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Estudiantes de Río Cuarto v Racing Club — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 5 October 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto win
22.0%
model 21.5%
Draw
28.9%
model 30.3%
Racing Club win
49.1%
model 48.2%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (476 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 0-1 16.6%
  2. 0-0 14.0%
  3. 1-1 13.1%
  4. 0-2 10.7%
  5. 1-0 9.6%

Goals

Over 2.532.3% Under 2.567.7%
BTTS yes37.9% BTTS no62.1%
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 1+52.3% Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2+17.0%
Racing Club 1+71.5% Racing Club 2+35.8%

Expected goals 0.74 – 1.26. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
22/100
Data quality
55/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
Racing Club (DNB)
Draw no bet · usually 40%
68.5% fair odds 1.46
strong signal · 298 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Under 1.5 in 1st half
Over/Under 1HT
83.4% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 394 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Racing Club carry the stronger rating, 1536 Elo against 1348.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0033 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Racing Club have an estimated 49.1% win probability, against 28.9% for the draw and 22.0% for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.74 for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto and 1.26 for Racing Club.

Why Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

Nothing in the data singles out Estudiantes de Río Cuarto.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.9%. A combined 2.00 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Racing Club can win

Racing Club carry the stronger rating, 1536 Elo against 1348.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Racing Club, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto: 44% possession, 7.8 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Racing Club: 58% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Racing Club are the model's most likely outcome at 49.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 16.6%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 0.74–1.26 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 0.57–1.13 0-1 20% 24% 30%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club to win 48.2% 49.3% 27.7% 1.78× 2.03
Draw 30.3% 28.9% 30.7% 0.94× 3.45
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win 21.5% 22.1% 41.8% 0.53× 4.52
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club & not both score 33.7% 32.8% 17.2% 1.91× 3.05
Draw & both teams score 16.3% 17.7% 15.9% 1.12× 5.64
Racing Club & both teams score 14.5% 12.2% 10.6% 1.15× 8.21
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & not both score 14.4% 12.2% 27.7% 0.44× 8.21
Draw & not both score 14.0% 12.2% 14.9% 0.82× 8.21
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & both teams score 7.0% 7.3% 14.2% 0.52× 13.68
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club & under 3.5 39.8% 37.6% 23.6% 1.59× 2.66
Racing Club & over 1.5 31.6% 33.1% 17.5% 1.89× 3.02
Racing Club & under 2.5 27.3% 25.5% 14.6% 1.74× 3.92
Draw & under 2.5 27.1% 25.5% 28.1% 0.91× 3.92
Draw & under 3.5 27.1% 25.5% 28.1% 0.91× 3.92
Racing Club & over 2.5 20.9% 21.5% 13.2% 1.63× 4.65
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & under 3.5 18.9% 17.6% 34.8% 0.51× 5.69
Racing Club & under 1.5 16.6% 17.6% 10.3% 1.71× 5.69
Draw & over 1.5 16.3% 17.6% 15.9% 1.10× 5.70
Draw & under 1.5 14.0% 12.7% 14.9% 0.86× 7.86
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & under 2.5 13.3% 12.7% 23.6% 0.54× 7.86
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & over 1.5 11.9% 12.7% 27.7% 0.46× 7.86
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & under 1.5 9.6% 7.5% 14.2% 0.53× 13.40
Racing Club & over 3.5 8.4% 7.5% 4.2% 1.76× 13.40
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & over 2.5 8.1% 7.5% 18.3% 0.41× 13.41
Draw & over 2.5 3.3% 4.6% 2.6% 1.73× 21.97
Draw & over 3.5 3.3% 4.6% 2.6% 1.73× 21.97
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & over 3.5 2.6% 4.5% 7.1% 0.64× 22.00
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club (1UP) 59.3% 62.4% 1.60
