Dundee United v St Mirren — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 December 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Dundee United

15:00 UTC

St Mirren

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 1,108h before kick-off

Dundee United win

44.2%

model 44.1%

Draw

27.9%

model 26.3%

St Mirren win

27.9%

model 29.6%

442828

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.5%
1-0 11.7%
0-1 9.2%
2-1 8.9%
2-0 8.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	45.6%	Under 2.5	54.4%
BTTS yes	50.0%	BTTS no	50.0%
Dundee United 1+	75.4%	Dundee United 2+	40.9%
St Mirren 1+	66.6%	St Mirren 2+	30.0%

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.10. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 43%

52.9% fair odds 1.89

moderate signal · 1367 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

St Mirren not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 85%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Dundee United.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Dundee United have an estimated 44.2% win probability, against 27.9% for St Mirren and 27.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.40 for Dundee United and 1.10 for St Mirren.

Why Dundee United

Nothing in the data singles out Dundee United.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.9%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why St Mirren can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Dundee United, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for St Mirren, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Dundee United: 51% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. St Mirren: 48% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Dundee United are the model's most likely outcome at 44.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.5%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	442630	1.40–1.10	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	432829	1.27–0.97	1-0 14%	39%	45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United to win	43.4%	42.9%	45.9%	0.94×	2.33
St Mirren to win	28.6%	27.9%	31.0%	0.90×	3.58
Draw	28.0%	27.9%	23.3%	1.20×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United & not both score	27.3%	25.2%	27.5%	0.92×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	17.6%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
St Mirren & not both score	17.6%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.56
Dundee United & both teams score	16.0%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.57
St Mirren & both teams score	11.0%	13.3%	16.3%	0.81×	7.54
Draw & not both score	10.4%	13.3%	5.8%	2.29×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United & under 3.5	34.1%	30.8%	30.2%	1.02×	3.25
Dundee United & over 1.5	29.7%	26.1%	36.6%	0.71×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	23.4%	21.6%	14.9%	1.45×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	23.4%	21.6%	14.9%	1.45×	4.63
St Mirren & under 3.5	23.5%	21.6%	22.5%	0.96×	4.63
Dundee United & under 2.5	22.2%	21.6%	18.0%	1.20×	4.63
Dundee United & over 2.5	21.2%	21.6%	28.1%	0.77×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	17.6%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
St Mirren & over 1.5	18.1%	18.0%	24.4%	0.74×	5.56
St Mirren & under 2.5	15.5%	18.0%	10.7%	1.68×	5.56
Dundee United & under 1.5	13.6%	12.8%	9.5%	1.35×	7.79
St Mirren & over 2.5	13.1%	12.8%	20.5%	0.63×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	10.4%	12.8%	5.8%	2.22×	7.79
St Mirren & under 1.5	10.5%	12.8%	6.8%	1.88×	7.79
Dundee United & over 3.5	9.2%	7.9%	15.9%	0.50×	12.63
St Mirren & over 3.5	5.1%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.7%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.7%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United (1UP)	56.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
St Mirren (1UP)	43.5%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United (2UP)	43.4%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
St Mirren (2UP)	28.6%	25.3%	—	—	3.96

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.6%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Dundee United to win 2nd half	34.5%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
St Mirren to win 2nd half	25.9%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.3%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
St Mirren under 0.5 in 2nd half	55.7%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
St Mirren over 0.5 in 2nd half	44.3%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
St Mirren over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.7%	12.8%	—	—	7.80

