Estudiantes de Río Cuarto v Gimnasia La Plata — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

20:00 UTC

Gimnasia La Plata

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 129h before kick-off

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto win

22.6%

model 24.5%

Draw

29.2%

model 30.1%

Gimnasia La Plata win

48.1%

model 45.4%

232948

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 14.6%
1-1 13.6%
0-0 12.6%
1-0 9.7%
0-2 9.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	35.6%	Under 2.5	64.4%
BTTS yes	41.8%	BTTS no	58.2%
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 1+	57.4%	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2+	21.1%
Gimnasia La Plata 1+	71.8%	Gimnasia La Plata 2+	36.1%

Expected goals 0.85 – 1.27. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

23/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Gimnasia La Plata or draw (X2)

Double chance · usually 58%

77.2% fair odds 1.30

strong signal · 1708 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 829 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Gimnasia La Plata carry the stronger rating, 1558 Elo against 1348.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0026 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Gimnasia La Plata have an estimated 48.1% win probability, against 29.2% for the draw and 22.6% for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.85 for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto and 1.27 for Gimnasia La Plata.

Why Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

Nothing in the data singles out Estudiantes de Río Cuarto.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.2%. A combined 2.12 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Gimnasia La Plata can win

Gimnasia La Plata carry the stronger rating, 1558 Elo against 1348. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Gimnasia La Plata, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto: 44% possession, 7.8 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Gimnasia La Plata: 42% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 16.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Gimnasia La Plata are the model's most likely outcome at 48.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 14.6%. Confidence 23/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	243045	0.85–1.27	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	183052	0.66–1.30	0-1 18%	31%	36%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata to win	51.6%	51.5%	27.6%	1.87×	1.94
Draw	30.1%	30.4%	30.7%	0.99×	3.29
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win	18.4%	19.4%	41.8%	0.46×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata & not both score	37.1%	33.3%	17.1%	1.95×	3.00
Draw & both teams score	15.5%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.57
Draw & not both score	14.6%	13.3%	14.8%	0.90×	7.54
Gimnasia La Plata & both teams score	14.5%	13.3%	10.6%	1.25×	7.54
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & not both score	12.6%	13.3%	27.7%	0.48×	7.54
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & both teams score	5.8%	8.3%	14.3%	0.58×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata & under 3.5	42.7%	40.3%	23.5%	1.71×	2.48
Gimnasia La Plata & over 1.5	33.8%	30.8%	17.4%	1.76×	3.25
Gimnasia La Plata & under 2.5	29.7%	26.1%	14.6%	1.79×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	27.2%	26.1%	28.2%	0.93×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	27.2%	26.1%	28.2%	0.93×	3.84
Gimnasia La Plata & over 2.5	21.9%	21.6%	13.1%	1.65×	4.63
Gimnasia La Plata & under 1.5	17.8%	18.0%	10.3%	1.75×	5.56
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & under 3.5	16.5%	18.0%	34.8%	0.52×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	15.5%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	14.6%	12.8%	14.8%	0.87×	7.79
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & under 2.5	11.8%	12.8%	23.6%	0.54×	7.79
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & over 1.5	9.6%	7.9%	27.8%	0.28×	12.63
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & under 1.5	8.7%	7.9%	14.1%	0.56×	12.63
Gimnasia La Plata & over 3.5	8.9%	7.9%	4.2%	1.88×	12.63
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & over 2.5	6.6%	7.9%	18.4%	0.43×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	2.9%	4.8%	2.6%	1.83×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	2.9%	4.8%	2.6%	1.83×	20.82
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & over 3.5	1.9%	4.8%	7.2%	0.67×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata (1UP)	61.7%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (1UP)	31.2%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata (2UP)	51.6%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (2UP)	18.4%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata to win 2nd half	42.0%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
2nd half drawn	41.7%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win 2nd half	16.2%	17.8%	—	—	5.63

