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Empoli v Udinese — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 25 November 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

1–1
0.17 – 1.09 xG
Shots
4 – 16
On target
2 – 3
Shots in box
0 – 13
xG per shot
0.04 – 0.07
Set-piece xG
0.02 – 0.54
Goals − xG
+0.83 – -0.09
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.30.60.91.20'15'30'45'60'75'90'Pietro Pellegri 22' — goalKeinan Davis 75' — goal
Empoli 0.17 xGUdinese 1.09 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Liberato Cacace 21' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Pietro Pellegri 22' — Goal (0.06 xG, Open Play)Florian Thauvin 33' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Jaka Bijol 41' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Florian Thauvin 42' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Sandi Lovric 42' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Sandi Lovric 43' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Souleymane Isaak Touré 47' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, From Corner)Youssef Maleh 53' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Lorenzo Lucca 64' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Sandi Lovric 64' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Lorenzo Lucca 71' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Souleymane Isaak Touré 72' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Florian Thauvin 74' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Keinan Davis 75' — Goal (0.31 xG, From Corner)Lorenzo Lucca 81' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Lorenzo Lucca 86' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Jesper Karlström 90' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Set Piece)Youssef Maleh 92' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Lorenzo Lucca 93' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)
Empoli attacking right Udinese attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
21' Empoli Liberato Cacace 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Youssef Maleh
22' Empoli Pietro Pellegri 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Goal Liberato Cacace
33' Udinese Florian Thauvin 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Jesper Karlström
41' Udinese Jaka Bijol 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Keinan Davis
42' Udinese Florian Thauvin 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Sandi Lovric
42' Udinese Sandi Lovric 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
43' Udinese Sandi Lovric 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
47' Udinese Souleymane Isaak Touré 0.11 From Corner Missed Shot Florian Thauvin
53' Empoli Youssef Maleh 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
64' Udinese Lorenzo Lucca 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
64' Udinese Sandi Lovric 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
71' Udinese Lorenzo Lucca 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
72' Udinese Souleymane Isaak Touré 0.04 From Corner Saved Shot Sandi Lovric
74' Udinese Florian Thauvin 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Keinan Davis
75' Udinese Keinan Davis 0.31 From Corner Goal Sandi Lovric
81' Udinese Lorenzo Lucca 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Jesper Karlström
86' Udinese Lorenzo Lucca 0.01 From Corner Missed Shot Florian Thauvin
90' Udinese Jesper Karlström 0.07 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot Jaka Bijol
92' Empoli Youssef Maleh 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Ola Solbakken
93' Udinese Lorenzo Lucca 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Keinan Davis

Players

Empoli

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Youssef Maleh MC 90 0 0 2 1 0.08 0.03 0.09
Liberato Cacace AMC 90 0 1 1 1 0.03 0.06 0.15
Ardian Ismajli DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Devis Vásquez GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Emmanuel Gyasi DMR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Saba Goglichidze DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mattia Viti DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Liam Henderson MC 84 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Pietro Pellegri FW 75 1 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.08
Lorenzo Colombo AMC 67 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Giuseppe Pezzella DML 67 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Ola Solbakken Sub 23 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.07
Faustino Anjorin Sub 23 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Sebastiano Esposito Sub 15 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Emmanuel Ekong Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Udinese

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Keinan Davis FW 90 1 0 1 3 0.31 0.17 0.17
Souleymane Isaak Touré DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.15 0.00 0.14
Jaka Bijol DC 90 0 0 1 1 0.08 0.07 0.23
Jesper Karlström MC 90 0 0 1 2 0.07 0.07 0.07
Maduka Okoye GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kingsley Ehizibue DMR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Florian Thauvin FW 89 0 0 3 2 0.15 0.12 0.15
Sandi Lovric MC 82 0 1 3 3 0.12 0.41 0.18
Oier Zarraga MC 64 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Lautaro Giannetti DC 47 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Hassane Kamara DML 47 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Lorenzo Lucca Sub 43 0 0 5 0 0.22 0.00 0.21
Jordan Zemura Sub 43 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp Sub 26 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.14
Arthur Atta Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Brenner Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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