Eldense v Girona — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 29 November 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Eldense

20:00 UTC

Girona

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 849h before kick-off

Eldense win

26.7%

model 26.1%

Draw

22.2%

model 22.1%

Girona win

51.1%

model 51.8%

272251

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.1%
1-2 9.6%
0-1 8.4%
0-2 7.6%
2-1 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	60.6%	Under 2.5	39.4%
BTTS yes	60.5%	BTTS no	39.5%
Eldense 1+	71.8%	Eldense 2+	36.1%
Girona 1+	84.6%	Girona 2+	55.8%

Expected goals 1.27 – 1.87. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

53/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Girona (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 28%

52.1% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Girona not to win both halves

Win both halves

83.4% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 588 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Girona carry the stronger rating, 1468 Elo against 1398.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Girona have an estimated 51.1% win probability, against 26.7% for Eldense and 22.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.26 for Eldense and 1.87 for Girona.

Why Eldense

Nothing in the data singles out Eldense.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Girona can win

Girona carry the stronger rating, 1468 Elo against 1398.

Key players

Girona's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Viktor Tsygankov (0.37), Azz-Eddine Ounahi (0.32), Bryan Gil Salvatierra (0.18).

Availability

No lineup on record for Eldense, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Eldense: 43% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Girona: 55% possession, 17.6 shots a match, 8.2 faced, 0.27 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Girona are the model's most likely outcome at 51.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.1%. Confidence 53/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Girona are finishing sharply below their chances — 4.7 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding fewer than expected — 3.1 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LWDLLLDDLD last 10 scored 8 from 12.7 xG conceded 12 from 15.1 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	262252	1.27–1.87	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	242156	1.32–2.10	1-2 10%	66%	64%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona to win	55.5%	53.9%	28.1%	1.92×	1.86
Eldense to win	24.0%	24.5%	45.5%	0.54×	4.09
Draw	20.5%	24.4%	26.5%	0.92×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona & both teams score	31.8%	29.6%	14.8%	2.00×	3.38
Girona & not both score	23.7%	21.8%	13.4%	1.63×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	17.5%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.57
Eldense & both teams score	14.7%	13.3%	22.0%	0.60×	7.53
Eldense & not both score	9.2%	8.3%	23.6%	0.35×	12.00
Draw & not both score	3.1%	4.9%	9.1%	0.53×	20.56

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona & over 1.5	48.4%	45.1%	19.5%	2.31×	2.22
Girona & over 2.5	41.2%	40.2%	16.7%	2.41×	2.49
Girona & under 3.5	28.9%	26.1%	19.6%	1.33×	3.84
Girona & over 3.5	26.6%	26.1%	8.6%	3.03×	3.84
Eldense & over 1.5	19.4%	18.0%	32.6%	0.55×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.5%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Eldense & over 2.5	16.6%	18.0%	26.3%	0.68×	5.56
Eldense & under 3.5	14.7%	12.8%	32.2%	0.40×	7.79
Girona & under 2.5	14.3%	12.8%	11.5%	1.11×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	12.0%	12.8%	20.2%	0.63×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	12.0%	12.8%	20.2%	0.63×	7.79
Eldense & over 3.5	9.3%	7.9%	13.4%	0.59×	12.63
Eldense & under 2.5	7.4%	7.9%	19.3%	0.41×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	8.6%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.6%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.63
Girona & under 1.5	7.1%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Eldense & under 1.5	4.5%	4.8%	13.0%	0.37×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	3.1%	4.8%	9.1%	0.53×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona (1UP)	71.2%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Eldense (1UP)	44.8%	38.8%	—	—	2.58

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona (2UP)	55.5%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Eldense (2UP)	24.0%	23.8%	—	—	4.20

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona to win 2nd half	48.4%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
2nd half drawn	29.3%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Eldense to win 2nd half	22.3%	24.1%	—	—	4.14

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.6%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Girona under 1.5 in 2nd half	64.2%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Girona over 1.5 in 2nd half	35.8%	39.6%	—	—	2.52
Girona under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.4%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.6%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Eldense over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.8%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Eldense under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.2%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Eldense over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.4%	17.3%	—	—	5.78