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (1UP) 34.8% 32.8% 3.05
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club (2UP) 48.2% 49.6% 2.02
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (2UP) 21.5% 21.0% 4.75
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 41.8% 39.5% 2.53
Racing Club to win 2nd half 39.7% 37.5% 2.66
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win 2nd half 18.6% 20.2% 4.95
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club (+2.5) 98.6% 97.2% 95.0% 1.02× 1.03
Racing Club (+1.5) 93.6% 92.3% 82.5% 1.12× 1.08
Racing Club (+0.5) 78.5% 78.6% 58.2% 1.35× 1.27
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (+0.5) 51.8% 51.6% 72.3% 0.71× 1.94
Racing Club (-0.5) 48.2% 48.4% 27.7% 1.75× 2.07
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (-0.5) 21.5% 21.4% 41.8% 0.51× 4.67
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (-1.5) 6.4% 7.7% 17.5% 0.44× 13.05
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (-2.5) 1.4% 2.8% 5.0% 0.55× 36.04
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club to concede 52.3% 58.2% 68.1% 0.85× 1.72
Racing Club clean sheet 47.7% 41.8% 31.9% 1.31× 2.39
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club clean sheet in 1st half 72.7% 74.4% 1.34
Racing Club to concede in 1st half 27.3% 25.6% 3.91
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club under 6.5 corners 82.3% 81.4% 1.23
Racing Club over 2.5 corners 75.6% 76.0% 1.32
Racing Club under 5.5 corners 71.7% 71.6% 1.40
Racing Club over 3.5 corners 58.9% 57.1% 1.75
Racing Club under 4.5 corners 57.7% 57.1% 1.75
Racing Club over 4.5 corners 42.3% 42.9% 2.33
Racing Club under 3.5 corners 41.1% 42.9% 2.33
Racing Club over 5.5 corners 28.3% 28.4% 3.52
Racing Club under 2.5 corners 24.4% 24.0% 4.16
Racing Club over 6.5 corners 17.7% 18.6% 5.37
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club under 3.5 goals 96.1% 97.3% 98.9% 0.98× 1.03
Racing Club under 2.5 goals 86.7% 88.9% 93.4% 0.95× 1.13
Racing Club over 0.5 goals 71.5% 71.9% 57.6% 1.25× 1.39
Racing Club under 1.5 goals 64.2% 64.2% 78.1% 0.82× 1.56
Racing Club over 1.5 goals 35.8% 35.8% 21.9% 1.64× 2.80
Racing Club under 0.5 goals 28.5% 28.1% 42.4% 0.66× 3.56
Racing Club over 2.5 goals 13.3% 11.1% 6.6% 1.67× 9.02
Racing Club over 3.5 goals 3.9% 2.7% 1.1% 2.36× 37.11
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club under 1.5 in 1st half 90.9% 93.2% 1.07
Racing Club under 0.5 in 1st half 60.5% 63.5% 1.58
Racing Club over 0.5 in 1st half 39.5% 36.5% 2.74
Racing Club over 1.5 in 1st half 9.1% 6.8% 14.68
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 58.6% 59.1% 42.3% 1.40× 1.69
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (away no bet) 41.5% 40.9% 57.7% 0.71× 2.45
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club even goals 54.0% 52.4% 58.5% 0.90× 1.91
Racing Club odd goals 46.0% 47.6% 41.5% 1.15× 2.10
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 93.5% 92.3% 1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals 6.5% 7.7% 13.00
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals 53.5% 55.8% 1.79
Not both halves under 1.5 46.5% 44.2% 2.26
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 41.3% 44.9% 2.23
Racing Club to score 2+ in a row 30.9% 33.8% 2.96
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score 2+ in a row 12.7% 12.2% 8.20
Either team to score 3+ in a row 12.3% 12.2% 8.20
Racing Club to score 3+ in a row 10.0% 12.1% 8.24
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score 3+ in a row 2.3% 3.4% 29.80
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club corners (+3.5) 86.1% 84.5% 1.18
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto corners (+3.5) 84.6% 79.8% 1.25
Racing Club corners (+2.5) 78.5% 74.8% 1.34
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto corners (+2.5) 76.6% 74.8% 1.34
Racing Club corners (+1.5) 68.8% 65.8% 1.52
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto corners (+1.5) 66.5% 65.8% 1.52
Racing Club corners (-1.5) 33.5% 34.2% 2.93
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto corners (-1.5) 31.2% 34.2% 2.93
Racing Club corners (-2.5) 23.4% 25.2% 3.97
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto corners (-2.5) 21.5% 25.2% 3.98
Racing Club corners (-3.5) 15.4% 20.2% 4.96
