Dundee United v Motherwell — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Dundee United

15:00 UTC

Motherwell

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 268h before kick-off

Dundee United win

26.7%

model 25.7%

Draw

22.2%

model 24.0%

Motherwell win

51.0%

model 50.3%

272251

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.4%
0-1 10.4%
1-2 9.6%
0-2 8.6%
1-0 7.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	52.7%	Under 2.5	47.3%
BTTS yes	54.5%	BTTS no	45.5%
Dundee United 1+	67.3%	Dundee United 2+	30.8%
Motherwell 1+	81.1%	Motherwell 2+	49.6%

Expected goals 1.12 – 1.67. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

85/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Motherwell (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 31%

52.1% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 4341 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Motherwell carry the stronger rating, 1605 Elo against 1439.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Motherwell have an estimated 51.0% win probability, against 26.7% for Dundee United and 22.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.12 for Dundee United and 1.67 for Motherwell.

Why Dundee United

Nothing in the data singles out Dundee United.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Motherwell can win

Motherwell carry the stronger rating, 1605 Elo against 1439. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Dundee United, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Motherwell, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Dundee United: 51% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Motherwell: 57% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Motherwell are the model's most likely outcome at 51.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.4%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	262450	1.12–1.67	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	232552	0.99–1.61	0-1 12%	48%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to win	51.9%	51.5%	31.0%	1.66×	1.94
Draw	24.6%	24.5%	23.3%	1.05×	4.09
Dundee United to win	23.5%	24.5%	45.9%	0.53×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell & not both score	29.8%	25.2%	14.9%	1.69×	3.97
Motherwell & both teams score	22.1%	21.8%	16.3%	1.33×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	17.4%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.57
Dundee United & not both score	12.7%	13.3%	27.5%	0.48×	7.54
Dundee United & both teams score	10.7%	13.3%	18.6%	0.71×	7.54
Draw & not both score	7.3%	8.3%	5.8%	1.44×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell & over 1.5	39.9%	34.9%	24.4%	1.43×	2.87
Motherwell & under 3.5	36.4%	34.9%	22.5%	1.55×	2.87
Motherwell & over 2.5	30.2%	30.7%	20.5%	1.50×	3.25
Motherwell & under 2.5	21.7%	21.6%	10.7%	2.01×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	19.0%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.55
Draw & under 3.5	19.0%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.55
Dundee United & under 3.5	18.2%	18.0%	30.2%	0.60×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.4%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Dundee United & over 1.5	16.0%	18.0%	36.6%	0.49×	5.56
Motherwell & over 3.5	15.6%	18.0%	8.7%	2.07×	5.56
Dundee United & over 2.5	12.3%	12.8%	28.1%	0.46×	7.79
Motherwell & under 1.5	12.1%	12.8%	6.8%	1.88×	7.79
Dundee United & under 2.5	11.1%	12.8%	18.0%	0.71×	7.79
Dundee United & under 1.5	7.5%	7.9%	9.5%	0.83×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.3%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.63
Dundee United & over 3.5	5.2%	7.9%	15.9%	0.50×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (1UP)	65.3%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Dundee United (1UP)	40.3%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (2UP)	51.9%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Dundee United (2UP)	23.5%	23.9%	—	—	4.19

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to win 2nd half	44.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
2nd half drawn	35.1%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Dundee United to win 2nd half	20.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.8%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Motherwell over 0.5 in 2nd half	61.9%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Motherwell under 0.5 in 2nd half	38.1%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
Motherwell over 1.5 in 2nd half	25.2%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.9%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Dundee United under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.8%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Dundee United over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.2%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Dundee United over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.05

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (+2.5)	97.7%	96.3%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Motherwell (+1.5)	91.7%	92.1%	73.6%	1.25×	1.09
Motherwell (+0.5)	76.5%	78.5%	54.1%	1.45×	1.27
Motherwell (-0.5)	51.9%	52.4%	31.0%	1.69×	1.91
Dundee United (+0.5)	48.1%	47.6%	69.0%	0.69×	2.10
Dundee United (-0.5)	23.5%	21.5%	45.9%	0.47×	4.65
Dundee United (-1.5)	8.3%	7.9%	26.4%	0.30×	12.69
Dundee United (-2.5)	2.3%	3.7%	12.2%	0.30×	27.19

