Dundee v Heart of Midlothian — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 November 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Dundee

15:00 UTC

Heart of Midlothian

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 628h before kick-off

Dundee win

23.2%

model 21.7%

Draw

23.2%

model 24.0%

Heart of Midlothian win

53.6%

model 54.3%

232354

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 12.2%
1-1 11.4%
0-2 10.1%
1-2 9.7%
0-0 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	49.0%	Under 2.5	51.0%
BTTS yes	50.0%	BTTS no	50.0%
Dundee 1+	61.7%	Dundee 2+	24.9%
Heart of Midlothian 1+	81.2%	Heart of Midlothian 2+	49.8%

Expected goals 0.96 – 1.67. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Heart of Midlothian (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 31%

52.2% fair odds 1.91

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Dundee not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Heart of Midlothian carry the stronger rating, 1695 Elo against 1461.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Heart of Midlothian have an estimated 53.6% win probability, against 23.2% for the draw and 23.2% for Dundee. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.96 for Dundee and 1.67 for Heart of Midlothian.

Why Dundee

Nothing in the data singles out Dundee.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.2%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Heart of Midlothian can win

Heart of Midlothian carry the stronger rating, 1695 Elo against 1461. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Dundee, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Heart of Midlothian, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Dundee: 39% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 18.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Heart of Midlothian: 34% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Heart of Midlothian are the model's most likely outcome at 53.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 12.2%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	222454	0.96–1.67	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	192359	0.89–1.78	0-1 12%	50%	49%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to win	58.6%	54.0%	31.0%	1.74×	1.85
Draw	22.8%	24.5%	23.3%	1.05×	4.09
Dundee to win	18.6%	19.4%	45.9%	0.42×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian & not both score	34.4%	29.6%	14.9%	1.99×	3.37
Heart of Midlothian & both teams score	24.3%	21.8%	16.3%	1.34×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	16.0%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.57
Dundee & not both score	10.0%	13.3%	27.5%	0.48×	7.54
Dundee & both teams score	8.5%	8.3%	18.6%	0.45×	12.00
Draw & not both score	6.8%	8.3%	5.8%	1.44×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian & over 1.5	46.2%	45.0%	24.4%	1.85×	2.22
Heart of Midlothian & under 3.5	39.8%	34.9%	22.5%	1.55×	2.87
Heart of Midlothian & over 2.5	35.2%	34.9%	20.5%	1.70×	2.87
Heart of Midlothian & under 2.5	23.5%	21.6%	10.7%	2.01×	4.63
Heart of Midlothian & over 3.5	18.8%	18.0%	8.7%	2.07×	5.55
Draw & under 2.5	17.6%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.55
Draw & under 3.5	17.6%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	16.0%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Dundee & under 3.5	14.7%	12.8%	30.2%	0.43×	7.79
Heart of Midlothian & under 1.5	12.5%	12.8%	6.8%	1.88×	7.79
Dundee & over 1.5	12.3%	12.8%	36.6%	0.35×	7.79
Dundee & over 2.5	9.5%	7.9%	28.1%	0.28×	12.62
Dundee & under 2.5	9.0%	7.9%	18.0%	0.44×	12.63
Dundee & under 1.5	6.3%	7.9%	9.5%	0.83×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.8%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.2%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.2%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Dundee & over 3.5	3.9%	4.8%	15.9%	0.30×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (1UP)	70.5%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Dundee (1UP)	35.1%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (2UP)	58.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Dundee (2UP)	18.6%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to win 2nd half	49.2%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
2nd half drawn	33.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Dundee to win 2nd half	17.3%	17.9%	—	—	5.60

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.0%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 in 2nd half	65.7%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Heart of Midlothian under 0.5 in 2nd half	34.3%	30.5%	—	—	3.27
Heart of Midlothian over 1.5 in 2nd half	29.0%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee under 1.5 in 2nd half	90.8%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Dundee under 0.5 in 2nd half	60.3%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Dundee over 0.5 in 2nd half	39.7%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
Dundee over 1.5 in 2nd half	9.2%	6.2%	—	—	16.02

