betaider.com

Empoli v Juve Stabia — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · ITA-Serie B · 2627

ITA-Serie B results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Empoli win
33.3%
model 33.7%
Draw
33.3%
model 32.1%
Juve Stabia win
33.3%
model 34.2%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (8,220 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 15.1%
  2. 0-0 12.1%
  3. 0-1 10.1%
  4. 1-0 10.0%
  5. 1-2 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.539.4% Under 2.560.6%
BTTS yes47.6% BTTS no52.4%
Empoli 1+67.6% Empoli 2+31.1%
Juve Stabia 1+67.9% Juve Stabia 2+31.4%

Expected goals 1.13 – 1.14. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
49/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
98%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • Juve Stabia carry the stronger rating, 1504 Elo against 1399.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Juve Stabia have an estimated 33.3% win probability, against 33.3% for Empoli and 33.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.13 for Empoli and 1.14 for Juve Stabia.

Why Empoli

Nothing in the data singles out Empoli.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 33.3%. A combined 2.26 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.13 to 1.14. Draws run at 32% in this competition.

Why Juve Stabia can win

Juve Stabia carry the stronger rating, 1504 Elo against 1399.

Key players

Empoli's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Sebastiano Esposito (0.29), Lorenzo Colombo (0.24), Jacopo Fazzini (0.20).

Availability

1 of Empoli's top three contributors did not start their last match. No lineup on record for Juve Stabia, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Empoli: 36% possession, 10.4 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.23 xG a match from set pieces. Juve Stabia: 57% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Juve Stabia are the model's most likely outcome at 33.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 15.1%. Confidence 49/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Empoli are conceding more than the chances against them merit — 3.5 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

LDDLDLLWWL last 10 scored 10 from 11.3 xG conceded 14 from 10.5 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 1.13–1.21 1-1 15% 41% 49%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia to win 36.2% 36.4% 25.4% 1.43× 2.75
Empoli to win 32.3% 30.4% 42.7% 0.71× 3.29
Draw 31.5% 30.3% 32.0% 0.95× 3.30
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia & not both score 20.9% 21.9% 13.3% 1.65× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 20.1% 21.9% 23.0% 0.95× 4.57
Empoli & not both score 18.5% 17.9% 24.0% 0.75× 5.58
Juve Stabia & both teams score 15.2% 17.9% 12.3% 1.46× 5.58
Empoli & both teams score 13.8% 13.3% 18.8% 0.71× 7.54
Draw & not both score 11.4% 13.3% 9.1% 1.45× 7.55
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia & under 3.5 27.8% 26.0% 19.9% 1.31× 3.84
Draw & under 2.5 26.3% 26.0% 23.8% 1.09× 3.84
Draw & under 3.5 26.3% 26.0% 23.8% 1.09× 3.84
Juve Stabia & over 1.5 26.2% 26.0% 18.8% 1.39× 3.84
Empoli & under 3.5 25.1% 26.0% 32.0% 0.81× 3.84
