Dynamo Makhachkala v Spartak Moscow — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 22 November 2026 · RUS-Premier League · 2627

RUS-Premier League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Dynamo Makhachkala

13:30 UTC

Spartak Moscow

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 23 Oct, 10:58 · 723h before kick-off

Dynamo Makhachkala win

23.0%

model 21.9%

Draw

27.7%

model 28.4%

Spartak Moscow win

49.3%

model 49.6%

232849

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.5%
0-1 11.6%
0-2 9.9%
0-0 9.8%
1-2 9.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	44.8%	Under 2.5	55.2%
BTTS yes	49.0%	BTTS no	51.0%
Dynamo Makhachkala 1+	60.9%	Dynamo Makhachkala 2+	24.2%
Spartak Moscow 1+	78.3%	Spartak Moscow 2+	45.1%

Expected goals 0.94 – 1.53. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Spartak Moscow (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 39%

67.4% fair odds 1.48

strong signal · 332 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Dynamo Makhachkala not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Spartak Moscow carry the stronger rating, 1658 Elo against 1412.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Spartak Moscow have an estimated 49.3% win probability, against 27.7% for the draw and 23.0% for Dynamo Makhachkala. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.94 for Dynamo Makhachkala and 1.53 for Spartak Moscow.

Why Dynamo Makhachkala

Nothing in the data singles out Dynamo Makhachkala.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.7%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Spartak Moscow can win

Spartak Moscow carry the stronger rating, 1658 Elo against 1412. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Dynamo Makhachkala, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Spartak Moscow, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Dynamo Makhachkala: 39% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Spartak Moscow: 63% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 10.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Spartak Moscow are the model's most likely outcome at 49.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.5%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	222850	0.94–1.53	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	253045	0.95–1.36	1-1 14%	41%	47%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow to win	44.9%	43.0%	28.0%	1.53×	2.33
Draw	30.3%	30.4%	28.0%	1.08×	3.29
Dynamo Makhachkala to win	24.8%	24.5%	44.1%	0.55×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow & not both score	27.4%	25.2%	14.8%	1.70×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	19.0%	18.0%	20.9%	0.86×	5.56
Spartak Moscow & both teams score	17.5%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.56
Dynamo Makhachkala & not both score	14.3%	13.3%	25.4%	0.52×	7.53
Draw & not both score	11.3%	13.3%	7.3%	1.81×	7.54
Dynamo Makhachkala & both teams score	10.4%	13.3%	18.9%	0.70×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow & under 3.5	34.2%	30.8%	20.5%	1.50×	3.25
Spartak Moscow & over 1.5	32.7%	30.8%	20.5%	1.50×	3.25
Draw & under 2.5	25.6%	26.1%	22.2%	1.18×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	25.6%	26.1%	22.2%	1.18×	3.84
Spartak Moscow & over 2.5	23.6%	21.6%	16.5%	1.31×	4.63
Spartak Moscow & under 2.5	21.3%	21.6%	11.8%	1.83×	4.63
Dynamo Makhachkala & under 3.5	20.0%	21.6%	30.9%	0.70×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.0%	18.0%	20.9%	0.86×	5.56
Dynamo Makhachkala & over 1.5	16.8%	18.0%	33.5%	0.54×	5.56
Dynamo Makhachkala & under 2.5	12.5%	12.8%	18.3%	0.70×	7.79
Dynamo Makhachkala & over 2.5	12.3%	12.8%	26.0%	0.49×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	11.3%	12.8%	7.3%	1.75×	7.79
Spartak Moscow & under 1.5	12.1%	12.8%	7.7%	1.66×	7.79
Spartak Moscow & over 3.5	10.7%	12.8%	7.7%	1.66×	7.79
Dynamo Makhachkala & under 1.5	8.0%	7.9%	10.8%	0.74×	12.63
Dynamo Makhachkala & over 3.5	4.8%	4.8%	13.4%	0.36×	20.81
Draw & over 2.5	4.8%	4.8%	6.1%	0.79×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.8%	4.8%	6.1%	0.79×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (1UP)	58.7%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Dynamo Makhachkala (1UP)	40.8%	38.4%	—	—	2.61

