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Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky v Livyi Bereh Kyiv — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · UKR-Premier League · 2627

UKR-Premier League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky win
31.3%
model 31.8%
Draw
37.4%
model 35.3%
Livyi Bereh Kyiv win
31.3%
model 32.9%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (7,697 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 0-0 16.1%
  2. 1-1 15.6%
  3. 0-1 11.9%
  4. 1-0 11.6%
  5. 0-2 6.9%

Goals

Over 2.531.4% Under 2.568.6%
BTTS yes41.2% BTTS no58.8%
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky 1+62.1% Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky 2+25.4%
Livyi Bereh Kyiv 1+63.0% Livyi Bereh Kyiv 2+26.2%

Expected goals 0.97 – 0.99. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
22/100
Data quality
20/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)
Over/Under (whole line) · usually 33%
58.1% fair odds 1.72
strong signal · 7646 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
1-5 goals
Multi goal · usually 86%
82.1% fair odds 1.22
moderate signal · 20147 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Livyi Bereh Kyiv have allowed 1.35.
  • At home Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky have only 0 matches on record.
  • Livyi Bereh Kyiv have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this

The price

The draw is the single most likely outcome at 37.4%, with Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky at 31.3% and Livyi Bereh Kyiv at 31.3%. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.97 for Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky and 0.99 for Livyi Bereh Kyiv.

Why Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky

Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Livyi Bereh Kyiv have allowed 1.35. At home Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 37.4%. A combined 1.96 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 0.97 to 0.99.

Why Livyi Bereh Kyiv can win

Livyi Bereh Kyiv have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky have allowed 1.35. Away from home Livyi Bereh Kyiv average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Livyi Bereh Kyiv, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Livyi Bereh Kyiv: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

A draw is the model's most likely outcome at 37.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-0 at 16.1%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 0.97–0.99 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 0.87–0.84 0-0 20% 25% 35%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 35.3% 37.7% 25.0% 1.51× 2.66
Livyi Bereh Kyiv to win 32.9% 31.5% 30.6% 1.03× 3.17
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky to win 31.8% 31.5% 44.4% 0.71× 3.17
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv & not both score 21.8% 21.7% 16.0% 1.36× 4.61
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky & not both score 21.0% 21.7% 24.4% 0.89× 4.61
Draw & both teams score 19.2% 18.1% 17.7% 1.03× 5.52
Draw & not both score 16.1% 18.1% 7.3% 2.48× 5.52
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky & both teams score 10.8% 12.7% 20.1% 0.63× 7.88
Livyi Bereh Kyiv & both teams score 11.1% 12.7% 14.6% 0.87× 7.88
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw & under 2.5 31.6% 31.8% 18.8% 1.69× 3.15