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto corners (-3.5) 13.9% 15.5% 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 53.1% 45.4% 2.21
9-11 corners 28.3% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 18.7% 22.7% 4.40
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 87.3% 83.0% 1.21
Under 11.5 corners 81.3% 80.7% 1.24
Under 10.5 corners 73.6% 72.6% 1.38
Under 9.5 corners 64.1% 63.3% 1.58
Over 7.5 corners 58.7% 57.9% 1.73
Under 8.5 corners 53.1% 53.2% 1.88
Over 8.5 corners 46.9% 46.8% 2.14
Under 7.5 corners 41.3% 42.1% 2.38
Over 9.5 corners 35.9% 36.7% 2.72
Over 10.5 corners 26.4% 27.4% 3.65
Over 11.5 corners 18.7% 19.3% 5.18
Over 12.5 corners 12.7% 17.0% 5.88
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-1 16.6% 11.7% 10.3% 1.14× 8.51
0-0 14.0% 11.6% 14.9% 0.78× 8.62
1-1 13.1% 11.6% 13.4% 0.87× 8.63
0-2 10.7% 11.6% 4.5% 2.59× 8.64
1-0 9.6% 7.3% 14.2% 0.51× 13.74
1-2 7.9% 7.3% 7.1% 1.03× 13.74
0-3 4.5% 1.8% 2.1% 0.88× 55.40
2-0 3.7% 1.8% 9.5% 0.19× 55.42
2-1 4.7% 1.8% 8.7% 0.21× 55.39
1-3 3.3% 1.8% 1.9% 0.93× 55.43
2-2 2.9% 1.8% 2.3% 0.79× 55.44
0-4 1.4% 1.8% 0.6% 3.15× 55.47
2-3 1.2% 1.8% 1.5% 1.21× 55.48
1-4 1.0% 1.8% 0.3% 5.25× 55.48
2-4 0.4% 1.8% 0.1% 15.75× 55.50
3-0 0.9% 1.8% 2.7% 0.66× 55.49
3-1 1.2% 1.8% 3.0% 0.61× 55.48
3-2 0.7% 1.8% 1.6% 1.13× 55.49
3-3 0.3% 1.8% 0.3% 5.25× 55.50
3-4 0.1% 1.8% 0.1% 15.75× 55.51
4-0 0.2% 1.8% 1.1% 1.57× 55.50
4-1 0.2% 1.8% 0.8% 2.25× 55.50
4-2 0.1% 1.8% 0.3% 5.25× 55.51
4-3 0.1% 1.8% 0.2% 7.87× 55.51
4-4 0.0% 1.8% 0.2% 7.87× 55.51
Any other score 1.0% 1.8% 0.9% 1.97× 55.48
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club leading at HT (DNB) 63.5% 65.2% 1.53
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto leading at HT (DNB) 36.5% 34.8% 2.88
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club or draw (X2) 78.5% 77.9% 58.2% 1.34× 1.28
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto or Racing Club (12) 69.7% 71.1% 69.3% 1.02× 1.41
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto or draw (1X) 51.8% 50.7% 72.3% 0.70× 1.97
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club or draw at HT 82.3% 81.7% 1.22
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto or draw at HT 69.2% 66.3% 1.51
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto or Racing Club at HT 48.5% 47.4% 2.11
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club or draw (1UP) 78.5% 84.7% 1.18
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto or draw (1UP) 51.8% 58.7% 1.70
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club or draw in 2nd half 81.4% 79.8% 1.25
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto or draw in 2nd half 60.3% 62.5% 1.60
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto or Racing Club in 2nd half 58.2% 60.5% 1.65
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 71.3% 72.8% 1.37
Neither half drawn 28.7% 27.2% 3.67
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club (DNB) 69.2% 68.5% 39.9% 1.72× 1.46
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (DNB) 30.8% 31.5% 60.1% 0.52× 3.18
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club to score first 54.1% 53.8% 1.86
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score first 31.9% 31.8% 3.14
No goal scored 14.0% 9.0% 11.14
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 62.1% 57.4% 59.5% 0.97× 1.74
Both teams to score 37.9% 42.6% 40.5% 1.05× 2.35
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 54.7% 47.2% 52.9% 0.89× 2.12
Both score & over 2.5 24.8% 25.7% 27.2% 0.94× 3.89
Both score & under 2.5 13.1% 11.7% 13.4% 0.88× 8.52
Not both score & over 2.5 7.5% 8.7% 6.8% 1.29× 11.48
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 93.9% 89.0% 94.1% 0.95× 1.12
Both teams to score 2+ 6.1% 11.0% 6.0% 1.84× 9.11
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 81.6% 77.2% 1.30
Both teams to score in 2nd half 18.4% 22.8% 4.40
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 72.7% 68.5% 1.46
Both score 2nd half only 16.4% 18.1% 5.52
Both score 1st half only 8.9% 6.5% 15.29
Both score in both halves 2.0% 4.8% 21.04
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 89.1% 85.7% 1.17
Both teams to score by HT 10.9% 14.3% 6.97
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 61.1% 62.9% 1.59
A goal in each half 38.9% 37.1% 2.70
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 45.5% 45.9% 47.3% 0.97× 2.18
