Empoli v Juve Stabia — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · ITA-Serie B · 2627

ITA-Serie B results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Empoli

18:00 UTC

Juve Stabia

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 127h before kick-off

Empoli win

33.4%

model 34.3%

Draw

33.3%

model 31.5%

Juve Stabia win

33.4%

model 34.2%

333333

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (967 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.8%
0-0 11.6%
1-0 10.0%
0-1 10.0%
2-1 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	40.3%	Under 2.5	59.7%
BTTS yes	48.2%	BTTS no	51.8%
Empoli 1+	68.3%	Empoli 2+	31.9%
Juve Stabia 1+	68.2%	Juve Stabia 2+	31.8%

Expected goals 1.15 – 1.15. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

50/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Not both teams to score

GG/NG · usually 46%

53.4% fair odds 1.87

moderate signal · 1528 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 2nd half

Over/Under 2HT

82.0% fair odds 1.22

moderate signal · 1581 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Empoli.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Empoli have an estimated 33.4% win probability, against 33.4% for Juve Stabia and 33.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.15 for Empoli and 1.15 for Juve Stabia.

Why Empoli

Nothing in the data singles out Empoli.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 33.3%. A combined 2.30 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.15 to 1.15. Draws run at 32% in this competition.

Why Juve Stabia can win

Juve Stabia carry the stronger rating, 1504 Elo against 1384.

Key players

Empoli's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Sebastiano Esposito (0.29), Lorenzo Colombo (0.25), Jacopo Fazzini (0.19).

Availability

1 of Empoli's top three contributors did not start their last match. No lineup on record for Juve Stabia, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Empoli: 40% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.23 xG a match from set pieces. Juve Stabia: 57% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Empoli are the model's most likely outcome at 33.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.8%. Confidence 50/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Empoli are conceding more than the chances against them merit — 3.5 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

LDDLDLLWWL last 10 scored 10 from 11.3 xG conceded 14 from 10.5 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	343234	1.15–1.15	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	313237	1.07–1.19	1-1 15%	39%	47%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia to win	37.2%	36.3%	25.5%	1.42×	2.75
Draw	31.7%	30.4%	31.9%	0.95×	3.29
Empoli to win	31.1%	30.4%	42.7%	0.71×	3.29

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia & not both score	22.3%	21.8%	13.3%	1.64×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.7%	18.0%	22.9%	0.78×	5.56
Empoli & not both score	18.4%	18.0%	23.9%	0.75×	5.56
Juve Stabia & both teams score	14.9%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.54
Empoli & both teams score	12.7%	13.3%	18.9%	0.70×	7.54
Draw & not both score	12.0%	13.3%	9.1%	1.46×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia & under 3.5	29.1%	26.1%	19.9%	1.31×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	26.8%	26.1%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	26.8%	26.1%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Juve Stabia & over 1.5	26.3%	26.0%	18.8%	1.39×	3.84
Empoli & under 3.5	24.8%	21.6%	31.9%	0.68×	4.63
Empoli & over 1.5	21.5%	21.6%	31.8%	0.68×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.7%	18.0%	22.9%	0.79×	5.55
Juve Stabia & over 2.5	18.9%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.55
Juve Stabia & under 2.5	18.3%	18.0%	10.6%	1.70×	5.55
Empoli & over 2.5	15.5%	18.0%	24.4%	0.74×	5.56
Empoli & under 2.5	15.5%	18.0%	18.4%	0.98×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	12.0%	12.8%	9.1%	1.41×	7.79
Juve Stabia & under 1.5	10.9%	12.8%	6.8%	1.87×	7.79
Empoli & under 1.5	9.6%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.62
Juve Stabia & over 3.5	8.1%	7.9%	5.7%	1.38×	12.63
Empoli & over 3.5	6.3%	7.9%	11.0%	0.72×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.9%	4.8%	8.3%	0.58×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.9%	4.8%	8.3%	0.58×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia (1UP)	52.2%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Empoli (1UP)	46.7%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia (2UP)	37.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Empoli (2UP)	31.1%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	40.6%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Juve Stabia to win 2nd half	33.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Empoli to win 2nd half	26.5%	26.1%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.9%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Juve Stabia over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.1%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Juve Stabia under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.9%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Juve Stabia over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.1%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Empoli under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.5%	88.8%	—	—	1.13
Empoli under 0.5 in 2nd half	54.4%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Empoli over 0.5 in 2nd half	45.6%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Empoli over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.5%	11.2%	—	—	8.91

