Eastleigh v Carlisle United — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · ENG-National League · 2627

ENG-National League results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Eastleigh

14:00 UTC

Carlisle United

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 242h before kick-off

Eastleigh win

24.0%

model 24.2%

Draw

24.0%

model 22.5%

Carlisle United win

52.0%

model 53.3%

242452

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,549 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.5%
0-1 10.2%
1-2 9.8%
0-2 8.7%
1-0 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	55.5%	Under 2.5	44.5%
BTTS yes	55.7%	BTTS no	44.3%
Eastleigh 1+	67.4%	Eastleigh 2+	30.9%
Carlisle United 1+	83.2%	Carlisle United 2+	53.2%

Expected goals 1.12 – 1.78. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

27/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Carlisle United (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 43%

67.2% fair odds 1.49

strong signal · 3254 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Carlisle United under 1.5 in 1st half

Away goals O/U 1HT

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 363 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Carlisle United.

Risk factors

Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Eastleigh have only 1 matches on record.
Carlisle United have only 1 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Carlisle United have an estimated 52.0% win probability, against 24.0% for Eastleigh and 24.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.12 for Eastleigh and 1.78 for Carlisle United.

Why Eastleigh

At home Eastleigh average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 24.0%.

Why Carlisle United can win

Nothing in the data singles out Carlisle United.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Eastleigh, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Carlisle United, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Eastleigh: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Carlisle United: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Carlisle United are the model's most likely outcome at 52.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.5%. Confidence 27/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	242253	1.12–1.78	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	232156	1.16–1.93	1-2 10%	60%	58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United to win	53.3%	51.2%	33.6%	1.52×	1.95
Eastleigh to win	24.2%	23.6%	43.7%	0.54×	4.23
Draw	22.5%	23.6%	22.8%	1.04×	4.23

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United & not both score	27.5%	26.5%	16.5%	1.61×	3.78
Carlisle United & both teams score	25.8%	26.5%	17.3%	1.53×	3.78
Draw & both teams score	17.4%	18.1%	18.2%	0.99×	5.52
Eastleigh & both teams score	12.5%	12.7%	22.0%	0.58×	7.88
Eastleigh & not both score	11.7%	12.7%	21.9%	0.58×	7.88
Draw & not both score	5.1%	7.6%	4.8%	1.61×	13.08

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United & over 1.5	43.1%	42.9%	27.7%	1.55×	2.33
Carlisle United & over 2.5	34.4%	31.8%	21.6%	1.48×	3.15
Carlisle United & under 3.5	33.8%	31.8%	24.2%	1.31×	3.15
Carlisle United & over 3.5	19.4%	17.7%	9.5%	1.86×	5.64
Eastleigh & over 1.5	17.7%	17.7%	34.4%	0.52×	5.64
Eastleigh & under 3.5	17.4%	17.7%	28.1%	0.63×	5.64
Draw & over 1.5	17.4%	17.7%	18.2%	0.97×	5.64
Carlisle United & under 2.5	18.9%	17.7%	12.2%	1.45×	5.64
Draw & under 2.5	15.6%	17.7%	16.2%	1.10×	5.64
Draw & under 3.5	15.6%	17.7%	16.2%	1.10×	5.64
Eastleigh & over 2.5	14.2%	12.4%	29.0%	0.43×	8.05
Carlisle United & under 1.5	10.2%	12.4%	6.0%	2.06×	8.06
Eastleigh & under 2.5	10.0%	7.6%	14.9%	0.51×	13.20
Eastleigh & under 1.5	6.6%	7.6%	9.5%	0.80×	13.21
Eastleigh & over 3.5	6.8%	7.6%	15.8%	0.48×	13.21
Draw & over 2.5	6.9%	7.6%	6.8%	1.11×	13.21
Draw & over 3.5	6.9%	7.6%	6.8%	1.11×	13.21
Draw & under 1.5	5.1%	7.6%	4.8%	1.59×	13.21