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (2UP)	44.9%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Dynamo Makhachkala (2UP)	24.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.4%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Spartak Moscow to win 2nd half	38.6%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Dynamo Makhachkala to win 2nd half	22.0%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.3%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Spartak Moscow over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.8%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Spartak Moscow under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.2%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Spartak Moscow over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.7%	15.9%	—	—	6.29

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Makhachkala under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.7%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Dynamo Makhachkala under 0.5 in 2nd half	58.2%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Dynamo Makhachkala over 0.5 in 2nd half	41.8%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Dynamo Makhachkala over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.3%	11.4%	—	—	8.77

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (+2.5)	97.5%	96.3%	89.6%	1.07×	1.04
Spartak Moscow (+1.5)	90.8%	92.1%	77.4%	1.19×	1.09
Spartak Moscow (+0.5)	75.2%	78.5%	55.9%	1.40×	1.27
Dynamo Makhachkala (+0.5)	55.1%	57.0%	72.0%	0.79×	1.75
Spartak Moscow (-0.5)	44.9%	43.0%	28.0%	1.53×	2.33
Dynamo Makhachkala (-0.5)	24.8%	21.5%	44.1%	0.49×	4.65
Dynamo Makhachkala (-1.5)	9.2%	7.9%	22.6%	0.35×	12.67
Dynamo Makhachkala (-2.5)	2.5%	3.7%	10.4%	0.36×	27.15

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow to concede	61.3%	67.5%	78.0%	0.87×	1.48
Spartak Moscow clean sheet	38.7%	32.5%	22.0%	1.48×	3.08

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow clean sheet in 1st half	66.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.42
Spartak Moscow to concede in 1st half	33.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.41

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow clean sheet in 2nd half	58.2%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Spartak Moscow to concede in 2nd half	41.8%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow over 2.5 corners	85.7%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Spartak Moscow over 3.5 corners	72.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Spartak Moscow under 6.5 corners	70.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Spartak Moscow over 4.5 corners	57.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Spartak Moscow under 5.5 corners	57.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Spartak Moscow over 5.5 corners	42.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Spartak Moscow under 4.5 corners	42.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Spartak Moscow over 6.5 corners	29.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Spartak Moscow under 3.5 corners	27.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Spartak Moscow under 2.5 corners	14.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow under 3.5 goals	95.1%	97.5%	97.0%	1.01×	1.03
Spartak Moscow under 2.5 goals	84.3%	81.5%	88.8%	0.92×	1.23
Spartak Moscow over 0.5 goals	74.3%	71.9%	67.5%	1.07×	1.39
Spartak Moscow under 1.5 goals	60.6%	63.2%	70.1%	0.90×	1.58
Spartak Moscow over 1.5 goals	39.4%	36.8%	29.9%	1.23×	2.71
Spartak Moscow under 0.5 goals	25.7%	28.1%	32.5%	0.86×	3.56
Spartak Moscow over 2.5 goals	15.7%	18.5%	11.2%	1.66×	5.40
Spartak Moscow over 3.5 goals	4.9%	2.5%	3.0%	0.82×	39.78

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow under 1.5 in 1st half	89.6%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Spartak Moscow under 0.5 in 1st half	58.1%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Spartak Moscow over 0.5 in 1st half	41.9%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Spartak Moscow over 1.5 in 1st half	10.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.33

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow scores more in 2nd half	39.0%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Spartak Moscow scores equally in both	38.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Spartak Moscow scores more in 1st half	22.6%	22.1%	—	—	4.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	55.0%	57.3%	38.9%	1.47×	1.74
Dynamo Makhachkala (away no bet)	45.0%	42.7%	61.1%	0.70×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow even goals	53.3%	52.6%	53.3%	0.99×	1.90
Spartak Moscow odd goals	46.7%	47.4%	46.7%	1.01×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.3%	91.6%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.7%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	55.0%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
Both halves under 1.5 goals	45.0%	48.9%	—	—	2.05

