Eibar v Granada — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Eibar

12:00 UTC

Granada

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 4h before kick-off

Eibar win

49.9%

model 48.8%

Draw

28.1%

model 26.9%

Granada win

21.9%

model 24.3%

502822

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 14.8%
1-1 12.3%
0-0 10.2%
2-0 9.9%
0-1 9.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	39.2%	Under 2.5	60.8%
BTTS yes	43.4%	BTTS no	56.6%
Eibar 1+	74.7%	Eibar 2+	40.0%
Granada 1+	58.5%	Granada 2+	22.0%

Expected goals 1.38 – 0.88. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

53/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

1-2 goals

Multi goal · usually 42%

52.3% fair odds 1.91

strong signal · 1784 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Eibar under 2.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 83%

82.5% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1293 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Eibar carry the stronger rating, 1567 Elo against 1475.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Eibar have an estimated 49.9% win probability, against 28.1% for the draw and 21.9% for Granada. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.38 for Eibar and 0.88 for Granada.

Why Eibar

Eibar carry the stronger rating, 1567 Elo against 1475. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.1%. A combined 2.25 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Granada can win

Nothing in the data singles out Granada.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Eibar, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Granada, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Eibar: 43% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Granada: 48% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Eibar are the model's most likely outcome at 49.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 14.8%. Confidence 53/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	512722	1.41–0.82	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	512821	1.33–0.74	1-0 17%	34%	38%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar to win	51.3%	51.9%	45.5%	1.14×	1.93
Draw	26.7%	27.5%	26.6%	1.04×	3.63
Granada to win	22.0%	22.2%	28.0%	0.79×	4.51

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar & not both score	33.7%	33.1%	23.6%	1.40×	3.02
Eibar & both teams score	17.6%	17.8%	22.0%	0.81×	5.62
Draw & both teams score	16.2%	17.8%	17.5%	1.01×	5.62
Granada & not both score	13.9%	12.1%	13.4%	0.90×	8.24
Draw & not both score	10.5%	12.1%	9.1%	1.32×	8.27
Granada & both teams score	8.1%	7.3%	14.7%	0.50×	13.69

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar & under 3.5	40.1%	43.7%	32.2%	1.35×	2.29
Eibar & over 1.5	35.8%	37.6%	32.6%	1.15×	2.66
Eibar & under 2.5	26.3%	25.5%	19.3%	1.32×	3.92
Eibar & over 2.5	25.1%	25.5%	26.3%	0.97×	3.92
Draw & under 2.5	22.6%	21.5%	20.3%	1.06×	4.66
Draw & under 3.5	22.6%	21.5%	20.3%	1.06×	4.66
Granada & under 3.5	18.7%	17.6%	19.6%	0.90×	5.68
Draw & over 1.5	16.2%	17.6%	17.5%	1.00×	5.68
Eibar & under 1.5	15.5%	17.6%	13.0%	1.35×	5.68
Granada & over 1.5	12.9%	12.7%	19.4%	0.65×	7.88
Granada & under 2.5	12.7%	12.7%	11.6%	1.10×	7.88
Eibar & over 3.5	11.3%	12.7%	13.3%	0.95×	7.88
Draw & under 1.5	10.5%	12.7%	9.1%	1.39×	7.88
Granada & over 2.5	9.3%	7.5%	16.6%	0.45×	13.33
Granada & under 1.5	9.1%	7.5%	8.7%	0.86×	13.33
Draw & over 2.5	4.1%	4.5%	6.4%	0.70×	22.32
Draw & over 3.5	4.1%	4.5%	6.4%	0.70×	22.32
Granada & over 3.5	3.3%	4.5%	8.5%	0.53×	22.36

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar (1UP)	62.9%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Granada (1UP)	36.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.62

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar (2UP)	51.3%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Granada (2UP)	22.0%	20.9%	—	—	4.79

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar to win 2nd half	40.1%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
2nd half drawn	39.1%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Granada to win 2nd half	20.7%	22.1%	—	—	4.52

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada under 1.5 in 2nd half	91.3%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Granada under 0.5 in 2nd half	61.3%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Granada over 0.5 in 2nd half	38.7%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Granada over 1.5 in 2nd half	8.7%	8.3%	—	—	12.06