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to concede	62.9%	67.6%	79.5%	0.85×	1.48
Motherwell clean sheet	37.1%	32.4%	20.5%	1.58×	3.09

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell clean sheet in 1st half	65.3%	71.0%	—	—	1.41
Motherwell to concede in 1st half	34.7%	29.0%	—	—	3.45

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell clean sheet in 2nd half	56.8%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Motherwell to concede in 2nd half	43.2%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 6.5 corners	83.2%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Motherwell over 2.5 corners	75.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Motherwell under 5.5 corners	72.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Motherwell over 3.5 corners	58.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Motherwell under 4.5 corners	58.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Motherwell over 4.5 corners	41.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Motherwell under 3.5 corners	41.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Motherwell over 5.5 corners	27.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Motherwell under 2.5 corners	24.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Motherwell over 6.5 corners	16.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 3.5 goals	92.0%	92.3%	96.3%	0.96×	1.08
Motherwell over 0.5 goals	80.0%	81.5%	66.9%	1.22×	1.23
Motherwell under 2.5 goals	78.1%	76.3%	85.5%	0.89×	1.31
Motherwell under 1.5 goals	52.2%	53.5%	63.2%	0.85×	1.87
Motherwell over 1.5 goals	47.8%	46.5%	36.8%	1.26×	2.15
Motherwell over 2.5 goals	21.9%	23.7%	14.5%	1.64×	4.21
Motherwell under 0.5 goals	20.0%	18.5%	33.1%	0.56×	5.40
Motherwell over 3.5 goals	8.0%	7.7%	3.7%	2.06×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 1.5 in 1st half	86.3%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Motherwell under 0.5 in 1st half	52.5%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Motherwell over 0.5 in 1st half	47.5%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Motherwell over 1.5 in 1st half	13.7%	10.8%	—	—	9.25

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell scores more in 2nd half	41.9%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Motherwell scores equally in both	34.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Motherwell scores more in 1st half	23.6%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	51.2%	51.7%	33.7%	1.53×	1.94
Dundee United (away no bet)	48.8%	48.3%	66.3%	0.73×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell even goals	52.0%	52.6%	57.6%	0.91×	1.90
Motherwell odd goals	48.0%	47.4%	42.4%	1.12×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.9%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.1%	12.1%	—	—	8.23

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	61.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	38.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	54.2%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Motherwell to score 2+ in a row	40.5%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.6%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Dundee United to score 2+ in a row	18.8%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Motherwell to score 3+ in a row	15.5%	16.1%	—	—	6.21
Dundee United to score 3+ in a row	4.2%	2.6%	—	—	38.39

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United corners (+3.5)	87.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Motherwell corners (+3.5)	82.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Dundee United corners (+2.5)	80.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Motherwell corners (+2.5)	74.5%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Dundee United corners (+1.5)	70.8%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Motherwell corners (+1.5)	64.1%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Dundee United corners (-1.5)	35.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Motherwell corners (-1.5)	29.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Dundee United corners (-2.5)	25.5%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Motherwell corners (-2.5)	19.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Dundee United corners (-3.5)	17.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Motherwell corners (-3.5)	12.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	49.0%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	21.2%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	85.4%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	78.8%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	70.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	62.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	60.3%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	51.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	49.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	39.7%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	37.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	29.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	21.2%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	14.6%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	12.1%	11.5%	6.8%	1.68×	8.71
1-1	11.7%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.71
0-2	9.6%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.51
1-2	9.5%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
0-0	7.3%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.51
1-0	7.5%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.51
0-3	5.2%	7.4%	3.3%	2.24×	13.51
1-3	5.1%	7.4%	3.1%	2.39×	13.51
2-1	5.9%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
0-4	2.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.31
1-4	2.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.31
2-0	3.6%	1.7%	8.7%	0.20×	58.30
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.29
2-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.30
2-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.31
3-0	1.2%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.31
3-1	1.9%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.31
3-2	1.6%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.32
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.32
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32
Any other score	2.8%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (2nd half DNB)	67.8%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Dundee United (2nd half DNB)	32.2%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell leading at HT (DNB)	62.8%	66.5%	—	—	1.50
Dundee United leading at HT (DNB)	37.2%	33.5%	—	—	2.98