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia (+2.5)	96.2%	96.3%	93.3%	1.03×	1.04
Juve Stabia (+1.5)	87.3%	88.5%	80.3%	1.10×	1.13
Juve Stabia (+0.5)	68.9%	68.7%	57.3%	1.20×	1.46
Empoli (+0.5)	62.8%	62.9%	74.5%	0.85×	1.59
Juve Stabia (-0.5)	37.2%	37.1%	25.5%	1.45×	2.70
Empoli (-0.5)	31.1%	31.3%	42.7%	0.73×	3.19
Empoli (-1.5)	12.7%	11.5%	19.7%	0.59×	8.67
Empoli (-2.5)	3.8%	3.7%	6.7%	0.55×	27.09

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia to concede	65.7%	72.3%	77.7%	0.93×	1.38
Juve Stabia clean sheet	34.3%	27.7%	22.3%	1.24×	3.60

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia clean sheet in 1st half	63.1%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Juve Stabia to concede in 1st half	36.9%	35.3%	—	—	2.84

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia clean sheet in 2nd half	54.4%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Juve Stabia to concede in 2nd half	45.6%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia under 6.5 corners	80.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Juve Stabia over 2.5 corners	76.9%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Juve Stabia under 5.5 corners	69.3%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Juve Stabia over 3.5 corners	60.8%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Juve Stabia under 4.5 corners	55.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Juve Stabia over 4.5 corners	44.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Juve Stabia under 3.5 corners	39.2%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Juve Stabia over 5.5 corners	30.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Juve Stabia under 2.5 corners	23.1%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Juve Stabia over 6.5 corners	19.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia under 3.5 goals	96.7%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Juve Stabia under 2.5 goals	88.1%	87.8%	90.8%	0.97×	1.14
Juve Stabia over 0.5 goals	69.6%	68.0%	67.1%	1.01×	1.47
Juve Stabia under 1.5 goals	66.6%	68.0%	69.4%	0.98×	1.47
Juve Stabia over 1.5 goals	33.4%	32.0%	30.6%	1.04×	3.13
Juve Stabia under 0.5 goals	30.4%	32.0%	32.9%	0.97×	3.13
Juve Stabia over 2.5 goals	11.9%	12.2%	9.2%	1.32×	8.20
Juve Stabia over 3.5 goals	3.3%	2.5%	1.9%	1.35×	39.80

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia under 1.5 in 1st half	91.7%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Juve Stabia under 0.5 in 1st half	62.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Juve Stabia over 0.5 in 1st half	37.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Juve Stabia over 1.5 in 1st half	8.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.39

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia scores equally in both	41.6%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Juve Stabia scores more in 2nd half	36.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Juve Stabia scores more in 1st half	21.6%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	50.5%	51.6%	42.7%	1.21×	1.94
Empoli (away no bet)	49.5%	48.4%	57.3%	0.84×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia even goals	54.6%	52.6%	55.4%	0.95×	1.90
Juve Stabia odd goals	45.4%	47.4%	44.6%	1.06×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.8%	91.3%	—	—	1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.2%	8.7%	—	—	11.48

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	53.9%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
Both halves under 1.5 goals	46.1%	48.9%	—	—	2.05

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	45.9%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Juve Stabia to score 2+ in a row	27.1%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Empoli to score 2+ in a row	22.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Either team to score 3+ in a row	13.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.21
Juve Stabia to score 3+ in a row	7.9%	5.5%	—	—	18.13
Empoli to score 3+ in a row	5.9%	5.5%	—	—	18.29

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Empoli corners (+3.5)	86.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Juve Stabia corners (+3.5)	80.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Empoli corners (+2.5)	79.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Juve Stabia corners (+2.5)	72.6%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Empoli corners (+1.5)	70.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Juve Stabia corners (+1.5)	62.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Empoli corners (-1.5)	37.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Juve Stabia corners (-1.5)	29.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Empoli corners (-2.5)	27.4%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Juve Stabia corners (-2.5)	20.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Empoli corners (-3.5)	19.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Juve Stabia corners (-3.5)	13.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.2%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	26.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	81.0%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	73.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	66.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	65.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	55.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	55.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	44.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	44.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	34.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	33.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	26.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	19.0%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.9%	11.5%	14.7%	0.78×	8.71
0-0	12.0%	11.5%	9.1%	1.26×	8.71
0-1	10.9%	11.5%	6.8%	1.68×	8.72
1-0	9.6%	7.4%	11.1%	0.67×	13.51
0-2	7.4%	7.4%	3.9%	1.92×	13.51
1-2	7.9%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
2-1	7.1%	7.4%	9.7%	0.76×	13.51
2-0	6.0%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
0-3	2.9%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.30
0-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.31
1-3	3.1%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.31
2-2	4.2%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.30
2-3	1.7%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
3-0	2.1%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.31
3-1	2.5%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
3-2	1.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.31
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
4-0	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.32
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.32
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	6.88×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
Any other score	1.2%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia (2nd half DNB)	55.5%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Empoli (2nd half DNB)	44.5%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia leading at HT (DNB)	51.2%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Empoli leading at HT (DNB)	48.9%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia or draw (X2)	68.9%	69.6%	57.3%	1.22×	1.44
Empoli or Juve Stabia (12)	68.3%	69.6%	68.1%	1.02×	1.44
Empoli or draw (1X)	62.8%	63.7%	74.5%	0.85×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia or draw at HT	75.0%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Empoli or draw at HT	73.8%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Empoli or Juve Stabia at HT	51.2%	48.4%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia or draw (1UP)	68.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Empoli or draw (1UP)	62.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia or draw in 2nd half	73.5%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Empoli or draw in 2nd half	67.0%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Empoli or Juve Stabia in 2nd half	59.4%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.9%	68.3%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	32.1%	31.7%	—	—	3.15

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia (DNB)	54.5%	51.0%	37.4%	1.36×	1.96
Empoli (DNB)	45.5%	49.0%	62.6%	0.78×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia to score first	46.4%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Empoli to score first	41.6%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	12.0%	9.7%	—	—	10.27

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	52.7%	51.3%	46.1%	1.11×	1.95
Both teams to score	47.3%	48.7%	53.9%	0.90×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	45.8%	44.3%	37.9%	1.17×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	32.4%	34.6%	39.4%	0.88×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	14.9%	12.4%	14.7%	0.84×	8.08
Not both score & over 2.5	6.9%	8.3%	8.3%	0.99×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.3%	89.0%	86.1%	1.03×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.7%	11.0%	13.9%	0.79×	9.08

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.2%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.8%	24.9%	—	—	4.01

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	65.2%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Both score 2nd half only	20.6%	21.2%	—	—	4.73
Both score 1st half only	11.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	3.3%	4.9%	—	—	20.50

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.8%	84.8%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	14.2%	15.3%	—	—	6.56

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	54.6%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	45.4%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.3%	47.2%	48.6%	0.97×	2.12
0-1 goals	32.4%	30.7%	26.8%	1.15×	3.25
4-6 goals	18.4%	20.2%	23.5%	0.86×	4.94
7+ goals	0.9%	1.8%	1.4%	1.34×	54.48

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia to score exactly 1	36.2%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
Juve Stabia to score exactly 0	30.4%	33.8%	32.9%	1.03×	2.96
Juve Stabia to score exactly 2	21.6%	22.3%	21.5%	1.03×	4.49
Juve Stabia to score 3+	11.9%	12.9%	9.2%	1.40×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Empoli to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.5%	35.9%	0.99×	2.81
Empoli to score exactly 0	34.3%	32.6%	22.3%	1.46×	3.07
Empoli to score exactly 2	19.6%	18.8%	25.9%	0.73×	5.32
Empoli to score 3+	9.3%	10.4%	16.2%	0.64×	9.64

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.8%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Juve Stabia leading at HT	26.2%	25.5%	—	—	3.93
Empoli leading at HT	25.0%	25.4%	—	—	3.93

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia -1: 1	62.8%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Juve Stabia -1: X	20.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Juve Stabia -1: 2	16.5%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia (0:1)	68.9%	65.3%	57.3%	1.14×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	18.4%	17.8%	23.2%	0.77×	5.61
Empoli (0:1)	12.7%	13.7%	19.7%	0.70×	7.30

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia (0:2)	87.3%	87.1%	80.3%	1.08×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.9%	7.7%	13.1%	0.59×	13.04
Empoli (0:2)	3.8%	3.7%	6.7%	0.56×	26.68

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia (0:3)	96.2%	96.6%	93.3%	1.04×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.9%	2.4%	4.6%	0.52×	42.01
Empoli (0:3)	0.9%	2.4%	2.2%	1.06×	42.10