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona (+2.5)	96.7%	96.3%	92.3%	1.04×	1.04
Girona (+1.5)	90.1%	92.1%	80.4%	1.15×	1.09
Girona (+0.5)	76.0%	78.5%	54.5%	1.44×	1.27
Girona (-0.5)	55.5%	57.0%	28.1%	2.03×	1.75
Eldense (+0.5)	44.5%	43.0%	71.9%	0.60×	2.33
Eldense (-0.5)	24.0%	21.5%	45.5%	0.47×	4.65
Eldense (-1.5)	9.9%	7.9%	19.6%	0.40×	12.67
Eldense (-2.5)	3.3%	3.7%	7.7%	0.48×	27.10

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona to concede	73.3%	76.7%	77.6%	0.99×	1.30
Girona clean sheet	26.7%	23.3%	22.4%	1.04×	4.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona clean sheet in 1st half	56.7%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Girona to concede in 1st half	43.3%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona to concede in 2nd half	52.8%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Girona clean sheet in 2nd half	47.2%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona under 6.5 corners	89.4%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Girona under 5.5 corners	81.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Girona under 4.5 corners	68.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Girona over 2.5 corners	66.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Girona under 3.5 corners	52.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Girona over 3.5 corners	48.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Girona under 2.5 corners	33.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Girona over 4.5 corners	31.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Girona over 5.5 corners	18.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
Girona over 6.5 corners	10.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona over 0.5 goals	87.7%	87.8%	67.4%	1.30×	1.14
Girona under 3.5 goals	84.0%	81.5%	97.0%	0.84×	1.23
Girona under 2.5 goals	65.1%	68.0%	89.1%	0.76×	1.47
Girona over 1.5 goals	61.9%	63.2%	30.6%	2.06×	1.58
Girona under 1.5 goals	38.1%	36.8%	69.4%	0.53×	2.72
Girona over 2.5 goals	34.9%	32.0%	10.9%	2.94×	3.12
Girona over 3.5 goals	16.0%	18.5%	3.0%	6.09×	5.40
Girona under 0.5 goals	12.3%	12.2%	32.6%	0.37×	8.20

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona under 1.5 in 1st half	79.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Girona over 0.5 in 1st half	56.8%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Girona under 0.5 in 1st half	43.2%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Girona over 1.5 in 1st half	20.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona scores more in 2nd half	46.1%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Girona scores equally in both	29.1%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Girona scores more in 1st half	24.8%	21.9%	—	—	4.57

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense (away no bet)	53.8%	51.7%	63.2%	0.82×	1.93
Draw (away no bet)	46.2%	48.3%	36.8%	1.31×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona even goals	50.8%	52.6%	54.6%	0.96×	1.90
Girona odd goals	49.2%	47.4%	45.4%	1.04×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	75.5%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	24.5%	18.9%	—	—	5.29

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	76.1%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Both halves under 1.5 goals	23.9%	28.1%	—	—	3.56

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	68.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Girona to score 2+ in a row	52.0%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row	29.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Eldense to score 2+ in a row	26.4%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Girona to score 3+ in a row	23.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Eldense to score 3+ in a row	7.1%	5.5%	—	—	18.10

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense corners (+3.5)	94.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Eldense corners (+2.5)	90.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Eldense corners (+1.5)	85.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Girona corners (+3.5)	64.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Eldense corners (-1.5)	57.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Girona corners (+2.5)	53.9%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Eldense corners (-2.5)	46.1%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Girona corners (+1.5)	42.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Eldense corners (-3.5)	35.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Girona corners (-1.5)	14.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.44
Girona corners (-2.5)	9.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Girona corners (-3.5)	5.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	41.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	30.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	28.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	69.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 10.5 corners	62.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	58.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	52.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	47.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 8.5 corners	41.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	37.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	30.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	28.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	20.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	8.9%	7.4%	11.2%	0.66×	13.51
1-2	9.5%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
0-1	7.1%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
0-2	7.2%	7.4%	2.9%	2.52×	13.51
1-3	6.7%	7.4%	3.7%	2.02×	13.51
Any other score	7.2%	7.4%	2.7%	2.72×	13.51
0-3	5.0%	7.4%	1.3%	5.88×	13.51
2-1	6.0%	7.4%	10.1%	0.74×	13.51
2-2	6.3%	7.4%	5.7%	1.31×	13.51
0-0	3.1%	1.7%	9.1%	0.19×	58.30
0-4	2.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.30
1-0	4.5%	1.7%	13.0%	0.13×	58.29
1-4	3.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.05×	58.30
2-0	2.9%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.30
2-3	4.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.29
2-4	2.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
3-0	1.3%	1.7%	3.0%	0.56×	58.31
3-1	2.6%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
3-2	2.8%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.30
3-3	1.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
3-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.31
4-0	0.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.32
4-1	0.9%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.31
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.3%	5.45×	58.32
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona (2nd half DNB)	68.4%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
Eldense (2nd half DNB)	31.6%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona leading at HT (DNB)	63.0%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Eldense leading at HT (DNB)	37.0%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense or Girona (12)	79.5%	75.6%	73.5%	1.03×	1.32
Girona or draw (X2)	76.0%	75.5%	54.5%	1.39×	1.32
Eldense or draw (1X)	44.5%	46.1%	71.9%	0.64×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona or draw at HT	76.9%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Eldense or Girona at HT	62.4%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Eldense or draw at HT	60.7%	60.9%	—	—	1.64