Empoli & over 1.5 23.1% 21.7% 31.7% 0.68× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 20.1% 21.7% 23.0% 0.94× 4.62
Juve Stabia & over 2.5 19.2% 18.0% 15.0% 1.20× 5.56
Empoli & over 2.5 17.0% 18.0% 24.3% 0.74× 5.56
Juve Stabia & under 2.5 17.0% 18.0% 10.5% 1.71× 5.56
Empoli & under 2.5 15.3% 18.0% 18.5% 0.97× 5.56
Draw & under 1.5 11.4% 12.9% 9.1% 1.41× 7.77
Juve Stabia & under 1.5 9.9% 7.9% 6.8% 1.17× 12.69
Empoli & under 1.5 9.2% 7.9% 11.1% 0.71× 12.69
Empoli & over 3.5 7.2% 7.9% 10.8% 0.73× 12.70
Juve Stabia & over 3.5 8.4% 7.9% 5.6% 1.40× 12.70
Draw & over 2.5 5.2% 7.9% 8.4% 0.94× 12.70
Draw & over 3.5 5.2% 7.9% 8.4% 0.94× 12.70
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia (1UP) 51.8% 52.6% 1.90
Empoli (1UP) 48.4% 43.3% 2.31
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia (2UP) 36.2% 37.0% 2.70
Empoli (2UP) 32.3% 30.9% 3.24
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 40.0% 36.2% 2.77
Juve Stabia to win 2nd half 32.5% 34.5% 2.90
Empoli to win 2nd half 27.6% 26.3% 3.80
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia (+2.5) 95.7% 96.3% 93.2% 1.03× 1.04
Juve Stabia (+1.5) 86.2% 88.5% 80.5% 1.10× 1.13
Juve Stabia (+0.5) 67.7% 68.7% 57.3% 1.20× 1.46
Empoli (+0.5) 63.8% 62.9% 74.6% 0.84× 1.59
Juve Stabia (-0.5) 36.2% 37.1% 25.4% 1.46× 2.70
Empoli (-0.5) 32.3% 31.3% 42.7% 0.73× 3.20
Empoli (-1.5) 13.8% 11.5% 19.5% 0.59× 8.69
Empoli (-2.5) 4.3% 3.7% 6.8% 0.55× 26.79
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia to concede 67.7% 72.5% 77.7% 0.93× 1.38
Juve Stabia clean sheet 32.3% 27.5% 22.3% 1.23× 3.64
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia clean sheet in 1st half 61.5% 64.8% 1.54
Juve Stabia to concede in 1st half 38.5% 35.2% 2.84
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia under 6.5 corners 79.9% 75.9% 1.32
Juve Stabia over 2.5 corners 77.1% 75.9% 1.32
Juve Stabia under 5.5 corners 69.0% 67.5% 1.48
Juve Stabia over 3.5 corners 61.1% 61.8% 1.62
Juve Stabia under 4.5 corners 55.0% 53.1% 1.88
Juve Stabia over 4.5 corners 45.0% 46.9% 2.13
Juve Stabia under 3.5 corners 38.9% 38.2% 2.62
Juve Stabia over 5.5 corners 31.0% 32.5% 3.08
Juve Stabia under 2.5 corners 22.9% 24.1% 4.16
Juve Stabia over 6.5 corners 20.1% 24.1% 4.16
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia under 3.5 goals 96.6% 97.5% 98.2% 0.99× 1.03
Juve Stabia under 2.5 goals 87.8% 87.9% 90.9% 0.97× 1.14
Juve Stabia over 0.5 goals 70.1% 71.9% 67.0% 1.07× 1.39
Juve Stabia under 1.5 goals 66.0% 67.9% 69.3% 0.98× 1.47
Juve Stabia over 1.5 goals 34.0% 32.1% 30.7% 1.05× 3.12
Juve Stabia under 0.5 goals 29.9% 28.1% 33.0% 0.85× 3.56
Juve Stabia over 2.5 goals 12.2% 12.1% 9.1% 1.33× 8.26
Juve Stabia over 3.5 goals 3.4% 2.5% 1.8% 1.40× 40.70
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia under 1.5 in 1st half 91.5% 94.1% 1.06
Juve Stabia under 0.5 in 1st half 61.7% 64.1% 1.56
Juve Stabia over 0.5 in 1st half 38.3% 35.9% 2.79
Juve Stabia over 1.5 in 1st half 8.5% 5.9% 17.07
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Empoli (away no bet) 50.6% 51.2% 57.1% 0.90× 1.95
Draw (away no bet) 49.4% 48.8% 42.9% 1.14× 2.05
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia even goals 54.5% 52.8% 55.6% 0.95× 1.89
