Empoli v Juve Stabia — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 31 October 2026 · ITA-Serie B · 2627
ITA-Serie B
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (8,220 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 15.1%
- 0-0 12.1%
- 0-1 10.1%
- 1-0 10.0%
- 1-2 7.6%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 39.4% | Under 2.5 | 60.6% |
| BTTS yes | 47.6% | BTTS no | 52.4% |
| Empoli 1+ | 67.6% | Empoli 2+ | 31.1% |
| Juve Stabia 1+ | 67.9% | Juve Stabia 2+ | 31.4% |
Expected goals 1.13 – 1.14. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Juve Stabia carry the stronger rating, 1504 Elo against 1399.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Juve Stabia have an estimated 33.3% win probability, against 33.3% for Empoli and 33.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.13 for Empoli and 1.14 for Juve Stabia.
Why Empoli
Nothing in the data singles out Empoli.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 33.3%. A combined 2.26 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.13 to 1.14. Draws run at 32% in this competition.
Why Juve Stabia can win
Juve Stabia carry the stronger rating, 1504 Elo against 1399.
Key players
Empoli's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Sebastiano Esposito (0.29), Lorenzo Colombo (0.24), Jacopo Fazzini (0.20).
Availability
1 of Empoli's top three contributors did not start their last match. No lineup on record for Juve Stabia, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Empoli: 36% possession, 10.4 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.23 xG a match from set pieces. Juve Stabia: 57% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Juve Stabia are the model's most likely outcome at 33.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 15.1%. Confidence 49/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the chances say
Empoli are conceding more than the chances against them merit — 3.5 goals above expected, which tends to correct.
Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.
What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 1.13–1.21 | 1-1 15% | 41% | 49% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia to win | 36.2% | 36.4% | 25.4% | 1.43× | 2.75 |
| Empoli to win | 32.3% | 30.4% | 42.7% | 0.71× | 3.29 |
| Draw | 31.5% | 30.3% | 32.0% | 0.95× | 3.30 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia & not both score | 20.9% | 21.9% | 13.3% | 1.65× | 4.57 |
| Draw & both teams score | 20.1% | 21.9% | 23.0% | 0.95× | 4.57 |
| Empoli & not both score | 18.5% | 17.9% | 24.0% | 0.75× | 5.58 |
| Juve Stabia & both teams score | 15.2% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 1.46× | 5.58 |
| Empoli & both teams score | 13.8% | 13.3% | 18.8% | 0.71× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 11.4% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 1.45× | 7.55 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia & under 3.5 | 27.8% | 26.0% | 19.9% | 1.31× | 3.84 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 26.3% | 26.0% | 23.8% | 1.09× | 3.84 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 26.3% | 26.0% | 23.8% | 1.09× | 3.84 |
| Juve Stabia & over 1.5 | 26.2% | 26.0% | 18.8% | 1.39× | 3.84 |
| Empoli & under 3.5 | 25.1% | 26.0% | 32.0% | 0.81× | 3.84 |
| Empoli & over 1.5 | 23.1% | 21.7% | 31.7% | 0.68× | 4.62 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 20.1% | 21.7% | 23.0% | 0.94× | 4.62 |
| Juve Stabia & over 2.5 | 19.2% | 18.0% | 15.0% | 1.20× | 5.56 |
| Empoli & over 2.5 | 17.0% | 18.0% | 24.3% | 0.74× | 5.56 |
| Juve Stabia & under 2.5 | 17.0% | 18.0% | 10.5% | 1.71× | 5.56 |
| Empoli & under 2.5 | 15.3% | 18.0% | 18.5% | 0.97× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 11.4% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 1.41× | 7.77 |
| Juve Stabia & under 1.5 | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 1.17× | 12.69 |
| Empoli & under 1.5 | 9.2% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 0.71× | 12.69 |
| Empoli & over 3.5 | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 0.73× | 12.70 |
| Juve Stabia & over 3.5 | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 1.40× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 0.94× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 0.94× | 12.70 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia (1UP) | 51.8% | 52.6% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Empoli (1UP) | 48.4% | 43.3% | — | — | 2.31 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia (2UP) | 36.2% | 37.0% | — | — | 2.70 |
| Empoli (2UP) | 32.3% | 30.9% | — | — | 3.24 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half drawn | 40.0% | 36.2% | — | — | 2.77 |
| Juve Stabia to win 2nd half | 32.5% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
| Empoli to win 2nd half | 27.6% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.80 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia (+2.5) | 95.7% | 96.3% | 93.2% | 1.03× | 1.04 |
| Juve Stabia (+1.5) | 86.2% | 88.5% | 80.5% | 1.10× | 1.13 |
| Juve Stabia (+0.5) | 67.7% | 68.7% | 57.3% | 1.20× | 1.46 |
| Empoli (+0.5) | 63.8% | 62.9% | 74.6% | 0.84× | 1.59 |
| Juve Stabia (-0.5) | 36.2% | 37.1% | 25.4% | 1.46× | 2.70 |
| Empoli (-0.5) | 32.3% | 31.3% | 42.7% | 0.73× | 3.20 |
| Empoli (-1.5) | 13.8% | 11.5% | 19.5% | 0.59× | 8.69 |
| Empoli (-2.5) | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 0.55× | 26.79 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia to concede | 67.7% | 72.5% | 77.7% | 0.93× | 1.38 |
