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Everton de Viña del Mar v O'Higgins — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 29 November 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Everton de Viña del Mar win
57.9%
model 58.4%
Draw
19.1%
model 19.0%
O'Higgins win
23.0%
model 22.6%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-0 12.1%
  2. 2-1 9.9%
  3. 2-0 9.6%
  4. 1-1 8.9%
  5. 0-1 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.555.1% Under 2.544.9%
BTTS yes52.6% BTTS no47.4%
Everton de Viña del Mar 1+84.3% Everton de Viña del Mar 2+55.3%
O'Higgins 1+64.4% O'Higgins 2+27.7%

Expected goals 1.85 – 1.03. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
80/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
Everton de Viña del Mar or draw (1X)
Double chance · usually 70%
77.3% fair odds 1.29
moderate signal · 1708 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Everton de Viña del Mar not to win both halves
Win both halves
83.1% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 590 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Everton de Viña del Mar carry the stronger rating, 1530 Elo against 1473.
  • Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Everton de Viña del Mar have an estimated 57.9% win probability, against 23.0% for O'Higgins and 19.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.85 for Everton de Viña del Mar and 1.03 for O'Higgins.

Why Everton de Viña del Mar

Everton de Viña del Mar carry the stronger rating, 1530 Elo against 1473. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.1%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why O'Higgins can win

Nothing in the data singles out O'Higgins.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Everton de Viña del Mar, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for O'Higgins, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Everton de Viña del Mar: 50% possession, 17.8 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. O'Higgins: 52% possession, 14.4 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Everton de Viña del Mar's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Everton de Viña del Mar are the model's most likely outcome at 57.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 12.1%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.85–1.03 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.76–0.98 1-0 13% 52% 50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar to win 57.4% 53.9% 49.0% 1.10× 1.85
O'Higgins to win 22.8% 24.5% 30.0% 0.82× 4.09
Draw 19.7% 19.4% 21.2% 0.91× 5.15
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar & not both score 32.9% 29.6% 26.8% 1.10× 3.38
Everton de Viña del Mar & both teams score 24.6% 21.8% 22.4% 0.97× 4.59
Draw & both teams score 15.1% 18.0% 16.6% 1.08× 5.57
O'Higgins & not both score 12.7% 13.3% 16.8% 0.79× 7.54
O'Higgins & both teams score 10.2% 13.3% 13.4% 0.99× 7.54
Draw & not both score 4.6% 4.9% 4.9% 1.00× 20.48
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar & over 1.5 44.2% 40.3% 36.1% 1.12× 2.48
Everton de Viña del Mar & under 3.5 38.9% 34.9% 34.1% 1.02× 2.87
Everton de Viña del Mar & over 2.5 34.2% 30.8% 29.3% 1.05× 3.25
Everton de Viña del Mar & under 2.5 23.2% 21.6% 20.0% 1.08× 4.63
Everton de Viña del Mar & over 3.5 18.6% 18.0% 15.1% 1.19× 5.55
O'Higgins & under 3.5 17.9% 18.0% 23.4% 0.77× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 15.1% 18.0% 16.6% 1.09× 5.56
O'Higgins & over 1.5 14.6% 12.8% 20.0% 0.64× 7.79
Draw & under 2.5 13.9% 12.8% 13.9% 0.92× 7.79
Draw & under 3.5 13.9% 12.8% 13.9% 0.92× 7.79
Everton de Viña del Mar & under 1.5 13.3% 12.8% 13.2% 0.97× 7.79
O'Higgins & over 2.5 11.5% 12.8% 16.6% 0.77× 7.79
O'Higgins & under 2.5 11.4% 12.8% 13.7% 0.94× 7.79