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona or draw (1UP)	76.0%	83.6%	—	—	1.20
Eldense or draw (1UP)	44.8%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona or draw in 2nd half	77.7%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Eldense or Girona in 2nd half	70.7%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Eldense or draw in 2nd half	51.6%	54.3%	—	—	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	56.1%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	43.9%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona (DNB)	69.8%	67.4%	38.2%	1.77×	1.48
Eldense (DNB)	30.2%	32.6%	61.8%	0.53×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona to score first	59.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
Eldense to score first	37.4%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	3.1%	4.3%	—	—	23.20

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	64.0%	56.6%	54.1%	1.05×	1.77
Not both teams to score	36.0%	43.4%	45.9%	0.94×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	55.2%	47.5%	43.0%	1.10×	2.11
Not both score & under 2.5	24.8%	27.9%	39.7%	0.70×	3.59
Not both score & over 2.5	11.1%	12.4%	6.3%	1.97×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	8.9%	8.3%	11.2%	0.74×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	76.5%	79.7%	85.6%	0.93×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	23.5%	20.3%	14.4%	1.41×	4.92

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	62.3%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	37.7%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	47.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Both score 2nd half only	28.5%	27.2%	—	—	3.67
Both score 1st half only	15.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Both score in both halves	9.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.57

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.5%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	24.5%	18.9%	—	—	5.29

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	65.3%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
A half without a goal	34.7%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	40.8%	42.1%	41.3%	1.02×	2.37
4-6 goals	38.6%	35.1%	26.7%	1.31×	2.85
0-1 goals	14.7%	17.0%	30.6%	0.56×	5.88
7+ goals	5.9%	7.6%	1.6%	4.82×	13.19

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona to score 3+	34.9%	33.8%	10.9%	3.10×	2.96
Girona to score exactly 2	27.0%	27.4%	19.8%	1.38×	3.65
Girona to score exactly 1	25.8%	27.4%	36.9%	0.74×	3.65
Girona to score exactly 0	12.3%	12.9%	32.6%	0.40×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense to score exactly 1	35.3%	35.5%	35.6%	1.00×	2.81
Eldense to score exactly 0	26.7%	26.5%	22.4%	1.18×	3.77
Eldense to score exactly 2	23.3%	23.3%	24.9%	0.93×	4.29
Eldense to score 3+	14.7%	14.3%	17.2%	0.83×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona leading at HT	39.3%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Draw at HT	37.6%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Eldense leading at HT	23.1%	20.6%	—	—	4.86

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona -1: 1	44.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Girona -1: 2	33.3%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Girona -1: X	22.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona (0:1)	76.0%	73.7%	54.5%	1.35×	1.36
Draw (0:1)	14.0%	13.7%	26.0%	0.53×	7.28
Eldense (0:1)	9.9%	9.3%	19.6%	0.47×	10.76

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona (0:2)	90.1%	90.7%	80.4%	1.13×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	6.6%	7.7%	12.1%	0.64×	13.05
Eldense (0:2)	3.3%	3.7%	7.7%	0.49×	26.69

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona (0:3)	96.7%	96.6%	92.3%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.4%	2.4%	5.3%	0.44×	42.12
Eldense (0:3)	0.9%	2.4%	2.4%	0.98×	42.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona (0:4)	99.1%	98.1%	97.6%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	82.09
Eldense (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	0.4%	2.90×	82.15