Juve Stabia odd goals 45.5% 47.2% 44.4% 1.06× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 90.0% 87.9% 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 10.0% 12.1% 8.23
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 55.9% 60.0% 1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals 44.1% 40.0% 2.50
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 47.5% 45.9% 2.18
Juve Stabia to score 2+ in a row 27.3% 25.0% 3.99
Empoli to score 2+ in a row 24.5% 19.6% 5.11
Either team to score 3+ in a row 14.5% 12.2% 8.18
Juve Stabia to score 3+ in a row 8.0% 5.7% 17.64
Empoli to score 3+ in a row 6.7% 5.6% 17.75
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Empoli corners (+3.5) 86.2% 84.5% 1.18
Juve Stabia corners (+3.5) 80.4% 79.7% 1.25
Empoli corners (+2.5) 79.3% 74.9% 1.34
Juve Stabia corners (+2.5) 72.1% 70.7% 1.41
Empoli corners (+1.5) 70.4% 70.7% 1.41
Juve Stabia corners (+1.5) 62.1% 61.9% 1.62
Empoli corners (-1.5) 37.9% 38.1% 2.63
Juve Stabia corners (-1.5) 29.6% 29.3% 3.42
Empoli corners (-2.5) 27.9% 29.3% 3.42
Juve Stabia corners (-2.5) 20.7% 25.1% 3.98
Empoli corners (-3.5) 19.6% 20.3% 4.93
Juve Stabia corners (-3.5) 13.8% 15.5% 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 43.3% 38.7% 2.59
9-11 corners 29.7% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 27.0% 31.2% 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 80.3% 80.7% 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 73.0% 72.6% 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 67.5% 67.7% 1.48
Under 10.5 corners 64.2% 63.4% 1.58
Over 8.5 corners 56.7% 57.8% 1.73
Under 9.5 corners 54.2% 53.3% 1.88
Over 9.5 corners 45.8% 46.7% 2.14
Under 8.5 corners 43.3% 42.2% 2.37
Over 10.5 corners 35.8% 36.6% 2.73
Under 7.5 corners 32.5% 32.3% 3.10
Over 11.5 corners 27.0% 27.4% 3.66
Over 12.5 corners 19.7% 19.3% 5.19
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 14.9% 11.5% 14.8% 0.78× 8.73
0-0 11.4% 11.5% 9.1% 1.25× 8.73
0-1 9.9% 7.4% 6.8% 1.10× 13.48
1-0 9.2% 7.4% 11.1% 0.67× 13.48
0-2 7.0% 7.4% 3.9% 1.91× 13.48
1-2 8.0% 7.4% 7.4% 1.00× 13.48
2-1 7.4% 7.4% 9.8% 0.76× 13.48
2-0 6.2% 7.4% 7.5% 0.99× 13.48
0-3 2.8% 1.7% 2.3% 0.76× 58.47
0-4 0.9% 1.7% 0.8% 2.28× 58.49
1-3 3.2% 1.7% 2.6% 0.65× 58.47
1-4 1.0% 1.7% 0.3% 6.83× 58.48
2-2 4.5% 1.7% 7.4% 0.23× 58.46
2-3 1.8% 1.7% 1.5% 1.14× 58.48
2-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.1% 13.66× 58.49
3-0 2.3% 1.7% 4.0% 0.43× 58.48
3-1 2.8% 1.7% 4.4% 0.39× 58.47
3-2 1.7% 1.7% 2.5% 0.68× 58.48
3-3 0.7% 1.7% 1.1% 1.52× 58.49
3-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.4% 4.55× 58.49
4-0 0.7% 1.7% 1.1% 1.52× 58.49
4-1 0.8% 1.7% 0.8% 2.28× 58.49
4-2 0.5% 1.7% 1.0% 1.71× 58.49
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.3% 6.83× 58.49
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.1% 13.66× 58.49
Any other score 1.4% 1.7% 2.1% 0.80× 58.48
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Empoli leading at HT (DNB) 50.2% 55.6% 1.80
Juve Stabia leading at HT (DNB) 49.8% 44.4% 2.25
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Empoli or Juve Stabia (12) 68.5% 69.7% 68.0% 1.02× 1.44
Juve Stabia or draw (X2) 67.7% 69.6% 57.3% 1.22× 1.44
Empoli or draw (1X) 63.8% 63.6% 74.6% 0.85× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Empoli or draw at HT 74.1% 74.4% 1.34
Juve Stabia or draw at HT 73.9% 74.4% 1.34