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United (1UP)	67.6%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Eastleigh (1UP)	42.6%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United (2UP)	53.3%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Eastleigh (2UP)	24.2%	23.0%	—	—	4.36

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United to win 2nd half	45.7%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
2nd half drawn	32.5%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Eastleigh to win 2nd half	21.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.0%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Carlisle United over 0.5 in 2nd half	65.7%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
Carlisle United under 0.5 in 2nd half	34.3%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
Carlisle United over 1.5 in 2nd half	29.0%	25.5%	—	—	3.92

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eastleigh under 1.5 in 2nd half	86.5%	86.4%	—	—	1.16
Eastleigh under 0.5 in 2nd half	52.8%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
Eastleigh over 0.5 in 2nd half	47.2%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Eastleigh over 1.5 in 2nd half	13.5%	13.6%	—	—	7.34

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United (+2.5)	97.3%	96.6%	89.7%	1.08×	1.04
Carlisle United (+1.5)	90.9%	92.3%	79.4%	1.16×	1.08
Carlisle United (+0.5)	75.8%	78.0%	56.3%	1.39×	1.28
Carlisle United (-0.5)	53.3%	51.8%	33.6%	1.54×	1.93
Eastleigh (+0.5)	46.7%	48.2%	66.4%	0.73×	2.07
Eastleigh (-0.5)	24.2%	22.0%	43.7%	0.50×	4.55
Eastleigh (-1.5)	9.1%	7.7%	20.6%	0.37×	12.97
Eastleigh (-2.5)	2.7%	3.4%	10.3%	0.33×	29.65

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United to concede	67.4%	71.2%	78.9%	0.90×	1.40
Carlisle United clean sheet	32.6%	28.8%	21.1%	1.36×	3.48

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United clean sheet in 1st half	61.8%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Carlisle United to concede in 1st half	38.2%	37.4%	—	—	2.68

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United clean sheet in 2nd half	52.8%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Carlisle United to concede in 2nd half	47.2%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United under 3.5 goals	89.4%	87.1%	96.4%	0.90×	1.15
Carlisle United over 0.5 goals	83.2%	82.5%	73.5%	1.12×	1.21
Carlisle United under 2.5 goals	73.5%	71.6%	84.5%	0.85×	1.40
Carlisle United over 1.5 goals	53.2%	53.0%	40.6%	1.31×	1.89
Carlisle United under 1.5 goals	46.8%	47.1%	59.4%	0.79×	2.13
Carlisle United over 2.5 goals	26.5%	28.4%	15.5%	1.83×	3.52
Carlisle United under 0.5 goals	16.8%	17.5%	26.5%	0.66×	5.72
Carlisle United over 3.5 goals	10.6%	12.9%	3.6%	3.53×	7.77

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United under 1.5 in 1st half	84.0%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Carlisle United over 0.5 in 1st half	51.0%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Carlisle United under 0.5 in 1st half	49.0%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Carlisle United over 1.5 in 1st half	16.0%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United scores more in 2nd half	43.6%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Carlisle United scores equally in both	32.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Carlisle United scores more in 1st half	24.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eastleigh (away no bet)	51.9%	52.4%	65.7%	0.80×	1.91
Draw (away no bet)	48.1%	47.6%	34.3%	1.39×	2.10

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United even goals	51.4%	53.6%	54.4%	0.99×	1.87
Carlisle United odd goals	48.6%	46.4%	45.6%	1.02×	2.16

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.9%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.1%	17.6%	—	—	5.67