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense (1:0)	44.5%	43.5%	71.9%	0.60×	2.30
Girona (1:0)	33.3%	30.2%	10.3%	2.94×	3.32
Draw (1:0)	22.2%	21.7%	17.9%	1.21×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense (2:0)	66.7%	70.8%	89.7%	0.79×	1.41
Draw (2:0)	16.7%	15.8%	7.1%	2.22×	6.33
Girona (2:0)	16.6%	15.8%	3.2%	4.86×	6.33

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.7%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	21.3%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense to concede	87.7%	85.6%	67.4%	1.27×	1.17
Eldense clean sheet	12.3%	14.4%	32.6%	0.44×	6.94

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense to concede in 1st half	56.8%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Eldense clean sheet in 1st half	43.2%	38.0%	—	—	2.63

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense to concede in 2nd half	71.6%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Eldense clean sheet in 2nd half	28.4%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense over 2.5 corners	89.0%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Eldense over 3.5 corners	78.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Eldense over 4.5 corners	65.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Eldense under 6.5 corners	61.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Eldense over 5.5 corners	51.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Eldense under 5.5 corners	48.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Eldense over 6.5 corners	38.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Eldense under 4.5 corners	34.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Eldense under 3.5 corners	21.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Eldense under 2.5 corners	11.0%	13.7%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense under 3.5 goals	95.5%	96.4%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Eldense under 2.5 goals	85.3%	87.2%	82.8%	1.05×	1.15
Eldense over 0.5 goals	73.3%	74.2%	77.6%	0.96×	1.35
Eldense under 1.5 goals	62.0%	63.6%	58.0%	1.10×	1.57
Eldense over 1.5 goals	38.0%	36.4%	42.0%	0.87×	2.75
Eldense under 0.5 goals	26.7%	25.8%	22.4%	1.15×	3.88
Eldense over 2.5 goals	14.7%	12.8%	17.2%	0.74×	7.84
Eldense over 3.5 goals	4.5%	3.6%	6.3%	0.58×	27.47

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense under 1.5 in 1st half	88.9%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Eldense under 0.5 in 1st half	56.7%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Eldense over 0.5 in 1st half	43.3%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Eldense over 1.5 in 1st half	11.1%	9.8%	—	—	10.22

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense scores equally in both	39.4%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Eldense scores more in 2nd half	36.0%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Eldense scores more in 1st half	24.6%	21.2%	—	—	4.73

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona (home no bet)	73.0%	66.9%	51.4%	1.30×	1.49
Draw (home no bet)	27.0%	33.1%	48.6%	0.68×	3.02

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense even goals	53.6%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Eldense odd goals	46.4%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	24.5%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	20.6%	24.3%	—	—	4.12
HT 1-0	13.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	11.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 0-2	8.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.44
Any other HT score	7.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
HT 1-2	4.9%	2.4%	—	—	41.89
HT 2-0	3.9%	2.4%	—	—	41.95
HT 2-1	3.3%	2.4%	—	—	41.99
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.12

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona at HT / Girona at FT	32.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Draw at HT / Girona at FT	18.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Eldense at HT / Eldense at FT	13.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.8%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Draw at HT / Eldense at FT	8.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.40
Eldense at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
Girona at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Eldense at HT / Girona at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Girona at HT / Eldense at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona to score last	59.5%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Eldense to score last	37.5%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	3.1%	4.3%	—	—	23.20

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.9%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Girona to lead by 1 at any time	71.2%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	57.7%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Eldense to lead by 1 at any time	44.8%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Girona to lead by 2 at any time	41.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	25.4%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Girona to lead by 3 at any time	20.3%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Eldense to lead by 2 at any time	16.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Eldense to lead by 3 at any time	5.1%	6.6%	—	—	15.07

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense most corners	68.1%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Girona most corners	22.4%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Corners level	9.5%	8.3%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.8%	83.4%	85.8%	0.97×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.4%	78.7%	67.9%	1.16×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.2%	72.3%	64.4%	1.12×	1.38
1-4 goals	71.1%	72.3%	78.1%	0.93×	1.38
3-6 goals	60.4%	63.3%	47.7%	1.33×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.4%	59.1%	56.6%	1.04×	1.69
3-5 goals	53.2%	53.2%	44.1%	1.20×	1.88
1-3 goals	52.5%	53.2%	62.8%	0.85×	1.88
2-3 goals	40.8%	43.6%	41.3%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	36.4%	1.20×	2.29
4-6 goals	38.6%	39.2%	26.7%	1.47×	2.55
4-5 goals	31.4%	35.2%	23.2%	1.52×	2.84
1-2 goals	30.6%	35.2%	41.8%	0.84×	2.84
5-6 goals	20.0%	18.8%	11.4%	1.65×	5.31
7+ goals	5.9%	8.9%	1.6%	5.64×	11.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona never behind	52.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Eldense never behind	25.8%	29.9%	—	—	3.35

