Estudiantes de La Plata v Corinthians — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 10 September 2026 · SAM-Libertadores · 2627

SAM-Libertadores results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

Estudiantes de La Plata

00:30 UTC

Corinthians

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 41h before kick-off

Estudiantes de La Plata win

58.7%

model 59.0%

Draw

22.2%

model 24.8%

Corinthians win

19.1%

model 16.2%

592219

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (315 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 16.8%
2-0 13.0%
1-1 11.0%
0-0 10.4%
2-1 8.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	39.0%	Under 2.5	61.0%
BTTS yes	38.8%	BTTS no	61.2%
Estudiantes de La Plata 1+	79.2%	Estudiantes de La Plata 2+	46.5%
Corinthians 1+	49.2%	Corinthians 2+	14.8%

Expected goals 1.57 – 0.68. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

37/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

Draw (home no bet)

Home no bet · usually 48%

60.4% fair odds 1.66

strong signal · 3076 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Estudiantes de La Plata (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 73%

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 13561 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Estudiantes de La Plata carry the stronger rating, 1592 Elo against 1548.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Estudiantes de La Plata have an estimated 58.7% win probability, against 22.2% for the draw and 19.1% for Corinthians. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.57 for Estudiantes de La Plata and 0.68 for Corinthians.

Why Estudiantes de La Plata

Estudiantes de La Plata carry the stronger rating, 1592 Elo against 1548.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. A combined 2.25 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Corinthians can win

Nothing in the data singles out Corinthians.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Estudiantes de La Plata, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Corinthians, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Estudiantes de La Plata: 64% possession, 18.6 shots a match, 8.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Corinthians: 53% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Estudiantes de La Plata are the model's most likely outcome at 58.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 16.8%. Confidence 37/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	592516	1.57–0.68	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	532918	1.30–0.63	1-0 19%	30%	34%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata to win	53.2%	51.0%	48.2%	1.06×	1.96
Draw	28.6%	27.7%	25.1%	1.10×	3.61
Corinthians to win	18.2%	19.4%	27.1%	0.72×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata & not both score	39.1%	32.9%	32.1%	1.02×	3.04
Estudiantes de La Plata & both teams score	14.1%	13.2%	16.4%	0.81×	7.55
Draw & both teams score	14.3%	13.2%	16.1%	0.83×	7.55
Draw & not both score	14.3%	13.2%	9.4%	1.41×	7.55
Corinthians & not both score	12.9%	13.2%	18.1%	0.73×	7.55
Corinthians & both teams score	5.3%	8.4%	9.4%	0.89×	11.95

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata & under 3.5	44.5%	40.0%	36.1%	1.11×	2.50
Estudiantes de La Plata & over 1.5	34.0%	31.0%	33.1%	0.94×	3.22
Estudiantes de La Plata & under 2.5	31.5%	31.0%	24.4%	1.27×	3.22
Draw & under 2.5	26.0%	25.9%	22.7%	1.14×	3.86
Draw & under 3.5	26.0%	25.9%	22.7%	1.14×	3.86
Estudiantes de La Plata & over 2.5	21.7%	21.6%	24.1%	0.90×	4.63
Estudiantes de La Plata & under 1.5	19.2%	18.0%	15.4%	1.17×	5.57
Corinthians & under 3.5	16.5%	18.0%	22.4%	0.80×	5.57
Draw & over 1.5	14.3%	12.9%	16.1%	0.80×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	14.3%	12.9%	9.4%	1.37×	7.77
Corinthians & under 2.5	12.2%	12.9%	14.7%	0.87×	7.78
Corinthians & over 1.5	8.8%	8.0%	16.7%	0.48×	12.56
Corinthians & under 1.5	9.4%	8.0%	10.7%	0.74×	12.56
Estudiantes de La Plata & over 3.5	8.7%	8.0%	12.4%	0.64×	12.56
Corinthians & over 2.5	6.0%	8.0%	12.7%	0.63×	12.57
Draw & over 2.5	2.6%	4.9%	2.7%	1.82×	20.53
Draw & over 3.5	2.6%	4.9%	2.7%	1.82×	20.53
Corinthians & over 3.5	1.7%	4.9%	5.0%	0.97×	20.54