O'Higgins & under 1.5 8.2% 7.9% 10.2% 0.77× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 5.8% 7.9% 7.6% 1.05× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 5.8% 7.9% 7.6% 1.05× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 4.6% 4.8% 4.9% 0.99× 20.81
O'Higgins & over 3.5 5.0% 4.8% 6.8% 0.70× 20.81
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar (1UP) 69.6% 70.4% — — 1.42
O'Higgins (1UP) 39.3% 34.3% — — 2.91
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar (2UP) 57.4% 54.8% — — 1.83
O'Higgins (2UP) 22.8% 23.8% — — 4.20
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar to win 2nd half 45.2% 45.0% — — 2.22
2nd half drawn 33.0% 34.0% — — 2.94
O'Higgins to win 2nd half 21.8% 24.3% — — 4.12
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins under 1.5 in 2nd half 88.2% 87.2% — — 1.15
O'Higgins under 0.5 in 2nd half 55.5% 54.3% — — 1.84
O'Higgins over 0.5 in 2nd half 44.5% 45.7% — — 2.19
O'Higgins over 1.5 in 2nd half 11.8% 12.8% — — 7.79
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar under 1.5 in 2nd half 73.6% 74.4% — — 1.34
Everton de Viña del Mar over 0.5 in 2nd half 63.2% 63.2% — — 1.58
Everton de Viña del Mar under 0.5 in 2nd half 36.8% 36.8% — — 2.72
Everton de Viña del Mar over 1.5 in 2nd half 26.4% 25.6% — — 3.91
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins (+2.5) 86.0% 88.5% 89.5% 0.99× 1.13
Everton de Viña del Mar (+0.5) 77.2% 78.5% 70.0% 1.12× 1.27
O'Higgins (+1.5) 68.9% 68.7% 76.8% 0.89× 1.46
Everton de Viña del Mar (-0.5) 57.4% 57.0% 49.0% 1.16× 1.75
O'Higgins (+0.5) 42.6% 43.0% 51.0% 0.84× 2.33
Everton de Viña del Mar (-1.5) 31.1% 31.3% 23.2% 1.35× 3.19
O'Higgins (-0.5) 22.8% 21.5% 30.0% 0.72× 4.65
Everton de Viña del Mar (-2.5) 14.0% 11.5% 10.5% 1.10× 8.66
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins to concede 82.7% 81.5% 78.5% 1.04× 1.23
O'Higgins clean sheet 17.3% 18.5% 21.5% 0.86× 5.40
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins to concede in 1st half 53.0% 50.9% — — 1.97
O'Higgins clean sheet in 1st half 47.0% 49.1% — — 2.04
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins to concede in 2nd half 63.2% 61.8% — — 1.62
O'Higgins clean sheet in 2nd half 36.8% 38.2% — — 2.62
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins over 2.5 corners 79.7% 76.1% — — 1.32
O'Higgins under 6.5 corners 76.3% 76.0% — — 1.32
O'Higgins over 3.5 corners 64.8% 61.7% — — 1.62
O'Higgins under 5.5 corners 64.9% 61.7% — — 1.62
O'Higgins under 4.5 corners 50.8% 53.1% — — 1.88
O'Higgins over 4.5 corners 49.2% 46.9% — — 2.13
O'Higgins under 3.5 corners 35.2% 38.3% — — 2.61
O'Higgins over 5.5 corners 35.1% 38.3% — — 2.61
O'Higgins over 6.5 corners 23.7% 24.0% — — 4.17
O'Higgins under 2.5 corners 20.3% 23.9% — — 4.18
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins under 3.5 goals 98.2% 97.5% 97.1% 1.00× 1.03
O'Higgins under 2.5 goals 92.3% 92.3% 88.3% 1.05× 1.08
O'Higgins under 1.5 goals 74.3% 71.8% 68.5% 1.05× 1.39
O'Higgins over 0.5 goals 62.5% 63.2% 68.5% 0.92× 1.58
O'Higgins under 0.5 goals 37.5% 36.8% 31.5% 1.17× 2.72
O'Higgins over 1.5 goals 25.7% 28.2% 31.5% 0.89× 3.55
O'Higgins over 2.5 goals 7.7% 7.7% 11.7% 0.65× 13.07
O'Higgins over 3.5 goals 1.8% 2.5% 2.9% 0.86× 39.88
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins under 1.5 in 1st half 94.0% 94.0% — — 1.06
O'Higgins under 0.5 in 1st half 67.5% 70.3% — — 1.42
O'Higgins over 0.5 in 1st half 32.5% 29.7% — — 3.37
O'Higgins over 1.5 in 1st half 6.0% 6.0% — — 16.63
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins scores equally in both 46.7% 48.1% — — 2.08
O'Higgins scores more in 2nd half 33.3% 33.3% — — 3.00
O'Higgins scores more in 1st half 20.0% 21.7% — — 4.60
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar (away no bet) 74.4% 68.5% 69.8% 0.98× 1.46
