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Eintracht Frankfurt v FC Cologne — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 16 October 2026 · GER-Bundesliga · 2627

Bundesliga xG

1–0
1.27 – 1.02 xG
Shots
15 – 9
On target
7 – 3
Shots in box
11 – 7
xG per shot
0.08 – 0.11
Set-piece xG
0.18 – 0.41
Goals − xG
-0.27 – -1.02
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.71.11.40'15'30'45'60'75'90'Younes Ebnoutalib 76' — goal
Eintracht Frankfurt 1.27 xGFC Cologne 1.02 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Marius Bülter 0' — Saved Shot (0.28 xG, Open Play)Younes Ebnoutalib 2' — Saved Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Farès Chaïbi 8' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Said El Mala 16' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Farès Chaïbi 21' — Saved Shot (0.29 xG, Open Play)Marius Bülter 31' — Saved Shot (0.34 xG, Set Piece)Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson 32' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Sebastian Sebulonsen 35' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Farès Chaïbi 36' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Said El Mala 39' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Said El Mala 47' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Younes Ebnoutalib 48' — Missed Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Younes Ebnoutalib 50' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Lilian Brassier 54' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Jonathan Burkardt 55' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Farès Chaïbi 57' — Saved Shot (0.20 xG, Open Play)Farès Chaïbi 61' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Younes Ebnoutalib 61' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Lilian Brassier 73' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)Marius Bülter 74' — Saved Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Younes Ebnoutalib 76' — Goal (0.07 xG, Open Play)Reigan Heskey 84' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Farès Chaïbi 86' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Set Piece)Ritsu Doan 94' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Set Piece)
Eintracht Frankfurt attacking right FC Cologne attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
0' FC Cologne Marius Bülter 0.28 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Borna Sosa
2' Eintracht Frankfurt Younes Ebnoutalib 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Ritsu Doan
8' Eintracht Frankfurt Farès Chaïbi 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Keita Kosugi
16' FC Cologne Said El Mala 0.02 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot Tom Krauß
21' Eintracht Frankfurt Farès Chaïbi 0.29 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Lilian Brassier
31' FC Cologne Marius Bülter 0.34 Set Piece Right Foot Saved Shot Borna Sosa
32' FC Cologne Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson 0.03 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot Borna Sosa
35' FC Cologne Sebastian Sebulonsen 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Marvin Schwäbe
36' Eintracht Frankfurt Farès Chaïbi 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
39' FC Cologne Said El Mala 0.02 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot —
47' FC Cologne Said El Mala 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Linton Maina
48' Eintracht Frankfurt Younes Ebnoutalib 0.12 Open Play — Missed Shot Keita Kosugi
50' Eintracht Frankfurt Younes Ebnoutalib 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Jonathan Burkardt
54' Eintracht Frankfurt Lilian Brassier 0.02 From Corner — Saved Shot Ritsu Doan
55' Eintracht Frankfurt Jonathan Burkardt 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot —
57' Eintracht Frankfurt Farès Chaïbi 0.20 Open Play — Saved Shot Ritsu Doan
61' Eintracht Frankfurt Farès Chaïbi 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Nnamdi Collins
61' Eintracht Frankfurt Younes Ebnoutalib 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
73' Eintracht Frankfurt Lilian Brassier 0.08 From Corner — Missed Shot Farès Chaïbi
74' FC Cologne Marius Bülter 0.14 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Paul Okon-Engstler
76' Eintracht Frankfurt Younes Ebnoutalib 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Goal Noel Aséko Nkili
84' FC Cologne Reigan Heskey 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Borna Sosa
86' Eintracht Frankfurt Farès Chaïbi 0.05 Set Piece Left Foot Saved Shot Ansgar Knauff
94' Eintracht Frankfurt Ritsu Doan 0.03 Set Piece Left Foot Blocked Shot Farès Chaïbi

Players

Eintracht Frankfurt

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Farès Chaïbi ML 90 0 0 6 2 0.67 0.11 0.74
Younes Ebnoutalib FW 90 1 0 5 0 0.42 0.00 0.42
Lilian Brassier DC 90 0 0 2 1 0.10 0.29 0.36
Ritsu Doan MR 90 0 0 1 3 0.03 0.34 0.43
Keita Kosugi DL 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.18 0.47
Raphael Onyedika MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.68
Robin Koch DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Noah Atubolu GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Jonathan Burkardt FW 85 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.07 0.29
Nnamdi Collins DR 74 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.46
Mario Götze MC 74 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.56
Ansgar Knauff Sub 16 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.07
Noel Aséko Nkili Sub 16 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.07
Elias Baum Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

FC Cologne

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Marius Bülter FW 90 0 0 3 0 0.76 0.00 0.42
Tom Krauß MC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.03
Marvin Schwäbe GK 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.09
Luka Lochoshvili DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Borna Sosa DL 90 0 0 0 4 0.00 0.71 0.47
Said El Mala FW 87 0 0 3 0 0.14 0.00 0.38
Sebastian Sebulonsen DR 87 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.03
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MC 71 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.00
Joël Schmied DC 71 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.31
Linton Maina MC 71 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.10 0.38
Mikey Moore Sub 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Alessio Castro-Montes Sub 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.14
Paul Okon-Engstler Sub 19 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.14 0.14
Reigan Heskey Sub 3 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.06
Gian-Luca Waldschmidt Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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