Draw & under 3.5 31.6% 31.8% 18.8% 1.69× 3.15
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky & under 3.5 26.9% 26.4% 30.3% 0.87× 3.79
Livyi Bereh Kyiv & under 3.5 27.8% 26.4% 21.6% 1.22× 3.79
Livyi Bereh Kyiv & over 1.5 21.0% 21.8% 23.1% 0.95× 4.58
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky & over 1.5 20.2% 21.8% 34.1% 0.64× 4.58
Draw & over 1.5 19.2% 17.7% 17.7% 1.00× 5.64
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky & under 2.5 18.2% 17.7% 17.5% 1.01× 5.64
Livyi Bereh Kyiv & under 2.5 18.8% 17.7% 12.2% 1.45× 5.64
Draw & under 1.5 16.1% 17.7% 7.3% 2.43× 5.64
Livyi Bereh Kyiv & over 2.5 14.1% 12.4% 18.4% 0.68× 8.05
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky & under 1.5 11.6% 12.4% 10.4% 1.20× 8.06
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky & over 2.5 13.6% 12.4% 26.9% 0.46× 8.05
Livyi Bereh Kyiv & under 1.5 11.9% 12.4% 7.5% 1.65× 8.06
Livyi Bereh Kyiv & over 3.5 5.1% 7.6% 9.0% 0.84× 13.21
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky & over 3.5 4.9% 4.4% 14.2% 0.31× 22.79
Draw & over 2.5 3.6% 4.4% 6.2% 0.71× 22.79
Draw & over 3.5 3.6% 4.4% 6.2% 0.71× 22.79
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv (1UP) 46.7% 48.1% 50.4% 0.95× 2.08
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky (1UP) 45.7% 48.0% 59.8% 0.80× 2.08
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv (2UP) 32.9% 35.6% 34.2% 1.04× 2.81
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky (2UP) 31.8% 35.5% 45.2% 0.78× 2.82
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 44.4% 41.5% 32.7% 1.27× 2.41
Livyi Bereh Kyiv to win 2nd half 29.1% 28.4% 29.7% 0.96× 3.53
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky to win 2nd half 26.4% 28.3% 37.7% 0.75× 3.54
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv under 1.5 in 2nd half 88.0% 85.9% 82.3% 1.04× 1.16
Livyi Bereh Kyiv under 0.5 in 2nd half 55.1% 54.8% 46.6% 1.18× 1.83
Livyi Bereh Kyiv over 0.5 in 2nd half 44.9% 45.2% 53.4% 0.85× 2.21
Livyi Bereh Kyiv over 1.5 in 2nd half 12.0% 14.1% 17.7% 0.80× 7.11
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky under 1.5 in 2nd half 89.3% 86.5% 77.4% 1.12× 1.16
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky under 0.5 in 2nd half 57.5% 58.5% 41.4% 1.41× 1.71
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky over 0.5 in 2nd half 42.5% 41.5% 58.7% 0.71× 2.41
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky over 1.5 in 2nd half 10.7% 13.5% 22.6% 0.60× 7.42
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv (+2.5) 96.5% 96.6% 90.1% 1.07× 1.04
Livyi Bereh Kyiv (+1.5) 87.5% 87.4% 77.7% 1.12× 1.14
Livyi Bereh Kyiv (+0.5) 68.2% 67.9% 55.6% 1.22× 1.47
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky (+0.5) 67.1% 67.9% 69.4% 0.98× 1.47
Livyi Bereh Kyiv (-0.5) 32.9% 32.1% 30.6% 1.05× 3.12
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky (-0.5) 31.8% 32.1% 44.4% 0.72× 3.12
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky (-1.5) 12.5% 12.6% 22.3% 0.57× 7.94
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky (-2.5) 3.5% 3.4% 9.9% 0.34× 29.63
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv to concede 62.1% 64.9% 76.7% 0.85× 1.54
Livyi Bereh Kyiv clean sheet 37.9% 35.1% 23.3% 1.51× 2.85
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv clean sheet in 1st half 65.9% 69.2% 51.8% 1.34× 1.45
Livyi Bereh Kyiv to concede in 1st half 34.1% 30.8% 48.2% 0.64× 3.24
