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Dundee v Celtic — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 2 December 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated

v

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Dundee win
11.0%
model 13.6%
Draw
19.2%
model 17.3%
Celtic win
69.8%
model 69.0%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (176 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 0-2 9.9%
  2. 1-2 9.6%
  3. 0-1 8.4%
  4. 1-1 7.9%
  5. 0-3 7.9%

Goals

Over 2.565.3% Under 2.534.7%
BTTS yes56.3% BTTS no43.7%
Dundee 1+62.1% Dundee 2+25.3%
Celtic 1+90.9% Celtic 2+69.1%

Expected goals 0.97 – 2.40. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
77/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
95%
★ Best pick
Celtic (-0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 31%
68.8% fair odds 1.45
strong signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Dundee not to score in both halves
Score both halves
84.2% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Celtic carry the stronger rating, 1772 Elo against 1461.
  • Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Celtic have an estimated 69.8% win probability, against 19.2% for the draw and 11.0% for Dundee. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.97 for Dundee and 2.40 for Celtic.

Why Dundee

Nothing in the data singles out Dundee.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.2%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Celtic can win

Celtic carry the stronger rating, 1772 Elo against 1461. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Dundee, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Celtic, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Dundee: 39% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 18.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Celtic: 62% possession, 22.4 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Celtic are the model's most likely outcome at 69.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-2 at 9.9%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 0.97–2.40 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 0.94–2.11 0-2 11% 59% 54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic to win 64.3% 58.2% 31.0% 1.88× 1.72
Draw 19.7% 19.4% 23.3% 0.83× 5.15
Dundee to win 15.9% 19.4% 45.9% 0.42× 5.16
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic & not both score 34.3% 29.6% 14.9% 1.99× 3.38
Celtic & both teams score 30.0% 29.6% 16.3% 1.81× 3.38
Draw & both teams score 15.1% 18.0% 17.8% 1.01× 5.57
Dundee & both teams score 8.5% 8.3% 18.6% 0.45× 12.00
Dundee & not both score 7.5% 8.3% 27.5% 0.30× 12.00
Draw & not both score 4.6% 4.9% 5.8% 0.84× 20.48
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic & over 1.5 54.3% 48.9% 24.4% 2.01× 2.05
Celtic & over 2.5 43.8% 40.3% 20.5% 1.97× 2.48
Celtic & under 3.5 37.9% 34.9% 22.5% 1.55× 2.87
Celtic & over 3.5 26.5% 26.0% 8.7% 3.00× 3.84
Celtic & under 2.5 20.6% 21.6% 10.7% 2.01× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 15.1% 18.0% 17.8% 1.01× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 13.8% 12.8% 14.9% 0.86× 7.79
Draw & under 3.5 13.8% 12.8% 14.9% 0.86× 7.79
Dundee & over 1.5 11.4% 12.8% 36.6% 0.35× 7.79
Dundee & under 3.5 11.7% 12.8% 30.2% 0.43× 7.79
Celtic & under 1.5 10.1% 12.8% 6.8% 1.88× 7.79
Dundee & over 2.5 9.3% 7.9% 28.1% 0.28× 12.63