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	47.6%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Spartak Moscow to score 2+ in a row	33.0%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Dynamo Makhachkala to score 2+ in a row	18.4%	16.3%	—	—	6.15
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.1%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Spartak Moscow to score 3+ in a row	11.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Dynamo Makhachkala to score 3+ in a row	4.2%	2.6%	—	—	38.21

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow corners (+3.5)	93.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Spartak Moscow corners (+2.5)	89.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Spartak Moscow corners (+1.5)	82.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Dynamo Makhachkala corners (+3.5)	71.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Dynamo Makhachkala corners (+2.5)	61.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Spartak Moscow corners (-1.5)	50.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Dynamo Makhachkala corners (+1.5)	49.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Spartak Moscow corners (-2.5)	38.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Spartak Moscow corners (-3.5)	28.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Dynamo Makhachkala corners (-1.5)	17.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Dynamo Makhachkala corners (-2.5)	10.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Dynamo Makhachkala corners (-3.5)	6.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	47.6%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
9-11 corners	30.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	22.2%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	84.6%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	77.8%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	69.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 7.5 corners	64.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	59.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	52.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	47.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	41.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	35.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	30.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	22.2%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	15.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.2%	11.5%	15.0%	0.76×	8.72
0-1	12.1%	11.5%	7.7%	1.48×	8.72
0-0	11.3%	11.5%	7.3%	1.57×	8.72
0-2	9.2%	7.4%	4.3%	1.73×	13.50
1-2	8.7%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.51
1-0	8.0%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.51
2-1	6.1%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
0-3	4.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.30
0-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.31
1-3	3.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.30
1-4	1.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.69×	58.31
2-0	4.5%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.29
2-2	4.1%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.30
2-3	1.9%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.31
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.11×	58.32
3-0	1.4%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31
3-1	1.9%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.31
3-2	1.3%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.31
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.32
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.32
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.21×	58.32
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.11×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.44×	58.32
Any other score	1.6%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (2nd half DNB)	63.7%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Dynamo Makhachkala (2nd half DNB)	36.3%	37.0%	—	—	2.70

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow leading at HT (DNB)	58.9%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Dynamo Makhachkala leading at HT (DNB)	41.1%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow or draw (X2)	75.2%	75.5%	55.9%	1.35×	1.32
Dynamo Makhachkala or Spartak Moscow (12)	69.7%	69.6%	72.0%	0.97×	1.44
Dynamo Makhachkala or draw (1X)	55.1%	57.0%	72.0%	0.79×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow or draw at HT	78.7%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Dynamo Makhachkala or draw at HT	69.4%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Dynamo Makhachkala or Spartak Moscow at HT	51.9%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow or draw (1UP)	75.2%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Dynamo Makhachkala or draw (1UP)	55.1%	62.9%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow or draw in 2nd half	78.0%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Dynamo Makhachkala or draw in 2nd half	61.4%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Dynamo Makhachkala or Spartak Moscow in 2nd half	60.6%	63.9%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.1%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	32.9%	31.9%	—	—	3.14

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (DNB)	64.4%	62.8%	38.9%	1.61×	1.59
Dynamo Makhachkala (DNB)	35.6%	37.2%	61.1%	0.61×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow to score first	52.2%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Dynamo Makhachkala to score first	36.5%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	11.3%	9.6%	—	—	10.39

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	53.1%	51.3%	47.2%	1.09×	1.95
Both teams to score	46.9%	48.7%	52.8%	0.92×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	45.2%	44.3%	37.0%	1.20×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	32.7%	34.5%	38.0%	0.91×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	14.2%	12.4%	15.0%	0.82×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.9%	8.3%	10.4%	0.80×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.3%	89.0%	86.8%	1.03×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.7%	11.0%	13.2%	0.83×	9.08

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.2%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.8%	25.5%	—	—	3.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	65.2%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Both score 2nd half only	20.5%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Both score 1st half only	11.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	3.3%	4.9%	—	—	20.39