Draw (away no bet) 25.6% 31.5% 30.2% 1.04× 3.17
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins even goals 57.0% 56.9% 53.7% 1.06× 1.76
O'Higgins odd goals 43.0% 43.1% 46.3% 0.93× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 85.0% 87.7% — — 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 15.0% 12.3% — — 8.15
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 63.0% 57.5% — — 1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals 37.0% 42.5% — — 2.36
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 57.4% 54.9% — — 1.82
Everton de Viña del Mar to score 2+ in a row 44.9% 38.9% — — 2.57
Either team to score 3+ in a row 22.2% 19.5% — — 5.13
Everton de Viña del Mar to score 3+ in a row 18.5% 16.2% — — 6.18
O'Higgins to score 2+ in a row 18.0% 16.2% — — 6.19
O'Higgins to score 3+ in a row 3.9% 2.6% — — 38.58
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar corners (+3.5) 87.9% 84.5% — — 1.18
Everton de Viña del Mar corners (+2.5) 82.0% 79.8% — — 1.25
Everton de Viña del Mar corners (+1.5) 74.5% 70.8% — — 1.41
O'Higgins corners (+3.5) 73.2% 70.8% — — 1.41
O'Higgins corners (+2.5) 64.4% 61.9% — — 1.62
O'Higgins corners (+1.5) 54.6% 52.4% — — 1.91
Everton de Viña del Mar corners (-1.5) 45.4% 47.6% — — 2.10
Everton de Viña del Mar corners (-2.5) 35.6% 38.1% — — 2.62
Everton de Viña del Mar corners (-3.5) 26.8% 29.2% — — 3.42
O'Higgins corners (-1.5) 25.5% 29.2% — — 3.42
O'Higgins corners (-2.5) 18.0% 20.2% — — 4.95
O'Higgins corners (-3.5) 12.1% 15.5% — — 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 39.0% 34.0% — — 2.94
0-8 corners 31.8% 33.2% — — 3.01
9-11 corners 29.3% 31.2% — — 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 77.4% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 12.5 corners 69.5% 67.8% — — 1.48
Over 8.5 corners 68.2% 67.8% — — 1.48
Under 11.5 corners 61.0% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 9.5 corners 58.4% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 10.5 corners 51.6% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 10.5 corners 48.4% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 9.5 corners 41.6% 42.1% — — 2.37
Over 11.5 corners 39.0% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 8.5 corners 31.8% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 12.5 corners 30.5% 32.2% — — 3.11
Under 7.5 corners 22.6% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 13.3% 11.5% 13.2% 0.87× 8.71
1-1 9.3% 7.4% 9.3% 0.80× 13.51
2-0 10.0% 7.4% 7.1% 1.05× 13.51
2-1 9.8% 7.4% 10.7% 0.69× 13.51
0-1 8.2% 7.4% 10.2% 0.72× 13.51
1-2 5.5% 7.4% 7.3% 1.01× 13.51
3-0 5.8% 7.4% 3.9% 1.90× 13.51
3-1 5.7% 7.4% 4.6% 1.60× 13.51
2-2 4.8% 1.7% 6.1% 0.28× 58.29
0-0 4.6% 1.7% 4.9% 0.35× 58.29
0-2 3.1% 1.7% 3.7% 0.47× 58.30
0-3 1.0% 1.7% 2.9% 0.59× 58.31
0-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.32
1-3 1.8% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.31
1-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.32
2-3 1.6% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.31
2-4 0.4% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.32
3-2 2.8% 1.7% 2.0% 0.88× 58.30
3-3 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.31
3-4 0.2% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.32
4-0 2.6% 1.7% 2.4% 0.70× 58.30
4-1 2.5% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.31
4-2 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.31
4-3 0.4% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 7.03× 58.32
Any other score 3.6% 1.7% 3.4% 0.50× 58.30
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar (2nd half DNB) 67.5% 67.0% — — 1.49
O'Higgins (2nd half DNB) 32.5% 33.0% — — 3.03
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar leading at HT (DNB) 69.7% 74.0% — — 1.35
O'Higgins leading at HT (DNB) 30.3% 26.0% — — 3.84