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.7%	80.6%	—	—	1.24
Eibar over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.3%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
Eibar under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.7%	41.3%	—	—	2.42
Eibar over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.3%	19.4%	—	—	5.15

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada (+2.5)	90.3%	92.3%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Eibar (+0.5)	78.0%	78.8%	72.0%	1.09×	1.27
Granada (+1.5)	74.8%	73.2%	80.5%	0.91×	1.37
Eibar (-0.5)	51.3%	51.8%	45.5%	1.14×	1.93
Granada (+0.5)	48.7%	48.2%	54.5%	0.88×	2.08
Eibar (-1.5)	25.2%	26.8%	19.5%	1.37×	3.73
Granada (-0.5)	22.0%	21.2%	28.0%	0.76×	4.71
Eibar (-2.5)	9.7%	7.7%	7.7%	1.01×	12.94

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada to concede	75.6%	76.1%	77.5%	0.98×	1.31
Granada clean sheet	24.4%	23.9%	22.5%	1.06×	4.19

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada clean sheet in 1st half	54.5%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Granada to concede in 1st half	45.5%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada to concede in 2nd half	55.3%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
Granada clean sheet in 2nd half	44.7%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada under 6.5 corners	83.5%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Granada over 2.5 corners	74.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Granada under 5.5 corners	73.2%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Granada under 4.5 corners	59.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Granada over 3.5 corners	57.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Granada under 3.5 corners	42.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Granada over 4.5 corners	40.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Granada over 5.5 corners	26.8%	28.5%	—	—	3.52
Granada under 2.5 corners	25.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Granada over 6.5 corners	16.5%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada under 3.5 goals	99.0%	97.3%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Granada under 2.5 goals	95.0%	97.2%	89.2%	1.09×	1.03
Granada under 1.5 goals	80.3%	81.7%	69.4%	1.18×	1.22
Granada over 0.5 goals	55.7%	57.7%	67.3%	0.86×	1.73
Granada under 0.5 goals	44.3%	42.3%	32.7%	1.29×	2.37
Granada over 1.5 goals	19.7%	18.3%	30.6%	0.60×	5.46
Granada over 2.5 goals	5.0%	2.8%	10.8%	0.26×	35.98
Granada over 3.5 goals	1.0%	2.7%	3.0%	0.89×	36.97

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada under 1.5 in 1st half	95.7%	96.1%	—	—	1.04
Granada under 0.5 in 1st half	72.2%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Granada over 0.5 in 1st half	27.8%	30.9%	—	—	3.24
Granada over 1.5 in 1st half	4.3%	3.9%	—	—	25.48

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada scores equally in both	51.6%	54.1%	—	—	1.85
Granada scores more in 2nd half	30.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Granada scores more in 1st half	18.4%	18.3%	—	—	5.45

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar (away no bet)	65.8%	72.0%	63.1%	1.14×	1.39
Draw (away no bet)	34.2%	28.0%	36.9%	0.76×	3.57

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada even goals	59.8%	58.5%	54.7%	1.07×	1.71
Granada odd goals	40.2%	41.5%	45.3%	0.92×	2.41

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.1%	92.0%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.9%	8.0%	—	—	12.57

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	52.0%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Both halves under 1.5 goals	48.0%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	46.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Eibar to score 2+ in a row	35.4%	37.1%	—	—	2.69
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.3%	17.8%	—	—	5.63
Granada to score 2+ in a row	14.4%	12.3%	—	—	8.16
Eibar to score 3+ in a row	12.5%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
Granada to score 3+ in a row	2.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.68

