Eibar v Sporting Gijón — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 December 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Eibar

20:00 UTC

Sporting Gijón

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 1,209h before kick-off

Eibar win

43.2%

model 40.9%

Draw

27.4%

model 27.7%

Sporting Gijón win

29.5%

model 31.4%

432729

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 12.9%
1-1 12.9%
0-1 11.0%
0-0 9.9%
2-1 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	39.9%	Under 2.5	60.1%
BTTS yes	45.7%	BTTS no	54.3%
Eibar 1+	71.0%	Eibar 2+	35.1%
Sporting Gijón 1+	64.8%	Sporting Gijón 2+	28.0%

Expected goals 1.24 – 1.04. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

54/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

1-2 goals

Multi goal · usually 42%

52.2% fair odds 1.91

strong signal · 1995 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Sporting Gijón (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 80%

83.6% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Eibar have an estimated 43.2% win probability, against 29.5% for Sporting Gijón and 27.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.24 for Eibar and 1.04 for Sporting Gijón.

Why Eibar

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.4%. A combined 2.28 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.24 to 1.04. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Sporting Gijón can win

Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Eibar, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Sporting Gijón, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Eibar: 43% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sporting Gijón: 45% possession, 8.8 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Eibar are the model's most likely outcome at 43.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 12.9%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	412831	1.24–1.04	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	413030	1.14–0.92	1-0 15%	34%	40%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar to win	40.9%	42.9%	45.5%	0.94×	2.33
Sporting Gijón to win	29.6%	27.9%	28.1%	0.99×	3.58
Draw	29.5%	27.9%	26.5%	1.05×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar & not both score	27.4%	25.2%	23.6%	1.07×	3.97
Sporting Gijón & not both score	19.6%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	17.0%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.57
Eibar & both teams score	13.5%	13.3%	22.0%	0.60×	7.53
Draw & not both score	12.5%	13.3%	9.1%	1.46×	7.54
Sporting Gijón & both teams score	10.0%	13.3%	14.8%	0.90×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar & under 3.5	33.9%	30.8%	32.2%	0.96×	3.25
Eibar & over 1.5	26.0%	26.1%	32.6%	0.80×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	25.6%	26.1%	20.2%	1.29×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	25.6%	26.1%	20.2%	1.29×	3.84
Sporting Gijón & under 3.5	25.3%	26.1%	19.6%	1.33×	3.84
Eibar & under 2.5	23.1%	21.6%	19.3%	1.12×	4.63
Eibar & over 2.5	17.7%	18.0%	26.3%	0.68×	5.56
Sporting Gijón & over 1.5	17.5%	18.0%	19.5%	0.92×	5.56
Sporting Gijón & under 2.5	17.5%	18.0%	11.5%	1.56×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.0%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Eibar & under 1.5	14.9%	12.8%	13.0%	0.99×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	12.5%	12.8%	9.1%	1.41×	7.79
Sporting Gijón & under 1.5	12.1%	12.8%	8.7%	1.48×	7.79
Sporting Gijón & over 2.5	12.1%	12.8%	16.7%	0.77×	7.79
Eibar & over 3.5	7.0%	7.9%	13.4%	0.59×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	3.9%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	3.9%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.81
Sporting Gijón & over 3.5	4.3%	4.8%	8.6%	0.56×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar (1UP)	53.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Sporting Gijón (1UP)	43.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar (2UP)	40.9%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Sporting Gijón (2UP)	29.6%	25.3%	—	—	3.95

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	41.7%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Eibar to win 2nd half	32.2%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Sporting Gijón to win 2nd half	26.1%	25.8%	—	—	3.87

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.4%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
Sporting Gijón under 0.5 in 2nd half	57.6%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Sporting Gijón over 0.5 in 2nd half	42.4%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
Sporting Gijón over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.6%	12.9%	—	—	7.77

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar under 1.5 in 2nd half	86.2%	88.2%	—	—	1.13
Eibar under 0.5 in 2nd half	52.4%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Eibar over 0.5 in 2nd half	47.6%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Eibar over 1.5 in 2nd half	13.8%	11.8%	—	—	8.51

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón (+2.5)	94.6%	92.1%	92.3%	1.00×	1.09
Sporting Gijón (+1.5)	83.0%	82.5%	80.4%	1.03×	1.21
Eibar (+0.5)	70.4%	73.6%	71.9%	1.02×	1.36
Sporting Gijón (+0.5)	59.1%	57.1%	54.5%	1.05×	1.75
Eibar (-0.5)	40.9%	43.0%	45.5%	0.94×	2.33
Sporting Gijón (-0.5)	29.6%	26.4%	28.1%	0.94×	3.79
Eibar (-1.5)	17.0%	17.5%	19.6%	0.89×	5.73
Eibar (-2.5)	5.4%	7.9%	7.7%	1.03×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón to concede	67.9%	72.3%	77.6%	0.93×	1.38
Sporting Gijón clean sheet	32.1%	27.7%	22.4%	1.23×	3.62