Empoli or Juve Stabia at HT 52.0% 47.5% 2.10
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia or draw (1UP) 67.7% 76.0% 1.32
Empoli or draw (1UP) 63.8% 71.8% 1.39
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia or draw in 2nd half 72.4% 73.7% 1.36
Empoli or draw in 2nd half 67.5% 65.5% 1.53
Empoli or Juve Stabia in 2nd half 60.0% 63.8% 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 67.0% 69.4% 1.44
Neither half drawn 33.0% 30.6% 3.26
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia (DNB) 52.8% 50.9% 37.3% 1.37× 1.96
Empoli (DNB) 47.2% 49.1% 62.7% 0.78× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia to score first 45.8% 45.4% 2.20
Empoli to score first 42.8% 41.8% 2.39
No goal scored 11.4% 9.8% 10.17
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 50.8% 51.4% 46.2% 1.11× 1.95
Both teams to score 49.2% 48.6% 53.8% 0.90× 2.06
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 43.7% 41.6% 37.9% 1.10× 2.40
Both score & over 2.5 34.3% 34.3% 39.2% 0.88× 2.92
Both score & under 2.5 14.9% 12.3% 14.8% 0.84× 8.10
Not both score & over 2.5 7.1% 8.4% 8.4% 1.00× 11.96
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 89.4% 85.6% 86.0% 1.00× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 10.6% 14.4% 14.0% 1.03× 6.96
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 74.9% 74.2% 1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half 25.1% 25.8% 3.88
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 63.5% 66.5% 1.50
Both score 2nd half only 21.5% 20.8% 4.81
Both score 1st half only 11.4% 10.7% 9.32
Both score in both halves 3.6% 5.0% 19.98
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 85.0% 82.5% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 15.0% 17.5% 5.71
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 52.9% 53.4% 1.87
A goal in each half 47.1% 46.6% 2.15
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 48.7% 47.4% 48.8% 0.97× 2.11
0-1 goals 30.5% 30.7% 26.8% 1.15× 3.25
4-6 goals 19.8% 20.2% 23.3% 0.87× 4.95
7+ goals 1.0% 1.8% 1.4% 1.33× 54.70
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia to score exactly 1 36.1% 36.0% 36.4% 0.99× 2.78
Juve Stabia to score exactly 0 29.9% 27.4% 33.0% 0.83× 3.65
Juve Stabia to score exactly 2 21.8% 22.4% 21.7% 1.03× 4.46
Juve Stabia to score 3+ 12.2% 12.8% 9.1% 1.40× 7.81
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Empoli to score exactly 1 36.5% 35.6% 35.9% 0.99× 2.81
Empoli to score exactly 0 32.3% 32.6% 22.3% 1.47× 3.06
Empoli to score exactly 2 20.6% 23.2% 26.0% 0.89× 4.30
Empoli to score 3+ 10.6% 14.3% 16.0% 0.89× 6.99
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 48.0% 52.5% 1.91
Empoli leading at HT 26.1% 25.6% 3.91
Juve Stabia leading at HT 25.9% 25.6% 3.91
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia -1: 1 63.8% 62.5% 1.60
Juve Stabia -1: X 19.9% 17.5% 5.71
Juve Stabia -1: 2 16.2% 17.5% 5.72
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia (0:1) 67.7% 65.5% 57.3% 1.14× 1.53
Draw (0:1) 18.5% 17.8% 23.3% 0.76× 5.63
Empoli (0:1) 13.8% 13.9% 19.5% 0.71× 7.22
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia (0:2) 86.2% 86.9% 80.5% 1.08× 1.15
Draw (0:2) 9.5% 7.7% 12.9% 0.60× 12.93
Empoli (0:2) 4.3% 3.8% 6.8% 0.56× 26.50