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw (X2)	76.5%	75.5%	54.1%	1.40×	1.32
Dundee United or Motherwell (12)	75.4%	75.5%	76.7%	0.99×	1.32
Dundee United or draw (1X)	48.1%	48.5%	69.0%	0.70×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw at HT	79.3%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Dundee United or draw at HT	65.0%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Dundee United or Motherwell at HT	55.7%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw (1UP)	76.5%	83.6%	—	—	1.20
Dundee United or draw (1UP)	48.1%	53.0%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw in 2nd half	79.1%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Dundee United or Motherwell in 2nd half	65.0%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Dundee United or draw in 2nd half	56.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.0%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	36.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (DNB)	68.9%	67.5%	40.3%	1.67×	1.48
Dundee United (DNB)	31.1%	32.5%	59.7%	0.54×	3.08

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score first	57.4%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Dundee United to score first	35.4%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
No goal scored	7.3%	7.6%	—	—	13.22

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.2%	51.3%	52.3%	0.98×	1.95
Not both teams to score	49.8%	48.7%	47.7%	1.02×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	40.1%	41.6%	34.1%	1.22×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	38.5%	38.5%	43.2%	0.89×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.7%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.7%	8.3%	13.8%	0.60×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.5%	85.6%	83.9%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.5%	14.4%	16.1%	0.89×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.3%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.7%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.2%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	22.3%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Both score 1st half only	12.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	4.4%	4.9%	—	—	20.25

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.5%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.5%	16.5%	—	—	6.06

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	48.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.7%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
0-1 goals	26.8%	26.6%	21.7%	1.23×	3.76
4-6 goals	24.7%	22.9%	31.2%	0.74×	4.36
7+ goals	1.7%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.39

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score exactly 1	32.2%	33.8%	30.4%	1.11×	2.96
Motherwell to score exactly 2	25.9%	27.4%	22.5%	1.22×	3.64
Motherwell to score 3+	21.9%	22.3%	14.5%	1.54×	4.49
Motherwell to score exactly 0	20.0%	19.6%	33.1%	0.59×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United to score exactly 0	37.1%	35.5%	20.5%	1.74×	2.81
Dundee United to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.5%	31.2%	1.14×	2.81
Dundee United to score exactly 2	18.2%	18.8%	25.0%	0.75×	5.32
Dundee United to score 3+	7.9%	10.3%	23.8%	0.44×	9.66

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.3%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Motherwell leading at HT	35.0%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Dundee United leading at HT	20.7%	20.3%	—	—	4.92

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell -1: 1	48.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Motherwell -1: 2	27.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Motherwell -1: X	24.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (0:1)	76.5%	73.7%	54.1%	1.36×	1.36
Draw (0:1)	15.2%	17.8%	19.6%	0.91×	5.62
Dundee United (0:1)	8.3%	9.2%	26.4%	0.35×	10.82

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (0:2)	91.7%	90.7%	73.6%	1.23×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	6.0%	7.7%	14.5%	0.53×	13.07
Dundee United (0:2)	2.3%	3.7%	12.2%	0.31×	26.77

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (0:3)	97.7%	96.6%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.8%	2.4%	6.8%	0.35×	42.06
Dundee United (0:3)	0.5%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	42.12

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (0:4)	99.5%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.92
Dundee United (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	81.96

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United (1:0)	48.1%	49.2%	69.0%	0.71×	2.03
Motherwell (1:0)	27.4%	25.1%	13.4%	1.87×	3.99
Draw (1:0)	24.5%	21.7%	17.8%	1.22×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United (2:0)	72.6%	76.5%	86.6%	0.88×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	15.9%	15.8%	7.6%	2.07×	6.32
Motherwell (2:0)	11.6%	10.3%	6.0%	1.72×	9.72