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv clean sheet in 2nd half 57.5% 58.8% 41.4% 1.42× 1.70
Livyi Bereh Kyiv to concede in 2nd half 42.5% 41.2% 58.7% 0.70× 2.43
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv under 3.5 goals 98.1% 97.3% 95.7% 1.02× 1.03
Livyi Bereh Kyiv under 2.5 goals 92.1% 92.2% 87.0% 1.06× 1.09
Livyi Bereh Kyiv under 1.5 goals 73.8% 71.6% 66.3% 1.08× 1.40
Livyi Bereh Kyiv over 0.5 goals 62.9% 63.6% 68.3% 0.93× 1.57
Livyi Bereh Kyiv under 0.5 goals 37.1% 36.4% 31.7% 1.15× 2.75
Livyi Bereh Kyiv over 1.5 goals 26.2% 28.4% 33.7% 0.84× 3.52
Livyi Bereh Kyiv over 2.5 goals 7.9% 7.8% 13.0% 0.61× 12.75
Livyi Bereh Kyiv over 3.5 goals 1.9% 2.7% 4.3% 0.62× 37.14
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv under 1.5 in 1st half 93.9% 93.9% 89.4% 1.05× 1.07
Livyi Bereh Kyiv under 0.5 in 1st half 67.2% 67.9% 59.0% 1.15× 1.47
Livyi Bereh Kyiv over 0.5 in 1st half 32.8% 32.1% 41.0% 0.78× 3.11
Livyi Bereh Kyiv over 1.5 in 1st half 6.1% 6.1% 10.6% 0.58× 16.28
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv scores equally in both 46.4% 45.5% 40.6% 1.12× 2.20
Livyi Bereh Kyiv scores more in 2nd half 33.5% 33.4% 36.5% 0.91× 3.00
Livyi Bereh Kyiv scores more in 1st half 20.1% 23.5% 22.9% 1.02× 4.26
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 52.6% 52.4% 36.0% 1.46× 1.91
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky (away no bet) 47.4% 47.6% 64.0% 0.74× 2.10
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv even goals 56.9% 56.4% 55.7% 1.01× 1.77
Livyi Bereh Kyiv odd goals 43.1% 43.6% 44.3% 0.99× 2.29
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 93.7% 90.8% 82.7% 1.10× 1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals 6.3% 9.2% 17.3% 0.53× 10.91
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals 53.7% 53.2% 33.8% 1.57× 1.88
Not both halves under 1.5 46.3% 46.8% 66.2% 0.71× 2.14
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 39.1% 37.1% 58.6% 0.63× 2.70
Livyi Bereh Kyiv to score 2+ in a row 21.2% 21.7% 28.6% 0.76× 4.61
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky to score 2+ in a row 20.5% 21.7% 36.9% 0.59× 4.61
Either team to score 3+ in a row 10.4% 12.8% 22.9% 0.56× 7.79
Livyi Bereh Kyiv to score 3+ in a row 5.4% 7.7% 9.1% 0.84× 13.01
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky to score 3+ in a row 5.1% 7.7% 14.2% 0.54× 13.02
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-0 16.1% 15.5% 7.3% 2.12× 6.45
1-1 15.6% 15.5% 11.5% 1.35× 6.45
0-1 11.9% 11.2% 7.5% 1.49× 8.91
1-0 11.6% 11.2% 10.4% 1.08× 8.91
0-2 6.9% 7.4% 4.7% 1.58× 13.45
1-2 6.7% 7.4% 7.0% 1.06× 13.45
2-0 6.6% 7.4% 7.2% 1.04× 13.45
2-1 6.6% 7.4% 8.8% 0.84× 13.45
2-3 1.1% 1.7% 2.1% 0.83× 58.35
2-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.6% 2.89× 58.35
3-0 2.1% 1.7% 3.9% 0.44× 58.34
3-1 2.1% 1.7% 4.2% 0.41× 58.34
3-2 1.1% 1.7% 2.6% 0.66× 58.35
3-3 0.3% 1.7% 1.0% 1.72× 58.35
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.4% 4.65× 58.35
4-0 0.5% 1.7% 1.8% 0.98× 58.35
4-1 0.5% 1.7% 1.7% 1.03× 58.35
4-2 0.3% 1.7% 0.9% 1.87× 58.35
4-3 0.1% 1.7% 0.4% 4.62× 58.35
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.1% 16.16× 58.35
Any other score 0.7% 1.7% 4.1% 0.42× 58.35
0-3 2.3% 1.7% 2.3% 0.74× 58.34
0-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.9% 1.93× 58.35
1-3 2.2% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 58.34
1-4 0.6% 1.7% 1.0% 1.69× 58.35
2-2 3.3% 1.7% 5.1% 0.34× 58.34