Dundee & under 2.5 6.6% 7.9% 18.0% 0.44× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 5.9% 7.9% 8.7% 0.91× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 5.9% 7.9% 8.7% 0.91× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 4.6% 4.8% 5.8% 0.83× 20.81
Dundee & under 1.5 4.6% 4.8% 9.5% 0.51× 20.81
Dundee & over 3.5 4.2% 4.8% 15.9% 0.30× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic (1UP) 76.0% 78.2% — — 1.28
Dundee (1UP) 34.0% 33.1% — — 3.02
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic (2UP) 64.3% 68.5% — — 1.46
Dundee (2UP) 15.9% 16.8% — — 5.94
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic to win 2nd half 54.6% 52.3% — — 1.91
2nd half drawn 29.6% 26.1% — — 3.82
Dundee to win 2nd half 15.8% 17.7% — — 5.64
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic over 0.5 in 2nd half 71.9% 75.5% — — 1.33
Celtic under 1.5 in 2nd half 63.8% 60.4% — — 1.66
Celtic over 1.5 in 2nd half 36.2% 39.6% — — 2.53
Celtic under 0.5 in 2nd half 28.1% 24.5% — — 4.08
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee under 1.5 in 2nd half 89.8% 89.0% — — 1.12
Dundee under 0.5 in 2nd half 58.4% 58.2% — — 1.72
Dundee over 0.5 in 2nd half 41.6% 41.8% — — 2.40
Dundee over 1.5 in 2nd half 10.2% 11.0% — — 9.10
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic (+2.5) 98.7% 96.3% 87.8% 1.10× 1.04
Celtic (+1.5) 94.8% 92.1% 73.6% 1.25× 1.09
Celtic (+0.5) 84.1% 82.6% 54.1% 1.53× 1.21
Celtic (-0.5) 64.3% 63.0% 31.0% 2.03× 1.59
Dundee (+0.5) 35.7% 37.0% 69.0% 0.54× 2.70
Dundee (-0.5) 15.9% 17.4% 45.9% 0.38× 5.74
Dundee (-1.5) 5.2% 7.9% 26.4% 0.30× 12.72
Dundee (-2.5) 1.3% 3.7% 12.2% 0.30× 27.25
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic to concede 61.1% 67.5% 79.5% 0.85× 1.48
Celtic clean sheet 38.9% 32.5% 20.5% 1.59× 3.08
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic clean sheet in 1st half 66.6% 71.2% — — 1.40
Celtic to concede in 1st half 33.4% 28.8% — — 3.47
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic clean sheet in 2nd half 58.4% 57.4% — — 1.74
Celtic to concede in 2nd half 41.6% 42.6% — — 2.35
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic over 2.5 corners 92.3% 89.9% — — 1.11
Celtic over 3.5 corners 83.7% 81.4% — — 1.23
Celtic over 4.5 corners 72.3% 71.6% — — 1.40
Celtic over 5.5 corners 59.4% 57.2% — — 1.75
Celtic under 6.5 corners 53.7% 53.1% — — 1.88
Celtic over 6.5 corners 46.3% 46.9% — — 2.13
Celtic under 5.5 corners 40.6% 42.8% — — 2.34
Celtic under 4.5 corners 27.7% 28.4% — — 3.52
Celtic under 3.5 corners 16.3% 18.6% — — 5.38
Celtic under 2.5 corners 7.7% 10.1% — — 9.89
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic over 0.5 goals 87.9% 87.8% 66.9% 1.31× 1.14
Celtic under 3.5 goals 83.6% 81.5% 96.3% 0.85× 1.23
Celtic under 2.5 goals 64.6% 63.2% 85.5% 0.74× 1.58
Celtic over 1.5 goals 62.4% 63.2% 36.8% 1.72× 1.58
Celtic under 1.5 goals 37.6% 36.8% 63.2% 0.58× 2.72
Celtic over 2.5 goals 35.4% 36.8% 14.5% 2.54× 2.72
Celtic over 3.5 goals 16.4% 18.5% 3.7% 4.97× 5.41
Celtic under 0.5 goals 12.1% 12.2% 33.1% 0.37× 8.20
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic under 1.5 in 1st half 79.2% 75.4% — — 1.33
Celtic over 0.5 in 1st half 57.1% 62.3% — — 1.61
Celtic under 0.5 in 1st half 42.9% 37.7% — — 2.65
Celtic over 1.5 in 1st half 20.8% 24.6% — — 4.07
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic scores more in 2nd half 46.2% 48.1% — — 2.08
Celtic scores equally in both 29.0% 26.6% — — 3.76
Celtic scores more in 1st half 24.8% 21.9% — — 4.58
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 55.3% 57.3% 33.7% 1.70× 1.75
Dundee (away no bet) 44.7% 42.7% 66.3% 0.64× 2.34
