Espanyol v Getafe — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 29 November 2026 · ESP-La Liga · 2627

La Liga xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Espanyol

16:00 UTC

Getafe

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 869h before kick-off

Espanyol win

47.0%

model 45.6%

Draw

26.6%

model 28.9%

Getafe win

26.5%

model 25.6%

472726

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 14.9%
1-1 13.0%
0-0 11.8%
0-1 10.3%
2-0 9.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	36.0%	Under 2.5	64.0%
BTTS yes	41.8%	BTTS no	58.2%
Espanyol 1+	71.8%	Espanyol 2+	36.1%
Getafe 1+	58.1%	Getafe 2+	21.7%

Expected goals 1.27 – 0.87. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

94/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Under 2 (void on exactly 2)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 33%

53.7% fair odds 1.86

strong signal · 700 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Getafe not to score in both halves

Score both halves · usually 81%

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 827 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Espanyol have created 1.34 xG a match over their last five while Getafe have allowed 1.68.
At home Espanyol average 1.28 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Espanyol have an estimated 47.0% win probability, against 26.6% for the draw and 26.5% for Getafe. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.27 for Espanyol and 0.87 for Getafe.

Why Espanyol

Espanyol have created 1.34 xG a match over their last five while Getafe have allowed 1.68. At home Espanyol average 1.28 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.6%. A combined 2.14 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Getafe can win

Getafe carry the stronger rating, 1508 Elo against 1447. Getafe have created 0.76 xG a match over their last five while Espanyol have allowed 1.39. Away from home Getafe average 0.38 xG a match.

Key players

Espanyol's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Roberto Fernández (0.35), Kike García (0.29), Javi Hernández (0.28). Getafe's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Martín Satriano (0.35), Enes Ünal (0.29), Ramón Terrats (0.28).

Availability

1 of Espanyol's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of Espanyol's last eleven are new to the club this window. 1 of Getafe's top three contributors did not start their last match. Getafe had a player sent off last time out, worth about 0.02 expected goal involvements a match. 45% of Getafe's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Espanyol: 44% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.19 xG a match from set pieces. Getafe: 31% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.20 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Espanyol are the model's most likely outcome at 47.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 14.9%. Confidence 94/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Espanyol have scored 12 from 13.4 expected and conceded 13 from 13.9 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

DWLLDWLLDL last 10 scored 12 from 13.4 xG conceded 13 from 13.9 xG

Getafe are conceding sharply fewer than expected — 5.8 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WLWLDDLWLD last 10 scored 6 from 7.6 xG conceded 11 from 16.8 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	462926	1.27–0.87	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	453026	1.20–0.83	1-0 16%	33%	40%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol to win	46.3%	47.4%	46.3%	1.02×	2.11
Draw	28.2%	27.9%	25.5%	1.09×	3.58
Getafe to win	25.4%	27.9%	28.3%	0.98×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol & not both score	29.9%	25.2%	24.8%	1.02×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	17.2%	18.0%	20.3%	0.88×	5.57
Espanyol & both teams score	16.4%	18.0%	21.6%	0.83×	5.57
Getafe & not both score	15.9%	18.0%	14.3%	1.25×	5.57
Draw & not both score	11.0%	13.3%	5.3%	2.51×	7.54
Getafe & both teams score	9.5%	8.3%	14.1%	0.59×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol & under 3.5	36.6%	34.9%	32.3%	1.08×	2.87
Espanyol & over 1.5	31.9%	30.8%	33.8%	0.91×	3.25
Espanyol & under 2.5	23.9%	21.6%	18.4%	1.17×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	23.9%	21.6%	20.4%	1.06×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	23.9%	21.6%	20.4%	1.06×	4.63
Espanyol & over 2.5	22.4%	21.6%	28.0%	0.77×	4.63
Getafe & under 3.5	21.3%	21.6%	21.3%	1.02×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	17.2%	18.0%	20.3%	0.89×	5.56
Getafe & over 1.5	15.6%	18.0%	21.4%	0.84×	5.56
Espanyol & under 1.5	14.4%	12.8%	12.6%	1.02×	7.79
Getafe & under 2.5	14.2%	12.8%	11.4%	1.13×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	11.0%	12.8%	5.3%	2.43×	7.79
Getafe & over 2.5	11.2%	12.8%	17.0%	0.75×	7.79
Espanyol & over 3.5	9.8%	7.9%	14.1%	0.56×	12.63
Getafe & under 1.5	9.8%	7.9%	7.1%	1.12×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.3%	4.8%	5.2%	0.93×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.3%	4.8%	5.2%	0.93×	20.81
Getafe & over 3.5	4.1%	4.8%	7.2%	0.67×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol (1UP)	58.9%	58.1%	62.7%	0.93×	1.72
Getafe (1UP)	40.1%	38.3%	47.1%	0.81×	2.61