0-1 goals 40.2% 43.0% 39.1% 1.10× 2.32
4-6 goals 13.8% 16.9% 13.4% 1.26× 5.91
7+ goals 0.4% 1.9% 0.5% 4.19× 52.19
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club to score exactly 1 35.8% 34.5% 35.8% 0.96× 2.90
Racing Club to score exactly 0 28.5% 27.1% 42.4% 0.64× 3.69
Racing Club to score exactly 2 22.5% 24.0% 15.3% 1.56× 4.17
Racing Club to score 3+ 13.3% 13.4% 6.6% 2.02× 7.45
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score exactly 0 47.7% 45.8% 31.9% 1.43× 2.19
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score exactly 1 35.3% 35.9% 36.5% 0.98× 2.78
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score exactly 2 13.1% 13.5% 21.7% 0.62× 7.42
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score 3+ 3.9% 2.8% 10.1% 0.28× 35.45
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 51.5% 52.6% 1.90
Racing Club leading at HT 30.8% 33.7% 2.97
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto leading at HT 17.7% 18.3% 5.46
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club -1: 1 51.8% 51.5% 1.94
Racing Club -1: X 25.9% 27.0% 3.70
Racing Club -1: 2 22.3% 23.9% 4.18
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club (0:1) 78.5% 81.0% 58.2% 1.39× 1.24
Draw (0:1) 15.1% 18.2% 24.4% 0.75× 5.49
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (0:1) 6.4% 8.4% 17.5% 0.48× 11.89
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club (0:2) 93.6% 91.5% 82.5% 1.11× 1.09
Draw (0:2) 5.0% 7.1% 12.6% 0.57× 14.05
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (0:2) 1.4% 3.0% 5.0% 0.59× 33.89
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club (0:3) 98.6% 97.2% 95.0% 1.02× 1.03
Draw (0:3) 1.2% 2.3% 3.4% 0.67× 43.34
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (0:3) 0.2% 2.3% 1.7% 1.34× 43.55
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club (0:4) 99.8% 98.1% 98.3% 1.00× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.2% 1.2% 1.3% 0.98× 81.25
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (0:4) 0.0% 1.2% 0.6% 2.15× 81.34
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (1:0) 51.8% 48.6% 72.3% 0.67× 2.06
Draw (1:0) 25.9% 28.5% 18.7% 1.53× 3.51
Racing Club (1:0) 22.3% 22.9% 9.2% 2.50× 4.36
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (2:0) 77.7% 77.7% 90.8% 0.86× 1.29
Draw (2:0) 14.5% 12.2% 6.3% 1.94× 8.21
Racing Club (2:0) 7.8% 6.6% 3.0% 2.22× 15.12
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 43.8% 49.4% 2.02
1st half highest scoring 25.4% 26.1% 3.83
Halves equal 30.9% 25.5% 3.92
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to concede 71.5% 71.1% 57.6% 1.24× 1.41
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto clean sheet 28.5% 28.9% 42.4% 0.68× 3.46
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto clean sheet in 1st half 60.5% 63.3% 1.58
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to concede in 1st half 39.5% 36.7% 2.72
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 6.5 corners 83.6% 81.0% 1.24
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 2.5 corners 74.3% 71.8% 1.39
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 5.5 corners 73.4% 71.8% 1.39
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 4.5 corners 59.5% 57.6% 1.74
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 3.5 corners 57.1% 57.6% 1.74
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 3.5 corners 42.9% 42.4% 2.36
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 4.5 corners 40.5% 42.4% 2.36
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 5.5 corners 26.6% 28.2% 3.55
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 2.5 corners 25.7% 28.2% 3.55
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 6.5 corners 16.4% 19.0% 5.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 3.5 goals 99.3% 97.8% 97.1% 1.01× 1.02
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 2.5 goals 96.1% 97.7% 89.9% 1.09× 1.02
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 1.5 goals 83.0% 82.4% 68.3% 1.21× 1.21
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 0.5 goals 52.3% 52.7% 68.1% 0.77× 1.90
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 0.5 goals 47.7% 47.3% 31.9% 1.48× 2.12
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 1.5 goals 17.0% 17.6% 31.7% 0.55× 5.69
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 2.5 goals 3.9% 2.3% 10.1% 0.23× 43.68