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic even goals 50.7% 52.6% 57.6% 0.91× 1.90
Celtic odd goals 49.3% 47.4% 42.4% 1.12× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 80.8% 83.1% — — 1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals 19.2% 16.9% — — 5.91
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 70.2% 67.5% — — 1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals 29.8% 32.5% — — 3.08
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 64.6% 60.1% — — 1.67
Celtic to score 2+ in a row 54.9% 51.0% — — 1.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row 29.3% 25.0% — — 4.00
Celtic to score 3+ in a row 26.4% 24.9% — — 4.01
Dundee to score 2+ in a row 15.9% 16.1% — — 6.21
Dundee to score 3+ in a row 3.2% 2.6% — — 39.02
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic corners (+3.5) 95.2% 95.7% — — 1.05
Celtic corners (+2.5) 91.8% 89.6% — — 1.12
Celtic corners (+1.5) 86.7% 84.5% — — 1.18
Celtic corners (-1.5) 61.0% 61.8% — — 1.62
Dundee corners (+3.5) 60.2% 61.8% — — 1.62
Celtic corners (-2.5) 50.3% 52.4% — — 1.91
Dundee corners (+2.5) 49.7% 47.6% — — 2.10
Celtic corners (-3.5) 39.8% 38.2% — — 2.62
Dundee corners (+1.5) 39.0% 38.2% — — 2.62
Dundee corners (-1.5) 13.3% 15.5% — — 6.45
Dundee corners (-2.5) 8.2% 10.4% — — 9.59
Dundee corners (-3.5) 4.8% 4.3% — — 23.43
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 36.4% 34.0% — — 2.94
0-8 corners 32.9% 33.2% — — 3.01
9-11 corners 30.7% 33.2% — — 3.01
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 76.8% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 12.5 corners 72.3% 72.5% — — 1.38
Over 8.5 corners 67.1% 67.8% — — 1.48
Under 11.5 corners 63.6% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 9.5 corners 56.6% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 10.5 corners 53.8% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 10.5 corners 46.2% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 9.5 corners 43.4% 42.1% — — 2.37
Over 11.5 corners 36.4% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 8.5 corners 32.9% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 12.5 corners 27.7% 27.5% — — 3.64
Under 7.5 corners 23.2% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-1 10.1% 11.5% 6.8% 1.68× 8.72
0-2 10.5% 11.5% 4.1% 2.78× 8.72
1-2 9.9% 7.4% 8.9% 0.83× 13.51
1-1 9.3% 7.4% 9.3% 0.80× 13.51
1-3 7.0% 7.4% 3.1% 2.39× 13.51
Any other score 6.6% 7.4% 4.1% 1.79× 13.51
0-3 7.4% 7.4% 3.3% 2.24× 13.51
1-4 3.7% 1.7% 0.8% 2.08× 58.30
2-0 2.1% 1.7% 8.7% 0.20× 58.31
2-1 4.4% 1.7% 7.0% 0.24× 58.29
2-2 4.7% 1.7% 6.6% 0.26× 58.29
2-3 3.3% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.30
2-4 1.7% 1.7% 0.8% 2.08× 58.31
3-0 0.7% 1.7% 5.6% 0.31× 58.32
3-1 1.4% 1.7% 5.6% 0.31× 58.31
3-2 1.5% 1.7% 2.9% 0.59× 58.31
3-3 1.0% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.31
3-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.4% 4.15× 58.32
4-0 0.2% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.32
4-1 0.3% 1.7% 1.4% 1.19× 58.32
4-2 0.3% 1.7% 0.6% 2.77× 58.32
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.8% 2.07× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 8.30× 58.32
0-0 4.6% 1.7% 5.8% 0.30× 58.29
0-4 3.9% 1.7% 0.4% 4.15× 58.30
1-0 4.6% 1.7% 9.5% 0.18× 58.29
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic (2nd half DNB) 77.5% 79.6% — — 1.26
Dundee (2nd half DNB) 22.5% 20.4% — — 4.91
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic leading at HT (DNB) 72.4% 74.5% — — 1.34
Dundee leading at HT (DNB) 27.6% 25.5% — — 3.92