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata (1UP)	62.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Corinthians (1UP)	30.2%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata (2UP)	53.2%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Corinthians (2UP)	18.2%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	42.4%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
Estudiantes de La Plata to win 2nd half	40.6%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Corinthians to win 2nd half	17.0%	19.0%	—	—	5.27

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Corinthians (+2.5)	90.8%	92.1%	90.3%	1.02×	1.09
Estudiantes de La Plata (+0.5)	81.8%	82.6%	72.9%	1.13×	1.21
Corinthians (+1.5)	74.8%	73.7%	76.9%	0.96×	1.36
Estudiantes de La Plata (-0.5)	53.2%	52.0%	48.2%	1.08×	1.92
Corinthians (+0.5)	46.8%	48.0%	51.8%	0.93×	2.08
Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)	25.2%	26.3%	23.1%	1.14×	3.80
Corinthians (-0.5)	18.2%	17.4%	27.1%	0.64×	5.74
Estudiantes de La Plata (-2.5)	9.2%	7.9%	9.7%	0.81×	12.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Corinthians to concede	72.7%	77.1%	72.9%	1.06×	1.30
Corinthians clean sheet	27.3%	22.9%	27.1%	0.85×	4.37

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Corinthians clean sheet in 1st half	57.2%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Corinthians to concede in 1st half	42.8%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Corinthians under 6.5 corners	91.0%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Corinthians under 5.5 corners	84.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Corinthians under 4.5 corners	73.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Corinthians over 2.5 corners	60.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Corinthians under 3.5 corners	58.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Corinthians over 3.5 corners	41.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Corinthians under 2.5 corners	40.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Corinthians over 4.5 corners	26.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Corinthians over 5.5 corners	15.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
Corinthians over 6.5 corners	9.0%	10.1%	—	—	9.94

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Corinthians under 3.5 goals	99.6%	97.4%	97.7%	1.00×	1.03
Corinthians under 2.5 goals	97.4%	97.4%	92.3%	1.06×	1.03
Corinthians under 1.5 goals	86.9%	87.9%	76.9%	1.14×	1.14
Corinthians under 0.5 goals	53.5%	53.7%	41.1%	1.30×	1.86
Corinthians over 0.5 goals	46.5%	46.3%	58.9%	0.79×	2.16
Corinthians over 1.5 goals	13.1%	12.1%	23.1%	0.52×	8.26
Corinthians over 2.5 goals	2.6%	2.6%	7.7%	0.34×	38.81
Corinthians over 3.5 goals	0.4%	2.6%	2.3%	1.10×	38.90

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Corinthians under 1.5 in 1st half	97.3%	95.9%	—	—	1.04
Corinthians under 0.5 in 1st half	77.8%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
Corinthians over 0.5 in 1st half	22.2%	23.7%	—	—	4.22
Corinthians over 1.5 in 1st half	2.7%	4.1%	—	—	24.41

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata (away no bet)	65.0%	66.5%	65.8%	1.01×	1.50
Draw (away no bet)	35.0%	33.5%	34.2%	0.98×	2.99

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Corinthians even goals	64.3%	58.5%	58.5%	1.00×	1.71
Corinthians odd goals	35.7%	41.5%	41.5%	1.00×	2.41

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	94.0%	93.0%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	6.0%	7.0%	—	—	14.29

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	55.9%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Not both halves under 1.5	44.1%	40.0%	—	—	2.50

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	40.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Estudiantes de La Plata to score 2+ in a row	33.0%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Either team to score 3+ in a row	12.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.23
Estudiantes de La Plata to score 3+ in a row	11.3%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Corinthians to score 2+ in a row	9.6%	5.7%	—	—	17.56
Corinthians to score 3+ in a row	1.5%	2.5%	—	—	39.73