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv (2nd half DNB) 52.4% 51.3% 44.1% 1.16× 1.95
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky (2nd half DNB) 47.6% 48.7% 55.9% 0.87× 2.05
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky leading at HT (DNB) 51.6% 54.5% 56.7% 0.96× 1.83
Livyi Bereh Kyiv leading at HT (DNB) 48.4% 45.5% 43.3% 1.05× 2.20
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv or draw (X2) 68.2% 68.5% 55.6% 1.23× 1.46
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky or draw (1X) 67.1% 68.5% 69.4% 0.99× 1.46
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky or Livyi Bereh Kyiv (12) 64.7% 62.3% 75.0% 0.83× 1.60
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky or draw at HT 77.1% 76.8% 74.1% 1.04× 1.30
Livyi Bereh Kyiv or draw at HT 75.6% 76.7% 66.2% 1.16× 1.30
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky or Livyi Bereh Kyiv at HT 47.4% 50.7% 59.7% 0.85× 1.97
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv or draw (1UP) 68.2% 71.4% 63.9% 1.12× 1.40
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky or draw (1UP) 67.1% 71.3% 74.2% 0.96× 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv or draw in 2nd half 73.6% 71.7% 62.3% 1.15× 1.39
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky or draw in 2nd half 70.9% 71.6% 70.3% 1.02× 1.40
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky or Livyi Bereh Kyiv in 2nd half 55.6% 58.5% 67.3% 0.87× 1.71
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 71.6% 73.3% 58.9% 1.24× 1.37
Neither half drawn 28.4% 26.7% 41.1% 0.65× 3.74
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv (DNB) 50.9% 51.6% 40.8% 1.27× 1.94
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky (DNB) 49.1% 48.4% 59.2% 0.82× 2.07
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv to score first 42.4% 43.8% 42.9% 1.02× 2.29
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky to score first 41.5% 43.7% 51.2% 0.85× 2.29
No goal scored 16.1% 16.1% 5.9% 2.72× 6.22
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 58.8% 55.4% 47.6% 1.16× 1.81
Both teams to score 41.2% 44.6% 52.4% 0.85× 2.24
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 53.1% 48.5% 37.1% 1.31× 2.06
Both score & over 2.5 25.6% 31.4% 40.9% 0.77× 3.18
Both score & under 2.5 15.6% 17.6% 11.5% 1.53× 5.69
Not both score & over 2.5 5.8% 8.4% 10.6% 0.80× 11.86
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 93.4% 89.9% 86.0% 1.05× 1.11
Both teams to score 2+ 6.6% 10.1% 14.0% 0.72× 9.91
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 80.2% 73.1% 70.2% 1.04× 1.37
Both teams to score in 2nd half 19.8% 26.9% 29.8% 0.90× 3.72
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 70.8% 64.8% 57.8% 1.12× 1.54
Both score 2nd half only 17.6% 18.4% 23.8% 0.78× 5.42
Both score 1st half only 9.4% 7.0% 12.5% 0.56× 14.37
Both score in both halves 2.1% 4.8% 6.0% 0.80× 20.76
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 88.5% 84.7% 81.5% 1.04× 1.18
Both teams to score by HT 11.5% 15.3% 18.5% 0.83× 6.55
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 60.9% 63.3% 41.1% 1.54× 1.58
A goal in each half 39.1% 36.7% 58.9% 0.62× 2.73
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 46.8% 46.5% 45.4% 1.02× 2.15
0-1 goals 39.5% 35.3% 25.2% 1.40× 2.83
4-6 goals 13.2% 14.9% 27.0% 0.55× 6.71
7+ goals 0.4% 2.0% 2.4% 0.83× 49.81
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv to score exactly 0 37.1% 36.0% 31.7% 1.14× 2.78