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic or draw (X2) 84.1% 80.6% 54.1% 1.49× 1.24
Dundee or Celtic (12) 80.3% 80.6% 76.7% 1.05× 1.24
Dundee or draw (1X) 35.7% 41.8% 69.0% 0.61× 2.40
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic or draw at HT 83.2% 84.1% — — 1.19
Dundee or Celtic at HT 60.7% 61.0% — — 1.64
Dundee or draw at HT 56.0% 57.4% — — 1.74
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic or draw (1UP) 84.1% 88.9% — — 1.13
Dundee or draw (1UP) 35.7% 41.3% — — 2.42
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic or draw in 2nd half 84.2% 82.3% — — 1.22
Dundee or Celtic in 2nd half 70.4% 73.9% — — 1.35
Dundee or draw in 2nd half 45.4% 47.7% — — 2.10
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 57.4% 58.9% — — 1.70
Neither half drawn 42.6% 41.1% — — 2.43
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic (DNB) 80.1% 80.3% 40.3% 1.99× 1.25
Dundee (DNB) 19.9% 19.7% 59.7% 0.33× 5.07
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic to score first 66.0% 68.9% — — 1.45
Dundee to score first 29.5% 28.1% — — 3.56
No goal scored 4.6% 4.4% — — 22.72
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 53.6% 51.3% 52.3% 0.98× 1.95
Not both teams to score 46.4% 48.7% 47.7% 1.02× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 44.3% 41.6% 43.2% 0.96× 2.40
Not both score & under 2.5 31.8% 34.6% 34.1% 1.01× 2.89
Not both score & over 2.5 14.6% 12.4% 13.8% 0.89× 8.08
Both score & under 2.5 9.3% 8.3% 9.3% 0.89× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 84.8% 82.7% 83.9% 0.99× 1.21
Both teams to score 2+ 15.2% 17.3% 16.1% 1.08× 5.77
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 70.1% 73.5% — — 1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half 29.9% 26.5% — — 3.78
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 56.8% 60.1% — — 1.67
Both score 2nd half only 24.2% 21.3% — — 4.70
Both score 1st half only 13.3% 10.8% — — 9.29
Both score in both halves 5.7% 6.8% — — 14.82
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 81.0% 83.4% — — 1.20
Both teams to score by HT 19.0% 16.6% — — 6.01
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 59.6% 57.1% — — 1.75
A half without a goal 40.4% 42.9% — — 2.33
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 44.3% 42.2% 45.7% 0.92× 2.37
4-6 goals 32.9% 30.7% 31.2% 0.99× 3.25
0-1 goals 19.2% 20.2% 21.7% 0.93× 4.94
7+ goals 3.6% 1.8% 1.9% 0.99× 54.20
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic to score 3+ 35.4% 35.9% 14.5% 2.48× 2.79
Celtic to score exactly 2 27.0% 27.4% 22.5% 1.22× 3.65
Celtic to score exactly 1 25.5% 27.4% 30.4% 0.90× 3.65
Celtic to score exactly 0 12.1% 12.9% 33.1% 0.39× 7.76
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee to score exactly 0 38.9% 35.6% 20.5% 1.74× 2.81
Dundee to score exactly 1 36.7% 35.5% 31.2% 1.14× 2.81
Dundee to score exactly 2 17.3% 18.8% 25.0% 0.75× 5.32
Dundee to score 3+ 7.0% 10.3% 23.8% 0.44× 9.67
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic leading at HT 44.0% 42.6% — — 2.35
Draw at HT 39.3% 39.0% — — 2.56
Dundee leading at HT 16.8% 15.9% — — 6.28
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic -1: 2 40.5% 42.7% — — 2.34
Celtic -1: 1 35.7% 37.4% — — 2.68
Celtic -1: X 23.9% 23.5% — — 4.25
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic (0:1) 84.1% 78.1% 54.1% 1.44× 1.28
Draw (0:1) 10.7% 13.7% 19.6% 0.70× 7.31
Dundee (0:1) 5.2% 9.2% 26.4% 0.35× 10.90
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic (0:2) 94.8% 90.8% 73.6% 1.23× 1.10
Draw (0:2) 3.9% 3.7% 14.5% 0.26× 26.67