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia (0:3) 95.7% 96.6% 93.2% 1.04× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 3.2% 2.4% 4.6% 0.51× 42.12
Empoli (0:3) 1.1% 2.4% 2.3% 1.05× 42.22
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia (0:4) 98.9% 98.1% 97.7% 1.00× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 0.87× 83.58
Empoli (0:4) 0.2% 1.2% 1.0% 1.19× 83.66
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Empoli (1:0) 63.8% 65.1% 74.6% 0.87× 1.54
Draw (1:0) 19.9% 17.0% 15.6% 1.09× 5.87
Juve Stabia (1:0) 16.2% 17.0% 9.9% 1.72× 5.87
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Empoli (2:0) 83.8% 84.6% 90.1% 0.94× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 10.8% 10.4% 6.5% 1.59× 9.65
Juve Stabia (2:0) 5.4% 6.4% 3.5% 1.84× 15.51
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 44.6% 49.9% 2.00
Halves equal 29.9% 26.6% 3.77
1st half highest scoring 25.4% 26.5% 3.77
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Empoli to concede 70.1% 73.0% 67.0% 1.09× 1.37
Empoli clean sheet 29.9% 27.0% 33.0% 0.82× 3.71
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Empoli clean sheet in 1st half 61.7% 64.1% 1.56
Empoli to concede in 1st half 38.3% 35.9% 2.79
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Empoli over 2.5 corners 81.3% 80.9% 1.24
Empoli under 6.5 corners 74.6% 71.9% 1.39
Empoli over 3.5 corners 66.9% 66.7% 1.50
Empoli under 5.5 corners 62.8% 62.3% 1.61
Empoli over 4.5 corners 51.5% 52.8% 1.90
Empoli under 4.5 corners 48.5% 47.2% 2.12
Empoli over 5.5 corners 37.2% 37.7% 2.65
Empoli under 3.5 corners 33.1% 33.3% 3.00
Empoli over 6.5 corners 25.4% 28.1% 3.56
Empoli under 2.5 corners 18.7% 19.1% 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Empoli under 3.5 goals 97.2% 96.4% 95.9% 1.01× 1.04
Empoli under 2.5 goals 89.4% 87.3% 84.0% 1.04× 1.15
Empoli under 1.5 goals 68.8% 67.9% 58.1% 1.17× 1.47
Empoli over 0.5 goals 67.7% 67.9% 77.7% 0.87× 1.47
Empoli under 0.5 goals 32.3% 32.1% 22.3% 1.44× 3.11
Empoli over 1.5 goals 31.2% 32.1% 41.9% 0.77× 3.11
Empoli over 2.5 goals 10.6% 12.7% 16.0% 0.79× 7.86
Empoli over 3.5 goals 2.8% 3.6% 4.1% 0.88× 27.49
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Empoli under 1.5 in 1st half 91.4% 95.3% 1.05
Empoli under 0.5 in 1st half 61.5% 64.6% 1.55
Empoli over 0.5 in 1st half 38.5% 35.4% 2.83
Empoli over 1.5 in 1st half 8.6% 4.7% 21.29
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia (home no bet) 53.4% 51.6% 44.2% 1.17× 1.94
Draw (home no bet) 46.6% 48.4% 55.8% 0.87× 2.07
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Empoli even goals 55.2% 55.4% 51.1% 1.09× 1.80
Empoli odd goals 44.8% 44.6% 48.9% 0.91× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 38.2% 38.7% 2.58
HT 1-0 18.1% 18.7% 5.34
HT 0-1 18.0% 18.7% 5.34
HT 1-1 9.2% 7.1% 14.02
HT 0-2 4.4% 2.3% 43.28
HT 2-0 4.5% 2.3% 43.28
Any other HT score 2.6% 2.3% 43.42
HT 1-2 2.2% 2.3% 43.45
HT 2-1 2.2% 2.3% 43.45
HT 2-2 0.5% 2.3% 43.57
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 21.0% 21.8% 4.60
Juve Stabia at HT / Juve Stabia at FT 19.4% 16.8% 5.96
Empoli at HT / Empoli at FT 18.3% 16.8% 5.96
Draw at HT / Juve Stabia at FT 14.6% 12.7% 7.88
Draw at HT / Empoli at FT 12.4% 12.7% 7.89
Empoli at HT / Draw at FT 5.6% 6.0% 16.72
Juve Stabia at HT / Draw at FT 4.9% 3.5% 28.77