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.2%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	59.8%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
Carlisle United to score 2+ in a row	44.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Either team to score 3+ in a row	23.3%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Eastleigh to score 2+ in a row	21.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Carlisle United to score 3+ in a row	18.3%	17.0%	—	—	5.88
Eastleigh to score 3+ in a row	5.4%	7.7%	—	—	13.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.5%	11.2%	11.6%	0.97×	8.91
0-1	10.2%	11.2%	6.0%	1.86×	8.91
1-2	9.8%	7.4%	8.4%	0.89×	13.45
0-2	8.7%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.45
0-3	5.2%	7.4%	4.0%	1.88×	13.45
1-0	6.6%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.45
1-3	5.8%	7.4%	3.5%	2.13×	13.45
2-1	6.1%	7.4%	9.7%	0.77×	13.45
2-2	5.5%	7.4%	5.1%	1.47×	13.45
0-0	5.1%	7.4%	4.8%	1.56×	13.45
0-4	2.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.61×	58.34
1-4	2.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.55×	58.34
2-0	3.4%	1.7%	5.5%	0.31×	58.34
2-3	3.3%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.34
2-4	1.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.70×	58.34
3-0	1.3%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.34
3-1	2.3%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.34
3-2	2.0%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.34
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.34
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.70×	58.35
4-0	0.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.35
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	1.7%	0.98×	58.35
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.35
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.60×	58.35
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.60×	58.35
Any other score	4.1%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.34

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United (2nd half DNB)	67.6%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Eastleigh (2nd half DNB)	32.4%	33.4%	—	—	2.99

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United leading at HT (DNB)	62.5%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Eastleigh leading at HT (DNB)	37.5%	37.8%	—	—	2.64

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eastleigh or Carlisle United (12)	77.5%	76.4%	77.2%	0.99×	1.31
Carlisle United or draw (X2)	75.8%	76.4%	56.3%	1.36×	1.31
Eastleigh or draw (1X)	46.7%	48.8%	66.4%	0.73×	2.05

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United or draw at HT	78.1%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Eastleigh or draw at HT	63.4%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Eastleigh or Carlisle United at HT	58.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United or draw (1UP)	75.8%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Eastleigh or draw (1UP)	46.7%	55.3%	—	—	1.81

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United or draw in 2nd half	78.2%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Eastleigh or Carlisle United in 2nd half	67.5%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Eastleigh or draw in 2nd half	54.3%	55.3%	—	—	1.81

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.9%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Neither half drawn	39.1%	39.6%	—	—	2.53

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United (DNB)	68.7%	67.2%	43.4%	1.55×	1.49
Eastleigh (DNB)	31.3%	32.8%	56.6%	0.58×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United to score first	58.3%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Eastleigh to score first	36.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
No goal scored	5.1%	6.3%	—	—	15.77

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.7%	55.3%	57.2%	0.97×	1.81
Not both teams to score	44.3%	44.7%	42.8%	1.04×	2.24

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	45.1%	45.1%	45.8%	0.99×	2.22
Not both score & under 2.5	34.0%	34.0%	31.5%	1.08×	2.94
Both score & under 2.5	10.5%	11.9%	11.6%	1.03×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	10.4%	11.9%	11.4%	1.04×	8.41

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.6%	83.0%	82.7%	1.00×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	16.4%	17.0%	17.3%	0.98×	5.89

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.1%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.9%	30.6%	—	—	3.27

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	55.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Both score 2nd half only	24.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Both score 1st half only	13.4%	11.9%	—	—	8.41
Both score in both halves	6.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.53

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.6%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	19.4%	17.4%	—	—	5.75

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	56.9%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	43.1%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.1%	46.5%	48.3%	0.96×	2.15
4-6 goals	30.2%	31.2%	29.5%	1.06×	3.21
0-1 goals	21.8%	23.5%	20.0%	1.18×	4.26
7+ goals	2.9%	2.0%	2.5%	0.79×	49.72