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.6%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Dundee United over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Dundee United under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.5%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Dundee United over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.4%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (+2.5)	93.2%	92.1%	87.8%	1.05×	1.09
St Mirren (+1.5)	80.5%	82.6%	73.6%	1.12×	1.21
Dundee United (+0.5)	71.4%	73.7%	69.0%	1.07×	1.36
St Mirren (+0.5)	56.6%	57.0%	54.1%	1.05×	1.75
Dundee United (-0.5)	43.4%	43.0%	45.9%	0.94×	2.33
St Mirren (-0.5)	28.6%	26.3%	31.0%	0.85×	3.80
Dundee United (-1.5)	19.5%	17.4%	26.4%	0.66×	5.73
Dundee United (-2.5)	6.8%	7.9%	12.2%	0.65×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to concede	71.9%	76.7%	79.5%	0.96×	1.30
St Mirren clean sheet	28.1%	23.3%	20.5%	1.14×	4.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren clean sheet in 1st half	57.9%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
St Mirren to concede in 1st half	42.1%	43.5%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to concede in 2nd half	51.5%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
St Mirren clean sheet in 2nd half	48.5%	45.6%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren over 2.5 corners	83.9%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
St Mirren under 6.5 corners	72.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
St Mirren over 3.5 corners	70.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
St Mirren under 5.5 corners	60.3%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
St Mirren over 4.5 corners	54.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
St Mirren under 4.5 corners	45.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
St Mirren over 5.5 corners	39.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
St Mirren under 3.5 corners	29.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
St Mirren over 6.5 corners	27.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
St Mirren under 2.5 corners	16.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren under 3.5 goals	98.3%	97.5%	96.3%	1.01×	1.03
St Mirren under 2.5 goals	92.4%	92.3%	85.5%	1.08×	1.08
St Mirren under 1.5 goals	74.5%	71.8%	63.2%	1.14×	1.39
St Mirren over 0.5 goals	62.2%	63.2%	66.9%	0.94×	1.58
St Mirren under 0.5 goals	37.8%	36.8%	33.1%	1.11×	2.72
St Mirren over 1.5 goals	25.5%	28.2%	36.8%	0.77×	3.55
St Mirren over 2.5 goals	7.6%	7.7%	14.5%	0.53×	13.07
St Mirren over 3.5 goals	1.7%	2.5%	3.7%	0.67×	39.88

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren under 1.5 in 1st half	94.1%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
St Mirren under 0.5 in 1st half	67.7%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
St Mirren over 0.5 in 1st half	32.3%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
St Mirren over 1.5 in 1st half	5.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.64

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren scores equally in both	46.9%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
St Mirren scores more in 2nd half	33.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
St Mirren scores more in 1st half	20.0%	18.2%	—	—	5.48

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United (away no bet)	60.7%	61.9%	66.3%	0.93×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	39.3%	38.1%	33.7%	1.13×	2.62

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren even goals	57.1%	56.9%	57.6%	0.99×	1.76
St Mirren odd goals	42.9%	43.1%	42.4%	1.02×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.9%	91.3%	—	—	1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.1%	8.7%	—	—	11.52

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	52.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Both halves under 1.5 goals	47.4%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	45.9%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Dundee United to score 2+ in a row	30.1%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
St Mirren to score 2+ in a row	19.5%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	13.9%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
Dundee United to score 3+ in a row	9.4%	5.5%	—	—	18.02
St Mirren to score 3+ in a row	4.6%	2.6%	—	—	38.20

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United corners (+3.5)	84.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
St Mirren corners (+3.5)	80.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Dundee United corners (+2.5)	77.4%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
St Mirren corners (+2.5)	72.5%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Dundee United corners (+1.5)	68.6%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
St Mirren corners (+1.5)	62.9%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Dundee United corners (-1.5)	37.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
St Mirren corners (-1.5)	31.4%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Dundee United corners (-2.5)	27.5%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
St Mirren corners (-2.5)	22.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Dundee United corners (-3.5)	19.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
St Mirren corners (-3.5)	15.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	37.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	32.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	77.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	71.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	67.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	63.0%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	57.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	53.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	46.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	42.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	37.0%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	32.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	28.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	22.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	13.6%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.71
1-1	13.0%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.71
0-0	10.4%	11.5%	5.8%	1.98×	8.72
0-1	10.5%	11.5%	6.8%	1.68×	8.72
2-0	8.6%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
2-1	8.3%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
0-2	5.0%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.51
1-2	6.4%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
0-3	1.6%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
1-3	2.1%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
2-2	4.1%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.30
2-3	1.3%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
3-0	3.6%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
3-1	3.5%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
3-2	1.7%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	1.2%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.31
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32
Any other score	1.3%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United (2nd half DNB)	57.1%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
St Mirren (2nd half DNB)	42.9%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United leading at HT (DNB)	60.3%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
St Mirren leading at HT (DNB)	39.7%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United or St Mirren (12)	72.0%	72.1%	76.7%	0.94×	1.39
Dundee United or draw (1X)	71.4%	72.1%	69.0%	1.04×	1.39
St Mirren or draw (X2)	56.6%	57.1%	54.1%	1.05×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United or draw at HT	79.4%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
St Mirren or draw at HT	68.6%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Dundee United or St Mirren at HT	52.0%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United or draw (1UP)	71.4%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
St Mirren or draw (1UP)	56.6%	62.9%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United or draw in 2nd half	74.1%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
St Mirren or draw in 2nd half	65.5%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Dundee United or St Mirren in 2nd half	60.4%	63.5%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.7%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	31.3%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United (DNB)	60.3%	62.6%	59.7%	1.05×	1.60
St Mirren (DNB)	39.7%	37.4%	40.3%	0.93×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United to score first	50.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
St Mirren to score first	38.9%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	10.4%	9.3%	—	—	10.72

