lead by 3 at any time 16.3% 14.8% — — 6.75
Dundee United to lead by 2 at any time 10.3% 10.6% — — 9.47
Dundee United to lead by 3 at any time 2.4% 1.6% — — 62.93
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian most corners 56.2% 55.6% — — 1.80
Dundee United most corners 32.8% 34.4% — — 2.91
Corners level 11.0% 10.4% — — 9.59
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 87.8% 87.4% 87.0% 1.00× 1.14
1-4 goals 80.4% 83.4% 79.8% 1.05× 1.20
2-6 goals 71.6% 72.3% 76.7% 0.94× 1.38
2-5 goals 68.4% 68.8% 71.1% 0.97× 1.45
1-3 goals 66.1% 68.8% 61.6% 1.12× 1.45
2-4 goals 60.9% 63.3% 63.8% 0.99× 1.58
2-3 goals 46.7% 48.4% 45.7% 1.06× 2.06
3-6 goals 46.8% 48.4% 55.2% 0.88× 2.06
1-2 goals 44.3% 43.6% 37.6% 1.16× 2.29
3-5 goals 43.5% 43.6% 49.6% 0.88× 2.29
3-4 goals 36.1% 39.2% 42.4% 0.92× 2.55
4-6 goals 24.9% 24.5% 31.2% 0.78× 4.09
4-5 goals 21.7% 24.4% 25.6% 0.95× 4.09
5-6 goals 10.7% 14.8% 13.0% 1.14× 6.76
7+ goals 1.8% 2.6% 1.9% 1.37× 39.19
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian never behind 56.6% 62.2% — — 1.61
Dundee United never behind 23.9% 25.2% — — 3.96
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 50.0% 50.9% 51.2% 0.99× 1.97
Odd number of goals 50.0% 49.1% 48.8% 1.01× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 55.8% 57.8% — — 1.73
Odd goals in 1st half 44.2% 42.2% — — 2.37
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.2% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.8% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 95.0% 95.4% 92.6% 1.03× 1.05
Over 0.5 goals 92.8% 92.3% 94.2% 0.98× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 87.6% 87.6% 85.3% 1.03× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 73.4% 72.5% 78.3% 0.93× 1.38
Under 3.5 goals 73.3% 72.5% 67.1% 1.08× 1.38
Under 2.5 goals 51.5% 52.5% 43.2% 1.22× 1.90
Over 2.5 goals 48.5% 47.5% 56.8% 0.84× 2.11
Under 1.5 goals 26.6% 27.5% 21.7% 1.27× 3.64
Over 3.5 goals 26.7% 27.5% 32.9% 0.84× 3.64
Over 4.5 goals 12.4% 12.4% 14.7% 0.85× 8.07
Under 0.5 goals 7.2% 7.7% 5.8% 1.34× 12.94
Over 5.5 goals 5.0% 4.6% 7.4% 0.62× 21.79
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.2% 97.2% 98.0% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 94.6% 92.4% 92.0% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 85.5% 86.7% 82.1% 1.06× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 65.9% 67.5% 56.8% 1.19× 1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 64.6% 61.9% 72.4% 0.86× 1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 35.4% 38.1% 27.6% 1.38× 2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 34.1% 32.5% 43.2% 0.75× 3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 14.5% 13.3% 17.9% 0.74× 7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 5.4% 7.6% 8.0% 0.94× 13.20
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.8% 2.8% 2.0% 1.43× 35.63
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 90.6% 92.7% — — 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 70.9% 71.3% — — 1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half 65.8% 68.5% — — 1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half 34.2% 31.5% — — 3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half 29.1% 28.7% — — 3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half 9.4% 7.3% — — 13.65
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 79.8% 79.6% — — 1.26
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 78.6% 79.5% — — 1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 54.5% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 45.5% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 21.4% 20.5% — — 4.89
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 20.2% 20.4% — — 4.90
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee United not to score in both halves 87.1% 85.6% — — 1.17
Heart of Midlothian not to score in both halves 68.1% 70.1% — — 1.43
Heart of Midlothian to score in both halves 31.9% 29.9% — — 3.34
Dundee United to score in both halves 12.9% 14.4% — — 6.94
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 48.5% 50.7% 52.3% 0.97× 1.97
Only Heart of Midlothian scores 33.5% 33.3% 14.9% 2.24× 3.00
Only Dundee United scores 10.8% 11.0% 27.5% 0.40× 9.07
Neither team scores 7.2% 7.1% 5.8% 1.23× 14.01
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 24.9% 22.6% 21.7% 1.04× 4.43
Exactly 3 goals 21.8% 22.6% 24.2% 0.93× 4.43
Exactly 1 goals 19.4% 17.5% 16.1% 1.08× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 14.3% 12.1% 18.4% 0.66× 8.25
Exactly 5 goals 7.5% 7.6% 7.4% 1.02× 13.14
Exactly 0 goals 7.2% 7.6% 5.8% 1.32× 13.14
6 or more goals 5.0% 4.5% 7.4% 0.60× 22.32
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 36.7% 37.2% — — 2.69
No goals in 1st half 34.2% 35.8% — — 2.79
2 goals in 1st half 19.7% 15.8% — — 6.33
3+ goals in 1st half 9.4% 7.3% — — 13.65
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 45.5% 44.7% — — 2.24
1 goal in 2nd half 33.1% 33.9% — — 2.95
No goals in 2nd half 21.4% 22.9% — — 4.38
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee United not to win both halves 96.7% 97.2% — — 1.03
Heart of Midlothian not to win both halves 82.0% 83.4% — — 1.20
Heart of Midlothian to win both halves 18.0% 16.6% — — 6.03
Dundee United to win both halves 3.3% 2.8% — — 35.85
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian to win either half 67.5% 67.9% — — 1.47
Dundee United to win neither half 66.9% 67.8% — — 1.47
Dundee United to win either half 33.1% 32.2% — — 3.11
Heart of Midlothian to win neither half 32.5% 32.1% — — 3.11
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee United not to win to nil 89.2% 88.1% 72.5% 1.22× 1.14
Heart of Midlothian not to win to nil 66.5% 69.7% 85.1% 0.82× 1.44
Heart of Midlothian to win to nil 33.5% 30.3% 14.9% 2.04× 3.30
Dundee United to win to nil 10.8% 11.9% 27.5% 0.43× 8.43
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Heart of Midlothian by 1 25.2% 27.9% 17.8% 1.57× 3.59
Draw 23.5% 24.1% 23.3% 1.03× 4.15
Heart of Midlothian by 2 17.5% 17.0% 7.6% 2.23× 5.87
Heart of Midlothian by 3+ 14.1% 11.8% 6.0% 1.96× 8.50
Dundee United by 1 13.3% 11.8% 19.6% 0.60× 8.50
Dundee United by 2 4.8% 2.7% 14.5% 0.19× 36.82
Dundee United by 3+ 1.6% 2.7% 12.2% 0.22× 36.92
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
↑↓ to move ↵ to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide