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Empoli v Napoli — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 October 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

0–1
1.00 – 1.32 xG
Shots
11 – 9
On target
4 – 1
Shots in box
6 – 7
xG per shot
0.09 – 0.15
Set-piece xG
0.07 – 0.94
Goals − xG
-1.00 – -0.32
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.71.11.50'15'30'45'60'75'90'Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 62' — goal
Empoli 1.00 xGNapoli 1.32 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Sebastiano Esposito 10' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Giuseppe Pezzella 12' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Jacopo Fazzini 17' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Sebastiano Esposito 18' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Giovanni Di Lorenzo 20' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, From Corner)Alessandro Buongiorno 25' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Romelu Lukaku 25' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, From Corner)Faustino Anjorin 29' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Sebastiano Esposito 30' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Lorenzo Colombo 34' — Missed Shot (0.58 xG, Open Play)Jacopo Fazzini 38' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Mattia Viti 44' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Mattia Viti 44' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Sebastiano Esposito 53' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Franck Zambo 58' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Giovanni Simeone 59' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 62' — Goal (0.76 xG, )Scott McTominay 67' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Billy Gilmour 69' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)David Neres 93' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)
Empoli attacking right Napoli attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
10' Empoli Sebastiano Esposito 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Lorenzo Colombo
12' Empoli Giuseppe Pezzella 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Emmanuel Gyasi
17' Empoli Jacopo Fazzini 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Lorenzo Colombo
18' Empoli Sebastiano Esposito 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Saved Shot Saba Goglichidze
20' Napoli Giovanni Di Lorenzo 0.07 From Corner Missed Shot Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
25' Napoli Alessandro Buongiorno 0.02 From Corner Blocked Shot Matteo Politano
25' Napoli Romelu Lukaku 0.09 From Corner Missed Shot Alessandro Buongiorno
29' Empoli Faustino Anjorin 0.01 Set Piece Left Foot Missed Shot Giuseppe Pezzella
30' Empoli Sebastiano Esposito 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Lorenzo Colombo
34' Empoli Lorenzo Colombo 0.58 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Faustino Anjorin
38' Empoli Jacopo Fazzini 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Sebastiano Esposito
44' Empoli Mattia Viti 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
44' Empoli Mattia Viti 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Lorenzo Colombo
53' Empoli Sebastiano Esposito 0.04 Direct Freekick Right Foot Blocked Shot
58' Napoli Franck Zambo 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Romelu Lukaku
59' Napoli Giovanni Simeone 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Giovanni Di Lorenzo
62' Napoli Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 0.76 Right Foot Goal
67' Napoli Scott McTominay 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Giovanni Simeone
69' Napoli Billy Gilmour 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Giovanni Simeone
93' Napoli David Neres 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Giovanni Simeone

Players

Empoli

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Sebastiano Esposito FW 90 0 0 4 1 0.14 0.12 0.23
Mattia Viti DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.08 0.00 0.12
Giuseppe Pezzella ML 90 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.01 0.07
Ardian Ismajli DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Devis Vásquez GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Emmanuel Gyasi MR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.03
Lorenzo Colombo FW 86 0 0 1 4 0.58 0.18 0.76
Faustino Anjorin MC 79 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.58 0.64
Saba Goglichidze DC 79 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.07
Jacopo Fazzini MC 78 0 0 2 0 0.17 0.00 0.23
Alberto Grassi DMC 72 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.65
Ola Solbakken Sub 18 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Emmanuel Ekong Sub 12 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Liam Henderson Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nicolas Haas Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ismael Konaté Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Napoli

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Scott McTominay MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.11 0.00 0.13
Giovanni Di Lorenzo DR 90 0 0 1 1 0.07 0.12 0.14
Alessandro Buongiorno DC 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.09 0.25
Billy Gilmour MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.13
Franck Zambo MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.26
Amir Rrahmani DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.25
Elia Caprile GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Matteo Politano FWR 87 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.25
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia FWL 76 1 0 1 1 0.76 0.07 0.00
Romelu Lukaku FW 59 0 0 1 1 0.09 0.01 0.01
Leonardo Spinazzola DL 59 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Giovanni Simeone Sub 31 0 0 1 3 0.12 0.25 0.36
Mathías Olivera Sub 31 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.25
David Neres Sub 14 0 0 1 0 0.12 0.00 0.12
Pasquale Mazzocchi Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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