Livyi Bereh Kyiv to score exactly 1 36.8% 36.0% 34.6% 1.04× 2.78
Livyi Bereh Kyiv to score exactly 2 18.3% 18.2% 20.8% 0.88× 5.49
Livyi Bereh Kyiv to score 3+ 7.9% 8.6% 13.0% 0.66× 11.63
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky to score exactly 0 37.9% 36.6% 23.3% 1.57× 2.73
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky to score exactly 1 36.8% 36.6% 33.1% 1.11× 2.73
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky to score exactly 2 17.9% 18.1% 24.0% 0.76× 5.51
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky to score 3+ 7.5% 8.9% 19.7% 0.45× 11.27
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 52.6% 49.4% 40.3% 1.22× 2.03
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky leading at HT 24.4% 23.3% 33.8% 0.69× 4.30
Livyi Bereh Kyiv leading at HT 22.9% 23.2% 25.9% 0.90× 4.31
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv -1: 1 67.1% 67.0% 1.49
Livyi Bereh Kyiv -1: X 19.8% 17.8% 5.61
Livyi Bereh Kyiv -1: 2 13.2% 14.5% 6.90
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv (0:1) 68.2% 64.6% 55.6% 1.16× 1.55
Draw (0:1) 19.3% 18.2% 22.2% 0.82× 5.49
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky (0:1) 12.5% 13.1% 22.3% 0.59× 7.62
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv (0:2) 87.5% 86.7% 77.7% 1.12× 1.15
Draw (0:2) 9.0% 7.7% 12.3% 0.62× 12.96
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky (0:2) 3.5% 3.5% 9.9% 0.35× 28.48
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv (0:3) 96.5% 96.7% 90.1% 1.07× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 2.7% 2.6% 5.9% 0.43× 39.17
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky (0:3) 0.8% 2.6% 4.0% 0.63× 39.20
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv (0:4) 99.2% 97.8% 96.0% 1.02× 1.02
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky (0:4) 0.1% 1.4% 1.5% 0.94× 70.77
Draw (0:4) 0.6% 1.4% 2.5% 0.56× 70.75
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky (1:0) 67.1% 69.0% 69.4% 0.99× 1.45
Draw (1:0) 19.8% 17.3% 17.0% 1.02× 5.77
Livyi Bereh Kyiv (1:0) 13.2% 12.6% 13.6% 0.93× 7.97
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky (2:0) 86.8% 88.1% 86.4% 1.02× 1.14
Draw (2:0) 9.4% 6.6% 8.1% 0.81× 15.10
Livyi Bereh Kyiv (2:0) 3.7% 2.8% 5.4% 0.51× 35.89
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 41.8% 48.5% 48.6% 1.00× 2.06
Halves equal 33.6% 27.6% 25.2% 1.10× 3.62
1st half highest scoring 24.6% 23.3% 26.3% 0.89× 4.30
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky to concede 62.9% 65.0% 68.3% 0.95× 1.54
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky clean sheet 37.1% 35.0% 31.7% 1.10× 2.86
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky clean sheet in 1st half 67.2% 67.5% 59.0% 1.14× 1.48
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky to concede in 1st half 32.8% 32.5% 41.0% 0.79× 3.08
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky clean sheet in 2nd half 55.1% 54.5% 46.6% 1.17× 1.83
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky to concede in 2nd half 44.9% 45.5% 53.4% 0.85× 2.20
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky under 3.5 goals 98.3% 96.6% 92.4% 1.05× 1.04
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky under 2.5 goals 92.5% 92.3% 80.3% 1.15× 1.08
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky under 1.5 goals 74.6% 73.1% 56.3% 1.30× 1.37
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky over 0.5 goals 62.1% 62.4% 76.7% 0.81× 1.60