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol (2UP)	46.3%	50.0%	48.1%	1.04×	2.00
Getafe (2UP)	25.4%	25.0%	29.9%	0.84×	4.00

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol to win 2nd half	40.4%	41.9%	39.6%	1.06×	2.39
2nd half drawn	36.6%	36.0%	33.0%	1.09×	2.78
Getafe to win 2nd half	23.0%	24.1%	27.6%	0.88×	4.15

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.3%	87.1%	84.2%	1.03×	1.15
Getafe under 0.5 in 2nd half	55.7%	54.5%	47.9%	1.14×	1.84
Getafe over 0.5 in 2nd half	44.3%	45.5%	52.1%	0.87×	2.20
Getafe over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.7%	12.9%	15.8%	0.82×	7.73

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.0%	75.5%	79.6%	0.95×	1.32
Espanyol over 0.5 in 2nd half	58.5%	58.0%	59.1%	0.98×	1.72
Espanyol under 0.5 in 2nd half	41.5%	42.0%	40.9%	1.03×	2.38
Espanyol over 1.5 in 2nd half	22.0%	24.5%	20.4%	1.20×	4.08

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe (+2.5)	92.2%	92.1%	89.8%	1.03×	1.09
Getafe (+1.5)	78.4%	78.5%	79.3%	0.99×	1.27
Espanyol (+0.5)	74.6%	73.7%	71.7%	1.03×	1.36
Getafe (+0.5)	53.7%	52.4%	53.7%	0.98×	1.91
Espanyol (-0.5)	46.3%	47.6%	46.3%	1.03×	2.10
Getafe (-0.5)	25.4%	26.3%	28.3%	0.93×	3.80
Espanyol (-1.5)	21.6%	21.5%	20.7%	1.04×	4.65
Espanyol (-2.5)	7.8%	7.9%	10.2%	0.77×	12.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe to concede	73.1%	76.7%	80.5%	0.95×	1.30
Getafe clean sheet	26.9%	23.3%	19.5%	1.19×	4.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe clean sheet in 1st half	64.9%	65.1%	52.3%	1.24×	1.54
Getafe to concede in 1st half	35.1%	34.9%	47.7%	0.73×	2.87

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe to concede in 2nd half	58.5%	57.3%	59.1%	0.97×	1.75
Getafe clean sheet in 2nd half	41.5%	42.7%	40.9%	1.04×	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe under 6.5 corners	87.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Getafe under 5.5 corners	78.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Getafe over 2.5 corners	69.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Getafe under 4.5 corners	65.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Getafe over 3.5 corners	50.9%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Getafe under 3.5 corners	49.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Getafe over 4.5 corners	34.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Getafe under 2.5 corners	30.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Getafe over 5.5 corners	21.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Getafe over 6.5 corners	12.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe under 3.5 goals	98.7%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Getafe under 2.5 goals	93.8%	92.3%	89.4%	1.03×	1.08
Getafe under 1.5 goals	77.5%	76.3%	67.9%	1.12×	1.31
Getafe over 0.5 goals	59.1%	59.4%	70.0%	0.85×	1.68
Getafe under 0.5 goals	40.9%	40.6%	30.0%	1.35×	2.47
Getafe over 1.5 goals	22.5%	23.7%	32.1%	0.74×	4.21
Getafe over 2.5 goals	6.2%	7.7%	10.6%	0.72×	13.07
Getafe over 3.5 goals	1.3%	2.5%	2.9%	0.85×	39.97