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón clean sheet in 1st half	61.4%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Sporting Gijón to concede in 1st half	38.6%	35.2%	—	—	2.84

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón clean sheet in 2nd half	52.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Sporting Gijón to concede in 2nd half	47.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón under 6.5 corners	84.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Sporting Gijón under 5.5 corners	74.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Sporting Gijón over 2.5 corners	73.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Sporting Gijón under 4.5 corners	60.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Sporting Gijón over 3.5 corners	56.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Sporting Gijón under 3.5 corners	43.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Sporting Gijón over 4.5 corners	39.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Sporting Gijón under 2.5 corners	26.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Sporting Gijón over 5.5 corners	25.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Sporting Gijón over 6.5 corners	15.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón under 3.5 goals	98.6%	97.5%	97.0%	1.01×	1.03
Sporting Gijón under 2.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	89.1%	1.04×	1.08
Sporting Gijón under 1.5 goals	76.6%	76.3%	69.4%	1.10×	1.31
Sporting Gijón over 0.5 goals	60.1%	63.1%	67.4%	0.94×	1.58
Sporting Gijón under 0.5 goals	39.9%	36.9%	32.6%	1.13×	2.71
Sporting Gijón over 1.5 goals	23.4%	23.7%	30.6%	0.78×	4.21
Sporting Gijón over 2.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	10.9%	0.70×	13.06
Sporting Gijón over 3.5 goals	1.4%	2.5%	3.0%	0.82×	39.96

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón under 1.5 in 1st half	94.7%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Sporting Gijón under 0.5 in 1st half	69.3%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Sporting Gijón over 0.5 in 1st half	30.7%	30.2%	—	—	3.31
Sporting Gijón over 1.5 in 1st half	5.3%	5.9%	—	—	16.93

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón scores equally in both	48.4%	47.9%	—	—	2.09
Sporting Gijón scores more in 2nd half	32.1%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
Sporting Gijón scores more in 1st half	19.5%	17.9%	—	—	5.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar (away no bet)	58.1%	57.4%	63.2%	0.91×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	41.9%	42.6%	36.8%	1.16×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón even goals	58.0%	56.9%	54.6%	1.04×	1.76
Sporting Gijón odd goals	42.0%	43.1%	45.4%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	92.9%	92.2%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	7.1%	7.8%	—	—	12.86

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	52.5%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Not both halves under 1.5	47.5%	49.4%	—	—	2.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	41.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Eibar to score 2+ in a row	26.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.98
Sporting Gijón to score 2+ in a row	18.3%	16.3%	—	—	6.15
Either team to score 3+ in a row	11.6%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Eibar to score 3+ in a row	7.5%	5.6%	—	—	17.96
Sporting Gijón to score 3+ in a row	4.2%	2.6%	—	—	38.20

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar corners (+3.5)	91.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Eibar corners (+2.5)	86.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Eibar corners (+1.5)	78.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Sporting Gijón corners (+3.5)	72.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Sporting Gijón corners (+2.5)	62.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Sporting Gijón corners (+1.5)	52.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Eibar corners (-1.5)	48.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Eibar corners (-2.5)	37.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Eibar corners (-3.5)	27.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Sporting Gijón corners (-1.5)	21.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Sporting Gijón corners (-2.5)	14.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.44
Sporting Gijón corners (-3.5)	8.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	40.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	30.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	29.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	78.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	70.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	70.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 10.5 corners	61.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	59.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	51.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	48.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	40.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	38.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	29.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	29.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	21.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	14.9%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.72
1-1	13.1%	11.5%	11.2%	1.02×	8.72
0-0	12.5%	11.5%	9.1%	1.26×	8.72
0-1	12.1%	11.5%	8.7%	1.32×	8.72
2-0	8.3%	7.4%	6.4%	1.16×	13.51
2-1	7.6%	7.4%	10.1%	0.74×	13.51
0-2	5.4%	7.4%	2.9%	2.52×	13.51
1-2	6.1%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
0-3	1.7%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
1-3	1.9%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.04×	58.32
2-2	3.5%	1.7%	5.7%	0.30×	58.30
2-3	1.1%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
3-0	3.1%	1.7%	3.0%	0.56×	58.30
3-1	2.9%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
3-2	1.3%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.31
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32
4-0	0.9%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.31
4-1	0.8%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.31
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.45×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32
Any other score	0.9%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar (2nd half DNB)	55.2%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Sporting Gijón (2nd half DNB)	44.8%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar leading at HT (DNB)	58.6%	57.3%	—	—	1.74
Sporting Gijón leading at HT (DNB)	41.4%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar or Sporting Gijón (12)	70.5%	72.1%	73.5%	0.98×	1.39
Eibar or draw (1X)	70.4%	72.1%	71.9%	1.00×	1.39
Sporting Gijón or draw (X2)	59.1%	57.1%	54.5%	1.05×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar or draw at HT	79.4%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Sporting Gijón or draw at HT	70.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Eibar or Sporting Gijón at HT	49.6%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar or draw (1UP)	70.4%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Sporting Gijón or draw (1UP)	59.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar or draw in 2nd half	73.9%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Sporting Gijón or draw in 2nd half	67.8%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Eibar or Sporting Gijón in 2nd half	58.3%	58.0%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	71.4%	71.0%	—	—	1.41
Neither half drawn	28.6%	29.0%	—	—	3.45

