Dundee v Falkirk — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 December 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Dundee

15:00 UTC

Falkirk

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 940h before kick-off

Dundee win

43.2%

model 42.7%

Draw

27.3%

model 25.8%

Falkirk win

29.4%

model 31.5%

432729

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.3%
1-0 10.6%
2-1 8.9%
0-1 8.8%
2-0 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	48.5%	Under 2.5	51.5%
BTTS yes	52.6%	BTTS no	47.4%
Dundee 1+	76.0%	Dundee 2+	41.7%
Falkirk 1+	69.5%	Falkirk 2+	33.2%

Expected goals 1.43 – 1.19. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 43%

52.9% fair odds 1.89

moderate signal · 1367 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Falkirk not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 85%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Dundee.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Dundee have an estimated 43.2% win probability, against 29.4% for Falkirk and 27.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.43 for Dundee and 1.19 for Falkirk.

Why Dundee

Nothing in the data singles out Dundee.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.43 to 1.19. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Falkirk can win

Nothing in the data singles out Falkirk.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Dundee, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Falkirk, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Dundee: 39% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 18.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Falkirk: 49% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Dundee are the model's most likely outcome at 43.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	432631	1.43–1.19	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	412633	1.37–1.21	1-1 12%	48%	52%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee to win	40.8%	42.9%	45.9%	0.94×	2.33
Falkirk to win	33.1%	30.4%	31.0%	0.98×	3.29
Draw	26.1%	27.9%	23.3%	1.19×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee & not both score	22.5%	21.8%	27.5%	0.79×	4.59
Dundee & both teams score	18.3%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	18.7%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Falkirk & not both score	17.9%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.56
Falkirk & both teams score	15.2%	18.0%	16.3%	1.10×	5.57
Draw & not both score	7.4%	8.3%	5.8%	1.44×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee & over 1.5	30.3%	30.7%	36.6%	0.84×	3.25
Dundee & under 3.5	29.6%	26.1%	30.2%	0.86×	3.84
Falkirk & under 3.5	24.6%	21.6%	22.5%	0.96×	4.63
Falkirk & over 1.5	23.8%	21.6%	24.4%	0.89×	4.63
Dundee & over 2.5	23.1%	21.6%	28.1%	0.77×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	19.8%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.55
Draw & under 3.5	19.8%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	18.7%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.55
Dundee & under 2.5	17.7%	18.0%	18.0%	1.00×	5.56
Falkirk & over 2.5	18.3%	18.0%	20.5%	0.88×	5.56
Falkirk & under 2.5	14.8%	12.8%	10.7%	1.19×	7.79
Dundee & under 1.5	10.6%	12.8%	9.5%	1.35×	7.79
Dundee & over 3.5	11.2%	12.8%	15.9%	0.81×	7.79
Falkirk & under 1.5	9.3%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.4%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.63
Falkirk & over 3.5	8.5%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.3%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.3%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee (1UP)	56.4%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Falkirk (1UP)	49.7%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee (2UP)	40.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Falkirk (2UP)	33.1%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	36.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Dundee to win 2nd half	33.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Falkirk to win 2nd half	30.1%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.6%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Falkirk over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Falkirk under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Falkirk over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.4%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.5%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Dundee over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.3%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Dundee under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.7%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Dundee over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.5%	17.7%	—	—	5.66

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (+2.5)	93.1%	92.1%	87.8%	1.05×	1.09
Falkirk (+1.5)	81.1%	82.6%	73.6%	1.12×	1.21
Dundee (+0.5)	66.9%	68.7%	69.0%	1.00×	1.46
Falkirk (+0.5)	59.2%	57.1%	54.1%	1.05×	1.75
Dundee (-0.5)	40.8%	42.9%	45.9%	0.94×	2.33
Falkirk (-0.5)	33.1%	31.3%	31.0%	1.01×	3.19
Dundee (-1.5)	18.9%	17.4%	26.4%	0.66×	5.74
Dundee (-2.5)	6.9%	7.9%	12.2%	0.65×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to concede	74.6%	76.7%	79.5%	0.96×	1.30
Falkirk clean sheet	25.4%	23.3%	20.5%	1.14×	4.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk clean sheet in 1st half	55.4%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Falkirk to concede in 1st half	44.6%	43.6%	—	—	2.29