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe under 1.5 in 1st half	96.1%	96.0%	92.8%	1.03×	1.04
Getafe under 0.5 in 1st half	73.4%	68.8%	63.1%	1.09×	1.45
Getafe over 0.5 in 1st half	26.6%	31.2%	36.9%	0.85×	3.20
Getafe over 1.5 in 1st half	3.9%	4.0%	7.2%	0.55×	25.08

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe scores equally in both	48.6%	47.9%	41.7%	1.15×	2.09
Getafe scores more in 2nd half	35.2%	37.3%	37.6%	0.99×	2.68
Getafe scores more in 1st half	16.1%	17.6%	20.8%	0.84×	5.68

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol (away no bet)	62.1%	61.9%	64.5%	0.96×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	37.9%	38.1%	35.5%	1.07×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe even goals	58.4%	57.0%	53.2%	1.07×	1.76
Getafe odd goals	41.6%	43.0%	46.8%	0.92×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	92.7%	92.2%	85.9%	1.07×	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	7.3%	7.8%	14.1%	0.55×	12.77

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	52.8%	50.6%	62.4%	0.81×	1.98
Both halves under 1.5 goals	47.2%	49.4%	37.6%	1.31×	2.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	45.4%	46.0%	52.4%	0.88×	2.17
Espanyol to score 2+ in a row	31.9%	29.2%	34.5%	0.85×	3.43
Getafe to score 2+ in a row	16.9%	16.2%	23.8%	0.68×	6.16
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.0%	12.1%	19.2%	0.63×	8.28
Espanyol to score 3+ in a row	10.4%	12.0%	13.2%	0.91×	8.34
Getafe to score 3+ in a row	3.7%	2.6%	6.5%	0.40×	38.50

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol corners (+3.5)	89.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Espanyol corners (+2.5)	82.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Getafe corners (+3.5)	80.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Espanyol corners (+1.5)	74.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Getafe corners (+2.5)	71.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Getafe corners (+1.5)	60.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Espanyol corners (-1.5)	39.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Espanyol corners (-2.5)	28.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Getafe corners (-1.5)	25.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Espanyol corners (-3.5)	19.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Getafe corners (-2.5)	17.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Getafe corners (-3.5)	10.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	55.4%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
9-11 corners	27.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	17.3%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	88.3%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	82.7%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	75.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	66.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	56.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	55.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	44.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	43.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 9.5 corners	33.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	24.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 11.5 corners	17.3%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Over 12.5 corners	11.7%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	14.4%	11.5%	12.6%	0.91×	8.72
1-1	12.9%	11.5%	15.3%	0.75×	8.72
0-0	11.0%	11.5%	5.3%	2.17×	8.72
0-1	9.8%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.50
2-0	9.5%	7.4%	6.0%	1.24×	13.50
2-1	8.5%	7.4%	9.6%	0.77×	13.51
1-2	5.8%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.51
0-2	4.4%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.29
0-3	1.3%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.32
1-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.65×	58.32
2-2	3.8%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.30
2-3	1.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.92×	58.32
3-0	4.2%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.30
3-1	3.7%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
3-2	1.7%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.31
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.86×	58.32
4-0	1.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.04×	58.31
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.31
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	1.3%	1.33×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.43×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	14.59×	58.32
Any other score	1.3%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol (2nd half DNB)	63.7%	63.0%	58.9%	1.07×	1.59
Getafe (2nd half DNB)	36.3%	37.0%	41.1%	0.90×	2.70

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol leading at HT (DNB)	59.9%	57.5%	61.5%	0.93×	1.74
Getafe leading at HT (DNB)	40.1%	42.5%	38.5%	1.10×	2.35

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol or draw (1X)	74.6%	72.1%	71.7%	1.01×	1.39
Espanyol or Getafe (12)	71.8%	72.1%	74.5%	0.97×	1.39
Getafe or draw (X2)	53.7%	52.6%	53.7%	0.98×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol or draw at HT	81.6%	84.2%	78.1%	1.08×	1.19
Getafe or draw at HT	72.6%	74.9%	65.0%	1.15×	1.34
Espanyol or Getafe at HT	45.8%	52.0%	56.8%	0.92×	1.92