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.7%	85.1%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	14.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.73

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	53.7%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
A goal in each half	46.3%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.3%	47.2%	48.0%	0.98×	2.12
0-1 goals	31.5%	30.7%	25.4%	1.21×	3.26
4-6 goals	19.3%	20.2%	25.4%	0.80×	4.94
7+ goals	1.0%	1.8%	1.6%	1.13×	54.41

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow to score exactly 1	34.9%	33.9%	37.8%	0.90×	2.95
Spartak Moscow to score exactly 0	25.7%	27.4%	32.5%	0.84×	3.66
Spartak Moscow to score exactly 2	23.7%	22.3%	18.9%	1.18×	4.48
Spartak Moscow to score 3+	15.7%	19.6%	11.2%	1.75×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Makhachkala to score exactly 0	38.7%	35.6%	22.0%	1.62×	2.81
Dynamo Makhachkala to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.6%	35.2%	1.01×	2.81
Dynamo Makhachkala to score exactly 2	17.4%	18.8%	24.6%	0.76×	5.33
Dynamo Makhachkala to score 3+	7.1%	10.3%	18.7%	0.55×	9.72

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.1%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Spartak Moscow leading at HT	30.6%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Dynamo Makhachkala leading at HT	21.3%	20.7%	—	—	4.83

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow -1: 1	55.1%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Spartak Moscow -1: X	22.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Spartak Moscow -1: 2	21.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (0:1)	75.2%	73.6%	55.9%	1.32×	1.36
Draw (0:1)	15.6%	17.8%	21.7%	0.82×	5.62
Dynamo Makhachkala (0:1)	9.2%	9.3%	22.6%	0.41×	10.78

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (0:2)	90.8%	90.7%	77.4%	1.17×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	6.7%	7.7%	12.4%	0.62×	13.05
Dynamo Makhachkala (0:2)	2.5%	3.7%	10.4%	0.36×	26.73

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (0:3)	97.5%	96.6%	89.6%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.9%	2.4%	5.9%	0.40×	42.13
Dynamo Makhachkala (0:3)	0.5%	2.4%	4.7%	0.51×	42.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (0:4)	99.5%	98.1%	95.3%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	3.7%	0.33×	82.06
Dynamo Makhachkala (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.2%	1.00×	82.09

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Makhachkala (1:0)	55.1%	58.2%	72.0%	0.81×	1.72
Draw (1:0)	22.9%	21.7%	16.9%	1.29×	4.61
Spartak Moscow (1:0)	21.9%	21.7%	11.4%	1.91×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Makhachkala (2:0)	78.1%	80.5%	88.6%	0.91×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	13.8%	10.3%	7.3%	1.41×	9.71
Spartak Moscow (2:0)	8.1%	6.4%	4.3%	1.49×	15.68

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.0%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Halves equal	29.6%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	25.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Makhachkala to concede	74.3%	73.2%	67.5%	1.09×	1.37
Dynamo Makhachkala clean sheet	25.7%	26.8%	32.5%	0.82×	3.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Makhachkala clean sheet in 1st half	58.1%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Dynamo Makhachkala to concede in 1st half	41.9%	38.0%	—	—	2.63

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Makhachkala to concede in 2nd half	55.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Dynamo Makhachkala clean sheet in 2nd half	44.2%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Makhachkala under 6.5 corners	89.6%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Dynamo Makhachkala under 5.5 corners	81.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Dynamo Makhachkala under 4.5 corners	68.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Dynamo Makhachkala over 2.5 corners	67.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Dynamo Makhachkala under 3.5 corners	51.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Dynamo Makhachkala over 3.5 corners	48.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Dynamo Makhachkala under 2.5 corners	32.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Dynamo Makhachkala over 4.5 corners	31.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Dynamo Makhachkala over 5.5 corners	18.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
Dynamo Makhachkala over 6.5 corners	10.4%	13.7%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Makhachkala under 3.5 goals	98.4%	96.4%	92.7%	1.04×	1.04
Dynamo Makhachkala under 2.5 goals	92.9%	92.2%	81.3%	1.13×	1.08
Dynamo Makhachkala under 1.5 goals	75.5%	77.7%	56.9%	1.37×	1.29
Dynamo Makhachkala over 0.5 goals	61.3%	63.6%	78.0%	0.81×	1.57
Dynamo Makhachkala under 0.5 goals	38.7%	36.4%	22.0%	1.66×	2.75
Dynamo Makhachkala over 1.5 goals	24.5%	22.3%	43.1%	0.52×	4.49
Dynamo Makhachkala over 2.5 goals	7.1%	7.8%	18.7%	0.42×	12.89
Dynamo Makhachkala over 3.5 goals	1.6%	3.6%	7.3%	0.50×	27.59