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to concede in 2nd half	54.3%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Falkirk clean sheet in 2nd half	45.7%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk over 2.5 corners	80.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Falkirk under 6.5 corners	78.3%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Falkirk under 5.5 corners	66.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Falkirk over 3.5 corners	64.6%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Falkirk under 4.5 corners	51.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Falkirk over 4.5 corners	48.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Falkirk under 3.5 corners	35.4%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Falkirk over 5.5 corners	33.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Falkirk over 6.5 corners	21.7%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Falkirk under 2.5 corners	19.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 3.5 goals	96.6%	97.5%	96.3%	1.01×	1.03
Falkirk under 2.5 goals	87.8%	87.8%	85.5%	1.03×	1.14
Falkirk over 0.5 goals	70.1%	71.8%	66.9%	1.07×	1.39
Falkirk under 1.5 goals	66.0%	68.0%	63.2%	1.08×	1.47
Falkirk over 1.5 goals	34.0%	32.0%	36.8%	0.87×	3.13
Falkirk under 0.5 goals	29.9%	28.2%	33.1%	0.85×	3.55
Falkirk over 2.5 goals	12.2%	12.2%	14.5%	0.84×	8.20
Falkirk over 3.5 goals	3.4%	2.5%	3.7%	0.68×	39.79

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 1.5 in 1st half	91.5%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Falkirk under 0.5 in 1st half	61.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Falkirk over 0.5 in 1st half	38.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Falkirk over 1.5 in 1st half	8.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.38

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk scores equally in both	41.3%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Falkirk scores more in 2nd half	37.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Falkirk scores more in 1st half	21.7%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee (away no bet)	61.0%	61.9%	66.3%	0.93×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	39.0%	38.1%	33.7%	1.13×	2.62

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk even goals	54.5%	52.7%	57.6%	0.91×	1.90
Falkirk odd goals	45.5%	47.3%	42.4%	1.12×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.24

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	60.5%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	39.5%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	52.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Dundee to score 2+ in a row	32.0%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Falkirk to score 2+ in a row	26.2%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.4%	16.1%	—	—	6.19
Dundee to score 3+ in a row	10.3%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
Falkirk to score 3+ in a row	7.3%	5.5%	—	—	18.19

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk corners (+3.5)	86.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Dundee corners (+3.5)	82.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Falkirk corners (+2.5)	79.4%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Dundee corners (+2.5)	74.6%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Falkirk corners (+1.5)	70.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Dundee corners (+1.5)	64.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Falkirk corners (-1.5)	35.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Dundee corners (-1.5)	29.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Falkirk corners (-2.5)	25.4%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Dundee corners (-2.5)	20.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Falkirk corners (-3.5)	17.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Dundee corners (-3.5)	13.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	46.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	30.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	23.0%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.9%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	77.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	68.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	65.0%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	58.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	53.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	46.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	42.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	35.0%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	31.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	23.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	16.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.4%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.71
1-0	10.6%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.72
0-1	9.3%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.51
2-1	8.6%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
0-0	7.4%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.51
1-2	7.6%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
2-0	7.1%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
0-2	5.5%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.51
2-2	5.2%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
0-3	2.2%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
0-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
1-3	3.1%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.31
2-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
3-0	3.3%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
3-1	3.9%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
3-2	2.4%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	1.1%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.31
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32
Any other score	2.1%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee (2nd half DNB)	52.6%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Falkirk (2nd half DNB)	47.4%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee leading at HT (DNB)	56.3%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Falkirk leading at HT (DNB)	43.7%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee or Falkirk (12)	73.9%	72.1%	76.7%	0.94×	1.39
Dundee or draw (1X)	66.9%	69.6%	69.0%	1.01×	1.44
Falkirk or draw (X2)	59.2%	57.1%	54.1%	1.05×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee or draw at HT	75.8%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Falkirk or draw at HT	68.8%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Dundee or Falkirk at HT	55.4%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee or draw (1UP)	66.9%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Falkirk or draw (1UP)	59.2%	63.1%	—	—	1.58

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee or draw in 2nd half	69.9%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Falkirk or draw in 2nd half	66.6%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Dundee or Falkirk in 2nd half	63.5%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.0%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	35.0%	38.5%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee (DNB)	55.2%	58.0%	59.7%	0.97×	1.72
Falkirk (DNB)	44.8%	42.0%	40.3%	1.04×	2.38

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee to score first	49.2%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Falkirk to score first	43.3%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	7.4%	7.6%	—	—	13.21

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	52.2%	51.3%	52.3%	0.98×	1.95
Not both teams to score	47.8%	48.7%	47.7%	1.02×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	39.9%	38.5%	34.1%	1.13×	2.60
Both score & over 2.5	39.8%	38.5%	43.2%	0.89×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.4%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.9%	8.3%	13.8%	0.60×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.4%	85.6%	83.9%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.6%	14.4%	16.1%	0.89×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.1%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.9%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.8%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both score 2nd half only	23.1%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Both score 1st half only	12.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	4.8%	5.0%	—	—	20.18

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.0%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.1%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.1%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	48.9%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.8%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
0-1 goals	27.3%	26.6%	21.7%	1.23×	3.76
4-6 goals	24.3%	22.9%	31.2%	0.74×	4.36
7+ goals	1.7%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.40