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United to score exactly 1	30.0%	27.4%	33.1%	0.83×	3.65
Carlisle United to score exactly 2	26.7%	27.4%	25.2%	1.09×	3.65
Carlisle United to score 3+	26.5%	27.4%	15.5%	1.77×	3.65
Carlisle United to score exactly 0	16.8%	18.2%	26.5%	0.69×	5.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eastleigh to score exactly 1	36.5%	36.6%	33.8%	1.08×	2.73
Eastleigh to score exactly 0	32.6%	32.2%	21.1%	1.53×	3.10
Eastleigh to score exactly 2	20.5%	22.8%	23.6%	0.97×	4.38
Eastleigh to score 3+	10.4%	13.3%	21.9%	0.61×	7.54

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Carlisle United leading at HT	36.6%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
Eastleigh leading at HT	21.9%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United -1: 1	46.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Carlisle United -1: 2	29.5%	26.8%	—	—	3.74
Carlisle United -1: X	23.8%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United (0:1)	75.8%	76.8%	56.3%	1.36×	1.30
Draw (0:1)	15.1%	18.2%	23.3%	0.78×	5.49
Eastleigh (0:1)	9.1%	8.6%	20.6%	0.42×	11.57

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United (0:2)	90.9%	91.4%	79.4%	1.15×	1.09
Draw (0:2)	6.4%	7.7%	10.5%	0.74×	12.97
Eastleigh (0:2)	2.7%	3.5%	10.3%	0.34×	28.50

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United (0:3)	97.3%	96.7%	89.7%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.1%	2.6%	5.5%	0.46×	39.18
Eastleigh (0:3)	0.7%	2.6%	4.9%	0.52×	39.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United (0:4)	99.3%	97.8%	95.1%	1.03×	1.02
Eastleigh (0:4)	0.1%	1.4%	1.4%	0.99×	70.77
Draw (0:4)	0.5%	1.4%	3.6%	0.39×	70.75

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eastleigh (1:0)	46.7%	50.3%	66.4%	0.76×	1.99
Carlisle United (1:0)	29.5%	25.2%	16.2%	1.56×	3.97
Draw (1:0)	23.8%	22.1%	17.6%	1.26×	4.53

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eastleigh (2:0)	70.5%	74.7%	83.8%	0.89×	1.34
Draw (2:0)	16.2%	15.1%	10.1%	1.49×	6.61
Carlisle United (2:0)	13.3%	11.6%	6.2%	1.87×	8.64

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.7%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	23.3%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eastleigh to concede	83.2%	82.8%	73.5%	1.13×	1.21
Eastleigh clean sheet	16.8%	17.2%	26.5%	0.65×	5.80

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eastleigh to concede in 1st half	51.0%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Eastleigh clean sheet in 1st half	49.0%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eastleigh to concede in 2nd half	65.7%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Eastleigh clean sheet in 2nd half	34.3%	36.0%	—	—	2.78

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eastleigh under 3.5 goals	97.3%	96.6%	91.1%	1.06×	1.04
Eastleigh under 2.5 goals	89.6%	87.3%	78.1%	1.12×	1.15
Eastleigh under 1.5 goals	69.1%	68.3%	54.7%	1.25×	1.46
Eastleigh over 0.5 goals	67.4%	68.3%	78.9%	0.87×	1.46
Eastleigh under 0.5 goals	32.6%	31.7%	21.1%	1.50×	3.15
Eastleigh over 1.5 goals	30.9%	31.7%	45.3%	0.70×	3.15
Eastleigh over 2.5 goals	10.4%	12.7%	21.9%	0.58×	7.88
Eastleigh over 3.5 goals	2.7%	3.4%	8.9%	0.38×	29.42

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eastleigh under 1.5 in 1st half	91.5%	93.3%	—	—	1.07
Eastleigh under 0.5 in 1st half	61.8%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Eastleigh over 0.5 in 1st half	38.2%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Eastleigh over 1.5 in 1st half	8.5%	6.7%	—	—	15.00

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eastleigh scores equally in both	43.4%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Eastleigh scores more in 2nd half	33.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Eastleigh scores more in 1st half	23.2%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United (home no bet)	70.3%	70.0%	59.6%	1.18×	1.43
Draw (home no bet)	29.7%	30.0%	40.4%	0.74×	3.34