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.0%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United to concede	80.0%	80.9%	66.9%	1.21×	1.24
Dundee United clean sheet	20.0%	19.1%	33.1%	0.58×	5.23

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United clean sheet in 1st half	52.5%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Dundee United to concede in 1st half	47.5%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United to concede in 2nd half	61.9%	59.7%	—	—	1.67
Dundee United clean sheet in 2nd half	38.1%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United over 2.5 corners	79.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Dundee United under 6.5 corners	79.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Dundee United under 5.5 corners	67.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Dundee United over 3.5 corners	63.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Dundee United under 4.5 corners	53.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Dundee United over 4.5 corners	46.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Dundee United under 3.5 corners	36.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Dundee United over 5.5 corners	32.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Dundee United under 2.5 corners	20.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Dundee United over 6.5 corners	20.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United under 3.5 goals	98.2%	96.4%	92.1%	1.05×	1.04
Dundee United under 2.5 goals	92.1%	92.2%	76.2%	1.21×	1.09
Dundee United under 1.5 goals	73.9%	74.2%	51.4%	1.44×	1.35
Dundee United over 0.5 goals	62.9%	63.6%	79.5%	0.80×	1.57
Dundee United under 0.5 goals	37.1%	36.4%	20.5%	1.78×	2.75
Dundee United over 1.5 goals	26.1%	25.8%	48.6%	0.53×	3.88
Dundee United over 2.5 goals	7.9%	7.8%	23.8%	0.33×	12.83
Dundee United over 3.5 goals	1.9%	3.6%	7.9%	0.46×	27.60

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United under 1.5 in 1st half	93.1%	94.8%	—	—	1.06
Dundee United under 0.5 in 1st half	65.3%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Dundee United over 0.5 in 1st half	34.7%	30.8%	—	—	3.25
Dundee United over 1.5 in 1st half	6.9%	5.2%	—	—	19.25

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United scores equally in both	46.6%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Dundee United scores more in 2nd half	31.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.02
Dundee United scores more in 1st half	22.0%	21.0%	—	—	4.77

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (home no bet)	67.8%	64.2%	57.0%	1.13×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	32.2%	35.8%	43.0%	0.83×	2.79

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United even goals	56.9%	55.3%	51.7%	1.07×	1.81
Dundee United odd goals	43.1%	44.7%	48.3%	0.92×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.3%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
HT 0-1	22.1%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 1-0	14.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 1-1	9.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 0-2	7.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
Any other HT score	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 2-0	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 1-2	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 2-1	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell at HT / Motherwell at FT	29.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Draw at HT / Motherwell at FT	19.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Dundee United at HT / Dundee United at FT	12.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Dundee United at FT	9.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.43
Dundee United at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Motherwell at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Dundee United at HT / Motherwell at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.93
Motherwell at HT / Dundee United at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.99

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score last	57.4%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Dundee United to score last	35.4%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
No goal scored	7.3%	7.6%	—	—	13.22

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.7%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Motherwell to lead by 1 at any time	65.3%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	45.9%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Dundee United to lead by 1 at any time	40.3%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Motherwell to lead by 2 at any time	33.4%	29.7%	—	—	3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Motherwell to lead by 3 at any time	13.7%	10.6%	—	—	9.41
Dundee United to lead by 2 at any time	12.7%	10.6%	—	—	9.43
Dundee United to lead by 3 at any time	3.2%	1.6%	—	—	62.15

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United most corners	47.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Motherwell most corners	40.4%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	12.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.8%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.5%	83.4%	79.8%	1.05×	1.20
2-6 goals	71.4%	72.3%	76.7%	0.94×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.2%	68.8%	71.1%	0.97×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.3%	68.8%	61.6%	1.12×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.9%	63.3%	63.8%	0.99×	1.58
2-3 goals	46.7%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
3-6 goals	46.5%	48.4%	55.2%	0.88×	2.06
1-2 goals	44.5%	43.6%	37.6%	1.16×	2.29
3-5 goals	43.3%	43.6%	49.6%	0.88×	2.29
3-4 goals	35.9%	39.2%	42.4%	0.92×	2.55
4-6 goals	24.7%	24.5%	31.2%	0.78×	4.09
4-5 goals	21.5%	24.4%	25.6%	0.95×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.6%	14.8%	13.0%	1.14×	6.76
7+ goals	1.7%	2.6%	1.9%	1.37×	39.19