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar (DNB)	58.0%	58.1%	61.8%	0.94×	1.72
Sporting Gijón (DNB)	42.0%	41.9%	38.2%	1.10×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar to score first	48.4%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Sporting Gijón to score first	39.1%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	12.5%	9.9%	—	—	10.06

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	59.5%	55.0%	45.9%	1.20×	1.82
Both teams to score	40.5%	45.0%	54.1%	0.83×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	53.2%	47.3%	39.7%	1.19×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	27.4%	33.3%	43.0%	0.78×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	13.1%	12.4%	11.2%	1.10×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	6.4%	8.3%	6.3%	1.32×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.7%	89.0%	85.6%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	7.3%	11.0%	14.4%	0.77×	9.10

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	79.9%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	20.1%	25.0%	—	—	4.00

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	70.5%	66.9%	—	—	1.49
Both score 2nd half only	17.7%	15.0%	—	—	6.67
Both score 1st half only	9.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.59
Both score in both halves	2.4%	4.9%	—	—	20.58

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	88.2%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	11.8%	14.5%	—	—	6.90

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	60.0%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
A goal in each half	40.0%	40.4%	—	—	2.47

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.2%	47.2%	41.3%	1.14×	2.12
0-1 goals	39.5%	35.1%	30.6%	1.15×	2.85
4-6 goals	14.7%	16.9%	26.7%	0.63×	5.90
7+ goals	0.5%	1.8%	1.6%	1.17×	54.45

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón to score exactly 0	39.9%	35.9%	32.6%	1.10×	2.78
Sporting Gijón to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	36.9%	0.97×	2.78
Sporting Gijón to score exactly 2	16.8%	19.6%	19.8%	0.99×	5.11
Sporting Gijón to score 3+	6.6%	8.5%	10.9%	0.78×	11.71

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.6%	35.6%	1.00×	2.81
Eibar to score exactly 0	32.1%	32.6%	22.4%	1.45×	3.07
Eibar to score exactly 2	20.7%	23.3%	24.9%	0.93×	4.29
Eibar to score 3+	10.7%	14.3%	17.2%	0.83×	7.00

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	50.4%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Eibar leading at HT	29.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Sporting Gijón leading at HT	20.6%	20.7%	—	—	4.84

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar -1: 2	59.1%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Eibar -1: X	23.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Eibar -1: 1	17.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón (0:1)	59.1%	55.9%	54.5%	1.02×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	23.9%	24.2%	26.0%	0.93×	4.13
Eibar (0:1)	17.0%	17.8%	19.6%	0.91×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón (0:2)	83.0%	82.9%	80.4%	1.03×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.5%	11.0%	12.1%	0.91×	9.10
Eibar (0:2)	5.4%	7.7%	7.7%	1.00×	13.06

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón (0:3)	94.6%	92.7%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.0%	2.4%	5.3%	0.45×	42.03
Eibar (0:3)	1.4%	2.4%	2.4%	0.98×	42.15

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón (0:4)	98.6%	98.1%	97.6%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	81.98
Eibar (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	0.4%	2.91×	82.07