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.6%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Gimnasia La Plata over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.2%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Gimnasia La Plata under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.8%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Gimnasia La Plata over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.4%	15.9%	—	—	6.28

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 1.5 in 2nd half	94.5%	94.9%	—	—	1.05
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 0.5 in 2nd half	68.6%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 0.5 in 2nd half	31.4%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 1.5 in 2nd half	5.5%	5.1%	—	—	19.64

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata (+2.5)	99.0%	96.3%	95.0%	1.01×	1.04
Gimnasia La Plata (+1.5)	95.0%	92.1%	82.3%	1.12×	1.09
Gimnasia La Plata (+0.5)	81.6%	82.6%	58.2%	1.42×	1.21
Gimnasia La Plata (-0.5)	51.6%	52.4%	27.6%	1.90×	1.91
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (+0.5)	48.4%	47.6%	72.4%	0.66×	2.10
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (-0.5)	18.4%	17.4%	41.8%	0.42×	5.74
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (-1.5)	5.0%	7.9%	17.7%	0.44×	12.72
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (-2.5)	1.0%	3.7%	5.0%	0.73×	27.28

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata clean sheet	51.7%	55.7%	31.8%	1.75×	1.79
Gimnasia La Plata to concede	48.3%	44.3%	68.2%	0.65×	2.26

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata clean sheet in 1st half	75.3%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Gimnasia La Plata to concede in 1st half	24.7%	22.4%	—	—	4.47

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata clean sheet in 2nd half	68.6%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Gimnasia La Plata to concede in 2nd half	31.4%	34.2%	—	—	2.93

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata under 6.5 corners	88.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Gimnasia La Plata under 5.5 corners	79.7%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Gimnasia La Plata over 2.5 corners	68.3%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Gimnasia La Plata under 4.5 corners	67.0%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Gimnasia La Plata under 3.5 corners	50.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Gimnasia La Plata over 3.5 corners	49.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Gimnasia La Plata over 4.5 corners	33.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Gimnasia La Plata under 2.5 corners	31.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Gimnasia La Plata over 5.5 corners	20.3%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Gimnasia La Plata over 6.5 corners	11.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata under 3.5 goals	95.7%	97.5%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
Gimnasia La Plata under 2.5 goals	85.7%	87.8%	93.4%	0.94×	1.14
Gimnasia La Plata over 0.5 goals	72.8%	71.8%	57.6%	1.25×	1.39
Gimnasia La Plata under 1.5 goals	62.6%	63.2%	78.2%	0.81×	1.58
Gimnasia La Plata over 1.5 goals	37.4%	36.8%	21.8%	1.69×	2.72
Gimnasia La Plata under 0.5 goals	27.2%	28.2%	42.4%	0.66×	3.55
Gimnasia La Plata over 2.5 goals	14.3%	12.2%	6.6%	1.85×	8.19
Gimnasia La Plata over 3.5 goals	4.3%	2.5%	1.1%	2.21×	39.75

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata under 1.5 in 1st half	90.3%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Gimnasia La Plata under 0.5 in 1st half	59.4%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Gimnasia La Plata over 0.5 in 1st half	40.6%	37.5%	—	—	2.66
Gimnasia La Plata over 1.5 in 1st half	9.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.28

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata scores equally in both	39.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Gimnasia La Plata scores more in 2nd half	38.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Gimnasia La Plata scores more in 1st half	22.3%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	62.1%	61.9%	42.3%	1.46×	1.62
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (away no bet)	37.9%	38.1%	57.7%	0.66×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata even goals	53.7%	52.6%	58.4%	0.90×	1.90
Gimnasia La Plata odd goals	46.3%	47.4%	41.6%	1.14×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	93.8%	92.0%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	6.2%	8.0%	—	—	12.43

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	54.5%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Not both halves under 1.5	45.5%	48.7%	—	—	2.05