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Makhachkala under 1.5 in 1st half	93.6%	94.8%	—	—	1.06
Dynamo Makhachkala under 0.5 in 1st half	66.5%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Dynamo Makhachkala over 0.5 in 1st half	33.5%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Dynamo Makhachkala over 1.5 in 1st half	6.4%	5.2%	—	—	19.28

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Makhachkala scores equally in both	47.7%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Dynamo Makhachkala scores more in 2nd half	30.7%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
Dynamo Makhachkala scores more in 1st half	21.6%	21.2%	—	—	4.71

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow (home no bet)	59.7%	56.5%	50.0%	1.13×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	40.4%	43.5%	50.0%	0.87×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Makhachkala even goals	57.5%	55.3%	50.6%	1.09×	1.81
Dynamo Makhachkala odd goals	42.5%	44.7%	49.4%	0.91×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.9%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
HT 0-1	20.7%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	15.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	8.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
HT 0-2	5.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 2-0	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.09
Any other HT score	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.14
HT 2-1	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.27

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow at HT / Spartak Moscow at FT	24.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.4%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Draw at HT / Spartak Moscow at FT	17.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Dynamo Makhachkala at HT / Dynamo Makhachkala at FT	13.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Dynamo Makhachkala at FT	9.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Dynamo Makhachkala at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
Spartak Moscow at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
Dynamo Makhachkala at HT / Spartak Moscow at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.70
Spartak Moscow at HT / Dynamo Makhachkala at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.74

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow to score last	52.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Dynamo Makhachkala to score last	36.3%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	11.3%	9.0%	—	—	11.08

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.7%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
Spartak Moscow to lead by 1 at any time	58.7%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Dynamo Makhachkala to lead by 1 at any time	40.8%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	40.0%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Spartak Moscow to lead by 2 at any time	27.0%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Dynamo Makhachkala to lead by 2 at any time	13.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Spartak Moscow to lead by 3 at any time	9.7%	6.8%	—	—	14.81
Dynamo Makhachkala to lead by 3 at any time	3.3%	1.6%	—	—	61.50

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow most corners	62.4%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Dynamo Makhachkala most corners	26.7%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	10.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.6%	87.4%	87.6%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.2%	83.4%	79.7%	1.05×	1.20
1-3 goals	68.4%	68.8%	66.1%	1.04×	1.45
2-6 goals	67.5%	68.8%	73.2%	0.94×	1.45
2-5 goals	65.5%	68.8%	69.5%	0.99×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.0%	63.3%	61.6%	1.03×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.3%	48.5%	48.0%	1.01×	2.06
1-2 goals	48.1%	48.5%	44.7%	1.08×	2.06
3-6 goals	39.7%	39.2%	46.7%	0.84×	2.55
3-5 goals	37.6%	39.2%	43.1%	0.91×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.1%	35.2%	35.2%	1.00×	2.84
4-6 goals	19.3%	18.8%	25.4%	0.74×	5.31
4-5 goals	17.2%	18.8%	21.7%	0.87×	5.31
5-6 goals	7.5%	8.9%	11.8%	0.75×	11.26
7+ goals	1.0%	2.6%	1.6%	1.57×	39.18

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Spartak Moscow never behind	47.8%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Dynamo Makhachkala never behind	29.9%	30.2%	—	—	3.32