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	55.4%	55.0%	47.7%	1.15×	1.82
Both teams to score	44.6%	45.0%	52.3%	0.86×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	48.1%	44.3%	34.1%	1.30×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	31.7%	34.6%	43.2%	0.80×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	13.0%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.3%	8.3%	13.8%	0.60×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.8%	89.0%	83.9%	1.06×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.2%	11.0%	16.1%	0.68×	9.08

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.2%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.8%	24.9%	—	—	4.02

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	66.8%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Both score 2nd half only	19.7%	15.1%	—	—	6.63
Both score 1st half only	10.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.35
Both score in both halves	3.1%	4.9%	—	—	20.53

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.4%	84.8%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	13.6%	15.2%	—	—	6.58

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	55.7%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
A goal in each half	44.3%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.5%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
0-1 goals	34.5%	30.8%	21.7%	1.42×	3.25
4-6 goals	18.1%	20.2%	31.2%	0.65×	4.94
7+ goals	0.8%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.48

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to score exactly 0	37.8%	35.9%	33.1%	1.09×	2.78
St Mirren to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	30.4%	1.18×	2.78
St Mirren to score exactly 2	17.9%	19.5%	22.5%	0.87×	5.12
St Mirren to score 3+	7.6%	8.5%	14.5%	0.59×	11.70

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United to score exactly 1	35.7%	35.5%	31.2%	1.14×	2.81
Dundee United to score exactly 0	28.1%	26.6%	20.5%	1.30×	3.77
Dundee United to score exactly 2	22.7%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.29
Dundee United to score 3+	13.6%	14.3%	23.8%	0.60×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.0%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Dundee United leading at HT	31.4%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
St Mirren leading at HT	20.6%	20.3%	—	—	4.92

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United -1: 2	56.6%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Dundee United -1: X	23.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Dundee United -1: 1	19.5%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (0:1)	56.6%	55.8%	54.1%	1.03×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	23.9%	24.2%	19.6%	1.23×	4.13
Dundee United (0:1)	19.5%	17.8%	26.4%	0.67×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (0:2)	80.5%	82.9%	73.6%	1.13×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	12.7%	11.0%	14.5%	0.76×	9.10
Dundee United (0:2)	6.8%	7.7%	12.2%	0.63×	13.06

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (0:3)	93.2%	92.7%	87.8%	1.06×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.9%	2.4%	6.8%	0.35×	41.92
Dundee United (0:3)	1.9%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	42.06

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (0:4)	98.1%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.81
Dundee United (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	81.92

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United (1:0)	71.4%	72.4%	69.0%	1.05×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	18.3%	17.1%	17.8%	0.96×	5.85
St Mirren (1:0)	10.3%	12.7%	13.4%	0.95×	7.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United (2:0)	89.7%	88.5%	86.6%	1.02×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.4%	6.4%	7.6%	0.84×	15.66
St Mirren (2:0)	2.8%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	43.75