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar or O'Higgins (12) 80.3% 80.6% 78.8% 1.02× 1.24
Everton de Viña del Mar or draw (1X) 77.2% 75.5% 70.0% 1.08× 1.32
O'Higgins or draw (X2) 42.6% 46.1% 51.0% 0.90× 2.17
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar or draw at HT 82.2% 84.0% — — 1.19
O'Higgins or draw at HT 59.0% 57.5% — — 1.74
Everton de Viña del Mar or O'Higgins at HT 58.8% 57.5% — — 1.74
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar or draw (1UP) 77.2% 83.6% — — 1.20
O'Higgins or draw (1UP) 42.6% 52.8% — — 1.89
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar or draw in 2nd half 78.2% 75.7% — — 1.32
Everton de Viña del Mar or O'Higgins in 2nd half 67.0% 66.0% — — 1.52
O'Higgins or draw in 2nd half 54.8% 55.0% — — 1.82
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 62.7% 61.4% — — 1.63
Neither half drawn 37.3% 38.6% — — 2.59
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar (DNB) 71.5% 71.4% 62.0% 1.15× 1.40
O'Higgins (DNB) 28.5% 28.6% 38.0% 0.75× 3.50
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar to score first 61.2% 63.8% — — 1.57
O'Higgins to score first 34.2% 27.9% — — 3.58
No goal scored 4.6% 4.4% — — 22.73
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 50.2% 51.3% 48.0% 1.07× 1.95
Both teams to score 49.8% 48.7% 52.0% 0.94× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 40.5% 41.6% 42.9% 0.97× 2.41
Not both score & under 2.5 39.2% 38.5% 38.0% 1.01× 2.60
Not both score & over 2.5 11.0% 12.4% 10.2% 1.21× 8.09
Both score & under 2.5 9.3% 8.3% 9.3% 0.89× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 86.5% 85.6% 84.6% 1.01× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 13.5% 14.4% 15.4% 0.94× 6.95
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 72.5% 73.7% — — 1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half 27.5% 26.3% — — 3.80
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 60.5% 65.7% — — 1.52
Both score 2nd half only 22.6% 21.3% — — 4.70
Both score 1st half only 12.0% 10.7% — — 9.32
Both score in both halves 4.8% 5.0% — — 20.16
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 83.1% 83.5% — — 1.20
Both teams to score by HT 16.9% 16.5% — — 6.05
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 53.4% 52.6% — — 1.90
A half without a goal 46.6% 47.4% — — 2.11
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 44.5% 42.2% 43.4% 0.97× 2.37
4-6 goals 27.2% 26.6% 26.8% 0.99× 3.76
0-1 goals 26.1% 26.6% 27.8% 0.96× 3.76
7+ goals 2.2% 1.8% 2.4% 0.75× 54.34
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins to score exactly 0 37.5% 35.9% 31.5% 1.14× 2.78
O'Higgins to score exactly 1 36.8% 35.9% 37.3% 0.96× 2.78
O'Higgins to score exactly 2 18.0% 19.5% 20.0% 0.98× 5.12
O'Higgins to score 3+ 7.7% 8.5% 11.7% 0.73× 11.70
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar to score exactly 1 30.3% 32.6% 31.7% 1.03× 3.07
Everton de Viña del Mar to score exactly 2 26.6% 26.6% 26.3% 1.01× 3.77
Everton de Viña del Mar to score 3+ 25.7% 26.6% 21.0% 1.27× 3.77
Everton de Viña del Mar to score exactly 0 17.3% 18.8% 21.5% 0.88× 5.32
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 41.2% 42.5% — — 2.35
Everton de Viña del Mar leading at HT 41.0% 42.5% — — 2.35
O'Higgins leading at HT 17.8% 16.0% — — 6.27
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar -1: 2 42.6% 42.8% — — 2.34
Everton de Viña del Mar -1: 1 31.1% 30.0% — — 3.33
Everton de Viña del Mar -1: X 26.3% 26.5% — — 3.77
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins (0:1) 42.6% 42.6% 51.0% 0.84× 2.35
Everton de Viña del Mar (0:1) 31.1% 30.1% 23.2% 1.30× 3.32
Draw (0:1) 26.3% 27.0% 26.1% 1.03× 3.70
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins (0:2) 68.9% 72.3% 76.8% 0.94× 1.38
Draw (0:2) 17.1% 15.3% 12.9% 1.18× 6.56