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell never behind	52.5%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Dundee United never behind	27.4%	29.8%	—	—	3.35

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	50.0%	50.9%	51.2%	0.99×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.0%	49.1%	48.8%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.8%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.2%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.1%	95.4%	92.6%	1.03×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.7%	87.6%	85.3%	1.03×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	73.6%	72.5%	67.1%	1.08×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	73.2%	72.5%	78.3%	0.93×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	51.8%	52.5%	43.2%	1.22×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	48.2%	47.5%	56.8%	0.84×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	26.8%	27.5%	21.7%	1.27×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	26.4%	27.5%	32.9%	0.84×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	12.3%	12.4%	14.7%	0.85×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.9%	4.6%	7.4%	0.62×	21.80

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.2%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.7%	92.4%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.7%	86.7%	82.1%	1.06×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	66.2%	67.5%	56.8%	1.19×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	64.2%	61.9%	72.4%	0.86×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	35.8%	38.1%	27.6%	1.38×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.8%	32.5%	43.2%	0.75×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	14.3%	13.3%	17.9%	0.74×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.3%	7.6%	8.0%	0.94×	13.21
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.8%	2.8%	2.0%	1.42×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.6%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	71.0%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.7%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.3%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.0%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.4%	7.3%	—	—	13.65

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.1%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.4%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.8%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.2%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.6%	20.4%	—	—	4.90
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.9%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United not to score in both halves	85.0%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Motherwell not to score in both halves	70.6%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Motherwell to score in both halves	29.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Dundee United to score in both halves	15.0%	14.6%	—	—	6.87

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.2%	53.8%	52.3%	1.03×	1.86
Only Motherwell scores	29.8%	26.1%	14.9%	1.75×	3.83
Only Dundee United scores	12.7%	11.0%	27.5%	0.40×	9.06
Neither team scores	7.3%	7.1%	5.8%	1.23×	14.00

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.0%	22.6%	21.7%	1.04×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	19.6%	17.5%	16.1%	1.08×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.2%	12.1%	18.4%	0.66×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	7.4%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	7.3%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.9%	4.5%	7.4%	0.60×	22.33

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	34.3%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	19.6%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
3+ goals in 1st half	9.4%	7.3%	—	—	13.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.2%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	33.2%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	21.6%	22.8%	—	—	4.38

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United not to win both halves	95.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Motherwell not to win both halves	84.6%	83.6%	—	—	1.20
Motherwell to win both halves	15.4%	16.4%	—	—	6.09
Dundee United to win both halves	4.3%	2.8%	—	—	35.46

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to win either half	63.6%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Dundee United to win neither half	62.7%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Dundee United to win either half	37.3%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Motherwell to win neither half	36.4%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United not to win to nil	87.3%	88.1%	72.5%	1.22×	1.14
Motherwell not to win to nil	70.2%	75.3%	85.1%	0.88×	1.33
Motherwell to win to nil	29.8%	24.7%	14.9%	1.66×	4.04
Dundee United to win to nil	12.7%	11.9%	27.5%	0.43×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell by 1	24.5%	24.1%	17.8%	1.36×	4.15
Draw	24.6%	24.1%	23.3%	1.03×	4.15
Motherwell by 2	15.9%	17.0%	7.6%	2.23×	5.87
Dundee United by 1	15.2%	17.0%	19.6%	0.87×	5.87
Motherwell by 3+	11.6%	11.8%	6.0%	1.96×	8.51
Dundee United by 2	6.0%	7.2%	14.5%	0.50×	13.92
Dundee United by 3+	2.3%	2.7%	12.2%	0.22×	36.90