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.3%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	27.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United to concede	62.2%	63.6%	66.9%	0.95×	1.57
Dundee United clean sheet	37.8%	36.4%	33.1%	1.10×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United clean sheet in 1st half	67.7%	70.7%	—	—	1.42
Dundee United to concede in 1st half	32.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.41

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United clean sheet in 2nd half	55.7%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Dundee United to concede in 2nd half	44.3%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United over 2.5 corners	86.2%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Dundee United over 3.5 corners	73.6%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Dundee United under 6.5 corners	68.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Dundee United over 4.5 corners	58.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Dundee United under 5.5 corners	55.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Dundee United over 5.5 corners	44.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Dundee United under 4.5 corners	41.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Dundee United over 6.5 corners	31.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Dundee United under 3.5 corners	26.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Dundee United under 2.5 corners	13.8%	13.8%	—	—	7.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United under 3.5 goals	96.0%	96.4%	92.1%	1.05×	1.04
Dundee United under 2.5 goals	86.4%	87.3%	76.2%	1.14×	1.15
Dundee United over 0.5 goals	71.9%	74.2%	79.5%	0.93×	1.35
Dundee United under 1.5 goals	63.7%	63.6%	51.4%	1.24×	1.57
Dundee United over 1.5 goals	36.3%	36.4%	48.6%	0.75×	2.75
Dundee United under 0.5 goals	28.1%	25.8%	20.5%	1.26×	3.88
Dundee United over 2.5 goals	13.6%	12.7%	23.8%	0.54×	7.85
Dundee United over 3.5 goals	4.0%	3.6%	7.9%	0.46×	27.51

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United under 1.5 in 1st half	89.5%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Dundee United under 0.5 in 1st half	57.9%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Dundee United over 0.5 in 1st half	42.1%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Dundee United over 1.5 in 1st half	10.5%	9.8%	—	—	10.18

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United scores equally in both	40.3%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
Dundee United scores more in 2nd half	35.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Dundee United scores more in 1st half	24.3%	21.0%	—	—	4.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (home no bet)	50.5%	51.4%	57.0%	0.90×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	49.5%	48.6%	43.0%	1.13×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United even goals	53.9%	50.8%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Dundee United odd goals	46.1%	49.2%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	39.2%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
HT 1-0	21.5%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	15.3%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-1	8.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
HT 2-0	5.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 0-2	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
Any other HT score	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.25
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.27
HT 1-2	1.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.31
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.39

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United at HT / Dundee United at FT	24.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Dundee United at FT	16.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
St Mirren at HT / St Mirren at FT	14.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / St Mirren at FT	12.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Dundee United at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
St Mirren at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
St Mirren at HT / Dundee United at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.97
Dundee United at HT / St Mirren at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United to score last	50.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
St Mirren to score last	38.9%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	10.4%	8.7%	—	—	11.46

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.6%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Dundee United to lead by 1 at any time	56.7%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
St Mirren to lead by 1 at any time	43.5%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	38.5%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Dundee United to lead by 2 at any time	24.3%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
St Mirren to lead by 2 at any time	14.3%	10.6%	—	—	9.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	11.9%	10.6%	—	—	9.45
Dundee United to lead by 3 at any time	8.2%	6.7%	—	—	15.01
St Mirren to lead by 3 at any time	3.7%	1.6%	—	—	61.70

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United most corners	47.7%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
St Mirren most corners	41.5%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.9%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.8%	83.4%	79.8%	1.05×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.6%	72.3%	61.6%	1.17×	1.38
2-6 goals	64.6%	63.3%	76.7%	0.83×	1.58
2-5 goals	62.8%	63.3%	71.1%	0.89×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.7%	59.1%	63.8%	0.93×	1.69
1-2 goals	50.6%	53.1%	37.6%	1.41×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.5%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
3-6 goals	38.1%	39.2%	55.2%	0.71×	2.55
3-5 goals	36.2%	39.2%	49.6%	0.79×	2.55
3-4 goals	31.2%	35.2%	42.4%	0.83×	2.84
4-6 goals	18.1%	18.8%	31.2%	0.60×	5.31
4-5 goals	16.2%	18.8%	25.6%	0.73×	5.31
5-6 goals	6.9%	8.9%	13.0%	0.68×	11.27
7+ goals	0.8%	2.5%	1.9%	1.37×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee United never behind	46.1%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
St Mirren never behind	32.9%	36.3%	—	—	2.75