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata corners (+3.5)	94.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Estudiantes de La Plata corners (+2.5)	90.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Estudiantes de La Plata corners (+1.5)	85.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Corinthians corners (+3.5)	63.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Estudiantes de La Plata corners (-1.5)	57.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Corinthians corners (+2.5)	53.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Estudiantes de La Plata corners (-2.5)	46.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Corinthians corners (+1.5)	42.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Estudiantes de La Plata corners (-3.5)	36.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Corinthians corners (-1.5)	15.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Corinthians corners (-2.5)	9.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.57
Corinthians corners (-3.5)	5.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	48.1%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	27.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	24.7%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	81.8%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	75.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	62.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	58.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	51.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	48.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	41.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	37.6%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	32.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	24.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	18.2%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	19.2%	13.6%	15.4%	0.88×	7.37
0-0	14.3%	11.4%	9.4%	1.21×	8.80
2-0	12.3%	11.4%	9.4%	1.21×	8.80
1-1	11.6%	11.4%	13.7%	0.83×	8.80
0-1	9.4%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.53
2-1	7.7%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.54
3-0	5.3%	7.4%	4.7%	1.58×	13.54
0-2	2.9%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	57.57
0-3	0.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	57.58
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.04×	57.58
1-2	3.7%	1.7%	6.0%	0.29×	57.56
1-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.0%	1.73×	57.58
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.19×	57.58
2-2	2.4%	1.7%	2.0%	0.87×	57.57
2-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	57.58
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.60×	57.58
3-1	3.3%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	57.56
3-2	1.0%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	57.57
3-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.73×	57.58
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.60×	57.58
4-0	1.7%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	57.57
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.04×	57.57
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	1.3%	1.30×	57.58
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.19×	57.58
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.19×	57.58
Any other score	1.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.73×	57.57

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata leading at HT (DNB)	72.4%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
Corinthians leading at HT (DNB)	27.6%	27.6%	—	—	3.62

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata or draw (1X)	81.8%	80.6%	72.9%	1.11×	1.24
Estudiantes de La Plata or Corinthians (12)	71.4%	72.3%	74.9%	0.97×	1.38
Corinthians or draw (X2)	46.8%	49.0%	51.8%	0.95×	2.04

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata or draw at HT	86.4%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Corinthians or draw at HT	64.5%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Estudiantes de La Plata or Corinthians at HT	49.1%	52.5%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata or draw (1UP)	81.8%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Corinthians or draw (1UP)	46.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata or draw in 2nd half	83.0%	81.0%	—	—	1.23
Corinthians or draw in 2nd half	59.4%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Estudiantes de La Plata or Corinthians in 2nd half	57.7%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	71.9%	69.7%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	28.1%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata (DNB)	74.6%	71.1%	64.0%	1.11×	1.41
Corinthians (DNB)	25.5%	28.9%	36.0%	0.80×	3.46

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata to score first	57.8%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Corinthians to score first	27.8%	28.3%	—	—	3.54
No goal scored	14.3%	10.6%	—	—	9.47

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	66.4%	57.7%	58.9%	0.98×	1.73
Both teams to score	33.6%	42.3%	41.1%	1.03×	2.36

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	58.0%	46.8%	47.8%	0.98×	2.14
Both score & over 2.5	22.0%	28.4%	27.8%	1.02×	3.53
Both score & under 2.5	11.6%	12.3%	13.7%	0.89×	8.15
Not both score & over 2.5	8.3%	8.4%	11.4%	0.74×	11.94

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	95.1%	91.5%	90.6%	1.01×	1.09
Both teams to score 2+	4.9%	8.5%	9.4%	0.91×	11.71

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	83.7%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	16.3%	25.4%	—	—	3.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	75.8%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Both score 2nd half only	14.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score 1st half only	7.9%	6.8%	—	—	14.74
Both score in both halves	1.6%	4.9%	—	—	20.45

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	90.6%	90.8%	—	—	1.10
Both teams to score by HT	9.4%	9.2%	—	—	10.85

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	62.8%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
A goal in each half	37.2%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.2%	41.9%	46.2%	0.91×	2.39
0-1 goals	42.9%	41.9%	34.8%	1.20×	2.39
4-6 goals	12.6%	17.2%	18.7%	0.92×	5.83
7+ goals	0.4%	1.8%	1.0%	1.84×	54.08