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (+2.5)	98.5%	96.3%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Heart of Midlothian (+1.5)	94.0%	92.1%	73.6%	1.25×	1.09
Heart of Midlothian (+0.5)	81.4%	82.6%	54.1%	1.53×	1.21
Heart of Midlothian (-0.5)	58.6%	57.1%	31.0%	1.84×	1.75
Dundee (+0.5)	41.4%	42.9%	69.0%	0.62×	2.33
Dundee (-0.5)	18.6%	17.4%	45.9%	0.38×	5.74
Dundee (-1.5)	6.0%	7.9%	26.4%	0.30×	12.72
Dundee (-2.5)	1.5%	3.7%	12.2%	0.30×	27.24

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to concede	58.8%	62.5%	79.5%	0.79×	1.60
Heart of Midlothian clean sheet	41.2%	37.5%	20.5%	1.83×	2.67

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian clean sheet in 1st half	68.3%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Heart of Midlothian to concede in 1st half	31.7%	28.6%	—	—	3.50

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian clean sheet in 2nd half	60.3%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Heart of Midlothian to concede in 2nd half	39.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian over 2.5 corners	83.9%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Heart of Midlothian under 6.5 corners	72.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Heart of Midlothian over 3.5 corners	70.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Heart of Midlothian under 5.5 corners	60.2%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Heart of Midlothian over 4.5 corners	54.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Heart of Midlothian under 4.5 corners	45.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Heart of Midlothian over 5.5 corners	39.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Heart of Midlothian under 3.5 corners	29.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Heart of Midlothian over 6.5 corners	27.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Heart of Midlothian under 2.5 corners	16.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian under 3.5 goals	89.4%	87.8%	96.3%	0.91×	1.14
Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 goals	83.2%	81.5%	66.9%	1.22×	1.23
Heart of Midlothian under 2.5 goals	73.6%	71.9%	85.5%	0.84×	1.39
Heart of Midlothian over 1.5 goals	53.2%	53.5%	36.8%	1.46×	1.87
Heart of Midlothian under 1.5 goals	46.8%	46.5%	63.2%	0.73×	2.15
Heart of Midlothian over 2.5 goals	26.4%	28.1%	14.5%	1.95×	3.55
Heart of Midlothian under 0.5 goals	16.8%	18.5%	33.1%	0.56×	5.41
Heart of Midlothian over 3.5 goals	10.6%	12.2%	3.7%	3.28×	8.21

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian under 1.5 in 1st half	84.0%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 in 1st half	51.0%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Heart of Midlothian under 0.5 in 1st half	49.0%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Heart of Midlothian over 1.5 in 1st half	16.0%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian scores more in 2nd half	43.6%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Heart of Midlothian scores equally in both	32.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Heart of Midlothian scores more in 1st half	24.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	55.1%	57.3%	33.7%	1.70×	1.75
Dundee (away no bet)	44.9%	42.7%	66.3%	0.64×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian even goals	51.4%	52.6%	57.6%	0.91×	1.90
Heart of Midlothian odd goals	48.6%	47.4%	42.4%	1.12×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.0%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.0%	12.2%	—	—	8.20

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	62.5%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	37.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	56.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Heart of Midlothian to score 2+ in a row	46.3%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.5%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Heart of Midlothian to score 3+ in a row	19.6%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Dundee to score 2+ in a row	15.3%	16.1%	—	—	6.21
Dundee to score 3+ in a row	3.0%	2.6%	—	—	39.10

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian corners (+3.5)	91.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Heart of Midlothian corners (+2.5)	85.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Heart of Midlothian corners (+1.5)	77.4%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Dundee corners (+3.5)	76.5%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Dundee corners (+2.5)	66.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Dundee corners (+1.5)	55.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Heart of Midlothian corners (-1.5)	44.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Heart of Midlothian corners (-2.5)	33.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Heart of Midlothian corners (-3.5)	23.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Dundee corners (-1.5)	22.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Dundee corners (-2.5)	14.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Dundee corners (-3.5)	9.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	46.1%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	30.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	23.6%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.5%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	76.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	65.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	57.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	53.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	46.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	42.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	34.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	32.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	23.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	16.5%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	12.5%	11.5%	6.8%	1.68×	8.71
0-2	11.0%	11.5%	4.1%	2.78×	8.72
1-1	10.8%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.72
1-2	9.8%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
0-0	6.8%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.51
0-3	6.5%	7.4%	3.3%	2.24×	13.51
1-0	6.3%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.51
1-3	5.8%	7.4%	3.1%	2.39×	13.51
2-1	4.9%	1.7%	7.0%	0.24×	58.29
0-4	2.9%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.30
1-4	2.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.30
2-0	2.7%	1.7%	8.7%	0.20×	58.30
2-2	4.3%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.29
2-3	2.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.30
2-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.31
3-0	0.8%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.31
3-1	1.4%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.31
3-2	1.3%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.32
4-1	0.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.32
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32
Any other score	3.7%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (2nd half DNB)	73.9%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
Dundee (2nd half DNB)	26.1%	28.3%	—	—	3.53