| Juve Stabia clean sheet | 32.3% | 27.5% | 22.3% | 1.23× | 3.64 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia clean sheet in 1st half | 61.5% | 64.8% | — | — | 1.54 |
| Juve Stabia to concede in 1st half | 38.5% | 35.2% | — | — | 2.84 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia under 6.5 corners | 79.9% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Juve Stabia over 2.5 corners | 77.1% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Juve Stabia under 5.5 corners | 69.0% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Juve Stabia over 3.5 corners | 61.1% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Juve Stabia under 4.5 corners | 55.0% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Juve Stabia over 4.5 corners | 45.0% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Juve Stabia under 3.5 corners | 38.9% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Juve Stabia over 5.5 corners | 31.0% | 32.5% | — | — | 3.08 |
| Juve Stabia under 2.5 corners | 22.9% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
| Juve Stabia over 6.5 corners | 20.1% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia under 3.5 goals | 96.6% | 97.5% | 98.2% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Juve Stabia under 2.5 goals | 87.8% | 87.9% | 90.9% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| Juve Stabia over 0.5 goals | 70.1% | 71.9% | 67.0% | 1.07× | 1.39 |
| Juve Stabia under 1.5 goals | 66.0% | 67.9% | 69.3% | 0.98× | 1.47 |
| Juve Stabia over 1.5 goals | 34.0% | 32.1% | 30.7% | 1.05× | 3.12 |
| Juve Stabia under 0.5 goals | 29.9% | 28.1% | 33.0% | 0.85× | 3.56 |
| Juve Stabia over 2.5 goals | 12.2% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 1.33× | 8.26 |
| Juve Stabia over 3.5 goals | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.40× | 40.70 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia under 1.5 in 1st half | 91.5% | 94.1% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Juve Stabia under 0.5 in 1st half | 61.7% | 64.1% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Juve Stabia over 0.5 in 1st half | 38.3% | 35.9% | — | — | 2.79 |
| Juve Stabia over 1.5 in 1st half | 8.5% | 5.9% | — | — | 17.07 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli (away no bet) | 50.6% | 51.2% | 57.1% | 0.90× | 1.95 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 49.4% | 48.8% | 42.9% | 1.14× | 2.05 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia even goals | 54.5% | 52.8% | 55.6% | 0.95× | 1.89 |
| Juve Stabia odd goals | 45.5% | 47.2% | 44.4% | 1.06× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 90.0% | 87.9% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 10.0% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.23 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 55.9% | 60.0% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 44.1% | 40.0% | — | — | 2.50 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 47.5% | 45.9% | — | — | 2.18 |
| Juve Stabia to score 2+ in a row | 27.3% | 25.0% | — | — | 3.99 |
| Empoli to score 2+ in a row | 24.5% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.11 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 14.5% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.18 |
| Juve Stabia to score 3+ in a row | 8.0% | 5.7% | — | — | 17.64 |
| Empoli to score 3+ in a row | 6.7% | 5.6% | — | — | 17.75 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli corners (+3.5) | 86.2% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Juve Stabia corners (+3.5) | 80.4% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Empoli corners (+2.5) | 79.3% | 74.9% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Juve Stabia corners (+2.5) | 72.1% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Empoli corners (+1.5) | 70.4% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Juve Stabia corners (+1.5) | 62.1% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Empoli corners (-1.5) | 37.9% | 38.1% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Juve Stabia corners (-1.5) | 29.6% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Empoli corners (-2.5) | 27.9% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Juve Stabia corners (-2.5) | 20.7% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| Empoli corners (-3.5) | 19.6% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.93 |
| Juve Stabia corners (-3.5) | 13.8% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.45 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 43.3% | 38.7% | — | — | 2.59 |
| 9-11 corners | 29.7% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
| 12+ corners | 27.0% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 80.3% | 80.7% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 73.0% | 72.6% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 67.5% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 64.2% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 56.7% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 54.2% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 45.8% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 43.3% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 35.8% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 32.5% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 27.0% | 27.4% | — | — | 3.66 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 19.7% | 19.3% | — | — | 5.19 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 14.9% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 0.78× | 8.73 |