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	41.3%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
Gimnasia La Plata to score 2+ in a row	32.9%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Either team to score 3+ in a row	12.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Gimnasia La Plata to score 3+ in a row	11.2%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score 2+ in a row	10.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score 3+ in a row	1.7%	2.5%	—	—	39.91

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto corners (+3.5)	94.2%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto corners (+2.5)	90.2%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto corners (+1.5)	84.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Gimnasia La Plata corners (+3.5)	65.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto corners (-1.5)	56.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Gimnasia La Plata corners (+2.5)	54.9%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto corners (-2.5)	45.1%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Gimnasia La Plata corners (+1.5)	43.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto corners (-3.5)	34.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Gimnasia La Plata corners (-1.5)	15.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Gimnasia La Plata corners (-2.5)	9.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Gimnasia La Plata corners (-3.5)	5.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	40.4%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	30.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	29.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	78.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	70.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	70.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 10.5 corners	61.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	59.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	51.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	48.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	40.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	38.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	29.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	29.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	21.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	17.8%	13.8%	10.3%	1.35×	7.23
0-0	14.6%	11.5%	14.8%	0.77×	8.71
1-1	12.6%	11.5%	13.5%	0.85×	8.71
0-2	11.9%	11.5%	4.4%	2.58×	8.71
1-0	8.7%	7.4%	14.1%	0.52×	13.51
1-2	7.9%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
0-3	5.2%	7.4%	2.1%	3.61×	13.51
0-4	1.7%	1.7%	0.6%	3.01×	58.31
1-3	3.4%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.30
1-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.31
2-0	3.1%	1.7%	9.6%	0.18×	58.30
2-1	4.0%	1.7%	8.7%	0.20×	58.30
2-2	2.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.30
2-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.32
3-0	0.7%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.32
3-1	0.9%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
3-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.32
3-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.32
4-0	0.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.50×	58.32
4-1	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.15×	58.32
4-2	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.32
4-3	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
Any other score	1.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata (2nd half DNB)	72.1%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (2nd half DNB)	27.9%	28.6%	—	—	3.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata leading at HT (DNB)	67.6%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto leading at HT (DNB)	32.4%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata or draw (X2)	81.6%	80.6%	58.2%	1.39×	1.24
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto or Gimnasia La Plata (12)	69.9%	69.6%	69.3%	1.00×	1.44
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto or draw (1X)	48.4%	48.5%	72.4%	0.67×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata or draw at HT	84.4%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto or draw at HT	67.4%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto or Gimnasia La Plata at HT	48.2%	51.5%	—	—	1.94

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata or draw (1UP)	81.6%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto or draw (1UP)	48.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata or draw in 2nd half	83.8%	82.2%	—	—	1.22
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto or Gimnasia La Plata in 2nd half	58.3%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto or draw in 2nd half	58.0%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	71.4%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
Neither half drawn	28.7%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata (DNB)	73.7%	71.5%	39.7%	1.80×	1.40
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (DNB)	26.3%	28.5%	60.3%	0.47×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata to score first	56.7%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score first	28.7%	28.0%	—	—	3.57
No goal scored	14.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	64.3%	56.7%	59.4%	0.95×	1.77
Both teams to score	35.7%	43.3%	40.6%	1.07×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	56.1%	47.4%	52.8%	0.90×	2.11
Both score & over 2.5	23.1%	27.9%	27.3%	1.02×	3.59
Both score & under 2.5	12.6%	12.4%	13.5%	0.92×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.2%	8.3%	6.7%	1.23×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	94.7%	89.0%	94.1%	0.95×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	5.3%	11.0%	5.9%	1.85×	9.12

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	82.8%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	17.2%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	74.4%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Both score 2nd half only	15.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Both score 1st half only	8.4%	6.8%	—	—	14.69
Both score in both halves	1.7%	4.8%	—	—	20.83

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	89.9%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	10.1%	14.7%	—	—	6.80