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar corners (+3.5)	88.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Eibar corners (+2.5)	82.3%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Granada corners (+3.5)	79.0%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Eibar corners (+1.5)	73.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Granada corners (+2.5)	70.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Granada corners (+1.5)	59.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Eibar corners (-1.5)	40.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Eibar corners (-2.5)	29.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Granada corners (-1.5)	26.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Eibar corners (-3.5)	21.0%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Granada corners (-2.5)	17.7%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Granada corners (-3.5)	11.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	45.8%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	30.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	24.2%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.8%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	75.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.1%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	65.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	56.9%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	54.2%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	45.8%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	43.1%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	34.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 10.5 corners	32.9%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 11.5 corners	24.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	17.2%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	15.5%	11.7%	13.0%	0.90×	8.56
1-1	12.1%	11.6%	11.2%	1.03×	8.62
2-0	10.7%	11.6%	6.4%	1.81×	8.62
0-0	10.5%	11.6%	9.1%	1.27×	8.63
0-1	9.1%	7.3%	8.7%	0.83×	13.76
2-1	8.8%	7.3%	10.1%	0.72×	13.76
1-2	5.1%	7.3%	7.0%	1.03×	13.77
3-0	5.1%	7.3%	3.0%	2.38×	13.77
3-1	4.1%	1.8%	4.5%	0.40×	55.41
0-2	3.6%	1.8%	2.9%	0.61×	55.42
2-2	3.6%	1.8%	5.7%	0.32×	55.42
1-3	1.4%	1.8%	3.6%	0.50×	55.47
3-2	1.7%	1.8%	2.8%	0.64×	55.47
4-0	1.8%	1.8%	1.2%	1.56×	55.46
4-1	1.5%	1.8%	1.9%	0.95×	55.47
Any other score	1.6%	1.8%	2.7%	0.66×	55.47
0-3	1.0%	1.8%	1.3%	1.43×	55.48
0-4	0.2%	1.8%	0.7%	2.45×	55.50
1-4	0.3%	1.8%	0.8%	2.14×	55.50
2-3	1.0%	1.8%	2.3%	0.78×	55.48
2-4	0.2%	1.8%	0.7%	2.45×	55.50
3-3	0.5%	1.8%	0.7%	2.45×	55.50
3-4	0.1%	1.8%	0.2%	8.58×	55.51
4-2	0.6%	1.8%	1.2%	1.56×	55.49
4-3	0.2%	1.8%	0.3%	5.72×	55.50
4-4	0.0%	1.8%	0.2%	8.58×	55.51

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar (2nd half DNB)	65.9%	66.5%	—	—	1.51
Granada (2nd half DNB)	34.1%	33.6%	—	—	2.98

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar leading at HT (DNB)	68.3%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Granada leading at HT (DNB)	31.7%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar or draw (1X)	78.0%	77.8%	72.0%	1.08×	1.29
Eibar or Granada (12)	73.3%	72.5%	73.4%	0.99×	1.38
Granada or draw (X2)	48.7%	48.1%	54.5%	0.88×	2.08

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar or draw at HT	83.3%	81.8%	—	—	1.22
Granada or draw at HT	64.1%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Eibar or Granada at HT	52.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar or draw (1UP)	78.0%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Granada or draw (1UP)	48.7%	55.2%	—	—	1.81

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar or draw in 2nd half	79.3%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
Eibar or Granada in 2nd half	60.9%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Granada or draw in 2nd half	59.9%	60.7%	—	—	1.65

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.3%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Neither half drawn	31.7%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar (DNB)	70.0%	71.1%	61.9%	1.15×	1.41
Granada (DNB)	30.0%	28.9%	38.1%	0.76×	3.46

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar to score first	56.7%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Granada to score first	32.8%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
No goal scored	10.5%	8.7%	—	—	11.54

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	58.1%	56.5%	46.0%	1.23×	1.77
Both teams to score	41.9%	43.5%	54.0%	0.80×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	49.4%	45.7%	39.8%	1.15×	2.19
Both score & over 2.5	29.7%	31.5%	42.9%	0.74×	3.17
Both score & under 2.5	12.1%	11.7%	11.2%	1.04×	8.54
Not both score & over 2.5	8.7%	8.7%	6.3%	1.38×	11.54

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.9%	88.9%	85.6%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.1%	11.1%	14.4%	0.77×	9.05

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.7%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	21.3%	25.9%	—	—	3.87

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	68.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	18.6%	18.2%	—	—	5.49
Both score 1st half only	9.9%	6.5%	—	—	15.38
Both score in both halves	2.7%	4.8%	—	—	20.63