| 0-0 | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 1.25× | 8.73 |
| 0-1 | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 1.10× | 13.48 |
| 1-0 | 9.2% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 0.67× | 13.48 |
| 0-2 | 7.0% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.91× | 13.48 |
| 1-2 | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 1.00× | 13.48 |
| 2-1 | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 0.76× | 13.48 |
| 2-0 | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 0.99× | 13.48 |
| 0-3 | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.76× | 58.47 |
| 0-4 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.28× | 58.49 |
| 1-3 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 0.65× | 58.47 |
| 1-4 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 6.83× | 58.48 |
| 2-2 | 4.5% | 1.7% | 7.4% | 0.23× | 58.46 |
| 2-3 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.14× | 58.48 |
| 2-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 13.66× | 58.49 |
| 3-0 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 0.43× | 58.48 |
| 3-1 | 2.8% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 0.39× | 58.47 |
| 3-2 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.68× | 58.48 |
| 3-3 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.52× | 58.49 |
| 3-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 4.55× | 58.49 |
| 4-0 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.52× | 58.49 |
| 4-1 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.28× | 58.49 |
| 4-2 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.71× | 58.49 |
| 4-3 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 6.83× | 58.49 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 13.66× | 58.49 |
| Any other score | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.80× | 58.48 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli leading at HT (DNB) | 50.2% | 55.6% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Juve Stabia leading at HT (DNB) | 49.8% | 44.4% | — | — | 2.25 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli or Juve Stabia (12) | 68.5% | 69.7% | 68.0% | 1.02× | 1.44 |
| Juve Stabia or draw (X2) | 67.7% | 69.6% | 57.3% | 1.22× | 1.44 |
| Empoli or draw (1X) | 63.8% | 63.6% | 74.6% | 0.85× | 1.57 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli or draw at HT | 74.1% | 74.4% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Juve Stabia or draw at HT | 73.9% | 74.4% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Empoli or Juve Stabia at HT | 52.0% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.10 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia or draw (1UP) | 67.7% | 76.0% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Empoli or draw (1UP) | 63.8% | 71.8% | — | — | 1.39 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia or draw in 2nd half | 72.4% | 73.7% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Empoli or draw in 2nd half | 67.5% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Empoli or Juve Stabia in 2nd half | 60.0% | 63.8% | — | — | 1.57 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 67.0% | 69.4% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Neither half drawn | 33.0% | 30.6% | — | — | 3.26 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia (DNB) | 52.8% | 50.9% | 37.3% | 1.37× | 1.96 |
| Empoli (DNB) | 47.2% | 49.1% | 62.7% | 0.78× | 2.04 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia to score first | 45.8% | 45.4% | — | — | 2.20 |
| Empoli to score first | 42.8% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.39 |
| No goal scored | 11.4% | 9.8% | — | — | 10.17 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 50.8% | 51.4% | 46.2% | 1.11× | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | 49.2% | 48.6% | 53.8% | 0.90× | 2.06 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 43.7% | 41.6% | 37.9% | 1.10× | 2.40 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 34.3% | 34.3% | 39.2% | 0.88× | 2.92 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 14.9% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 0.84× | 8.10 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 1.00× | 11.96 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 89.4% | 85.6% | 86.0% | 1.00× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 10.6% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 1.03× | 6.96 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 74.9% | 74.2% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 25.1% | 25.8% | — | — | 3.88 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 63.5% | 66.5% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 21.5% | 20.8% | — | — | 4.81 |
| Both score 1st half only | 11.4% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.32 |
| Both score in both halves | 3.6% | 5.0% | — | — | 19.98 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 85.0% | 82.5% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 15.0% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.71 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half without a goal | 52.9% | 53.4% | — | — | 1.87 |
| A goal in each half | 47.1% | 46.6% | — | — | 2.15 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 48.7% | 47.4% | 48.8% | 0.97× | 2.11 |