Dundee (0:2) 1.3% 3.7% 12.2% 0.31× 26.82
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic (0:3) 98.7% 96.6% 87.8% 1.10× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 1.1% 2.4% 6.8% 0.35× 42.09
Dundee (0:3) 0.3% 2.4% 5.6% 0.43× 42.13
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic (0:4) 99.7% 98.1% 94.4% 1.04× 1.02
Dundee (0:4) 0.0% 1.2% 1.0% 1.18× 81.90
Draw (0:4) 0.2% 1.2% 4.8% 0.26× 81.88
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic (1:0) 40.5% 43.3% 13.4% 3.22× 2.31
Dundee (1:0) 35.7% 37.4% 69.0% 0.54× 2.67
Draw (1:0) 23.9% 21.7% 17.8% 1.22× 4.61
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee (2:0) 59.5% 62.3% 86.6% 0.72× 1.61
Celtic (2:0) 21.0% 19.1% 6.0% 3.18× 5.25
Draw (2:0) 19.5% 15.9% 7.6% 2.08× 6.28
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 50.5% 49.9% — — 2.00
1st half highest scoring 26.6% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 22.9% 24.5% — — 4.08
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee to concede 87.9% 85.6% 66.9% 1.28× 1.17
Dundee clean sheet 12.1% 14.4% 33.1% 0.44× 6.95
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee to concede in 1st half 57.1% 62.3% — — 1.61
Dundee clean sheet in 1st half 42.9% 37.7% — — 2.65
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee to concede in 2nd half 71.9% 72.7% — — 1.38
Dundee clean sheet in 2nd half 28.1% 27.3% — — 3.67
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee under 6.5 corners 87.4% 86.2% — — 1.16
Dundee under 5.5 corners 78.2% 76.5% — — 1.31
Dundee over 2.5 corners 70.7% 71.9% — — 1.39
Dundee under 4.5 corners 64.9% 62.3% — — 1.61
Dundee over 3.5 corners 52.2% 52.6% — — 1.90
Dundee under 3.5 corners 47.8% 47.4% — — 2.11
Dundee over 4.5 corners 35.1% 37.7% — — 2.65
Dundee under 2.5 corners 29.3% 28.1% — — 3.56
Dundee over 5.5 corners 21.8% 23.5% — — 4.26
Dundee over 6.5 corners 12.6% 13.8% — — 7.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee under 3.5 goals 98.4% 96.4% 92.1% 1.05× 1.04
Dundee under 2.5 goals 93.0% 92.2% 76.2% 1.21× 1.08
Dundee under 1.5 goals 75.6% 77.7% 51.4% 1.51× 1.29
Dundee over 0.5 goals 61.1% 63.6% 79.5% 0.80× 1.57
Dundee under 0.5 goals 38.9% 36.4% 20.5% 1.78× 2.75
Dundee over 1.5 goals 24.4% 22.3% 48.6% 0.46× 4.49
Dundee over 2.5 goals 7.0% 7.8% 23.8% 0.33× 12.84
Dundee over 3.5 goals 1.6% 3.6% 7.9% 0.46× 27.62
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee under 1.5 in 1st half 93.7% 94.8% — — 1.05
Dundee under 0.5 in 1st half 66.6% 69.4% — — 1.44
Dundee over 0.5 in 1st half 33.4% 30.6% — — 3.26
Dundee over 1.5 in 1st half 6.3% 5.2% — — 19.41
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee scores equally in both 47.9% 47.2% — — 2.12
Dundee scores more in 2nd half 30.6% 33.2% — — 3.01
Dundee scores more in 1st half 21.5% 21.0% — — 4.76
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic (home no bet) 76.6% 77.8% 57.0% 1.36× 1.29
Draw (home no bet) 23.4% 22.2% 43.0% 0.52× 4.51
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee even goals 57.6% 55.3% 51.7% 1.07× 1.81
Dundee odd goals 42.4% 44.7% 48.3% 0.92× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 28.6% 28.5% — — 3.51
HT 0-1 24.2% 24.4% — — 4.10
HT 1-0 11.6% 11.0% — — 9.10
HT 0-2 10.2% 11.0% — — 9.12
HT 1-1 9.8% 6.9% — — 14.51
Any other HT score 6.2% 6.9% — — 14.56
HT 1-2 4.2% 2.4% — — 42.13
HT 2-0 2.4% 2.4% — — 42.25
HT 2-1 2.0% 2.4% — — 42.27
HT 2-2 0.8% 2.4% — — 42.35
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic at HT / Celtic at FT 39.1% 41.4% — — 2.42