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol or draw (1UP)	74.6%	79.8%	78.0%	1.02×	1.25
Getafe or draw (1UP)	53.7%	58.8%	60.3%	0.97×	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol or draw in 2nd half	77.0%	75.9%	72.4%	1.05×	1.32
Espanyol or Getafe in 2nd half	63.4%	64.0%	67.0%	0.96×	1.56
Getafe or draw in 2nd half	59.6%	58.1%	60.4%	0.96×	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	71.0%	70.8%	62.1%	1.14×	1.41
Neither half drawn	29.0%	29.2%	37.9%	0.77×	3.42

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol (DNB)	64.6%	62.8%	62.0%	1.01×	1.59
Getafe (DNB)	35.4%	37.2%	38.0%	0.98×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol to score first	52.9%	53.4%	55.1%	0.97×	1.87
Getafe to score first	36.1%	32.7%	39.7%	0.82×	3.06
No goal scored	11.0%	9.5%	5.3%	1.80×	10.49

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	56.8%	55.0%	44.2%	1.24×	1.82
Both teams to score	43.2%	45.0%	55.8%	0.81×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	49.2%	44.3%	34.9%	1.27×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	30.3%	34.5%	40.7%	0.85×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	12.9%	12.4%	15.3%	0.81×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.6%	8.3%	9.4%	0.88×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.5%	89.0%	85.8%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.5%	11.0%	14.2%	0.77×	9.09

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	74.1%	73.8%	70.8%	1.04×	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	25.9%	26.2%	29.2%	0.90×	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	67.2%	63.2%	59.7%	1.06×	1.58
Both score 2nd half only	23.5%	21.3%	23.7%	0.90×	4.69
Both score 1st half only	6.9%	6.8%	11.2%	0.61×	14.72
Both score in both halves	2.4%	4.9%	5.7%	0.86×	20.57

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	90.7%	91.1%	83.3%	1.09×	1.10
Both teams to score by HT	9.3%	8.9%	16.7%	0.53×	11.24

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	59.7%	57.4%	44.9%	1.28×	1.74
A goal in each half	40.3%	42.6%	55.1%	0.77×	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.5%	47.2%	49.2%	0.96×	2.12
0-1 goals	35.3%	35.1%	24.7%	1.42×	2.85
4-6 goals	17.4%	20.2%	23.7%	0.85×	4.94
7+ goals	0.8%	1.8%	2.6%	0.71×	54.43

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe to score exactly 0	40.9%	37.3%	30.0%	1.24×	2.68
Getafe to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.9%	38.1%	0.94×	2.78
Getafe to score exactly 2	16.3%	19.6%	21.6%	0.90×	5.11
Getafe to score 3+	6.2%	8.5%	10.6%	0.81×	11.71

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol to score exactly 1	35.3%	35.6%	38.3%	0.93×	2.81
Espanyol to score exactly 0	26.9%	26.5%	19.5%	1.36×	3.77
Espanyol to score exactly 2	23.2%	23.3%	22.7%	1.03×	4.29
Espanyol to score 3+	14.6%	14.3%	19.7%	0.73×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	54.2%	48.0%	43.2%	1.11×	2.08
Espanyol leading at HT	27.4%	25.1%	35.0%	0.72×	3.99
Getafe leading at HT	18.4%	15.8%	21.9%	0.72×	6.32

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol -1: 2	53.7%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Espanyol -1: X	24.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Espanyol -1: 1	21.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe (0:1)	53.7%	51.3%	53.7%	0.96×	1.95
Draw (0:1)	24.8%	24.2%	25.7%	0.94×	4.13
Espanyol (0:1)	21.6%	24.2%	20.7%	1.17×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe (0:2)	78.4%	79.4%	79.3%	1.00×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.8%	11.0%	10.6%	1.04×	9.09
Espanyol (0:2)	7.8%	7.7%	10.2%	0.75×	13.04

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe (0:3)	92.2%	92.7%	89.8%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.5%	5.8%	7.2%	0.81×	17.24
Espanyol (0:3)	2.3%	2.4%	3.2%	0.75×	42.11

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe (0:4)	97.7%	98.1%	96.8%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.7%	1.2%	2.4%	0.52×	81.91
Espanyol (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	0.9%	1.30×	82.04