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	61.8%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
A goal in each half	38.2%	40.7%	—	—	2.46

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.3%	47.2%	47.3%	1.00×	2.12
0-1 goals	41.1%	42.2%	39.0%	1.08×	2.37
4-6 goals	13.2%	16.9%	13.5%	1.26×	5.90
7+ goals	0.4%	1.8%	0.5%	4.02×	54.52

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata to score exactly 1	35.4%	35.9%	35.9%	1.00×	2.79
Gimnasia La Plata to score exactly 0	27.2%	27.4%	42.4%	0.65×	3.64
Gimnasia La Plata to score exactly 2	23.1%	22.3%	15.3%	1.46×	4.49
Gimnasia La Plata to score 3+	14.3%	12.9%	6.6%	1.95×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score exactly 0	51.7%	43.1%	31.8%	1.35×	2.32
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score exactly 1	34.1%	32.6%	36.5%	0.89×	3.07
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score exactly 2	11.3%	14.3%	21.8%	0.66×	7.00
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score 3+	2.9%	6.1%	10.1%	0.61×	16.28

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	51.8%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Gimnasia La Plata leading at HT	32.6%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto leading at HT	15.6%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata -1: 1	48.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Gimnasia La Plata -1: X	26.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Gimnasia La Plata -1: 2	24.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata (0:1)	81.6%	77.9%	58.2%	1.34×	1.28
Draw (0:1)	13.3%	13.7%	24.3%	0.56×	7.29
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (0:1)	5.0%	9.2%	17.7%	0.52×	10.91

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata (0:2)	95.0%	90.8%	82.3%	1.10×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	4.0%	3.8%	12.8%	0.29×	26.66
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (0:2)	1.0%	3.7%	5.0%	0.74×	26.85

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata (0:3)	99.0%	96.7%	95.0%	1.02×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	0.8%	2.4%	3.4%	0.69×	42.10
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (0:3)	0.2%	2.4%	1.7%	1.39×	42.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata (0:4)	99.8%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	0.6%	2.14×	81.97
Draw (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.3%	0.97×	81.95

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (1:0)	48.4%	49.2%	72.4%	0.68×	2.03
Draw (1:0)	26.8%	25.1%	18.6%	1.35×	3.99
Gimnasia La Plata (1:0)	24.7%	21.7%	9.1%	2.38×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (2:0)	75.3%	80.3%	90.9%	0.88×	1.25
Draw (2:0)	15.7%	15.8%	6.3%	2.52×	6.32
Gimnasia La Plata (2:0)	9.0%	6.4%	3.0%	2.16×	15.64

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.5%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
Halves equal	31.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
1st half highest scoring	25.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to concede	72.8%	73.0%	57.6%	1.27×	1.37
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto clean sheet	27.2%	27.0%	42.4%	0.64×	3.70

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto clean sheet in 1st half	59.4%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to concede in 1st half	40.6%	37.5%	—	—	2.66

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to concede in 2nd half	54.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto clean sheet in 2nd half	45.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 2.5 corners	88.8%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 3.5 corners	78.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 4.5 corners	65.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 6.5 corners	61.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 5.5 corners	51.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 5.5 corners	48.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 6.5 corners	38.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 4.5 corners	34.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 3.5 corners	21.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 2.5 corners	11.2%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 3.5 goals	99.5%	96.4%	97.1%	0.99×	1.04
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 2.5 goals	97.1%	96.4%	89.9%	1.07×	1.04
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 1.5 goals	85.8%	87.3%	68.2%	1.28×	1.15
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 0.5 goals	51.7%	53.2%	31.8%	1.67×	1.88
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 0.5 goals	48.3%	46.8%	68.2%	0.69×	2.14
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 1.5 goals	14.2%	12.7%	31.8%	0.40×	7.85
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 2.5 goals	2.9%	3.6%	10.1%	0.36×	27.56
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 3.5 goals	0.5%	3.6%	2.9%	1.27×	27.67