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.6%	50.9%	48.5%	1.05×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.4%	49.1%	51.5%	0.95×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.9%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	47.1%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.8%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.2%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.9%	95.4%	90.9%	1.05×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	86.9%	87.6%	94.9%	0.92×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.3%	87.6%	69.4%	1.26×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	74.2%	72.5%	87.1%	0.83×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	66.3%	66.3%	49.2%	1.35×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	55.5%	58.6%	71.8%	0.82×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	44.5%	41.4%	28.2%	1.47×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	33.7%	33.7%	50.8%	0.66×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	25.8%	27.5%	12.9%	2.13×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	14.7%	12.4%	30.6%	0.41×	8.05
Over 5.5 goals	13.1%	12.4%	5.1%	2.42×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	3.1%	4.6%	9.1%	0.50×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	93.7%	92.4%	98.4%	0.94×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	85.0%	81.1%	94.4%	0.86×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	81.8%	81.1%	61.6%	1.32×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	68.2%	67.5%	84.8%	0.80×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	56.9%	55.8%	35.7%	1.56×	1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	43.1%	44.2%	64.3%	0.69×	2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	31.8%	32.5%	15.2%	2.14×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	18.2%	18.9%	38.4%	0.49×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	15.0%	18.9%	5.6%	3.39×	5.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	6.3%	7.6%	1.6%	4.65×	13.18

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.2%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	75.5%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	59.0%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	41.0%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Under 0.5 in 1st half	24.5%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.8%	14.2%	—	—	7.04

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	86.7%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	67.4%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	59.6%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	40.4%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	32.6%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	13.3%	14.6%	—	—	6.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense not to score in both halves	77.1%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Girona not to score in both halves	59.4%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Girona to score in both halves	40.6%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
Eldense to score in both halves	22.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.66

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	64.0%	60.3%	54.1%	1.11×	1.66
Only Girona scores	23.7%	22.3%	13.4%	1.66×	4.49
Only Eldense scores	9.2%	7.1%	23.6%	0.30×	14.01
Neither team scores	3.1%	4.6%	9.1%	0.51×	21.66

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	22.6%	21.1%	1.07×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	19.0%	17.5%	20.3%	0.86×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	18.6%	17.5%	15.4%	1.13×	5.73
6 or more goals	13.1%	12.1%	5.1%	2.36×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	12.7%	12.1%	7.9%	1.54×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	11.7%	12.1%	21.6%	0.56×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	3.1%	4.5%	9.1%	0.49×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.5%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
No goals in 1st half	24.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
2 goals in 1st half	24.2%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	16.8%	15.6%	—	—	6.42

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	59.6%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
1 goal in 2nd half	27.1%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
No goals in 2nd half	13.3%	14.4%	—	—	6.93

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense not to win both halves	94.9%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Girona not to win both halves	81.0%	83.7%	—	—	1.20
Girona to win both halves	19.0%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Eldense to win both halves	5.1%	5.8%	—	—	17.22

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona to win either half	68.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Eldense to win neither half	59.7%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Eldense to win either half	40.3%	40.8%	—	—	2.45
Girona to win neither half	31.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense not to win to nil	90.8%	92.1%	76.4%	1.20×	1.09
Girona not to win to nil	76.3%	78.1%	86.6%	0.90×	1.28
Girona to win to nil	23.7%	21.9%	13.4%	1.63×	4.57
Eldense to win to nil	9.2%	7.9%	23.6%	0.34×	12.59

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona by 1	22.2%	24.1%	17.9%	1.34×	4.15
Draw	20.5%	24.1%	26.5%	0.91×	4.15
Girona by 2	16.7%	17.0%	7.1%	2.39×	5.87
Girona by 3+	16.6%	17.0%	3.2%	5.25×	5.87
Eldense by 1	14.0%	11.8%	26.0%	0.45×	8.51
Eldense by 2	6.6%	7.2%	12.1%	0.60×	13.91
Eldense by 3+	3.3%	2.7%	7.7%	0.35×	36.83