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to score exactly 1	36.1%	35.9%	30.4%	1.18×	2.79
Falkirk to score exactly 0	29.9%	27.5%	33.1%	0.83×	3.64
Falkirk to score exactly 2	21.8%	22.3%	22.5%	0.99×	4.49
Falkirk to score 3+	12.2%	12.9%	14.5%	0.89×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee to score exactly 1	34.8%	32.6%	31.2%	1.04×	3.07
Dundee to score exactly 0	25.4%	26.6%	20.5%	1.30×	3.77
Dundee to score exactly 2	23.9%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.29
Dundee to score 3+	16.0%	18.8%	23.8%	0.79×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.6%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Dundee leading at HT	31.2%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Falkirk leading at HT	24.2%	20.5%	—	—	4.89

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee -1: 2	59.2%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Dundee -1: X	21.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Dundee -1: 1	18.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (0:1)	59.2%	55.9%	54.1%	1.03×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	21.9%	24.2%	19.6%	1.23×	4.13
Dundee (0:1)	18.9%	17.8%	26.4%	0.67×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (0:2)	81.1%	82.9%	73.6%	1.13×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	12.0%	11.0%	14.5%	0.76×	9.10
Dundee (0:2)	6.9%	7.7%	12.2%	0.63×	13.06

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (0:3)	93.1%	92.7%	87.8%	1.06×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.9%	2.4%	6.8%	0.35×	41.93
Dundee (0:3)	2.1%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	42.05

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (0:4)	97.9%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.80
Dundee (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	81.91

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee (1:0)	66.9%	70.1%	69.0%	1.02×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	19.3%	17.1%	17.8%	0.96×	5.84
Falkirk (1:0)	13.8%	12.7%	13.4%	0.95×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee (2:0)	86.2%	88.5%	86.6%	1.02×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.3%	6.4%	7.6%	0.84×	15.64
Falkirk (2:0)	4.5%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	43.64

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.4%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee to concede	70.1%	73.0%	66.9%	1.09×	1.37
Dundee clean sheet	29.9%	27.1%	33.1%	0.82×	3.70

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee clean sheet in 1st half	61.7%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Dundee to concede in 1st half	38.3%	36.9%	—	—	2.71

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee to concede in 2nd half	51.6%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Dundee clean sheet in 2nd half	48.4%	47.5%	—	—	2.10

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee under 6.5 corners	81.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Dundee over 2.5 corners	77.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Dundee under 5.5 corners	70.8%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Dundee over 3.5 corners	60.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Dundee under 4.5 corners	56.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Dundee over 4.5 corners	43.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Dundee under 3.5 corners	39.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Dundee over 5.5 corners	29.2%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Dundee under 2.5 corners	22.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Dundee over 6.5 corners	18.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee under 3.5 goals	94.9%	92.2%	92.1%	1.00×	1.08
Dundee under 2.5 goals	84.0%	82.2%	76.2%	1.08×	1.22
Dundee over 0.5 goals	74.6%	74.2%	79.5%	0.93×	1.35
Dundee under 1.5 goals	60.2%	63.6%	51.4%	1.24×	1.57
Dundee over 1.5 goals	39.8%	36.4%	48.6%	0.75×	2.75
Dundee under 0.5 goals	25.4%	25.8%	20.5%	1.26×	3.88
Dundee over 2.5 goals	16.0%	17.8%	23.8%	0.75×	5.62
Dundee over 3.5 goals	5.1%	7.8%	7.9%	0.99×	12.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee under 1.5 in 1st half	88.1%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Dundee under 0.5 in 1st half	55.4%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Dundee over 0.5 in 1st half	44.6%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
Dundee over 1.5 in 1st half	11.9%	9.9%	—	—	10.11

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee scores equally in both	38.5%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Dundee scores more in 2nd half	36.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Dundee scores more in 1st half	25.0%	21.1%	—	—	4.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (home no bet)	55.9%	56.4%	57.0%	0.99×	1.78
Draw (home no bet)	44.1%	43.6%	43.0%	1.02×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee even goals	53.2%	50.8%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Dundee odd goals	46.8%	49.2%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.2%	33.5%	—	—	2.98
HT 1-0	20.2%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	16.5%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	9.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-0	6.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 0-2	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
Any other HT score	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 2-1	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 1-2	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.27
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee at HT / Dundee at FT	23.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Falkirk at HT / Falkirk at FT	17.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Dundee at FT	15.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Falkirk at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Dundee at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Falkirk at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Dundee at HT / Falkirk at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.96
Falkirk at HT / Dundee at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee to score last	49.2%	46.4%	—	—	2.15
Falkirk to score last	43.4%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	7.4%	7.6%	—	—	13.21