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 1.5 in 1st half	96.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 0.5 in 1st half	75.3%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 0.5 in 1st half	24.7%	23.7%	—	—	4.22
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 1.5 in 1st half	3.3%	2.8%	—	—	35.53

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto scores equally in both	57.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto scores more in 2nd half	24.8%	21.1%	—	—	4.75
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto scores more in 1st half	17.8%	15.0%	—	—	6.67

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata (home no bet)	63.2%	60.0%	47.4%	1.27×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	36.8%	40.0%	52.6%	0.76×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto even goals	63.4%	56.2%	55.6%	1.01×	1.78
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto odd goals	36.6%	43.8%	44.4%	0.99×	2.28

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	44.8%	40.6%	—	—	2.46
HT 0-1	23.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 1-0	12.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	6.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
HT 0-2	6.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.31
HT 2-0	1.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.30
Any other HT score	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.30
HT 2-1	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.36
HT 2-2	0.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.40

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata at HT / Gimnasia La Plata at FT	28.2%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	22.2%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Draw at HT / Gimnasia La Plata at FT	21.4%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto at HT / Estudiantes de Río Cuarto at FT	9.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.43
Draw at HT / Estudiantes de Río Cuarto at FT	8.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.46
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Gimnasia La Plata at HT / Draw at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto at HT / Gimnasia La Plata at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.97
Gimnasia La Plata at HT / Estudiantes de Río Cuarto at FT	0.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.01

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata to score last	56.8%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score last	28.6%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
No goal scored	14.6%	9.8%	—	—	10.18

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	85.4%	90.9%	—	—	1.10
Gimnasia La Plata to lead by 1 at any time	61.7%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	35.8%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to lead by 1 at any time	31.2%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Gimnasia La Plata to lead by 2 at any time	28.5%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	11.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.45
Gimnasia La Plata to lead by 3 at any time	10.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.48
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to lead by 2 at any time	7.3%	6.6%	—	—	15.04
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to lead by 3 at any time	1.3%	1.6%	—	—	63.98

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto most corners	66.9%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Gimnasia La Plata most corners	23.5%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Corners level	9.6%	8.3%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.9%	83.4%	84.3%	0.99×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.5%	83.4%	79.9%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	71.8%	72.3%	71.5%	1.01×	1.38
2-6 goals	58.5%	59.1%	60.7%	0.97×	1.69
2-5 goals	57.4%	59.1%	60.1%	0.98×	1.69
1-2 goals	54.1%	53.2%	51.4%	1.03×	1.88
2-4 goals	54.0%	53.2%	55.8%	0.95×	1.88
2-3 goals	45.3%	48.4%	47.3%	1.02×	2.06
3-6 goals	30.9%	35.2%	33.5%	1.05×	2.84
3-5 goals	29.8%	30.2%	33.0%	0.92×	3.31
3-4 goals	26.4%	30.2%	28.6%	1.06×	3.31
4-6 goals	13.2%	14.8%	13.5%	1.10×	6.75
4-5 goals	12.1%	14.8%	12.9%	1.15×	6.76
5-6 goals	4.5%	2.6%	5.0%	0.51×	39.07
7+ goals	0.4%	2.5%	0.5%	5.59×	39.25

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata never behind	54.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto never behind	23.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.9%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.1%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	60.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	39.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.3%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.7%	41.4%	—	—	2.42