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar (1:0)	70.4%	72.4%	71.9%	1.01×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	19.4%	17.1%	17.9%	0.95×	5.85
Sporting Gijón (1:0)	10.2%	12.7%	10.3%	1.24×	7.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar (2:0)	89.8%	88.5%	89.7%	0.99×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.5%	6.4%	7.1%	0.89×	15.69
Sporting Gijón (2:0)	2.7%	2.3%	3.2%	0.70×	43.66

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.2%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Halves equal	29.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar to concede	60.1%	63.6%	67.4%	0.94×	1.57
Eibar clean sheet	39.9%	36.4%	32.6%	1.12×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar clean sheet in 1st half	69.3%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
Eibar to concede in 1st half	30.7%	29.8%	—	—	3.35

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar clean sheet in 2nd half	57.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Eibar to concede in 2nd half	42.4%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar over 2.5 corners	86.7%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Eibar over 3.5 corners	74.6%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Eibar under 6.5 corners	66.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Eibar over 4.5 corners	60.4%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Eibar under 5.5 corners	53.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Eibar over 5.5 corners	46.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Eibar under 4.5 corners	39.6%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Eibar over 6.5 corners	33.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Eibar under 3.5 corners	25.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Eibar under 2.5 corners	13.3%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar under 3.5 goals	97.2%	96.4%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Eibar under 2.5 goals	89.3%	87.3%	82.8%	1.05×	1.15
Eibar under 1.5 goals	68.6%	68.0%	58.0%	1.17×	1.47
Eibar over 0.5 goals	67.9%	68.0%	77.6%	0.88×	1.47
Eibar under 0.5 goals	32.1%	32.0%	22.4%	1.43×	3.12
Eibar over 1.5 goals	31.4%	32.0%	42.0%	0.76×	3.12
Eibar over 2.5 goals	10.7%	12.7%	17.2%	0.74×	7.86
Eibar over 3.5 goals	2.8%	3.6%	6.3%	0.58×	27.54

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar under 1.5 in 1st half	91.3%	94.6%	—	—	1.06
Eibar under 0.5 in 1st half	61.4%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Eibar over 0.5 in 1st half	38.6%	35.4%	—	—	2.82
Eibar over 1.5 in 1st half	8.7%	5.4%	—	—	18.64

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar scores equally in both	43.1%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Eibar scores more in 2nd half	33.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Eibar scores more in 1st half	23.3%	21.3%	—	—	4.70

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón (home no bet)	50.1%	51.3%	51.4%	1.00×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	49.9%	48.7%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar even goals	55.2%	55.2%	51.7%	1.07×	1.81
Eibar odd goals	44.8%	44.8%	48.3%	0.93×	2.23

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	42.5%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
HT 1-0	20.8%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	15.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	7.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
HT 2-0	5.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 0-2	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.11
Any other HT score	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.17
HT 2-1	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.17
HT 1-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.21
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.27

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar at HT / Eibar at FT	22.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.7%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Draw at HT / Eibar at FT	16.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Sporting Gijón at HT / Sporting Gijón at FT	14.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Sporting Gijón at FT	13.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Eibar at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
Sporting Gijón at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.64
Eibar at HT / Sporting Gijón at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
Sporting Gijón at HT / Eibar at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.73

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar to score last	48.3%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
Sporting Gijón to score last	39.1%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	12.5%	9.3%	—	—	10.71

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	87.5%	91.2%	—	—	1.10
Eibar to lead by 1 at any time	53.4%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Sporting Gijón to lead by 1 at any time	43.2%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	34.8%	29.9%	—	—	3.34
Eibar to lead by 2 at any time	21.1%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Sporting Gijón to lead by 2 at any time	13.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	9.9%	6.8%	—	—	14.80
Eibar to lead by 3 at any time	6.5%	6.7%	—	—	14.96
Sporting Gijón to lead by 3 at any time	3.4%	1.6%	—	—	61.37

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar most corners	59.2%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Sporting Gijón most corners	30.3%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Corners level	10.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.6%	87.4%	85.8%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.7%	83.4%	78.1%	1.07×	1.20
1-3 goals	72.2%	72.4%	62.8%	1.15×	1.38
2-6 goals	60.0%	59.1%	67.9%	0.87×	1.69
2-5 goals	58.7%	59.1%	64.4%	0.92×	1.69
2-4 goals	54.7%	53.2%	56.6%	0.94×	1.88
1-2 goals	53.7%	53.2%	41.8%	1.27×	1.88
2-3 goals	45.2%	48.5%	41.3%	1.17×	2.06
3-6 goals	33.2%	35.2%	47.7%	0.74×	2.84
3-5 goals	31.9%	35.2%	44.1%	0.80×	2.84
3-4 goals	28.0%	30.2%	36.4%	0.83×	3.31
4-6 goals	14.7%	14.8%	26.7%	0.55×	6.75
4-5 goals	13.4%	14.8%	23.2%	0.64×	6.75
5-6 goals	5.2%	8.9%	11.4%	0.78×	11.28
7+ goals	0.5%	2.6%	1.6%	1.62×	39.20