Draw at HT / Celtic at FT 21.5% 21.6% — — 4.64
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 11.5% 12.7% — — 7.90
Dundee at HT / Dundee at FT 8.6% 6.1% — — 16.45
Draw at HT / Dundee at FT 6.3% 6.1% — — 16.51
Dundee at HT / Draw at FT 4.4% 3.5% — — 28.86
Celtic at HT / Draw at FT 3.8% 3.5% — — 28.88
Dundee at HT / Celtic at FT 3.8% 3.5% — — 28.88
Celtic at HT / Dundee at FT 1.1% 3.5% — — 28.98
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic to score last 65.9% 70.0% — — 1.43
Dundee to score last 29.5% 27.5% — — 3.64
No goal scored 4.6% 4.4% — — 22.72
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 95.4% 95.5% — — 1.05
Celtic to lead by 1 at any time 76.0% 77.8% — — 1.29
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 56.3% 54.9% — — 1.82
Celtic to lead by 2 at any time 47.2% 44.3% — — 2.26
Dundee to lead by 1 at any time 34.0% 29.8% — — 3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 26.3% 25.3% — — 3.96
Celtic to lead by 3 at any time 24.1% 19.6% — — 5.11
Dundee to lead by 2 at any time 9.4% 6.7% — — 14.95
Dundee to lead by 3 at any time 2.1% 1.6% — — 63.12
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic most corners 71.1% 70.5% — — 1.42
Dundee most corners 20.2% 25.8% — — 3.87
Corners level 8.7% 8.3% — — 11.98
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.5% 87.4% 87.0% 1.00× 1.14
2-6 goals 77.2% 78.7% 76.7% 1.03× 1.27
1-4 goals 76.0% 78.7% 79.8% 0.99× 1.27
2-5 goals 71.9% 72.3% 71.1% 1.02× 1.38
2-4 goals 61.4% 63.3% 63.8% 0.99× 1.58
1-3 goals 58.9% 59.1% 61.6% 0.96× 1.69
3-6 goals 55.3% 59.1% 55.2% 1.07× 1.69
3-5 goals 50.0% 48.4% 49.6% 0.98× 2.06
2-3 goals 44.3% 43.6% 45.7% 0.96× 2.29
3-4 goals 39.5% 39.2% 42.4% 0.92× 2.55
1-2 goals 36.5% 39.2% 37.6% 1.04× 2.55
4-6 goals 32.9% 35.2% 31.2% 1.13× 2.84
4-5 goals 27.6% 30.2% 25.6% 1.18× 3.31
5-6 goals 15.8% 18.8% 13.0% 1.45× 5.31
7+ goals 3.6% 2.6% 1.9% 1.38× 39.11
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic never behind 61.4% 68.1% — — 1.47
Dundee never behind 19.4% 18.6% — — 5.38
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.9% 50.9% 51.2% 0.99× 1.97
Odd number of goals 50.1% 49.1% 48.8% 1.01× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.1% 51.7% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 45.9% 48.3% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.3% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.7% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 95.4% 95.4% 94.2% 1.01× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 91.0% 92.3% 92.6% 1.00× 1.08
Over 1.5 goals 80.8% 82.3% 78.3% 1.05× 1.22
Under 4.5 goals 80.6% 82.3% 85.3% 0.96× 1.22
Under 3.5 goals 63.4% 61.7% 67.1% 0.92× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 59.0% 58.6% 56.8% 1.03× 1.71
Under 2.5 goals 41.0% 41.4% 43.2% 0.96× 2.42
Over 3.5 goals 36.6% 38.3% 32.9% 1.17× 2.61
Over 4.5 goals 19.4% 17.7% 14.7% 1.21× 5.65
Under 1.5 goals 19.2% 17.7% 21.7% 0.82× 5.65
Over 5.5 goals 9.0% 7.7% 7.4% 1.04× 12.93
Under 0.5 goals 4.6% 4.6% 5.8% 0.79× 21.80
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 96.2% 97.2% 98.0% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 90.0% 86.8% 92.0% 0.94× 1.15
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 76.6% 75.9% 82.1% 0.92× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 75.4% 75.9% 72.4% 1.05× 1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 52.9% 51.9% 56.8% 0.91× 1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 47.1% 48.1% 43.2% 1.11× 2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 24.6% 24.1% 27.6% 0.87× 4.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 23.4% 24.1% 17.9% 1.35× 4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 10.0% 13.2% 8.0% 1.65× 7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 3.8% 2.8% 2.0% 1.43× 35.57