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Corinthians to score exactly 0	53.5%	46.7%	41.1%	1.14×	2.14
Corinthians to score exactly 1	33.5%	33.6%	36.1%	0.93×	2.97
Corinthians to score exactly 2	10.5%	13.0%	15.7%	0.83×	7.71
Corinthians to score 3+	2.6%	4.6%	7.7%	0.60×	21.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata to score exactly 1	35.4%	35.5%	35.1%	1.01×	2.81
Estudiantes de La Plata to score exactly 0	27.3%	26.1%	27.1%	0.97×	3.83
Estudiantes de La Plata to score exactly 2	23.0%	23.4%	20.7%	1.13×	4.28
Estudiantes de La Plata to score 3+	14.3%	14.3%	17.7%	0.81×	6.97

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	50.9%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Estudiantes de La Plata leading at HT	35.5%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Corinthians leading at HT	13.6%	12.0%	—	—	8.37

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata -1: 2	46.8%	47.3%	—	—	2.12
Estudiantes de La Plata -1: X	28.0%	26.6%	—	—	3.75
Estudiantes de La Plata -1: 1	25.2%	26.6%	—	—	3.76

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Corinthians (0:1)	46.8%	46.0%	51.8%	0.89×	2.18
Draw (0:1)	28.0%	27.1%	25.4%	1.07×	3.69
Estudiantes de La Plata (0:1)	25.2%	27.1%	23.1%	1.17×	3.69

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Corinthians (0:2)	74.8%	75.9%	76.9%	0.99×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	16.0%	15.0%	13.7%	1.09×	6.67
Estudiantes de La Plata (0:2)	9.2%	7.7%	9.7%	0.79×	12.97

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Corinthians (0:3)	90.8%	92.7%	90.3%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.5%	5.9%	6.0%	0.98×	16.94
Estudiantes de La Plata (0:3)	2.7%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.29

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Corinthians (0:4)	97.3%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	3.7%	0.33×	81.75
Estudiantes de La Plata (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	0.7%	1.83×	81.89

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata (1:0)	81.8%	81.6%	72.9%	1.12×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	13.6%	12.8%	18.7%	0.68×	7.84
Corinthians (1:0)	4.6%	3.5%	8.7%	0.40×	28.63

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata (2:0)	95.4%	96.5%	91.3%	1.06×	1.04
Draw (2:0)	3.7%	2.4%	5.4%	0.45×	41.29
Corinthians (2:0)	0.9%	2.4%	3.7%	0.66×	41.44

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	42.8%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
Halves equal	30.7%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
1st half highest scoring	26.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata clean sheet	53.5%	53.5%	41.1%	1.30×	1.87
Estudiantes de La Plata to concede	46.5%	46.5%	58.9%	0.79×	2.15

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata clean sheet in 1st half	77.8%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Estudiantes de La Plata to concede in 1st half	22.2%	20.8%	—	—	4.80

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata over 2.5 corners	85.1%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Estudiantes de La Plata over 3.5 corners	73.4%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Estudiantes de La Plata under 6.5 corners	64.4%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Estudiantes de La Plata over 4.5 corners	60.3%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Estudiantes de La Plata under 5.5 corners	52.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Estudiantes de La Plata over 5.5 corners	47.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Estudiantes de La Plata under 4.5 corners	39.7%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Estudiantes de La Plata over 6.5 corners	35.6%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Estudiantes de La Plata under 3.5 corners	26.6%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Estudiantes de La Plata under 2.5 corners	14.9%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata under 3.5 goals	95.7%	96.3%	93.6%	1.03×	1.04
Estudiantes de La Plata under 2.5 goals	85.7%	87.2%	82.3%	1.06×	1.15
Estudiantes de La Plata over 0.5 goals	72.7%	74.3%	72.9%	1.02×	1.35
Estudiantes de La Plata under 1.5 goals	62.7%	63.3%	61.9%	1.02×	1.58
Estudiantes de La Plata over 1.5 goals	37.3%	36.7%	38.1%	0.96×	2.72
Estudiantes de La Plata under 0.5 goals	27.3%	25.7%	27.1%	0.95×	3.89
Estudiantes de La Plata over 2.5 goals	14.3%	12.8%	17.7%	0.72×	7.80
Estudiantes de La Plata over 3.5 goals	4.3%	3.7%	6.4%	0.58×	26.92