Empoli at HT / Juve Stabia at FT 2.2% 3.5% 28.88
Juve Stabia at HT / Empoli at FT 1.6% 3.5% 28.90
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia to score last 45.8% 46.6% 2.14
Empoli to score last 42.8% 40.0% 2.50
No goal scored 11.4% 9.2% 10.85
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 88.6% 90.8% 1.10
Juve Stabia to lead by 1 at any time 51.8% 50.7% 1.97
Empoli to lead by 1 at any time 48.4% 44.0% 2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 39.6% 34.9% 2.86
Juve Stabia to lead by 2 at any time 21.2% 19.6% 5.11
Empoli to lead by 2 at any time 18.5% 14.9% 6.70
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 12.2% 10.5% 9.55
Juve Stabia to lead by 3 at any time 6.7% 6.6% 15.10
Empoli to lead by 3 at any time 5.5% 6.6% 15.15
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Empoli most corners 48.9% 47.0% 2.13
Juve Stabia most corners 39.9% 39.4% 2.54
Corners level 11.2% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 85.4% 87.4% 87.2% 1.00× 1.14
1-4 goals 79.8% 78.6% 82.1% 0.96× 1.27
2-6 goals 68.5% 69.0% 72.0% 0.96× 1.45
1-3 goals 67.8% 69.0% 66.5% 1.04× 1.45
2-5 goals 66.3% 68.9% 69.6% 0.99× 1.45
2-4 goals 60.7% 63.4% 64.5% 0.98× 1.58
2-3 goals 48.7% 48.7% 48.8% 1.00× 2.06
1-2 goals 47.2% 48.7% 43.6% 1.12× 2.06
3-6 goals 40.4% 43.6% 46.2% 0.94× 2.30
3-5 goals 38.2% 39.2% 43.8% 0.89× 2.55
3-4 goals 32.6% 35.4% 38.7% 0.91× 2.83
4-6 goals 19.8% 18.6% 23.3% 0.80× 5.37
4-5 goals 17.6% 18.6% 20.9% 0.89× 5.37
5-6 goals 7.8% 8.7% 7.6% 1.14× 11.45
7+ goals 1.0% 2.5% 1.4% 1.85× 39.29
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juve Stabia never behind 40.3% 48.1% 2.08
Empoli never behind 36.9% 44.7% 2.24
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 46.1% 50.8% 46.7% 1.09× 1.97
Even number of goals 53.9% 49.2% 53.3% 0.92× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 57.8% 57.5% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 42.2% 42.5% 2.35
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 54.4% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 45.6% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 96.8% 95.5% 96.2% 0.99× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 91.2% 92.3% 91.1% 1.01× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 88.6% 87.7% 90.9% 0.96× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 79.2% 77.4% 75.5% 1.03× 1.29
Over 1.5 goals 69.5% 66.2% 73.2% 0.90× 1.51
Under 2.5 goals 58.6% 58.8% 52.6% 1.12× 1.70
Over 2.5 goals 41.4% 41.2% 47.4% 0.87× 2.43
Under 1.5 goals 30.5% 33.8% 26.8% 1.26× 2.96
Over 3.5 goals 20.8% 22.6% 24.5% 0.92× 4.42
Under 0.5 goals 11.4% 12.3% 9.1% 1.35× 8.10
Over 4.5 goals 8.8% 7.7% 8.9% 0.87× 12.92
Over 5.5 goals 3.2% 4.5% 3.8% 1.20× 22.21
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.0% 97.2% 98.6% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 96.6% 97.2% 96.0% 1.01× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 90.0% 86.8% 89.5% 0.97× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 73.8% 72.6% 68.2% 1.06× 1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 57.6% 55.4% 63.9% 0.87× 1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 42.4% 44.6% 36.1% 1.23× 2.24