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eastleigh even goals	55.3%	55.6%	50.6%	1.10×	1.80
Eastleigh odd goals	44.7%	44.4%	49.4%	0.90×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.2%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
HT 0-1	21.7%	22.5%	—	—	4.45
HT 1-0	14.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 1-1	10.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 0-2	7.7%	8.0%	—	—	12.54
Any other HT score	4.8%	2.5%	—	—	40.36
HT 1-2	3.7%	2.5%	—	—	40.41
HT 2-0	3.5%	2.5%	—	—	40.42
HT 2-1	2.5%	2.5%	—	—	40.47
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.5%	—	—	40.54

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United at HT / Carlisle United at FT	30.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Draw at HT / Carlisle United at FT	19.2%	17.3%	—	—	5.77
Eastleigh at HT / Eastleigh at FT	13.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Draw at HT / Eastleigh at FT	9.3%	6.5%	—	—	15.43
Eastleigh at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.4%	—	—	15.52
Carlisle United at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.6%	—	—	27.51
Eastleigh at HT / Carlisle United at FT	3.5%	3.6%	—	—	27.54
Carlisle United at HT / Eastleigh at FT	1.6%	3.6%	—	—	27.59

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United to score last	58.2%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Eastleigh to score last	36.7%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
No goal scored	5.1%	6.3%	—	—	15.77

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.9%	93.6%	—	—	1.07
Carlisle United to lead by 1 at any time	67.6%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	50.5%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Eastleigh to lead by 1 at any time	42.6%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Carlisle United to lead by 2 at any time	36.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	20.0%	17.6%	—	—	5.67
Carlisle United to lead by 3 at any time	16.0%	17.6%	—	—	5.69
Eastleigh to lead by 2 at any time	14.4%	11.1%	—	—	9.04
Eastleigh to lead by 3 at any time	4.0%	2.6%	—	—	37.92

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.5%	87.1%	88.1%	0.99×	1.15
1-4 goals	78.1%	77.9%	77.7%	1.00×	1.28
2-6 goals	75.3%	77.9%	77.7%	1.00×	1.28
2-5 goals	70.8%	72.2%	72.9%	0.99×	1.39
1-3 goals	61.8%	62.7%	63.6%	0.99×	1.60
2-4 goals	61.3%	62.7%	62.4%	1.00×	1.60
3-6 goals	52.6%	52.9%	54.7%	0.97×	1.89
3-5 goals	48.0%	47.4%	49.9%	0.95×	2.11
2-3 goals	45.1%	47.4%	48.3%	0.98×	2.11
1-2 goals	39.4%	39.0%	38.4%	1.02×	2.56
3-4 goals	38.6%	39.0%	39.5%	0.99×	2.56
4-6 goals	30.2%	34.7%	29.5%	1.18×	2.88
4-5 goals	25.7%	28.5%	24.7%	1.15×	3.51
5-6 goals	14.0%	13.5%	15.4%	0.88×	7.42
7+ goals	2.9%	2.3%	2.5%	0.89×	44.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United never behind	52.4%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
Eastleigh never behind	27.3%	31.4%	—	—	3.19

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	50.7%	50.1%	52.5%	0.95×	2.00
Even number of goals	49.3%	49.9%	47.5%	1.05×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.4%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.6%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.4%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.6%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.9%	92.3%	95.2%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.6%	92.3%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.1%	81.6%	82.3%	0.99×	1.23
Over 1.5 goals	78.2%	77.0%	80.0%	0.96×	1.30
Under 3.5 goals	66.9%	67.7%	68.1%	0.99×	1.48
Over 2.5 goals	55.5%	57.7%	57.1%	1.01×	1.73
Under 2.5 goals	44.5%	42.3%	42.9%	0.98×	2.37
Over 3.5 goals	33.1%	32.3%	31.9%	1.01×	3.09
Under 1.5 goals	21.8%	23.0%	20.0%	1.15×	4.34
Over 4.5 goals	16.9%	18.4%	17.8%	1.04×	5.44
Over 5.5 goals	7.4%	7.7%	7.3%	1.06×	12.91
Under 0.5 goals	5.1%	7.7%	4.8%	1.63×	12.91