| 0-1 goals | 30.5% | 30.7% | 26.8% | 1.15× | 3.25 |
| 4-6 goals | 19.8% | 20.2% | 23.3% | 0.87× | 4.95 |
| 7+ goals | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.33× | 54.70 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia to score exactly 1 | 36.1% | 36.0% | 36.4% | 0.99× | 2.78 |
| Juve Stabia to score exactly 0 | 29.9% | 27.4% | 33.0% | 0.83× | 3.65 |
| Juve Stabia to score exactly 2 | 21.8% | 22.4% | 21.7% | 1.03× | 4.46 |
| Juve Stabia to score 3+ | 12.2% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 1.40× | 7.81 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli to score exactly 1 | 36.5% | 35.6% | 35.9% | 0.99× | 2.81 |
| Empoli to score exactly 0 | 32.3% | 32.6% | 22.3% | 1.47× | 3.06 |
| Empoli to score exactly 2 | 20.6% | 23.2% | 26.0% | 0.89× | 4.30 |
| Empoli to score 3+ | 10.6% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 0.89× | 6.99 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 48.0% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Empoli leading at HT | 26.1% | 25.6% | — | — | 3.91 |
| Juve Stabia leading at HT | 25.9% | 25.6% | — | — | 3.91 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia -1: 1 | 63.8% | 62.5% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Juve Stabia -1: X | 19.9% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.71 |
| Juve Stabia -1: 2 | 16.2% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.72 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia (0:1) | 67.7% | 65.5% | 57.3% | 1.14× | 1.53 |
| Draw (0:1) | 18.5% | 17.8% | 23.3% | 0.76× | 5.63 |
| Empoli (0:1) | 13.8% | 13.9% | 19.5% | 0.71× | 7.22 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia (0:2) | 86.2% | 86.9% | 80.5% | 1.08× | 1.15 |
| Draw (0:2) | 9.5% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 0.60× | 12.93 |
| Empoli (0:2) | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 0.56× | 26.50 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia (0:3) | 95.7% | 96.6% | 93.2% | 1.04× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 0.51× | 42.12 |
| Empoli (0:3) | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.05× | 42.22 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia (0:4) | 98.9% | 98.1% | 97.7% | 1.00× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.87× | 83.58 |
| Empoli (0:4) | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.19× | 83.66 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli (1:0) | 63.8% | 65.1% | 74.6% | 0.87× | 1.54 |
| Draw (1:0) | 19.9% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 1.09× | 5.87 |
| Juve Stabia (1:0) | 16.2% | 17.0% | 9.9% | 1.72× | 5.87 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli (2:0) | 83.8% | 84.6% | 90.1% | 0.94× | 1.18 |
| Draw (2:0) | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 1.59× | 9.65 |
| Juve Stabia (2:0) | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.84× | 15.51 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 44.6% | 49.9% | — | — | 2.00 |
| Halves equal | 29.9% | 26.6% | — | — | 3.77 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.4% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli to concede | 70.1% | 73.0% | 67.0% | 1.09× | 1.37 |
| Empoli clean sheet | 29.9% | 27.0% | 33.0% | 0.82× | 3.71 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli clean sheet in 1st half | 61.7% | 64.1% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Empoli to concede in 1st half | 38.3% | 35.9% | — | — | 2.79 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli over 2.5 corners | 81.3% | 80.9% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Empoli under 6.5 corners | 74.6% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Empoli over 3.5 corners | 66.9% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Empoli under 5.5 corners | 62.8% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Empoli over 4.5 corners | 51.5% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Empoli under 4.5 corners | 48.5% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
| Empoli over 5.5 corners | 37.2% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Empoli under 3.5 corners | 33.1% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.00 |
| Empoli over 6.5 corners | 25.4% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| Empoli under 2.5 corners | 18.7% | 19.1% | — | — | 5.25 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli under 3.5 goals | 97.2% | 96.4% | 95.9% | 1.01× | 1.04 |
| Empoli under 2.5 goals | 89.4% | 87.3% | 84.0% | 1.04× | 1.15 |
| Empoli under 1.5 goals | 68.8% | 67.9% | 58.1% | 1.17× | 1.47 |
| Empoli over 0.5 goals | 67.7% | 67.9% | 77.7% | 0.87× | 1.47 |
| Empoli under 0.5 goals | 32.3% | 32.1% | 22.3% | 1.44× | 3.11 |
| Empoli over 1.5 goals | 31.2% | 32.1% | 41.9% | 0.77× | 3.11 |
| Empoli over 2.5 goals | 10.6% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 0.79× | 7.86 |
| Empoli over 3.5 goals | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 0.88× | 27.49 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli under 1.5 in 1st half | 91.4% | 95.3% | — | — | 1.05 |
| Empoli under 0.5 in 1st half | 61.5% | 64.6% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Empoli over 0.5 in 1st half | 38.5% | 35.4% | — | — | 2.83 |