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky under 0.5 goals 37.9% 37.6% 23.3% 1.62× 2.66
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky over 1.5 goals 25.4% 26.9% 43.7% 0.62× 3.71
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky over 2.5 goals 7.5% 7.7% 19.7% 0.39× 13.07
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky over 3.5 goals 1.7% 3.4% 7.6% 0.45× 29.44
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky under 1.5 in 1st half 93.4% 93.4% 85.9% 1.09× 1.07
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky under 0.5 in 1st half 65.9% 69.0% 51.8% 1.33× 1.45
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky over 0.5 in 1st half 34.1% 31.0% 48.2% 0.64× 3.22
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky over 1.5 in 1st half 6.6% 6.6% 14.1% 0.47× 15.17
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky scores equally in both 47.1% 48.7% 37.1% 1.31× 2.05
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky scores more in 2nd half 31.1% 32.1% 38.0% 0.85× 3.11
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky scores more in 1st half 21.8% 23.2% 24.9% 0.93× 4.32
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 51.7% 52.0% 44.9% 1.16× 1.92
Livyi Bereh Kyiv (home no bet) 48.3% 48.0% 55.1% 0.87× 2.08
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky even goals 57.2% 55.6% 52.8% 1.05× 1.80
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky odd goals 42.8% 44.4% 47.2% 0.94× 2.25
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 44.6% 38.3% 29.3% 1.31× 2.61
HT 1-0 18.1% 19.9% 20.7% 0.96× 5.03
HT 0-1 17.2% 19.9% 16.3% 1.22× 5.03
HT 1-1 7.7% 8.0% 10.2% 0.78× 12.54
HT 2-0 3.9% 2.5% 7.1% 0.35× 40.41
HT 0-2 3.5% 2.5% 4.9% 0.51× 40.42
Any other HT score 1.7% 2.5% 4.7% 0.52× 40.51
HT 1-2 1.5% 2.5% 2.8% 0.89× 40.52
HT 2-1 1.5% 2.5% 3.3% 0.75× 40.51
HT 2-2 0.3% 2.5% 0.9% 2.76× 40.57
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 25.4% 25.0% 14.1% 1.77× 4.00
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky at HT / Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky at FT 17.6% 17.3% 25.8% 0.67× 5.78
Livyi Bereh Kyiv at HT / Livyi Bereh Kyiv at FT 17.1% 17.3% 17.4% 0.99× 5.78
Draw at HT / Livyi Bereh Kyiv at FT 14.3% 12.0% 11.6% 1.04× 8.32
Draw at HT / Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky at FT 12.9% 12.0% 14.7% 0.82× 8.32
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky at HT / Draw at FT 5.2% 6.4% 5.1% 1.25× 15.51
Livyi Bereh Kyiv at HT / Draw at FT 4.6% 3.6% 5.6% 0.65× 27.51
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky at HT / Livyi Bereh Kyiv at FT 1.6% 3.6% 3.0% 1.22× 27.59
Livyi Bereh Kyiv at HT / Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky at FT 1.3% 3.6% 2.9% 1.25× 27.60
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv to score last 42.4% 43.4% 42.7% 1.02× 2.30
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky to score last 41.5% 43.4% 51.4% 0.84× 2.30
No goal scored 16.1% 13.8% 5.9% 2.34× 7.23
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 83.9% 86.6% 94.1% 0.92× 1.16
Livyi Bereh Kyiv to lead by 1 at any time 46.7% 46.5% 50.4% 0.92× 2.15
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky to lead by 1 at any time 45.7% 46.5% 59.8% 0.78× 2.15
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 32.8% 31.7% 48.2% 0.66× 3.16
Livyi Bereh Kyiv to lead by 2 at any time 16.8% 17.6% 20.3% 0.87× 5.68