Everton de Viña del Mar (0:2) 14.0% 11.0% 10.5% 1.05× 9.09
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins (0:3) 86.0% 90.6% 89.5% 1.01× 1.10
Draw (0:3) 8.8% 5.8% 5.4% 1.08× 17.22
Everton de Viña del Mar (0:3) 5.2% 5.8% 5.4% 1.08× 17.28
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins (0:4) 94.8% 94.6% 94.6% 1.00× 1.06
Draw (0:4) 3.6% 1.2% 4.1% 0.30× 81.57
Everton de Viña del Mar (0:4) 1.6% 1.2% 1.5% 0.84× 81.79
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar (1:0) 77.2% 78.6% 70.0% 1.12× 1.27
Draw (1:0) 15.5% 17.1% 20.0% 0.85× 5.85
O'Higgins (1:0) 7.3% 6.9% 10.2% 0.67× 14.50
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar (2:0) 92.7% 94.0% 89.8% 1.05× 1.06
Draw (2:0) 5.3% 6.4% 6.3% 1.01× 15.68
O'Higgins (2:0) 2.0% 2.3% 4.1% 0.55× 43.80
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 49.1% 48.6% — — 2.06
1st half highest scoring 28.7% 26.3% — — 3.81
Halves equal 22.1% 24.5% — — 4.09
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar to concede 62.5% 63.6% 68.5% 0.93× 1.57
Everton de Viña del Mar clean sheet 37.5% 36.4% 31.5% 1.16× 2.75
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar clean sheet in 1st half 67.5% 70.6% — — 1.42
Everton de Viña del Mar to concede in 1st half 32.5% 29.4% — — 3.41
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar clean sheet in 2nd half 55.5% 54.7% — — 1.83
Everton de Viña del Mar to concede in 2nd half 44.5% 45.3% — — 2.21
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar over 2.5 corners 87.9% 86.2% — — 1.16
Everton de Viña del Mar over 3.5 corners 77.0% 76.5% — — 1.31
Everton de Viña del Mar over 4.5 corners 64.0% 62.3% — — 1.61
Everton de Viña del Mar under 6.5 corners 62.1% 62.3% — — 1.61
Everton de Viña del Mar over 5.5 corners 50.5% 52.6% — — 1.90
Everton de Viña del Mar under 5.5 corners 49.5% 47.4% — — 2.11
Everton de Viña del Mar over 6.5 corners 37.9% 37.7% — — 2.65
Everton de Viña del Mar under 4.5 corners 36.0% 37.7% — — 2.65
Everton de Viña del Mar under 3.5 corners 23.0% 23.5% — — 4.26
Everton de Viña del Mar under 2.5 corners 12.1% 13.8% — — 7.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar under 3.5 goals 89.9% 87.3% 91.0% 0.96× 1.15
Everton de Viña del Mar over 0.5 goals 82.7% 82.2% 78.5% 1.05× 1.22
Everton de Viña del Mar under 2.5 goals 74.3% 74.2% 79.0% 0.94× 1.35
Everton de Viña del Mar over 1.5 goals 52.4% 53.2% 47.1% 1.13× 1.88
Everton de Viña del Mar under 1.5 goals 47.6% 46.8% 52.9% 0.88× 2.14
Everton de Viña del Mar over 2.5 goals 25.7% 25.8% 21.0% 1.23× 3.88
Everton de Viña del Mar under 0.5 goals 17.3% 17.8% 21.5% 0.83× 5.62
Everton de Viña del Mar over 3.5 goals 10.2% 12.7% 9.0% 1.41× 7.86
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar under 1.5 in 1st half 82.5% 84.2% — — 1.19
Everton de Viña del Mar over 0.5 in 1st half 53.0% 50.7% — — 1.97
Everton de Viña del Mar under 0.5 in 1st half 47.0% 49.3% — — 2.03
Everton de Viña del Mar over 1.5 in 1st half 17.5% 15.8% — — 6.32
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar scores more in 2nd half 40.2% 41.6% — — 2.40
Everton de Viña del Mar scores equally in both 33.0% 33.2% — — 3.01
Everton de Viña del Mar scores more in 1st half 26.7% 27.8% — — 3.59
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins (home no bet) 53.7% 51.5% 58.6% 0.88× 1.94
Draw (home no bet) 46.3% 48.5% 41.4% 1.17× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar even goals 51.5% 50.8% 54.4% 0.93× 1.97
Everton de Viña del Mar odd goals 48.5% 49.3% 45.6% 1.08× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 31.4% 33.4% — — 2.99
HT 1-0 24.3% 24.4% — — 4.10
HT 0-1 12.8% 11.0% — — 9.10
HT 1-1 9.1% 6.9% — — 14.52
HT 2-0 9.0% 6.9% — — 14.52
Any other HT score 4.8% 2.4% — — 42.11
HT 2-1 3.5% 2.4% — — 42.19
HT 0-2 2.4% 2.4% — — 42.26
HT 1-2 1.8% 2.4% — — 42.30