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian leading at HT (DNB)	69.0%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Dundee leading at HT (DNB)	31.0%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian or draw (X2)	81.4%	80.6%	54.1%	1.49×	1.24
Dundee or Heart of Midlothian (12)	77.2%	75.5%	76.7%	0.99×	1.32
Dundee or draw (1X)	41.4%	46.0%	69.0%	0.67×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian or draw at HT	82.4%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Dundee or draw at HT	60.8%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Dundee or Heart of Midlothian at HT	56.8%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian or draw (1UP)	81.4%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Dundee or draw (1UP)	41.4%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian or draw in 2nd half	82.7%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Dundee or Heart of Midlothian in 2nd half	66.6%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Dundee or draw in 2nd half	50.8%	54.7%	—	—	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.3%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	37.7%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (DNB)	76.0%	74.7%	40.3%	1.85×	1.34
Dundee (DNB)	24.0%	25.3%	59.7%	0.42×	3.95

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to score first	62.2%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Dundee to score first	31.0%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
No goal scored	6.8%	7.6%	—	—	13.24

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	51.2%	51.3%	47.7%	1.07×	1.95
Both teams to score	48.8%	48.7%	52.3%	0.93×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	39.3%	38.5%	34.1%	1.13×	2.60
Both score & over 2.5	38.0%	38.5%	43.2%	0.89×	2.60
Not both score & over 2.5	11.9%	12.4%	13.8%	0.89×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	10.8%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.2%	85.6%	83.9%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.8%	14.4%	16.1%	0.89×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	74.0%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.0%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	62.1%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	21.8%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Both score 1st half only	11.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	4.2%	4.9%	—	—	20.29

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.9%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.1%	16.5%	—	—	6.04

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	52.7%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	47.3%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.5%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
4-6 goals	26.0%	26.6%	31.2%	0.85×	3.76
0-1 goals	25.6%	26.6%	21.7%	1.23×	3.76
7+ goals	1.9%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.37

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 1	30.0%	27.5%	30.4%	0.90×	3.64
Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 2	26.7%	27.4%	22.5%	1.22×	3.65
Heart of Midlothian to score 3+	26.4%	27.4%	14.5%	1.90×	3.65
Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 0	16.8%	19.5%	33.1%	0.59×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.5%	31.2%	1.14×	2.81
Dundee to score exactly 0	41.2%	35.1%	20.5%	1.72×	2.85
Dundee to score exactly 2	16.2%	18.8%	25.0%	0.75×	5.32
Dundee to score 3+	6.1%	10.3%	23.8%	0.43×	9.68

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.2%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Heart of Midlothian leading at HT	39.2%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Dundee leading at HT	17.6%	16.0%	—	—	6.26

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian -1: 1	41.4%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
Heart of Midlothian -1: 2	33.5%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Heart of Midlothian -1: X	25.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (0:1)	81.4%	77.9%	54.1%	1.44×	1.28
Draw (0:1)	12.6%	13.7%	19.6%	0.70×	7.30
Dundee (0:1)	6.0%	9.2%	26.4%	0.35×	10.88

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (0:2)	94.0%	90.8%	73.6%	1.23×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	4.5%	3.8%	14.5%	0.26×	26.64
Dundee (0:2)	1.5%	3.7%	12.2%	0.31×	26.82

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (0:3)	98.5%	96.6%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.2%	2.4%	6.8%	0.35×	42.09
Dundee (0:3)	0.3%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	42.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (0:4)	99.7%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Dundee (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	81.90
Draw (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.88