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 26.2% 27.4% 31.8% 0.86× 3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 10.0% 13.2% 10.5% 1.26× 7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 3.4% 2.8% 4.0% 0.70× 36.12
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.0% 2.8% 1.4% 1.96× 36.19
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 92.5% 92.7% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 74.4% 71.3% 1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half 61.8% 63.6% 1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half 38.2% 36.4% 2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half 25.6% 28.7% 3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half 7.5% 7.3% 13.71
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 84.1% 82.9% 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 74.0% 77.8% 1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 59.7% 54.9% 1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 40.3% 45.1% 2.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 26.0% 22.2% 4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 15.9% 17.1% 5.84
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Empoli not to score in both halves 81.7% 84.3% 1.19
Juve Stabia not to score in both halves 80.2% 84.2% 1.19
Juve Stabia to score in both halves 19.8% 15.8% 6.33
Empoli to score in both halves 18.3% 15.7% 6.36
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 49.2% 50.5% 53.8% 0.94× 1.98
Only Juve Stabia scores 20.9% 22.3% 13.3% 1.68× 4.48
Only Empoli scores 18.5% 16.1% 24.0% 0.67× 6.22
Neither team scores 11.4% 10.9% 9.1% 1.20× 9.15
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 28.1% 25.0% 25.9% 0.96× 4.01
Exactly 3 goals 20.6% 22.6% 23.0% 0.98× 4.42
Exactly 1 goals 19.1% 17.4% 17.8% 0.98× 5.74
Exactly 4 goals 12.0% 12.1% 15.8% 0.77× 8.28
Exactly 0 goals 11.4% 12.1% 9.1% 1.32× 8.28
Exactly 5 goals 5.6% 7.6% 5.3% 1.45× 13.09
6 or more goals 3.2% 4.4% 3.8% 1.17× 22.67
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 40.3% 44.1% 2.27
1 goal in 2nd half 33.6% 33.5% 2.99
No goals in 2nd half 26.0% 29.8% 3.36
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Empoli not to win both halves 92.6% 93.9% 1.06
Juve Stabia not to win both halves 91.3% 93.9% 1.07
Juve Stabia to win both halves 8.7% 6.1% 16.44
Empoli to win both halves 7.4% 6.1% 16.53
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Empoli to win neither half 53.8% 55.0% 1.82
Juve Stabia to win neither half 50.3% 54.9% 1.82
Juve Stabia to win either half 49.7% 45.1% 2.22
Empoli to win either half 46.2% 45.0% 2.22
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Empoli not to win to nil 81.5% 83.0% 76.0% 1.09× 1.21
Juve Stabia not to win to nil 79.1% 78.1% 86.7% 0.90× 1.28
Juve Stabia to win to nil 20.9% 21.9% 13.3% 1.65× 4.56
Empoli to win to nil 18.5% 17.0% 24.0% 0.71× 5.89
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 31.5% 27.6% 32.0% 0.86× 3.62
Juve Stabia by 1 19.9% 16.9% 15.6% 1.08× 5.91
Empoli by 1 18.5% 16.9% 23.3% 0.73× 5.91
Juve Stabia by 2 10.8% 11.8% 6.5% 1.81× 8.48
Empoli by 2 9.5% 7.3% 12.9% 0.56× 13.77
Juve Stabia by 3+ 5.4% 7.3% 3.5% 2.07× 13.79
Empoli by 3+ 4.3% 2.7% 6.8% 0.40× 36.94
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
to move to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide