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Eintracht Frankfurt v Bochum — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 2 November 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

7–2
3.83 – 2.09 xG
Shots
18 – 11
On target
9 – 8
Shots in box
11 – 7
xG per shot
0.21 – 0.19
Set-piece xG
1.10 – 1.33
Goals − xG
+3.16 – -0.09
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.01.12.13.24.30'15'30'45'60'75'90'Hugo Ekitike 8' — goalOmar Marmoush 17' — goalAnsgar Knauff 19' — goalNathaniel Brown 31' — goalDani de Wit 34' — goalPhilipp Hofmann 50' — goalMahmoud Dahoud 60' — goalCan Uzun 65' — goalHugo Ekitike 68' — goal
Eintracht Frankfurt 3.84 xGBochum 2.09 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Anthony Losilla 5' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Hugo Ekitike 8' — Goal (0.11 xG, Open Play)Omar Marmoush 17' — Goal (0.08 xG, Direct Freekick)Ansgar Knauff 19' — Goal (0.48 xG, Open Play)Moritz Broschinski 25' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Set Piece)Nathaniel Brown 31' — Goal (0.93 xG, Open Play)Dani de Wit 34' — Goal (0.48 xG, From Corner)Mahmoud Dahoud 37' — Saved Shot (0.43 xG, Set Piece)Robin Koch 38' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Moritz Broschinski 39' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Mahmoud Dahoud 42' — Blocked Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Philipp Hofmann 44' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Jean Négoce 46' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Mahmoud Dahoud 46' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Nathaniel Brown 46' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Philipp Hofmann 50' — Goal (0.82 xG, Set Piece)Hugo Ekitike 52' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Ibrahima Sissoko 54' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Ansgar Knauff 58' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Mahmoud Dahoud 60' — Goal (0.03 xG, Open Play)Felix Passlack 62' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Can Uzun 65' — Goal (0.30 xG, Open Play)Hugo Ekitike 68' — Goal (0.46 xG, Open Play)Omar Marmoush 71' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Direct Freekick)Cristian Gamboa 83' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Lukas Daschner 85' — Saved Shot (0.51 xG, Open Play)Dani de Wit 89' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Hugo Larsson 92' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Can Uzun 93' — Missed Shot (0.48 xG, Set Piece)
Eintracht Frankfurt attacking right Bochum attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
5' Bochum Anthony Losilla 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
8' Eintracht Frankfurt Hugo Ekitike 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Goal Omar Marmoush
17' Eintracht Frankfurt Omar Marmoush 0.08 Direct Freekick Right Foot Goal —
19' Eintracht Frankfurt Ansgar Knauff 0.48 Open Play Right Foot Goal —
25' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.04 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot Maximilian Wittek
31' Eintracht Frankfurt Nathaniel Brown 0.93 Open Play Left Foot Goal Nnamdi Collins
34' Bochum Dani de Wit 0.48 From Corner Right Foot Goal Erhan Masovic
37' Eintracht Frankfurt Mahmoud Dahoud 0.43 Set Piece Right Foot Saved Shot —
38' Eintracht Frankfurt Robin Koch 0.06 From Corner — Missed Shot Omar Marmoush
39' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Ivan Ordets
42' Eintracht Frankfurt Mahmoud Dahoud 0.13 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
44' Bochum Philipp Hofmann 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Anthony Losilla
46' Eintracht Frankfurt Jean Négoce 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Ellyes Skhiri
46' Eintracht Frankfurt Mahmoud Dahoud 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot —
46' Eintracht Frankfurt Nathaniel Brown 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
50' Bochum Philipp Hofmann 0.82 Set Piece — Goal Felix Passlack
52' Eintracht Frankfurt Hugo Ekitike 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Mahmoud Dahoud
54' Bochum Ibrahima Sissoko 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot —
58' Eintracht Frankfurt Ansgar Knauff 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot —
60' Eintracht Frankfurt Mahmoud Dahoud 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Goal Ellyes Skhiri
62' Bochum Felix Passlack 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Philipp Hofmann
65' Eintracht Frankfurt Can Uzun 0.30 Open Play Right Foot Goal Omar Marmoush
68' Eintracht Frankfurt Hugo Ekitike 0.46 Open Play Right Foot Goal Mahmoud Dahoud
71' Eintracht Frankfurt Omar Marmoush 0.06 Direct Freekick Right Foot Blocked Shot —
83' Bochum Cristian Gamboa 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Matús Bero
85' Bochum Lukas Daschner 0.51 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Matús Bero
89' Bochum Dani de Wit 0.10 Open Play — Saved Shot Cristian Gamboa
92' Eintracht Frankfurt Hugo Larsson 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
93' Eintracht Frankfurt Can Uzun 0.48 Set Piece — Missed Shot Aurèle Amenda

Players

Eintracht Frankfurt

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Nathaniel Brown DL 90 1 0 2 0 0.95 0.00 1.25
Hugo Ekitike FW 90 2 0 3 0 0.62 0.00 1.08
Mahmoud Dahoud MC 90 1 1 4 2 0.61 0.51 1.62
Ansgar Knauff MR 90 1 0 2 0 0.56 0.00 1.69
Nnamdi Collins DR 90 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.93 0.97
Kevin Trapp GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tuta DC 85 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.27
Omar Marmoush FW 77 1 2 2 3 0.13 0.47 0.58
Robin Koch DC 77 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 1.08
Ellyes Skhiri MC 77 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.14 1.35
Jean Négoce ML 69 0 0 1 0 0.11 0.00 0.23
Can Uzun Sub 21 1 0 2 0 0.78 0.00 0.77
Hugo Larsson Sub 13 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Timothy Chandler Sub 13 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Igor Matanovic Sub 13 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Aurèle Amenda Sub 5 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.48 0.00

Bochum

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Dani de Wit FW 90 1 0 2 0 0.57 0.00 0.15
Ibrahima Sissoko MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.04
Anthony Losilla MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.05 0.57
Ivan Ordets DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.01
Erhan Masovic DC 90 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.48 0.00
Patrick Drewes GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Philipp Hofmann FW 86 1 0 2 1 0.87 0.02 0.07
Felix Passlack DR 71 0 1 1 1 0.02 0.82 0.07
Gerrit Holtmann Sub 58 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Moritz Broschinski MR 50 0 0 2 0 0.05 0.00 0.01
Koji Miyoshi ML 50 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Matús Bero Sub 40 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.53 0.53
Tim Oermann Sub 40 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Maximilian Wittek DL 32 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.00
Cristian Gamboa Sub 19 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.10 0.63
Lukas Daschner Sub 4 0 0 1 0 0.51 0.00 0.53
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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