| Empoli over 1.5 in 1st half | 8.6% | 4.7% | — | — | 21.29 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia (home no bet) | 53.4% | 51.6% | 44.2% | 1.17× | 1.94 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 46.6% | 48.4% | 55.8% | 0.87× | 2.07 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli even goals | 55.2% | 55.4% | 51.1% | 1.09× | 1.80 |
| Empoli odd goals | 44.8% | 44.6% | 48.9% | 0.91× | 2.24 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 38.2% | 38.7% | — | — | 2.58 |
| HT 1-0 | 18.1% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.34 |
| HT 0-1 | 18.0% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.34 |
| HT 1-1 | 9.2% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.02 |
| HT 0-2 | 4.4% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.28 |
| HT 2-0 | 4.5% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.28 |
| Any other HT score | 2.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.42 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.2% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.45 |
| HT 2-1 | 2.2% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.45 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.5% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.57 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 21.0% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.60 |
| Juve Stabia at HT / Juve Stabia at FT | 19.4% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Empoli at HT / Empoli at FT | 18.3% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Draw at HT / Juve Stabia at FT | 14.6% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.88 |
| Draw at HT / Empoli at FT | 12.4% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Empoli at HT / Draw at FT | 5.6% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.72 |
| Juve Stabia at HT / Draw at FT | 4.9% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.77 |
| Empoli at HT / Juve Stabia at FT | 2.2% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.88 |
| Juve Stabia at HT / Empoli at FT | 1.6% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.90 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia to score last | 45.8% | 46.6% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Empoli to score last | 42.8% | 40.0% | — | — | 2.50 |
| No goal scored | 11.4% | 9.2% | — | — | 10.85 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 88.6% | 90.8% | — | — | 1.10 |
| Juve Stabia to lead by 1 at any time | 51.8% | 50.7% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Empoli to lead by 1 at any time | 48.4% | 44.0% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 39.6% | 34.9% | — | — | 2.86 |
| Juve Stabia to lead by 2 at any time | 21.2% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.11 |
| Empoli to lead by 2 at any time | 18.5% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.70 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 12.2% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.55 |
| Juve Stabia to lead by 3 at any time | 6.7% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.10 |
| Empoli to lead by 3 at any time | 5.5% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.15 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli most corners | 48.9% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Juve Stabia most corners | 39.9% | 39.4% | — | — | 2.54 |
| Corners level | 11.2% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.61 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 85.4% | 87.4% | 87.2% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 79.8% | 78.6% | 82.1% | 0.96× | 1.27 |
| 2-6 goals | 68.5% | 69.0% | 72.0% | 0.96× | 1.45 |
| 1-3 goals | 67.8% | 69.0% | 66.5% | 1.04× | 1.45 |
| 2-5 goals | 66.3% | 68.9% | 69.6% | 0.99× | 1.45 |
| 2-4 goals | 60.7% | 63.4% | 64.5% | 0.98× | 1.58 |
| 2-3 goals | 48.7% | 48.7% | 48.8% | 1.00× | 2.06 |
| 1-2 goals | 47.2% | 48.7% | 43.6% | 1.12× | 2.06 |
| 3-6 goals | 40.4% | 43.6% | 46.2% | 0.94× | 2.30 |
| 3-5 goals | 38.2% | 39.2% | 43.8% | 0.89× | 2.55 |
| 3-4 goals | 32.6% | 35.4% | 38.7% | 0.91× | 2.83 |
| 4-6 goals | 19.8% | 18.6% | 23.3% | 0.80× | 5.37 |
| 4-5 goals | 17.6% | 18.6% | 20.9% | 0.89× | 5.37 |
| 5-6 goals | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 1.14× | 11.45 |
| 7+ goals | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.85× | 39.29 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia never behind | 40.3% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
| Empoli never behind | 36.9% | 44.7% | — | — | 2.24 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 46.1% | 50.8% | 46.7% | 1.09× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 53.9% | 49.2% | 53.3% | 0.92× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 57.8% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 42.2% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 54.4% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 45.6% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 96.8% | 95.5% | 96.2% | 0.99× | 1.05 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 91.2% | 92.3% | 91.1% | 1.01× | 1.08 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 88.6% | 87.7% | 90.9% | 0.96× | 1.14 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 79.2% | 77.4% | 75.5% | 1.03× | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.5% | 66.2% | 73.2% | 0.90× | 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58.6% | 58.8% | 52.6% | 1.12× | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.4% | 41.2% | 47.4% | 0.87× | 2.43 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30.5% | 