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.4%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	12.6%	14.5%	—	—	6.91

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	56.1%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
A goal in each half	43.9%	44.4%	—	—	2.25

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.3%	45.9%	41.4%	1.11×	2.18
0-1 goals	35.1%	35.3%	30.7%	1.15×	2.84
4-6 goals	17.8%	20.6%	26.6%	0.78×	4.85
7+ goals	0.8%	1.9%	1.6%	1.21×	52.52

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada to score exactly 0	44.3%	41.5%	32.7%	1.27×	2.41
Granada to score exactly 1	36.1%	34.6%	36.9%	0.94×	2.89
Granada to score exactly 2	14.7%	13.4%	19.9%	0.68×	7.44
Granada to score 3+	5.0%	4.3%	10.8%	0.40×	23.19

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar to score exactly 1	34.4%	30.5%	35.6%	0.86×	3.28
Eibar to score exactly 0	24.4%	23.0%	22.5%	1.02×	4.35
Eibar to score exactly 2	24.3%	23.0%	25.0%	0.92×	4.35
Eibar to score 3+	16.9%	18.5%	17.1%	1.08×	5.41

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.4%	47.9%	—	—	2.09
Eibar leading at HT	35.9%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Granada leading at HT	16.7%	18.2%	—	—	5.48

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar -1: 2	48.7%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Eibar -1: X	26.1%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
Eibar -1: 1	25.2%	27.0%	—	—	3.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada (0:1)	48.7%	47.8%	54.5%	0.88×	2.09
Draw (0:1)	26.1%	26.3%	26.1%	1.01×	3.80
Eibar (0:1)	25.2%	26.3%	19.5%	1.34×	3.81

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada (0:2)	74.8%	73.7%	80.5%	0.92×	1.36
Draw (0:2)	15.5%	16.2%	12.0%	1.36×	6.16
Eibar (0:2)	9.7%	7.2%	7.7%	0.94×	13.88

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada (0:3)	90.3%	92.5%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.7%	6.8%	5.4%	1.27×	14.71
Eibar (0:3)	3.0%	2.3%	2.4%	0.96×	43.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada (0:4)	97.0%	98.1%	97.6%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.2%	1.2%	2.1%	0.59×	80.98
Eibar (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	0.4%	2.91×	81.74

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar (1:0)	78.0%	78.7%	72.0%	1.09×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	15.2%	16.3%	18.0%	0.91×	6.12
Granada (1:0)	6.8%	8.5%	10.2%	0.84×	11.71

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar (2:0)	93.2%	91.7%	89.8%	1.02×	1.09
Draw (2:0)	5.2%	6.5%	7.0%	0.92×	15.46
Granada (2:0)	1.6%	2.7%	3.3%	0.83×	37.22

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.1%	48.7%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	27.9%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar to concede	55.7%	59.5%	67.3%	0.88×	1.68
Eibar clean sheet	44.3%	40.5%	32.7%	1.24×	2.47

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar clean sheet in 1st half	72.2%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Eibar to concede in 1st half	27.8%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar clean sheet in 2nd half	61.3%	60.8%	—	—	1.64
Eibar to concede in 2nd half	38.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar over 2.5 corners	82.1%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Eibar under 6.5 corners	74.6%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Eibar over 3.5 corners	67.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Eibar under 5.5 corners	62.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Eibar over 4.5 corners	52.0%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Eibar under 4.5 corners	48.0%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Eibar over 5.5 corners	37.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Eibar under 3.5 corners	32.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Eibar over 6.5 corners	25.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Eibar under 2.5 corners	17.9%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar under 3.5 goals	94.5%	92.3%	93.7%	0.98×	1.08
Eibar under 2.5 goals	83.1%	82.5%	82.9%	1.00×	1.21
Eibar over 0.5 goals	75.6%	76.8%	77.5%	0.99×	1.30
Eibar under 1.5 goals	58.8%	56.0%	58.0%	0.97×	1.79
Eibar over 1.5 goals	41.2%	44.0%	42.0%	1.05×	2.27
Eibar under 0.5 goals	24.4%	23.2%	22.5%	1.03×	4.32
Eibar over 2.5 goals	16.9%	17.5%	17.1%	1.02×	5.73
Eibar over 3.5 goals	5.5%	7.8%	6.3%	1.23×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar under 1.5 in 1st half	87.6%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Eibar under 0.5 in 1st half	54.5%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Eibar over 0.5 in 1st half	45.5%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Eibar over 1.5 in 1st half	12.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.21