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.7%	50.9%	48.8%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.3%	49.1%	51.2%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.9%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.1%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.0%	95.4%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.5%	92.3%	86.8%	1.06×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.7%	87.6%	92.7%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	79.8%	77.3%	73.2%	1.06×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	68.5%	66.3%	74.6%	0.89×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	59.4%	58.6%	51.8%	1.13×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	40.6%	41.4%	48.2%	0.86×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	31.5%	33.7%	25.4%	1.33×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	20.2%	22.7%	26.8%	0.85×	4.41
Under 0.5 goals	11.3%	12.4%	7.3%	1.69×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	8.5%	7.7%	13.2%	0.59×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	3.0%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.87

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.0%	97.2%	98.3%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.8%	97.2%	94.3%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.4%	92.4%	84.7%	1.09×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	74.6%	72.4%	65.9%	1.10×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	56.3%	55.8%	65.5%	0.85×	1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	43.7%	44.2%	34.5%	1.28×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	25.4%	27.6%	34.1%	0.81×	3.63
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.6%	7.6%	15.3%	0.50×	13.14
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.2%	2.8%	5.7%	0.49×	35.56
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.0%	2.8%	1.7%	1.66×	35.63

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.8%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	75.1%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.2%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.9%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Over 1.5 in 1st half	24.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.2%	7.3%	—	—	13.68

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.4%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.8%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.2%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.8%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.2%	22.4%	—	—	4.47
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.6%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Makhachkala not to score in both halves	86.0%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Spartak Moscow not to score in both halves	76.6%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Spartak Moscow to score in both halves	23.4%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Dynamo Makhachkala to score in both halves	14.0%	14.5%	—	—	6.88

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	46.9%	50.7%	52.8%	0.96×	1.97
Only Spartak Moscow scores	27.4%	26.0%	14.8%	1.75×	3.84
Only Dynamo Makhachkala scores	14.3%	11.0%	25.4%	0.43×	9.05
Neither team scores	11.3%	11.0%	7.3%	1.51×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.9%	24.9%	26.6%	0.93×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	20.2%	22.6%	18.3%	1.23×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	20.4%	22.6%	21.5%	1.05×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	11.8%	12.1%	13.8%	0.88×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	11.3%	12.1%	7.3%	1.66×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	5.4%	7.6%	8.1%	0.94×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.0%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.39

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	38.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	17.7%	15.7%	—	—	6.39
3+ goals in 1st half	7.2%	7.3%	—	—	13.68

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	39.8%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
1 goal in 2nd half	34.0%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	26.2%	29.2%	—	—	3.43

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Makhachkala not to win both halves	95.2%	97.1%	—	—	1.03
Spartak Moscow not to win both halves	88.0%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Spartak Moscow to win both halves	12.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Dynamo Makhachkala to win both halves	4.8%	2.9%	—	—	34.84

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Makhachkala to win neither half	61.6%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Spartak Moscow to win either half	57.1%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Spartak Moscow to win neither half	42.9%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
Dynamo Makhachkala to win either half	38.5%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Makhachkala not to win to nil	85.7%	88.1%	74.6%	1.18×	1.14
Spartak Moscow not to win to nil	72.6%	75.3%	85.2%	0.88×	1.33
Spartak Moscow to win to nil	27.4%	24.7%	14.8%	1.66×	4.06
Dynamo Makhachkala to win to nil	14.3%	11.9%	25.4%	0.47×	8.40

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	30.3%	27.6%	28.0%	0.99×	3.62
Spartak Moscow by 1	22.9%	24.1%	16.9%	1.43×	4.15
Dynamo Makhachkala by 1	15.6%	17.0%	21.7%	0.78×	5.87
Spartak Moscow by 2	13.8%	11.8%	7.3%	1.61×	8.51
Spartak Moscow by 3+	8.1%	7.2%	4.3%	1.69×	13.90
Dynamo Makhachkala by 2	6.7%	7.2%	12.4%	0.58×	13.91
Dynamo Makhachkala by 3+	2.5%	2.7%	10.4%	0.26×	36.83