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 86.8% 89.0% — — 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 71.4% 71.3% — — 1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half 64.4% 63.5% — — 1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half 35.6% 36.5% — — 2.74
Under 0.5 in 1st half 28.6% 28.7% — — 3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half 13.2% 11.0% — — 9.09
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 83.6% 83.0% — — 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 72.9% 77.8% — — 1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 53.9% 53.2% — — 1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 46.1% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 27.1% 22.2% — — 4.51
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 16.4% 17.0% — — 5.88
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee not to score in both halves 86.1% 85.5% — — 1.17
Celtic not to score in both halves 59.0% 58.2% — — 1.72
Celtic to score in both halves 41.0% 41.8% — — 2.39
Dundee to score in both halves 13.9% 14.5% — — 6.90
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 53.6% 53.8% 52.3% 1.03× 1.86
Only Celtic scores 34.3% 33.3% 14.9% 2.24× 3.00
Only Dundee scores 7.5% 7.1% 27.5% 0.26× 14.00
Neither team scores 4.6% 4.6% 5.8% 0.80× 21.53
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.4% 22.6% 24.2% 0.93× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 21.9% 22.6% 21.7% 1.04× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 17.1% 17.5% 18.4% 0.95× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 14.6% 12.1% 16.1% 0.75× 8.25
Exactly 5 goals 10.5% 12.1% 7.4% 1.63× 8.26
6 or more goals 9.0% 7.6% 7.4% 1.02× 13.13
Exactly 0 goals 4.6% 4.5% 5.8% 0.77× 22.33
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 35.8% 37.2% — — 2.69
No goals in 1st half 28.6% 28.7% — — 3.49
2 goals in 1st half 22.4% 21.4% — — 4.67
3+ goals in 1st half 13.2% 10.9% — — 9.17
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 53.9% 51.3% — — 1.95
1 goal in 2nd half 29.8% 29.2% — — 3.43
No goals in 2nd half 16.4% 16.7% — — 5.99
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee not to win both halves 97.4% 97.2% — — 1.03
Celtic not to win both halves 76.0% 75.4% — — 1.33
Celtic to win both halves 24.0% 24.6% — — 4.07
Dundee to win both halves 2.6% 2.8% — — 36.12
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic to win either half 74.6% 73.2% — — 1.37
Dundee to win neither half 70.1% 72.9% — — 1.37
Dundee to win either half 29.9% 27.1% — — 3.69
Celtic to win neither half 25.4% 26.8% — — 3.73
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee not to win to nil 92.5% 92.1% 72.5% 1.27× 1.09
Celtic not to win to nil 65.7% 69.7% 85.1% 0.82× 1.44
Celtic to win to nil 34.3% 30.4% 14.9% 2.04× 3.30
Dundee to win to nil 7.5% 7.9% 27.5% 0.29× 12.65
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Celtic by 1 23.9% 24.1% 17.8% 1.36× 4.15
Celtic by 3+ 21.0% 24.1% 6.0% 4.02× 4.15
Draw 19.7% 17.1% 23.3% 0.73× 5.87
Celtic by 2 19.5% 17.0% 7.6% 2.23× 5.87
Dundee by 1 10.7% 11.8% 19.6% 0.60× 8.51
Dundee by 2 3.9% 2.7% 14.5% 0.19× 36.85
Dundee by 3+ 1.3% 2.7% 12.2% 0.22× 36.93
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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