HT 2-2 0.7% 2.4% — — 42.38
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar at HT / Everton de Viña del Mar at FT 35.1% 41.1% — — 2.44
Draw at HT / Everton de Viña del Mar at FT 19.7% 16.8% — — 5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 11.5% 12.7% — — 7.90
O'Higgins at HT / O'Higgins at FT 11.3% 12.7% — — 7.90
Draw at HT / O'Higgins at FT 10.0% 6.1% — — 16.41
Everton de Viña del Mar at HT / Draw at FT 4.4% 3.5% — — 28.88
O'Higgins at HT / Draw at FT 3.8% 3.5% — — 28.90
O'Higgins at HT / Everton de Viña del Mar at FT 2.7% 3.5% — — 28.94
Everton de Viña del Mar at HT / O'Higgins at FT 1.5% 3.5% — — 28.98
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar to score last 60.9% 61.9% — — 1.62
O'Higgins to score last 34.5% 32.6% — — 3.07
No goal scored 4.6% 4.4% — — 22.73
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 95.4% 95.5% — — 1.05
Everton de Viña del Mar to lead by 1 at any time 69.6% 69.4% — — 1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 48.9% 44.4% — — 2.25
O'Higgins to lead by 1 at any time 39.3% 34.9% — — 2.87
Everton de Viña del Mar to lead by 2 at any time 37.4% 34.8% — — 2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 19.4% 14.9% — — 6.73
Everton de Viña del Mar to lead by 3 at any time 16.5% 14.8% — — 6.75
O'Higgins to lead by 2 at any time 11.7% 10.6% — — 9.45
O'Higgins to lead by 3 at any time 2.9% 1.6% — — 62.46
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar most corners 55.7% 55.6% — — 1.80
O'Higgins most corners 34.4% 34.4% — — 2.90
Corners level 9.9% 8.4% — — 11.98
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 89.4% 87.4% 87.3% 1.00× 1.14
1-4 goals 81.2% 83.4% 81.2% 1.03× 1.20
2-6 goals 71.7% 72.3% 70.0% 1.03× 1.38
2-5 goals 67.9% 68.8% 64.4% 1.07× 1.45
1-3 goals 66.0% 68.8% 66.3% 1.04× 1.45
2-4 goals 59.7% 59.1% 58.3% 1.01× 1.69
3-6 goals 49.3% 48.5% 50.7% 0.96× 2.06
3-5 goals 45.6% 48.4% 45.1% 1.07× 2.06
2-3 goals 44.5% 43.6% 43.4% 1.00× 2.29
1-2 goals 43.9% 43.6% 42.4% 1.03× 2.29
3-4 goals 37.3% 39.2% 39.0% 1.00× 2.55
4-6 goals 27.2% 30.2% 26.8% 1.13× 3.31
4-5 goals 23.4% 24.5% 21.2% 1.15× 4.09
5-6 goals 12.1% 14.8% 12.0% 1.24× 6.76
7+ goals 2.2% 2.6% 2.4% 1.05× 39.17
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar never behind 56.1% 62.3% — — 1.61
O'Higgins never behind 25.8% 29.7% — — 3.36
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 46.5% 50.9% 44.9% 1.13× 1.97
Odd number of goals 53.5% 49.1% 55.1% 0.89× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.4% 51.8% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 45.6% 48.2% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 50.8% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 49.2% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 95.4% 95.4% 95.1% 1.00× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 94.0% 92.3% 92.0% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 85.8% 87.6% 85.9% 1.02× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 73.9% 72.5% 72.2% 1.00× 1.38
Under 3.5 goals 70.6% 72.5% 71.0% 1.02× 1.38
Over 2.5 goals 51.5% 52.5% 52.9% 0.99× 1.91
Under 2.5 goals 48.5% 47.5% 47.1% 1.01× 2.11
Over 3.5 goals 29.4% 27.5% 29.0% 0.95× 3.63
Under 1.5 goals 26.1% 27.5% 27.8% 0.99× 3.63
Over 4.5 goals 14.2% 12.4% 14.1% 0.88× 8.06
Over 5.5 goals 6.0% 7.7% 8.0% 0.96× 12.94
Under 0.5 goals 4.6% 4.6% 4.9% 0.94× 21.80
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.7% 97.2% 97.4% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 93.5% 92.4% 91.4% 1.01× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 83.2% 81.1% 83.4% 0.97× 1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 66.4% 67.5% 65.6% 1.03× 1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 62.3% 61.9% 61.9% 1.00× 1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 37.7% 38.1% 38.1% 1.00× 2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 33.6% 32.5% 34.4% 0.94× 3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 16.8% 18.9% 16.6% 1.14× 5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 6.5% 7.6% 8.6% 0.88× 13.20