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar scores equally in both	37.8%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
Eibar scores more in 2nd half	37.0%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
Eibar scores more in 1st half	25.2%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada (home no bet)	45.1%	50.6%	51.3%	0.99×	1.98
Draw (home no bet)	54.9%	49.4%	48.7%	1.02×	2.02

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar even goals	53.0%	50.3%	51.8%	0.97×	1.99
Eibar odd goals	47.0%	49.7%	48.2%	1.03×	2.01

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	39.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
HT 1-0	23.9%	22.7%	—	—	4.41
HT 0-1	12.9%	11.2%	—	—	8.93
HT 1-1	7.7%	7.7%	—	—	12.99
HT 2-0	7.2%	7.7%	—	—	13.00
Any other HT score	2.8%	2.5%	—	—	39.84
HT 0-2	2.1%	2.5%	—	—	39.88
HT 2-1	2.4%	2.5%	—	—	39.87
HT 1-2	1.3%	2.5%	—	—	39.93
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.5%	—	—	39.98

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar at HT / Eibar at FT	30.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Draw at HT / Eibar at FT	19.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Granada at HT / Granada at FT	10.8%	11.9%	—	—	8.39
Draw at HT / Granada at FT	10.0%	6.6%	—	—	15.15
Eibar at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.32
Granada at HT / Draw at FT	3.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.34
Granada at HT / Eibar at FT	2.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.42
Eibar at HT / Granada at FT	1.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.45

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar to score last	56.7%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Granada to score last	32.8%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
No goal scored	10.5%	8.7%	—	—	11.54

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.5%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
Eibar to lead by 1 at any time	62.9%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Granada to lead by 1 at any time	36.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Eibar to lead by 2 at any time	29.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.4%	11.4%	—	—	8.79
Eibar to lead by 3 at any time	11.2%	11.3%	—	—	8.82
Granada to lead by 2 at any time	10.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.09
Granada to lead by 3 at any time	2.2%	2.6%	—	—	38.49

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar most corners	52.1%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Granada most corners	36.5%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.9%	87.9%	85.8%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	82.0%	81.5%	78.0%	1.04×	1.23
1-3 goals	70.9%	73.6%	62.9%	1.17×	1.36
2-6 goals	64.1%	62.2%	67.9%	0.92×	1.61
2-5 goals	62.3%	62.2%	64.3%	0.97×	1.61
2-4 goals	57.4%	58.9%	56.5%	1.04×	1.70
1-2 goals	51.1%	52.3%	41.9%	1.25×	1.91
2-3 goals	46.3%	48.0%	41.4%	1.16×	2.08
3-6 goals	37.6%	38.9%	47.6%	0.82×	2.57
3-5 goals	35.8%	38.9%	44.0%	0.88×	2.57
3-4 goals	30.9%	34.0%	36.2%	0.94×	2.94
4-6 goals	17.8%	18.1%	26.6%	0.68×	5.52
4-5 goals	16.0%	18.1%	23.0%	0.79×	5.53
5-6 goals	6.7%	8.8%	11.5%	0.77×	11.35
7+ goals	0.8%	2.0%	1.6%	1.26×	50.45

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar never behind	53.1%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Granada never behind	26.6%	30.7%	—	—	3.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	50.0%	50.2%	51.6%	0.97×	1.99
Even number of goals	50.0%	49.8%	48.4%	1.03×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.6%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Odd goals in 1st half	42.4%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.6%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.4%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.4%	95.7%	94.9%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.5%	93.0%	87.1%	1.07×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.5%	88.8%	90.9%	0.98×	1.13
Under 3.5 goals	81.4%	81.0%	72.0%	1.13×	1.24
Over 1.5 goals	64.9%	61.8%	69.3%	0.89×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	61.6%	61.7%	50.9%	1.21×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	38.4%	38.3%	49.1%	0.78×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	35.1%	38.2%	30.7%	1.25×	2.62
Over 3.5 goals	18.6%	19.0%	28.0%	0.68×	5.26
Under 0.5 goals	10.5%	11.2%	9.1%	1.23×	8.92
Over 4.5 goals	7.5%	7.0%	12.9%	0.54×	14.25
Over 5.5 goals	2.6%	4.3%	5.1%	0.84×	23.20