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eibar never behind	44.3%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Sporting Gijón never behind	34.1%	36.3%	—	—	2.75

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.8%	50.9%	51.5%	0.99×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.1%	48.5%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.9%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Odd goals in 1st half	41.1%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.1%	95.4%	94.9%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	94.2%	92.3%	87.1%	1.06×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	87.5%	87.6%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	84.7%	82.3%	71.8%	1.15×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	66.2%	66.3%	50.8%	1.30×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	60.5%	61.7%	69.4%	0.89×	1.62
Under 1.5 goals	39.5%	38.3%	30.6%	1.25×	2.61
Over 2.5 goals	33.8%	33.7%	49.2%	0.69×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	15.3%	17.7%	28.2%	0.63×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	12.5%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.06
Over 4.5 goals	5.8%	7.7%	12.9%	0.60×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	1.9%	4.6%	5.1%	0.89×	21.89

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.5%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.1%	97.2%	94.4%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	93.6%	92.4%	84.8%	1.09×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	81.3%	81.1%	64.3%	1.26×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	53.9%	51.9%	38.4%	1.35×	1.93
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	46.1%	48.1%	61.6%	0.78×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	18.7%	18.9%	35.7%	0.53×	5.29
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	6.4%	7.6%	15.2%	0.50×	13.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.9%	2.8%	5.6%	0.50×	35.60
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.5%	2.8%	1.6%	1.72×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.4%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	78.9%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	57.5%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	42.5%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	21.1%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.6%	7.2%	—	—	13.90

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	88.0%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	69.9%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	66.5%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	33.5%	31.3%	—	—	3.20
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	30.1%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	12.0%	14.5%	—	—	6.90

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón not to score in both halves	87.0%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Eibar not to score in both halves	81.6%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Eibar to score in both halves	18.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.35
Sporting Gijón to score in both halves	13.0%	14.5%	—	—	6.91

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	40.5%	46.5%	54.1%	0.86×	2.15
Only Eibar scores	27.4%	26.0%	23.6%	1.10×	3.84
Only Sporting Gijón scores	19.6%	16.0%	13.4%	1.20×	6.24
Neither team scores	12.5%	11.0%	9.1%	1.21×	9.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	27.0%	24.9%	21.6%	1.15×	4.02
Exactly 2 goals	26.7%	24.9%	20.3%	1.22×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	18.5%	17.5%	21.1%	0.83×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	12.5%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.25
Exactly 4 goals	9.5%	7.6%	15.4%	0.49×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	3.9%	4.5%	7.9%	0.57×	22.38
6 or more goals	1.9%	4.5%	5.1%	0.87×	22.41

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	42.5%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
1 goal in 1st half	36.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	15.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.41
3+ goals in 1st half	5.6%	7.2%	—	—	13.90

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	36.4%	39.0%	—	—	2.57
2+ goals in 2nd half	33.5%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	30.1%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón not to win both halves	94.7%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Eibar not to win both halves	90.7%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Eibar to win both halves	9.3%	5.9%	—	—	16.85
Sporting Gijón to win both halves	5.3%	5.8%	—	—	17.14

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón to win neither half	58.7%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Eibar to win either half	51.9%	54.2%	—	—	1.84
Eibar to win neither half	48.1%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
Sporting Gijón to win either half	41.3%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Gijón not to win to nil	80.4%	83.1%	86.6%	0.96×	1.20
Eibar not to win to nil	72.6%	75.3%	76.4%	0.99×	1.33
Eibar to win to nil	27.4%	24.7%	23.6%	1.05×	4.05
Sporting Gijón to win to nil	19.6%	16.9%	13.4%	1.26×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	29.5%	27.9%	26.5%	1.05×	3.58
Eibar by 1	23.9%	24.1%	26.0%	0.93×	4.15
Sporting Gijón by 1	19.4%	17.1%	17.9%	0.95×	5.87
Eibar by 2	11.5%	11.8%	12.1%	0.97×	8.51
Sporting Gijón by 2	7.5%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.91
Eibar by 3+	5.4%	7.2%	7.7%	0.94×	13.92
Sporting Gijón by 3+	2.7%	2.7%	3.2%	0.84×	36.82