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Espanyol v Villarreal — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 26 September 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

1–2
0.36 – 1.96 xG
Shots
9 – 15
On target
2 – 4
Shots in box
4 – 8
xG per shot
0.04 – 0.13
Set-piece xG
0.10 – 1.06
Goals − xG
+0.65 – +0.03
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.61.11.72.20'15'30'45'60'75'90'Jofre Carreras 45' — goalAyoze Pérez 50' — goalAyoze Pérez 62' — goal
Espanyol 0.35 xGVillarreal 1.97 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Ayoze Pérez 1' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Ayoze Pérez 5' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Thierno Barry 11' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Ilias Akhomach 21' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Thierno Barry 37' — Missed Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Jofre Carreras 45' — Goal (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Thierno Barry 46' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Set Piece)Ayoze Pérez 50' — Goal (0.46 xG, Set Piece)Ilias Akhomach 50' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Javi Puado 53' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Javi Puado 54' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Sergi Cardona 57' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Thierno Barry 58' — Missed Shot (0.56 xG, Set Piece)Jofre Carreras 59' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Pape Alassane Gueye 61' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Ayoze Pérez 62' — Goal (0.07 xG, Open Play)Ayoze Pérez 64' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Thierno Barry 68' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)José Gragera 81' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Javi Puado 82' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Javi Puado 82' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Irvin Cardona 86' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)Naci Ünüvar 92' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Thierno Barry 94' — Saved Shot (0.36 xG, Open Play)
Espanyol attacking right Villarreal attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' Villarreal Ayoze Pérez 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Álex Baena
5' Villarreal Ayoze Pérez 0.06 Open Play Blocked Shot Ilias Akhomach
11' Villarreal Thierno Barry 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Santiago Comesaña
21' Villarreal Ilias Akhomach 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Santiago Comesaña
37' Villarreal Thierno Barry 0.14 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Ilias Akhomach
45' Espanyol Jofre Carreras 0.02 Set Piece Right Foot Goal Brian Oliván
46' Villarreal Thierno Barry 0.03 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot Pape Alassane Gueye
50' Villarreal Ayoze Pérez 0.46 Set Piece Goal Álex Baena
50' Villarreal Ilias Akhomach 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Kiko Femenía
53' Espanyol Javi Puado 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Tejero
54' Espanyol Javi Puado 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot
57' Villarreal Sergi Cardona 0.01 Set Piece Left Foot Missed Shot Pape Alassane Gueye
58' Villarreal Thierno Barry 0.56 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot Sergi Cardona
59' Espanyol Jofre Carreras 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Javi Puado
61' Villarreal Pape Alassane Gueye 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Ilias Akhomach
62' Villarreal Ayoze Pérez 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Goal Álex Baena
64' Villarreal Ayoze Pérez 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Thierno Barry
68' Villarreal Thierno Barry 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Pape Alassane Gueye
81' Espanyol José Gragera 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Javi Puado
82' Espanyol Javi Puado 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Naci Ünüvar
82' Espanyol Javi Puado 0.03 Open Play Saved Shot Omar El Hilali
86' Espanyol Irvin Cardona 0.05 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot
92' Espanyol Naci Ünüvar 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
94' Villarreal Thierno Barry 0.36 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Diego Conde

Players

Espanyol

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Javi Puado FW 90 0 0 4 2 0.19 0.07 0.23
Jofre Carreras ML 90 1 0 2 0 0.07 0.00 0.05
Alex Kral MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Omar El Hilali DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.07
Marash Kumbulla DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Joan García GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Pol Lozano MC 83 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.16
Brian Oliván DL 83 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.05
Alejo Véliz FW 82 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tejero MR 74 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.11 0.16
Leandro Cabrera DC 56 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sergi Gómez Sub 34 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Carlos Romero Sub 16 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Walid Cheddira Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Naci Ünüvar Sub 7 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.02 0.07
José Gragera Sub 7 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Irvin Cardona Sub 1 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.03

Villarreal

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Thierno Barry FW 90 0 0 6 1 1.18 0.10 0.72
Ilias Akhomach MR 90 0 0 2 3 0.05 0.22 0.35
Pape Alassane Gueye MC 90 0 0 1 3 0.03 0.06 0.15
Sergi Cardona DL 90 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.56 0.03
Diego Conde GK 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.36 0.43
Kiko Femenía DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.22
Ayoze Pérez FW 84 2 0 5 0 0.70 0.00 0.34
Logan Costa DC 84 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Álex Baena ML 76 0 2 0 3 0.00 0.55 0.11
Santiago Comesaña MC 76 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.10 0.20
Eric Bailly Sub 55 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Raúl Albiol DC 35 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Denis Suárez Sub 14 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Daniel Parejo Sub 14 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Pau Navarro Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nicolas Pepe Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ramón Terrats Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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