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Espanyol v Athletic Club — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 16 February 2025 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

1–1
1.20 – 0.90 xG
Shots
12 – 14
On target
4 – 4
Shots in box
5 – 8
xG per shot
0.10 – 0.06
Set-piece xG
0.00 – 0.18
Goals − xG
-0.20 – +0.09
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.30.71.01.30'15'30'45'60'75'90'Roberto Fernández 61' — goalOihan Sancet 76' — goal
Espanyol 1.20 xGAthletic Club 0.91 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Jofre Carreras 6' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Javi Puado 8' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Maroan Sannadi 22' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Maroan Sannadi 22' — Saved Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Iñaki Williams 23' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, From Corner)Javi Puado 29' — Missed Shot (0.28 xG, Open Play)Jofre Carreras 32' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Pol Lozano 33' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Oihan Sancet 38' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Carlos Romero 42' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Maroan Sannadi 46' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Alex Berenguer 47' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Beñat Prados 56' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Carlos Romero 57' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Roberto Fernández 61' — Goal (0.56 xG, Open Play)Maroan Sannadi 65' — Missed Shot (0.26 xG, Open Play)Pol Lozano 73' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Jofre Carreras 75' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Oihan Sancet 76' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Oihan Sancet 76' — Goal (0.04 xG, From Corner)Javi Puado 82' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Iñaki Williams 84' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Yuri 86' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Nico Williams 89' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Pere Milla 90' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Iñaki Williams 94' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)
Espanyol attacking right Athletic Club attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
6' Espanyol Jofre Carreras 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Alex Kral
8' Espanyol Javi Puado 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Jofre Carreras
22' Athletic Club Maroan Sannadi 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Oihan Sancet
22' Athletic Club Maroan Sannadi 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
23' Athletic Club Iñaki Williams 0.10 From Corner Saved Shot Mikel Jauregizar
29' Espanyol Javi Puado 0.28 Open Play Missed Shot Jofre Carreras
32' Espanyol Jofre Carreras 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
33' Espanyol Pol Lozano 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Javi Puado
38' Athletic Club Oihan Sancet 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Yuri
42' Espanyol Carlos Romero 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Javi Puado
46' Athletic Club Maroan Sannadi 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Alex Berenguer
47' Athletic Club Alex Berenguer 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Maroan Sannadi
56' Athletic Club Beñat Prados 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Yuri
57' Espanyol Carlos Romero 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
61' Espanyol Roberto Fernández 0.56 Open Play Right Foot Goal
65' Athletic Club Maroan Sannadi 0.26 Open Play Missed Shot
73' Espanyol Pol Lozano 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Carlos Romero
75' Espanyol Jofre Carreras 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
76' Athletic Club Oihan Sancet 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
76' Athletic Club Oihan Sancet 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Goal Nico Williams
82' Espanyol Javi Puado 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
84' Athletic Club Iñaki Williams 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Nico Williams
86' Athletic Club Yuri 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Nico Williams
89' Athletic Club Nico Williams 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Yuri
90' Espanyol Pere Milla 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
94' Athletic Club Iñaki Williams 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot De Marcos

Players

Athletic Club

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Oihan Sancet AMC 90 1 0 3 1 0.17 0.09 0.22
Iñaki Williams AMR 90 0 0 3 0 0.17 0.00 0.03
Yuri DL 90 0 0 1 3 0.01 0.09 0.10
Mikel Jauregizar DMC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.10 0.06
Unai Simón GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dani Vivian DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Maroan Sannadi FW 81 0 0 4 1 0.48 0.02 0.50
Andoni Gorosabel DR 73 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Yeray Álvarez DC 73 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Beñat Prados DMC 68 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.06
Alex Berenguer AML 68 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.02 0.07
Nico Williams Sub 22 0 1 1 3 0.03 0.10 0.05
Mikel Vesga Sub 22 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Aitor Paredes Sub 17 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
De Marcos Sub 17 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.03
Gorka Guruzeta Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Espanyol

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Javi Puado AML 90 0 0 3 2 0.34 0.05 0.39
Carlos Romero DL 90 0 0 2 1 0.06 0.03 0.10
Joan García GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Marash Kumbulla DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Omar El Hilali DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.34
Alex Kral AMC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.35
Leandro Cabrera DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Roberto Fernández FW 82 1 0 1 0 0.56 0.00 0.56
Jofre Carreras AMR 82 0 0 3 2 0.10 0.30 0.40
Pol Lozano DMC 82 0 0 2 0 0.05 0.00 0.34
Urko Gonzalez DMC 70 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Fernando Calero Sub 20 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Edu Expósito Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Antoniu Roca Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Alejo Véliz Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Pere Milla Sub 1 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.07
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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