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia (0:4)	99.1%	98.1%	97.8%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	1.4%	0.89×	81.82
Empoli (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.0%	1.23×	81.88

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Empoli (1:0)	62.8%	65.3%	74.5%	0.88×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	20.6%	21.7%	15.7%	1.38×	4.62
Juve Stabia (1:0)	16.5%	17.1%	10.0%	1.72×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Empoli (2:0)	83.5%	84.6%	90.0%	0.94×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.1%	10.3%	6.5%	1.59×	9.73
Juve Stabia (2:0)	5.5%	6.4%	3.6%	1.77×	15.68

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.3%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Halves equal	30.3%	30.4%	—	—	3.29
1st half highest scoring	25.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Empoli to concede	69.6%	66.7%	67.1%	0.99×	1.50
Empoli clean sheet	30.4%	33.3%	32.9%	1.01×	3.01

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Empoli clean sheet in 1st half	62.1%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Empoli to concede in 1st half	37.9%	36.9%	—	—	2.71

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Empoli to concede in 2nd half	51.1%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Empoli clean sheet in 2nd half	48.9%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Empoli over 2.5 corners	80.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Empoli under 6.5 corners	75.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Empoli over 3.5 corners	66.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Empoli under 5.5 corners	63.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Empoli over 4.5 corners	50.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Empoli under 4.5 corners	49.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Empoli over 5.5 corners	36.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Empoli under 3.5 corners	33.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Empoli over 6.5 corners	24.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Empoli under 2.5 corners	19.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Empoli under 3.5 goals	97.6%	96.4%	95.9%	1.01×	1.04
Empoli under 2.5 goals	90.7%	92.2%	83.8%	1.10×	1.09
Empoli under 1.5 goals	71.0%	74.2%	58.0%	1.28×	1.35
Empoli over 0.5 goals	65.7%	67.9%	77.7%	0.87×	1.47
Empoli under 0.5 goals	34.3%	32.1%	22.3%	1.44×	3.12
Empoli over 1.5 goals	29.0%	25.8%	42.0%	0.61×	3.88
Empoli over 2.5 goals	9.3%	7.8%	16.2%	0.48×	12.82
Empoli over 3.5 goals	2.4%	3.6%	4.1%	0.88×	27.58

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Empoli under 1.5 in 1st half	92.2%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
Empoli under 0.5 in 1st half	63.1%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Empoli over 0.5 in 1st half	36.9%	35.5%	—	—	2.82
Empoli over 1.5 in 1st half	7.8%	5.3%	—	—	18.98

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Empoli scores equally in both	44.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Empoli scores more in 2nd half	32.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Empoli scores more in 1st half	22.7%	21.1%	—	—	4.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia (home no bet)	54.0%	51.5%	44.5%	1.16×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	46.0%	48.5%	55.5%	0.87×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Empoli even goals	55.9%	55.3%	50.9%	1.09×	1.81
Empoli odd goals	44.1%	44.7%	49.1%	0.91×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	39.5%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
HT 0-1	18.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-0	17.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	8.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 0-2	4.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.11
HT 2-0	4.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
Any other HT score	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.25
HT 1-2	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.27
HT 2-1	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.27
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	21.4%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Juve Stabia at HT / Juve Stabia at FT	19.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Empoli at HT / Empoli at FT	17.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Juve Stabia at FT	15.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Empoli at FT	12.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Empoli at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.53
Juve Stabia at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Empoli at HT / Juve Stabia at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.94
Juve Stabia at HT / Empoli at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia to score last	46.4%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Empoli to score last	41.6%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	12.0%	9.1%	—	—	10.95

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.0%	91.4%	—	—	1.09
Juve Stabia to lead by 1 at any time	52.2%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Empoli to lead by 1 at any time	46.7%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	38.3%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Juve Stabia to lead by 2 at any time	21.3%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Empoli to lead by 2 at any time	17.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	11.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.45
Juve Stabia to lead by 3 at any time	6.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.07
Empoli to lead by 3 at any time	4.8%	1.7%	—	—	60.60