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.8%	50.9%	48.8%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.1%	51.2%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.5%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.3%	95.4%	92.6%	1.03×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.3%	92.3%	85.3%	1.08×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.6%	87.6%	94.2%	0.93×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	81.0%	82.3%	67.1%	1.23×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	65.5%	66.3%	78.3%	0.85×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	61.1%	61.7%	43.2%	1.43×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	38.9%	38.3%	56.8%	0.67×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	34.5%	33.7%	21.7%	1.55×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	19.0%	17.7%	32.9%	0.54×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	10.4%	12.4%	5.8%	2.14×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	7.7%	7.7%	14.7%	0.53×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	2.7%	4.6%	7.4%	0.62×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.2%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.1%	97.2%	92.0%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.3%	92.4%	82.1%	1.13×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	76.3%	75.9%	56.8%	1.34×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	53.0%	51.9%	72.4%	0.72×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	47.0%	48.1%	27.6%	1.74×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	23.7%	24.1%	43.2%	0.56×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.7%	7.6%	17.9%	0.42×	13.18
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.9%	2.8%	8.0%	0.35×	35.61
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.8%	2.8%	2.0%	1.42×	35.67

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.1%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.0%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.8%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	39.2%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Over 1.5 in 1st half	24.0%	22.0%	—	—	4.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.9%	7.2%	—	—	13.99

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.5%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.0%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	62.4%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	37.6%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	27.0%	22.3%	—	—	4.49
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	14.5%	14.7%	—	—	6.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren not to score in both halves	85.7%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Dundee United not to score in both halves	78.3%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Dundee United to score in both halves	21.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
St Mirren to score in both halves	14.3%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	44.6%	46.6%	52.3%	0.89×	2.15
Only Dundee United scores	27.3%	26.1%	27.5%	0.95×	3.84
Only St Mirren scores	17.6%	16.0%	14.9%	1.08×	6.23
Neither team scores	10.4%	11.0%	5.8%	1.91×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.5%	24.9%	21.7%	1.15×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	24.1%	22.6%	16.1%	1.40×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	20.0%	17.5%	24.2%	0.72×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	11.2%	12.1%	18.4%	0.66×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	10.4%	12.1%	5.8%	2.09×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	5.0%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.15
6 or more goals	2.7%	4.5%	7.4%	0.60×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	39.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	17.2%	15.7%	—	—	6.39
3+ goals in 1st half	6.9%	7.2%	—	—	13.99

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	37.6%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
1 goal in 2nd half	35.5%	39.6%	—	—	2.53
No goals in 2nd half	27.0%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren not to win both halves	94.7%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Dundee United not to win both halves	89.2%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Dundee United to win both halves	10.8%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
St Mirren to win both halves	5.3%	5.8%	—	—	17.27

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to win neither half	58.8%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Dundee United to win either half	55.1%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Dundee United to win neither half	44.9%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
St Mirren to win either half	41.2%	40.9%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren not to win to nil	82.4%	83.1%	85.1%	0.98×	1.20
Dundee United not to win to nil	72.7%	75.3%	72.5%	1.04×	1.33
Dundee United to win to nil	27.3%	24.7%	27.5%	0.90×	4.05
St Mirren to win to nil	17.6%	16.9%	14.9%	1.14×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.0%	27.9%	23.3%	1.19×	3.59
Dundee United by 1	23.9%	24.1%	19.6%	1.23×	4.15
St Mirren by 1	18.3%	17.1%	17.8%	0.96×	5.87
Dundee United by 2	12.7%	11.8%	14.5%	0.81×	8.51
St Mirren by 2	7.4%	7.2%	7.6%	0.94×	13.91
Dundee United by 3+	6.8%	7.2%	12.2%	0.59×	13.91
St Mirren by 3+	2.8%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	36.88