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 3.5 goals 0.7% 2.2% 2.9% 0.77× 45.60
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 1.5 in 1st half 95.9% 96.7% 1.04
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 0.5 in 1st half 72.7% 72.4% 1.38
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 0.5 in 1st half 27.3% 27.6% 3.62
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 1.5 in 1st half 4.1% 3.3% 29.94
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club (home no bet) 61.4% 61.3% 47.5% 1.29× 1.63
Draw (home no bet) 38.6% 38.7% 52.5% 0.74× 2.58
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto even goals 61.4% 64.9% 55.7% 1.17× 1.54
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto odd goals 38.6% 35.1% 44.3% 0.79× 2.85
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 44.1% 41.0% 2.44
HT 0-1 22.0% 22.6% 4.42
HT 1-0 13.9% 11.2% 8.92
HT 1-1 7.1% 7.7% 13.01
HT 0-2 5.6% 7.7% 13.03
HT 2-0 2.2% 2.5% 39.87
Any other HT score 1.9% 2.5% 39.89
HT 1-2 1.8% 2.5% 39.90
HT 2-1 1.1% 2.5% 39.94
HT 2-2 0.3% 2.5% 39.98
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club at HT / Racing Club at FT 26.0% 27.0% 3.70
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 21.9% 21.4% 4.67
Draw at HT / Racing Club at FT 20.2% 21.4% 4.68
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto at HT / Estudiantes de Río Cuarto at FT 11.2% 12.0% 8.37
Draw at HT / Estudiantes de Río Cuarto at FT 9.4% 6.6% 15.17
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto at HT / Draw at FT 4.5% 3.4% 29.32
Racing Club at HT / Draw at FT 3.9% 3.4% 29.35
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto at HT / Racing Club at FT 2.0% 3.4% 29.43
Racing Club at HT / Estudiantes de Río Cuarto at FT 0.9% 3.4% 29.48
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club to score last 54.2% 53.7% 1.86
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score last 31.8% 35.7% 2.80
No goal scored 14.0% 9.0% 11.14
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 86.0% 91.3% 1.10
Racing Club to lead by 1 at any time 59.3% 59.7% 1.68
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 35.4% 37.2% 2.69
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to lead by 1 at any time 34.8% 32.1% 3.11
Racing Club to lead by 2 at any time 26.3% 25.9% 3.85
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 10.9% 11.3% 8.85
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to lead by 2 at any time 9.1% 7.1% 14.12
Racing Club to lead by 3 at any time 9.0% 7.1% 14.13
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to lead by 3 at any time 1.8% 2.6% 38.63
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club most corners 45.2% 46.9% 2.13
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto most corners 42.6% 43.5% 2.30
Corners level 12.2% 10.4% 9.59
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 84.3% 81.6% 84.2% 0.97× 1.23
1-4 goals 80.8% 81.5% 79.9% 1.02× 1.23
1-3 goals 71.8% 73.6% 71.5% 1.03× 1.36
2-6 goals 59.3% 58.8% 60.5% 0.97× 1.70
2-5 goals 58.1% 58.8% 60.0% 0.98× 1.70
2-4 goals 54.5% 52.4% 55.6% 0.94× 1.91
1-2 goals 53.7% 52.4% 51.4% 1.02× 1.91
2-3 goals 45.5% 48.0% 47.3% 1.02× 2.08
3-6 goals 31.8% 34.1% 33.5% 1.02× 2.93
3-5 goals 30.6% 34.1% 33.0% 1.03× 2.93
3-4 goals 27.0% 30.5% 28.6% 1.06× 3.28
4-6 goals 13.8% 13.5% 13.4% 1.01× 7.41
4-5 goals 12.6% 13.5% 12.8% 1.05× 7.43
5-6 goals 4.8% 2.1% 5.0% 0.41× 48.47
7+ goals 0.4% 2.0% 0.5% 4.36× 50.11
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club never behind 51.2% 61.2% 1.63
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto never behind 26.7% 30.9% 3.23
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.2% 50.1% 49.1% 1.02× 2.00
Even number of goals 51.8% 49.9% 50.9% 0.98× 2.01
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 59.8% 55.4% 1.81
Odd goals in 1st half 40.2% 44.6% 2.24
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 55.1% 52.0% 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 44.9% 48.0% 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 98.4% 95.7% 99.0% 0.97× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 94.8% 93.0% 94.6% 0.98× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 86.0% 88.7% 85.1% 1.04× 1.13
Under 3.5 goals 85.8% 88.7% 86.3% 1.03× 1.13
Under 2.5 goals 67.7% 65.5% 66.1% 0.99× 1.53