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Empoli most corners	48.5%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Juve Stabia most corners	40.3%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.2%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.1%	83.4%	82.1%	1.02×	1.20
1-3 goals	68.7%	68.8%	66.3%	1.04×	1.45
2-6 goals	66.7%	68.8%	72.0%	0.96×	1.45
2-5 goals	64.8%	63.3%	69.6%	0.91×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.6%	59.1%	64.4%	0.92×	1.69
1-2 goals	48.7%	48.4%	43.5%	1.11×	2.06
2-3 goals	48.3%	48.4%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06
3-6 goals	38.5%	39.2%	46.3%	0.85×	2.55
3-5 goals	36.6%	39.2%	44.0%	0.89×	2.55
3-4 goals	31.4%	35.2%	38.7%	0.91×	2.84
4-6 goals	18.4%	18.8%	23.5%	0.80×	5.31
4-5 goals	16.5%	18.8%	21.2%	0.89×	5.31
5-6 goals	7.1%	8.9%	7.7%	1.15×	11.26
7+ goals	0.9%	2.5%	1.4%	1.86×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juve Stabia never behind	41.3%	48.7%	—	—	2.06
Empoli never behind	35.8%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.3%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.7%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	41.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.2%	95.4%	96.3%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.1%	92.3%	91.0%	1.01×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.0%	87.6%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	80.7%	82.3%	75.2%	1.09×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	67.6%	66.3%	73.2%	0.91×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	60.6%	61.7%	52.4%	1.18×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	39.4%	38.3%	47.6%	0.81×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	32.4%	33.7%	26.8%	1.26×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	19.3%	17.7%	24.8%	0.71×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	12.0%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	7.9%	7.7%	9.0%	0.86×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	2.8%	4.6%	3.7%	1.23×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.1%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.1%	97.2%	96.1%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.1%	92.4%	89.3%	1.03×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	75.9%	75.9%	67.9%	1.12×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	54.8%	51.9%	64.0%	0.81×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	45.2%	48.1%	36.0%	1.34×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	24.1%	24.1%	32.1%	0.75×	4.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.9%	7.6%	10.7%	0.71×	13.17
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.9%	2.8%	3.9%	0.71×	35.60
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.9%	2.8%	1.4%	2.00×	35.66

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.1%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	75.6%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.5%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	39.5%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Over 1.5 in 1st half	24.4%	21.9%	—	—	4.57
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.9%	7.2%	—	—	13.98

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	72.9%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.3%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	38.7%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	27.1%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	14.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Empoli not to score in both halves	83.2%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Juve Stabia not to score in both halves	80.6%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Juve Stabia to score in both halves	19.4%	15.8%	—	—	6.34
Empoli to score in both halves	16.8%	15.7%	—	—	6.39

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	47.3%	50.7%	53.9%	0.94×	1.97
Only Juve Stabia scores	22.3%	22.2%	13.3%	1.67×	4.50
Only Empoli scores	18.4%	16.0%	23.9%	0.67×	6.23
Neither team scores	12.0%	11.0%	9.1%	1.21×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.2%	24.9%	25.8%	0.97×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	20.4%	22.6%	17.8%	1.27×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	20.1%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 0 goals	12.0%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.26
Exactly 4 goals	11.4%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	5.1%	7.6%	5.4%	1.42×	13.14
6 or more goals	2.8%	4.5%	3.7%	1.20×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	39.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	17.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
3+ goals in 1st half	6.9%	7.2%	—	—	13.98

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	38.7%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
1 goal in 2nd half	34.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
No goals in 2nd half	27.1%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Empoli not to win both halves	93.2%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Juve Stabia not to win both halves	91.1%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Juve Stabia to win both halves	8.9%	5.9%	—	—	17.02
Empoli to win both halves	6.8%	5.8%	—	—	17.16

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Empoli to win neither half	55.4%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Juve Stabia to win either half	50.3%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Juve Stabia to win neither half	49.7%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Empoli to win either half	44.6%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Empoli not to win to nil	81.6%	83.1%	76.1%	1.09×	1.20
Juve Stabia not to win to nil	77.7%	78.1%	86.7%	0.90×	1.28
Juve Stabia to win to nil	22.3%	21.9%	13.3%	1.64×	4.57
Empoli to win to nil	18.4%	16.9%	23.9%	0.71×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	31.7%	27.7%	31.9%	0.87×	3.61
Juve Stabia by 1	20.6%	24.1%	15.7%	1.54×	4.15
Empoli by 1	18.4%	17.0%	23.2%	0.74×	5.87
Juve Stabia by 2	11.1%	11.8%	6.5%	1.82×	8.51
Empoli by 2	8.9%	7.2%	13.1%	0.55×	13.90
Juve Stabia by 3+	5.5%	7.2%	3.6%	1.99×	13.92
Empoli by 3+	3.8%	2.7%	6.7%	0.40×	36.85