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol (1:0)	74.6%	72.5%	71.7%	1.01×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	16.9%	17.1%	17.5%	0.98×	5.85
Getafe (1:0)	8.6%	6.9%	10.9%	0.63×	14.48

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol (2:0)	91.4%	94.0%	89.1%	1.06×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	6.4%	6.4%	7.1%	0.90×	15.70
Getafe (2:0)	2.2%	2.3%	4.0%	0.57×	43.69

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	54.4%	50.5%	51.2%	0.99×	1.98
Halves equal	26.6%	26.2%	23.1%	1.14×	3.82
1st half highest scoring	18.9%	18.5%	25.8%	0.72×	5.40

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol to concede	59.1%	60.7%	70.0%	0.87×	1.65
Espanyol clean sheet	40.9%	39.3%	30.0%	1.31×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol clean sheet in 1st half	73.4%	67.6%	63.1%	1.07×	1.48
Espanyol to concede in 1st half	26.6%	32.4%	36.9%	0.88×	3.09

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol clean sheet in 2nd half	55.7%	54.9%	47.9%	1.14×	1.82
Espanyol to concede in 2nd half	44.3%	45.1%	52.1%	0.87×	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol under 6.5 corners	80.1%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Espanyol over 2.5 corners	77.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Espanyol under 5.5 corners	69.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Espanyol over 3.5 corners	61.0%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Espanyol under 4.5 corners	55.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Espanyol over 4.5 corners	44.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Espanyol under 3.5 corners	39.0%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Espanyol over 5.5 corners	30.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Espanyol under 2.5 corners	23.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Espanyol over 6.5 corners	19.9%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol under 3.5 goals	95.6%	96.4%	92.4%	1.04×	1.04
Espanyol under 2.5 goals	85.4%	87.2%	80.3%	1.09×	1.15
Espanyol over 0.5 goals	73.1%	74.3%	80.5%	0.92×	1.35
Espanyol under 1.5 goals	62.2%	63.6%	57.7%	1.10×	1.57
Espanyol over 1.5 goals	37.8%	36.4%	42.3%	0.86×	2.75
Espanyol under 0.5 goals	26.9%	25.8%	19.5%	1.32×	3.88
Espanyol over 2.5 goals	14.6%	12.8%	19.7%	0.65×	7.84
Espanyol over 3.5 goals	4.4%	3.6%	7.6%	0.48×	27.47

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol under 1.5 in 1st half	93.0%	94.8%	85.9%	1.10×	1.06
Espanyol under 0.5 in 1st half	64.9%	64.8%	52.3%	1.24×	1.54
Espanyol over 0.5 in 1st half	35.1%	35.2%	47.7%	0.74×	2.84
Espanyol over 1.5 in 1st half	7.1%	5.2%	14.1%	0.37×	19.09

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol scores more in 2nd half	44.5%	42.3%	40.4%	1.05×	2.36
Espanyol scores equally in both	38.2%	37.7%	32.3%	1.17×	2.65
Espanyol scores more in 1st half	17.3%	15.5%	27.4%	0.57×	6.44

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	52.6%	51.4%	47.4%	1.08×	1.95
Getafe (home no bet)	47.4%	48.6%	52.6%	0.92×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol even goals	53.6%	50.7%	47.5%	1.07×	1.97
Espanyol odd goals	46.4%	49.3%	52.5%	0.94×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	47.6%	47.8%	32.2%	1.49×	2.09
HT 1-0	20.6%	24.3%	22.0%	1.10×	4.11
HT 0-1	14.7%	11.0%	16.1%	0.68×	9.09
HT 1-1	6.4%	6.9%	10.1%	0.68×	14.49
HT 2-0	4.5%	2.4%	6.6%	0.36×	42.01
HT 0-2	2.3%	2.4%	3.5%	0.67×	42.15
HT 2-1	1.4%	2.4%	3.1%	0.77×	42.21
Any other HT score	1.4%	2.4%	4.5%	0.53×	42.21
HT 1-2	1.0%	2.4%	1.6%	1.44×	42.23
HT 2-2	0.2%	2.4%	1.2%	2.01×	42.28