Over 1.5 goals 59.8% 57.8% 60.9% 0.95× 1.73
Under 1.5 goals 40.2% 42.2% 39.1% 1.08× 2.37
Over 2.5 goals 32.3% 34.5% 33.9% 1.02× 2.90
Over 3.5 goals 14.2% 11.3% 13.7% 0.82× 8.87
Under 0.5 goals 14.0% 11.3% 14.9% 0.76× 8.87
Over 4.5 goals 5.2% 7.0% 5.4% 1.31× 14.23
Over 5.5 goals 1.6% 4.3% 1.0% 4.20× 23.13
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.5% 97.3% 99.5% 0.98× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 98.3% 97.2% 98.9% 0.98× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 94.2% 92.8% 94.1% 0.99× 1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 82.6% 80.7% 82.8% 0.97× 1.24
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 55.5% 55.3% 53.6% 1.03× 1.81
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 44.5% 44.7% 46.4% 0.96× 2.24
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 17.4% 19.3% 17.2% 1.12× 5.18
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 5.8% 7.2% 5.9% 1.23× 13.82
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 1.7% 2.8% 1.1% 2.57× 36.19
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.5% 2.7% 0.5% 5.97× 36.39
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 94.9% 92.3% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 80.0% 83.4% 1.20
Over 0.5 in 1st half 55.9% 59.9% 1.67
Under 0.5 in 1st half 44.1% 40.1% 2.50
Over 1.5 in 1st half 20.0% 16.6% 6.03
Over 2.5 in 1st half 5.1% 7.7% 13.03
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 88.5% 85.9% 1.16
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 69.0% 68.5% 1.46
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 67.0% 68.3% 1.47
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 33.0% 31.7% 3.15
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 31.0% 31.5% 3.17
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 11.5% 14.1% 7.11
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto not to score in both halves 90.6% 89.9% 1.11
Racing Club not to score in both halves 79.1% 78.2% 1.28
Racing Club to score in both halves 20.9% 21.8% 4.58
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score in both halves 9.4% 10.1% 9.93
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 37.9% 40.0% 40.5% 0.99× 2.50
Only Racing Club scores 33.7% 36.2% 17.2% 2.11× 2.77
Only Estudiantes de Río Cuarto scores 14.4% 10.9% 27.7% 0.39× 9.21
Neither team scores 14.0% 10.8% 14.9% 0.73× 9.22
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 27.5% 24.7% 27.1% 0.91× 4.04
Exactly 1 goals 26.2% 24.7% 24.4% 1.01× 4.05
Exactly 3 goals 18.0% 18.6% 20.3% 0.92× 5.39
Exactly 0 goals 14.0% 12.4% 14.9% 0.83× 8.08
Exactly 4 goals 9.0% 7.6% 8.5% 0.90× 13.11
Exactly 5 goals 3.6% 4.4% 4.5% 0.98× 22.93
6 or more goals 1.6% 4.3% 1.0% 4.20× 23.14
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 2nd half 36.0% 38.3% 2.61
2+ goals in 2nd half 33.0% 33.2% 3.01
No goals in 2nd half 31.0% 33.1% 3.02
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto not to win both halves 96.7% 96.7% 1.03
Racing Club not to win both halves 87.7% 87.6% 1.14
Racing Club to win both halves 12.3% 12.4% 8.04
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win both halves 3.3% 3.3% 30.02
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win neither half 67.1% 67.2% 1.49
Racing Club to win either half 58.2% 59.5% 1.68
Racing Club to win neither half 41.8% 40.5% 2.47
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win either half 32.9% 32.8% 3.05
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto not to win to nil 85.6% 88.2% 72.3% 1.22× 1.13
Racing Club not to win to nil 66.3% 64.7% 82.8% 0.78× 1.55
Racing Club to win to nil 33.7% 35.3% 17.2% 2.06× 2.83
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win to nil 14.4% 11.8% 27.7% 0.43× 8.48
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Racing Club by 1 25.9% 28.0% 18.7% 1.50× 3.57
Draw 30.3% 27.3% 30.7% 0.89× 3.67
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto by 1 15.1% 16.9% 24.4% 0.70× 5.90
Racing Club by 2 14.5% 11.9% 6.3% 1.89× 8.42
Racing Club by 3+ 7.8% 7.1% 3.0% 2.39× 14.09
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto by 2 5.0% 7.1% 12.6% 0.56× 14.16
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto by 3+ 1.4% 2.8% 5.0% 0.56× 35.59
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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