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 2.3% 2.8% 2.6% 1.09× 35.63
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 89.1% 89.1% — — 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 68.6% 68.7% — — 1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half 68.5% 68.7% — — 1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half 31.5% 31.3% — — 3.19
Under 0.5 in 1st half 31.4% 31.3% — — 3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half 10.9% 10.9% — — 9.17
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 80.2% 82.9% — — 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 78.6% 79.6% — — 1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 53.5% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 46.5% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 21.4% 20.4% — — 4.90
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 19.8% 17.1% — — 5.84
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins not to score in both halves 85.6% 85.5% — — 1.17
Everton de Viña del Mar not to score in both halves 66.5% 70.0% — — 1.43
Everton de Viña del Mar to score in both halves 33.5% 30.0% — — 3.33
O'Higgins to score in both halves 14.4% 14.5% — — 6.88
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 49.8% 50.7% 52.0% 0.98× 1.97
Only Everton de Viña del Mar scores 32.9% 33.3% 26.8% 1.24× 3.01
Only O'Higgins scores 12.7% 11.0% 16.8% 0.66× 9.06
Neither team scores 4.6% 4.6% 4.9% 0.95× 21.54
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 22.4% 22.6% 19.5% 1.16× 4.43
Exactly 3 goals 22.1% 22.6% 24.1% 0.94× 4.43
Exactly 1 goals 21.5% 22.6% 23.2% 0.97× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 15.1% 17.5% 15.1% 1.15× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 8.3% 7.6% 6.3% 1.20× 13.14
6 or more goals 6.0% 7.6% 8.0% 0.95× 13.14
Exactly 0 goals 4.6% 4.5% 4.9% 0.92× 22.33
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 37.1% 37.3% — — 2.68
No goals in 1st half 31.4% 35.6% — — 2.81
2 goals in 1st half 20.6% 21.5% — — 4.66
3+ goals in 1st half 10.9% 10.8% — — 9.25
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 46.5% 44.7% — — 2.24
1 goal in 2nd half 33.7% 33.9% — — 2.95
No goals in 2nd half 19.8% 16.9% — — 5.93
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins not to win both halves 96.3% 97.2% — — 1.03
Everton de Viña del Mar not to win both halves 81.9% 83.4% — — 1.20
Everton de Viña del Mar to win both halves 18.1% 16.6% — — 6.03
O'Higgins to win both halves 3.7% 2.8% — — 35.71
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar to win either half 68.0% 67.9% — — 1.47
O'Higgins to win neither half 64.1% 65.0% — — 1.54
O'Higgins to win either half 35.9% 35.0% — — 2.86
Everton de Viña del Mar to win neither half 32.0% 32.1% — — 3.12
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
O'Higgins not to win to nil 87.3% 88.1% 83.2% 1.06× 1.14
Everton de Viña del Mar not to win to nil 67.1% 69.7% 73.2% 0.95× 1.44
Everton de Viña del Mar to win to nil 32.9% 30.3% 26.8% 1.13× 3.30
O'Higgins to win to nil 12.7% 11.9% 16.8% 0.71× 8.41
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar by 1 26.3% 27.9% 26.1% 1.07× 3.59
Draw 19.7% 17.1% 21.2% 0.80× 5.86
Everton de Viña del Mar by 2 17.1% 17.0% 12.9% 1.32× 5.87
O'Higgins by 1 15.5% 17.0% 20.0% 0.85× 5.87
Everton de Viña del Mar by 3+ 14.0% 11.8% 10.5% 1.12× 8.50
O'Higgins by 2 5.3% 7.2% 6.3% 1.13× 13.92
O'Higgins by 3+ 2.0% 2.7% 4.1% 0.65× 36.91
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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