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee (1:0)	41.4%	43.3%	69.0%	0.63×	2.31
Heart of Midlothian (1:0)	33.5%	30.1%	13.4%	2.24×	3.32
Draw (1:0)	25.2%	25.0%	17.8%	1.41×	4.00

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee (2:0)	66.5%	70.8%	86.6%	0.82×	1.41
Draw (2:0)	18.1%	15.9%	7.6%	2.08×	6.30
Heart of Midlothian (2:0)	15.4%	15.8%	6.0%	2.64×	6.32

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.6%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	24.9%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee to concede	83.2%	81.0%	66.9%	1.21×	1.24
Dundee clean sheet	16.8%	19.0%	33.1%	0.58×	5.26

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee to concede in 1st half	51.0%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Dundee clean sheet in 1st half	49.0%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee to concede in 2nd half	65.7%	66.5%	—	—	1.50
Dundee clean sheet in 2nd half	34.3%	33.5%	—	—	2.99

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee under 6.5 corners	86.0%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Dundee under 5.5 corners	76.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Dundee over 2.5 corners	72.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Dundee under 4.5 corners	62.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Dundee over 3.5 corners	54.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Dundee under 3.5 corners	45.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Dundee over 4.5 corners	37.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Dundee under 2.5 corners	27.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Dundee over 5.5 corners	23.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Dundee over 6.5 corners	14.0%	13.8%	—	—	7.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee under 3.5 goals	98.7%	96.4%	92.1%	1.05×	1.04
Dundee under 2.5 goals	93.9%	92.2%	76.2%	1.21×	1.08
Dundee under 1.5 goals	77.7%	77.8%	51.4%	1.51×	1.29
Dundee over 0.5 goals	58.8%	58.7%	79.5%	0.74×	1.71
Dundee under 0.5 goals	41.2%	41.3%	20.5%	2.02×	2.42
Dundee over 1.5 goals	22.3%	22.2%	48.6%	0.46×	4.50
Dundee over 2.5 goals	6.1%	7.8%	23.8%	0.33×	12.85
Dundee over 3.5 goals	1.3%	3.6%	7.9%	0.46×	27.63

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee under 1.5 in 1st half	94.3%	94.9%	—	—	1.05
Dundee under 0.5 in 1st half	68.3%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Dundee over 0.5 in 1st half	31.7%	30.5%	—	—	3.28
Dundee over 1.5 in 1st half	5.7%	5.1%	—	—	19.61

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee scores equally in both	49.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Dundee scores more in 2nd half	29.6%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
Dundee scores more in 1st half	20.9%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (home no bet)	72.0%	66.8%	57.0%	1.17×	1.50
Draw (home no bet)	28.0%	33.2%	43.0%	0.77×	3.02

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee even goals	58.5%	55.3%	51.7%	1.07×	1.81
Dundee odd goals	41.5%	44.7%	48.3%	0.92×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.5%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
HT 0-1	23.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 1-0	12.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	9.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 0-2	8.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
Any other HT score	4.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 1-2	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 2-0	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 2-1	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.36

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT	34.1%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Draw at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT	21.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Dundee at HT / Dundee at FT	9.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.41
Draw at HT / Dundee at FT	7.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
Dundee at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Heart of Midlothian at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Dundee at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Heart of Midlothian at HT / Dundee at FT	1.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to score last	62.2%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Dundee to score last	31.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
No goal scored	6.8%	7.6%	—	—	13.24

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.2%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Heart of Midlothian to lead by 1 at any time	70.5%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	49.0%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Heart of Midlothian to lead by 2 at any time	39.4%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Dundee to lead by 1 at any time	35.1%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Heart of Midlothian to lead by 3 at any time	17.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Dundee to lead by 2 at any time	9.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.94
Dundee to lead by 3 at any time	2.2%	1.6%	—	—	63.09