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.6%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Dundee to lead by 1 at any time	56.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Falkirk to lead by 1 at any time	49.7%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	43.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Dundee to lead by 2 at any time	24.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Falkirk to lead by 2 at any time	19.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.6%	10.6%	—	—	9.40
Dundee to lead by 3 at any time	8.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.99
Falkirk to lead by 3 at any time	5.9%	6.6%	—	—	15.11

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk most corners	47.2%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Dundee most corners	41.0%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.8%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.6%	83.4%	79.8%	1.05×	1.20
2-6 goals	71.1%	72.3%	76.7%	0.94×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.0%	68.8%	71.1%	0.97×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.6%	68.8%	61.6%	1.12×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.7%	63.3%	63.8%	0.99×	1.58
2-3 goals	46.8%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
3-6 goals	46.0%	48.4%	55.2%	0.88×	2.06
1-2 goals	44.9%	43.6%	37.6%	1.16×	2.29
3-5 goals	42.9%	43.6%	49.6%	0.88×	2.29
3-4 goals	35.7%	39.2%	42.4%	0.92×	2.55
4-6 goals	24.3%	24.5%	31.2%	0.78×	4.09
4-5 goals	21.2%	24.4%	25.6%	0.95×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.3%	14.8%	13.0%	1.14×	6.76
7+ goals	1.7%	2.6%	1.9%	1.37×	39.20

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee never behind	42.9%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
Falkirk never behind	36.2%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	50.0%	50.9%	51.2%	0.99×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.0%	49.1%	48.8%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.8%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.2%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.2%	95.4%	92.6%	1.03×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	92.6%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.0%	87.6%	85.3%	1.03×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	74.0%	72.5%	67.1%	1.08×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	72.7%	72.5%	78.3%	0.93×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	52.3%	52.5%	43.2%	1.22×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	47.7%	47.5%	56.8%	0.84×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	27.3%	27.5%	21.7%	1.27×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	26.0%	27.5%	32.9%	0.84×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	12.0%	12.4%	14.7%	0.84×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	7.4%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.8%	4.6%	7.4%	0.62×	21.80

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.3%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.9%	92.4%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	86.1%	86.7%	82.1%	1.06×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	66.8%	67.5%	56.8%	1.19×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	63.6%	61.9%	72.4%	0.86×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	36.4%	38.1%	27.6%	1.38×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.2%	32.5%	43.2%	0.75×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	13.9%	13.3%	17.9%	0.74×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.1%	7.6%	8.0%	0.94×	13.21
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.7%	2.8%	2.0%	1.42×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.6%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.9%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.8%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.2%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.1%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.4%	7.3%	—	—	13.65

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.7%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.9%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.6%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	44.4%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.1%	20.4%	—	—	4.90
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.3%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk not to score in both halves	80.2%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Dundee not to score in both halves	75.8%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Dundee to score in both halves	24.2%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Falkirk to score in both halves	19.8%	15.8%	—	—	6.34

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	52.2%	53.8%	52.3%	1.03×	1.86
Only Dundee scores	22.5%	22.3%	27.5%	0.81×	4.49
Only Falkirk scores	17.9%	16.0%	14.9%	1.08×	6.23
Neither team scores	7.4%	7.1%	5.8%	1.23×	14.00

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.1%	24.9%	21.7%	1.15×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.7%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	19.9%	17.5%	16.1%	1.08×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.0%	12.1%	18.4%	0.66×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	7.4%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	7.2%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.8%	4.5%	7.4%	0.60×	22.33

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	34.2%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	19.7%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
3+ goals in 1st half	9.4%	7.3%	—	—	13.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	44.4%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	33.5%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	22.1%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk not to win both halves	92.7%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Dundee not to win both halves	89.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Dundee to win both halves	10.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
Falkirk to win both halves	7.3%	5.8%	—	—	17.13

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee to win either half	54.2%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Falkirk to win neither half	53.0%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Falkirk to win either half	47.0%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Dundee to win neither half	45.8%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk not to win to nil	82.1%	83.1%	85.1%	0.98×	1.20
Dundee not to win to nil	77.5%	78.1%	72.5%	1.08×	1.28
Dundee to win to nil	22.5%	21.9%	27.5%	0.80×	4.57
Falkirk to win to nil	17.9%	16.9%	14.9%	1.14×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.1%	27.9%	23.3%	1.19×	3.59
Dundee by 1	21.9%	24.1%	19.6%	1.23×	4.15
Falkirk by 1	19.3%	17.1%	17.8%	0.96×	5.86
Dundee by 2	12.0%	11.8%	14.5%	0.81×	8.51
Falkirk by 2	9.3%	7.2%	7.6%	0.94×	13.90
Dundee by 3+	6.9%	7.2%	12.2%	0.59×	13.91
Falkirk by 3+	4.5%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	36.83