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky to lead by 2 at any time 16.1% 17.6% 28.2% 0.62× 5.69
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 8.8% 7.4% 19.5% 0.38× 13.44
Livyi Bereh Kyiv to lead by 3 at any time 4.6% 2.6% 7.4% 0.36× 37.78
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky to lead by 3 at any time 4.3% 2.6% 12.1% 0.22× 37.85
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 82.4% 82.1% 86.4% 0.95× 1.22
1-4 goals 79.0% 77.9% 78.0% 1.00× 1.28
1-3 goals 70.3% 72.2% 63.3% 1.14× 1.39
2-6 goals 60.0% 62.7% 72.4% 0.87× 1.60
2-5 goals 58.9% 58.9% 68.5% 0.86× 1.70
2-4 goals 55.5% 58.9% 60.1% 0.98× 1.70
1-2 goals 52.6% 52.9% 41.2% 1.28× 1.89
2-3 goals 46.8% 47.4% 45.4% 1.04× 2.11
3-6 goals 30.9% 34.7% 49.0% 0.71× 2.88
3-5 goals 29.8% 28.5% 45.1% 0.63× 3.51
3-4 goals 26.4% 28.5% 36.8% 0.78× 3.51
4-6 goals 13.2% 13.5% 27.0% 0.50× 7.42
4-5 goals 12.1% 13.5% 23.0% 0.59× 7.42
5-6 goals 4.5% 2.3% 12.3% 0.18× 44.19
7+ goals 0.4% 2.3% 2.4% 0.93× 44.30
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Livyi Bereh Kyiv never behind 38.2% 47.4% 40.2% 1.18× 2.11
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky never behind 37.2% 47.3% 49.6% 0.95× 2.11
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 55.1% 51.2% 49.8% 1.03× 1.95
Odd number of goals 44.9% 48.8% 50.2% 0.97× 2.05
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 60.5% 60.6% 53.7% 1.13× 1.65
Odd goals in 1st half 39.5% 39.4% 46.3% 0.85× 2.54
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 56.4% 51.4% 51.1% 1.01× 1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half 43.6% 48.6% 48.9% 0.99× 2.06
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 98.5% 96.0% 93.7% 1.03× 1.04
Under 4.5 goals 95.1% 96.0% 85.3% 1.13× 1.04
Under 3.5 goals 86.4% 87.8% 70.6% 1.24× 1.14
Over 0.5 goals 83.9% 81.6% 92.7% 0.88× 1.23
Under 2.5 goals 68.6% 67.7% 48.5% 1.39× 1.48
Over 1.5 goals 60.5% 62.0% 74.8% 0.83× 1.61
Under 1.5 goals 39.5% 38.0% 25.2% 1.51× 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 31.4% 32.3% 51.5% 0.63× 3.09
Under 0.5 goals 16.1% 18.4% 7.3% 2.52× 5.44
Over 3.5 goals 13.6% 12.2% 29.4% 0.41× 8.21
Over 4.5 goals 4.9% 4.0% 14.7% 0.27× 25.18
Over 5.5 goals 1.5% 4.0% 6.3% 0.63× 25.22
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.6% 97.3% 97.5% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 98.4% 97.3% 93.1% 1.05× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 94.6% 92.0% 82.8% 1.11× 1.09
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 83.4% 81.5% 62.3% 1.31× 1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 55.8% 58.1% 32.9% 1.77× 1.72
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 44.2% 41.9% 67.1% 0.62× 2.39
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 16.6% 18.5% 37.7% 0.49× 5.40
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 5.4% 8.0% 17.2% 0.46× 12.52
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 1.6% 2.7% 6.9% 0.39× 36.71
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.4% 2.7% 2.5% 1.08× 36.73
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 95.0% 97.0% 88.4% 1.10× 1.03
Under 1.5 in 1st half 80.0% 78.1% 66.3% 1.18× 1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half 55.4% 59.5% 70.7% 0.84× 1.68
Under 0.5 in 1st half 44.6% 40.5% 29.3% 1.38× 2.47
Over 1.5 in 1st half 20.0% 21.9% 33.7% 0.65× 4.56
Over 2.5 in 1st half 5.0% 3.0% 11.6% 0.26× 33.79
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 89.0% 85.2% 77.5% 1.10× 1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 67.6% 66.9% 82.3% 0.81× 1.50