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian most corners	56.2%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Dundee most corners	32.5%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	11.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.8%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.0%	78.7%	79.8%	0.99×	1.27
2-6 goals	72.5%	72.3%	76.7%	0.94×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.0%	68.8%	71.1%	0.97×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.3%	68.8%	61.6%	1.12×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.2%	63.3%	63.8%	0.99×	1.58
3-6 goals	47.9%	48.4%	55.2%	0.88×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.5%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
3-5 goals	44.5%	43.6%	49.6%	0.88×	2.29
1-2 goals	43.3%	43.6%	37.6%	1.16×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.6%	39.2%	42.4%	0.92×	2.55
4-6 goals	26.0%	30.2%	31.2%	0.97×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.5%	24.5%	25.6%	0.95×	4.09
5-6 goals	11.3%	14.8%	13.0%	1.14×	6.76
7+ goals	1.9%	2.6%	1.9%	1.37×	39.18

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian never behind	58.1%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Dundee never behind	22.7%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	50.0%	50.9%	51.2%	0.99×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.0%	49.1%	48.8%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.9%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.6%	92.3%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.2%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	86.8%	87.6%	85.3%	1.03×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	74.4%	72.5%	78.3%	0.93×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	72.1%	72.5%	67.1%	1.08×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	50.1%	52.5%	43.2%	1.22×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	49.9%	47.5%	56.8%	0.84×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	27.9%	27.5%	32.9%	0.84×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	25.6%	27.5%	21.7%	1.27×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	13.2%	12.4%	14.7%	0.85×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	6.8%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	5.4%	7.7%	7.4%	1.04×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.0%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.1%	92.4%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	84.5%	81.1%	82.1%	0.99×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	66.1%	67.5%	72.4%	0.93×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	64.2%	61.9%	56.8%	1.09×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	35.8%	38.1%	43.2%	0.88×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	33.9%	32.5%	27.6%	1.18×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	15.5%	18.9%	17.9%	1.05×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.9%	7.6%	8.0%	0.94×	13.20
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.0%	2.8%	2.0%	1.43×	35.62

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.2%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.1%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.5%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.5%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.9%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.8%	7.4%	—	—	13.59

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.3%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.0%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	53.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	46.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.0%	20.5%	—	—	4.89
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.7%	20.4%	—	—	4.89

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee not to score in both halves	87.4%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Heart of Midlothian not to score in both halves	66.5%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Heart of Midlothian to score in both halves	33.5%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Dundee to score in both halves	12.6%	14.4%	—	—	6.95

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	48.8%	50.7%	52.3%	0.97×	1.97
Only Heart of Midlothian scores	34.4%	33.3%	14.9%	2.24×	3.00
Only Dundee scores	10.0%	11.0%	27.5%	0.40×	9.08
Neither team scores	6.8%	7.1%	5.8%	1.23×	14.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.6%	22.6%	21.7%	1.04×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.8%	17.5%	16.1%	1.08×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.7%	12.1%	18.4%	0.66×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	7.8%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	6.8%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.14
6 or more goals	5.4%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.7%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	33.5%	35.8%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	20.0%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
3+ goals in 1st half	9.8%	7.4%	—	—	13.59

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	46.6%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	32.7%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	20.7%	22.8%	—	—	4.38

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee not to win both halves	97.0%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Heart of Midlothian not to win both halves	80.7%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Heart of Midlothian to win both halves	19.3%	16.6%	—	—	6.01
Dundee to win both halves	3.0%	2.8%	—	—	35.95

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to win either half	69.2%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Dundee to win neither half	68.1%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Dundee to win either half	31.9%	32.1%	—	—	3.11
Heart of Midlothian to win neither half	30.8%	32.1%	—	—	3.12

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dundee not to win to nil	90.0%	88.1%	72.5%	1.22×	1.14
Heart of Midlothian not to win to nil	65.6%	69.6%	85.1%	0.82×	1.44
Heart of Midlothian to win to nil	34.4%	30.4%	14.9%	2.04×	3.30
Dundee to win to nil	10.0%	11.9%	27.5%	0.43×	8.43

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian by 1	25.2%	27.9%	17.8%	1.57×	3.59
Draw	22.8%	24.1%	23.3%	1.03×	4.15
Heart of Midlothian by 2	18.1%	17.0%	7.6%	2.23×	5.87
Heart of Midlothian by 3+	15.4%	17.0%	6.0%	2.84×	5.87
Dundee by 1	12.6%	11.8%	19.6%	0.60×	8.51
Dundee by 2	4.5%	2.7%	14.5%	0.19×	36.83
Dundee by 3+	1.5%	2.7%	12.2%	0.22×	36.93