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.0%	97.3%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.8%	92.0%	91.9%	1.00×	1.09
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	79.9%	76.0%	79.3%	0.96×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	71.8%	72.1%	74.1%	0.97×	1.39
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.3%	58.2%	57.4%	1.01×	1.72
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	42.7%	41.8%	42.6%	0.98×	2.39
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	28.2%	27.9%	25.9%	1.08×	3.58
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	20.1%	24.0%	20.7%	1.16×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.2%	8.0%	8.1%	0.98×	12.51
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.0%	2.7%	2.7%	1.02×	36.69

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.1%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.8%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.5%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.5%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.2%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.9%	11.6%	—	—	8.62

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.0%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	75.5%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.2%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.8%	49.4%	—	—	2.02
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.5%	20.0%	—	—	4.99
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eastleigh not to score in both halves	81.9%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Carlisle United not to score in both halves	66.5%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Carlisle United to score in both halves	33.5%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Eastleigh to score in both halves	18.1%	18.8%	—	—	5.33

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.7%	57.8%	57.2%	1.01×	1.73
Only Carlisle United scores	27.5%	25.4%	16.5%	1.54×	3.93
Only Eastleigh scores	11.7%	11.2%	21.9%	0.51×	8.94
Neither team scores	5.1%	7.1%	4.8%	1.49×	14.10

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.7%	22.3%	23.1%	0.96×	4.49
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.3%	25.4%	0.88×	4.49
Exactly 1 goals	16.7%	17.6%	15.4%	1.15×	5.68
Exactly 4 goals	16.2%	17.6%	14.3%	1.24×	5.68
Exactly 5 goals	9.4%	7.8%	10.6%	0.73×	12.88
6 or more goals	7.4%	7.8%	7.3%	1.06×	12.88
Exactly 0 goals	5.1%	7.8%	4.8%	1.63×	12.89

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.3%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
No goals in 1st half	30.2%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
2 goals in 1st half	21.5%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
3+ goals in 1st half	11.9%	11.4%	—	—	8.79

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.8%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
1 goal in 2nd half	31.2%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
No goals in 2nd half	18.0%	16.5%	—	—	6.08

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eastleigh not to win both halves	95.3%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Carlisle United not to win both halves	83.4%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
Carlisle United to win both halves	16.6%	18.0%	—	—	5.54
Eastleigh to win both halves	4.7%	2.7%	—	—	36.50

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United to win either half	65.6%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Eastleigh to win neither half	61.0%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Eastleigh to win either half	39.0%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Carlisle United to win neither half	34.4%	31.4%	—	—	3.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eastleigh not to win to nil	88.3%	87.9%	78.1%	1.12×	1.14
Carlisle United not to win to nil	72.5%	74.8%	83.5%	0.90×	1.34
Carlisle United to win to nil	27.5%	25.2%	16.5%	1.53×	3.98
Eastleigh to win to nil	11.7%	12.1%	21.9%	0.55×	8.24

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carlisle United by 1	23.8%	23.4%	17.6%	1.33×	4.27
Draw	22.5%	23.4%	22.8%	1.03×	4.27
Carlisle United by 2	16.2%	17.2%	10.1%	1.70×	5.80
Eastleigh by 1	15.1%	17.2%	23.3%	0.74×	5.80
Carlisle United by 3+	13.3%	11.8%	6.2%	1.92×	8.44
Eastleigh by 2	6.4%	7.3%	10.5%	0.69×	13.77
Eastleigh by 3+	2.7%	3.0%	10.3%	0.29×	33.46