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol at HT / Espanyol at FT	22.1%	21.6%	26.3%	0.82×	4.62
Draw at HT / Espanyol at FT	21.9%	21.6%	17.8%	1.22×	4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.9%	16.8%	14.1%	1.19×	5.96
Draw at HT / Getafe at FT	12.5%	12.7%	11.5%	1.10×	7.90
Getafe at HT / Getafe at FT	11.7%	12.6%	13.2%	0.96×	7.91
Getafe at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	6.4%	0.55×	28.63
Espanyol at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	5.2%	0.67×	28.64
Getafe at HT / Espanyol at FT	2.3%	3.5%	2.6%	1.34×	28.70
Espanyol at HT / Getafe at FT	1.3%	3.5%	3.8%	0.92×	28.74

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol to score last	52.9%	52.2%	54.9%	0.95×	1.92
Getafe to score last	36.1%	38.7%	39.9%	0.97×	2.59
No goal scored	11.0%	8.9%	5.3%	1.69×	11.19

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.0%	91.5%	94.7%	0.97×	1.09
Espanyol to lead by 1 at any time	58.9%	54.9%	62.7%	0.88×	1.82
Getafe to lead by 1 at any time	40.1%	39.1%	47.1%	0.83×	2.56
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	38.4%	34.7%	41.9%	0.83×	2.89
Espanyol to lead by 2 at any time	26.3%	25.5%	26.5%	0.96×	3.92
Getafe to lead by 2 at any time	12.2%	10.5%	15.8%	0.66×	9.57
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.1%	10.5%	17.2%	0.61×	9.57
Espanyol to lead by 3 at any time	9.2%	6.7%	12.5%	0.54×	14.83
Getafe to lead by 3 at any time	2.9%	1.6%	4.8%	0.33×	61.86

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol most corners	51.2%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Getafe most corners	36.8%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	12.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.5%	87.4%	88.6%	0.99×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.7%	83.4%	80.4%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.8%	72.4%	68.6%	1.05×	1.38
2-6 goals	64.0%	63.3%	72.9%	0.87×	1.58
2-5 goals	62.2%	63.3%	69.2%	0.92×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.4%	59.1%	61.0%	0.97×	1.69
1-2 goals	51.1%	53.2%	44.9%	1.18×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.5%	48.5%	49.2%	0.98×	2.06
3-6 goals	37.2%	39.2%	47.5%	0.83×	2.55
3-5 goals	35.4%	39.2%	43.8%	0.89×	2.55
3-4 goals	30.6%	35.2%	35.6%	0.99×	2.84
4-6 goals	17.4%	18.8%	23.7%	0.79×	5.31
4-5 goals	15.7%	18.8%	20.1%	0.94×	5.31
5-6 goals	6.6%	8.9%	12.0%	0.74×	11.27
7+ goals	0.8%	2.6%	2.6%	0.99×	39.19

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol never behind	48.9%	56.8%	52.9%	1.07×	1.76
Getafe never behind	30.1%	36.1%	37.3%	0.97×	2.77

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.4%	50.9%	53.6%	0.95×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.6%	49.1%	46.4%	1.06×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	61.3%	59.0%	54.3%	1.09×	1.70
Odd goals in 1st half	38.7%	41.0%	45.7%	0.90×	2.44

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.7%	51.9%	49.4%	1.05×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.3%	48.1%	50.6%	0.95×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.5%	95.4%	93.8%	1.02×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	85.5%	1.08×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.0%	87.6%	94.7%	0.93×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	81.8%	82.3%	73.8%	1.12×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	64.7%	61.8%	75.3%	0.82×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	62.1%	61.7%	50.1%	1.23×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	37.9%	38.3%	49.9%	0.77×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	35.3%	38.2%	24.7%	1.55×	2.62
Over 3.5 goals	18.2%	17.7%	26.2%	0.68×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	11.0%	12.4%	5.3%	2.34×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	14.5%	0.53×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	2.5%	4.6%	6.2%	0.73×	21.88

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.2%	97.2%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.4%	97.2%	93.2%	1.04×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.8%	92.4%	83.6%	1.10×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	77.3%	75.9%	65.6%	1.16×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	51.8%	51.9%	66.9%	0.78×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	48.2%	48.1%	33.1%	1.45×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	22.7%	24.1%	34.4%	0.70×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.2%	7.6%	16.4%	0.46×	13.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.6%	2.8%	6.8%	0.41×	35.58
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.8%	2.8%	2.7%	1.05×	35.63