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.5%	95.4%	99.0%	0.96×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	95.1%	95.4%	94.6%	1.01×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	86.4%	87.6%	86.2%	1.02×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	85.4%	87.6%	85.2%	1.03×	1.14
Under 2.5 goals	68.7%	66.3%	66.1%	1.00×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	58.9%	58.6%	61.0%	0.96×	1.71
Under 1.5 goals	41.1%	41.4%	39.0%	1.06×	2.42
Over 2.5 goals	31.3%	33.7%	33.9%	0.99×	2.97
Under 0.5 goals	14.6%	12.4%	14.8%	0.84×	8.06
Over 3.5 goals	13.6%	12.4%	13.8%	0.90×	8.06
Over 4.5 goals	4.9%	4.6%	5.4%	0.86×	21.80
Over 5.5 goals	1.5%	4.6%	1.0%	4.46×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.6%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.4%	97.2%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	94.6%	92.4%	94.1%	0.98×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	83.5%	81.1%	82.7%	0.98×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	56.8%	55.8%	53.5%	1.04×	1.79
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	43.2%	44.2%	46.5%	0.95×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	16.5%	18.9%	17.3%	1.09×	5.29
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	5.4%	7.6%	5.9%	1.29×	13.20
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.6%	2.8%	1.1%	2.62×	35.65
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.4%	2.8%	0.5%	6.11×	35.68

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	95.2%	96.1%	—	—	1.04
Under 1.5 in 1st half	80.6%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	55.2%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Under 0.5 in 1st half	44.8%	35.5%	—	—	2.82
Over 1.5 in 1st half	19.4%	14.4%	—	—	6.95
Over 2.5 in 1st half	4.8%	3.9%	—	—	25.48

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	88.9%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	68.4%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	67.6%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	32.4%	31.5%	—	—	3.17
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	31.6%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	11.1%	14.5%	—	—	6.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto not to score in both halves	92.3%	90.5%	—	—	1.11
Gimnasia La Plata not to score in both halves	78.0%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Gimnasia La Plata to score in both halves	22.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score in both halves	7.7%	9.5%	—	—	10.56

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Gimnasia La Plata scores	37.1%	39.9%	17.1%	2.33×	2.51
Both teams score	35.7%	39.9%	40.6%	0.98×	2.51
Neither team scores	14.6%	11.0%	14.8%	0.75×	9.06
Only Estudiantes de Río Cuarto scores	12.6%	11.0%	27.7%	0.40×	9.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.6%	24.9%	27.3%	0.91×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	26.5%	24.9%	24.3%	1.02×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	17.7%	17.5%	20.2%	0.87×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	14.6%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.25
Exactly 4 goals	8.7%	7.6%	8.6%	0.89×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	3.4%	4.5%	4.4%	1.01×	22.35
6 or more goals	1.5%	4.5%	1.0%	4.36×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	44.8%	40.6%	—	—	2.46
1 goal in 1st half	35.8%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	14.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
3+ goals in 1st half	4.8%	3.9%	—	—	25.48

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	36.0%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
2+ goals in 2nd half	32.4%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	31.6%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto not to win both halves	97.4%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Gimnasia La Plata not to win both halves	86.2%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Gimnasia La Plata to win both halves	13.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win both halves	2.6%	2.8%	—	—	36.17

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win neither half	70.7%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Gimnasia La Plata to win either half	60.8%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Gimnasia La Plata to win neither half	39.2%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win either half	29.3%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto not to win to nil	87.4%	88.1%	72.3%	1.22×	1.14
Gimnasia La Plata not to win to nil	62.9%	66.5%	82.9%	0.80×	1.50
Gimnasia La Plata to win to nil	37.1%	33.5%	17.1%	1.96×	2.99
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win to nil	12.6%	11.9%	27.7%	0.43×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata by 1	26.8%	27.9%	18.6%	1.50×	3.59
Draw	30.1%	27.7%	30.7%	0.90×	3.61
Gimnasia La Plata by 2	15.7%	17.0%	6.3%	2.72×	5.87
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto by 1	13.3%	11.8%	24.3%	0.48×	8.50
Gimnasia La Plata by 3+	9.0%	7.2%	3.0%	2.43×	13.90
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto by 2	4.0%	2.7%	12.8%	0.21×	36.85
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto by 3+	1.0%	2.7%	5.0%	0.54×	36.94