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata under 1.5 in 1st half	89.1%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Estudiantes de La Plata under 0.5 in 1st half	57.2%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Estudiantes de La Plata over 0.5 in 1st half	42.8%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Estudiantes de La Plata over 1.5 in 1st half	10.9%	10.1%	—	—	9.87

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	61.2%	59.9%	48.1%	1.25×	1.67
Corinthians (home no bet)	38.8%	40.1%	51.9%	0.77×	2.49

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata even goals	53.7%	50.4%	53.5%	0.94×	1.98
Estudiantes de La Plata odd goals	46.3%	49.6%	46.5%	1.07×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	44.5%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
HT 1-0	24.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	11.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 2-0	7.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
HT 1-1	6.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
Any other HT score	2.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.55
HT 2-1	1.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.58
HT 0-2	1.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.60
HT 1-2	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.65
HT 2-2	0.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.69

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata at HT / Estudiantes de La Plata at FT	30.9%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	21.3%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Draw at HT / Estudiantes de La Plata at FT	20.8%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Draw at HT / Corinthians at FT	8.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
Corinthians at HT / Corinthians at FT	8.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
Estudiantes de La Plata at HT / Draw at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
Corinthians at HT / Draw at FT	3.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Corinthians at HT / Estudiantes de La Plata at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Estudiantes de La Plata at HT / Corinthians at FT	0.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.89

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata to score last	57.8%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Corinthians to score last	27.9%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
No goal scored	14.3%	10.0%	—	—	10.04

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	85.7%	90.3%	—	—	1.11
Estudiantes de La Plata to lead by 1 at any time	62.6%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	35.5%	34.8%	—	—	2.88
Corinthians to lead by 1 at any time	30.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Estudiantes de La Plata to lead by 2 at any time	28.9%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	11.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Estudiantes de La Plata to lead by 3 at any time	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Corinthians to lead by 2 at any time	6.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.14
Corinthians to lead by 3 at any time	1.2%	1.6%	—	—	63.27

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata most corners	67.9%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Corinthians most corners	22.6%	25.8%	—	—	3.88
Corners level	9.4%	8.4%	—	—	11.88

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.3%	83.3%	87.6%	0.95×	1.20
1-4 goals	81.0%	83.3%	81.6%	1.02×	1.20
1-3 goals	72.7%	72.3%	71.6%	1.01×	1.38
2-6 goals	56.8%	59.2%	64.5%	0.92×	1.69
2-5 goals	55.7%	59.2%	62.2%	0.95×	1.69
1-2 goals	55.3%	59.2%	52.2%	1.14×	1.69
2-4 goals	52.5%	53.4%	56.2%	0.95×	1.87
2-3 goals	44.2%	43.6%	46.2%	0.94×	2.29
3-6 goals	30.0%	30.6%	38.1%	0.80×	3.26
3-5 goals	28.9%	30.6%	35.8%	0.86×	3.26
3-4 goals	25.7%	30.6%	29.8%	1.03×	3.27
4-6 goals	12.6%	15.1%	18.7%	0.80×	6.64
4-5 goals	11.6%	15.0%	16.4%	0.92×	6.65
5-6 goals	4.3%	2.6%	8.7%	0.30×	38.83
7+ goals	0.4%	2.6%	1.0%	2.56×	38.99

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de La Plata never behind	55.5%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Corinthians never behind	23.1%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.4%	50.9%	51.5%	0.99×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.6%	49.1%	48.5%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	59.8%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	40.2%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.2%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.8%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.6%	95.4%	96.7%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	95.4%	95.4%	90.6%	1.05×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	87.0%	87.4%	80.6%	1.08×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	85.7%	87.4%	90.6%	0.96×	1.14
Under 2.5 goals	69.7%	66.0%	61.2%	1.08×	1.52
Over 1.5 goals	57.1%	58.5%	65.2%	0.90×	1.71
Under 1.5 goals	42.9%	41.5%	34.8%	1.19×	2.41
Over 2.5 goals	30.3%	34.0%	38.8%	0.88×	2.94
Under 0.5 goals	14.3%	12.6%	9.4%	1.34×	7.96
Over 3.5 goals	13.0%	12.6%	19.4%	0.65×	7.96
Over 4.5 goals	4.6%	4.6%	9.4%	0.49×	21.70
Over 5.5 goals	1.4%	4.6%	3.3%	1.37×	21.75