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 67.4% 66.9% 50.2% 1.33× 1.50
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 32.6% 33.1% 49.8% 0.67× 3.02
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 32.4% 33.1% 17.7% 1.87× 3.02
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 11.0% 14.8% 22.5% 0.65× 6.78
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky not to score in both halves 85.5% 85.5% 70.5% 1.21× 1.17
Livyi Bereh Kyiv not to score in both halves 85.3% 85.5% 77.6% 1.10× 1.17
Livyi Bereh Kyiv to score in both halves 14.7% 14.5% 22.4% 0.65× 6.90
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky to score in both halves 14.5% 14.5% 29.5% 0.49× 6.91
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 41.2% 45.6% 52.4% 0.87× 2.19
Only Livyi Bereh Kyiv scores 21.8% 21.5% 16.0% 1.35× 4.64
Only Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky scores 21.0% 21.5% 24.4% 0.88× 4.64
Neither team scores 16.1% 16.9% 7.3% 2.31× 5.93
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 29.1% 25.0% 23.3% 1.07× 4.00
Exactly 1 goals 23.5% 22.3% 17.9% 1.24× 4.49
Exactly 3 goals 17.7% 17.6% 22.1% 0.80× 5.68
Exactly 0 goals 16.1% 17.6% 7.3% 2.41× 5.68
Exactly 4 goals 8.7% 7.8% 14.7% 0.53× 12.88
Exactly 5 goals 3.4% 4.0% 8.4% 0.48× 24.73
6 or more goals 1.5% 4.0% 6.3% 0.64× 24.75
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 1st half 44.6% 38.3% 29.3% 1.31× 2.61
1 goal in 1st half 35.4% 36.9% 37.0% 1.00× 2.71
2 goals in 1st half 15.0% 18.8% 22.2% 0.85× 5.33
3+ goals in 1st half 5.0% 3.0% 11.6% 0.26× 33.79
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 2nd half 35.0% 38.6% 32.5% 1.19× 2.59
2+ goals in 2nd half 32.6% 34.3% 49.8% 0.69× 2.91
No goals in 2nd half 32.4% 34.3% 17.7% 1.94× 2.91
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky not to win both halves 93.3% 92.6% 86.8% 1.07× 1.08
Livyi Bereh Kyiv not to win both halves 93.0% 92.6% 91.8% 1.01× 1.08
Livyi Bereh Kyiv to win both halves 7.0% 7.4% 8.2% 0.90× 13.55
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky to win both halves 6.7% 7.4% 13.2% 0.56× 13.56
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky to win neither half 55.9% 58.1% 41.7% 1.39× 1.72
Livyi Bereh Kyiv to win neither half 54.9% 53.0% 52.6% 1.01× 1.89
Livyi Bereh Kyiv to win either half 45.1% 47.0% 47.4% 0.99× 2.13
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky to win either half 44.1% 41.9% 58.3% 0.72× 2.39
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky not to win to nil 79.0% 78.4% 75.6% 1.04× 1.28
Livyi Bereh Kyiv not to win to nil 78.2% 78.4% 84.0% 0.93× 1.28
Livyi Bereh Kyiv to win to nil 21.8% 21.6% 16.0% 1.35× 4.63
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky to win to nil 21.0% 21.6% 24.4% 0.89× 4.63
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 35.3% 35.2% 25.0% 1.41× 2.84
Livyi Bereh Kyiv by 1 19.8% 17.2% 17.0% 1.01× 5.80
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky by 1 19.3% 17.2% 22.2% 0.78× 5.80
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky by 2 9.0% 7.3% 12.3% 0.59× 13.77
Livyi Bereh Kyiv by 2 9.4% 7.3% 8.1% 0.89× 13.76
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilsky by 3+ 3.5% 3.0% 9.9% 0.30× 33.45
Livyi Bereh Kyiv by 3+ 3.7% 3.0% 5.4% 0.55× 33.45
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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