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.2%	97.3%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.3%	97.2%	94.4%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.5%	92.8%	84.8%	1.09×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	76.8%	76.5%	64.5%	1.19×	1.31
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	52.3%	52.9%	61.5%	0.86×	1.89
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	47.7%	47.1%	38.5%	1.22×	2.12
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	23.2%	23.5%	35.5%	0.66×	4.25
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.5%	7.2%	15.2%	0.47×	13.89
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.8%	2.8%	5.6%	0.49×	36.34
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.8%	2.7%	1.6%	1.67×	36.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.2%	92.3%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.1%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.7%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Under 0.5 in 1st half	39.3%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
Over 1.5 in 1st half	23.9%	22.0%	—	—	4.54
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.8%	7.7%	—	—	12.92

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.9%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	72.7%	76.2%	—	—	1.31
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	63.0%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	37.0%	39.0%	—	—	2.57
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	27.3%	23.8%	—	—	4.20
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	14.1%	14.2%	—	—	7.02

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada not to score in both halves	89.2%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
Eibar not to score in both halves	74.9%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Eibar to score in both halves	25.1%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Granada to score in both halves	10.8%	15.4%	—	—	6.50

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	41.9%	46.0%	54.0%	0.85×	2.18
Only Eibar scores	33.7%	36.3%	23.6%	1.53×	2.76
Only Granada scores	13.9%	10.9%	13.4%	0.81×	9.18
Neither team scores	10.5%	10.8%	9.1%	1.18×	9.25

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.5%	24.6%	20.4%	1.21×	4.06
Exactly 1 goals	24.6%	21.6%	21.6%	1.00×	4.63
Exactly 3 goals	19.8%	18.6%	21.1%	0.88×	5.38
Exactly 4 goals	11.0%	12.3%	15.2%	0.81×	8.12
Exactly 0 goals	10.5%	12.3%	9.1%	1.35×	8.12
Exactly 5 goals	4.9%	4.4%	7.9%	0.55×	22.93
6 or more goals	2.6%	4.3%	5.1%	0.84×	23.17

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	39.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	17.1%	18.3%	—	—	5.46
3+ goals in 1st half	6.8%	7.7%	—	—	12.92

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	37.0%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
1 goal in 2nd half	35.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
No goals in 2nd half	27.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada not to win both halves	96.6%	96.6%	—	—	1.04
Eibar not to win both halves	85.7%	87.5%	—	—	1.14
Eibar to win both halves	14.3%	12.5%	—	—	7.99
Granada to win both halves	3.4%	3.4%	—	—	29.35

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada to win neither half	66.0%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Eibar to win either half	61.7%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Eibar to win neither half	38.3%	36.3%	—	—	2.75
Granada to win either half	34.0%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada not to win to nil	86.1%	88.1%	86.6%	1.02×	1.14
Eibar not to win to nil	66.3%	64.5%	76.4%	0.84×	1.55
Eibar to win to nil	33.7%	35.5%	23.6%	1.50×	2.82
Granada to win to nil	13.9%	11.9%	13.4%	0.88×	8.43

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.7%	27.9%	26.6%	1.05×	3.59
Eibar by 1	26.1%	27.9%	26.1%	1.07×	3.59
Eibar by 2	15.5%	17.0%	12.0%	1.42×	5.87
Granada by 1	15.2%	17.0%	18.0%	0.95×	5.87
Eibar by 3+	9.7%	7.1%	7.7%	0.92×	14.17
Granada by 2	5.2%	7.0%	7.0%	1.00×	14.27
Granada by 3+	1.6%	2.8%	3.3%	0.87×	35.49