33.8% | 26.8% | 1.26× | 2.96 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.8% | 22.6% | 24.5% | 0.92× | 4.42 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 1.35× | 8.10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 0.87× | 12.92 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.20× | 22.21 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 99.0% | 97.2% | 98.6% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 96.6% | 97.2% | 96.0% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 90.0% | 86.8% | 89.5% | 0.97× | 1.15 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 73.8% | 72.6% | 68.2% | 1.06× | 1.38 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 57.6% | 55.4% | 63.9% | 0.87× | 1.80 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 42.4% | 44.6% | 36.1% | 1.23× | 2.24 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 26.2% | 27.4% | 31.8% | 0.86× | 3.65 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 10.0% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 1.26× | 7.55 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 0.70× | 36.12 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 1.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.96× | 36.19 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 92.5% | 92.7% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 74.4% | 71.3% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 61.8% | 63.6% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 38.2% | 36.4% | — | — | 2.75 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 25.6% | 28.7% | — | — | 3.48 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 7.5% | 7.3% | — | — | 13.71 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 84.1% | 82.9% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 74.0% | 77.8% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 59.7% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 40.3% | 45.1% | — | — | 2.22 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 26.0% | 22.2% | — | — | 4.50 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 15.9% | 17.1% | — | — | 5.84 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli not to score in both halves | 81.7% | 84.3% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Juve Stabia not to score in both halves | 80.2% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Juve Stabia to score in both halves | 19.8% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.33 |
| Empoli to score in both halves | 18.3% | 15.7% | — | — | 6.36 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 49.2% | 50.5% | 53.8% | 0.94× | 1.98 |
| Only Juve Stabia scores | 20.9% | 22.3% | 13.3% | 1.68× | 4.48 |
| Only Empoli scores | 18.5% | 16.1% | 24.0% | 0.67× | 6.22 |
| Neither team scores | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 1.20× | 9.15 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 28.1% | 25.0% | 25.9% | 0.96× | 4.01 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 20.6% | 22.6% | 23.0% | 0.98× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 19.1% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 0.98× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 12.0% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 0.77× | 8.28 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 11.4% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 1.32× | 8.28 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.45× | 13.09 |
| 6 or more goals | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.17× | 22.67 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 40.3% | 44.1% | — | — | 2.27 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 33.6% | 33.5% | — | — | 2.99 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 26.0% | 29.8% | — | — | 3.36 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli not to win both halves | 92.6% | 93.9% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Juve Stabia not to win both halves | 91.3% | 93.9% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Juve Stabia to win both halves | 8.7% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.44 |
| Empoli to win both halves | 7.4% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.53 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli to win neither half | 53.8% | 55.0% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Juve Stabia to win neither half | 50.3% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Juve Stabia to win either half | 49.7% | 45.1% | — | — | 2.22 |
| Empoli to win either half | 46.2% | 45.0% | — | — | 2.22 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli not to win to nil | 81.5% | 83.0% | 76.0% | 1.09× | 1.21 |
| Juve Stabia not to win to nil | 79.1% | 78.1% | 86.7% | 0.90× | 1.28 |
| Juve Stabia to win to nil | 20.9% | 21.9% | 13.3% | 1.65× | 4.56 |
| Empoli to win to nil | 18.5% | 17.0% | 24.0% | 0.71× | 5.89 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 31.5% | 27.6% | 32.0% | 0.86× | 3.62 |
| Juve Stabia by 1 | 19.9% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 1.08× | 5.91 |
| Empoli by 1 | 18.5% | 16.9% | 23.3% | 0.73× | 5.91 |
| Juve Stabia by 2 | 10.8% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 1.81× | 8.48 |
| Empoli by 2 | 9.5% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 0.56× | 13.77 |
| Juve Stabia by 3+ | 5.4% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 2.07× | 13.79 |
| Empoli by 3+ | 4.3% | 2.7% | 6.8% | 0.40× | 36.94 |