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	96.1%	96.8%	90.0%	1.08×	1.03
Under 1.5 in 1st half	82.9%	85.8%	70.1%	1.22×	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	52.4%	54.6%	67.8%	0.81×	1.83
Under 0.5 in 1st half	47.6%	45.4%	32.2%	1.41×	2.20
Over 1.5 in 1st half	17.1%	14.2%	29.9%	0.47×	7.04
Over 2.5 in 1st half	3.9%	3.2%	10.0%	0.32×	31.05

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.8%	83.2%	79.0%	1.05×	1.20
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.9%	79.1%	82.0%	0.97×	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.0%	54.8%	53.4%	1.03×	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	43.0%	45.2%	46.6%	0.97×	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.1%	20.9%	18.0%	1.16×	4.79
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.2%	16.8%	21.0%	0.80×	5.96

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe not to score in both halves	88.2%	85.6%	81.0%	1.06×	1.17
Espanyol not to score in both halves	79.4%	78.6%	73.6%	1.07×	1.27
Espanyol to score in both halves	20.6%	21.4%	26.4%	0.81×	4.67
Getafe to score in both halves	11.8%	14.4%	19.0%	0.76×	6.95

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	43.2%	46.6%	55.8%	0.83×	2.15
Only Espanyol scores	29.9%	26.1%	24.8%	1.05×	3.84
Only Getafe scores	15.9%	16.0%	14.3%	1.12×	6.25
Neither team scores	11.0%	11.0%	5.3%	2.09×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.8%	24.9%	25.5%	0.98×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	24.3%	22.6%	19.5%	1.16×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	19.7%	17.5%	23.9%	0.73×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	11.0%	12.1%	5.3%	2.29×	8.25
Exactly 4 goals	10.9%	12.1%	11.9%	1.02×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	4.8%	4.5%	8.3%	0.54×	22.37
6 or more goals	2.5%	4.5%	6.2%	0.72×	22.40

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	47.6%	47.8%	32.2%	1.49×	2.09
1 goal in 1st half	35.3%	37.3%	38.0%	0.98×	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	13.1%	10.8%	20.0%	0.54×	9.30
3+ goals in 1st half	3.9%	3.2%	10.0%	0.32×	31.05

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	43.0%	45.5%	46.6%	0.98×	2.20
1 goal in 2nd half	33.9%	33.9%	35.5%	0.96×	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	23.1%	23.0%	18.0%	1.28×	4.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe not to win both halves	95.8%	97.2%	94.7%	1.03×	1.03
Espanyol not to win both halves	88.9%	88.0%	88.0%	1.00×	1.14
Espanyol to win both halves	11.1%	12.0%	12.0%	1.00×	8.34
Getafe to win both halves	4.2%	2.9%	5.3%	0.54×	35.08

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe to win neither half	62.9%	65.1%	55.8%	1.17×	1.54
Espanyol to win either half	56.7%	59.1%	62.5%	0.95×	1.69
Espanyol to win neither half	43.3%	40.9%	37.5%	1.09×	2.45
Getafe to win either half	37.1%	34.9%	44.2%	0.79×	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe not to win to nil	84.1%	83.1%	85.7%	0.97×	1.20
Espanyol not to win to nil	70.1%	75.3%	75.2%	1.00×	1.33
Espanyol to win to nil	29.9%	24.7%	24.8%	1.00×	4.05
Getafe to win to nil	15.9%	16.9%	14.3%	1.18×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.2%	27.9%	25.5%	1.09×	3.59
Espanyol by 1	24.8%	24.1%	25.7%	0.94×	4.15
Getafe by 1	16.9%	17.0%	17.5%	0.97×	5.87
Espanyol by 2	13.8%	11.8%	10.6%	1.11×	8.51
Espanyol by 3+	7.8%	7.2%	10.2%	0.70×	13.91
Getafe by 2	6.4%	7.2%	7.1%	1.02×	13.91
Getafe by 3+	2.2%	2.7%	4.0%	0.68×	36.84