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.6%	97.2%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.6%	97.2%	96.4%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	95.0%	92.4%	89.6%	1.03×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	84.3%	80.5%	75.9%	1.06×	1.24
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	58.6%	55.2%	47.3%	1.17×	1.81
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	41.4%	44.8%	52.7%	0.85×	2.23
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	15.7%	19.5%	24.1%	0.81×	5.13
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	5.0%	7.6%	10.4%	0.73×	13.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.4%	2.8%	3.6%	0.80×	35.11
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.4%	2.8%	1.0%	2.77×	35.14

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	95.1%	95.9%	—	—	1.04
Under 1.5 in 1st half	80.6%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	55.5%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Under 0.5 in 1st half	44.5%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Over 1.5 in 1st half	19.4%	13.8%	—	—	7.22
Over 2.5 in 1st half	4.9%	4.1%	—	—	24.60

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	89.7%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	69.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	67.3%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	32.7%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	30.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	10.3%	14.5%	—	—	6.90

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Corinthians not to score in both halves	93.1%	90.4%	—	—	1.11
Estudiantes de La Plata not to score in both halves	77.6%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Estudiantes de La Plata to score in both halves	22.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Corinthians to score in both halves	6.9%	9.6%	—	—	10.46

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Estudiantes de La Plata scores	39.1%	39.7%	32.1%	1.24×	2.52
Both teams score	33.6%	33.2%	41.1%	0.81×	3.01
Neither team scores	14.3%	11.1%	9.4%	1.18×	9.02
Only Corinthians scores	12.9%	11.1%	18.1%	0.61×	9.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	28.5%	24.7%	25.8%	0.96×	4.05
Exactly 2 goals	26.8%	24.7%	26.8%	0.92×	4.05
Exactly 3 goals	17.4%	17.6%	19.7%	0.89×	5.70
Exactly 0 goals	14.3%	12.0%	9.4%	1.29×	8.30
Exactly 4 goals	8.4%	7.8%	10.4%	0.75×	12.83
Exactly 5 goals	3.2%	4.5%	6.4%	0.71×	22.21
6 or more goals	1.4%	4.5%	3.3%	1.35×	22.23

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	36.7%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goals in 2nd half	32.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
2+ goals in 2nd half	30.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.01

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Corinthians not to win both halves	97.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Estudiantes de La Plata not to win both halves	85.6%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Estudiantes de La Plata to win both halves	14.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.23
Corinthians to win both halves	2.3%	2.8%	—	—	36.30

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Corinthians to win neither half	71.7%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
Estudiantes de La Plata to win either half	61.8%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Estudiantes de La Plata to win neither half	38.2%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Corinthians to win either half	28.3%	27.2%	—	—	3.68

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Corinthians not to win to nil	87.1%	87.9%	81.9%	1.07×	1.14
Estudiantes de La Plata not to win to nil	60.9%	66.9%	67.9%	0.99×	1.49
Estudiantes de La Plata to win to nil	39.1%	33.1%	32.1%	1.03×	3.03
Corinthians to win to nil	12.9%	12.1%	18.1%	0.67×	8.28

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.6%	27.7%	25.1%	1.11×	3.61
Estudiantes de La Plata by 1	28.0%	27.7%	25.4%	1.09×	3.61
Estudiantes de La Plata by 2	16.0%	16.9%	13.7%	1.23×	5.92
Corinthians by 1	13.6%	11.7%	18.7%	0.63×	8.52
Estudiantes de La Plata by 3+	9.2%	7.3%	9.7%	0.75×	13.73
Corinthians by 2	3.7%	2.8%	5.4%	0.53×	35.51
Corinthians by 3+	0.9%	2.8%	3.7%	0.76×	35.59